Predicting clinical progression trajectories of early Alzheimer's disease patients.

BACKGROUND: Models for forecasting individual clinical progression trajectories in early Alzheimer's disease (AD) are needed for optimizing clinical studies and patient monitoring. METHODS: Prediction models were constructed using a clinical trial training cohort (TC; n = 934) via a gradient boosting algorithm and then evaluated in two validation cohorts (VC 1, n = 235; VC 2, n = 421). Model inputs included baseline clinical features (cognitive function assessments, APOE ε4 status, and demographics) and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures. RESULTS: The model using clinical features achieved R2 of 0.21 and 0.31 for predicting 2-year cognitive decline in VC 1 and VC 2, respectively. Adding MRI features improved the R2 to 0.29 in VC 1, which employed the same preprocessing pipeline as the TC. Utilizing these model-based predictions for clinical trial enrichment reduced the required sample size by 20% to 49%. DISCUSSION: Our validated prediction models enable baseline prediction of clinical progression trajectories in early AD, benefiting clinical trial enrichment and various applications.

Plasma pTau217 predicts continuous brain amyloid levels in preclinical and early Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the potential of phosphorylated plasma Tau217 ratio (pTau217R) and plasma amyloid beta (Aß) 42/Aß40 in predicting brain amyloid levels measured by positron emission tomography (PET) Centiloid (CL) for Alzheimer's disease (AD) staging and screening. METHODS: Quantification of plasma pTau217R and Aß42/Aß40 employed immunoprecipitation-mass spectrometry. CL prediction models were developed on a cohort of 904 cognitively unimpaired, preclinical and early AD subjects and validated on two independent cohorts. RESULTS: Models integrating pTau217R outperformed Aß42/Aß40 alone, predicting amyloid levels up to 89.1 CL. High area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values (89.3% to 94.7%) were observed across a broad CL range (15 to 90). Utilizing pTau217R-based models for low amyloid levels reduced PET scans by 70.5% to 78.6%. DISCUSSION: pTau217R effectively predicts brain amyloid levels, surpassing cerebrospinal fluid Aß42/Aß40's range. Combining it with plasma Aß42/Aß40 enhances sensitivity for low amyloid detection, reducing unnecessary PET scans and expanding clinical utility. HIGHLIGHTS: Phosphorylated plasma Tau217 ratio (pTau217R) effectively predicts amyloid-PET Centiloid (CL) across a broad spectrum. Integrating pTau217R with Aß42/Aß40 extends the CL prediction upper limit to 89.1 CL. Combined model predicts amyloid status with high accuracy, especially in cognitively unimpaired individuals. This model identifies subjects above or below various CL thresholds with high accuracy. pTau217R-based models significantly reduce PET scans by up to 78.6% for screening out individuals with no/low amyloid.

Inherited variants at 3q13.33 and 3p24.1 are associated with risk of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and implicate immune pathways.

We previously identified five single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at four susceptibility loci for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in individuals of European ancestry through a large genome-wide association study (GWAS). To further elucidate genetic susceptibility to DLBCL, we sought to validate two loci at 3q13.33 and 3p24.1 that were suggestive in the original GWAS with additional genotyping. In the meta-analysis (5662 cases and 9237 controls) of the four original GWAS discovery scans and three replication studies, the 3q13.33 locus (rs9831894; minor allele frequency [MAF] = 0.40) was associated with DLBCL risk [odds ratio (OR) = 0.83, P = 3.62 × 10-13]. rs9831894 is in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with additional variants that are part of a super-enhancer that physically interacts with promoters of CD86 and ILDR1. In the meta-analysis (5510 cases and 12 817 controls) of the four GWAS discovery scans and four replication studies, the 3p24.1 locus (rs6773363; MAF = 0.45) was also associated with DLBCL risk (OR = 1.20, P = 2.31 × 10-12). This SNP is 29 426-bp upstream of the nearest gene EOMES and in LD with additional SNPs that are part of a highly lineage-specific and tumor-acquired super-enhancer that shows long-range interaction with AZI2 promoter. These loci provide additional evidence for the role of immune function in the etiology of DLBCL, the most common lymphoma subtype.

