Natural course of chronic pancreatitis and predictors of its progression.

BACKGROUND: The natural course of chronic pancreatitis(CP) and its complications has been inadequately explored. We aimed to describe the natural history and factors affecting the progression of alcoholic(ACP), idiopathic juvenile(IJCP) and idiopathic senile(ISCP) variants of CP. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis from a prospectively maintained database of patients with CP following up at a tertiary care centre from 1998 to 2019. Cumulative rates of pain resolution, diabetes, steatorrhea, pseudocysts and pancreatic cancer were computed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and the factors affecting their incidence were identified on multivariable-adjusted Cox-proportional-hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 1415 patients were included, with 540(38.1%) ACP, 668(47.2%) IJCP and 207(14.6%) ISCP with a median follow-up of 3.5 years(Inter-quartile range: 1.5-7.5 years). Diabetes occurred at 11.5, 28 and 5.8 years(p < 0.001) while steatorrhea occurred at 16, 24 and 18 years(p = 0.004) after onset for ACP, IJCP and ISCP respectively. Local complications including pseudocysts occurred predominantly in ACP(p < 0.001). Ten-year risk of pancreatic cancer was 0.9%, 0.2% and 5.2% in ACP, IJCP and ISCP, respectively(p < 0.001). Pain resolution occurred more frequently in patients with older age of onset[Multivariate Hazard Ratio(HR):1.7(95%CI:1.4-2.0; p < 0.001)], non-smokers[HR:0.51(95%CI:0.34-0.78); p = 0.002] and in non-calcific CP[HR:0.81(0.66-1.0); p = 0.047]. Occurrence of steatorrhea[HR:1.3(1.03-1.7); p = 0.028] and diabetes[HR:2.7(2.2-3.4); p < 0.001] depended primarily on age at onset. Occurrence of pancreatic cancer depended on age at onset[HR:12.1(4.7-31.2); p < 0.001], smoking-history[HR:6.5(2.2-19.0); p < 0.001] and non-alcoholic etiology[HR:0.14(0.05-0.4); p < 0.001]. CONCLUSION: ACP, IJCP and ISCP represent distinct entities with different natural course. Age at onset of CP plays a major prognostic role in all manifestations, with alcohol predominantly causing local inflammatory complications.

A population-based study of chronic pancreatitis in Finland: Effects on quality of life.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: In Finland the incidence of chronic pancreatitis (CP) is high compared to that in most European countries. Recent epidemiological data is lacking. Our aim was to investigate the current epidemiologic and behavioural data on CP patients in Finland. METHODS: CP patients according to M-ANNHEIM criteria in Tampere University Hospital (TAUH) during 2014-2015 were included. Aetiology, time from diagnosis, pancreatic function, treatment, complications, smoking, alcohol consumption (AUDIT) and quality of life (QoL) (QLQ C30, PAN26) were gathered. RESULTS: 235 CP patients (57 (26-88) years, 65% men) were included. Time since diagnosis was 5.5 (1-41) years. Aetiology was alcohol in 67%, and smoking contributed in 54%. Of these patients 78% continued smoking and 58% continued to consume alcohol even after CP diagnosis. CP related complications were common. Pseudocysts were more common in alcohol related CP than in non-alcohol related CP (60% vs. 38%, p < 0.05). Reported QoL and pain were worse in the CP patients than in controls. Alcohol consumption differed from that of the Finnish population; the CP patients were either total abstainers or heavy alcohol consumers. CONCLUSIONS: CP constitutes a great burden on the health care system and on the patients. The patients frequently develop complications and symptoms and their QoL is inferior to that of controls. The most important measure to halt the progression of CP would be to prevent acute phases and for patients to stop smoking, which does not happen in many CP patients. It would be beneficial to increase awareness among CP patients and medical professionals.

