Early immune reconstitution as predictor for outcomes after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant; a tri-institutional analysis.

BACKGROUND AIMS: CD4 immune reconstitution (IR) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (allo-HCT) correlates with lower non-relapse mortality (NRM), but its impact on leukemia relapse remains less clear, especially in children. We studied the correlation between IR of lymphocyte subsets and HCT outcomes in a large cohort of children/young adults with hematological malignancies. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed CD4, CD8, B-cell and natural killer (NK) cell reconstitution in patients after first allo-HCT for a hematological malignancy at three large academic institutions (n = 503; period 2008-2019). We used Cox proportional hazard and Fine-Gray competing risk models, martingale residual plots and maximally selected log-rank statistics to assess the impact of IR on outcomes. RESULTS: Achieving CD4 >50 and/or B cells >25 cells/µL before day 100 after allo-HCT was a predictor of lower NRM (CD4 IR: hazard ratio [HR] 0.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.11-0.62, P = 0.002; CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.06, 95% CI 0.03-0.16, P < 0.001), acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) (CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.02, 95% CI 0.01-0.04, P < 0.001) and chronic GVHD (CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.05-0.49, P = 0.001) in the full cohort, and of lower risk of relapse (CD4 and B cell IR: HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.06-0.92, P = 0.038) in the acute myeloid leukemia subgroup. No correlation between CD8 and NK-cell IR and relapse or NRM was found. CONCLUSIONS: CD4 and B-cell IR was associated with clinically significant lower NRM, GVHD and, in patients with acute myeloid leukemia, disease relapse. CD8 and NK-cell IR was neither associated with relapse nor NRM. If confirmed in other cohorts, these results can be easily implemented for risk stratification and clinical decision making.

Quantitative diffusion-weighted MRI response assessment in rhabdomyosarcoma: an international retrospective study on behalf of the European paediatric Soft tissue sarcoma Study Group Imaging Committee.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the feasibility of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) as a predictive imaging marker after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with rhabdomyosarcoma. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective study including pediatric, adolescent and young adult patients with rhabdomyosarcoma, Intergroup Rhabdomyosarcoma Study group III/IV, treated according to the European paediatric Soft tissue sarcoma Study Group (EpSSG) RMS2005 or MTS2008 studies. DW-MRI was performed according to institutional protocols. We performed two-dimensional single-slice tumor delineation. Areas of necrosis or hemorrhage were delineated to be excluded in the primary analysis. Mean, median and 5th and 95th apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) were extracted. RESULTS: Of 134 included patients, 82 had measurable tumor at diagnosis and response and DW-MRI scans of adequate quality and were included in the analysis. Technical heterogeneity in scan acquisition protocols and scanners was observed. Mean ADC at diagnosis was 1.1 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1-1.2) (all ADC expressed in * 10-3 mm2/s), versus 1.6 (1.5-1.6) at response assessment. The 5th percentile ADC was 0.8 (0.7-0.9) at diagnosis and 1.1 (1.0-1.2) at response. Absolute change in mean ADC after neoadjuvant chemotherapy was 0.4 (0.3-0.5). Exploratory analyses for association between ADC and clinical parameters showed a significant difference in mean ADC at diagnosis for alveolar versus embryonal histology. Landmark analysis at nine weeks after the date of diagnosis showed no significant association (hazard ratio 1.3 [0.6-3.2]) between the mean ADC change and event-free survival. CONCLUSION: A significant change in the 5th percentile and the mean ADC after chemotherapy was observed. Strong heterogeneity was identified in DW-MRI acquisition protocols between centers and in individual patients.

Early prediction of post-molar gestational trophoblastic neoplasia and resistance to methotrexate, based on a single serum human chorionic gonadotropin measurement.

BACKGROUND: Clinicians are unable to provide individualized counseling regarding risk of progression for patients with a complete hydatidiform mole (CHM). We developed nomograms enabling early prediction of post-molar gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) and resistance to methotrexate (MTX) based on a single serum human chorion gonadotropin (hCG) measurement. METHODS: We generated two nomograms with logistic regression: to predict post-molar GTN, and MTX resistance. For patients with high probability to progress to post-molar GTN or MTX resistance, we determined hCG cut-offs at 97.5% specificity to select patients for additional- or adjustments in current treatment. RESULTS: The nomograms had a good to excellent ability to distinguish either between patients with uneventful hCG regression versus progression to post molar GTN, or between patients cured by MTX versus patients in whom resistance would occur. At 97.5% specificity, we identified 66% (95%CI 56-75) of the 149 patients who would progress to post-molar GTN, four weeks after initial curettage. For patients treated with MTX, we identified 55% (95%CI 23-83) of the 43 patients who would become resistant, preceding their third course at 97.5% specificity. CONCLUSION: The nomograms and cut-off levels can be used to assist in counseling for patients diagnosed with CHM.

A tutorial on dynamic risk prediction of a binary outcome based on a longitudinal biomarker.

