Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors and Major Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes: A SMART-C Collaborative Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) consistently improve heart failure and kidney-related outcomes; however, effects on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) across different patient populations are less clear. METHODS: This was a collaborative trial-level meta-analysis from the SGLT2i Meta-analysis Cardio-Renal Trialists Consortium, which includes all phase 3, placebo-controlled, outcomes trials of SGLT2i across 3 patient populations (patients with diabetes at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, heart failure [HF], or chronic kidney disease). The outcomes of interest were MACE (composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction , or stroke), individual components of MACE (inclusive of fatal and nonfatal events), all-cause mortality, and death subtypes. Effect estimates for SGLT2i versus placebo were meta-analyzed across trials and examined across key subgroups (established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, previous myocardial infarction, diabetes, previous HF, albuminuria, chronic kidney disease stages, and risk groups). RESULTS: A total of 78 607 patients across 11 trials were included: 42 568 (54.2%), 20 725 (26.4%), and 15 314 (19.5%) were included from trials of patients with diabetes at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, HF, or chronic kidney disease, respectively. SGLT2i reduced the rate of MACE by 9% (hazard ration [HR], 0.91 [95% CI, 0.87-0.96], P<0.0001) with a consistent effect across all 3 patient populations (I2=0%) and across all key subgroups. This effect was primarily driven by a reduction in cardiovascular death (HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.81-0.92], P<0.0001), with no significant effect for myocardial infarction in the overall population (HR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.87-1.04], P=0.29), and no effect on stroke (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.91-1.07], P=0.77). The benefit for cardiovascular death was driven primarily by reductions in HF death and sudden cardiac death (HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.46-1.02] and HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.78-0.95], respectively) and was generally consistent across subgroups, with the possible exception of being more apparent in those with albuminuria (Pinteraction=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2i reduce the risk of MACE across a broad range of patients irrespective of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, diabetes, kidney function, or other major clinical characteristics at baseline. This effect is driven primarily by a reduction of cardiovascular death, particularly HF death and sudden cardiac death, without a significant effect on myocardial infarction in the overall population, and no effect on stroke. These data may help inform selection for SGLT2i therapies across the spectrum of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic disease.

Effect of Dialysate and Plasma Sodium on Mortality in a Global Historical Hemodialysis Cohort.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: This large observational cohort study aimed to investigate the relationship between dialysate and plasma sodium concentrations and mortality among maintenance hemodialysis patients. Using a large multinational cohort of 68,196 patients, we found that lower dialysate sodium concentrations (≤138 mmol/L) were independently associated with higher mortality compared with higher dialysate sodium concentrations (>138 mmol/L). The risk of death was lower among patients exposed to higher dialysate sodium concentrations, regardless of plasma sodium levels. These results challenge the prevailing assumption that lower dialysate sodium concentrations improve outcomes in hemodialysis patients. The study confirms that until robust evidence from randomized trials that are underway is available, nephrologists should remain cautious in reconsideration of dialysate sodium prescribing practices to optimize cardiovascular outcomes and reduce mortality in this population. BACKGROUND: Excess mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients is largely due to cardiovascular disease and is associated with abnormal fluid status and plasma sodium concentrations. Ultrafiltration facilitates the removal of fluid and sodium, whereas diffusive exchange of sodium plays a pivotal role in sodium removal and tonicity adjustment. Lower dialysate sodium may increase sodium removal at the expense of hypotonicity, reduced blood volume refilling, and intradialytic hypotension risk. Higher dialysate sodium preserves blood volume and hemodynamic stability but reduces sodium removal. In this retrospective cohort, we aimed to assess whether prescribing a dialysate sodium ≤138 mmol/L has an effect on survival outcomes compared with dialysate sodium >138 mmol/L after adjusting for plasma sodium concentration. METHODS: The study population included incident HD patients from 875 Fresenius Medical Care Nephrocare clinics in 25 countries between 2010 and 2019. Baseline dialysate sodium (≤138 or >138 mmol/L) and plasma sodium (<135, 135-142, >142 mmol/L) concentrations defined exposure status. We used multivariable Cox regression model stratified by country to model the association between time-varying dialysate and plasma sodium exposure and all-cause mortality, adjusted for demographic and treatment variables, including bioimpedance measures of fluid status. RESULTS: In 2,123,957 patient-months from 68,196 incident HD patients with on average three HD sessions per week dialysate sodium of 138 mmol/L was prescribed in 63.2%, 139 mmol/L in 15.8%, 140 mmol/L in 20.7%, and other concentrations in 0.4% of patients. Most clinical centers (78.6%) used a standardized concentration. During a median follow-up of 40 months, one third of patients ( n =21,644) died. Dialysate sodium ≤138 mmol/L was associated with higher mortality (multivariate hazard ratio for the total population (1.57, 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 1.98), adjusted for plasma sodium concentrations and other confounding variables. Subgroup analysis did not show any evidence of effect modification by plasma sodium concentrations or other patient-specific variables. CONCLUSIONS: These observational findings stress the need for randomized evidence to reliably define optimal standard dialysate sodium prescribing practices.