International multicenter comprehensive analysis of adverse events associated with lumen-apposing metal stent placement for pancreatic fluid collection drainage.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: High rates of technical and clinical success were reported for lumen-apposing metal stent (LAMS) placement for peripancreatic fluid collection (PFC) drainage. However, data on the adverse event (AE) rates are heterogeneous. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence, severity, management, and risk factors of AEs related to the use of LAMSs for drainage of PFCs in a large cohort of patients. METHODS: This is a multicenter, international, retrospective review from 15 centers of all patients who underwent placement of LAMSs for the management of PFCs. A nested case-control study was conducted in patients with (case) or without (control) AEs. RESULTS: Three hundred thirty-three procedures in 328 patients were performed (5 patients treated with 2 LAMSs). Technical success was achieved in 321 patients (97.9%). Three hundred four patients were finally included in the study (7 excluded for lost to follow-up information; 10 excluded for deaths unrelated to LAMSs). The rate of clinical success was 89.5%. Seventy-nine LAMS-related AEs occurred in 74 of 304 patients (24.3%), after a mean time of 25.3 days (median, 18 days; interquartile range, 6-30) classified as 20 (25.3%) mild, 54 (68.4%) moderate, or 5 (6.3%) severe. On multivariable analysis compared with control subjects, cases were more likely to have walled-off necrosis (WON) versus pancreatic pseudocysts (odds ratio, 2.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-4.46; P = .028), whereas cases were less likely to have undergone tract (balloon) dilation (yes vs no; odds ratio, .47; 95% confidence interval, .22-.93; P = .034). CONCLUSIONS: Data from this large international retrospective study confirm that the use of LAMSs for management of PFCs has excellent technical and good clinical success rates. The rate of AEs, however, is not negligible and should be carefully considered before using these stents for drainage of PFCs and in particular for WON. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings. (Clinical trial registration number: NCT03544008.).

Clinical Course of Chronic Pancreatitis in Elderly Patients.

BACKGROUND: Several guidelines recommend the risk-adapted monitoring of patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP). However, dedicated risk stratification is widely missing in CP. Elderly-CP (disease onset with 60 or more years of age) may represent a subgroup of CP subjects with a distinct course of disease. AIMS: We aimed to investigate the clinical presentation of elderly-CP, and if elderly-CP requires an adapted monitoring. METHODS: Seven hundred forty one patients with CP were analyzed in a multicenter (Mannheim/Germany, n = 537; Gießen/Germany, n = 100; Donetsk/Ukraine, n = 104), cross-sectional, retrospective study and classified according to the M-ANNHEIM classification. RESULTS: The frequency of elderly-CP was 20% (148/741). In comparison with non-elderly-CP, elderly-CP was less frequently caused by alcohol and nicotine dependency or genetic mutations. In contrast, the frequency of efferent duct abnormalities (p = 0.009, chi-square test) and idiopathic CP (p < 0.0001, chi-square test) increased significantly. The presence of multiple risk factors was found less frequently in elderly-CP than in non-elderly patients (p < 0.0001; chi-square test). Furthermore, elderly-CP was associated with increased rates of pseudocysts (p = 0.0002; chi-square test), endocrine insufficiency (p = 0.001; chi-square test), and the absence of pain (p = 0.04; chi-square test) in the first year of the disease. CONCLUSION: In elderly-CP, the course of disease significantly differs from non-elderly-CP. Therefore, individualized monitoring strategies for elderly-CP might be necessary.

