Development and validation of a clinical and ultrasound features-based nomogram for preoperative differentiation of renal urothelial carcinoma and central renal cell carcinoma.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop and validate an ultrasound (US)-based nomogram for the preoperative differentiation of renal urothelial carcinoma (rUC) from central renal cell carcinoma (c-RCC). METHODS: Clinical data and US images of 655 patients with 655 histologically confirmed malignant renal tumors (521 c-RCCs and 134 rUCs) were collected and divided into training (n = 455) and validation (n = 200) cohorts according to examination dates. Conventional US and contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) tumor features were analyzed to determine those that could discriminate rUC from c-RCC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to screen clinical and US features for the differentiation of rUC from c-RCC. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, a diagnostic model of rUC was constructed and visualized as a nomogram. The diagnostic model's performance was assessed in the training and validation cohorts by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plot. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical usefulness of the US-based nomogram. RESULTS: Seven features of both clinical features and ultrasound imaging were selected to build the diagnostic model. The nomogram achieved favorable discrimination in the training (AUC = 0.996, 95% CI 0.993-0.999) and validation (AUC = 0.995, 95% CI 0.974, 1.000) cohorts, and good calibration (Brier scores 0.019 and 0.016, respectively). DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the US-based nomogram. CONCLUSION: A noninvasive clinical and US-based nomogram combining conventional US and CEUS features possesses good predictive value for differentiating rUC from c-RCC.