Appraisal of evidence reliability and applicability of Paxlovid as treatment for SARS-COV-2 infection: A systematic review.

This study aimed to clarify the beneficial effect and the clinical application value of Paxlovid in the treatment of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) through a systematic review. Databases including PubMed, Cochrane Library, Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, and ClinicalTrials.gov were systematically searched for interventional or observational studies on the efficacy and safety of Paxlovid in the treatment of SARS-COV-2. The relative and absolute effect sizes for the outcomes were calculated based on the data reported in the original intervention literature. The external applicability of the evidence was analysed in terms of clinical application scenarios, patient willingness, and cost utility. One interventional and three observational studies were conducted. Four studies published in 2022, had participation sample sizes ranging 1780-109,254. Based on the randomised controlled trial data, the risk of all-cause mortality, all-cause death, and hospitalisation was significantly reduced in the Paxlovid group. Serious adverse events were reduced during the study. Based on observational studies, Paxlovid can significantly reduce the risk of death and hospitalisation in older patients with COVID-19 (moderate certainty) and improve in-hospital disease progression, composite disease progression, and viral load (low certainty). Paxlovid did not improve the outcomes of death and hospitalisation (low certainty) in patients aged <65 years. As per the economic utility analysis, the economic cost of reducing one death dramatically decreased with increasing age. Early use of Paxlovid in the older adult population with COVID-19 is beneficial. However, in the setting of limited resources, Paxlovid should be prioritised for older patients.

Characteristics of circulating immune cells in HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure following artificial liver treatment.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Liver failure, which is predominantly caused by hepatitis B (HBV) can be improved by an artificial liver support system (ALSS). This study investigated the phenotypic heterogeneity of immunocytes in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) before and after ALSS therapy. METHODS: A total of 22 patients with HBV-ACLF who received ALSS therapy were included in the study. Patients with Grade I according to the ACLF Research Consortium score were considered to have improved. Demographic and laboratory data were collected and analyzed during hospitalization. Immunological features of peripheral blood in the patients before and after ALSS were detected by mass cytometry analyses. RESULTS: In total, 12 patients improved and 10 patients did not. According to the immunological features data after ALSS, the proportion of circulating monocytes was significantly higher in non-improved patients, but there were fewer γδT cells compared with those in improved patients. Characterization of 37 cell clusters revealed that the frequency of effector CD8+ T (P = 0.003), CD4+ TCM (P = 0.033), CD4+ TEM (P = 0.039), and inhibitory natural killer (NK) cells (P = 0.029) decreased in HBV-ACLF patients after ALSS therapy. Sub group analyses after treatment showed that the improved patients had higher proportions of CD4+ TCM (P = 0.010), CD4+ TEM (P = 0.021), and γδT cells (P = 0.003) and a lower proportion of monocytes (P = 0.012) compared with the non-improved patients. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in effector CD8+ T cells, effector and memory CD4+ T cells, and inhibitory NK cells are associated with ALSS treatment of HBV-ACLF. Moreover, monocytes and γδT cells exhibited the main differences when patients obtained different prognoses. The phenotypic heterogeneity of lymphocytes and monocytes may contribute to the prognosis of ALSS and future immunotherapy strategies.

