SMAD4 loss predicts worse overall and distant metastasis-free survival in patients with resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: In select patients, pancreatic adenocarcinoma remains a local disease, yet there are no validated biomarkers to predict this behavior and who may benefit from aggressive local treatments. This study sought to determine if SMAD4 (mothers against decapentaplegic homolog 4) messenger RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) expression is a robust method for predicting overall survival (OS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in patients with resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma. METHODS: Utilizing The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC), 322 patients with resected stage I-III pancreatic adenocarcinoma were identified. In TCGA, multivariable proportional hazards models were used to determine the association of SMAD4 genomic aberrations and RNA-seq expression with OS and DMFS. In the ICGC, analysis sought to confirm the predictive performance of RNA-seq via multivariable models and receiver operator characteristic curves. RESULTS: In TCGA, the presence of SMAD4 genomic aberrations was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.55; 95% CI, 1.00-2.40; p = .048) but not DMFS (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, .87-2.03; p = .19). Low SMAD4 RNA-seq expression was associated with worse OS (HR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.17-2.86; p = .008) and DMFS (HR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.14-2.54; p = .009). In the ICGC, increased SMAD4 RNA-seq expression correlated with improved OS (area under the curve [AUC], .92; 95% CI, .86-.94) and DMFS (AUC, .84; 95% CI, .82-.87). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma, SMAD4 genomic aberrations are associated with worse OS but do not predict for DMFS. Increased SMAD4 RNA-seq expression is associated with improved OS and DMFS in patients with resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma. This reproducible finding suggests SMAD4 RNA-seq expression may be a useful marker to predict metastatic spread.