Immune checkpoint-related serum proteins and genetic variants predict outcomes of localized prostate cancer, a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The clinical predictors and biological mechanisms for localized prostate cancer (PCa) outcomes remain mostly unknown. We aim to evaluate the role of serum immune-checkpoint-related (ICK) proteins and genetic variations in predicting outcomes of localized PCa. METHODS: We profiled the serum levels of 14 ICK-related proteins (BTLA, GITR, HVEM, IDO, LAG-3, PD-1, PD-L1, PD-L2, Tim-3, CD28, CD80, 4-1BB, CD27, and CTLA-4) in 190 patients with localized PCa. The genotypes of 97 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from 19 ICK-related genes were analyzed in an extended population (N = 1762). Meta-data from ArrayExpress and TCGA was employed to validate and to probe functional data. Patients were enrolled and tumor aggressiveness, biochemical recurrence (BCR), and progression information were obtained. Statistical analyses were performed analyzing associations between serum biomarkers, genotypes, mRNA and outcomes. RESULTS: We showed that serum (s)BTLA and sTIM3 levels were associated with PCa aggressiveness (P < 0.05). sCD28, sCD80, sCTLA4, sGITR, sHVEM and sIDO correlated with both BCR and progression risks (all P < 0.05). We further identified ICK variants were significantly associated with aggressiveness, BCR and progression. Among them, 4 SNPs located in CD80 (rs7628626, rs12695388, rs491407, rs6804441) were not only associated with BCR and progression risk, but also correlated with sCD80 level (P < 0.01). rs491407 was further validated in an independent cohort. The CD80 mRNA expression was associated with BCR (HR, 1.85, 95% CI 1.06-3.22, P = 0.03) in meta-analysis of validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: We highlight the prognostic value of serum ICK-related proteins for predicting aggressiveness, BCR and progression of PCa. The genetic variations and mRNA expression in CD80 could be predictors and potential targets of localized PCa.

Allostatic score and its associations with demographics, healthy behaviors, tumor characteristics, and mitochondrial DNA among breast cancer patients.

INTRODUCTION: Allostatic load (AL), a composite index, has been used to capture variation in life-course stresses. However, few studies have been carried out among breast cancer patients. METHODS: In this study, we examined the cross-sectional association of AL with demographics, healthy behaviors, tumor characteristics, and mitochondrial DNA copy number in breast cancer patients. The study used a sub-sample of 934 women with newly diagnosed breast cancer at M.D. Anderson from 2013 to 2018. To construct the AL score, the study used a battery of seventeen factors that represents the activity of five physiological systems: metabolic, cardiovascular, immunological, renal, and liver. RESULTS: AL was positively associated with the age of disease diagnosis (P = 0.002), and was higher in Black and Hispanic populations than White (P = 0.001 and 0.032, respectively). AL was also found more abundant in those who experienced marital dissolution (P = 0.006), lacked a college education (P = 0.045), currently smoked (P = 0.011), and had low levels of physical activity (P = 0.037) than their counterparts. The study then found that higher AL was associated with increased odds of having poorly differentiated tumors (Odds ratio (OR): 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.28, 1.62). An additional significant association was observed between AL with estrogen receptor negative (ER-) (OR = 1.56, 95%CI: 1.02, 2.36) among Black patients. Finally, we observed a significant positive correlation between AL with leukocyte mitochondrial DNA copy number variation (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude AL is influenced by selected demographics and healthy behaviors, and further is correlated with tumor characteristics and mitochondrial DNA copy number in breast cancer patients.

Impact of Wuhan lockdown on the spread of COVID-19 in China: a study based on the data of population mobility.

