Hybridizing machine learning in survival analysis of cardiac PET/CT imaging.

BACKGROUND: Machine Learning (ML) allows integration of the numerous variables delivered by cardiac PET/CT, while traditional survival analysis can provide explainable prognostic estimates from a restricted number of input variables. We implemented a hybrid ML-and-survival analysis of multimodal PET/CT data to identify patients who developed myocardial infarction (MI) or death in long-term follow up. METHODS: Data from 739 intermediate risk patients who underwent coronary CT and selectively stress 15O-water-PET perfusion were analyzed for the occurrence of MI and all-cause mortality. Images were evaluated segmentally for atherosclerosis and absolute myocardial perfusion through 75 variables that were integrated through ML into an ML-CCTA and an ML-PET score. These scores were then modeled along with clinical variables through Cox regression. This hybridized model was compared against an expert interpretation-based and a calcium score-based model. RESULTS: Compared with expert- and calcium score-based models, the hybridized ML-survival model showed the highest performance (CI .81 vs .71 and .64). The strongest predictor for outcomes was the ML-CCTA score. CONCLUSION: Prognostic modeling of PET/CT data for the long-term occurrence of adverse events may be improved through ML imaging score integration and subsequent traditional survival analysis with clinical variables. This hybridization of methods offers an alternative to traditional survival modeling of conventional expert image scoring and interpretation.

Genome-Wide Association Study and Identification of a Protective Missense Variant on Lipoprotein(a) Concentration: Protective Missense Variant on Lipoprotein(a) Concentration-Brief Report.

[Figure: see text].

Multi-task Deep Learning of Myocardial Blood Flow and Cardiovascular Risk Traits from PET Myocardial Perfusion Imaging.

BACKGROUND: Advanced cardiac imaging with positron emission tomography (PET) is a powerful tool for the evaluation of known or suspected cardiovascular disease. Deep learning (DL) offers the possibility to abstract highly complex patterns to optimize classification and prediction tasks. METHODS AND RESULTS: We utilized DL models with a multi-task learning approach to identify an impaired myocardial flow reserve (MFR <2.0 ml/g/min) as well as to classify cardiovascular risk traits (factors), namely sex, diabetes, arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia and smoking at the individual-patient level from PET myocardial perfusion polar maps using transfer learning. Performance was assessed on a hold-out test set through the area under receiver operating curve (AUC). DL achieved the highest AUC of 0.94 [0.87-0.98] in classifying an impaired MFR in reserve perfusion polar maps. Fine-tuned DL for the classification of cardiovascular risk factors yielded the highest performance in the identification of sex from stress polar maps (AUC = 0.81 [0.73, 0.88]). Identification of smoking achieved an AUC = 0.71 [0.58, 0.85] from the analysis of rest polar maps. The identification of dyslipidemia and arterial hypertension showed poor performance and was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Multi-task DL for the evaluation of quantitative PET myocardial perfusion polar maps is able to identify an impaired MFR as well as cardiovascular risk traits such as sex, smoking and possibly diabetes at the individual-patient level.

Artificial Intelligence to Improve Risk Prediction with Nuclear Cardiac Studies.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: As machine learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) continues to revolutionize the way in which we analyze data, the field of nuclear cardiology provides fertile ground for the implementation of these complex analytics. This review summarizes and discusses the principles regarding nuclear cardiology techniques and AI, and the current evidence regarding its performance and contribution to the improvement of risk prediction in cardiovascular disease. There is a growing body of evidence on the experimentation with and implementation of machine learning-based AI on nuclear cardiology studies both concerning SPECT and PET technology for the improvement of risk-of-disease (classification of disease) and risk-of-events (prediction of adverse events) estimations. These publications still report objective divergence in methods either utilizing statistical machine learning approaches or deep learning with varying architectures, dataset sizes, and performance. Recent efforts have been placed into bringing standardization and quality to the experimentation and application of machine learning-based AI in cardiovascular imaging to generate standards in data harmonization and analysis through AI. Machine learning-based AI offers the possibility to improve risk evaluation in cardiovascular disease through its implementation on cardiac nuclear studies. AI in improving risk evaluation in nuclear cardiology. * Based on the 2019 ESC guidelines.