Risk factors and nomogram for pancreatic pseudocysts in chronic pancreatitis: A cohort of 1998 patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Pancreatic pseudocyst is a common complication of chronic pancreatitis. The identification of risk factors and development of a nomogram for pancreatic pseudocysts in chronic pancreatitis patients may contribute to the early diagnosis and intervention of pancreatic pseudocysts. METHODS: Patients with chronic pancreatitis admitted to our center from January 2000 to December 2013 were enrolled. Cumulative rates of pancreatic pseudocysts after the onset of chronic pancreatitis and after the diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis were calculated. Patients were randomly assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, to the training and validation cohort. Based on the training cohort, risk factors were identified through Cox proportional hazards regression model, and nomogram was developed. Internal and external validations were performed based on the training and validation cohort, respectively. RESULTS: With a total of 1998 patients, pancreatic pseudocysts were detected in 228 (11.41%) patients. Age at the onset of chronic pancreatitis, smoking, and severe acute pancreatitis were identified risk factors for pancreatic pseudocysts development while steatorrhea and pancreatic stones were protective factors. Incorporating these five factors, the nomogram achieved good concordance indexes of 0.735 and 0.628 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, with well-fitted calibration curves. CONCLUSION: The nomogram achieved an individualized prediction of pancreatic pseudocysts development in chronic pancreatitis. It may help the early diagnosis and management of pancreatic pseudocysts.

[Long-term results of severe acute pancreatitis management]. / Otdalennye rezul'taty lecheniya tyazhelogo ostrogo pankreatita.

AIM: To assess the long-term results and quality of life of patients after different medical and tactical approaches in treatment of severe acute pancreatitis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Long-term outcomes were studied in 210 patients with severe acute pancreatitis for the period 2003-2013. There were 144 (68.6%) men. RESULTS: The quality of life of patients undergoing both aseptic (GIQLI - 112.9±1.3 points) and infected (GIQLI - 108.8±2.2 points) destructive complications of severe pancreatitis is lower (p=0.00001) compared with healthy population. Reccurence of acute pancreatitis was observed in 27.6% of patients. Diabetes mellitus developed in 40.5% and 23.6% of patients after infected and aseptic complications of severe pancreatitis respectively. Exocrine insufficiency was detected in 32.6% and 38.2% of patients who underwent aseptic and infected complications respectively. Postoperative hernia was observed in 30.8% of patients. Herewith, hernias (p<0.05) are predominantly formed after open operations (73,6%) than minimally invasive procedures (2.6%). Chronic pseudocyst was detected in 13.0% of patients after aseptic complications of severe pancreatitis and in 17.6% after infected complications. CONCLUSION: Quality of life and long-term outcomes are better in patients who were treated using only conservative methods and/or minimally invasive surgical interventions.

Comparison of clinical course and outcome of acute pancreatitis according to the two main etiologies: alcohol and gallstone.

BACKGROUND: Studies concerning clinical course and outcome of acute pancreatitis (AP) according to etiologies were rare, especially after year 2000. This study was designed to investigate the difference between the clinical course of alcoholic and biliary AP. METHODS: Of the 153 patients diagnosed as AP with a first attack between January 2011 and January 2013, extensive clinical data of 50 patients with AP caused by alcohol and 76 patients with AP caused by gallstone were analyzed retrospectively. We compared the severity of AP defined by revised Atlanta classification in 2012, local complications, severity scores, and computed tomography severity index (CTSI) between alcoholic and biliary AP. We also evaluated the length of hospital stay, duration of NPO, and in-hospital mortality in each group. RESULTS: Hemoglobin, hematocrit, and serum C-reactive protein level measured after admission for 24 h were significantly higher in the alcohol group than in the biliary group. Incidence of pseudocyst formation was significantly higher in the alcohol group than in the biliary group (20.0 % vs. 6.6 %, P = 0.023). Among prognostic scoring systems, only CTSI showed significant difference (P < 0.001) with a mean score of 3.0 ± 0.9 in the alcohol group and 1.7 ± 1.2 in the biliary group. Severe AP with organ failure persisting beyond 48 h was observed in 12 patients (24.0 %) in the alcohol group and one patient (1.3 %) in the biliary group (P < 0.001). There were 4 mortalities in the alcohol group only (P = 0.012). CONCLUSION: More severe forms of AP and local complication, such as pseudocyst formation, are associated with alcoholic AP compared with biliary AP.

