A genetic risk score and diabetes predict development of alcohol-related cirrhosis in drinkers.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Only a minority of excess alcohol drinkers develop cirrhosis. We developed and evaluated risk stratification scores to identify those at highest risk. METHODS: Three cohorts (GenomALC-1: n = 1,690, GenomALC-2: n = 3,037, UK Biobank: relevant n = 6,898) with a history of heavy alcohol consumption (≥80 g/day (men), ≥50 g/day (women), for ≥10 years) were included. Cases were participants with alcohol-related cirrhosis. Controls had a history of similar alcohol consumption but no evidence of liver disease. Risk scores were computed from up to 8 genetic loci identified previously as associated with alcohol-related cirrhosis and 3 clinical risk factors. Score performance for the stratification of alcohol-related cirrhosis risk was assessed and compared across the alcohol-related liver disease spectrum, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). RESULTS: A combination of 3 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (PNPLA3:rs738409, SUGP1-TM6SF2:rs10401969, HSD17B13:rs6834314) and diabetes status best discriminated cirrhosis risk. The odds ratios (ORs) and (95% CIs) between the lowest (Q1) and highest (Q5) score quintiles of the 3-SNP score, based on independent allelic effect size estimates, were 5.99 (4.18-8.60) (GenomALC-1), 2.81 (2.03-3.89) (GenomALC-2), and 3.10 (2.32-4.14) (UK Biobank). Patients with diabetes and high risk scores had ORs of 14.7 (7.69-28.1) (GenomALC-1) and 17.1 (11.3-25.7) (UK Biobank) compared to those without diabetes and with low risk scores. Patients with cirrhosis and HCC had significantly higher mean risk scores than patients with cirrhosis alone (0.76 ± 0.06 vs. 0.61 ± 0.02, p = 0.007). Score performance was not significantly enhanced by information on additional genetic risk variants, body mass index or coffee consumption. CONCLUSIONS: A risk score based on 3 genetic risk variants and diabetes status enables the stratification of heavy drinkers based on their risk of cirrhosis, allowing for the provision of earlier preventative interventions. LAY SUMMARY: Excessive chronic drinking leads to cirrhosis in some people, but so far there is no way to identify those at high risk of developing this debilitating disease. We developed a genetic risk score that can identify patients at high risk. The risk of cirrhosis is increased >10-fold with just two risk factors - diabetes and a high genetic risk score. Risk assessment using this test could enable the early and personalised management of this disease in high-risk patients.

Genome-wide Association Study and Meta-analysis on Alcohol-Associated Liver Cirrhosis Identifies Genetic Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Only a minority of heavy drinkers progress to alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC). The aim of this study was to identify common genetic variants that underlie risk for ALC. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from 1,128 subjects of European ancestry with ALC and 614 heavy-drinking subjects without known liver disease from Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, and three countries in Europe. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) was performed, adjusting for principal components and clinical covariates (alcohol use, age, sex, body mass index, and diabetes). We validated our GWAS findings using UK Biobank. We then performed a meta-analysis combining data from our study, the UK Biobank, and a previously published GWAS. Our GWAS found genome-wide significant risk association of rs738409 in patatin-like phospholipase domain containing 3 (PNPLA3) (odds ratio [OR] = 2.19 [G allele], P = 4.93 × 10-17 ) and rs4607179 near HSD17B13 (OR = 0.57 [C allele], P = 1.09 × 10-10 ) with ALC. Conditional analysis accounting for the PNPLA3 and HSD17B13 loci identified a protective association at rs374702773 in Fas-associated factor family member 2 (FAF2) (OR = 0.61 [del(T) allele], P = 2.56 × 10-8 ) for ALC. This association was replicated in the UK Biobank using conditional analysis (OR = 0.79, P = 0.001). Meta-analysis (without conditioning) confirmed genome-wide significance for the identified FAF2 locus as well as PNPLA3 and HSD17B13. Two other previously known loci (SERPINA1 and SUGP1/TM6SF2) were also genome-wide significant in the meta-analysis. GeneOntology pathway analysis identified lipid droplets as the target for several identified genes. In conclusion, our GWAS identified a locus at FAF2 associated with reduced risk of ALC among heavy drinkers. Like the PNPLA3 and HSD17B13 gene products, the FAF2 product has been localized to fat droplets in hepatocytes. CONCLUSIONS: Our genetic findings implicate lipid droplets in the biological pathway(s) underlying ALC.

