A systematic review and meta-analysis of new-onset atrial fibrillation in the context of COVID-19 infection.

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in COVID-19 raises significant clinical and public health issues. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to compile and analyze the current literature on NOAF in COVID-19 and give a more comprehensive understanding of the prevalence and outcomes of NOAF in COVID-19. A comprehensive literature search was carried out using several databases. The random effect model using inverse variance method and DerSimonian and Laird estimator of Tua2 was used to calculate the pooled prevalence and associated 95% confidence interval (CI). Results for outcome analysis were presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CI and pooled using the Mantel-Haenszel random-effects model. The pooled prevalence of NOAF in COVID-19 was 7.8% (95% CI: 6.54%-9.32%),a pooled estimate from 30 articles (81 929 COVID-19 patients). Furthermore, our analysis reported that COVID-19 patients with NOAF had a higher risk of developing severe disease compared with COVID-19 patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (OR = 4.78, 95% CI: 3.75-6.09) and COVID-19 patients with a history of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (OR = 2.75, 95% CI: 2.10-3.59). Similarly, our analysis also indicated that COVID-19 patients with NOAF had a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with, COVID-19 patients without a history of atrial fibrillation (OR = 3.83, 95% CI: 2.99-4.92) and COVID-19 patients with a history of pre-existing atrial fibrillation (OR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.35-3.96). The meta-analysis did not reveal any significant publication bias. The results indicate a strong correlation between NOAF and a higher risk of severe illness and mortality. These results emphasize the importance of careful surveillance, early detection, and customized NOAF management strategies to improve clinical outcomes for COVID-19 patients.

Association of stress hyperglycemia ratio with in-hospital new-onset atrial fibrillation and long-term outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

AIMS: To investigate the predictive value and prognostic impact of stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) for new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included 2145 AMI patients without AF history between February 2014 and March 2018. SHR was calculated using fasting blood glucose (mmol/L)/[1.59*HbA1c (%)-2.59]. The association between SHR and post-MI NOAF was assessed with multivariable logistic regression analyses. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiac death, heart failure hospitalisation, recurrent MI, and ischaemic stroke (MACE). Cox regression-adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for MACE. RESULTS: A total of 245 (11.4%) patients developed NOAF. In the multivariable logistic regression analyses, SHR (each 10% increase) was significantly associated with increased risks of NOAF in the whole population (OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01-1.10), particularly in non-diabetic individuals (OR:1.08, 95% CI: 1.01-1.17). During a median follow-up of 2.7 years, 370 (18.5%) MACEs were recorded. The optimal cut-off value of SHR for MACE prediction was 1.119. Patients with both high SHR (≥1.119) and NOAF possessed the highest risk of MACE compared to those with neither high SHR nor NOAF after multivariable adjustment (HR: 2.18, 95% CI: 1.39-3.42), especially for diabetics (HR: 2.63, 95% CI: 1.41-4.91). Similar findings were observed using competing-risk models. CONCLUSIONS: SHR is an independent predictor of post-MI NOAF in non-diabetic individuals. Diabetic patients with both high SHR and NOAF had the highest risk of MACE, suggesting that therapies targeting SHR may be considered in these patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03533543.

The association between urine ketone and new-onset atrial fibrillation in critically ill patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common manifestation in critically ill patients. There is a paucity of evidence indicating a relationship between urinary ketones and NOAF. METHODS: Critically ill patients with urinary ketone measurements from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database were included. The primary outcome was NOAF Propensity score matching was performed following by multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 24,688 patients with available data of urine ketone were included in this study. The urine ketone of 4014 patients was tested positive. The average age of the included participants was 63.8 years old, and 54.5% of them were male. Result of the fully-adjusted binary logistic regression model showed that patients with positive urinary ketone was associated with a significantly lower risk of NOAF (Odds ratio, 0.79, 95% CI 0.7-0.9), compared with those with negative urinary ketone. In the subgroup analysis according to diabetic status, compared with nondiabetics, patients with diabetes had lower risk of NOAF (p-values for interaction < 0.05). Results of other subgroup analyses according to gender, age, infection, myocardial infarction, and congestive heart failure were consistent with the primary analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Positive urinary ketone body may be associated with reduced risk of NOAF in critically ill patients during intensive care unit hospitalization. Further studies are needed to clarify the underlying mechanisms.