Exhausted phenotype of circulating CD8+ T cell subsets in hepatitis B virus carriers.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is characterized by the presence of dysfunctional exhausted CD8+ T cells that hamper viral control. We investigated the phenotypic heterogeneity of exhausted CD8+ T cells in HBV carriers. METHODS: We enrolled 31 HBV carriers and 23 healthy controls (HCs) in our study. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were isolated, and flow cytometry was used to determine the phenotypic distribution of CD8+ T cell subsets. Expression of cytokines such as TNF-α and IFN-γ was detected by quantitative reverse transcription-PCR, a fluorescence flow cytometry-based immunomicrobead assay and flow cytometry. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in the baseline characteristics between the 31 HBV carriers and the 23 sex- and age-matched HCs. CD8+ T cells exhibited higher levels of inhibitory receptors (TIM3 and PD1) in the HBV carriers than in the HCs (P < 0.05); in particular, Tfc cells (CXCR5+CD25-) expressed higher levels of TIM3 and PD1 than non-Tfc cells in the HBV carriers. In addition, among the subsets of Tc cells, the Tc17 (CXCR5-CD25-CCR6+) subset displayed increased expression of TIM3 and LAG3 in the HBV carriers. Our findings further showed that CD8+ T cells produced lower levels of IFN-γ, TNF-α, and Granzyme B. Paired analysis of the Tfc subset and the Tc subset indicated that higher levels of cytokines (IFN-γ and TNF-α) were produced by the Tfc subset in the HBV carriers. Among the Tc subsets, the Tc17 subset produced lower levels of cytokines. CONCLUSION: The Tfc subset exhibited an enhanced exhausted phenotype but possessed some functional properties during chronic HBV infection, while the Tc subset showed a lower functional level. The identification of these unique subsets may provide a potential immunotherapeutic target in chronic HBV infection.

Global burden and trends of rotavirus infection-associated deaths from 1990 to 2019: an observational trend study.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus is the leading global pathogen of diarrhea-associated mortality and poses a great threat to public health in all age groups. This study aimed to explore the global burden and 30-year change patterns of rotavirus infection-associated deaths. METHODS: Based on the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study (GBD 2019), we analyzed the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of rotavirus infection by sex, geographical region, and sociodemographic index (SDI) from 1990 to 2019. A Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the global trends in rotavirus infection over the 30 years, SaTScan software was used to detect the spatial and temporal aggregations, and a generalized linear model to explore the relationship between sociodemographic factors and death rates of rotavirus infection. RESULTS: Globally, rotavirus infection was the leading cause of diarrheal deaths, accounting for 19.11% of deaths from diarrhea in 2019. Rotavirus caused a higher death burden in African, Oceanian, and South Asian countries in the past three decades. The ASDR of rotavirus declined from 11.39 (95% uncertainty interval [95% UI] 5.46-19.48) per 100,000 people in 1990 to 3.41 (95% UI 1.60-6.01) per 100,000 people in 2019, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) (- 4.07%, P < 0.05). However, a significant uptrend was found in high-income North America (AAPC = 1.79%, P < 0.05). The death rate was the highest among children under 5 years worldwide. However, the death rates of elderly individuals over 70 years were higher than those of children under 5 years in 2019 among high, high-middle, middle, and low-middle SDI regions. Current health expenditure, gross domestic product per capita, and the number of physicians per 1000 people were significantly negatively correlated with death rates of rotavirus. CONCLUSIONS: Although the global trends in the rotavirus burden have decreased substantially over the past three decades, the burden of rotavirus remained high in Africa, Oceania, and South Asia. Children under 5 years and elderly individuals over 70 years were the populations most at risk for rotavirus infection-associated deaths, especially elderly individuals over 70 years in relatively high SDI regions. More attention should be paid to these areas and populations, and effective public health policies should be implemented in the future.