Treatment and Outcome of Autoimmune Hepatitis (AIH): Audit of 28 UK centres.

BACKGROUND: With few data regarding treatment and outcome of patients with AIH outside of large centres we present such a study of patients with AIH in 28 UK hospitals of varying size and facilities. METHODS: Patients with AIH were identified in 14 University and 14 District General hospitals; incident cases during 2007-2015 and prevalent cases, presenting 2000-2015. Treatment and outcomes were analysed. RESULTS: In 1267 patients with AIH, followed-up for 3.8(0-15) years, 5- and 10-year death/transplant rates were 7.1+0.8% and 10.1+1.3% (all-cause) and 4.0+0.6% and 5.9+1% (liver-related) respectively. Baseline parameters independently associated with death/transplantation for all-causes were: older age, vascular/respiratory co-morbidity, cirrhosis, decompensation, platelet count, attending transplant centre and for liver-related: the last four of these and peak bilirubin All-cause and liver-related death/transplantation was independently associated with: non-treatment with corticosteroids, non-treatment with a steroid-sparing agent (SSA), non-treatment of asymptomatic or non-cirrhotic patients and initial dose of Prednisolone >35mg/0.5mg/kg/day (all-cause only), but not with type of steroid (Prednisolone versus Budesonide) or steroid duration beyond 12-months. Subsequent all-cause and liver-death/transplant rates showed independent associations with smaller percentage fall in serum ALT after 1 and 3-months, but not with failure to normalise levels over 12-months. CONCLUSIONS: We observed higher death/transplant rates in patients with AIH who were untreated with steroids (including asymptomatic or non-cirrhotic sub-groups), those receiving higher Prednisolone doses and those who did not receive an SSA. Similar death/transplant rates were seen in those receiving Prednisolone or Budesonide, those continuing steroids after 12-months and patients attaining normal ALT within 12-months versus not.

Obesity, Diabetes, Coffee, Tea, and Cannabis Use Alter Risk for Alcohol-Related Cirrhosis in 2 Large Cohorts of High-Risk Drinkers.

INTRODUCTION: Sustained high alcohol intake is necessary but not sufficient to produce alcohol-related cirrhosis. Identification of risk factors, apart from lifetime alcohol exposure, would assist in discovery of mechanisms and prediction of risk. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter case-control study (GenomALC) comparing 1,293 cases (with alcohol-related cirrhosis, 75.6% male) and 754 controls (with equivalent alcohol exposure but no evidence of liver disease, 73.6% male). Information confirming or excluding cirrhosis, and on alcohol intake and other potential risk factors, was obtained from clinical records and by interview. Case-control differences in risk factors discovered in the GenomALC participants were validated using similar data from 407 cases and 6,573 controls from UK Biobank. RESULTS: The GenomALC case and control groups reported similar lifetime alcohol intake (1,374 vs 1,412 kg). Cases had a higher prevalence of diabetes (20.5% (262/1,288) vs 6.5% (48/734), P = 2.27 × 10-18) and higher premorbid body mass index (26.37 ± 0.16 kg/m2) than controls (24.44 ± 0.18 kg/m2, P = 5.77 × 10-15). Controls were significantly more likely to have been wine drinkers, coffee drinkers, smokers, and cannabis users than cases. Cases reported a higher proportion of parents who died of liver disease than controls (odds ratio 2.25 95% confidence interval 1.55-3.26). Data from UK Biobank confirmed these findings for diabetes, body mass index, proportion of alcohol as wine, and coffee consumption. DISCUSSION: If these relationships are causal, measures such as weight loss, intensive treatment of diabetes or prediabetic states, and coffee consumption should reduce the risk of alcohol-related cirrhosis.

