RESUMEN
Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a life-threatening condition affecting >10% of intensive care unit (ICU) patients worldwide with a mortality of up to 59% depending on severity. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is a potentially life-saving procedure in severe ARDS but is technically and financially challenging. In recent years, various scoring systems have been proposed to select patients most likely to benefit from ECMO, with the PREdiction of Survival on ECMO Therapy (PRESET) score being one of the most used. We collected data from 283 patients with ARDS of various etiology who underwent veno-venous (V-V) ECMO therapy at a German tertiary care ICU from January 2012 to December 2022. Median age in the cohort was 56 years, and 64.31% were males. The in-hospital mortality rate was 50.88% (n = 144). The median (25%; 75% quartile) severity scores were 38 (31; 49) for Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, 12 (10; 13) for Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and 7 (5; 8) for PRESET. Simplified Acute Physiology Score-II displayed the best prognostic value (area under the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC]: 0.665 [confidence interval (CI): 0.574-0.756; p = 0.046]). Prediction performance was weak in all analyzed scores despite good calibration. Simplified Acute Physiology Score-II had the best discrimination after adjustment of our original cohort. The use of scores explored in this study for patient selection for eligibility for V-V ECMO is not recommendable.
RESUMEN
Target values for arterial carbon dioxide tension (PaCO2) in extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are unknown. We hypothesized that lower PaCO2 values on ECMO would be associated with lighter sedation. We used data from two independent patient cohorts with ARDS spending 1,177 days (discovery cohort, 69 patients) and 516 days (validation cohort, 70 patients) on ECMO and evaluated the associations between daily PaCO2, pH, and bicarbonate (HCO3) with sedation. Median PaCO2 was 41 (interquartile range [IQR] = 37-46) mm Hg and 41 (IQR = 37-45) mm Hg in the discovery and the validation cohort, respectively. Lower PaCO2 and higher pH but not bicarbonate (HCO3) served as significant predictors for reaching a Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale (RASS) target range of -2 to +1 (lightly sedated to restless). After multivariable adjustment for mortality, tracheostomy, prone positioning, vasoactive inotropic score, Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II or Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) Score and day on ECMO, only PaCO2 remained significantly associated with the RASS target range (adjusted odds ratio 1.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.21], p = 0.032 and 1.29 [95% CI = 1.1-1.51], p = 0.001 per mm Hg decrease in PaCO2 for the discovery and the validation cohort, respectively). A PaCO2 ≤40 mm Hg, as determined by the concordance probability method, was associated with a significantly increased probability of a sedation level within the RASS target range in both patient cohorts (adjusted odds ratio = 2.92 [95% CI = 1.17-7.24], p = 0.021 and 6.82 [95% CI = 1.50-31.0], p = 0.013 for the discovery and the validation cohort, respectively).