This study aimed to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of the Wuhan lockdown measure on controlling the spread of coronavirus diesase 2019 (COVID-19). : Firstly，estimate the daily new infection rate in Wuhan before January 23，2020 when the city went into lockdown by consulting the data of Wuhan population mobility and the number of cases imported from Wuhan in 217 cities of Mainland China. Then estimate what the daily new infection rate would have been in Wuhan from January 24 to January 30th if the lockdown measure had been delayed for 7 days，assuming that the daily new infection in Wuhan after January 23 increased in a high，moderate and low trend respectively (using exponential, linear and logarithm growth models). Based on that，calculate the number of infection cases imported from Wuhan during this period. Finally，predict the possible impact of 7-day delayed lockdown in Wuhan on the epidemic situation in China using the susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) model. : The daily new infection rate in Wuhan was estimated to be 0.021%，0.026%，0.029%，0.033% and 0.070% respectively from January 19 to January 23. And there were at least 20 066 infection cases in Wuhan by January 23，2020. If Wuhan lockdown measure had been delayed for 7 days，the daily new infection rate on January 30 would have been 0.335% in the exponential growth model，0.129% in the linear growth model，and 0.070% in the logarithm growth model. Correspondingly，there would have been 32 075，24 819 and 20 334 infection cases travelling from Wuhan to other areas of Mainland China，and the number of cumulative confirmed cases as of March 19 in Mainland China would have been 3.3-3.9 times of the officially reported number. Conclusions: Timely taking city-level lockdown measure in Wuhan in the early stage of COVID-19 outbreak is essential in containing the spread of the disease in China.

Impact of socioeconomic status，population mobility and control measures on COVID-10 development in major cities of China.

:To evaluate the impact of socioeconomic status，population mobility，prevention and control measures on the early-stage coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) development in major cities of China. : The rate of daily new confirmed COVID-19 cases in the 51 cities with the largest number of cumulative confirmed cases as of February 19，2020 (except those in Hubei province) were collected and analyzed using the time series cluster analysis. It was then assessed according to three aspects，that is, socioeconomic status，population mobility，and control measures for the pandemic. : According to the analysis on the 51 cities，4 development patterns of COVID-19 were obtained，including a high-incidence pattern (in Xinyu)，a late high-incidence pattern (in Ganzi)，a moderate incidence pattern (in Wenzhou and other 12 cities)，and a low and stable incidence pattern (in Hangzhou and other 35 cities). Cities with different types and within the same type both had different scores on the three aspects. : There were relatively large difference on the COVID-19 development among different cities in China，possibly affected by socioeconomic status，population mobility and prevention and control measures that were taken. Therefore，a timely public health emergency response and travel restriction measures inside the city can interfere the development of the pandemic. Population flow from high risk area can largely affect the number of cumulative confirmed cases.

Predicting COVID-19 epidemiological trend by applying population mobility data in two-stage modeling.

:To predict the epidemiological trend of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) by mathematical modeling based on the population mobility and the epidemic prevention and control measures. : As of February 8，2020，the information of 151 confirmed cases in Yueqing，Zhejiang province were obtained，including patients' infection process，population mobility between Yueqing and Wuhan，etc. To simulate and predict the development trend of COVID-19 in Yueqing, the study established two-stage mathematical models，integrating the population mobility data with the date of symptom appearance of confirmed cases and the transmission dynamics of imported and local cases. : It was found that in the early stage of the pandemic，the number of daily imported cases from Wuhan (using the date of symptom appearance) was positively associated with the number of population travelling from Wuhan to Yueqing on the same day and 6 and 9 days before that. The study predicted that the final outbreak size in Yueqing would be 170 according to the number of imported cases estimated by consulting the population number travelling from Wuhan to Yueqing and the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model; while the number would be 165 if using the reported daily number of imported cases. These estimates were close to the 170，the actual monitoring number of cases in Yueqing as of April 27，2020. : The two-stage modeling approach used in this study can accurately predict COVID-19 epidemiological trend.

Genetic variants in epithelial-mesenchymal transition genes as predictors of clinical outcomes in localized prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) plays a pivotal role in the progression of prostate cancer (PCa). However, little is known about genetic variants in the EMT pathway as predictors of aggressiveness, biochemical recurrence (BCR) and disease reclassification in localized PCa. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this multistage study, we evaluated 5186 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from 264 genes related to EMT pathway to identify SNPs associated with PCa aggressiveness and BCR in the MD Anderson PCa (MDA-PCa) patient cohort (N = 1762), followed by assessment of the identified SNPs with disease reclassification in the active surveillance (AS) cohort (N = 392). RESULTS: In the MDA-PCa cohort, 312 SNPs were associated with high D'Amico risk (P < 0.05), among which, 14 SNPs in 10 genes were linked to BCR risk. In the AS cohort, 2 of 14 identified SNPs (rs76779889 and rs7083961) in C-terminal Binding Proteins 2 gene were associated with reclassification risk. The associations of rs76779889 with different endpoints were: D'Amico high versus low, odds ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 2.89 (1.32-6.34), P = 0.008; BCR, hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) = 2.88 (1.42-5.85), P = 0.003; and reclassification, HR (95% CI) = 2.83 (1.40-5.74), P = 0.004. For rs7083961, the corresponding risk estimates were: D'Amico high versus low, odds ratio (95% CI) = 1.69 (1.12-2.57), P = 0.013; BCR, HR (95% CI) = 1.87 (1.15-3.02), P = 0.011 and reclassification, HR (95% CI) = 1.72 (1.09-2.72), P = 0.020. There were cumulative effects of these two SNPs on modulating these endpoints. CONCLUSION: Genetic variants in EMT pathway may influence the risks of localized PCa's aggressiveness, BCR and disease reclassification, suggesting their potential role in the assessment and management of localized PCa.