Grand round: Autoimmune hepatitis.

Autoimmune hepatitis is a corticosteroid-responsive liver disease arising consequent to immunogenetic and environmental risk factors. The clinical course reflects relapsing and remitting, hepatocyte targeted immunologic damage, which is countered by reparative responses to cell injury. Appropriate and timely immunosuppressive therapy drives the disease into remission, albeit with inevitable side effects. Many challenges faced in the clinic reflect practice that must capture a heterogeneous disease presentation, course, and treatment response, as well as treatment tolerability. In this Grand Round we appraise the evidence supporting current treatment approaches, address the impact of autoimmune liver disease 'crossover or overlap' presentations, explore important clinical correlates to immune-serological classifiers, and discuss the factors influencing choice of alternative therapy in difficult-to-treat situations.

Natural history of histologically proven alcohol-related liver disease: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: To date, studies into the natural history of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) have lacked long-term follow-up, large numbers of participants, or both. We performed a systematic review to summarise studies that describe the natural history of histologically proven ALD. METHODS: PubMed and Medline were searched for relevant studies according to pre-specified criteria. Data were extracted to describe the prevalence of ALD, histological progression of disease and mortality. Single-proportion meta-analysis was used to combine data from studies regarding rates of progression or mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-seven studies were included, reporting data from 7,528 participants. Amongst cohorts of hazardous drinkers, on average 15% had normal histological appearance, 27% had hepatic steatosis, 24% had steatohepatitis and 26% had cirrhosis. The annualised rates of progression of pre-cirrhotic disease to cirrhosis were 1% (0-8%) for patients with normal histology, 3% (2-4%) for hepatic steatosis, 10% (6-17%) for steatohepatitis and 8% (3-19%) for fibrosis. Annualised mortality was 6% (4-7%) in patients with steatosis and 8% (5-13%) in cirrhosis. In patients with steatohepatitis on biopsy a marked difference was seen between inpatient cohorts (annual mortality 15%, 8-26%) and mixed cohorts of inpatients and outpatients (annual mortality 5%, 2-10%). Only in steatosis did non-liver-related mortality exceed liver-specific causes of mortality (5% per year vs. 1% per year). CONCLUSIONS: These data confirm the observation that alcohol-related hepatic steatohepatitis requiring admission to hospital is the most dangerous subtype of ALD. Alcohol-related steatosis is not a benign condition as it is associated with significant risk of mortality. LAY SUMMARY: Knowledge of the natural history of a disease allows clinicians and patients to understand the risks that are associated with a medical condition. In this study we systematically gathered all the published data regarding the natural history of alcohol-related liver disease in people who had a liver biopsy. We used this data to define the prevalence of the disease, the annual risk of progression to cirrhosis and the annual risk of death at each stage of the disease.

Stopping immunosuppressive treatment in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH): Is it justified (and in whom and when)?

BACKGROUND: Initial treatment of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) with prednisolone ± azathioprine is based on randomised controlled trials. Many patients receive long-term immunosuppressive treatment to prevent disease relapse; this strategy has a weaker evidence base. AIM: To consider whether immunosuppressive treatment (IST) withdrawal in AIH is justified and to develop a rationale for patient selection. METHODS: We reviewed published papers between 1972 and 2018, which addressed the outcomes of IST withdrawal and/or complications of IST in AIH. RESULTS: (1) AIH relapse rates after withdrawal of IST vary between 25% and 100%. There is heterogeneity in these studies regarding relapse definition, IST duration prior to withdrawal and criteria for biochemical and histological remission prior to withdrawal. (2) Factors associated with relapse following IST withdrawal include: (a) absence of an identifiable initial disease trigger, (b) presence of other autoimmune diseases, (c) longer time to biochemical remission and (d) elevated serum transaminases on treatment withdrawal. Reports of associations between relapse and age, IST duration and failure of histological remission have been inconsistent. (3) Continued IST reduces risk of AIH relapse over at least 5 years. However, there is no evidence that routine (as opposed to selective) long-term IST improves disease outcome. (4) Patients with AIH have an increased risk of extrahepatic cancer, notably non-melanoma skin cancer, to which long-term IST may contribute. Long-term corticosteroid therapy is associated with weight gain, low-trauma fractures, diabetes and possibly vascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: While further studies are needed, evidence supports a strategy of IST withdrawal in some patients with AIH who have achieved remission.