Single-Cell Dissection of the Immune Response After Acute Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: The immune system's role in ST-segment-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) remains poorly characterized but is an important driver of recurrent cardiovascular events. While anti-inflammatory drugs show promise in reducing recurrence risk, their broad immune system impairment may induce severe side effects. To overcome these challenges, a nuanced understanding of the immune response to STEMI is needed. METHODS: For this, we compared peripheral blood mononuclear single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) and plasma protein expression over time (hospital admission, 24 hours, and 6-8 weeks post-STEMI) in 38 patients and 38 controls (95 995 diseased and 33 878 control peripheral blood mononuclear cells). RESULTS: Compared with controls, classical monocytes were increased and CD56dim natural killer cells were decreased in patients with STEMI at admission and persisted until 24 hours post-STEMI. The largest gene expression changes were observed in monocytes, associating with changes in toll-like receptor, interferon, and interleukin signaling activity. Finally, a targeted cardiovascular biomarker panel revealed expression changes in 33/92 plasma proteins post-STEMI. Interestingly, interleukin-6R, MMP9 (matrix metalloproteinase-9), and LDLR (low-density lipoprotein receptor) were affected by coronary artery disease-associated genetic risk variation, disease status, and time post-STEMI, indicating the importance of considering these aspects when defining potential future therapies. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses revealed the immunologic pathways disturbed by STEMI, specifying affected cell types and disease stages. Additionally, we provide insights into patients expected to benefit most from anti-inflammatory treatments by identifying the genetic variants and disease stage at which these variants affect the outcome of these (drug-targeted) pathways. These findings advance our knowledge of the immune response post-STEMI and provide guidance for future therapeutic studies.

Multiomic analyses uncover immunological signatures in acute and chronic coronary syndromes.

Acute and chronic coronary syndromes (ACS and CCS) are leading causes of mortality. Inflammation is considered a key pathogenic driver of these diseases, but the underlying immune states and their clinical implications remain poorly understood. Multiomic factor analysis (MOFA) allows unsupervised data exploration across multiple data types, identifying major axes of variation and associating these with underlying molecular processes. We hypothesized that applying MOFA to multiomic data obtained from blood might uncover hidden sources of variance and provide pathophysiological insights linked to clinical needs. Here we compile a longitudinal multiomic dataset of the systemic immune landscape in both ACS and CCS (n = 62 patients in total, n = 15 women and n = 47 men) and validate this in an external cohort (n = 55 patients in total, n = 11 women and n = 44 men). MOFA reveals multicellular immune signatures characterized by distinct monocyte, natural killer and T cell substates and immune-communication pathways that explain a large proportion of inter-patient variance. We also identify specific factors that reflect disease state or associate with treatment outcome in ACS as measured using left ventricular ejection fraction. Hence, this study provides proof-of-concept evidence for the ability of MOFA to uncover multicellular immune programs in cardiovascular disease, opening new directions for mechanistic, biomarker and therapeutic studies.

Genome-Wide Interaction Analyses of Serum Calcium on Ventricular Repolarization Time in 125 393 Participants.