Patterns of racial/ethnic disparities in baseline health-related quality of life and relationship with overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: Racial disparities are evident in colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis with black patients experiencing worse outcomes than Hispanics and whites, yet mediators of these disparities are not fully known. The aim of this study is to identify variables that contribute to racial/ethnic disparities in health-related quality of life (HR-QoL) and overall survival in CRC. METHODS: Using SF-12 questionnaires, we assessed HR-QoL in 1132 CRC patients by calculating their physical (PCS) and mental composite summary (MCS) scores. Associations between poor PCS/MCS and sociodemographic factors were estimated and survival differences were identified by race/ethnicity. RESULTS: Hispanic patients who never married were at greater risk of poor PCS (OR 2.69; 95% CI 1.11-6.49; P = 0.028) than were currently married patients. College education was associated with a decreased risk of poor PCS in Hispanic and white, but not black, patients. Gender was significantly associated with poor MCS among white patients only. CRC patients who reported a poor PCS or MCS had poor survival, with differences in median survival times (MSTs) by race. The effect of PCS was strongest in white CRC patients with a difference in overall MST of > 116 months between those with favorable versus poor physical HR-QoL. Black patients who reported poor Physical and Mental HR-QoL showed significant risk of a poor outcome. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that racial/ethnic disparities in CRC survival may be related to differences in HR-QoL. Identified mediators of HR-QoL could supplement current CRC management strategies to improve patients' survival.

Circulating obesity-driven biomarkers are associated with risk of clear cell renal cell carcinoma: a two-stage, case-control study.

Obesity is one of modifiable risk factors for clear cell renal cell cancer (ccRCC). We aim to identify the association between obesity-driven biomarkers and ccRCC risk. This is a retrospective, two-phase, case-control study involving 682 cases and 733 controls. Obesity-driven biomarkers [gastric inhibitory polypeptide (GIP), C-peptide, insulin, resistin, adipsin, peptide YY, pancreatic polypeptide, interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1, lipocalin2, leptin, adiponectin] were measured using the Milliplex method. Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess the associations between biomarkers and ccRCC risk. Results revealed that GIP, C-peptide, IL-6 and TNF-α levels were consistently distinct between cases and controls. These markers were significantly associated with ccRCC risk in both phases (except C-peptide). In the combined population, compared with individuals with low levels of the biomarkers, individuals with high level of GIP [odds ratio (OR) = 0.52, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40-0.67] had lower risk, whereas individuals with high levels of C-peptide (OR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.15-1.87), IL-6 (OR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.50-3.22), TNF-α (OR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.49-2.43) had significantly higher risk. Stratified analysis showed consistent associations with ccRCC risk in most subgroups (P < 0.05). The risk score based on the IL-6, TNF-α and GIP was positively associated with ccRCC risk in a dose-response manner (P for trend = 2.18E-13). Data from The Cancer Genome Atlas indicate that insulin signaling, IL-6 signaling and TNF-α signaling were enhanced in tumors. Collectively, our study demonstrates the integrative effect of insulin resistance and inflammation in ccRCC development, which may elucidate the basis of association between obesity and carcinogenesis. Further confirmation in prospective cohort studies are warranted for clinical applications in prevention and precision medicine of ccRCC.

A 5-microRNA signature identified from serum microRNA profiling predicts survival in patients with advanced stage non-small cell lung cancer.

Circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) are potential biomarkers for cancer diagnosis, screening and prognosis. This study aimed to identify serum miRNAs as predictors of survival in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We profiled serum miRNAs in a pilot set of four patients with good survival (>24 months) and four patients with poor survival (<6 months). We selected 140 stably detectable miRNAs and 42 miRNAs reported in literature for further analysis. Expression of these 182 miRNAs was measured using high-throughput polymerase chain reaction assay, and their association with 3-year survival in the discovery (n = 345) and validation (n = 177) cohorts was assessed. Five serum miRNAs (miR-191, miR-28-3p, miR-145, miR-328 and miR-18a) were significantly associated with 3-year overall survival in both cohorts. A combined 5-miRNA risk score was created to assess the cumulative impact of these miRNAs on risk of death. Quartile analysis of the risk score showed significant association with 3-year death risk, with a 4.6-, 6.8- and 9.3-month reduction in median survival time for the second, third and fourth quartiles, respectively. Survival tree analysis also identified distinct risk groups with different 3-year survival durations. Data from The Cancer Genome Atlas revealed all five miRNAs were differentially expressed (P < 0.0001) in paired tumor and normal tissues. Pathway analysis indicated that target genes of these five miRNAs were mainly enriched in inflammatory/immune response pathways and pathways implicated in resistance to chemoradiotherapy and/or targeted therapy. Our results suggested that the 5-miRNA signature could serve as a prognostic predictor in patients with advanced NSCLC.

The influence of obesity-related factors in the etiology of renal cell carcinoma-A mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Several obesity-related factors have been associated with renal cell carcinoma (RCC), but it is unclear which individual factors directly influence risk. We addressed this question using genetic markers as proxies for putative risk factors and evaluated their relation to RCC risk in a mendelian randomization (MR) framework. This methodology limits bias due to confounding and is not affected by reverse causation. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Genetic markers associated with obesity measures, blood pressure, lipids, type 2 diabetes, insulin, and glucose were initially identified as instrumental variables, and their association with RCC risk was subsequently evaluated in a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 10,784 RCC patients and 20,406 control participants in a 2-sample MR framework. The effect on RCC risk was estimated by calculating odds ratios (ORSD) for a standard deviation (SD) increment in each risk factor. The MR analysis indicated that higher body mass index increases the risk of RCC (ORSD: 1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-1.70), with comparable results for waist-to-hip ratio (ORSD: 1.63, 95% CI 1.40-1.90) and body fat percentage (ORSD: 1.66, 95% CI 1.44-1.90). This analysis further indicated that higher fasting insulin (ORSD: 1.82, 95% CI 1.30-2.55) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP; ORSD: 1.28, 95% CI 1.11-1.47), but not systolic blood pressure (ORSD: 0.98, 95% CI 0.84-1.14), increase the risk for RCC. No association with RCC risk was seen for lipids, overall type 2 diabetes, or fasting glucose. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides novel evidence for an etiological role of insulin in RCC, as well as confirmatory evidence that obesity and DBP influence RCC risk.

Loss of Life Expectancy by 10 Years or More From Elevated Aspartate Aminotransferase: Finding Aspartate Aminotransferase a Better Mortality Predictor for All-Cause and Liver-Related than Alanine Aminotransferase.

OBJECTIVES: Serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) are 2 commonly ordered liver function tests, and ALT has long been considered more liver-specific than AST. Between the 2, the one which is better in predicting liver or non-liver-related mortality remains unsettled. METHODS: The cohort, 416,122 adults, came from a self-paying comprehensive health surveillance program during 1994-2008 and was followed up till 2008. Mortality came from National Death Index, with 10,412 deaths identified. Hazard ratios (HRs), computed by Cox model, and life expectancy, by life table method, were presented for 5 levels of AST and ALT with elevated AST or ALT defined as ≥40 IU/L. Liver disease included liver cancer and other liver conditions. RESULTS: There were 3 times more elevated ALT (15.4%) than AST (5.7%). However, those with elevated AST had higher mortality for all-cause (HR = 2.44), for liver disease (HR = 27.2), and for liver cancer (HR = 47.6) than its ALT counterparts (HR = 1.69, 10.8, and 20.2, respectively). Elevated AST also lost more years of life expectancy (10.2) than those lost by ALT (5.2) and larger than most common risks. Elevated AST had increased mortality from all cancers (HR = 3.57), stroke (HR = 1.36), respiratory diseases (HR = 1.34), and injuries (HR = 1.82), other than just liver disease. All-cause mortality remained significantly increased, when high risk groups were excluded, such as frequent drinkers, hepatitis carriers, those died from nonmedical conditions, those died in the first 3 years, or advanced fibrosis index based on 4 factors or aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index. Results were consistent between those returned for second visits and those analyzed in initial visits. DISCUSSION: Those with elevated AST (≥40 IU/L) had life expectancy cut short by 10.2 years, doubled the number of years lost with elevated ALT. For all-cause and for liver-related mortality, AST was an important predictor, better than ALT.