Contact Settings and Risk for Transmission in 3410 Close Contacts of Patients With COVID-19 in Guangzhou, China : A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Risk for transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) to close contacts of infected persons has not been well estimated. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risk for transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to close contacts in different settings. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Close contacts of persons infected with SARS-CoV-2 in Guangzhou, China. PARTICIPANTS: 3410 close contacts of 391 index cases were traced between 13 January and 6 March 2020. Data on the setting of the exposure, reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction testing, and clinical characteristics of index and secondary cases were collected. MEASUREMENT: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases were confirmed by guidelines issued by China. Secondary attack rates in different settings were calculated. RESULTS: Among 3410 close contacts, 127 (3.7% [95% CI, 3.1% to 4.4%]) were secondarily infected. Of these 127 persons, 8 (6.3% [CI, 2.1% to 10.5%]) were asymptomatic. Of the 119 symptomatic cases, 20 (16.8%) were defined as mild, 87 (73.1%) as moderate, and 12 (10.1%) as severe or critical. Compared with the household setting (10.3%), the secondary attack rate was lower for exposures in health care settings (1.0%; odds ratio [OR], 0.09 [CI, 0.04 to 0.20]) and on public transportation (0.1%; OR, 0.01 [CI, 0.00 to 0.08]). The secondary attack rate increased with the severity of index cases, from 0.3% (CI, 0.0% to 1.0%) for asymptomatic to 3.3% (CI, 1.8% to 4.8%) for mild, 5.6% (CI, 4.4% to 6.8%) for moderate, and 6.2% (CI, 3.2% to 9.1%) for severe or critical cases. Index cases with expectoration were associated with higher risk for secondary infection (13.6% vs. 3.0% for index cases without expectoration; OR, 4.81 [CI, 3.35 to 6.93]). LIMITATION: There was potential recall bias regarding symptom onset among patients with COVID-19, and the symptoms and severity of index cases were not assessed at the time of exposure to contacts. CONCLUSION: Household contact was the main setting for transmission of SARS-CoV-2, and the risk for transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among close contacts increased with the severity of index cases. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Guangdong Province Higher Vocational Colleges and Schools Pearl River Scholar Funded Scheme.

Factors Associated With Fatality Due to Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Infection in China.

BACKGROUND: The high case fatality rate of influenza A(H7N9)-infected patients has been a major clinical concern. METHODS: To identify the common causes of death due to H7N9 as well as identify risk factors associated with the high inpatient mortality, we retrospectively collected clinical treatment information from 350 hospitalized human cases of H7N9 virus in mainland China during 2013-2017, of which 109 (31.1%) had died, and systematically analyzed the patients' clinical characteristics and risk factors for death. RESULTS: The median age at time of infection was 57 years, whereas the median age at time of death was 61 years, significantly older than those who survived. In contrast to previous studies, we found nosocomial infections comprising Acinetobacter baumannii and Klebsiella most commonly associated with secondary bacterial infections, which was likely due to the high utilization of supportive therapies, including mechanical ventilation (52.6%), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (14%), continuous renal replacement therapy (19.1%), and artificial liver therapy (9.7%). Age, time from illness onset to antiviral therapy initiation, and secondary bacterial infection were independent risk factors for death. Age >65 years, secondary bacterial infections, and initiation of neuraminidase-inhibitor therapy after 5 days from symptom onset were associated with increased risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: Death among H7N9 virus-infected patients occurred rapidly after hospital admission, especially among older patients, followed by severe hypoxemia and multisystem organ failure. Our results show that early neuraminidase-inhibitor therapy and reduction of secondary bacterial infections can help reduce mortality.Characterization of 350 hospitalized avian influenza A(H7N9)-infected patients in China shows that age >65 years, secondary bacterial infections, and initiation of neuraminidase-inhibitor therapy after 5 days from symptom onset were associated with increased risk of death.

Systematic review of the registered clinical trials for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