Prevalence, Natural History, and Outcome of Acute Fluid Collection and Pseudocyst in Children With Acute Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: Recent years have witnessed an increase in acute pancreatitis (AP) in children; however, the natural history of acute fluid collection (AFC) and pseudocyst is largely unknown. We evaluated the frequency, clinical characteristics, and natural history of pseudocysts in children with AP. METHODS: Children with AP admitted at Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences from 2001 to 2011 were enrolled and studied until complete resolution. Subjects with inadequate follow-up, recurrent AP, and chronic pancreatitis were excluded. RESULTS: Of the 58 children (43 boys, median age 14 [1-18] years) with AP, 34 (58.6%) and 22 (38%) developed AFC and pseudocyst, respectively. No difference in age (12 [4-18] vs 13 [1-16] years), etiology (idiopathic 64% vs 47% and traumatic 27.2% vs 22.2%), and systemic complications (pulmonary [18% vs 11%], renal [22.7% vs 11%], and shock [13.6% vs 10%]) was observed between children with and without pseudocyst. A total of 11 of the 22 subjects with pseudocyst underwent drainage, the commonest symptom requiring drainage being gastric outlet obstruction [n = 5] and infection [n = 2]. The 11 of the 22 children with AP and pseudocyst (size 6.4 [3-14.4] cm) showed spontaneous resolution (disappearance [n = 9] and significant reduction in size [n = 2]) during 110 (25-425) days. Symptomatic pseudocysts requiring drainage were more often secondary to traumatic AP (6/6 vs 2/14 [idiopathic], P = 0.0007) than asymptomatic pseudocysts resolving spontaneously. Overall, only 26.4% (9/34) children with AFC required drainage because of symptomatic pseudocyst. CONCLUSIONS: Among children with AP, 58.6% developed AFC and 38% developed pseudocysts. Only patients with symptomatic pseudocyst need drainage, and asymptomatic pseudocyst can be safely observed irrespective of size and duration of collection.

Laparoscopic management of pancreatic pseudocysts: experience at a general hospital in Mexico City.

BACKGROUND: Invasive management of pancreatic pseudocysts (PP) is currently indicated in those patients with symptoms or complications. Treatment options are classified as surgical (open and laparoscopic) and non-surgical (endoscopic and radiologic). AIM: To describe the morbidity, mortality, and efficacy in terms of technical and clinical success of the laparoscopic surgical approach in the treatment of patients with PP in the last 3 years at our hospital center. METHODS: We included patients with PP treated with laparoscopic surgery within the time frame of January 2012 and December 2014. The morbidity and mortality associated with the procedure were determined, together with the postoperative results in terms of effectiveness and recurrence. RESULTS: A total of 38 patients were diagnosed with PP within the last 3 years, but only 20 of them had invasive treatment. Laparoscopic surgery was performed on 17 of those patients (mean pseudocyst diameter of 15.3, primary drainage success rate of 94.1%, complication rate of 5.9%, and a 40-month follow-up). CONCLUSIONS: The results obtained with the laparoscopic technique used at our hospital center showed that this approach is feasible, efficacious, and safe. Thus, performed by skilled surgeons, it should be considered a treatment option for patients with PP.

Incidence, risk factors and clinical course of pancreatic fluid collections in acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis is an acute inflammatory process of the pancreas with variable involvement of other regional tissues or remote organ systems. Acute fluid collections and pseudocyst formation are the most frequent complications of acute pancreatitis. AIMS: The aims of this study were to evaluate the incidence, risk factors, and clinical course of pancreatic fluid collections and pseudocyst formation following acute pancreatitis. METHODS: A prospective multicenter study was conducted in five participating centers with 302 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis from January 2011 to July 2012. RESULTS: The incidence of pancreatic fluid collections and pseudocyst was 42.7 and 6.3 %, respectively. Patients with fluid collections were significantly younger, compared to those without fluid collections (51.5 ± 15.9 vs. 60.4 ± 16.5 years, P = 0.000). The proportion of alcoholic etiology (54.3 %) in patients with fluid collections was significantly higher compared to other etiologies (P = 0.000). C-reactive protein (CRP) (48 h) was significantly higher in patients with fluid collections, compared to patients without fluid collections (39.2 ± 77.4 vs. 15.1 ± 36.2 mg/dL, P = 0.016). LDH (48 h) was significantly higher in patients with pseudocyst formation, compared to patients with complete resolution (1,317.6 ± 706.4 vs. 478.7 ± 190.5 IU/L, P = 0.000). Pancreatic fluid collections showed spontaneous resolution in 69.8 % (90/129) and 84.2 % of the pseudocysts disappeared or decreased in size during follow up. CONCLUSIONS: Age, CRP (48 h), and alcohol etiology are risk factors for pancreatic fluid collections. LDH (48 h) appears to be a risk factor for pseudocyst formation. Most pseudocysts showed a decrease in size or spontaneous resolution with conservative management.

