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1.
Curr Atheroscler Rep ; 26(5): 153-162, 2024 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38451435

RESUMEN

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The objective of this review is to explore the role of genetics in cardiometabolic drug development. The declining costs of sequencing and the availability of large-scale genomic data have deepened our understanding of cardiometabolic diseases, revolutionizing drug discovery and development methodologies. We highlight four key areas in which genetics is empowering drug development for cardiometabolic disease: (1) identifying drug candidates, (2) anticipating drug target failures, (3) silencing and editing genes, and (4) enriching clinical trials. RECENT FINDINGS: Identifying novel drug targets through genetic discovery studies and the use of genetic variants as indicators of potential drug efficacy and safety have become critical components of cardiometabolic drug discovery. We highlight the successes of genetically-informed therapeutic strategies, such as PCSK9 and ANGPTL3 inhibitors in lipid lowering and the emerging role of polygenic risk scores in improving the efficiency of clinical trials. Additionally, we explore the potential of gene silencing and editing technologies, such as antisense oligonucleotides and small interfering RNA, showcasing their promise in addressing diseases refractory to conventional treatments. In this review, we highlight four use cases that demonstrate the vital role of genetics in cardiometabolic drug development: (1) identifying drug candidates, (2) anticipating drug target failures, (3) silencing and editing genes, and (4) enriching clinical trials. Through these advances, genetics has paved the way to increased efficiency of drug development as well as the discovery of more personalized and effective treatments for cardiometabolic disease.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Desarrollo de Medicamentos , Humanos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/genética , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Descubrimiento de Drogas/métodos , Animales
2.
Curr Atheroscler Rep ; 25(12): 1025-1033, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38095805

RESUMEN

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The objective of this review is to shed light on the transformative potential of machine learning (ML) in coronary angiography. We aim to understand existing developments in using ML for coronary angiography and discuss broader implications for the future of coronary angiography and cardiovascular medicine. RECENT FINDINGS: The developments in invasive and noninvasive imaging have revolutionized diagnosis and treatment of coronary artery disease (CAD). However, CAD remains underdiagnosed and undertreated. ML has emerged as a powerful tool to further improve image analysis, hemodynamic assessment, lesion detection, and predictive modeling. These advancements have enabled more accurate identification of CAD, streamlined workflows, reduced the need for invasive diagnostic procedures, and improved the diagnostic value of invasive procedures when they are needed. Further integration of ML with coronary angiography will advance the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of CAD. The integration of ML with coronary angiography is ushering in a new era in cardiovascular medicine. We highlight five use cases to leverage ML in coronary angiography: (1) improvement of quality and efficacy, (2) characterization of plaque, (3) hemodynamic assessment, (4) prediction of future outcomes, and (5) diagnosis of non-atherosclerotic coronary disease.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Estenosis Coronaria , Placa Aterosclerótica , Humanos , Angiografía Coronaria/métodos , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/diagnóstico por imagen , Aprendizaje Automático , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada/métodos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Vasos Coronarios
5.
Ann Neurol ; 75(5): 793-798, 2014 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24771548

RESUMEN

We report a 5-generation family with phenotypically diverse neurodegenerative disease including relentlessly progressive choreoathetoid movements, dysarthria, dysphagia, spastic paralysis, and behavioral dementia in descendants of a 67-year-old woman with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Disease onset varied with gender, occurring in male children and adult women. Exome sequence analyses revealed a novel mutation (c.1490C>T, p.P497L) in the ubiquilin-2 gene (UBQLN2) with X-linked inheritance in all studied affected individuals. As ubiquilin-2-positive inclusions were identified in brain, we suggest that mutant peptide predisposes to protein misfolding and accumulation. Our findings expand the spectrum of neurodegenerative phenotypes caused by UBQLN2 mutations.