BACKGROUND: Since the outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), many researchers in China have performed related clinical research. However, systematic reviews of the registered clinical trials are still lacking. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review of clinical trials for COVID-19 to summarize their characteristics. METHODS: This study is based on the PRISMA recommendations in the Cochrane handbook. The Chinese Clinical Registration Center and the ClinicalTrials.gov databases were searched to identify registered clinical trials related to COVID-19. The retrieval inception date was February 9, 2020. Two researchers independently selected the literature based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, extracted data, and evaluated the risk of bias. RESULTS: A total of 75 registered clinical trials (63 interventional studies and 12 observational studies) for COVID-19 were identified. The majority of clinical trials were sponsored by Chinese hospitals. Only 11 trials have begun to recruit patients, and none of the registered clinical trials have been completed; 34 trials were early clinical exploratory trials or in the pre-experiment stage, 13 trials were phase III, and four trials were phase IV. The intervention methods included traditional Chinese medicine in 26 trials, Western medicine in 30 trials, and integrated traditional Chinese medicine and Western medicine in 19 trials. The subjects were primarily non-critical adult patients (≥ 18 years old). The median sample size of the trials was 100 (IQR: 60-200), and the median length of the trial periods was 179 d (IQR: 94-366 d). The main outcomes were clinical observation and examinations. Overall, the methodological quality of both the interventional trials and observational studies was low. CONCLUSIONS: Intensive clinical trials on the treatment of COVID-19 using traditional Chinese medicine and Western medicine are ongoing or will be performed in China. However, based on the uncertain methodological quality, small sample size, and long trial duration, we will not be able to obtain reliable, high-quality clinical evidence regarding the treatment of COVID-19 in the near future. Improving the quality of study design, prioritizing promising drugs, and using different designs and statistical methods are worth advocating and recommending for clinical trials of COVID-19 in the future.

The Burden of Chronic Hepatitis C in China From 2004 to 2050: An Individual-Based Modeling Study.

The launch of new direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is expected to substantially reduce the burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in China. However, the effect of these changes has not yet been modeled in China. Therefore, we aim to predict the burden of HCV-related diseases in China by simulating different scenarios that incorporate recent therapeutic advances of HCV and China's current screening strategy. We developed an individual-based microsimulation Markov model that simulated disease progression of HCV-infected patients in China from 2004 to 2050. We simulated four scenarios with different assumptions about treatment, including a natural history scenario, a pre-DAAs scenario, a DAA treatment for all patients with a METAVIR fibrosis score ≥F3 (DAAs [≥F3]) scenario, and a DAAs (≥F0) scenario. The introduction of DAAs is predicted to have great impacts on the burden of HCV in China, particularly under the DAAs (≥F0) scenario in which we rapidly expand DAAs to all HCV-infected patients (≥F0) in 2021. Under this scenario, prevalence of chronic HCV is expected to peak at 10.75 million (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.30-12.85) around 2020 and then decrease to 7.92 million (95% CI, 5.41-10.08) in 2050. Conclusion: If the future increasing burden of HCV-related diseases is to be averted, China needs to start launching the new DAA treatment and rapidly increase the number of patients treated. However, to maximize the benefits of new DAAs, expanded screening is necessary to identify more cases that require treatment in the short term. Without these changes, the HCV burden in China will remain high in the future.

Disease burden of chronic hepatitis B and complications in China from 2006 to 2050: an individual-based modeling study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B has become a major public health problem in China. An accurate depiction of the disease burden has not yet been thoroughly conducted. We aimed to project the disease burden of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and related complications by modeling various scenarios. METHOD: An individual-based Markov model was used to predict disease burden from 2006 through 2050. We simulated 5 scenarios with different annual incidences, diagnoses and nucleotide analog (NA) treatment rates as well as treatment eligibility, which included a natural history without diagnosis or NA therapy, a base case, a World Health Organization (WHO)-proposed target case and two ideal cases. RESULT: The natural history scenario is projected to have the fewest HBsAg losses (27.59 million) and highest number of HBV-related deaths (27.19 million). With improved diagnosis and treatment rates of NA therapy, ideal cases have fewer HBV-related deaths (14.46-14.77 million) than do WHO-proposed cases (15.13 million) and base cases (16.89 million), but the proportion of HBsAg loss is similar among them. With a reduction in new infections, the prevalence of chronic HBV in 2050 is expected to be a minimum of 27.03-27.49 million under WHO and ideal cases. CONCLUSION: Ideal scenarios 1 and 2 contribute to the lowest disease burden of HBV and its complications in the future, in which new infection control is more effective than increasing diagnosis, treatment rate and treatment eligibility. However, considering the large existing chronic HBV infected population and the low HBsAg loss rate of NA therapy, it is still difficult to avert the increasing trend of cumulative cirrhosis, DC, HCC, LT, and HBV-related death in all scenarios. If new high-potency drugs are not developed, the disease burden of chronic HBV will remain high in the future.