Dynamic risk predictions based on all available information are useful in timely identification of high-risk patients. However, in contrast with time to event outcomes, there is still a lack of studies that clearly demonstrate how to obtain and update predictions for a future binary outcome using a repeatedly measured biomarker. The aim of this study is to give an illustrative overview of four approaches to obtain such predictions: likelihood based two-stage method (2SMLE), likelihood based joint model (JMMLE), Bayesian two-stage method (2SB), and Bayesian joint model (JMB). We applied the approaches to provide weekly updated predictions of post-molar gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) based on age and repeated measurements of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG). Discrimination and calibration measures were used to compare the accuracy of the weekly predictions. Internal validation of the models was conducted using bootstrapping. The four approaches resulted in the same predictive and discriminative performance in predicting GTN. A simulation study showed that the joint models outperform the two-stage methods when we increase the within- and the between-patients variability of the biomarker. The applicability of these models to produce dynamic predictions has been illustrated through a comprehensive explanation and accompanying syntax (R and SAS® ).

Pulmonary Computed Tomography Screening Frequency in Primary Antibody Deficiency.

BACKGROUND: Patients with primary antibody deficiency (PAD) frequently suffer from pulmonary complications, associated with severe morbidity and mortality. Hence, regular pulmonary screening by computed tomography (CT) scanning is advised. However, predictive risk factors for pulmonary morbidity are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To identify patients with PAD at risk for pulmonary complications necessitating regular CT screening. METHODS: A retrospective, longitudinal cohort study of patients with PAD (median follow-up 7.4 [2.3-14.8] years) was performed. CTs were scored using the modified Brody-II scoring system. Clinical and laboratory parameters were retrospectively collected. Potential risk factors were identified by univariate analysis when P < .2 and confirmed by multivariable logistic regression when P < .05. RESULTS: The following independent risk factors for progression of airway disease (AD) were identified: (1) diagnosis of X-linked agammaglobulinemia (XLA), (2) recurrent airway infections (2.5/year), and (3) the presence of AD at baseline. Signs of AD progression were detected in 5 of 11 patients with XLA and in 17 of 80 of the other patients with PAD. Of the 22 patients who progressed, 17 had pre-existent AD scores ≥7.0%. Increased AD scores were related to poorer forced expiratory volume in 1 second values and chronic cough. Common variable immunodeficiency and increased CD4 effector/memory cells were risk factors for an interstitial lung disease (ILD) score ≥13.0%. ILD ≥13.0% occurred in 12 of 80 patients. Signs of ILD progression were detected in 8 of 80 patients, and 4 of 8 patients showing progression had pre-existent ILD scores ≥13.0%. CONCLUSION: We identified risk factors that distinguished patients with PAD at risk for AD and ILD presence and progression, which could guide future screening frequency; however, independent and preferably prospective validation is needed.

Definitions, incidence and outcome of poor graft function after hematopoietic cell transplantation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Poor graft function (PGF) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) is a serious complication with high morbidity and mortality. The reported incidence of PGF, its risk factors and outcome vary substantially between studies. This variability may be explained by heterogeneity in patient cohorts and HCT strategies, differences in the underlying causes of cytopenia, as well as by differences in PGF definition. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we provide an overview of the various PGF definitions used and determined the impact of this variability on the reported incidence and outcome. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science up to July 2022, for any study on PGF in HCT recipients. We performed random-effect meta-analyses for incidence and outcome and subgroup analyses based on different PGF criteria. Among 69 included studies (14.265 HCT recipients), we found 63 different PGF definitions, using various combinations of 11 common criteria. The median incidence of PGF was 7% (IQR: 5-11%, 22 cohorts). The pooled survival of PGF patients was 53% (95% CI: 45-61%, 23 cohorts). The most commonly reported risk factors associated with PGF were history of cytomegalovirus infection and prior graft-versus-host disease. Incidence was lower in studies with strict cytopenic cutoffs, while survival was lower for primary compared to secondary PGF. This work indicates that a standardized, quantitative definition of PGF is needed to facilitate clinical guideline development and to advance scientific progress.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on paediatric renal tumour presentation and management, a SIOP renal tumour study group study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic had global catastrophic effects on the management of non-communicable diseases including paediatric cancers. Restrictions during the start of 2020 complicated timely referrals of patients to specialized centres. We aimed to evaluate the pandemic's impact on the number of new diagnoses, disease characteristics and management delay for paediatric renal tumour patients included in the SIOP-RTSG-UMBRELLA study, as compared with data from a historical SIOP-RTSG trial (2005-2009). METHODS: The number of intensive care admissions, population mobility rates and national lockdown periods/restrictions were used as proxies of the pandemic's severity and impact on societies. Clinical and tumour data were extracted from the SIOP-RTSG-UMBRELLA study and from historical SIOP-RTSG trials. RESULTS: During the first lockdown in Europe, the number of newly diagnosed patients decreased following restrictions and population immobilisation. Additionally, there was a higher proportion of advanced disease (37% vs. 17% before and after COVID-9, p < 0.001) and larger median tumour volume (559 cm3 vs. 328 and 434 cm3 before and after, p < 0.0001). Also in Brazil, the proportion of advanced disease was higher during the national decrease in mobilisation and start of restrictions (50% and 24% vs. 11% and 18% before and after, p < 0.01). Tumour volume in Brazil was also higher during the first months of COVID-19 (599 cm3 vs. 459 and 514 cm3 ), although not significant (p = 0.17). We did not observe any delays in referral time nor in time to start treatment, even though COVID-19 restrictions may have caused children to reach care later. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic briefly changed the tumour characteristics of children presenting with renal tumours. The longer-term impact on clinical outcomes will be kept under review.