Prednisolone or pentoxifylline for alcoholic hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: Alcoholic hepatitis is a clinical syndrome characterized by jaundice and liver impairment that occurs in patients with a history of heavy and prolonged alcohol use. The short-term mortality among patients with severe disease exceeds 30%. Prednisolone and pentoxifylline are both recommended for the treatment of severe alcoholic hepatitis, but uncertainty about their benefit persists. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, double-blind, randomized trial with a 2-by-2 factorial design to evaluate the effect of treatment with prednisolone or pentoxifylline. The primary end point was mortality at 28 days. Secondary end points included death or liver transplantation at 90 days and at 1 year. Patients with a clinical diagnosis of alcoholic hepatitis and severe disease were randomly assigned to one of four groups: a group that received a pentoxifylline-matched placebo and a prednisolone-matched placebo, a group that received prednisolone and a pentoxifylline-matched placebo, a group that received pentoxifylline and a prednisolone-matched placebo, or a group that received both prednisolone and pentoxifylline. RESULTS: A total of 1103 patients underwent randomization, and data from 1053 were available for the primary end-point analysis. Mortality at 28 days was 17% (45 of 269 patients) in the placebo-placebo group, 14% (38 of 266 patients) in the prednisolone-placebo group, 19% (50 of 258 patients) in the pentoxifylline-placebo group, and 13% (35 of 260 patients) in the prednisolone-pentoxifylline group. The odds ratio for 28-day mortality with pentoxifylline was 1.07 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.77 to 1.49; P=0.69), and that with prednisolone was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.52 to 1.01; P=0.06). At 90 days and at 1 year, there were no significant between-group differences. Serious infections occurred in 13% of the patients treated with prednisolone versus 7% of those who did not receive prednisolone (P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Pentoxifylline did not improve survival in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. Prednisolone was associated with a reduction in 28-day mortality that did not reach significance and with no improvement in outcomes at 90 days or 1 year. (Funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment program; STOPAH EudraCT number, 2009-013897-42 , and Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN88782125 ).

