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1.
J Infect Dis ; 229(2): 394-397, 2024 Feb 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37798119

RESUMEN

We estimated the effectiveness of booster doses of monovalent and bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines against Omicron-associated severe outcomes among adults aged ≥50 years in Ontario, Canada. Monovalent and bivalent mRNA COVID-19 booster doses provided similar strong initial protection against severe outcomes. Uncertainty remains around waning of protection from these vaccines.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , Ontario/epidemiología , Vacunas Combinadas , COVID-19/prevención & control , Inmunización , ARN Mensajero
2.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2024 May 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38758977

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Data supporting routine infectious diseases (ID) consultation in Gram-negative bloodstream infection (GN-BSI) are limited. We evaluated the association between ID consultation and mortality in patients with GN-BSI in a retrospective population-wide cohort study in Ontario using linked health administrative databases. METHODS: Hospitalized adult patients with GN-BSI between April 2017 and December 2021 were included. The primary outcome was time to all-cause mortality censored at 30 days, analyzed using a mixed effects Cox proportional hazards model with hospital as a random effect. ID consultation 1-10 days after the first positive blood culture was treated as a time-varying exposure. RESULTS: Of 30,159 patients with GN-BSI across 53 hospitals, 11,013 (36.5%) received ID consultation. Median prevalence of ID consultation for patients with GN-BSI across hospitals was 35.0% with wide variability (range 2.7-76.1%, interquartile range 19.6-41.1%). 1041 (9.5%) patients who received ID consultation died within 30 days, compared to 1797 (9.4%) patients without ID consultation. In the fully-adjusted multivariable model, ID consultation was associated with mortality benefit (adjusted HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.88, p < 0.0001; translating to absolute risk reduction of -3.8% or NNT of 27). Exploratory subgroup analyses of the primary outcome showed that ID consultation could have greater benefit in patients with high-risk features (nosocomial infection, polymicrobial or non-Enterobacterales infection, antimicrobial resistance, or non-urinary tract source). CONCLUSIONS: Early ID consultation was associated with reduced mortality in patients with GN-BSI. If resources permit, routine ID consultation for this patient population should be considered to improve patient outcomes.

3.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38958258

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The risk factors and outcomes associated with persistent bacteraemia in Gram-negative bloodstream infection (GN-BSI) are not well described. We conducted a follow-on analysis of a retrospective population-wide cohort to characterize persistent bacteraemia in patients with GN-BSI. METHODS: We included all hospitalized patients >18 years old with GN-BSI between April 2017 and December 2021 in Ontario who received follow-up blood culture (FUBC) 2-5 days after the index positive blood culture. Persistent bacteraemia was defined as having a positive FUBC with the same Gram-negative organism as the index blood culture. We identified variables independently associated with persistent bacteraemia in a multivariable logistic regression model. We evaluated whether persistent bacteraemia was associated with increased odds of 30- and 90-day all-cause mortality using multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: In this study, 8807 patients were included; 600 (6.8%) had persistent bacteraemia. Having a permanent catheter, antimicrobial resistance, nosocomial infection, ICU admission, respiratory or skin and soft tissue source of infection, and infection by a non-fermenter or non-Enterobacterales/anaerobic organism were associated with increased odds of having persistent bacteraemia. The 30-day mortality was 17.2% versus 9.6% in those with and without persistent bacteraemia (aOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.29-2.11), while 90-day mortality was 25.5% versus 16.9%, respectively (aOR 1.53, 95% CI 1.24-1.89). Prevalence and odds of developing persistent bacteraemia varied widely depending on causative organism. CONCLUSIONS: Persistent bacteraemia is uncommon in GN-BSI but is associated with poorer outcomes. A validated risk stratification tool may be useful to identify patients with persistent bacteraemia.