MEK inhibition causes BIM stabilization and increased sensitivity to BCL-2 family member inhibitors in RAS-MAPK-mutated neuroblastoma.

Introduction: Mutations affecting the RAS-MAPK pathway occur frequently in relapsed neuroblastoma tumors and are associated with response to MEK inhibition in vitro. However, these inhibitors alone do not lead to tumor regression in vivo, indicating the need for combination therapy. Methods and results: Via high-throughput combination screening, we identified that the MEK inhibitor trametinib can be combined with BCL-2 family member inhibitors, to efficiently inhibit growth of neuroblastoma cell lines with RAS-MAPK mutations. Suppressing the RAS-MAPK pathway with trametinib led to an increase in pro-apoptotic BIM, resulting in more BIM binding to anti-apoptotic BCL-2 family members. By favoring the formation of these complexes, trametinib treatment enhances sensitivity to compounds targeting anti-apoptotic BCL-2 family members. In vitro validation studies confirmed that this sensitizing effect is dependent on an active RAS-MAPK pathway. In vivo combination of trametinib with BCL-2 inhibitors led to tumor inhibition in NRAS-mutant and NF1-deleted xenografts. Conclusion: Together, these results show that combining MEK inhibition with BCL-2 family member inhibition could potentially improve therapeutic outcomes for RAS-MAPK-mutated neuroblastoma patients.

The Prognostic Value of Eight Immunohistochemical Markers Expressed in the Tumor Microenvironment and on Hodgkin Reed-Sternberg Cells in Pediatric Patients With Classical Hodgkin Lymphoma.

Immunohistochemical markers are associated with treatment outcome in adults with classical Hodgkin Lymphoma (cHL). Studies in children are scarce and inconsistent. We investigated in 67 children with cHL, whether the expression of CD15, CD30, PAX5, PD-1, PD-L1, CD68, CD163 and TARC at diagnosis is associated with disease free survival (DFS) and with interim remission status. Low CD15 and low TARC expression were associated with relapsed disease. Low expression of PD-L1 was associated with complete remission at interim PET-scan. Our data suggest a difference between pediatric and adult cHL. This underlines the importance of future research into specific prognostic factors in pediatric cHL, indispensable for improvement of treatment in this population.

Limited Changes in Lifestyle Behaviours after Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer Diagnosis.

The aim of our study was to investigate adherence to lifestyle recommendations and lifestyle changes after diagnosis in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Second, we aimed to identify distinct trajectories of lifestyle change and their correlates. We analysed data of 935 patients with NMIBC from a prospective cohort study at six weeks (evaluating pre-diagnostic lifestyle), three months, and fifteen months after diagnosis. An overall lifestyle score (range 0-7) was calculated based on the 2018 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) recommendations focusing on diet, body mass index, and physical activity. Linear mixed models were used to analyse absolute lifestyle changes over time. Distinct trajectories of change were identified with latent class trajectory models. We found an overall lifestyle score of 3.3 which remained constant over time. The largest lifestyle changes were observed for the consumption of red and processed meat (-96 g/week) and fruit and vegetables (-38 g/day). Two to four trajectory groups were identified for each single lifestyle behaviour. Correlates differed per trajectory group. In conclusion, adherence to the WCRF/AICR recommendations was low. Small to moderate changes in and different trajectories of single lifestyle behaviours were observed. Effective strategies for lifestyle improvement are warranted.

Latent Class Analysis to Predict Outcomes of Early High-Intensity Physical Therapy After Total Knee Arthroplasty, Based on Longitudinal Trajectories of Walking Speed.

OBJECTIVE: To (1) classify patients who are recovering from total knee arthroplasty (TKA) based on walking speed during an early physical therapy program, and (2) assess whether walking-speed trajectory predicts performance on the timed up-and-go (TUG) test. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: We included 218 patients from a 10-day physical therapy program after TKA. A latent class mixed model was used to classify patients according to their walking-speed trajectory during the program. We assessed the change in TUG test score from pre-TKA to 6 weeks and 1 year after TKA. The association between change in TUG test score and walking-speed trajectory was assessed using multivariable regression. RESULTS: There were 2 groups with distinct walking-speed trajectories: a high-gain group (46%) and a low-gain group (54%). There was no significant association between change in TUG test score and walking-speed trajectory after TKA and physical therapy. Function (based on TUG test performance) improved for all patients 1 year after TKA, irrespective of walking-speed trajectory (ie, high or low gain) early in postoperative physical therapy. CONCLUSION: Although we distinguished different groups based on functional outcomes during physical therapy, the clinical relevance of classifying patients based on walking speed remains unclear, as it did not predict short- and long-term functional outcomes. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2021;51(7):362-371. Epub 10 May 2021. doi:10.2519/jospt.2021.10299.