In Patients With Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis, Prednisolone Increases Susceptibility to Infection and Infection-Related Mortality, and Is Associated With High Circulating Levels of Bacterial DNA.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Infections are common in patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis (SAH), but little information is available on how to predict their development or their effects on patients. Prednisolone is advocated for treatment of SAH, but can increase susceptibility to infection. We compared the effects of infection on clinical outcomes of patients treated with and without prednisolone, and identified risk factors for development of infection in SAH. METHODS: We analyzed data from 1092 patients enrolled in a double-blind placebo-controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy of treatment with prednisolone (40 mg daily) or pentoxifylline (400 mg 3 times each day) in patients with SAH. The 2 × 2 factorial design led to 547 patients receiving prednisolone; 546 were treated with pentoxifylline. The trial was conducted in the United Kingdom from January 2011 through February 2014. Data on development of infection were collected at evaluations performed at screening, baseline, weekly during admission, on discharge, and after 90 days. Patients were diagnosed with infection based on published clinical and microbiologic criteria. Risk factors for development of infection and effects on 90-day mortality were evaluated separately in patients treated with prednisolone (n = 547) and patients not treated with prednisolone (n = 545) using logistic regression. Pretreatment blood levels of bacterial DNA (bDNA) were measured in 731 patients. RESULTS: Of the 1092 patients in the study, 135 had an infection at baseline, 251 developed infections during treatment, and 89 patients developed an infection after treatment. There was no association between pentoxifylline therapy and the risk of serious infection (P = .084), infection during treatment (P = .20), or infection after treatment (P = .27). Infections classified as serious were more frequent in patients treated with prednisolone (odds ratio [OR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-2.92; P = .002). There was no association between prednisolone therapy and infection during treatment (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.78-1.37; P = .80). However, a higher proportion (10%) of patients receiving prednisolone developed an infection after treatment than of patients not given prednisolone (6%) (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.07-2.69; P = .024). Development of infection was associated with increased 90-day mortality in patients with SAH treated with prednisolone, independent of model for end-stage liver disease or Lille score (OR, 2.46; 95% CI, 1.41-4.30; P = .002). High circulating bDNA predicted infection that developed within 7 days of prednisolone therapy, independent of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and white blood cell count (OR, 4.68; 95% CI, 1.80-12.17; P = .001). In patients who did not receive prednisolone, infection was not independently associated with 90-day mortality (OR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.54-1.62; P = .82) or levels of bDNA (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.39-1.75; P = .62). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with SAH given prednisolone are at greater risk for developing serious infections and infections after treatment than patients not given prednisolone, which may offset its therapeutic benefit. Level of circulating bDNA before treatment could identify patients at high risk of infection if given prednisolone; these data could be used to select therapies for patients with SAH. EudraCT no: 2009-013897-42; Current Controlled Trials no: ISRCTN88782125.

Diagnosis, presentation and initial severity of Autoimmune Hepatitis (AIH) in patients attending 28 hospitals in the UK.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is limited information regarding patients with AIH outside relatively few large centres. We describe here the presenting features of patients with AIH, collected as part of an audit involving 28 UK hospitals. METHODS: Patients (incident since 1/1/2007 or prevalent since 1/1/2000) were ≥18 years and either met 1999 International AIH Group (IAIHG) diagnostic criteria (n = 1164), or received immunosuppressive therapy for clinically diagnosed AIH (n = 103). RESULTS: Of 1267 patients (80% women, 91% Caucasian, age (median(range)) 55(8-86) years, 0.5% had acute viral hepatitis (CMV/EBV/HEV); 2% were taking Nitrofurantoin and 0.7% Khat. Twenty-one percent had clinical decompensation and/or a MELD score of >15. Time from first abnormal liver tests to diagnosis was ≥1 year in 19% and was longer in jaundiced vs non-jaundiced patients. HBV and HCV serology were undocumented in 4%, serum immunoglobulins in 31% and autoantibodies in 11%-27%. When documented, ≥1 antibody was present in 83%. LKM-1-positive and autoantibody-negative patients had more severe disease. Histological cirrhosis was reported in 23%, interface hepatitis 88%, predominant lymphocytes/plasma cells 75%, rosettes 19% and emperipolesis 0.4%. Only 65% of those meeting 1999 IAIHG criteria also met simplified IAIHG criteria. University Hospitals compared to District General Hospitals, were more likely to report histological features of AIH. CONCLUSIONS: This cohort from across the UK is older than other multicentre AIH cohorts. One-fifth had decompensation or MELD >15. Diagnosis was delayed in 19%, diagnostic testing was incomplete in one-third and rosettes and emperipolesis were infrequently reported.

Long-Term Prognostic Significance of Persisting Histological Activity Despite Biochemical Remission in Autoimmune Hepatitis.