VALOR-CKD: A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind Placebo-Controlled Trial Evaluating Veverimer in Slowing Progression of CKD in Patients with Metabolic Acidosis.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Metabolic acidosis is a common complication of CKD and is associated with more rapid decline of kidney function, but well-powered controlled randomized trials testing the effect of treating metabolic acidosis on slowing CKD progression have not been conducted. The VALOR-CKD study randomized 1480 individuals with CKD and metabolic acidosis, across 320 sites to placebo or veverimer (a novel hydrochloric acid binder). The findings did not demonstrate the efficacy of veverimer in slowing CKD progression, but the difference in serum bicarbonate between placebo and drug arms was only approximately 1 mEq/L. Veverimer was safe and well tolerated. BACKGROUND: Metabolic acidosis is common in CKD, but whether its treatment slows CKD progression is unknown. Veverimer, a novel hydrochloric acid binder that removes acid from the gastrointestinal tract, leads to an increase in serum bicarbonate. METHODS: In a phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients with CKD (eGFR of 20-40 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ) and metabolic acidosis (serum bicarbonate of 12-20 mEq/L) from 35 countries were randomized to veverimer or placebo. The primary outcome was the composite end point of CKD progression, defined as the development of ESKD (kidney transplantation or maintenance dialysis), a sustained decline in eGFR of ≥40% from baseline, or death due to kidney failure. RESULTS: The mean (±SD) baseline eGFR was 29.2±6.3 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , and serum bicarbonate was 17.5±1.4 mEq/L; this increased to 23.4±2.0 mEq/L after the active treatment run-in. After randomized withdrawal, the mean serum bicarbonate was 22.0±3.0 mEq/L and 20.9±3.3 mEq/L in the veverimer and placebo groups at month 3, and this approximately 1 mEq/L difference remained stable for the first 24 months. A primary end point event occurred in 149/741 and 148/739 patients in the veverimer and placebo groups, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.8 to 1.2; P = 0.90). Serious and overall adverse event incidence did not differ between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CKD and metabolic acidosis, treatment with veverimer did not slow CKD progression. The lower than expected bicarbonate separation may have hindered the ability to test the hypothesis. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER: VALOR-CKD, NCT03710291 .

Zibotentan in combination with dapagliflozin compared with dapagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease (ZENITH-CKD): a multicentre, randomised, active-controlled, phase 2b, clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: In patients with chronic kidney disease, SGLT2 inhibitors and endothelin A receptor antagonists (ERAs) can reduce albuminuria and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline. We assessed the albuminuria-lowering efficacy and safety of the ERA zibotentan combined with the SGLT2 inhibitor dapagliflozin. METHODS: ZENITH-CKD was a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, active-controlled clinical trial, done in 170 clinical practice sites in 18 countries. Adults (≥18 to ≤90 years) with an estimated GFR (eGFR) of 20 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or greater and a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) of 150-5000 mg/g were randomly assigned (2:1:2) to 12 weeks of daily treatment with zibotentan 1·5 mg plus dapagliflozin 10 mg, zibotentan 0·25 mg plus dapagliflozin 10 mg, or dapagliflozin 10 mg plus placebo, as adjunct to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers if tolerated. The primary endpoint was a change from baseline in log-transformed UACR (zibotentan 1·5 mg plus dapagliflozin vs dapagliflozin plus placebo) at week 12. Fluid retention was an event of special interest, defined as an increase in bodyweight of at least 3% (at least 2·5% must have been from total body water) from baseline or an increase of at least 100% in B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and either a BNP concentration greater than 200 pg/mL if without atrial fibrillation or BNP greater than 400 pg/mL if with atrial fibrillation. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04724837, and is completed. FINDINGS: Between April 28, 2021, and Jan 17, 2023, we assessed 1492 participants for eligibility. For the main analysis, we randomly assigned 449 (30%) participants, 447 (99%) of whom (mean age 62·8 years [SD 12·1], 138 [31%] female, 309 [69%] male, 305 [68%] White, mean eGFR 46·7 mL/min per 1·73 m2 [SD 22·4], and median UACR 565·5 mg/g [IQR 243·0-1212·6]) received treatment with zibotentan 1·5 mg plus dapagliflozin (n=179 [40%]), zibotentan 0·25 mg plus dapagliflozin (n=91 [20%]), or dapagliflozin plus placebo (n=177 [40%]). Zibotentan 1·5 mg plus dapagliflozin and zibotentan 0·25 mg plus dapagliflozin reduced UACR versus dapagliflozin plus placebo throughout the treatment period of the study. At week 12, the difference in UACR versus dapagliflozin plus placebo was -33·7% (90% CI -42·5 to -23·5; p<0·0001) for zibotentan 1·5 mg plus dapagliflozin and -27·0% (90% CI -38·4 to -13·6; p=0·0022) for zibotentan 0·25 mg plus dapagliflozin. Fluid-retention events were observed in 33 (18%) of 179 participants in the zibotentan 1·5 mg plus dapagliflozin group, eight (9%) of 91 in the zibotentan 0·25 mg plus dapagliflozin group, and 14 (8%) of 177 in the dapagliflozin plus placebo group. INTERPRETATION: Zibotentan combined with dapagliflozin reduced albuminuria with an acceptable tolerability and safety profile and is an option to reduce chronic kidney disease progression in patients already receiving currently recommended therapy. FUNDING: AstraZeneca.

