Ninety-Day Readmissions of Bundled Valve Patients: Implications for Healthcare Policy.

ABSTRACT

Medicare's Bundle Payment for Care Improvement (BPCI) Model 2 groups reimbursement for valve surgery into 90-day episodes of care, which include operative costs, inpatient stay, physician fees, postacute care, and readmissions up to 90 days postprocedure. We analyzed our BPCI patients' 90-day outcomes to understand the late financial risks and implications of the bundle payment system for valve patients. All BPCI valve patients from October 2013 (start of risk-sharing phase) to December 2015 were included. Readmissions were categorized as early (≤30 days) or late (31-90 days). Data were collected from institutional databases as well as Medicare claims. Analysis included 376 BPCI valve patients 202 open and 174 transcatheter aortic valves (TAVR). TAVR patients were older (83.6 vs 73.8 years; P = 0.001) and had higher Society of Thoracic Surgery predicted risk (7.1% vs 2.8%; P = 0.001). Overall, 18.6% of patients (70/376) had one-or-more 90-day readmission, and total claim was on average 51% greater for these patients. Overall readmissions were more common among TAVR patients (22.4% (39/174) vs 15.3% (31/202), P = 0.052) as was late readmission. TAVR patients had significantly higher late readmission claims, and early readmission was predictive of late readmission for TAVR patients only (P = 0.04). Bundled claims for a 90-day episode of care are significantly increased in patients with readmissions. TAVR patients represent a high-risk group for late readmission, possibly a reflection of their chronic disease processes. Being able to identify patients at highest risk for 90-day readmission and the associated claims will be valuable as we enter into risk-bearing episodes of care agreements with Medicare.