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Combining rapid antigen testing and syndromic surveillance improves community-based COVID-19 detection in a low-income country.
Chadwick, Fergus J; Clark, Jessica; Chowdhury, Shayan; Chowdhury, Tasnuva; Pascall, David J; Haddou, Yacob; Andrecka, Joanna; Kundegorski, Mikolaj; Wilkie, Craig; Brum, Eric; Shirin, Tahmina; Alamgir, A S M; Rahman, Mahbubur; Alam, Ahmed Nawsher; Khan, Farzana; Swallow, Ben; Mair, Frances S; Illian, Janine; Trotter, Caroline L; Hill, Davina L; Husmeier, Dirk; Matthiopoulos, Jason; Hampson, Katie; Sania, Ayesha.
Affiliation
  • Chadwick FJ; Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK. fergusjchadwick@gmail.com.
  • Clark J; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK. fergusjchadwick@gmail.com.
  • Chowdhury S; Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Chowdhury T; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Pascall DJ; a2i, United Nations Development Program, ICT Ministry, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Haddou Y; Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Andrecka J; MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
  • Kundegorski M; Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Wilkie C; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Brum E; Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations in support of the UN Interagency Support Team, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Shirin T; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Alamgir ASM; School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Rahman M; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Alam AN; School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Khan F; Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations in support of the UN Interagency Support Team, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Swallow B; Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Mair FS; Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Illian J; Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Trotter CL; Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Hill DL; Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
  • Husmeier D; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Matthiopoulos J; School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Hampson K; General Practice and Primary Care, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
  • Sania A; COVID-19 in LMICs Research Group, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 2877, 2022 05 26.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35618714
Diagnostics for COVID-19 detection are limited in many settings. Syndromic surveillance is often the only means to identify cases but lacks specificity. Rapid antigen testing is inexpensive and easy-to-deploy but can lack sensitivity. We examine how combining these approaches can improve surveillance for guiding interventions in low-income communities in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Rapid-antigen-testing with PCR validation was performed on 1172 symptomatically-identified individuals in their homes. Statistical models were fitted to predict PCR-status using rapid-antigen-test results, syndromic data, and their combination. Under contrasting epidemiological scenarios, the models' predictive and classification performance was evaluated. Models combining rapid-antigen-testing and syndromic data yielded equal-to-better performance to rapid-antigen-test-only models across all scenarios with their best performance in the epidemic growth scenario. These results show that drawing on complementary strengths across rapid diagnostics, improves COVID-19 detection, and reduces false-positive and -negative diagnoses to match local requirements; improvements achievable without additional expense, or changes for patients or practitioners.
Subject(s)

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Epidemics / COVID-19 Type of study: Diagnostic_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies / Screening_studies Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: En Journal: Nat Commun Journal subject: BIOLOGIA / CIENCIA Year: 2022 Type: Article

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Epidemics / COVID-19 Type of study: Diagnostic_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies / Screening_studies Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Asia Language: En Journal: Nat Commun Journal subject: BIOLOGIA / CIENCIA Year: 2022 Type: Article