Atrial fibrillation incidence after coronary artery bypass graft surgery and percutaneous coronary intervention: the prospective AFAF cohort study.

Objectives. Atrial fibrillation is a common arrhythmia in patients with ischemic heart disease. This study aimed to determine the cumulative incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation after percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting surgery during 30 days of follow-up. Design. This was a prospective multi-center cohort study on atrial fibrillation incidence following percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting for stable angina or non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome. Heart rhythm was monitored for 30 days postoperatively by in-hospital telemetry and handheld thumb ECG recordings after discharge were performed. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of atrial fibrillation 30 days after the index procedure. Results. In-hospital atrial fibrillation occurred in 60/123 (49%) coronary artery bypass graft and 0/123 percutaneous coronary intervention patients (p < .001). The cumulative incidence of atrial fibrillation after 30 days was 56% (69/123) of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting and 2% (3/123) of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (p < .001). CABG was a strong predictor for atrial fibrillation compared to PCI (OR 80.2, 95% CI 18.1-354.9, p < .001). Thromboembolic stroke occurred in-hospital in one coronary artery bypass graft patient unrelated to atrial fibrillation, and at 30 days in two additional patients, one in each group. There was no mortality. Conclusion. New-onset atrial fibrillation during 30 days of follow-up was rare after percutaneous coronary intervention but common after coronary artery bypass grafting. A prolonged uninterrupted heart rhythm monitoring strategy identified additional patients in both groups with new-onset atrial fibrillation after discharge.

Machine learning in the prediction and detection of new-onset atrial fibrillation in ICU: a systematic review.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) stands as the predominant arrhythmia observed in ICU patients. Nevertheless, the absence of a swift and precise method for prediction and detection poses a challenge. This study aims to provide a comprehensive literature review on the application of machine learning (ML) algorithms for predicting and detecting new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in ICU-treated patients. Following the PRISMA recommendations, this systematic review outlines ML models employed in the prediction and detection of NOAF in ICU patients and compares the ML-based approach with clinical-based methods. Inclusion criteria comprised randomized controlled trials (RCTs), observational studies, cohort studies, and case-control studies. A total of five articles published between November 2020 and April 2023 were identified and reviewed to extract the algorithms and performance metrics. Reviewed studies sourced 108,724 ICU admission records form databases, e.g., MIMIC. Eight prediction and detection methods were examined. Notably, CatBoost exhibited superior performance in NOAF prediction, while the support vector machine excelled in NOAF detection. Machine learning algorithms emerge as promising tools for predicting and detecting NOAF in ICU patients. The incorporation of these algorithms in clinical practice has the potential to enhance decision-making and the overall management of NOAF in ICU settings.

New-onset atrial fibrillation following left bundle branch area pacing vs. right ventricular pacing: a two-centre prospective cohort study.

AIMS: To investigate whether left bundle branch area pacing (LBBAP) can reduce the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with right ventricular pacing (RVP). METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with indications for dual-chamber pacemaker implant and no history of AF were prospectively enrolled if they underwent successful LBBAP or RVP. The primary endpoint was time to the first occurrence of AF detected by pacemaker programming or surface electrocardiogram. Follow-up at clinic visit was performed and multivariate Cox regression models were applied to evaluate the effect of LBBAP on new-onset AF. The final analysis included 527 patients (mean age 65.3 ± 12.6, male 47.3%), with 257 in the LBBAP and 270 in the RVP groups. During a mean follow-up of 11.1 months, LBBAP resulted in significantly lower incidence of new-onset AF (7.4 vs. 17.0%, P < 0.001) and AF burden (3.7 ± 1.9 vs. 9.3 ± 2.2%, P < 0.001) than RVP. After adjusting for confounding factors, LBBAP demonstrated a lower hazard ratio for new-onset AF compared with RVP {hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 0.278 (0.156, 0.496), P < 0.001}. A significant interaction existed between pacing modalities and the percentage of ventricular pacing (VP%) (P for interaction = 0.020). In patients with VP ≥ 20%, LBBAP was associated with decreased risk of new-onset AF compared with RVP [HR (95% CI): 0.199 (0.105, 0.378), P < 0.001]. The effect of pacing modalities was not pronounced in patients with VP < 20% [HR (95% CI): 0.751 (0.309, 1.823), P = 0.316]. CONCLUSION: Left bundle branch area pacing demonstrated a reduced risk of new-onset AF compared with RVP. Patients with a high ventricular pacing burden might benefit from LBBAP.