Breast cancer risk in relation to plasma metabolites among Hispanic and African American women.

PURPOSE: The metabolic etiology of breast cancer has been explored in the past several years using metabolomics. However, most of these studies only included non-Hispanic White individuals. METHODS: To fill this gap, we performed a two-step (discovery and validation) metabolomics profiling in plasma samples from 358 breast cancer patients and 138 healthy controls. All study subjects were either Hispanics or non-Hispanic African Americans. RESULTS: A panel of 14 identified metabolites significantly differed between breast cancer cases and healthy controls in both the discovery and validation sets. Most of these identified metabolites were lipids. In the pathway analysis, citrate cycle (TCA cycle), arginine and proline metabolism, and linoleic acid metabolism pathways were observed, and they significantly differed between breast cancer cases and healthy controls in both sets. From those 14 metabolites, we selected 9 non-correlated metabolites to generate a metabolic risk score. Increased metabolites risk score was associated with a 1.87- and 1.63-fold increased risk of breast cancer in the discovery and validation sets, respectively (Odds ratio (OR) 1.87, 95% Confidence interval (CI) 1.50, 2.32; OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.36, 1.95). CONCLUSIONS: In summary, our study identified metabolic profiles and pathways that significantly differed between breast cancer cases and healthy controls in Hispanic or non-Hispanic African American women. The results from our study might provide new insights on the metabolic etiology of breast cancer.

Correction to: Breast cancer risk in relation to plasma metabolites among Hispanic and African American women.

In the original publication of the article, the sixth author name Krita A. Zanetti was mistakenly included as co-author. The corrected author group is given in the correction article. The original article has been corrected.

Global and Targeted miRNA Expression Profiling in Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma Tissues Potentially Links miR-155-5p and miR-210-3p to both Tumorigenesis and Recurrence.

About 30% of patients undergoing nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) experience disease recurrence. We profiled miRNAs dysregulated in clear-cell (cc) RCC tumor tissues and predictive of recurrence. The expression levels of 800 miRNAs were assessed in paired tumor and normal tissues from a discovery cohort of 18 ccRCC patients. miRNAs found to be differentially expressed were examined in a validation set of 205 patients, using real-time quantitative PCR. Tumor-normal data from 64 patients in The Cancer Genome Atlas were used for external validation. Twenty-eight miRNAs were consistently dysregulated in tumor tissues. On dichotomized analysis, patients with high levels of miR-155-5p and miR-210-3p displayed an increased risk for ccRCC recurrence (hazard ratio, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.49 to 4.70; P = 0.0009; and hazard ratio, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.04 to 3.12; P = 0.036, respectively) and a shorter median recurrence-free survival time than did patients with low levels [P < 0.01 (log rank test)]. A risk score was generated based on the expression levels of miR-155-5p and miR-210-3p, and the trend test was significant (P = 0.005). On pathway analysis, target genes regulated by miR-155-5p and miR-210-3p were mainly enriched in inflammation-related pathways. We identified and validated multiple miRNAs dysregulated in ccRCC tissues; miR-155-5p and miR-210-3p were predictive of ccRCC recurrence, pointing to potential utility as biomarkers and underlying biological mechanisms.

Coffee, Caffeine Metabolism Genotype and Disease Progression in Patients with Localized Prostate Cancer Managed with Active Surveillance.