4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2023 Nov 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38001037

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: We assessed protection from COVID-19 vaccines and/or prior SARS-CoV-2 infection against Omicron-associated severe outcomes during successive sublineage-predominant periods. METHODS: We used a test-negative design to estimate protection by vaccines and/or prior infection against hospitalization/death among community-dwelling, PCR-tested adults aged ≥50 years in Ontario, Canada between January 2, 2022 and June 30, 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the relative change in the odds of hospitalization/death with each vaccine dose (2-5) and/or prior PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection (compared with unvaccinated, uninfected subjects) up to 15 months since the last vaccination or infection. RESULTS: We included 18,526 cases with Omicron-associated severe outcomes and 90,778 test-negative controls. Vaccine protection was high during BA.1/BA.2 predominance, but was generally <50% during periods of BA.4/BA.5 and BQ/XBB predominance without boosters. A third/fourth dose transiently increased protection during BA.4/BA.5 predominance (third-dose, 6-month: 68%, 95%CI 63%-72%; fourth-dose, 6-month: 80%, 95%CI 77%-83%), but was lower and waned quickly during BQ/XBB predominance (third-dose, 6-month: 59%, 95%CI 48%-67%; 12-month: 49%, 95%CI 41%-56%; fourth-dose, 6-month: 62%, 95%CI 56%-68%, 12-months: 51%, 95%CI 41%-56%). Hybrid immunity conferred nearly 90% protection throughout BA.1/BA.2 and BA.4/BA.5 predominance, but was reduced during BQ/XBB predominance (third-dose, 6-month: 60%, 95%CI 36%-75%; fourth-dose, 6-month: 63%, 95%CI 42%-76%). Protection was restored with a fifth dose (bivalent; 6-month: 91%, 95%CI 79%-96%). Prior infection alone did not confer lasting protection. CONCLUSION: Protection from COVID-19 vaccines and/or prior SARS-CoV-2 infections against severe outcomes is reduced when immune-evasive variants/subvariants emerge and may also wane over time. Our findings support a variant-adapted booster vaccination strategy with periodic review.

5.
CMAJ ; 195(6): E220-E226, 2023 02 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36781188

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A randomized controlled trial involving a high-risk, unvaccinated population that was conducted before the Omicron variant emerged found that nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was effective in preventing progression to severe COVID-19. Our objective was to evaluate the effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in preventing severe COVID-19 while Omicron and its subvariants predominate. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study in Ontario that included all residents who were older than 17 years of age and had a positive polymerase chain reaction test for SARS-CoV-2 between Apr. 4 and Aug. 31, 2022. We compared patients treated with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir with patients who were not treated and measured the primary outcome of hospital admission from COVID-19 or all-cause death at 1-30 days, and a secondary outcome of all-cause death. We used weighted logistic regression to calculate weighted odds ratios (ORs) with confidence intervals (CIs) using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to control for confounding. RESULTS: The final cohort included 177 545 patients, 8876 (5.0%) who were treated with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and 168 669 (95.0%) who were not treated. The groups were well balanced with respect to demographic and clinical characteristics after applying stabilized IPTW. We found that the occurrence of hospital admission or death was lower in the group given nirmatrelvir-ritonavir than in those who were not (2.1% v. 3.7%; weighted OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.47-0.67). For death alone, the weighted OR was 0.49 (95% CI 0.39-0.62). Our findings were similar across strata of age, drug-drug interactions, vaccination status and comorbidities. The number needed to treat to prevent 1 case of severe COVID-19 was 62 (95% CI 43-80), which varied across strata. INTERPRETATION: Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with significantly reduced odds of hospital admission and death from COVID-19, which supports use to treat patients with mild COVID-19 who are at risk for severe disease.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Tratamiento Farmacológico de COVID-19 , Estudios de Cohortes , Ritonavir/uso terapéutico , Hospitales , Antivirales/uso terapéutico
6.
Ann Intern Med ; 175(3): 335-343, 2022 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35007149

