Preexisting diabetes, serum calcium and D-dimer levels as predictable risk factors for pancreatic necrosis of patients with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Some individuals with acute pancreatitis (AP) suffer from pancreatic necrosis. Diabetes affects the severity of AP, but whether diabetes influences pancreatic necrosis is unclear. This study aims to investigate the clinical characteristics of AP patients with and without diabetes as well as analyze the risk factors of pancreatic necrosis. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 625 AP patients participated in the study. Clinical and laboratory data were retrieved. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors for pancreatic necrosis. ROC curves assess the accuracy of indicators for predicting pancreatic necrosis in AP. RESULTS: AP patients with diabetes had high BMI, CTSI scores, pancreatitis severity, WBC, neutrophil, CRP, triacylglycerols and glucose levels. Diabetes, serum calcium and D-dimer were independent risk factors for pancreatic necrosis. Pancreatic necrosis in diabetes patients is also associated with sex and age. D-dimer is a better predictor of pancreatic necrosis in AP patients than serum calcium. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetic patients are more likely to suffer severe AP. Serum calcium and D-dimer are independent predictors for pancreatic necrosis. Furthermore, low serum calcium, high D-dimer levels, younger age and female sex are independent risk factors for pancreatic necrosis in AP patients with diabetes.