Severe Cholestasis Predicts Recurrent Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis Following Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND AIMS: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) may reoccur following liver transplantation (LT) and the diagnosis established once imaging studies demonstrate the diagnostic cholangiographic appearance. To evaluate whether the development of recurrent PSC (rPSC) is associated with cholestasis soon after LT, we studied whether changes in hepatic biochemistry within the first 12 months were linked with the development of rPSC and graft loss. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 158 transplant recipients with PSC in Canada, and 549 PSC transplant recipients from the United Kingdom. We evaluated serum liver tests within 12 months after LT and the subsequent development of a cholangiographic diagnosis of rPSC as a time-dependent covariate using Cox regression. Severe cholestasis was defined as either alkaline phosphatase> 3xupper limit of normal or total bilirubin> 100 µmol/L. RESULTS: Patients who developed rPSC were more likely to have severe cholestasis versus those without at 3 months (20.5% vs 8.2%, p=0.011), at 6 months (17.9% vs. 10.0%, p=0.026) and 12 months (15.4% vs. 7.8%, p=0.051) in the Canadian cohort and at 12 months in the UK cohort (27.9% vs. 12.6%, p<0.0001). By multivariable analysis, development of severe cholestasis in the Canadian cohort at 3 months (HR=2.41, p=0.046) and in the UK cohort at 12 months (HR=3.141, p<0.0001) were both associated with rPSC. Severe cholestasis at 3 months in the Canadian cohort was predictive of graft loss (HR=3.88, p=0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The development of cholestasis within 3 to 12 months following LT was predictive of rPSC and graft loss.

Ethnicity, disease severity, and survival in Canadian patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We investigated associations between ethnicity, survival, and disease severity in a diverse Canadian cohort of patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with PBC were included from the Canadian Network for Autoimmune Liver Disease. Ethnicity was defined using a modified list adopted from Statistics Canada, and ethnicities with small samples were grouped. Clinical events were defined as liver decompensation, HCC, liver transplantation, or death. Clinical event-free and liver transplantation-free survival were analyzed using Cox regression. Trajectories of serum liver function tests were assessed over time using mixed-effects regression. Health-related quality of life was assessed using the Short Form 36, the PBC-40 questionnaire, and the 5-D Itch scale and analyzed using mixed-effects regression. The cohort included 1538 patients with PBC from six sites and was comprised of 82% White, 4.7% Indigenous, 5.5% East Asian, 2.6% South Asian, and 5.1% miscellaneous ethnicities. Indigenous patients were the only ethnic group with impaired liver transplant-free and event-free survival compared to White patients (HR, 3.66; 95% CI, 2.23-6.01; HR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.94-4.92). Indigenous patients were more likely to have a clinical event before diagnosis (10%) than all other ethnic groups despite similar age at diagnosis. Indigenous patients presented with higher alkaline phosphatase, total bilirubin, and GLOBE scores than White patients; and these relative elevations persisted during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Indigenous Canadians with PBC present with advanced disease and have worse long-term outcomes compared to White patients.

Loss of biochemical response at any time worsens outcomes in UDCA-treated patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

Background & Aims: Biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) therapy is associated with good prognosis in people living with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Biochemical response is typically assessed early in disease and it is not known what proportion of patients lose previously attained biochemical response, nor whether this impacts long-term liver transplant (LT)-free survival. Methods: We identified all UDCA-treated patients with PBC from the Canadian Network for Autoimmune Liver disease with biochemical measurements at 1 year, and evaluated their liver biochemistry over time. Inadequate biochemical response was defined as serum alkaline phosphatase ≥1.67x the upper limit of normal or abnormal serum total bilirubin at 1 year of UDCA therapy and all time points thereafter. Multistate Markov models were used to estimate transition rates between biochemical response states and from each state to LT or death. Results were validated in an external cohort (GLOBAL PBC registry). Results: A total of 823 patients from eight centers were included. Mean age at diagnosis was 53 years, 91% were female, 33% had inadequate biochemical response to UDCA at 1 year (n = 269). Patients who retained initial adequate response had lower rates of LT or death compared to patients who subsequently lost response (relative rate 0.102, 95% CI 0.047-0.223). Patients who regained adequate response had lower rates than patients who did not (0.016, 95% CI 0.001-0.568), and patients who lost response once more (0.010, 95% CI 0.001-0.340). Patients who regained adequate response for a third time also had lower rates than patients who did not (0.151, 95% CI 0.040-0.566). Analyses in the GLOBAL PBC registry (n = 2,237) validated these results. Conclusion: Loss of biochemical response at any time is associated with heightened risks of LT or death in people living with PBC. Achievement of biochemical response is an important goal throughout follow-up, regardless of biochemical response profile early in therapy. Impact and implications: Early biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid is associated with good prognosis in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). Our work demonstrates that patients with PBC transition between biochemical response states over time, and that these transitions correspond with changes in risk of liver transplantation or death. Clinicians should re-evaluate risk and optimize treatment decisions for patients with PBC throughout follow-up, regardless of early biochemical response to therapy.