Asunto(s)
Proteínas de Ciclo Celular/genética , Heterogeneidad Genética , Trastornos Heredodegenerativos del Sistema Nervioso/diagnóstico , Trastornos Heredodegenerativos del Sistema Nervioso/genética , Mutación/genética , Ubiquitinas/genética , Proteínas Adaptadoras Transductoras de Señales , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Proteínas Relacionadas con la Autofagia , Preescolar , Femenino , Genes Dominantes , Humanos , Masculino , Linaje , Pliegue de Proteína , Adulto Joven
7.
Circ Res ; 112(4): 707-20, 2013 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23410880

RESUMEN

Congenital heart disease (CHD) is the most common congenital anomaly in newborn babies. Cardiac malformations have been produced in multiple experimental animal models, by perturbing selected molecules that function in the developmental pathways involved in myocyte specification, differentiation, or cardiac morphogenesis. In contrast, the precise genetic, epigenetic, or environmental basis for these perturbations in humans remains poorly understood. Over the past few decades, researchers have tried to bridge this knowledge gap through conventional genome-wide analyses of rare Mendelian CHD families, and by sequencing candidate genes in CHD cohorts. Although yielding few, usually highly penetrant, disease gene mutations, these discoveries provided 3 notable insights. First, human CHD mutations impact a heterogeneous set of molecules that orchestrate cardiac development. Second, CHD mutations often alter gene/protein dosage. Third, identical pathogenic CHD mutations cause a variety of distinct malformations, implying that higher order interactions account for particular CHD phenotypes. The advent of contemporary genomic technologies including single nucleotide polymorphism arrays, next-generation sequencing, and copy number variant platforms are accelerating the discovery of genetic causes of CHD. Importantly, these approaches enable study of sporadic cases, the most common presentation of CHD. Emerging results from ongoing genomic efforts have validated earlier observations learned from the monogenic CHD families. In this review, we explore how continued use of these technologies and integration of systems biology is expected to expand our understanding of the genetic architecture of CHD.


Asunto(s)
Cardiopatías Congénitas/genética , Anomalías Múltiples/genética , Anomalías Múltiples/patología , Aneuploidia , Trastornos de los Cromosomas/genética , Trastornos de los Cromosomas/patología , Corazón Fetal/patología , Genes Dominantes , Genes Recesivos , Genes Ligados a X , Estudios de Asociación Genética , Cardiopatías Congénitas/clasificación , Cardiopatías Congénitas/epidemiología , Cardiopatías Congénitas/etiología , Cardiopatías Congénitas/patología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Modelos Cardiovasculares , Modelos Genéticos , Mutación Puntual , Prevalencia , Síndrome , Biología de Sistemas/métodos
8.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 28(2): 421-6, 2014 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24120234

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Intima-media thickness (IMT) is a well-described marker of cardiovascular disease. In this study we aim to determine whether low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels and disease-related mutation status can predict IMT in patients with severe familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) referred for or on LDL apheresis. METHODS: Genetic screening, lipid profile testing, and IMT measurements were performed on a series of 33 severe FH patients (19 homozygous) on LDL apheresis treatments (LDL 447 ± 151 mg/dL, age range 6-60 years). Data were then compared with literature IMT-LDL data for normal subjects, mild FH patients, and severe FH patients (18, 41, and 6 studies, respectively). RESULTS: Age-adjusted IMT was linearly related to LDL levels over a wide range of values (<500 mg/dL), except for the severe FH no-apheresis cohort. Alternatively, our severe FH population (mostly on apheresis) did follow the mild FH/control age-adjusted IMT-LDL relation. CONCLUSIONS: In severe FH, measuring LDL levels is more predictive of increased IMT than genetic screening.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/etiología , Grosor Intima-Media Carotídeo , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/complicaciones , Lipoproteínas LDL/sangre , Mutación , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Apolipoproteínas E/genética , Biomarcadores/sangre , Eliminación de Componentes Sanguíneos , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/sangre , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/diagnóstico , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/genética , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Análisis Mutacional de ADN , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Pruebas Genéticas/métodos , Heterocigoto , Homocigoto , Humanos , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/sangre , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/diagnóstico , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/genética , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II/terapia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fenotipo , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Receptores de LDL/genética , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Adulto Joven
9.
Heart Fail Clin ; 10(1): 219-27, 2014 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24275306