BACKGROUND: Ventricular repolarization time (ECG QT and JT intervals) is associated with malignant arrhythmia. Genome-wide association studies have identified 230 independent loci for QT and JT; however, 50% of their heritability remains unexplained. Previous work supports a causal effect of lower serum calcium concentrations on longer ventricular repolarization time. We hypothesized calcium interactions with QT and JT variant associations could explain a proportion of the missing heritability. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed genome-wide calcium interaction analyses for QT and JT intervals. Participants were stratified by their calcium level relative to the study distribution (top or bottom 20%). We performed a 2-stage analysis (genome-wide discovery [N=62 532] and replication [N=59 861] of lead variants) and a single-stage genome-wide meta-analysis (N=122 393, [European ancestry N=117 581, African ancestry N=4812]). We also calculated 2-degrees of freedom joint main and interaction and 1-degree of freedom interaction P values. In 2-stage and single-stage analyses, 50 and 98 independent loci, respectively, were associated with either QT or JT intervals (2-degrees of freedom joint main and interaction P value <5×10-8). No lead variant had a significant interaction result after correcting for multiple testing and sensitivity analyses provided similar findings. Two loci in the single-stage meta-analysis were not reported previously (SPPL2B and RFX6). CONCLUSIONS: We have found limited support for an interaction effect of serum calcium on QT and JT variant associations despite sample sizes with suitable power to detect relevant effects. Therefore, such effects are unlikely to explain a meaningful proportion of the heritability of QT and JT, and factors including rare variation and other environmental interactions need to be considered.

Selecting cardiac magnetic resonance images suitable for annotation of pulmonary arteries using an active-learning based deep learning model.

An increasing and aging patient population poses a growing burden on healthcare professionals. Automation of medical imaging diagnostics holds promise for enhancing patient care and reducing manpower required to accommodate an increasing patient-population. Deep learning, a subset of machine learning, has the potential to facilitate automated diagnostics, but commonly requires large-scaled labeled datasets. In medical domains, data is often abundant but labeling is a laborious and costly task. Active learning provides a method to optimize the selection of unlabeled samples that are most suitable for improvement of the model and incorporate them into the model training process. This approach proves beneficial when only a small number of labeled samples are available. Various selection methods currently exist, but most of them employ fixed querying schedules. There is limited research on how the timing of a query can impact performance in relation to the number of queried samples. This paper proposes a novel approach called dynamic querying, which aims to optimize the timing of queries to enhance model development while utilizing as few labeled images as possible. The performance of the proposed model is compared to a model trained utilizing a fully-supervised training method, and its effectiveness is assessed based on dataset size requirements and loss rates. Dynamic querying demonstrates a considerably faster learning curve in relation to the number of labeled samples used, achieving an accuracy of 70% using only 24 samples, compared to 82% for a fully-supervised model trained on the complete training dataset of 1017 images.

Genetic architecture of spatial electrical biomarkers for cardiac arrhythmia and relationship with cardiovascular disease.

The 3-dimensional spatial and 2-dimensional frontal QRS-T angles are measures derived from the vectorcardiogram. They are independent risk predictors for arrhythmia, but the underlying biology is unknown. Using multi-ancestry genome-wide association studies we identify 61 (58 previously unreported) loci for the spatial QRS-T angle (N = 118,780) and 11 for the frontal QRS-T angle (N = 159,715). Seven out of the 61 spatial QRS-T angle loci have not been reported for other electrocardiographic measures. Enrichments are observed in pathways related to cardiac and vascular development, muscle contraction, and hypertrophy. Pairwise genome-wide association studies with classical ECG traits identify shared genetic influences with PR interval and QRS duration. Phenome-wide scanning indicate associations with atrial fibrillation, atrioventricular block and arterial embolism and genetically determined QRS-T angle measures are associated with fascicular and bundle branch block (and also atrioventricular block for the frontal QRS-T angle). We identify potential biology involved in the QRS-T angle and their genetic relationships with cardiovascular traits and diseases, may inform future research and risk prediction.

Genomic insights in ascending aortic size and distensibility.

BACKGROUND: Alterations in the anatomic and biomechanical properties of the ascending aorta (AAo) can give rise to various vascular pathologies. The aim of the current study is to gain additional insights in the biology of the AAo size and function. METHODS: We developed an AI based analysis pipeline for the segmentation of the AAo, and the extraction of AAO parameters. We then performed genome-wide association studies of AAo maximum area, AAo minimum area and AAo distensibility in up to 37,910 individuals from the UK Biobank. Variants that were significantly associated with AAo phenotypes were used as instrumental variables in Mendelian randomization analyses to investigate potential causal relationships with coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, stroke and aneurysms. FINDINGS: Genome-wide association studies revealed a total of 107 SNPs in 78 loci. We annotated 101 candidate genes involved in various biological processes, including connective tissue development (THSD4 and COL6A3). Mendelian randomization analyses showed a causal association with aneurysm development, but not with other vascular diseases. INTERPRETATION: We identified 78 loci that provide insights into mechanisms underlying AAo size and function in the general population and provide genetic evidence for their role in aortic aneurysm development.

