[The predictive value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for in-hospital outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction: China PEACE-retrospective acute myocardial infarction study].

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for in-hospital outcomes of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods: Data of 23 728 patients from the China patient-centered Evaluative Assessment of cardiac Events (China PEACE)Retrospective Acute Myocardial Infarction Study were analyzed retrospectively. The patients were categorized into 3 groups according to the CHA2DS2-VASc scores the low score group (score 1-3), the middle score group (score 4-6) and the high score group (score 7-9). The in-hospital outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), death, death or withdrawal from treatment, reinfarction, ischemic stroke,etc. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was incorporated into multivariate Cox regression analyses to determine its independent impact on in-hospital outcomes. Receiver operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for in-hospital mortality and death or withdrawal from treatment, respectively. Results: The patients had a median age of 66 (56,75) years, and 30.7% of them were females. Patients with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores had a higher in-hospital mortality and more in-hospital complications (all P<0.001). After adjustment of baseline covariates, the subjects in the high score group were associated with high risks of in-hospital mortality (OR=6.13, 95%CI 4.77-7.87, P<0.001), death or treatment withdrawal (OR=6.43, 95%CI 5.16-8.00, P<0.001) and MACE (OR=4.94, 95%CI 4.06-6.01, P<0.001). The AUCs of the CHA2DS2-VASc score were comparable with those of the mini-global registry of acute coronary events(mini-GRACE)score in evaluation of in-hospital mortality (0.699 vs. 0.696, P=0.752) and the death or treatment withdrawal risk (0.708 vs. 0.713, P=0.489). Conclusions: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is an independent predictor of in-hospital outcomes for patients with AMI. Its predictive value was comparable with the mini-GRACE score, which could be used as a simple tool for early and rapid outcome evaluation for AMI patients.