Incorporating uric acid into the CHA2DS2-VASc score improves the prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia observed in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and is associated with worse outcomes. While uric acid has been proposed as a potential biomarker for predicting atrial fibrillation, its association with NOAF in patients with AMI and its incremental discriminative ability when added to the CHA2DS2-VASc score are not well established. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 1000 consecutive patients with AMI without a history of atrial fibrillation between January 2018 and December 2020. Continuous electrocardiographic monitoring was performed during the patients' hospital stay to detect NOAF. We assessed the predictive ability of the different scoring models using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. In addition, we employed the area under the curve (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) analyses to assess the incremental discriminative ability of uric acid when added to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. RESULTS: Ninety-three patients (9.3%) developed NOAF during hospitalisation. In multivariate regression analyses, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for NOAF was 1.439 per one standard deviation increase in uric acid level (95% confidence intervals (CI):1.182-1.753, p < 0.001). The ROC curve analysis revealed that the AUC for uric acid was 0.667 (95% CI:0.601-0.719), while the AUC for the CHA2DS2-VASc score was 0.678 (95% CI:0.623-0.734). After integrating the uric acid variable into the CHA2DS2-VASc score, the combined score yielded an improved AUC of 0.737 (95% CI:0.709-0.764, p = 0.009). Furthermore, there was a significant improvement in both IDI and NRI, indicating an incremental improvement in discriminative ability (IDI = 0.041, p < 0.001; NRI = 0.627, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that uric acid level is an independent risk factor for the development of NOAF after AMI. Furthermore, the incorporation of uric acid into the CHA2DS2-VASc score significantly improves the discriminative ability of the score in identifying patients at high risk for NOAF.

The role of miR1 and miR133a in new-onset atrial fibrillation after acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a clinical complication that requires a better understanding of the causative risk factors. This study aimed to explore the risk factors and the expression and function of miR-1 and miR-133a in new atrial fibrillation after AMI. METHODS: We collected clinical data from 172 patients with AMI treated with emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between October 2021 and October 2022. Independent predictors of NOAF were determined using binary logistic univariate and multivariate regression analyses. The predictive value of NOAF was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for related risk factors. In total, 172 venous blood samples were collected preoperatively and on the first day postoperatively; the expression levels of miR-1 and miR-133a were determined using the polymerase chain reaction. The clinical significance of miR-1 and miR-133a expression levels was determined by Spearman correlation analysis. RESULTS: The Glasgow prognostic score, left atrial diameter, and infarct area were significant independent risk factors for NOAF after AMI. We observed that the expression levels of miR-1 and miR-133a were significantly higher in the NOAF group than in the non-NOAF group. On postoperative day 1, strong associations were found between miR-133a expression levels and the neutrophil ratio and between miR-1 expression levels and an increased left atrial diameter. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the mechanism of NOAF after AMI may include an inflammatory response associated with an increased miR-1-related mechanism. Conversely, miR-133a could play a protective role in this clinical condition.

New-onset atrial fibrillation in critically ill adult patients-an SSAI clinical practice guideline.

BACKGROUND: Acute or new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in critically ill adult patients, and observational data suggests that NOAF is associated to adverse outcomes. METHODS: We prepared this guideline according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation methodology. We posed the following clinical questions: (1) what is the better first-line pharmacological agent for the treatment of NOAF in critically ill adult patients?, (2) should we use direct current (DC) cardioversion in critically ill adult patients with NOAF and hemodynamic instability caused by atrial fibrillation?, (3) should we use anticoagulant therapy in critically ill adult patients with NOAF?, and (4) should critically ill adult patients with NOAF receive follow-up after discharge from hospital? We assessed patient-important outcomes, including mortality, thromboembolic events, and adverse events. Patients and relatives were part of the guideline panel. RESULTS: The quantity and quality of evidence on the management of NOAF in critically ill adults was very limited, and we did not identify any relevant direct or indirect evidence from randomized clinical trials for the prespecified PICO questions. We were able to propose one weak recommendation against routine use of therapeutic dose anticoagulant therapy, and one best practice statement for routine follow-up by a cardiologist after hospital discharge. We were not able to propose any recommendations on the better first-line pharmacological agent or whether to use DC cardioversion in critically ill patients with hemodynamic instability induced by NOAF. An electronic version of this guideline in layered and interactive format is available in MAGIC: https://app.magicapp.org/#/guideline/7197. CONCLUSIONS: The body of evidence on the management of NOAF in critically ill adults is very limited and not informed by direct evidence from randomized clinical trials. Practice variation appears considerable.