Daprodustat for the Treatment of Anemia in Patients Undergoing Dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the use of recombinant human erythropoietin and its derivatives for the treatment of anemia has been linked to a possibly increased risk of stroke, myocardial infarction, and other adverse events. Several trials have suggested that hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors (PHIs) are as effective as erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) in increasing hemoglobin levels. METHODS: In this randomized, open-label, phase 3 trial, we assigned patients with CKD who were undergoing dialysis and who had a hemoglobin level of 8.0 to 11.5 g per deciliter to receive an oral HIF-PHI (daprodustat) or an injectable ESA (epoetin alfa if they were receiving hemodialysis or darbepoetin alfa if they were receiving peritoneal dialysis). The two primary outcomes were the mean change in the hemoglobin level from baseline to weeks 28 through 52 (noninferiority margin, -0.75 g per deciliter) and the first occurrence of a major adverse cardiovascular event (a composite of death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke), with a noninferiority margin of 1.25. RESULTS: A total of 2964 patients underwent randomization. The mean (±SD) baseline hemoglobin level was 10.4±1.0 g per deciliter overall. The mean (±SE) change in the hemoglobin level from baseline to weeks 28 through 52 was 0.28±0.02 g per deciliter in the daprodustat group and 0.10±0.02 g per deciliter in the ESA group (difference, 0.18 g per deciliter; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.12 to 0.24), which met the prespecified noninferiority margin of -0.75 g per deciliter. During a median follow-up of 2.5 years, a major adverse cardiovascular event occurred in 374 of 1487 patients (25.2%) in the daprodustat group and in 394 of 1477 (26.7%) in the ESA group (hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.07), which also met the prespecified noninferiority margin for daprodustat. The percentages of patients with other adverse events were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CKD undergoing dialysis, daprodustat was noninferior to ESAs regarding the change in the hemoglobin level from baseline and cardiovascular outcomes. (Funded by GlaxoSmithKline; ASCEND-D ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02879305.).

Daprodustat for the Treatment of Anemia in Patients Not Undergoing Dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Daprodustat is an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor. In patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who are not undergoing dialysis, the efficacy and safety of daprodustat, as compared with the conventional erythropoiesis-stimulating agent darbepoetin alfa, are unknown. METHODS: In this randomized, open-label, phase 3 trial with blinded adjudication of cardiovascular outcomes, we compared daprodustat with darbepoetin alfa for the treatment of anemia in patients with CKD who were not undergoing dialysis. The primary outcomes were the mean change in the hemoglobin level from baseline to weeks 28 through 52 and the first occurrence of a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; a composite of death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke). RESULTS: Overall, 3872 patients were randomly assigned to receive daprodustat or darbepoetin alfa. The mean (±SD) baseline hemoglobin levels were similar in the two groups. The mean (±SE) change in the hemoglobin level from baseline to weeks 28 through 52 was 0.74±0.02 g per deciliter in the daprodustat group and 0.66±0.02 g per deciliter in the darbepoetin alfa group (difference, 0.08 g per deciliter; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.03 to 0.13), which met the prespecified noninferiority margin of -0.75 g per deciliter. During a median follow-up of 1.9 years, a first MACE occurred in 378 of 1937 patients (19.5%) in the daprodustat group and in 371 of 1935 patients (19.2%) in the darbepoetin alfa group (hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.89 to 1.19), which met the prespecified noninferiority margin of 1.25. The percentages of patients with adverse events were similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CKD and anemia who were not undergoing dialysis, daprodustat was noninferior to darbepoetin alfa with respect to the change in the hemoglobin level from baseline and with respect to cardiovascular outcomes. (Funded by GlaxoSmithKline; ASCEND-ND ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02876835.).

Dapagliflozin and Blood Pressure in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease and Albuminuria.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors decrease blood pressure in patients with type 2 diabetes, but the consistency and magnitude of blood pressure lowering with dapagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. We conducted a prespecified analysis of the DAPA-CKD trial to investigate the effect of dapagliflozin on systolic blood pressure (SBP) in patients with CKD, with and without type 2 diabetes. METHODS: A total of 4304 adults with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 25-75 mL/min/1.73m2 and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) 200-5000 mg/g were randomized to either dapagliflozin 10 mg or placebo once daily; median follow-up was 2.4 years. The primary endpoint was a composite of sustained ≥50% eGFR decline, end-stage kidney disease, or death from a kidney or cardiovascular cause. Change in SBP was a prespecified outcome. RESULTS: Baseline mean (SD) SBP was 137.1 mmHg (17.4). By Week 2, dapagliflozin compared to placebo reduced SBP by 3.6 mmHg (95% CI 2.8-4.4 mmHg), an effect maintained over the duration of the trial (2.9 mmHg, 2.3-3.6 mmHg). Time-averaged reductions in SBP were 3.2 mmHg (2.5-4.0 mmHg) in patients with diabetes and 2.3 mmHg (1.2-3.4 mmHg) in patients without diabetes. The time-averaged effect of dapagliflozin on diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was 1.0 mmHg (0.6-1.4 mmHg); 0.8 mmHg (0.4-1.3 mmHg) in patients with diabetes and 1.4 mmHg (0.7-2.1 mmHg) in patients without diabetes. Benefits of dapagliflozin on the primary composite and secondary endpoints were evident across the spectrum of baseline SBP and DBP. CONCLUSION: In patients with CKD and albuminuria, randomization to dapagliflozin was associated with modest reductions in systolic and diastolic BP.