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: An osteoporosis drug holiday is recommended for most patients after 3 to 5 years of therapy. Risedronate has a shorter half-life than alendronate, and thus the residual length of fracture protection may be shorter. OBJECTIVE: To examine the comparative risks of drug holidays after long-term (≥3 years) risedronate versus alendronate therapy. DESIGN: Population-based, matched, cohort study. SETTING: Province-wide health care administrative databases providing comprehensive coverage to Ontario residents aged 65 years or older between November 2000 and March 2020. PATIENTS: Persons aged 66 years or older who had long-term risedronate therapy and a drug holiday were matched 1:1 on propensity score to those who had long-term alendronate therapy and a drug holiday. MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was hip fracture within 3 years after a 120-day ascertainment period. Secondary analyses included shorter follow-up and sex-specific estimates. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for fracture risk between groups. RESULTS: A total of 25 077 propensity score-matched pairs were eligible (mean age, 81 years; 81% women). Hip fracture rates were higher among risedronate than alendronate drug holidays (12.4 and 10.6 events, respectively, per 1000 patient-years; HR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.04 to 1.34]; 915 total hip fractures). The association was attenuated when any fracture was included as the outcome (HR, 1.07 [CI, 1.00 to 1.16]) and with shorter drug holidays (1 year: HR, 1.03 [CI, 0.85 to 1.24]; 2 years: HR, 1.14 [CI, 0.96 to 1.32]). LIMITATION: Analyses were limited to health care administrative data (potential unmeasured confounding), and some secondary analyses contained few events. CONCLUSION: Drug holidays after long-term therapy with risedronate were associated with a small increase in risk for hip fracture compared with alendronate drug holidays. Future research should examine how best to mitigate this risk. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Canadian Institutes of Health Research.


Asunto(s)
Conservadores de la Densidad Ósea , Osteoporosis Posmenopáusica , Osteoporosis , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Alendronato/efectos adversos , Conservadores de la Densidad Ósea/efectos adversos , Canadá , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Osteoporosis/complicaciones , Osteoporosis Posmenopáusica/complicaciones , Osteoporosis Posmenopáusica/tratamiento farmacológico , Puntaje de Propensión , Ácido Risedrónico/efectos adversos
7.
Clin Infect Dis ; 74(4): 703-706, 2022 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34105720

RESUMEN

We compared secondary attack rates in households with B.1.1.7 variant of concern (VOC) versus non-VOC index cases in a matched cohort in Ontario, Canada. The secondary attack rate for VOC index cases was 1.31 times higher than non-VOC index cases. This increase was particularly accentuated for asymptomatic or presymptomatic index cases.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Incidencia , Ontario/epidemiología
8.
J Clin Microbiol ; 60(4): e0242921, 2022 04 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35254101

RESUMEN

Bloodstream infections (BSIs) represent a substantial mortality risk, yet most studies are limited to select pathogens or populations. The aim of this study was to describe the population-wide prevalence of BSIs and examine the associated mortality risk for the responsible microorganisms. We conducted a population-wide retrospective cohort study of BSIs in Ontario in 2017. Blood culture data was collected from almost all microbiology laboratories in Ontario and linked to data sets of patient characteristics. For each organism, we determined the prevalence and crude mortality risk, and using logistic regression models, the adjusted odds of 30-day mortality was calculated relative to patients with negative blood cultures and matched patients without blood culture testing. From 531,065 blood cultures, we identified 22,935 positive BSI episodes in 19,326 patients, for an incidence of 150 per 100,000 population. The most frequently isolated organisms were Escherichia coli, Staphylococcus aureus, coagulase-negative staphylococci, Klebsiella species, and Enterococcus species with 40.2, 22.4, 12.1, 11.1, and 7.1 episodes per 100,000 population respectively. BSI episodes were associated with 17.0% mortality at 30 days. Compared to patients with negative cultures, the adjusted 30-day mortality risk for positive BSIs was 1.47 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.41 to 1.54) and compared to matched patients without blood culture testing was 2.62 (95% CI, 2.52 to 2.73). Clostridium species were associated with the highest adjusted odds of mortality compared to that of negative cultures (adjusted odds ratio, 5.81; 95% CI, 4.00 to 8.44). Among high incidence pathogens, Staphylococcus aureus had the highest odds ratio of mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.94 to 2.36). BSIs are associated with increased mortality risk, varying across organisms.