RESUMEN

Heart failure (HF) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality in congenital heart disease (CHD), with increasing prevalence because of improved treatment options and outcomes. Genetic factors and acquired postnatal factors in CHD might play a major role in the progression to HF. This article proposes 3 routes that lead to HF in CHD: rare monogenic entities that cause both CHD and HF; severe CHD lesions in which acquired hemodynamic effects of CHD or surgery result in HF; and, most commonly, a combined effect of complex genetics in overlapping pathways and acquired stressors caused by the primary lesion.


Asunto(s)
Cardiopatías Congénitas , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Terapias en Investigación , Adulto , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Epigenómica , Interacción Gen-Ambiente , Estudios de Asociación Genética , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Cardiopatías Congénitas/complicaciones , Cardiopatías Congénitas/genética , Cardiopatías Congénitas/fisiopatología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/genética , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/fisiopatología , Hemodinámica , Humanos , Medicina de Precisión , Terapias en Investigación/métodos , Terapias en Investigación/tendencias
10.
Heliyon ; 10(9): e30487, 2024 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38737271

RESUMEN

Background: To study ocular manifestations of patients with severe familial hypercholesterolemia (FH). Methods: In this population-based case-control study, patients suffering from severe familial hypercholesterolemia from the Lebanese Familial Hypercholesterolemia Registry, along with age and gender-matched healthy controls were recruited. All participants underwent a comprehensive eye examination, and patients underwent fluorescein angiography as well. Logistic regression models were used to identify any association between patients with severe familial hypercholesterolemia and abnormal eye findings, while adjusting for hypertension and pack-year smoking. The main outcome measure of this study was the development of ocular vascular abnormalities. Results: 28 patients and 28 controls were recruited. Patients with severe familial hypercholesterolemia had significantly greater odds of developing corneal arcus and xanthelasmas than the control group (p < 0.001). Retinal vascular abnormalities (plaques) were exclusively and more significantly present in patients with familial hypercholesterolemia (18 %). Similarly, retinal arteriosclerosis was exclusively and significantly more prevalent in the familial hypercholesterolemia group (p < 0.001, adjusted odds ratio 6.8). Stratification by LDL levels and genotypes did not show any significant change in the prevalence of any ocular finding. Conclusion: In addition to the well-established increase in incidence of corneal arcus and xanthelasmas, severe familial hypercholesterolemia patients have more prevalent retinal vascular abnormalities that include vascular plaques and arteriosclerosis.

11.
Cell Metab ; 36(7): 1494-1503.e3, 2024 Jul 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38959863

RESUMEN

The extent to which modifiable lifestyle factors offset the determined genetic risk of obesity and obesity-related morbidities remains unknown. We explored how the interaction between genetic and lifestyle factors influences the risk of obesity and obesity-related morbidities. The polygenic score for body mass index was calculated to quantify inherited susceptibility to obesity in 338,645 UK Biobank European participants, and a composite lifestyle score was derived from five obesogenic factors (physical activity, diet, sedentary behavior, alcohol consumption, and sleep duration). We observed significant interaction between high genetic risk and poor lifestyles (pinteraction < 0.001). Absolute differences in obesity risk between those who adhere to healthy lifestyles and those who do not had gradually expanded with an increase in polygenic score. Despite a high genetic risk for obesity, individuals can prevent obesity-related morbidities by adhering to a healthy lifestyle and maintaining a normal body weight. Healthy lifestyles should be promoted irrespective of genetic background.


