The MIDA Mortality Risk Score: development and external validation of a prognostic model for early and late death in degenerative mitral regurgitation.
Eur Heart J
; 39(15): 1281-1291, 2018 04 14.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-29020352
ABSTRACT
Aims:
In degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR), lack of mortality scores predicting death favours misperception of individual patients' risk and inappropriate decision-making. Methods andresults:
The Mitral Regurgitation International Database (MIDA) registries include 3666 patients (age 66 ± 14 years; 70% males; follow-up 7.8 ± 5.0 years) with pure, isolated, DMR consecutively diagnosed by echocardiography at tertiary (European/North/South-American) centres. The MIDA Score was derived from the MIDA-Flail-Registry (2472 patients with DMR and flail leaflet-Derivation Cohort) by weighting all guideline-provided prognostic markers, and externally validated in the MIDA-BNP-Registry (1194 patients with DMR and flail leaflet/prolapse-Validation Cohort). The MIDA Score ranged from 0 to 12 depending on accumulating risk factors. In predicting total mortality post-diagnosis, the MIDA Score showed excellent concordance both in Derivation Cohort (c = 0.78) and Validation Cohort (c = 0.81). In the whole MIDA population (n = 3666 patients), 1-year mortality with Scores 0, 7-8, and 11-12 was 0.4, 17, and 48% under medical management and 1, 7, and 14% after surgery, respectively (P < 0.001). Five-year survival with Scores 0, 7-8, and 11-12 was 98 ± 1, 57 ± 4, and 21 ± 10% under medical management and 99 ± 1, 82 ± 2, and 57 ± 9% after surgery (P < 0.001). In models including all guideline-provided prognostic markers and the EuroScoreII, the MIDA Score provided incremental prognostic information (P ≤ 0.002).Conclusion:
The MIDA Score may represent an innovative tool for DMR management, being able to position a given patient within a continuous spectrum of short- and long-term mortality risk, either under medical or surgical management. This innovative prognostic indicator may provide a specific framework for future clinical trials aiming to compare new technologies for DMR treatment in homogeneous risk categories of patients.
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Banco de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Válvula Mitral
/
Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral
Tipo de estudio:
Etiology_studies
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Guideline
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Límite:
Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle aged
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Eur Heart J
Año:
2018
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Italia