Changing trends in viral hepatitis mortality in East and Southeast Asia between 1987 and 2015 and its prediction until 2030.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Trends in long-term mortality rates for viral hepatitis in East and Southeast Asia have been rarely reported. The aim of our study was to explore the long-term trends in viral hepatitis mortality rates in East and Southeast Asian countries between 1987 and 2015 and provide predictions of mortality to 2030. METHODS: We obtained viral hepatitis mortality data from the WHO Mortality Database for six East and Southeast Asian countries between 1987 and 2015. We produced choropleth maps of viral hepatitis mortality rates in 1987 and 2015 in East and Southeast Asia to illustrate geographic variations. We made predictions of mortality rates for each included country until the year 2030 using a series of joinpoint models. RESULTS: Viral hepatitis mortality rates declined in China (the average annual percent change (AAPC) = -5.1%, 95% CI: -7.5, -2.6), Singapore (AAPC = -5.4%, 95% CI: -7.5, -3.2), and the Philippines (AAPC = -3.4%, 95% CI: -4.9, -1.8). In contrast, Japan, the Republic of Korea, and Malaysia have experienced increasing trends in mortality rates, followed by decreasing trends. Our predictions indicate that all countries will experience slight to moderate downward trends until 2030. CONCLUSION: Favourable decreasing trends have been noted in East and Southeast Asian countries, which may not only inform the control and management of viral hepatitis in this region but also guide the prevention of viral hepatitis deaths in another region with a similar viral hepatitis epidemic.

Malaria in China: a longitudinal population-based surveillance study.

This study aims to ascertain the long-term epidemic trends of malaria and evaluates the probability of achieving the eradication goal by 2020 in China. Data on malaria incidence and deaths were extracted from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. The epidemic trends by sex, age and spatial distribution and predictions of malaria were estimated by using Joinpoint and Poisson regressions. From 1950 to 2016, 227 668 374 malaria cases were reported in China, with an annualised average incidence of 337.02 (336.98-337.07, 95% confidence interval (CI)) per 100 000 population. The incidence decreased with an average annual per cent change (AAPC) of -11.4% (-16.6 to -6.0). There were 36 085 malaria deaths, with an annualised average mortality of 0.534 (0.529-0.540) per 1 000 000 population. The mortality decreased with an AAPC of -8.7% (-13.7 to -3.4). The predicted number of malaria cases and deaths for 2020 is 2 562 and 10, respectively, and zero for indigenous cases. The disease burden of malaria dramatically decreased in China. Though, the goal of malaria elimination is realistic by 2020 in China, routine clinical and entomological surveillance should be continually conducted, especially for the cross-border areas and imported malaria cases.

Patterns and Trends of Liver Cancer Incidence Rates in Eastern and Southeastern Asian Countries (1983-2007) and Predictions to 2030.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We examined temporal trends in liver cancer incidence rates overall and by histological type from 1983 through 2007. We predict trends in liver cancer incidence rates through 2030 for selected Eastern and Southeastern Asian countries. METHODS: Data on yearly liver cancer incident cases by age group and sex were drawn from 6 major selected Eastern and Southeastern Asian countries or regions with cancer registries available in the CI5plus database, including China, Japan, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR), the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. We also analyzed data for the United States and Australia for comparative purposes. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated and plotted from 1983 through 2007. Numbers of new cases and incidence rates were predicted through 2030 by fitting and extrapolating age-period-cohort models. RESULTS: The incidence rates of liver cancer have been decreasing, and decreases will continue in all selected Eastern and Southeastern Asian countries, except for Thailand, whose liver cancer incidence rate will increase due to the increasing incidence rate of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas. Even though the incidence rates of liver cancer are predicted to decrease in most Eastern and Southeastern Asian countries, the burden, in terms of new cases, will continue to increase because of population growth and aging. CONCLUSIONS: Based on an analysis of data from cancer registries from Asian countries, incidence rates of liver cancer are expected to decrease through 2030 in most Eastern and Southeastern Asian countries. However, in Thailand, the incidence rate of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas is predicted to increase, so health education programs are necessary.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes during a severe influenza season in China during 2017-2018.