Acute peripancreatic fluid collection in acute pancreatitis: Incidence, outcome, and association with inflammatory markers.

Background: The hospital outcomes and predictors of acute peripancreatic fluid collection (APFC) have not been well-characterized. In this study, we aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of APFC in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) and the role of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), and C-reactive protein (CRP) level in predicting the occurrence of APFC. Methods: In this retrospective study, the complicated group (patients with APFC) and the uncomplicated group (patients without APFC) were compared for their clinical characteristics, hospital outcomes (mortality rate, intensive care unit admission rate, and length of hospital stay), pseudocyst formation, CRP levels, SII, and SIRI on admission and at 48 hours. Results: Of 132 patients with AP, 51 (38.6%) had APFC and eight (6.1%) had pancreatic pseudocysts. Of 51 patients with APFC, 15.7% had pancreatic pseudocysts. Pseudocyst did not develop in the uncomplicated group. SII value at 48 h [median 859 (541-1740) x 109/L vs. 610 (343-1259) x 109/L, P = 0.01] and CRP level at 48 h [89 (40-237) mg/L vs. 38 (12-122) mg/L, P = 0.01] were higher in the complicated group than in the uncomplicated group. The length of hospital stay was longer in the complicated group, compared with the uncomplicated group [median 8 days (5-15), vs. 4 days (3-7), P < 0.001, respectively]. No significant difference was detected between the two study groups' mortality rates and intensive care unit admission rates. Conclusions: While 38.6% of the AP patients had APFC, 6.1% of all patients and 15.7% of the patients with APFC had pancreatic pseudocysts. APFC was found to lengthen the hospital stay and to be associated with the SII value and CRP level measured at 48 h.

Outcome of pseudocysts complicating chronic pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Pancreatic pseudocysts are frequent complication of chronic pancreatitis with incidence rate from 20 to 40%. The aim of our study was to establish a possible correlation between clinical features and outcome of pseudocysts complicating chronic pancreatitis. METHODOLOGY: We included in the study 37 patients with chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic pseudocysts treated at the Department of Digestive Tract Diseases of Lodz Medical University between 2003-2008. For each patients the following parameters were recorded: number and location of pseudocysts, diameter, kind of treatment, recurrence rate and time of hospitalisation. RESULTS: The mean size of pancreatic pseudocysts was 7.8 cm (range 2-16 cm). Spontaneous regression was observed in 7 pseudocysts (18.9%), persistence without symptoms and without size enlargement in 9 patients (24.3%). Twenty one (56.8%) pseudocysts required therapeutic intervention: endoscopic procedures (27.1%), surgical treatment (18,.9%) or percutaneous drainage (10.8%). Mean pseudocyst size for conservative treated patients was 4.2 compared to 9.6 for patients with interventional treatment (p < 0.05). The overall recurrence rate was 33.3%. The mean hospital stay of patients treated endoscopically was significantly shorter than those treated surgically (p < 0.01) and shorter than those of percutaneous drainage (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Pseudocysts treatment in chronic pancreatitis may be effectively achieved by both endoscopic and surgical means. Nonetheless, the endoscopic drainage, with lower hospitalization period, should be considered for initial therapy in each appropriate patients.