Use of Analog and Human Insulin in a European Hemodialysis Cohort With Type 2 Diabetes: Associations With Mortality, Hospitalization, MACE, and Hypoglycemia.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Poor glycemic control may contribute to the high mortality rate in patients with type 2 diabetes receiving hemodialysis. Insulin type may influence glycemic control, and its choice may be an opportunity to improve outcomes. This study assessed whether treatment with analog insulin compared with human insulin is associated with different outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes and kidney failure receiving hemodialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: People in the Analyzing Data, Recognizing Excellence and Optimizing Outcomes (AROii) study with kidney failure commencing hemodialysis and type 2 diabetes being treated with insulin within 288 dialysis facilities between 2007 and 2009 across 7 European countries. Study participants were followed for 3 years. People with type 1 diabetes were excluded using an established administrative data algorithm. EXPOSURE: Treatment with an insulin analog or human insulin. OUTCOME: All-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), all-cause hospitalization, and confirmed hypoglycemia (blood glucose<3.0mmol/L sampled during hemodialysis). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Inverse probability weighted Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios for analog insulin compared with human insulin. RESULTS: There were 713 insulin analog and 733 human insulin users. Significant variation in insulin type by country was observed. Comparing analog with human insulin at 3 years, the percentage of patients experiencing end points and adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) were 22.0% versus 31.4% (AHR, 0.808 [95% CI, 0.66-0.99], P=0.04) for all-cause mortality, 26.8% versus 35.9% (AHR, 0.817 [95% CI, 0.68-0.98], P=0.03) for MACE, and 58.2% versus 75.0% (AHR, 0.757 [95% CI, 0.67-0.86], P<0.001) for hospitalization. Hypoglycemia was comparable between insulin types at 14.1% versus 15.0% (AHR, 1.169 [95% CI, 0.80-1.72], P=0.4). Consistent strength and direction of the associations were observed across sensitivity analyses. LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding, lack of more detailed glycemia data. CONCLUSIONS: In this large multinational cohort of people with type 2 diabetes and kidney failure receiving maintenance hemodialysis, treatment with analog insulins was associated with better clinical outcomes when compared with human insulin. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: People with diabetes who are receiving dialysis for kidney failure are at high risk of cardiovascular disease and death. This study uses information from 1,446 people with kidney failure from 7 European countries who are receiving dialysis, have type 2 diabetes, and are prescribed either insulin identical to that made in the body (human insulin) or insulins with engineered extra features (insulin analog). After 3 years, fewer participants receiving analog insulins had died, had been admitted to the hospital, or had a cardiovascular event (heart attack, stroke, heart failure, or peripheral vascular disease). These findings suggest that analog insulins should be further explored as a treatment leading to better outcomes for people with diabetes on dialysis.

Effects of Dapagliflozin in Chronic Kidney Disease Across the Spectrum of Age and by Sex.

BACKGROUND: The sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 inhibitor dapagliflozin reduces the risk of progressive kidney disease and cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease, with and without type 2 diabetes. Whether its effects are uniform across the spectrum of age and among men and women is unknown. OBJECTIVE: We performed a pre-specified analysis in DAPA-CKD to evaluate efficacy and safety of dapagliflozin according to baseline age and sex. DESIGN: Prospective randomized placebo-controlled trial. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 4304 adults with chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 25-75 mL/min/1.73 m2; urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio 200-5000 mg/g) with and without type 2 diabetes. INTERVENTION: Dapagliflozin 10 mg versus placebo once daily. MAIN MEASURES: Primary endpoint was a composite of ≥ 50% sustained eGFR decline, end-stage kidney disease, and kidney or cardiovascular death. Secondary endpoints included kidney composite endpoint (same as primary composite endpoint but without cardiovascular death), cardiovascular composite endpoint (hospitalized heart failure or cardiovascular death), and all-cause mortality. KEY RESULTS: Median follow-up was 2.4 years. Absolute risks of cardiovascular composite endpoint and all-cause mortality were higher in older patients. Absolute risk of kidney composite endpoint was highest in patients < 50 years (10.7 and 6.2 per 100 patient-years in the placebo and dapagliflozin groups, respectively) and lowest in patients ≥ 80 years (3.0 and 1.2 per 100 patient-years in the placebo and dapagliflozin groups, respectively). There was no evidence of heterogeneity of the effects of dapagliflozin on the primary or secondary endpoints based on age or sex. Neither age nor sex modified the effects of dapagliflozin on total or chronic eGFR slope. CONCLUSIONS: Dapagliflozin reduced the risks of mortality, cardiovascular events, and CKD progression in older patients, including in septuagenarians and octogenarians who comprised 25% of participants. Ageism and/or therapeutic nihilism should not discourage the use of dapagliflozin in older women and men who are likely to experience considerable benefit. TRIAL REGISTRY: clinicaltrials.gov NIH TRIAL REGISTRY NUMBER: NCT03036150.