BACKGROUND: A severe seasonal influenza epidemic was observed during 2017-2018 in China, prompting questions on clinical characteristics and outcomes of severe cases with influenza. METHODS: We retrospectively collected clinical data and outcomes of laboratory-confirmed hospitalized patients (severe to critical) during Jan-2011 to Feb-2018 from five hospitals, followed by a systematic analysis of cases from 2017 to 2018 (n = 289) and all previous epidemics during 2011-2017 (n = 169). RESULTS: In-hospital fatality was over 5-folds higher during the 2017-2018 (p < 0.01) in which 19 patients died (6.6%), whereas only 2 mortalities (1.2%) were observed during 2011-2017. Of the 289 hospitalized in 2017-2018, 153 were confirmed with influenza B virus, 110 with A/H1N1pdm09, and 26 A/H3N2, whereas A/H1N1pdm09 was the predominant cause of hospitalization in previous seasons combined (45%). Fatal cases in 2017-2018 were exclusively associated with either influenza B or A/H1N1pdm09. Our results show that a significant lower proportion of patients aged 14 or greater were treated with oseltamivir, during the 2017-2018 epidemic, and exhibited higher levels of clinical severity. CONCLUSIONS: In-hospital fatality rate might be significantly higher in the 2017-2018 season in China. A sufficient supply of oseltamivir and antiviral therapy within 48 h from onset could reduce fatality rates.

Establishment and development of national community-based collaborative innovation demonstration areas to achieve the control target of hepatitis B in China.

BACKGROUND: The major infectious diseases of hepatitis B has constituted an acute public health challenge in China. An effective and affordable HBV control model is urgently needed. A national project of Community-based Collaborative Innovation HBV (CCI-HBV) demonstration areas has optimized the existing community healthcare resources and obtained initial results in HBV control. METHODS: Based on the existing community healthcare network, CCI-HBV project combined the community health management and health contract signing service for long-staying residents in hepatitis B screening. Moreover, HBV field research strategy was popularized in CCI-HBV areas. After screening, patients with seropositive results were enrolled in corresponding cohorts and received treatment at an early stage. And the uninfected people received medical supports including health education through new media, behavior intervention and HBV vaccinations. In this process, a cloud-based National Information Platform (NIP) was established to collect and store residents' epidemiological data. In addition, a special quality control team was set up for CCI project. RESULTS: After two rounds of screening, HBsAg positive rate dropped from 5.05% (with 5,173,003 people screened) to 4.57% (with 3,819,675 people screened), while the rate of new HBV infections was 0.28 per 100 person-years in the fixed cohorts of 2,584,322 people. The quality control team completed PPS sampling simultaneously and established the serum sample database with 2,800,000 serum samples for unified testing. CONCLUSIONS: CCI-HBV project has established a large-scale field research to conduct whole-population screening and intervention. We analyzed the HBsAg prevalence and new infection rate of HBV in the fixed population for the epidemic trend and intervention effect. The purpose of CCI-HBV project is to establish and evaluate a practical model of grid management and field strategy, to realize the new goal to control hepatitis B in China. To provide policymakers with a feasible model, our results are directly applicable. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The project was funded by the Major Projects of Science Research for the 11th and 12th five-year plans of China, entitled "The prevention and control of AIDS, viral hepatitis and other major infectious diseases", Grant Nos. 2009ZX10004901, 2011ZX10004901, 2013ZX10004904, 2014ZX10004007 and 2014ZX10004008.