[Endoscopic treatment of pancreatic pseudocysts].

The results of endoscopic treatment of 42 patients for pancreatic pseudocysts, including 8 (19%) women and 34 (81%) men, were analyzed. In 7 (16.7%) patients the complications had occurred and the pancreatic cyst recurrence after its endoscopic treatment--in 3 (7.1%).

The emerging role of endoscopic ultrasound for pancreaticobiliary diseases in the pediatric population.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is a useful diagnostic and therapeutic tool in the pediatric population. Given the high accuracy and sensitivity of EUS, it is particularly effective in evaluating pancreaticobiliary disease. Published literature in the use of pediatric EUS is limited. Therefore we aimed to review the current literature for EUS indications, safety, and effectiveness for the pediatric population. DATA SOURCES: English language articles on the use of pediatric endoscopic ultrasound in evaluating pancreaticobiliary diseases were retrieved from PubMed/ MEDLINE. RESULTS: We analyzed various retrospective studies and case series publications. Data were extrapolated for pediatric patients with pancreaticobiliary diseases. CONCLUSIONS: EUS offers superior imaging. It is comparible to magnetic resonance imaging and/or pancreatic-protocol computed tomography. In the current literature, there are a variety of pancreaticobiliary conditions where EUS was utilized to make a diagnosis. These include recurrent pancreatitis, congenital anomalies, microlithiasis, pancreatic pseudocysts, and pancreatic mass lesions. EUS was shown to be a safe and cost-effective modality with both diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities in the pediatric population. EUS is now increasingly being recognized as a standard of care when evaluating pancreaticobiliary conditions in children.

Chronic pancreatitis in Eastern India: Experience from a tertiary care center.

There is a wide variation in the clinical presentation of chronic pancreatitis (CP) in the different parts of India. Data regarding the clinical profile of CP from eastern India are scarce. We describe the clinical and demographic profiles of patients with CP in eastern India. Consecutive patients were evaluated for the clinical presentation, etiology and complication of CP. One hundred and thirty-nine patients with CP (mean age 39.57±14.88 years; M/F 3.48:1) were included. Idiopathic CP (50.35%) was the most common etiology followed by alcohol (33.81%); 68.34% had calcific CP and 31.65% had noncalcific CP. The median duration of symptoms was 24 (1-240) months. Pain was the most common symptom, being present in 93.52% of the patients. Diabetes, steatorrhea and pseudocyst were present in 45.32%, 14.38% and 7.19% of the cases, respectively. Moderate to severe anemia was revealed in 16.53% of the patients. Benign biliary stricture was diagnosed in 19.42% of the cases (symptomatic in 6.47%). The common radiological findings were the following: pancreatic calculi (68.34%), dilated pancreatic duct (PD) (58.99%), parenchymal atrophy (25.89%) and PD stricture (23.74%). In our center, idiopathic CP followed by alcoholic CP was the most frequent form of CP. Tropical CP was distinctly uncommon.

Pancreatic disorders in children: relationship of postoperative morbidity and the indication for surgery.

Pancreatic surgery in children is a rare occurrence, and this unfamiliarity can be associated with the assumption of significant morbidity and mortality. The indication for pediatric pancreatic surgery and its relationship to postoperative complications and mortality was evaluated. Patients with pancreatic disease requiring surgical intervention from 1992 to 2004 at a tertiary referral center were retrospectively reviewed. Disorders were divided into 3 categories: 1) pancreatitis, 2) trauma, and 3) tumors. Sixty-two patients (28 males and 34 females), average age was 9.5 years (range, 1 week-18 years), underwent 72 operations. Thirty-seven procedures in 30 category I patients, 18 procedures in 15 category II, and 17 operations in 17 category III. There was only one death. A total of 33.9 per cent of the patients had postoperative complications that included: infection (11%), pseudocyst (6%), diabetes mellitus (5.6%), pancreatic fistula (3%), bowel obstruction (1.3%), extracellular fluid (1.3%), pleural effusion (1.3%), and recurrent abdominal pain (13%) (all in category I patients). There was equivalent morbidity between all 3 groups but unique differences with in the categories. Recurrent abdominal pain characterized category I patients, fistulas were more common in category II, and diabetes mellitus was primarily related to near total excisions in category III. Pancreatic surgery in children is associated with a very low mortality (1.6%) and morbidity equal to that of adult patients. Unique types of morbidities occur with each category of disease state.