Asunto(s)
Bacteriemia , Infección Hospitalaria , Sepsis , Infecciones Estafilocócicas , Bacteriemia/microbiología , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Escherichia coli , Humanos , Prevalencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/epidemiología , Staphylococcus aureus
9.
Occup Environ Med ; 79(6): 403-411, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35022260

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The objective of our study was to estimate the rate of workplace outbreak-associated cases of COVID-19 by industry in labour market participants aged 15-69 years who reported working the majority of hours outside the home in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cross-sectional study of COVID-19 workplace outbreaks and associated cases reported in Ontario between 1 April 2020 and 31 March 2021. All outbreaks were manually classified into two-digit North American Industry Classification System codes. We obtained monthly denominator estimates from the Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey to estimate the incidence of outbreak-associated cases per 100 000 000 hours among individuals who reported the majority of hours were worked outside the home. We performed this analysis across industries and in three distinct time periods. RESULTS: Overall, 12% of cases were attributed to workplace outbreaks among working-age adults across our study period. While incidence varied across the time periods, the five industries with the highest incidence rates across our study period were agriculture, healthcare and social assistance, food manufacturing, educational services, and transportation and warehousing. CONCLUSIONS: Certain industries have consistently increased the incidence of COVID-19 over the course of the pandemic. These results may assist in ongoing efforts to reduce transmission of COVID-19 by prioritising resources, as well as industry-specific guidance, vaccination and public health messaging.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Incidencia , Ontario/epidemiología
10.
J Infect Dis ; 223(8): 1334-1338, 2021 04 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33400794

RESUMEN

We analyzed 21 676 residual specimens from Ontario, Canada collected March-August 2020 to investigate the effect of antibody decline on SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence estimates. Testing specimens orthogonally using Abbott (anti-nucleocapsid) and Ortho (anti-spike) assays, seroprevalence estimates were 0.4%-1.4%, despite ongoing disease activity. The geometric mean concentration (GMC) of antibody-positive specimens decreased over time (P = .015), and GMC of antibody-negative specimens increased over time (P = .0018). Association between the 2 tests decreased each month (P < .001), suggesting anti-nucleocapsid antibody decline. Lowering Abbott antibody index cutoff from 1.4 to 0.7 resulted in a 16% increase in positive specimens.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , COVID-19/sangre , COVID-19/inmunología , Proteínas de la Nucleocápside de Coronavirus/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Prueba Serológica para COVID-19/métodos , Canadá , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Fosfoproteínas/inmunología , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/inmunología
11.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(10): 1840-1848, 2021 11 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33751026

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Within-household transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection has been identified as one of the main sources of spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) after lockdown restrictions and self-isolation guidelines are implemented. Secondary attack rates among household contacts are estimated to be 5-10 times higher than among non-household contacts, but it is unclear which individuals are more prone to transmit infection within their households. METHODS: Using address matching, a cohort was assembled of all individuals with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 residing in private households in Ontario, Canada. Descriptive analyses were performed to compare characteristics of cases in households that experienced secondary transmission versus those that did not. Logistic regression models were fit to determine index case characteristics and neighborhood characteristics associated with transmission. RESULTS: Between January and July 2020, there were 26 714 individuals with COVID-19 residing in 21 226 households. Longer testing delays (≥5 vs 0 days; odds ratio [OR], 3.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.53-3.60) and male gender (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.18-1.38) were associated with greater odds of household secondary transmission, while being a healthcare worker (OR, .56; 95% CI, .50-.62) was associated with lower odds of transmission. Neighborhoods with larger average family size and a higher proportion of households with multiple persons per room were also associated with greater odds of transmission. CONCLUSIONS: It is important for individuals to get tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection as soon as symptoms appear, and to isolate away from household contacts; this is particularly important in neighborhoods with large family sizes and/or crowded households.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudios de Cohortes , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Composición Familiar , Humanos , Masculino , Ontario/epidemiología
12.
Clin Infect Dis ; 72(9): e345-e351, 2021 05 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32785696