Benefit of Early Initiation of Neuraminidase Inhibitor Treatment to Hospitalized Patients With Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus.

Background: The significance of early neuraminidase inhibitor (NAI) therapy for treating influenza A(H7N9) is currently unknown. Methods: The duration of viral shedding was monitored by reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction after patients with confirmed H7N9 infection were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, during April 2013-April 2017. Indices such as the length of hospitalization and mortality were collected, and the correlation between the time of administration of NAI and the severity of disease was systematically analyzed. Results: One hundred sixty patients with confirmed H7N9 infection were divided into 3 groups according to NAI starting time. Three of 20 (15%) patients for whom NAI was administered within 2 days died compared with 12 of 52 (23.1%) patients who received treatment within 2-5 days and 33 of 88 (37.5%) patients who were treated after 5 days (P < .05). The median durations of viral shedding from NAI therapy initiation was 4.5 days (interquartile range [IQR], 3-9 days) for patients who took antiviral medication within 2 days, which was significantly different from that for patients who took medication within 2-5 days (7.5 days [IQR, 4.25-12.75 days]) or after 5 days (7 days [IQR, 5-10 days]) (P < .05). We found that the duration of viral shedding from NAI therapy was the shortest in spring 2013 (5.5 days) and the longest in winter-spring 2016-2017 (8.5 days) (P < .05), showing a prolonged trend. Conclusions: Early NAI therapy within 2 days of illness shortened the duration of viral shedding and improved survival in patients with H7N9 viral infection.

Effect of probiotic treatment on cirrhotic patients with minimal hepatic encephalopathy: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) is an early and reversible form of hepatic encephalopathy. The documentations on the treatment with probiotics are inconsistent. The present meta-analysis was to verify the role of probiotics in the treatment of cirrhotic patients with MHE. DATA SOURCES: Seven electronic databases were searched for relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published until July 2015. The effects of probiotics on serum ammonia, endotoxin, and MHE were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 14 RCTs (combined n = 1132) were included in the meta-analysis. When probiotics were compared to placebo or no treatment, probiotics were more likely to reduce values in the number connection test (NCT; week 4: MD = -30.25, 95% CI: -49.85 to -10.66), improve MHE (week 4: OR = 0.18, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.47; week 12: OR = 0.15, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.32), and prevent overt HE progression (week 4: OR = 0.22, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.67) in patients with liver cirrhosis. When probiotics was compared to lactulose, probiotics tended to reduce serum ammonia levels (week 4: MD = -0.33 µmol/L, 95% CI: -5.39 to 4.74; week 8: MD = 6.22 µmol/L, 95% CI: -24.04 to 36.48), decrease NCT (week 8: MD = 3.93, 95% CI: -0.72 to 8.58), improve MHE (week 4: OR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.45 to 1.91; week 12: OR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.35 to 1.51) and prevent the development of overt HE (week 4: OR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.17 to 5.44; week 12: OR = 2.7, 95% CI: 0.50 to 14.64) in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, lactulose appears to be more effective in reducing NCT values as compared to probiotics (week 4: MD = 6.7, 95% CI: 0.58 to 12.82). CONCLUSION: Probiotics can decrease serum ammonia and endotoxin levels, improve MHE, and prevent overt HE development in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Pneumonia Mortality in Children Aged <5 Years in 56 Countries: A Retrospective Analysis of Trends from 1960 to 2012.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is now the second leading cause of death for children aged <5 years worldwide. However, analyses of the long-term evolution of under-5 mortality from pneumonia are still scarce in the literature. We aimed to explore long-term trends of under-5 mortality from pneumonia in 56 countries from 1960 to 2012. METHODS: Data on under-5 mortality from pneumonia were extracted from the World Health Organization mortality database. Long-term trends were assessed for 56 countries and for 4 national income transition groups. We also used joinpoint regression analysis to detect distinct period segments of long-term trends and estimate the annual percent of changes of each period segment. RESULTS: The average mortality rate from pneumonia for children aged 0-4 years in 56 countries declined from 163.0 per 100000 children (95% confidence interval [CI], 119.4 to 212.8) in 1960 to 9.9 per 100000 children (95% CI, 6.4 to 13.4) in 2012, with an average annual percent of change of -5.6% (95% CI, -7.2% to -3.9%). The temporal trends of childhood mortality were different between national income transition groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest a striking overall downward trend in under-5 mortality from pneumonia between 1960 and 2012. However, the rate and absolute terms of decline differ by national income transition group. These variable patterns between national income transition groups may inform further intervention setting and priority setting.