OBJECTIVES: Biochemical remission is widely considered a satisfactory treatment end point in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). The significance of persisting histological activity despite biochemical remission is unknown. We aimed to assess the frequency and prognostic significance of persisting histological inflammation in patients with AIH who had achieved biochemical remission with treatment. METHODS: We studied 120 patients (median age at diagnosis 57 years; 81% female) with AIH by International Criteria (59% definite), who received immunosuppressive treatment and underwent a follow-up liver biopsy after at least 6 months of sustained biochemical remission (defined as normal serum ALT and globulin). RESULTS: Fifty-five patients (46%) had persisting histological activity (Ishak histological activity index (HAI) ≥4). These patients had higher serum ALT (24 vs. 18 IU/l, P=0.003) and AST (27 vs. 23 IU/l, P=0.03) at the time of follow-up biopsy, compared with patients who achieved histological remission (HAI ≤3). They had less frequent regression of fibrosis on follow-up biopsy compared with those achieving histological remission (32 vs. 60%, P=0.004) and had excess mortality (standardized mortality ratio 1.4 vs. 0.7, P<0.05). The excess mortality was due to liver disease. On multivariate analysis, persisting histological activity was independently associated with all-cause death/transplantation (HR 3.1 (95% CI 1.2-8.1); P=0.02); an association with liver-related death/transplantation fell short of significance (HR 9.7 (95% CI 0.84-111.6; P=0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Persisting histological activity, despite biochemical remission, is frequent in patients with treated AIH and is associated with lower rates of fibrosis regression and reduced long-term survival.

Standard Treatment in Adults: Which Steroid? Or without Steroids?

KEY MESSAGES: (1) Standard treatment of autoimmune hepatitis in adults should be steroid based. In early trials, prednisolone +/- azathioprine was superior to the azathioprine mono-therapy (which was not significantly better than placebo). Prednisolone plus azathioprine has similar efficacy to, but is better tolerated than a higher-dose of prednisolone alone and therefore has become standard therapy. (2) In most treated patients, serum transaminases and globulin/IgG fall, but percentage attaining normal values within 6 months varies between 10 and 90%. Patients failing to do so have a worse longer-term outcome. (3) A higher initial prednisolone dose (1 mg/kg/day) plus azathioprine achieved 76% serum transaminase normalisation after 6 months but needs longer-term evaluation. (4) Histological remission (minimal hepatitis on re-biopsy) lags behind transaminase normalisation by 6-12 months and is achieved in 55-70% of patients after 24-36 months prednisolone. This lag and the inefficacy of azathioprine mono-therapy justifies continuing prednisolone (5-10 mg/day), even after transaminase normalisation, for a total of >2 years. (5) Repeat biopsy should be considered because 40-60% of patients still have (usually mild) persisting inflammation, despite normal serum transaminases and IgG. In such patients, fibrosis is less likely to regress and long-term mortality is higher. (6) In a large trial, non-cirrhotic treatment-naïve patients given budesonide (9 mg/day) plus azathioprine were more likely to achieve normal serum ALT after 6 months than those receiving prednisolone plus azathioprine and had less side effects. This trial was short term in nature and lacked follow-up histology. Budesonide is recommended in non-cirrhotic patients who develop prednisolone-related side effects. In an open study of mycophenolate plus prednisolone, 88% of treatment-naïve patients achieved normal serum transaminases. However, half relapsed during or after steroid withdrawal and only one of eight re-biopsied patients achieved histological remission. Mycophenolate is teratogenic, limiting its use in younger women. CONCLUSION: Despite its limitations, no regime has yet been shown clearly to be better than prednisolone and azathioprine-based therapy.

