Survival estimates in European cystic fibrosis patients and the impact of socioeconomic factors: a retrospective registry cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Median survival for cystic fibrosis (CF) patients in Europe is unknown and is likely to be influenced by socioeconomic factors. Using the European CF Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR), median survival estimates were obtained for CF patients across Europe and the impact of socioeconomic status on survival was examined. METHODS: CF subjects known to be alive and in the ECFSPR between 2010 and 2014 were included. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Differences in the survival curves were assessed using the log-rank test. Cox regression was used to estimate the association between socioeconomic factors and the age-specific hazard of death, with adjustment for sex, age at diagnosis, CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) genotype and transplant status. RESULTS: The final analysis included 13 countries with 31 987 subjects (135 833 person-years of follow-up) and 1435 deaths. Median survival age for these patients in the ECFSPR was 51.7 (95% CI 50.0-53.4) years. After adjusting for potential confounders age at diagnosis, sex, CFTR genotype and transplant status, there remained strong evidence of an association between socioeconomic factors and mortality (p<0.001). Countries in the highest third of healthcare spending had a 46% lower hazard of mortality (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.45-0.64) than countries in the lowest third of healthcare spending. CONCLUSIONS: Median survival for patients with CF in Europe is comparable to that reported in other jurisdictions and differs by socioeconomic factors.

Characteristics of cystic fibrosis-related diabetes: Data from two different sources the European cystic fibrosis society patient registry and German/Austrian diabetes prospective follow-up registry.

BACKGROUND: Standardized patient registries provide a unique basis to get insight into cystic fibrosis (CF)-related diabetes (CFRD), the most common comorbidity in CF. METHODS: A total of 3853 CFRD patients from the European CF Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR) and 752 from the German/Austrian diabetes prospective follow-up (diabetes patienten verlaufsdokumentation [DPV]) were studied. To adjust for age and sex, multivariable regression was used (SAS 9.4). RESULTS: DPV subjects were younger (26.5 [20.2-32.6] vs 28.3 [21.7-36.0] years, P < 0.001) and more often female (59.6 vs 50.9%, P < 0.001). In both registries, F508del homozygotes were most frequent, with higher proportion in DPV (80.9 vs 57.8%, P = 0.003). After adjustment, lung-transplantation (LTX) was more common in ECFSPR (18.9 vs 4.9%, P < 0.001), although duration since LTX (4.8 ± 0.2 vs 5.5 ± 0.7 years, P = 0.33) did not differ. In DPV patients without LTX, a lower BMI (19.6 ± 0.1 vs 21.0 ± 0.1 kg/m2 , P < 0.001), higher proportion of underweight (41.2 vs 20.2%, P < 0.001) and a tendency towards worse lung function (%FEV1 : 42.3 ± 4.2 vs 48.3 ± 0.5%, P = 0.16) were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Between both registries, demographic and clinical differences of CFRD were present. Besides different kind of data sources, diverse treatment structures between countries may play a role. The results may further indicate a more serious illness in patients treated in specialized diabetes clinics, documenting their data in DPV.

Salmonella enterica Serotype Napoli is the First Cause of Invasive Nontyphoidal Salmonellosis in Lombardy, Italy (2010-2014), and Belongs to Typhi Subclade.

Salmonella enterica serotype Napoli (S. Napoli) is currently emerging in Europe and particularly in Italy, where in 2014 it caused a large outbreak associated with elevated rates of bacteremia. However, no study has yet investigated its invasive ability and phylogenetic classification. Here, we show that between 2010 and 2014, S. Napoli was the first cause of invasive salmonellosis affecting 40 cases out of 687 (invasive index: 5.8%), which is significantly higher than the invasive index of all the other nontyphoidal serotypes (2.0%, p < 0.05). Genomic and phylogenetic analyses of an invasive isolate revealed that S. Napoli belongs to Typhi subclade in clade A, Paratyphi A being the most related serotype and carrying almost identical pattern of typhoid-associated genes. This work presents evidence of invasive capacity of S. Napoli and argues for reconsideration of its nontyphoidal category.

Future trends in cystic fibrosis demography in 34 European countries.

Median survival has increased in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) during the past six decades, which has led to an increased number of adults with CF. The future impact of changes in CF demographics has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to estimate the number of children and adults with CF in 34 European countries by 2025. Data were obtained from the European Cystic Fibrosis Society Patient Registry. Population forecasts were performed for countries that have extensive CF population coverage and at least 4 years of longitudinal data by modelling future entering and exiting flows in registry cohorts. For the other countries, population projections were performed based on assumptions from knowledge of current CF epidemiology. Western European countries' forecasts indicate that an increase in the overall number of CF patients by 2025, by approximately 50%, corresponds to an increase by 20% and by 75% in children and adults, respectively. In Eastern European countries the projections suggest a predominant increase in the CF child population, although the CF adult population would also increase.It was concluded that a large increase in the adult CF population is expected in the next decade. A significant increase in adult CF services throughout Europe is urgently required.