Closing the policy gap in diabetes care for individuals with advanced CKD.

AIM: The co-existence of diabetes and CKD poses significant challenges to healthcare systems, current frameworks often inadequately address the complex needs of individuals with both conditions. Recognising these gaps, we introduced a new diabetes care model for people with advanced CKD in renal satellite units.This paper aims to evaluate this new diabetes model care. METHOD: We conducted a prospective audit of a new integrated diabetes kidney care model. Data were presented as mean ± SD or counts/percentages, and pre- and post-intervention differences were assessed using paired samples t-tests. RESULTS: A total of 291 individuals with diabetes and advanced CKD stages 4 or 5, or undergoing haemodialysis, were included. The mean age was 68.5 (±13.0) years, 58.4% were males. Nearly half of the cohort had four or more long-term conditions, while two-thirds experienced mild/severe frailty. Only 6% were receiving ongoing diabetes care from secondary care diabetes specialist services. For patients with CKD not receiving dialysis, comparing pre- and post-intervention, there were improvements in HbA1c (-13.0 mmol/mol, p < 0.001), SBP (-13.7 mm Hg, p < 0.0001), and weight (-2.9 kg, p < 0.0001). Furthermore, there was an increase in guideline-directed therapies, with notable usage of SGLT2i (62.9%) and GLP1-RA (28.4%), while access to diabetes technology increased to 89%. CONCLUSION: This new model of care resulted in improved metabolic outcomes, increased utilisation of guideline-directed therapies, and enhanced access to diabetes technologies. However, the model also revealed significant unmet clinical needs in areas such as access to diabetes care, diabetes eye screening and foot surveillance.

Glucose-lowering treatment pathways of individuals with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes 2012 risk classification.

AIMS: To describe treatment pathways for key glucose-lowering therapies in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) using retrospective data from DISCOVER CKD (NCT04034992). METHODS: Data were extracted from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) linked to Hospital Episode Statistics data (2008-2020) and the US integrated Limited Claims and Electronic Health Records Database (LCED; 2012-2019). Eligible individuals were aged ≥18 years with CKD, identified by two consecutive estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measures (15-<75 mL/min/1.73 m2 ; 90-730 days apart; index date was the second measurement) and T2D. Chronological treatment pathways for glucose-lowering therapies prescribed on or after CKD index to end of follow-up were computed. Median time and proportion of overall follow-up time on treatment were described for each therapy by database and by eGFR and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) categories. RESULTS: Of 36,951 and 4339 eligible individuals in the CPRD and LCED, respectively, median baseline eGFR was 67.8 and 64.9 mL/min/1.73 m2 ; 64.2 and 63.9% received metformin prior to index; and median (interquartile range) time on metformin during follow-up was 917 (390-1671) and 454 (192-850) days (accounting for ~75% of follow-up time in both databases). The frequency of combination treatment increased over time. There were trends towards decreased metformin prescriptions with decreasing eGFR and increasing UACR within each eGFR category. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with CKD and T2D had many combinations of therapies and substantial follow-up time on therapy. These results highlight opportunities for improved CKD management.

Efficacy and safety of zibotentan and dapagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: study design and baseline characteristics of the ZENITH-CKD trial.

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) are part of the standard of care for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), both with and without type 2 diabetes. Endothelin A (ETA) receptor antagonists have also been shown to slow progression of CKD. Differing mechanisms of action of SGLT2 and ETA receptor antagonists may enhance efficacy. We outline a study to evaluate the effect of combination zibotentan/dapagliflozin versus dapagliflozin alone on albuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). METHODS: We are conducting a double-blind, active-controlled, Phase 2b study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ETA receptor antagonist zibotentan and SGLT2i dapagliflozin in a planned 415 adults with CKD (Zibotentan and Dapagliflozin for the Treatment of CKD; ZENITH-CKD). Participants are being randomized (1:2:2) to zibotentan 0.25 mg/dapagliflozin 10 mg once daily (QD), zibotentan 1.5 mg/dapagliflozin 10 mg QD and dapagliflozin 10 mg QD alone, for 12 weeks followed by a 2-week off-treatment wash-out period. The primary endpoint is the change in log-transformed urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) from baseline to Week 12. Other outcomes include change in blood pressure from baseline to Week 12 and change in eGFR the study. The incidence of adverse events will be monitored. Study protocol-defined events of special interest include changes in fluid-related measures (weight gain or B-type natriuretic peptide). RESULTS: A total of 447 patients were randomized and received treatment in placebo/dapagliflozin (n = 177), zibotentan 0.25 mg/dapagliflozin (n = 91) and zibotentan 1.5 mg/dapagliflozin (n =  179). The mean age was 62.8 years, 30.9% were female and 68.2% were white. At baseline, the mean eGFR of the enrolled population was 46.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 and the geometric mean UACR was 538.3 mg/g. CONCLUSION: This study evaluates the UACR-lowering efficacy and safety of zibotentan with dapagliflozin as a potential new treatment for CKD. The study will provide information about an effective and safe zibotentan dose to be further investigated in a Phase 3 clinical outcome trial. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04724837.