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Approximately 25% of outpatient antibiotic prescriptions are unnecessary among family physicians in Canada. Minimizing unnecessary antibiotics is key for community antibiotic stewardship. However, unnecessary antibiotic prescribing is much harder to measure than total antibiotic prescribing. We investigated the association between total and unnecessary antibiotic use by family physicians and evaluated inter-physician variability in unnecessary antibiotic prescribing. METHODS: This was a cohort study based on electronic medical records of family physicians in Ontario, Canada, between April 2011 and March 2016. We used predefined expected antibiotic prescribing rates for 23 common primary care conditions to calculate unnecessary antibiotic prescribing rates. We used multilevel Poisson regression models to evaluate the association between total antibiotic volume (number of antibiotic prescriptions per patient visit), adjusted for multiple practice- and physician-level covariates, and unnecessary antibiotic prescribing. RESULTS: There were 499 570 physician-patient encounters resulting in 152 853 antibiotic prescriptions from 341 physicians. Substantial inter-physician variability was observed. In the fully adjusted model, we observed a significant association between total antibiotic volume and unnecessary prescribing rate (adjusted rate ratio 2.11 per 10% increase in total use; 95% CI 2.05-2.17), and none of the practice- and physician-level variables were associated with unnecessary prescribing rate. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated substantial inter-physician variability in unnecessary antibiotic prescribing in this cohort of family physicians. Total antibiotic use was strongly correlated with unnecessary antibiotic prescribing. Total antibiotic volume is a reasonable surrogate for unnecessary antibiotic use. These results can inform community antimicrobial stewardship efforts.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Médicos de Familia , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Estudios de Cohortes , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Humanos , Prescripción Inadecuada , Ontario , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina
13.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(3): e782-e791, 2021 08 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33595621

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The role of antibiotics in preventing urinary tract infection (UTI) in older adults is unknown. We sought to quantify the benefits and risks of antibiotic prophylaxis among older adults. METHODS: We conducted a matched cohort study comparing older adults (≥66 years) receiving antibiotic prophylaxis, defined as antibiotic treatment for ≥30 days starting within 30 days of a positive culture, with patients with positive urine cultures who received antibiotic treatment but did not receive prophylaxis. We matched each prophylaxis recipient to 10 nonrecipients based on organism, number of positive cultures, and propensity score. Outcomes included (1) emergency department (ED) visit or hospitalization for UTI, sepsis, or bloodstream infection within 1 year; (2) acquisition of antibiotic resistance in urinary tract pathogens; and (3) antibiotic-related complications. RESULTS: Overall, 4.7% (151/3190) of UTI prophylaxis patients and 3.6% (n = 1092/30 542) of controls required an ED visit or hospitalization for UTI, sepsis, or bloodstream infection (hazard ratio [HR], 1.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.57). Acquisition of antibiotic resistance to any urinary antibiotic (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.18-1.44) and to the specific prophylaxis agent (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.80-2.24) was higher in patients receiving prophylaxis. While the overall risk of antibiotic-related complications was similar between groups (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, .94-1.22), the risk of Clostridioidesdifficile and general medication adverse events was higher in prophylaxis recipients (HR [95% CI], 1.56 [1.05-2.23] and 1.62 [1.11-2.29], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults with UTI, the harms of long-term antibiotic prophylaxis may outweigh their benefits.


Asunto(s)
Sepsis , Infecciones Urinarias , Anciano , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Profilaxis Antibiótica , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Sepsis/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones Urinarias/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones Urinarias/prevención & control
14.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(6): e1296-e1304, 2021 09 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33754632

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Antibiotic overprescribing in long-term care settings is driven by prescriber preferences and is associated with preventable harms for residents. We aimed to determine whether peer comparison audit and feedback reporting for physicians reduces antibiotic overprescribing among residents. METHODS: We employed a province wide, difference-in-differences study of antibiotic prescribing audit and feedback, with an embedded pragmatic randomized controlled trial (RCT) across all long-term care facilities in Ontario, Canada, in 2019. The study year included 1238 physicians caring for 96 185 residents. In total, 895 (72%) physicians received no feedback; 343 (28%) were enrolled to receive audit and feedback and randomized 1:1 to static or dynamic reports. The primary outcomes were proportion of residents initiated on an antibiotic and proportion of antibiotics prolonged beyond 7 days per quarter. RESULTS: Among all residents, between the first quarter of 2018 and last quarter of 2019, there were temporal declines in antibiotic initiation (28.4% to 21.3%) and prolonged duration (34.4% to 29.0%). Difference-in-differences analysis confirmed that feedback was associated with a greater decline in prolonged antibiotics (adjusted difference -2.65%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -4.93 to -.28%, P = .026), but there was no significant difference in antibiotic initiation. The reduction in antibiotic durations was associated with 335 912 fewer days of treatment. The embedded RCT detected no differences in outcomes between the dynamic and static reports. CONCLUSIONS: Peer comparison audit and feedback is a pragmatic intervention that can generate small relative reductions in the use of antibiotics for prolonged durations that translate to large reductions in antibiotic days of treatment across populations. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT03807466.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Cuidados a Largo Plazo , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Retroalimentación , Humanos , Ontario , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina , Instituciones de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermería
16.
CMAJ ; 193(17): E592-E600, 2021 04 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33827852