Impact of perfusion method on perioperative red blood cell transfusions and new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation in mitral valve surgery patients.

INTRODUCTION: Red blood cell (RBC) transfusions are common in cardiac surgery and reportedly associated with increased mortality and morbidity, including increased risk of postoperative new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF). The aim of this study was to compare minimal invasive extracorporeal circulation (MiECC) and conventional extracorporeal circulation (CECC) in terms of RBC transfusions and the incidence of NOAF in mitral valve surgery. METHODS: The study population consisted of 89 MiECC and 169 CECC patients undergoing mitral valve surgery as an isolated procedure (80.6% of the patients) or in combination with coronary artery bypass grafting (19.4% of patients). 79.4% of the patients were male and the mean age was 62.1 years. RESULTS: 30.0% of patients aged < 65 years and 48.1% of patients aged ≥ 65 years needed RBC transfusion. The overall need for RBC transfusions did not differ between the treatment groups. Among patients < 65 years of age transfusions of ≥ 3 units were less frequent in MiECC than in CECC patients (OR 0.31, 95% CI 0.10-0.98, p = 0.045). The overall incidence of NOAF was 41.8% with no significant difference between MiECC and CECC groups. Red blood cell transfusions were associated with an increased risk of NOAF in an unadjusted analysis but not after adjustment for age and sex (OR 1.25, 95% CI 0.64-2.43, p = 0.515). CONCLUSIONS: In mitral valve surgery MiECC compared to CECC was associated with less need of RBC units and platelets, particularly in patients aged < 65 years. Use of RBC transfusions was associated with increased risk of NOAF significantly only in unadjusted analysis.

Management of new onset atrial fibrillation in critically unwell adult patients: a systematic review and narrative synthesis.

BACKGROUND: New onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is the most common arrhythmia affecting critically unwell patients. NOAF can lead to worsening haemodynamic compromise, heart failure, thromboembolic events, and increased mortality. The aim of this systematic review and narrative synthesis is to evaluate the non-pharmacological and pharmacological management strategies for NOAF in critically unwell patients. METHODS: Of 1782 studies, 30 were eligible for inclusion, including 4 RCTs and 26 observational studies. Efficacy of direct current cardioversion, amiodarone, ß-adrenergic receptor antagonists, calcium channel blockers, digoxin, magnesium, and less commonly used agents such as ibutilide are reported. RESULTS: Cardioversion rates of 48% were reported for direct current cardioversion; however, re-initiation of NOAF was as high as 23.4%. Amiodarone was the most commonly reported intervention with cardioversion rates ranging from 18% to 96% followed by ß-antagonists with cardioversion rates from 40% to 92%. Amiodarone was more effective than diltiazem (odds ratio [OR]=1.91, P=0.32) at cardioversion. Short-acting ß-antagonists esmolol and landiolol were more effective compared with diltiazem for cardioversion (OR=3.55, P=0.04) and HR control (OR=3.2, P<0.001). CONCLUSION: There was significant variation between studies with regard to the definition of successful cardioversion and heart rate control, making comparisons between studies and interventions difficult. Future RCTs comparing individual anti-arrhythmic agents, in particular magnesium, amiodarone, and ß-antagonists, and studying the role of anticoagulation in critically unwell patients are required. There is also an urgent need for a core outcome dataset for studies of new onset atrial fibrillation to allow comparisons between different anti-arrhythmic strategies. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42019121739.