The long-term effects of dapagliflozin in chronic kidney disease: a time-to-event analysis.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) presents a significant clinical and economic burden to healthcare systems worldwide, which increases considerably with progression towards kidney failure. The DAPA-CKD trial demonstrated that patients with or without type 2 diabetes (T2D) who were treated with dapagliflozin experienced slower progression of CKD versus placebo. Understanding the effect of long-term treatment with dapagliflozin on the timing of kidney failure beyond trial follow-up can assist informed decision-making by healthcare providers and patients. The study objective was therefore to extrapolate the outcome-based clinical benefits of treatment with dapagliflozin in patients with CKD via a time-to-event analysis using trial data. METHODS: Patient-level data from the DAPA-CKD trial were used to parameterise a closed cohort-level partitioned survival model that predicted time-to-event for key trial endpoints (kidney failure, all-cause mortality, sustained decline in kidney function, and hospitalisation for heart failure). Data were pooled with a subpopulation of the DECLARE-TIMI 58 trial to create a combined CKD population spanning a range of CKD stages; a parallel survival analysis was conducted in this population. RESULTS: In the DAPA-CKD and pooled CKD populations, treatment with dapagliflozin delayed time to first event for kidney failure, all-cause mortality, sustained decline in kidney function, and hospitalisation for heart failure. Attenuation of CKD progression was predicted to slow the time to kidney failure by 6.6 years (dapagliflozin: 25.2, 95%CI: 19.0-31.5; standard therapy: 18.5, 95%CI: 14.7-23.4) in the DAPA-CKD population. A similar result was observed in the pooled CKD population with an estimated delay of 6.3 years (dapagliflozin: 36.0, 95%CI: 31.9-38.3; standard therapy: 29.6, 95%CI: 25.5-34.7). CONCLUSION: Treatment with dapagliflozin over a lifetime time horizon may considerably delay the mean time to adverse clinical outcomes for patients who would go on to experience them, including those at modest risk of progression.

Outcomes for clinical trials involving adults with chronic kidney disease: a multinational Delphi survey involving patients, caregivers and health professionals.

BACKGROUND: Many outcomes of high priority to patients and clinicians are infrequently and inconsistently reported across trials in chronic kidney disease (CKD), which generates research waste and limits evidence-informed decision making. We aimed to generate consensus among patients/caregivers and health professionals on critically important outcomes for trials in CKD prior to kidney failure and the need for kidney replacement therapy, and to describe the reasons for their choices. METHODS: This was an online two-round international Delphi survey. Adult patients with CKD (all stages and diagnoses), caregivers and health professionals who could read English, Spanish or French were eligible. Participants rated the importance of outcomes using a Likert scale (7-9 indicating critical importance) and a Best-Worst Scale. The scores for the two groups were assessed to determine absolute and relative importance. Comments were analysed thematically. RESULTS: In total, 1399 participants from 73 countries completed Round 1 of the Delphi survey, including 628 (45%) patients/caregivers and 771 (55%) health professionals. In Round 2, 790 participants (56% response rate) from 63 countries completed the survey including 383 (48%) patients/caregivers and 407 (52%) health professionals. The overall top five outcomes were: kidney function, need for dialysis/transplant, life participation, cardiovascular disease and death. In the final round, patients/caregivers indicated higher scores for most outcomes (17/22 outcomes), and health professionals gave higher priority to mortality, hospitalization and cardiovascular disease (mean difference >0.3). Consensus was based upon the two groups yielding median scores of ≥7 and mean scores >7, and the proportions of both groups rating the outcome as 'critically important' being >50%. Four themes reflected the reasons for their priorities: imminent threat of a health catastrophe, signifying diminishing capacities, ability to self-manage and cope, and tangible and direct consequences. CONCLUSION: Across trials in CKD, the outcomes of highest priority to patients, caregivers and health professionals were kidney function, need for dialysis/transplant, life participation, cardiovascular disease and death.

Geographic and racial variability in kidney, cardiovascular and safety outcomes with canagliflozin: A secondary analysis of the CREDENCE randomized trial.