Genetic analyses of the electrocardiographic QT interval and its components identify additional loci and pathways.

The QT interval is an electrocardiographic measure representing the sum of ventricular depolarization and repolarization, estimated by QRS duration and JT interval, respectively. QT interval abnormalities are associated with potentially fatal ventricular arrhythmia. Using genome-wide multi-ancestry analyses (>250,000 individuals) we identify 177, 156 and 121 independent loci for QT, JT and QRS, respectively, including a male-specific X-chromosome locus. Using gene-based rare-variant methods, we identify associations with Mendelian disease genes. Enrichments are observed in established pathways for QT and JT, and previously unreported genes indicated in insulin-receptor signalling and cardiac energy metabolism. In contrast for QRS, connective tissue components and processes for cell growth and extracellular matrix interactions are significantly enriched. We demonstrate polygenic risk score associations with atrial fibrillation, conduction disease and sudden cardiac death. Prioritization of druggable genes highlight potential therapeutic targets for arrhythmia. Together, these results substantially advance our understanding of the genetic architecture of ventricular depolarization and repolarization.

Improving patient identification for advanced cardiac imaging through machine learning-integration of clinical and coronary CT angiography data.

BACKGROUND: Standard computed tomography angiography (CTA) outputs a myriad of interrelated variables in the evaluation of suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). But an important proportion of obstructive lesions does not cause significant myocardial ischemia. Nowadays, machine learning (ML) allows integration of numerous variables through complex interdependencies that optimize classification and prediction at the individual level. We evaluated ML performance in integrating CTA and clinical variables to identify patients that demonstrate myocardial ischemia through PET and those who ultimately underwent early revascularization. METHODS AND RESULTS: 830 patients with CTA and selective PET were analyzed. Nine clinical and 58 CTA variables were integrated through ensemble-boosting ML to identify patients with ischemia and those who underwent early revascularization. ML performance was compared against expert CTA interpretation, calcium score and clinical variables. While ML using all CTA variables achieved an AUC = 0.85, it was outperformed by expert CTA interpretation (AUC = 0.87, p < 0.01 for comparison), comparable to ML integration of CTA variables with clinical variables. However, the best performance was achieved by ML integration of expert CTA interpretation and clinical variables for both dependent variables (AUCs = 0.91 and 0.90, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning integration of diagnostic CTA and clinical data may improve identification of patients with myocardial ischemia and those requiring early revascularization at the individual level. This could potentially aid in sparing the need for subsequent advanced imaging and better identifying patients in ultimate need for revascularization. While ML integrating all CTA variables did not outperform expert CTA interpretation, ML data integration from different sources consistently improves diagnostic performance.

The Genetic Makeup of the Electrocardiogram.

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is one of the most useful non-invasive diagnostic tests for a wide array of cardiac disorders. Traditional approaches to analyzing ECGs focus on individual segments. Here, we performed comprehensive deep phenotyping of 77,190 ECGs in the UK Biobank across the complete cycle of cardiac conduction, resulting in 500 spatial-temporal datapoints, across 10 million genetic variants. In addition to characterizing polygenic risk scores for the traditional ECG segments, we identified over 300 genetic loci that are statistically associated with the high-dimensional representation of the ECG. We established the genetic ECG signature for dilated cardiomyopathy, associated the BAG3, HSPB7/CLCNKA, PRKCA, TMEM43, and OBSCN loci with disease risk and confirmed this association in an independent cohort. In total, our work demonstrates that a high-dimensional analysis of the entire ECG provides unique opportunities for studying cardiac biology and disease and furthering drug development. A record of this paper's transparent peer review process is included in the Supplemental Information.