Circulating plasma galectin-3 predicts new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients after acute myocardial infarction during hospitalization.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common complication in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) during hospitalization. Galectin-3 (Gal-3) is a novel inflammation marker that is significantly associated with AF. The association between post-AMI NOAF and Gal-3 during hospitalization is yet unclear. OBJECTIVE: The present study aimed to investigate the predictive value of plasma Gal-3 for post-AMI NOAF. METHODS: A total of 217 consecutive patients admitted with AMI were included in this retrospective study. Peripheral venous blood samples were obtained within 24 h after admission and plasma Gal-3 concentrations were measured. RESULTS: Post-AMI NOAF occurred in 18 patients in this study. Patients with NOAF were older (p < 0.001) than those without. A higher level of the peak brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) (p < 0.001) and Gal-3 (p < 0.001) and a lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (LDL-C) (p = 0.030), and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (e-GFR) (p = 0.030) were recorded in patients with post-AMI NOAF. Echocardiographic information revealed that patients with NOAF had a significantly decreased left ventricular eject fraction (LVEF) (p < 0.001) and an increased left atrial diameter (LAD) (p = 0.004) than those without NOAF. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed a significantly higher value of plasma Gal-3 in the diagnosis of NOAF for patients with AMI during hospitalization (area under the curve (p < 0.001), with a sensitivity of 72.22% and a specificity of 72.22%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression model analysis indicated that age (p = 0.045), plasma Gal-3 (p = 0.018), and LAD (p = 0.014) were independent predictors of post-MI NOAF. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma Gal-3 concentration is an independent predictor of post-MI NOAF.

The association between systemic inflammatory response index and new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with ST-elevated myocardial infarction treated with percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) complicating with ST-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is associated with worse prognosis. The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), serves as a novel inflammatory indicator, is found to be predictive of adverse outcomes. The aim of this study is to explore the association between NOAF and SIRI. METHODS: A retrospective data included 616 STEMI participants treated with PCI in our cardiology department had been analyzed in present investigation, of which being divided into a NOAF or sinus rhythm (SR) group based on the presence or absence of atrial fibrillation. The predictive role of SIRI for in detecting NOAF had been evaluated by the logistic regression analyses and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Additionally, long-term all-cause mortality between both groups was compared using the Kaplan-Meier test. RESULTS: NOAF during hospitalization developed in 7.6% of PCI-treated individuals. After multivariate regression analyses, SIRI remains to be an independently predictor of NOAF (odds ratio 1.782, 95% confidence interval 1.675-1.906, P = 0.001). In the ROC curve analysis, SIRI with a cut-off value of 4.86 was calculated to predict NOAF, with 4.86, with a sensitivity of 80.85% and a specificity of 75.57%, respectively (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.826, P < 0.001). Furthermore, pairwise compassion of ROC curves displayed the superiority of SIRI in the prediction of NOAF in comparison with that of neutrophil/lymphocyte or monocyte/lymphocyte (P < 0.05). In addition, the participants in NOAF group had a significantly higher incidence of all-cause death compared to those in SR group after a median of 40-month follow-up (22.0% vs 5.8%, log-rank P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: SIRI can independently predict NOAF in patients with STEMI after PCI, with being positively correlated to worsened outcomes.

Short P-Wave Duration Is Associated with Incident Atrial Fibrillation.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common and increases the risk for stroke and heart failure (HF). The early identification of patients at risk may prevent the development of AF and improve prognosis. This study, therefore, aimed to test the effect of the association between P-wave and PR-interval on the ECG and incident AF.The PIVUS (Prospective Investigation of the Vasculature in Uppsala Seniors) study (1016 individuals all aged 70 years; 50% women) was used to identify whether the ECG variables P-wave duration (Pdur) and PR-duration in lead V1 were related to new-onset AF. Exclusion criteria were prevalent AF, QRS-duration ≥ 130 milliseconds (msec), atrial tachyarrhythmias and implanted pacemaker/defibrillator. Cox proportional-hazards models were used for analyses. Adjustments were made for gender, RR-interval, beta-blocking agents, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, and smoking.Of 877 subjects at risk, 189 individuals developed AF during a 15-year follow-up. There was a U-shaped relationship between the Pdur and incident AF (P = 0.017) following multiple adjustment. Values below 60 msec were significantly associated with incident AF, with a hazard ratio of 1.55 (95% confidence interval 1.15-2.09) for a Pdur ≤ 42 msec. There was no significant relationship between incident AF and the PR-interval.A short Pdur derived from the ECG in V1 may be a useful marker for new-onset AF, enabling the early identification of at-risk patients.

Predictive value of uric acid/albumin ratio for the prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with ST-Elevation myocardial infarction.