Asunto(s)
Índice de Masa Corporal , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Estilo de Vida , Obesidad , Humanos , Obesidad/genética , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Anciano , Ejercicio Físico , Conducta Sedentaria , Reino Unido/epidemiología
12.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 4884, 2024 Jun 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38849421

RESUMEN

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of death among adults worldwide. Accurate risk stratification can support optimal lifetime prevention. Current methods lack the ability to incorporate new information throughout the life course or to combine innate genetic risk factors with acquired lifetime risk. We designed a general multistate model (MSGene) to estimate age-specific transitions across 10 cardiometabolic states, dependent on clinical covariates and a CAD polygenic risk score. This model is designed to handle longitudinal data over the lifetime to address this unmet need and support clinical decision-making. We analyze longitudinal data from 480,638 UK Biobank participants and compared predicted lifetime risk with the 30-year Framingham risk score. MSGene improves discrimination (C-index 0.71 vs 0.66), age of high-risk detection (C-index 0.73 vs 0.52), and overall prediction (RMSE 1.1% vs 10.9%), in held-out data. We also use MSGene to refine estimates of lifetime absolute risk reduction from statin initiation. Our findings underscore our multistate model's potential public health value for accurate lifetime CAD risk estimation using clinical factors and increasingly available genetics toward earlier more effective prevention.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Humanos , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/genética , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/uso terapéutico , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Herencia Multifactorial/genética
13.
Curr Protoc ; 3(11): e911, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37921506

RESUMEN

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) estimate genetic susceptibility of an individual to disease and have the potential of providing utility in multiple clinical contexts. However, their performance, computation, and reporting in diverse populations remain challenging. Here, we present a pragmatic approach to optimize a PRS for a population of interest that leverages publicly available data and methods and consists of seven steps that are easily implemented without the requirement of expertise in complex genetics: step 1, selecting source genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and imputation; step 2, selecting methods to compute polygenic score; step 3, adjusting scores using principal components of genetic ancestry; step 4, selecting the best performing score; step 5, defining percentiles of a population distribution; step 6, validating performance of the optimized polygenic score; and step 7, implementing the optimized polygenic score in clinical practice. © 2023 Wiley Periodicals LLC.


Asunto(s)
Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Humanos , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo/métodos , Factores de Riesgo , Herencia Multifactorial/genética
14.
Atherosclerosis ; 386: 117356, 2023 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37931336

RESUMEN

Coronary artery disease (CAD) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, highlighting the limitations of current primary and secondary prevention frameworks. In this review, we detail how the polygenic risk score for CAD can improve our current preventive and treatment frameworks across three clinical applications that span the life course: (i) identification and treatment of people at increased risk early in the life course prior to the onset of clinical risk factors, (ii) improving the precision around risk estimation in middle age, and (ii) guiding treatment decisions and enabling more efficient clinical trials even after the onset of CAD. We end by summarizing the efforts needed as we head towards more widespread use of polygenic risk score for CAD in clinical practice.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Persona de Mediana Edad , Humanos , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/genética , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/terapia , Acontecimientos que Cambian la Vida , Factores de Riesgo
15.
Genome Med ; 15(1): 99, 2023 Nov 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37993966

RESUMEN

Arabs represent 5% of the world population and have a high prevalence of common disease, yet remain greatly underrepresented in genome-wide association studies, where only 1 in 600 individuals are Arab. We highlight the persistent and unaddressed underrepresentation of Arabs in genomic databases and discuss its impact on public health genomics and missed opportunities for biological discovery.


Asunto(s)
Árabes , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Humanos , Árabes/genética , Genoma , Genómica
16.
medRxiv ; 2023 Nov 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37961553