PURPOSE: Active surveillance is increasingly used as a management strategy for localized prostate cancer. Coffee intake has been associated with a lower prostate cancer incidence. We assessed whether coffee was associated with disease progression in men on active surveillance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 411 patients with newly diagnosed Gleason score 6 or 7 prostate cancer were enrolled on a prospective active surveillance protocol for at least 6 months and completed a baseline dietary assessment. The active surveillance protocol included a biennial monitoring regimen with disease progression defined as an increase in the Gleason score. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate associations of coffee intake with progression-free survival. We also evaluated patient genotype in the caffeine metabolism related single nucleotide polymorphism rs762551. RESULTS: Median followup was 36 months (range 6 to 126) and the Gleason score progressed in 76 of the 411 patients (18.5%). Compared to 0 cups per day, in the multivariable model adjusting for prostate specific antigen, patient age and tumor length, less than 1 cup (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.40-1.71), 1 to 1.9 cups (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.29-1.43), 2 to 3.9 cups (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.35-1.47) and 4 cups or more (HR 1.67, 95% CI 0.81-3.45) were not significantly associated with progression-free survival (p for nonlinearity = 0.01). Patients with low/moderate coffee intake and the AA fast caffeine metabolizer genotype were less likely to experience grade progression than nonconsumers (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.15-0.88, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Low to moderate coffee intake appears safe in men on active surveillance of localized prostate cancer. Further work is needed to determine whether high consumption is associated with shorter progression-free survival in sensitive groups.

The somatic mutation landscape of premalignant colorectal adenoma.

OBJECTIVE: There are few studies which characterised the molecular alterations in premalignant colorectal adenomas. Our major goal was to establish colorectal adenoma genome atlas and identify molecular markers of progression from colorectal adenoma to adenocarcinoma. DESIGN: Whole-exome sequencing and targeted sequencing were carried out in 149 adenoma samples and paired blood from patients with conventional adenoma or sessile serrated adenoma to characterise the somatic mutation landscape for premalignant colorectal lesions. The identified somatic mutations were compared with those in colorectal cancer (CRC) samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas. A supervised random forest model was employed to identify gene panels differentiating adenoma from CRC. RESULTS: Similar somatic mutation frequencies, but distinctive driver mutations, were observed in sessile serrated adenomas and conventional adenomas. The final model included 20 genes and was able to separate the somatic mutation profile of colorectal adenoma and adenocarcinoma with an area under the curve of 0.941. CONCLUSION: The findings of this project hold potential to better identify patients with adenoma who may be candidates for targeted surveillance programmes and preventive interventions to reduce the incidence of CRC.

Germline genetic variants in somatically significantly mutated genes in tumors are associated with renal cell carcinoma risk and outcome.

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified 13 susceptibility loci for renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Additional genetic loci of risk remain to be explored. Moreover, the role of germline genetic variants in predicting RCC recurrence and overall survival (OS) is less understood. In this study, we focused on 127 significantly mutated genes from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) Pan-Cancer Analysis across 12 major cancer sites to identify potential genetic variants predictive of RCC risk and clinical outcomes. In a three-phase design with a total of 2657 RCC cases and 5315 healthy controls, two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that map to PIK3CG (rs6466135:A, ORmeta = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.77-0.94, Pmeta = 1.4 × 10-3) and ATM (rs611646:T, ORmeta = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.05-1.31, Pmeta = 3.5 × 10-3) were significantly associated with RCC risk. With respect to RCC recurrence and OS, two separate datasets with a total of 661 stages I-III RCC patients (discovery: 367; validation: 294) were analyzed. The most significant association was observed for rs10932384:C (ERBB4) with both outcomes (recurrence: HRmeta = 0.52, 95% CI = 0.39-0.68, Pmeta = 3.81 × 10-6; OS: HRmeta = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.37-0.67, Pmeta = 6.00 × 10-6). In addition, six SNPs were significantly associated with either RCC recurrence or OS but not both (Pmeta < 0.01). Rs10932384:C was significantly correlated with mutation frequency of ERBB4 in clear cell RCC (ccRCC) patients (P = 0.003, Fisher's exact test). Cis-eQTL was observed for several SNPs in blood/transformed fibroblasts but not in RCC tumor tissues. In summary, we identified promising genetic predictors of recurrence and OS among RCC patients with localized disease.