A systematic review and meta-analysis of the stability of peripheral immune markers in healthy adults.

Peripheral immune markers are widely used to predict risk for inflammatory disease. However, whether single assessments of inflammatory biomarkers represent stable individual differences remains unclear. We reviewed 50 studies (N = 48,674; 57 % male; mean age 54 (range 13-79) years) that assessed markers of inflammation on >1 occasion, with time between measures ranging from 24 h to 7+ years. Separate random effects meta-analyses were conducted for each inflammatory marker and time interval. Markers that had broad coverage across most time intervals included C-reactive protein (CRP; k = 37), interleukin (IL)-6 (k = 22), TNF-α (k = 10), and fibrinogen (Fg; k = 9). For CRP, IL-6, and TNF-α, stability estimates generally decreased with time, with strong to moderate stability over intervals <6 months (r's = 0.80-0.61), modest to moderate stability over 6 months - 3 years (r's = 0.60-0.51), and low stability for >3 years (r's = 0.39-0.30). Estimates were less reliable for Fg for time intervals ≤ 3 years although they generally followed the same pattern; more reliable findings suggested greater stability for Fg than other markers for intervals >3 years (r = 0.53). These findings suggest that single measures of inflammatory biomarkers may be an adequate index of stable individual differences in the short term (<6 months), with repeated measures of inflammatory biomarkers recommended over intervals ≥ 6 months to 3 years, and absolutely necessary over intervals >3 years to reliably identify stable individual differences in health risk. These findings are consistent with stability estimates and clinical recommendations for repeated measurement of other cardiovascular measures of risk (e.g., blood lipids, blood pressure).