RESUMEN

Importance: Earlier identification of high coronary artery disease (CAD) risk individuals may enable more effective prevention strategies. However, existing 10-year risk frameworks are ineffective at earlier identification. Understanding the variable importance of genomic and clinical factors across life stages may significantly improve lifelong CAD event prediction. Objective: To assess the time-varying significance of genomic and clinical risk factors in CAD risk estimation across various age groups. Design Setting and Participants: A longitudinal study was performed using data from two cohort studies: the Framingham Offspring Study (FOS) with 3,588 participants aged 19-57 years and the UK Biobank (UKB) with 327,837 participants aged 40-70 years. A total of 134,765 and 3,831,734 person-time years were observed in FOS and UKB, respectively. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hazard ratios (HR) for CAD were calculated for polygenic risk scores (PRS) and clinical risk factors at each age of enrollment. The relative importance of PRS and Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) in predicting CAD events was also evaluated by age groups. Results: The importance of CAD PRS diminished over the life course, with an HR of 3.58 (95% CI 1.39-9.19) at age 19 in FOS and an HR of 1.51 (95% CI 1.48-1.54) by age 70 in UKB. Clinical risk factors exhibited similar age-dependent trends. PRS significantly outperformed PCE in identifying subsequent CAD events in the 40-45-year age group, with 3.2-fold more appropriately identified events. The mean age of CAD events occurred 1.8 years earlier for those at high genomic risk but 9.6 years later for those at high clinical risk (p<0.001). Overall, adding PRS improved the area under the receiving operating curve of the PCE by an average of +5.1% (95% CI 4.9-5.2%) across all age groups; among individuals <55 years, PRS augmented the AUC-ROC of the PCE by 6.5% (95% CI 5.5-7.5%, p<0.001). Conclusions and Relevance: Genomic and clinical risk factors for CAD display time-varying importance across the lifespan. The study underscores the added value of CAD PRS, particularly among individuals younger than 55 years, for enhancing early risk prediction and prevention strategies.

17.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 30(15): 1571-1579, 2023 10 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37011137

RESUMEN

AIMS: To estimate how much information conveyed by self-reported family history of heart disease (FHHD) is already explained by clinical and genetic risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cross-sectional analysis of UK Biobank participants without pre-existing coronary artery disease using a multivariable model with self-reported FHHD as the outcome. Clinical (diabetes, hypertension, smoking, apolipoprotein B-to-apolipoprotein AI ratio, waist-to-hip ratio, high sensitivity C-reactive protein, lipoprotein(a), triglycerides) and genetic risk factors (polygenic risk score for coronary artery disease [PRSCAD], heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia [HeFH]) were exposures. Models were adjusted for age, sex, and cholesterol-lowering medication use. Multiple logistic regression models were fitted to associate FHHD with risk factors, with continuous variables treated as quintiles. Population attributable risks (PAR) were subsequently calculated from the resultant odds ratios. Among 166 714 individuals, 72 052 (43.2%) participants reported an FHHD. In a multivariable model, genetic risk factors PRSCAD (OR 1.30, CI 1.27-1.33) and HeFH (OR 1.31, 1.11-1.54) were most strongly associated with FHHD. Clinical risk factors followed: hypertension (OR 1.18, CI 1.15-1.21), lipoprotein(a) (OR 1.17, CI 1.14-1.20), apolipoprotein B-to-apolipoprotein AI ratio (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.10-1.16), and triglycerides (OR 1.07, CI 1.04-1.10). For the PAR analyses: 21.9% (CI 18.19-25.63) of the risk of reporting an FHHD is attributed to clinical factors, 22.2% (CI% 20.44-23.88) is attributed to genetic factors, and 36.0% (CI 33.31-38.68) is attributed to genetic and clinical factors combined. CONCLUSIONS: A combined model of clinical and genetic risk factors explains only 36% of the likelihood of FHHD, implying additional value in the family history.