Background: There is a lack of studies supporting the association between the uric acid/albumin ratio (UAR) and the development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). Objective: The objective of the study was to assess the efficacy of the UAR for predicting the occurrence of NOAF in STEMI patients undergoing pPCI. Methods: We recruited 1484 consecutive STEMI patients in this retrospective and cross-sectional investigation. The population sample was classified based on the development of NOAF during hospitalization. NOAF was defined as an atrial fibrillation (AF) observed during hospitalization in patients without a history of AF or atrial flutter. The UAR was computed by dividing the serum uric acid (UA) level by serum albumin level. Results: After pPCI, 119 STEMI patients (8%) were diagnosed with NOAF. NOAF patients had higher serum UAR levels than individuals who did not have NOAF. According to the multivariable logistic regression model, the UAR was an independent predictor for NOAF in STEMI patients (OR: 6.951, 95% CI: 2.978-16.28, p < 0.001). The area under curve (AUC) value of the UAR in a receiver operating characteristics (ROC) evaluation was 0.758, which was greater than those of its components (albumin [AUC: 0.633] and UA [AUC: 0.647]) and C-reactive protein (AUC: 0.714). The optimal UAR value in predicting NOAF in STEMI patients was greater than 1.39, with a sensitivity of 69% and a specificity of 74.5%. Conclusion: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study indicating that the UAR was an independent predictor of NOAF development in STEMI patients.

Treatment strategies for new onset atrial fibrillation in patients treated on an intensive care unit: a systematic scoping review.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in patients treated on an intensive care unit (ICU) is common and associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We undertook a systematic scoping review to summarise comparative evidence to inform NOAF management for patients admitted to ICU. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, OpenGrey, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, EU Clinical Trials register, additional WHO ICTRP trial databases, and NIHR Clinical Trials Gateway in March 2019. We included studies evaluating treatment or prevention strategies for NOAF or acute anticoagulation in general medical, surgical or mixed adult ICUs. We extracted study details, population characteristics, intervention and comparator(s), methods addressing confounding, results, and recommendations for future research onto study-specific forms. RESULTS: Of 3,651 citations, 42 articles were eligible: 25 primary studies, 12 review articles and 5 surveys/opinion papers. Definitions of NOAF varied between NOAF lasting 30 s to NOAF lasting > 24 h. Only one comparative study investigated effects of anticoagulation. Evidence from small RCTs suggests calcium channel blockers (CCBs) result in slower rhythm control than beta blockers (1 study), and more cardiovascular instability than amiodarone (1 study). Evidence from 4 non-randomised studies suggests beta blocker and amiodarone therapy may be equivalent in respect to rhythm control. Beta blockers may be associated with improved survival compared to amiodarone, CCBs, and digoxin, though supporting evidence is subject to confounding. Currently, the limited evidence does not support therapeutic anticoagulation during ICU admission. CONCLUSIONS: From the limited evidence available beta blockers or amiodarone may be superior to CCBs as first line therapy in undifferentiated patients in ICU. The little evidence available does not support therapeutic anticoagulation for NOAF whilst patients are critically ill. Consensus definitions for NOAF, rate and rhythm control are needed.

Predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score combined with hs-CRP for new-onset atrial fibrillation in elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is common during acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and independently associated with worse prognosis. We aimed to validate the discrimination performance of CHA2DS2-VASc score combined with hs-CRP in the prediction of NOAF after AMI in elderly Chinese population. METHODS: 311 consecutive elderly patients (age ≥ 65 years old) with AMI from 1 January 2018 to 1 January 2019 without atrial fibrillation history were enrolled in our study. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify risk factors of NOAF. The discrimination performance of different score models were evaluated using ROC curve analysis and AUCs were compared using the Z test. RESULTS: 30 (9.65%) patients developed NOAF during hospitalization. The NOAF group were older and had higher hs-CRP, initial Killip class, BNP, LAD, CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score, in-hospital mortality and lower LVEF and ACEI/ARB use (P < 0.05 vs group without NOAF for all measures). In multivariate regression analyses, age (OR = 1.127, 95% CI 1.063-1.196, P < 0.001) and hs-CRP (OR = 1.034, 95% CI 1.018-1.05, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of NOAF. In ROC curve analyses, both CHADS2 score (AUC = 0.624, 95% CI 0.516-0.733, P = 0.026) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (AUC = 0.687, 95% CI 0.584-0.79, P = 0.001) had acceptable but unsatisfactory discrimination performance in predicting NOAF after AMI. The combined model with CHA2DS2-VASc score and hs-CRP showed a significant better predictive value (AUC = 0.791, 95% CI 0.692-0.891, P < 0.001) compared to that of the CHA2DS2-VASc score alone (Z test, P = 0.008). CONCLUSION: The combined model with CHA2DS2-VASc score and hs-CRP had high accuracy in predicting post-AMI NOAF.