AIM: To explore the effect of canagliflozin on kidney and cardiovascular events and safety outcomes in individuals with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease across geographic regions and racial groups. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A stratified Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess efficacy and safety outcomes by geographic region and racial group. The primary composite outcome was a composite of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), doubling of the serum creatinine (SCr) level, or death from kidney or cardiovascular causes. Secondary outcomes included: (i) cardiovascular death or heart failure (HF) hospitalization; (ii) cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke; (iii) HF hospitalization; (iv) doubling of the SCr level, ESKD or kidney death; (v) cardiovascular death; (vi) all-cause death; and (vii) cardiovascular death, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for HF or for unstable angina. RESULTS: The 4401 patients were divided into six geographic region subgroups: North America (n = 1182, 27%), Central and South America (n = 941, 21%), Eastern Europe (n = 947, 21%), Western Europe (n = 421, 10%), Asia (n = 749, 17%) and Other (n = 161, 4%). The analyses included four racial groups: White (n = 2931, 67%), Black or African American (n = 224, 5%), Asian (n = 877, 20%) and Other (n = 369, 8%). Canagliflozin reduced the relative risk of the primary composite outcome in the overall trial by 30% (hazard ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.59-0.82; P = 0.00001). Across geographic regions and racial groups, canagliflozin consistently reduced the primary composite endpoint without evidence of heterogeneity (interaction P values of 0.39 and 0.91, respectively) or significant safety outcome differences. CONCLUSIONS: Canagliflozin reduces the risk of kidney and cardiovascular events similarly across geographic regions and racial groups.

Modeling variation in mixture effects over space with a Bayesian spatially varying mixture model.

Mixture analysis is an emerging statistical tool in epidemiological research that seeks to estimate the health effects associated with mixtures of several exposures. This approach acknowledges that individuals experience many simultaneous exposures and it can estimate the relative importance of components in the mixture. Health effects due to mixtures may vary over space driven by to political, demographic, environmental, or other differences. In such cases, estimating a global mixture effect without accounting for spatial variation would induce bias in effect estimates and potentially lower statistical power. To date, no methods have been developed to estimate spatially varying chemical mixture effects. We developed a Bayesian spatially varying mixture model that estimates spatially varying mixture effects and the importance weights of components in the mixture, while adjusting for covariates. We demonstrate the efficacy of the model through a simulation study that varies the number of mixtures (one and two) and spatial pattern (global, one-dimensional, radial) and magnitude of mixture effects, showing that the model is able to accurately reproduce the spatial pattern of mixture effects across a diverse set of scenarios. Finally, we apply our model to a multi-center case-control study of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) in Detroit, Iowa, Los Angeles, and Seattle. We identify significant spatially varying positive and inverse associations with NHL for two mixtures of pesticides in Iowa and do not find strong spatial effects at the other three centers. In conclusion, the Bayesian spatially varying mixture model represents a novel method for modeling spatial variation in mixture effects.

Advertising Exposure From Online and Offline Sources and Youth Tobacco Use: Findings From the Adolescents, Place, and Behavior Study.

INTRODUCTION: Tobacco use among adolescents is an ongoing public health concern. Youth tobacco use has been associated with advertising, from both online sources and retail environments. AIMS AND METHODS: This study examined associations between exposure to tobacco advertisements from tobacco retail outlets (TROs), internet, and social media sources and ever tobacco use among adolescents. Data were obtained from youth, aged 11-17 years (N = 401) from Richmond, VA. Bayesian index and group index models were fitted to estimate indices of exposure to (1) social media use, (2) tobacco ads on social media, and (3) TRO store visits and their association with ever tobacco use. The most important components of the exposure indices were also determined based on the index component weights from the Bayesian index models. RESULTS: In Bayesian index models of single exposures, each exposure index was significantly associated with tobacco use. In the best-fitting model, social media tobacco ads (odds ratio [OR] = 2.2; 95% credible interval [CI]: 1.2, 4.5) and TRO store visits (OR = 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1, 2.3) were significantly associated with ever tobacco use, as was older age (OR = 1.4; 95% CI: 1.2, 1.8). Index component weights revealed Snapchat ad frequency as the most important platform in the social media index and convenience stores as the most important type of store in the TRO index. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to pro-tobacco advertisements on social media and visits to TROs are associated with adolescent ever tobacco use. Results provide support for policies that would restrict the promotion of tobacco products at TROs and on social media. Tobacco regulations and interventions targeting convenience stores and Snapchat may be warranted to reduce youth tobacco use. IMPLICATIONS: Current evidence provide support for policies that would restrict the promotion of tobacco products at TROs and on social media. Findings suggest that regulations and interventions that specifically target advertisements in convenience stores and on Snapchat may be currently warranted to reduce youth tobacco use.

Tobacco exposures are associated with health care utilization (HCU) and health care costs in pregnant persons and their newborn babies.