With advances in genetics, it is tempting to assume that the 'family history' of a patient is an imperfect proxy for information we can already glean from genetics and laboratory tests. However, this study shows that much of the information contained in the self-reported family history of heart disease is not captured by currently available genetic and clinical biomarkers and highlights an important knowledge gap. Clinically used biomarkers explained only 21.9% of the likelihood of a patient reporting a family history of heart disease, while genetics explained 22.2%, and a combined model explained 36% of this likelihoodThe majority of the risk of reporting a family history went unexplained, implying that family history still has major relevance in clinical practice.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Hipertensión , Humanos , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/genética , Apolipoproteína A-I/genética , Estudios Transversales , Autoinforme , Factores de Riesgo , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Hipertensión/genética , Triglicéridos , Lipoproteína(a)
18.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 6535, 2023 10 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37852978

RESUMEN

Arabs account for 5% of the world population and have a high burden of cardiometabolic disease, yet clinical utility of polygenic risk prediction in Arabs remains understudied. Among 5399 Arab patients, we optimize polygenic scores for 10 cardiometabolic traits, achieving a performance that is better than published scores and on par with performance in European-ancestry individuals. Odds ratio per standard deviation (OR per SD) for a type 2 diabetes score was 1.83 (95% CI 1.74-1.92), and each SD of body mass index (BMI) score was associated with 1.18 kg/m2 difference in BMI. Polygenic scores associated with disease independent of conventional risk factors, and also associated with disease severity-OR per SD for coronary artery disease (CAD) was 1.78 (95% CI 1.66-1.90) for three-vessel CAD and 1.41 (95% CI 1.29-1.53) for one-vessel CAD. We propose a pragmatic framework leveraging public data as one way to advance equitable clinical implementation of polygenic scores in non-European populations.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/genética , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Árabes/genética , Factores de Riesgo , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/genética , Fenotipo , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad
19.
medRxiv ; 2023 Nov 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37986972

RESUMEN

Currently, coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of death among adults worldwide. Accurate risk stratification can support optimal lifetime prevention. We designed a novel and general multistate model (MSGene) to estimate age-specific transitions across 10 cardiometabolic states, dependent on clinical covariates and a CAD polygenic risk score. MSGene supports decision making about CAD prevention related to any of these states. We analyzed longitudinal data from 480,638 UK Biobank participants and compared predicted lifetime risk with the 30-year Framingham risk score. MSGene improved discrimination (C-index 0.71 vs 0.66), age of high-risk detection (C-index 0.73 vs 0.52), and overall prediction (RMSE 1.1% vs 10.9%), with external validation. We also used MSGene to refine estimates of lifetime absolute risk reduction from statin initiation. Our findings underscore the potential public health value of our novel multistate model for accurate lifetime CAD risk estimation using clinical factors and increasingly available genetics.

20.
JACC Adv ; 2(9): 100662, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38938725

RESUMEN

Background: Heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) is a monogenic disorder characterized by increased circulating low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and accelerated atherosclerosis. Even among this high-risk group, prior studies note considerable variability in risk of coronary artery disease (CAD). Objectives: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the cumulative impact of many common DNA variants-as quantified by a polygenic score-on incident CAD among individuals carrying a HeFH variant. Methods: We analyzed data from a prospective cohort study of 1,315 individuals who carried a HeFH variant and 1,315 matched family noncarriers derived from a nationwide screening program in the Netherlands, with subsequent replication in 151,009 participants of the UK Biobank. Results: Despite identification and lipid management within the Dutch screening program, 84 (6.4%) of HeFH variant carriers developed CAD as compared to 45 (3.4%) of matched family members (median follow-up 10.2 years, HR 1.88, 95% CI: 1.31-2.70). Among HeFH variant carriers, a polygenic score was associated with CAD with an effect size similar to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol - HR of 1.35 (95% CI: 1.07-1.70) and 1.41 (95% CI: 1.17-1.70) per standard deviation increase, respectively. When compared to noncarriers, CAD risk increased from 1.24-fold (95% CI: 0.64-2.34) to 3.37-fold (95% CI: 2.11-5.36) across quintiles of the polygenic score. A similar risk gradient, 1.36-fold (95% CI: 0.65-2.85) to 2.88-fold (95% CI: 1.59-5.20), was observed in 429 carriers in the UK Biobank. Conclusions: In 2 cohort studies involving 1,744 individuals with genetically confirmed HeFH - the largest study to date - risk of CAD varied according to polygenic background, in some cases approaching the risk observed in noncarriers.

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