Clinical prediction scores and early anticoagulation therapy for new-onset atrial fibrillation in critical illness: a post-hoc analysis.

PURPOSE: This study sought to describe the epidemiology of anticoagulation therapy for critically ill patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) according to CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores and to assess the efficacy of early anticoagulation therapy. METHOD: Adult patients who developed NOAF during intensive care unit stay were included. We compared the patients who were treated with and without anticoagulation therapy within 48 h from AF onset. The primary outcome was a composite outcome that included mortality and ischemic stroke during the period until hospital discharge. RESULTS: In total, 308 patients were included in this analysis. Anticoagulants were administered to 95 and 33 patients within 48 h and after 48 h from NOAF onset, respectively. After grouping the patients into four according to their CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED bleeding scores, we found that the proportion of anticoagulation therapy administered was similar among all groups. After adjustment using a multivariable Cox regression model, we noted that early anticoagulation therapy did not decrease the composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47‒1.23). However, in patients without rhythm control drugs, early anticoagulation was significantly associated with better outcomes (adjusted HR 0.46; 95% CI; 0.22‒0.87, P = 0.041). CONCLUSIONS: We found that clinical prediction scores were supposedly not used in the decision to implement anticoagulation therapy and that early anticoagulation therapy did not improve clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with NOAF. Trial registration UMIN-CTR UMIN000026401. Registered 5 March 2017.

New-onset atrial fibrillation incidence and associated outcomes in the medical intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: In patients with critical medical illness, data regarding new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is relatively sparse. This study examines the incidence, associated risk factors, and associated outcomes of NOAF in patients in the medical intensive care unit (MICU). METHODS: This single-center retrospective observational cohort study included 2234 patients with MICU stays in 2018. An automated extraction process using ICD-10 codes, validated by a 196-patient manual chart review, was used for data collection. Demographics, medications, and risk factors were collected. Multiple risk scores were calculated for each patient, and AF recurrence was also manually extracted. Length of stay, mortality, and new stroke were primary recorded outcomes. RESULTS: Two hundred and forty one patients of the 2234 patient cohort (11.4%) developed NOAF during their MICU stay. NOAF was associated with greater length of stay in the MICU (5.84 vs. 3.52 days, p < .001) and in the hospital (15.7 vs. 10.9 days, p < .001). Patients with NOAF had greater odds of hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR) = 1.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.34-2.71, p < .001) and 1-year mortality (OR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.02-1.82, p = .03). CHARGE-AF scores performed best in predicting NOAF (area under the curve (AUC) 0.691, p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of NOAF in this MICU cohort was 11.4%, and NOAF was associated with a significant increase in hospital LOS and mortality. Furthermore, the CHARGE-AF score performed best in predicting NOAF.

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery is a Significant Risk Factor for Long-Term Stroke: An Eight-Year Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the incidence and significance of new-onset atrial fibrillation as a risk factor for long-term stroke and mortality after cardiac surgery. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. SETTING: Two large tertiary public hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: The study comprised 3008 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting and/or valve surgery from 2008 to 2012. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: New-onset atrial fibrillation was analyzed as a risk factor for postoperative stroke using a multivariate logistic regression model after adjustment for potential confounders. A Cox regression model with time-dependent variables was used to analyze relationships between new-onset atrial fibrillation and postoperative survival. New-onset atrial fibrillation was detected in 573 (19.0%) patients. Stroke occurred in 234 (7.8%) patients during the mean postoperative follow-up period of six ± two years. The incidence of postoperative stroke in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation (9.9%) and patients with both preoperative and postoperative atrial fibrillation (13.8%) was higher than in patients with no atrial fibrillation (6.8%) (p = 0.002). New-onset atrial fibrillation (odds ratio, 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-2.18; p = 0.017) was identified as an independent risk factor for postoperative stroke. A total of 518 (17.2%) mortalities occurred within the mean postoperative follow-up period of eight ± two years. New-onset atrial fibrillation was associated with shorter survival (hazard ratio, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.22-1.81; p < 0.001) compared with patients with no atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSIONS: New-onset atrial fibrillation is a significant risk factor for long-term stroke and mortality after cardiac surgery. Close monitoring and treatment of this condition may be necessary to reduce the risk of postoperative stroke and mortality.