Factors associated with FEV1 decline in cystic fibrosis: analysis of the ECFS patient registry.

Pulmonary insufficiency is the main cause of death in cystic fibrosis (CF). We analysed forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) data of 14,732 patients registered in the European Cystic Fibrosis Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR) database in 2007. We used linear and logistic regressions to investigate associations between FEV1 % predicted and clinical outcomes. Body mass index (BMI), chronic infection by Pseudomonas aeruginosa, pancreatic status and CF-related diabetes (CFRD) showed a statistically significant (all p<0.0001) and clinically relevant effect on FEV1 % pred after adjusting for age. Patients with a lower BMI experience a six-fold increased odds ratio (95% CI 5.0-7.3) of having severe lung disease (FEV1 <40% pred) compared to patients with normal BMI. Being chronically infected with P. aeruginosa increases the odds ratio of severe lung disease by 2.4 (95% CI 2.0-2.7), and patients with pancreatic insufficiency experience a 2.0-fold increased odds ratio (95% CI 1.6-2.5) of severe lung disease compared to pancreatic sufficient patients. Patients with CFRD have a 1.8-fold increased odds ratio (95% CI 1.6-2.2) compared to patients not affected. These potential risk factors for pulmonary disease in patients with CF are to some degree preventable or treatable. We emphasise the importance of their early identification through frequent routine tests, the implementation of infection control measures, and a timely initiation of relevant therapies.

Effectiveness of lumacaftor/ivacaftor initiation in children with cystic fibrosis aged 2 through 5 years on disease progression: Interim results from an ongoing registry-based study.

BACKGROUND: Lumacaftor/ivacaftor (LUM/IVA) has been shown to be safe and efficacious in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) ≥1 year of age. To assess the impact of early LUM/IVA initiation on CF disease progression, a 6-year observational study leveraging data from existing CF patient registries is being conducted in children with CF homozygous for F508del (F/F genotype) who were aged 2 through 5 years at treatment initiation. Here we present interim results from this study focusing on data from the European CF Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR). METHODS: The LUM/IVA cohort included children in the ECFSPR who started LUM/IVA between 15 January 2019 and 31 December 2020. Longitudinal trends in growth parameters, pulmonary exacerbations, hospitalizations, safety outcomes, and other effectiveness outcomes in the LUM/IVA cohort were compared to those in two modulator-naïve cohorts: (i) matched concurrent cohort heterozygous for F508del and a minimal function mutation (F/MF concurrent comparator cohort) and (ii) matched concurrent cohort with the F/F genotype from countries without commercial access to LUM/IVA as of 2020 (F/F concurrent comparator cohort). RESULTS: The LUM/IVA cohort matched to the F/MF concurrent comparator cohort had 681 children and the LUM/IVA cohort matched to the F/F concurrent comparator cohort had 183 children. LUM/IVA cohorts had increases in body mass index percentiles relative to the matched F/MF and F/F concurrent comparator cohorts (mean difference in change from baseline: 8.4 [95% CI: 5.5, 11.3] and 11.8 [95% CI: 5.9, 17.7], respectively). Increases in height and weight percentiles were also observed in the LUM/IVA cohort relative to the F/MF and F/F concurrent comparator cohorts. Reductions in pulmonary exacerbations and hospitalizations relative to baseline and the F/F concurrent comparator cohort were seen in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: This interim analysis showed favorable trends in clinical outcomes, including growth parameters, pulmonary exacerbations, and hospitalizations, suggesting an early beneficial effect of LUM/IVA treatment in children aged 2 through 5 years at treatment initiation.

Clinical outcomes associated with Achromobacter species infection in people with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Achromobacter species are emerging pathogens isolated from respiratory samples of Patients with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) causing growing concerns in the CF community. The epidemiology and the clinical impact of Achromobacter in CF is unclear since data are restricted to small case control studies or selected populations. AIM: To characterize the effect of Achromobacter respiratory infection on CF lung disease. METHODS: European CF Society Patient Registry data was analysed for association between Achromobacter infection and demographic/clinical characteristics and outcomes of pwCF. RESULTS: Of eligible 38,795 patients, Achromobacter infection was reported in 2,093 (prevalence (95% CI) of 5.40% (5.17 - 5.62). The prevalence varied significantly between the countries and increased with age peaking at the age 20-30. Achromobacter infection was more prevalent in pwCF carrying class minimal function mutations, having worse nutrition or lower pulmonary function, and more patients inhaled antibiotics against P. aeruginosa. Patient infected with Achromobacter had similar pulmonary function and BMI to patients infected with P. aeruginosa at all age groups. Being infected with both bacteria was associated with significantly lower pulmonary function and BMI at all age groups. CONCLUSIONS: Achromobacter infection was associated with disease severity similar to infection with P. aeruginosa. Being infected with both bacteria is associated with even more severe disease. This suggests to study if eradication will improve the outcome of pwCF.

Association of Oxygen Therapy with the Natural Disease Progression of Cystic Fibrosis: A Multi-State Model of the European Cystic Fibrosis Society Patient Registry.