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Nonpharmaceutical interventions remain the primary means of controlling severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until vaccination coverage is sufficient to achieve herd immunity. We used anonymized smartphone mobility measures to quantify the mobility level needed to control SARS-CoV-2 (i.e., mobility threshold), and the difference relative to the observed mobility level (i.e., mobility gap). METHODS: We conducted a time-series study of the weekly incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Canada from Mar. 15, 2020, to Mar. 6, 2021. The outcome was weekly growth rate, defined as the ratio of cases in a given week versus the previous week. We evaluated the effects of average time spent outside the home in the previous 3 weeks using a log-normal regression model, accounting for province, week and mean temperature. We calculated the SARS-CoV-2 mobility threshold and gap. RESULTS: Across the 51-week study period, a total of 888 751 people were infected with SARS-CoV-2. Each 10% increase in the mobility gap was associated with a 25% increase in the SARS-CoV-2 weekly case growth rate (ratio 1.25, 95% confidence interval 1.20-1.29). Compared to the prepandemic baseline mobility of 100%, the mobility threshold was highest in the summer (69%; interquartile range [IQR] 67%-70%), and dropped to 54% in winter 2021 (IQR 52%-55%); a mobility gap was present in Canada from July 2020 until the last week of December 2020. INTERPRETATION: Mobility strongly and consistently predicts weekly case growth, and low levels of mobility are needed to control SARS-CoV-2 through spring 2021. Mobility measures from anonymized smartphone data can be used to guide provincial and regional loosening and tightening of physical distancing measures.


Asunto(s)
Prueba de COVID-19/tendencias , COVID-19/prevención & control , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Canadá/epidemiología , Femenino , Predicción , Humanos , Incidencia , Análisis de Series de Tiempo Interrumpido , Masculino , Distanciamiento Físico , Salud Pública , Cuarentena/tendencias
17.
CMAJ ; 193(19): E672-E680, 2021 05 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33972220

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 infection in retirement homes (also known as assisted living facilities) is largely unknown. We examined the association between home-and community-level characteristics and the risk of outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 infection in retirement homes since the beginning of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of licensed retirement homes in Ontario, Canada, from Mar. 1 to Dec. 18, 2020. Our primary outcome was an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 infection (≥ 1 resident or staff case confirmed by validated nucleic acid amplification assay). We used time-dependent proportional hazards methods to model the associations between retirement home- and community-level characteristics and outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: Our cohort included all 770 licensed retirement homes in Ontario, which housed 56 491 residents. There were 273 (35.5%) retirement homes with 1 or more outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 infection, involving 1944 (3.5%) residents and 1101 staff (3.0%). Cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection were distributed unevenly across retirement homes, with 2487 (81.7%) resident and staff cases occurring in 77 (10%) homes. The adjusted hazard of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a retirement home was positively associated with homes that had a large resident capacity, were co-located with a long-term care facility, were part of larger chains, offered many services onsite, saw increases in regional incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and were located in a region with a higher community-level ethnic concentration. INTERPRETATION: Readily identifiable characteristics of retirement homes are independently associated with outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 infection and can support risk identification and priority for vaccination.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Hogares para Ancianos , Casas de Salud , Pandemias , Anciano , Anciano Frágil , Humanos , Incidencia , Ontario/epidemiología , Jubilación , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
18.
Euro Surveill ; 26(50)2021 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34915969