Tuberculosis in China: A longitudinal predictive model of the general population and recommendations for achieving WHO goals.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major public health challenge. China accounts for more than 10% of the global TB burden, and effective modelling of TB trends remains limited. METHODS: We used data drawn primarily from two Chinese nation-wide cross-sectional epidemiological surveys combined with data from China's National Disease Reporting Network to construct an eight-state Markov model that simulates TB prevalence. By adjusting the relevant parameters, we evaluated which characteristics have the greatest bearing upon prevalence and efficacy of the response measures. RESULTS: If current trends continue, the prevalence of TB in China will enter an 8-year period of decline from approximately 390 to 200 cases per 100 000 population and stabilize at 163 cases per 100 000 population, which is a figure well above the World Health Organization (WHO) goal of eliminating TB by 2050. We find that the proportion of notified cases in the population, the rate of progression from latent to active and the overall treatment success rate are the chief factors affecting disease progression. CONCLUSION: We suggest a 90-90-90 strategy, wherein the proportion of notified cases in the population reaches 90%, the risk of progression from latent to active is decreased by 90% compared with the current level and the overall treatment success rate is increased to 90%. This strategy could reduce TB prevalence to less than 10 cases per 100 000 population within 5 years and to 1.77 cases per 100 000 population within 50 years.

Tissue transglutaminase 2 exerts a tumor-promoting role in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a major risk factor which can lead to development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Tissue transglutaminase-2 (TG2) has been shown to be critical for cancer progression. However, how TG2 promotes the progression of HBV-related HCC remains unknown. In this study, we aimed to explore the expression and function of TG2 on HBV-related HCC progression. The expression levels of TG2 were examined in a series of HBV-related HCC tissues and a panel of HCC cell lines. The effects of TG2 knockdown on the proliferation and migration of HBV-related cells were determined. TG2 expression was found to be significantly upregulated in HBV-related HCC tissues. TG2 expression was higher in HBV-related HCC cell lines than HBV-unrelated HCC cell lines. Moreover, inhibition of TG2 in HCC cell lines HepG2.2.15 and Hep3B could inhibit cell proliferation, migration, and invasion in vitro. Our results indicated that TG2 could serve as a promising target for treatment of HBV-related HCC patients.

Avian-origin influenza A(H7N9) infection in influenza A(H7N9)-affected areas of China: a serological study.

Serological surveillance conducted in areas of an outbreak of influenza A(H7N9) infection in China found no seropositivity for antibodies specific for avian-origin influenza A(H7N9) among 1129 individuals of the general population, whereas >6% of 396 poultry workers were positive (on the basis of a hemagglutination inhibition titer of ≥ 80) for this subtype, confirming that infected poultry is the principal source of human infections and that subclinical infections are possible. Fourteen days after symptom onset, elevated levels of antibodies to A(H7N9) were found in 65.8% of patients (25/38) who survived but in only 28.6% of those (2/7) who died, suggesting that the presence of antibodies may improve clinical outcome in infected patients.