INTRODUCTION: Identifying health care utilization and costs associated with active and passive smoking during pregnancy could help improve health management strategies. METHODS: Data are from the Newborn Epigenetics STudy (NEST), a birth cohort enrolled from 2005-2011 in Durham and adjacent counties in North Carolina, United States. Participants included those for whom prenatal serum samples were assayed and for whom administrative data were obtainable (N=1,045). Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression models were used to assess associations between cotinine, adjusted for covariates (e.g., race and ethnicity, age at delivery, cohabitation status, education), and health care utilization outcomes. Generalized linear regression models were used to estimate average total charges. Simulation models were conducted to determine the economic benefits of reducing SHS and smoking during pregnancy. RESULTS: Increasing levels of cotinine were positively associated with parent's number of ED visits (coefficient(b)=0.0012, standard error (SE)=0.0002; P<.001), the number of ICU hours (b=0.0079, SE=0.0025; P=.002)), time spent in the ICU (b=0.0238, SE=0.0020, P<.001), and the number of OP visits (b=0.0003, SE=0.0001; P<.001). For infants, higher cotinine levels were associated with higher number of ED (b=0.0012, SE=0.0004; P=.005), ICU (b=0.0050, SE=0.001; P<.001), and OP (b=0.0006, SE=0.0002; P<.001) visits and longer time spent in the ED (b=0.0025, SE=0.0003; P<.001), ICU (b=0.0005, SE=0.0001; P<.001), and IP (b=0.0020, SE=0.0002; P<.001). Simulation results showed that a 5% reduction in smoking would correspond to a potential median cost savings of $150,533 from ED visits of parents and infants. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight the importance of smoke exposure cessation during pregnancy to reduce health care utilization and costs for both parents and infants. IMPLICATIONS: This study reinforces the importance of reducing smoking and secondhand smoke exposure during pregnancy. Focusing on expanding cessation services to this group could help reduce morbidities observed within this population. Furthermore, there is the potential for health care costs savings to health care systems, especially to those with high delivery numbers. These cost savings are represented by potential reductions in ED, OP, and ICU hours and visits.

Identifying individuals at risk of needing CKD associated medications in a European kidney disease cohort.

BACKGROUND: The consequences of chronic kidney disease (CKD) can be addressed with a range of pharmacotherapies primarily prescribed by nephrologists. More accurate information regarding future CKD-related pharmacotherapy requirements could guide clinical decisions including follow-up frequency. METHODS: Following assignment to derivation and validation groups (2,1), variables predicting individually future use of vitamin D receptor agonists (VDRA), phosphate binders, erythropoiesis stimulating agents (ESAs) and iron were identified using logistic regression in a prospective cohort study containing demography, comorbidity, hospitalization, laboratory, and mortality data in patients with CKD stage G4/G5 across six European countries. Discriminative ability was measured using C-statistics, and predicted probability of medication use used to inform follow-up frequency. RESULTS: A total of 2196 patients were included in the analysis. During a median follow-up of 735 days 648 initiated hemodialysis and 1548 did not. Combinations of age, diabetes status and iPTH, calcium, hemoglobin and serum albumin levels predicted the use of ESA, iron, phosphate binder or VDRA, with C-statistics of 0.70, 0.64, 0.73 and 0.63 in derivation cohorts respectively. Model performance in validation cohorts were similar. Sixteen percent of patients were predicted to have a likelihood of receiving any of these medications of less than 20%. CONCLUSIONS: In a multi-country CKD cohort, prediction of ESA and phosphate binder use over a two-year period can be made based on patient characteristics with the potential to reduce frequency of follow-up in individuals with low risk for requiring these medications.

Effects of Dapagliflozin on Hospitalizations in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease : A Post Hoc Analysis of DAPA-CKD.

BACKGROUND: Acute hospitalizations are common in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and often lead to decreases in health-related quality of life and increased care costs. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effects of dapagliflozin on first hospitalizations and all (first and subsequent) hospitalizations and to explore effects on cause-specific hospitalizations. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03036150). SETTING: 386 ambulatory practice sites in 21 countries from 2 February 2017 through 12 June 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Adults with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 25 to 75 mL/min/1.73 m2 and a urinary albumin-creatinine ratio of 200 to 5000 mg/g, with and without type 2 diabetes. INTERVENTION: Dapagliflozin, 10 mg once daily, or matching placebo (1:1 ratio). MEASUREMENTS: The effects of dapagliflozin on first hospitalizations for any cause, all hospitalizations, and cause-specific (first and recurrent) hospitalizations were determined. The reported system organ class was used to evaluate reasons for admission. Hospitalizations were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models (first hospitalization), the Lin-Wei-Yang-Ying method (all hospitalizations or death), and negative binomial models (cause-specific hospitalizations). RESULTS: The study included 4304 patients (mean age, 61.8 years; 33.1% women). During a median follow-up of 2.4 years, 2072 hospitalizations were reported among 1224 (28.4%) participants. Compared with placebo, dapagliflozin reduced risk for a first hospitalization (hazard ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.75 to 0.94]) and all hospitalizations or death (rate ratio, 0.79 [CI, 0.70 to 0.89]). There was no evidence that the effects of dapagliflozin on first and all hospitalizations varied by baseline presence of type 2 diabetes (P for interaction = 0.60 for each). Compared with placebo, dapagliflozin reduced the rate of admissions due to cardiac disorders, renal and urinary disorders, metabolism and nutrition disorders, and neoplasms. LIMITATIONS: This was a post hoc analysis and should be viewed as hypothesis-generating. Hospitalizations and causes were reported by site investigators and were not centrally adjudicated. CONCLUSION: Dapagliflozin reduced the risk for hospitalization for any cause in patients with CKD with and without type 2 diabetes. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: AstraZeneca.