Background: Association between dependence on oxygen therapy (OT) and natural disease progression in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) has not been estimated yet. The aim of this study is to understand the prognosis for pwCF on OT, evaluating how the transition probabilities from being alive without lung transplantation (LTx) to LTx and to death, and from being alive after LTx to death change in pwCF with and without OT. Methods: We used 2008-2017 data from the 35-country European CF Society Patient Registry. A multi-state model was fitted to assess the effects of individual risk factors on transition probabilities. Results: We considered 48,343 pwCF aged from 6 to 50 years. OT (HR 5.78, 95% CI: 5.32-6.29) and abnormal FEV1 (HR 6.41, 95% CI: 5.28-7.79) were strongly associated with the probability of having LTx; chronic infection with Burkholderia cepacia complex (HR 3.19, 95% CI: 2.78-3.67), abnormal FEV1 (HR 5.00, 95% CI: 4.11-6.08) and the need for OT (HR 4.32, 95% CI: 3.93-4.76) showed the greatest association with the probability of dying without LTx. Once pwCF received LTx, OT (HR 1.75, 95% CI: 1.41-2.16) and abnormal FEV1 (HR 1.63, 95% CI: 1.18-2.25) were the main factors associated with the probability of dying. An association of gross national income with the probability of receiving LTx and with the probability of dying without LTx was also found. Conclusion: Oxygen therapy is associated with poor survival in pwCF with and without LTx; harmonization of CF care throughout European countries and minimization of the onset of pulmonary gas exchange abnormalities using all available means remains of paramount importance.

Mouse genome-wide association mapping needs linkage analysis to avoid false-positive Loci.

We carried out genome-wide association (GWA) studies in inbred mouse strains characterized for their lung tumor susceptibility phenotypes (spontaneous or urethane-induced) with panels of 12,959 (13K) or 138,793 (140K) single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Above the statistical thresholds, we detected only SNP rs3681853 on Chromosome 5, two SNPs in the pulmonary adenoma susceptibility 1 (Pas1) locus, and SNP rs4174648 on Chromosome 16 for spontaneous tumor incidence, urethane-induced tumor incidence, and urethane-induced tumor multiplicity, respectively, with the 13K SNP panel, but only the Pas1 locus with the 140K SNP panel. Haplotype analysis carried out in the latter panel detected four additional loci. Loci reported in previous GWA studies failed to replicate. Genome-wide genetic linkage analysis in urethane-treated (BALB/cxC3H/He)F2, (BALB/cxSWR/J)F2, and (A/JxC3H/He)F2 mice showed that Pas1, but none of the other loci detected previously or herein by GWA, had a significant effect. The Lasc1 gene, identified by GWA as a functional element (Nat. Genet., 38:888-95, 2006), showed no genetic effects in the two independent intercross mouse populations containing both alleles, nor was it expressed in mouse normal lung or lung tumors. Our results indicate that GWA studies in mouse inbred strains can suffer a high rate of false-positive results and that such an approach should be used in conjunction with classical linkage mapping in genetic crosses.

Geographic distribution and phenotype of European people with cystic fibrosis carrying A1006E mutation.

BACKGROUND: A1006E is a Cystic Fibrosis (CF) mutation that is still not widely known. We report phenotypic features and geographic distribution of the largest cohort of people with CF (pwCF) carrying A1006E to date. METHODS: Study of European pwCF carrying A1006E mutation, included in the European CF Society Patient Registry (ECFSPR). Genotype, ancestries and all variables recorded were compared to a cohort of F508del/F508del patients. Rate of decline in percentage-of-predicted FEV1 (ppFEV1) was also analyzed using the 2010-2017 ECFSPR. RESULTS: 44 pwCF carrying A1006E were reported (59% males), median age 33 years old (3-58), 54.5% Spanish and 40.9% Italian, most with ancestry in Murcia (Spain) and Lazio (Italy) regions. Compared to F508del homozygous, A1006E-pwCF were significantly older (75% vs. 52.5% ≥ 18 years old) and diagnosed at later median age (6.98 vs. 0.29 years); showed lower rates of meconium ileus (2.33% vs. 17.7%), pancreatic insufficiency (27.91% vs. 99.26%), diabetes (2.33% vs. 21.98%), liver disease (6.98% vs. 36.72%) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa chronic colonization (30.95% vs. 42.51%); and presented better nutrition (BMI z-score 0.44 vs. -0.43) and ppFEV1 (90.8% vs. 78.6%), with 18.9% (most >40 years old) having a ppFEV1<70%. Additional ppFEV1 decline (0.96% per year) was attributed to F508del/F508del genotype (p = 0.0007). None died or needed organ transplantation during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: A1006E-pwCF are mainly of Western Mediterranean Spanish and Italian descent. When compared with F508del/F508del-pwCF, they usually have a milder form of the disease, associated with pancreatic sufficiency and slower FEV1 decline. However, some will develop progressive respiratory impairment during adulthood.