Management of acute pancreatitis in Japan: Analysis of nationwide epidemiological survey.

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an acute inflammatory disease of the exocrine pancreas. In Japan, nationwide epidemiological surveys have been conducted every 4 to 5 years by the Research Committee of Intractable Pancreatic Diseases, under the support of the Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare of Japan. We reviewed the results of the nationwide surveys focusing on the severity assessment and changes in the therapeutic strategy for walled-off necrosis. The severity assessment system currently used in Japan consists of 9 prognostic factors and the imaging grade on contrast-enhanced computed tomography. By univariate analysis, all of the 9 prognostic factors were associated with AP-related death. A multivariate analysis identified 4 out of the 9 prognostic factors (base excess or shock, renal failure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria, and age) that were associated with AP-related death. Receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis showed that the area under the curve was 0.82 for these 4 prognostic factors and 0.84 for the 9 prognostic factors, suggesting the comparable utility of these 4 factors in the severity assessment. We also examined the temporal changes in treatment strategy for walled-off necrosis in Japan according to the 2003, 2007, and 2011 surveys. Step-up approaches and less-invasive endoscopic therapies were uncommon in 2003 and 2007, but became popular in 2011. Mortality has been decreasing in patients who require intervention for walled-off necrosis. In conclusion, the nationwide survey revealed the comparable utility of 4 prognostic factors in the severity assessment and the increased use of less-invasive, step-up approaches with improved clinical outcomes in the management of walled-off necrosis.

Clinical characteristics of acute pancreatitis patients with elevated serum triglyceride concentration.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical characteristics of acute pancreatitis (AP) patients with elevated serum triglyceride (TG) concentration. METHODS: Ninety-nine cases of AP admitted from January 2000 to January 2002 were analyzed: 28 cases comprised the TG-elevated group (serum TG >1.7 mmol/L) and 71 cases were the TG-normal group (serum TG

Predictive factors for pseudocysts and peripancreatic collections in acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a proteiform disease which may lead to various complications. Pancreatic pseudocysts and fluid collections are among the most frequent of them. The aim of our study was to find predictive factors of their occurrence. METHODS: We carried out a retrospective cohort study comprising one year patients admitted to our department with AP. Fisher's exact and U Mann Whitney tests were used for correlations, with a probability of error < 5% (p<0.05). RESULTS: We included 62 patients with a mean age of 49 years; 77.4% were males. AP etiology was due to alcohol (58.1%), biliary disorders (22.6%), hyper-triglycerides (8.1%) and post-ERCP (3.2%). Pancreatic cancer was revealed in (6.5%) patients. From the whole group 2 patients (3.2%) died. There were 22 patients with pseudocysts (35.5%) and 13 patients with acute fluid collections (21%). Multiple pseudocysts were present in 12 cases (54.5%), mean diameter was 39.5 mm. Pancreatic head localization was most frequent (63.6%). Alcoholic etiology was associated with acute pseudocysts formation (p=0.007) as well as lower values of alkaline phosphatase (96 U/L versus 286 U/L, p = 0.016). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve demonstrated values of alkaline phosphatase < 2 x upper normal values were predicting pseudocyst occurrence with > 90% specificity. Presence of ascites predicted formation of acute fluid collections, (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Alcoholic etiology and low values of serum alkaline phosphatase seem to predict pseudocysts formation in acute pancreatitis, while ascites forecast acute fluid collections occurrence.