RESUMEN

BackgroundSerosurveys for SARS-CoV-2 aim to estimate the proportion of the population that has been infected.AimThis observational study assesses the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in Ontario, Canada during the first pandemic wave.MethodsUsing an orthogonal approach, we tested 8,902 residual specimens from the Public Health Ontario laboratory over three time periods during March-June 2020 and stratified results by age group, sex and region. We adjusted for antibody test sensitivity/specificity and compared with reported PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases.ResultsAdjusted seroprevalence was 0.5% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.1-1.5) from 27 March-30 April, 1.5% (95% CI: 0.7-2.2) from 26-31 May, and 1.1% (95% CI: 0.8-1.3) from 5-30 June 2020. Adjusted estimates were highest in individuals aged ≥ 60 years in March-April (1.3%; 95% CI: 0.2-4.6), in those aged 20-59 years in May (2.1%; 95% CI: 0.8-3.4) and in those aged ≥ 60 years in June (1.6%; 95% CI: 1.1-2.1). Regional seroprevalence varied, and was highest for Toronto in March-April (0.9%; 95% CI: 0.1-3.1), for Toronto in May (3.2%; 95% CI: 1.0-5.3) and for Toronto (1.5%; 95% CI: 0.9-2.1) and Central East in June (1.5%; 95% CI: 1.0-2.0). We estimate that COVID-19 cases detected by PCR in Ontario underestimated SARS-CoV-2 infections by a factor of 4.9.ConclusionsOur results indicate low population seroprevalence in Ontario, suggesting that public health measures were effective at limiting the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the first pandemic wave.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Humanos , Ontario/epidemiología , Pandemias , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos
19.
Clin Infect Dis ; 71(7): 1756-1759, 2020 10 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31922536

RESUMEN

In Ontario, Canada, since 2012, some hospitals discontinued contact precautions for vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus (VRE). Between 2009 and 2018, there was an associated rise in VRE bloodstream infections in hospitals where contact precautions were discontinued but not in hospitals that maintained contact precautions. These data suggest contact precautions are important for hospital VRE control programs.


Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Infecciones por Bacterias Grampositivas , Enterococos Resistentes a la Vancomicina , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/prevención & control , Infecciones por Bacterias Grampositivas/epidemiología , Infecciones por Bacterias Grampositivas/prevención & control , Hospitales , Humanos , Control de Infecciones , Ontario/epidemiología , Vancomicina
20.
Clin Infect Dis ; 70(12): 2553-2560, 2020 06 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31367771

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Discontinuation of inappropriate antimicrobial therapy is an important target for stewardship intervention. The drug and duration-dependent effects of antibiotics on the developing neonatal gut microbiota needs to be precisely quantified. METHODS: In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, we performed 16S rRNA sequencing on stool swab samples collected from neonatal intensive care unit patients within 7 days of discontinuation of therapy who received ampicillin and tobramycin (AT), ampicillin and cefotaxime (AC), or ampicillin, tobramycin, and metronidazole (ATM). We compared taxonomic composition within term and preterm infant groups between treatment regimens. We calculated adjusted effect estimates for antibiotic type and duration of therapy on the richness of obligate anaerobes and known butyrate-producers in all infants. RESULTS: A total of 72 infants were included in the study. Term infants received AT (20/28; 71%) or AC (8/28; 29%) with median durations of 3 and 3.5 days, respectively. Preterm infants received AT (32/44; 73%) or ATM (12/44; 27%) with median durations of 4 and 7 days, respectively. Compositional analyses of 67 stool swab samples demonstrated low diversity and dominance by potential pathogens. Within 1 week of discontinuation of therapy, each additional day of antibiotics was associated with lower richness of obligate anaerobes (adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], .73-.95) and butyrate-producers (aRR, 0.82; 95% CI, .67-.97). CONCLUSIONS: Each additional day of antibiotics was associated with lower richness of anaerobes and butyrate-producers within 1 week after therapy. A longitudinally sampled cohort with preexposure sampling is needed to validate our results.


Asunto(s)
Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Neonatal , ARN Ribosómico 16S , Estudios Retrospectivos
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