What is the role of out of programme clinical fellowships in the era of Shape of Training? A single-centre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The updated Shape of Training curriculum has shortened the duration of specialty training. We present the potential role of out of programme clinical fellowships. METHOD: An electronic online survey was sent to all current fellows to understand their experiences, training opportunities and motivations.Data were collected on fellows' endoscopic experiences and publications using PubMed for all previous doctors who have completed the Sheffield Fellowship Programme. RESULTS: Since 2004, 39 doctors have completed the Sheffield Fellowship.Endoscopic experience: current fellows completed a median average of 350 (IQR 150-500) gastroscopies and 150 (IQR 106-251) colonoscopies per year. Fellows with special interests completed either 428 hepato-pancreato-biliary procedures or 70 endoscopic mucosal resections per year.Medline publications: Median average 9 publications(IQR 4-17). They have also received multiple national or international awards and 91% achieved a doctoral degree.The seven current fellows in the new Shape of Training era (57% male, 29% Caucasian, aged 31-40 years) report high levels of enjoyment due to their research projects, supervisory teams and social aspects. The most cited reasons for undertaking the fellowship were to develop a subspecialty interest, take time off the on-call rota and develop endoscopic skills. The most reported drawback was a reduced income.All current fellows feel that the fellowship has enhanced their clinical confidence and prepared them to become consultants. CONCLUSION: Out of programme clinical fellowships offer the opportunity to develop the required training competencies, subspecialty expertise and research skills in a supportive environment.

A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) based on results from genome-wide association studies offer the prospect of risk stratification for many common and complex diseases. We developed a PRS for alcohol-associated cirrhosis by comparing single-nucleotide polymorphisms among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) versus drinkers who did not have evidence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis. METHODS: Using a data-driven approach, a PRS for ALC was generated using a meta-genome-wide association study of ALC (N=4305) and an independent cohort of heavy drinkers with ALC and without significant liver disease (N=3037). It was validated in 2 additional independent cohorts from the UK Biobank with diagnosed ALC (N=467) and high-risk drinking controls (N=8981) and participants in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort with alcohol-associated liver disease (N=121) and controls without liver disease (N=3239). RESULTS: A 20-single-nucleotide polymorphisms PRS for ALC (PRSALC) was generated that stratified risk for ALC comparing the top and bottom deciles of PRS in the 2 validation cohorts (ORs: 2.83 [95% CI: 1.82 -4.39] in UK Biobank; 4.40 [1.56 -12.44] in Indiana Biobank Liver cohort). Furthermore, PRSALC improved the prediction of ALC risk when added to the models of clinically known predictors of ALC risk. It also stratified the risk for metabolic dysfunction -associated steatotic liver disease -cirrhosis (3.94 [2.23 -6.95]) in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort -based exploratory analysis. CONCLUSIONS: PRSALC incorporates 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, predicts increased risk for ALC, and improves risk stratification for ALC compared with the models that only include clinical risk factors. This new score has the potential for early detection of heavy drinking patients who are at high risk for ALC.

Clinical significance of azathioprine metabolites for the maintenance of remission in autoimmune hepatitis.

UNLABELLED: Azathioprine (AZA) is used to maintain remission in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), but up to 18% of patients are unresponsive. AZA is a prodrug, and the formation of active thioguanine nucleotide (TGN) metabolites varies widely. We aimed to assess the relationship between AZA metabolite concentrations (i.e., TGNs and methylmercaptopurine nucleotides [MeMPNs]), thiopurine methyltransferase (TPMT) activity, therapeutic response, and toxicity in adult patients with AIH prescribed a stable dose of AZA for the maintenance of remission. Red blood cell (RBC) TGNs and MeMPNs were measured in serial blood samples over a 2-year period. The average TGNs (avTGNs) and MeMPNs (avMeMPNs) concentrations for each patient were used for analysis. Therapeutic response was defined as the ability to maintain remission, defined as a normal serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level (ALT <33 IU/mL). Patients who maintained remission (n = 53), compared to those who did not (n = 17), tended to be on lower doses of AZA (1.7 versus 2.0 mg/kg/day; P = 0.08), but had significantly higher concentrations of avTGN (237 versus 177 pmol/8 × 10(8) RBCs; P = 0.025). There was no difference in MeMPN concentrations or TPMT activities between the two groups. There was a negative correlation between ALT and avTGN (r(s) = -0.32; P = 0.007). An avTGN concentration of >220 pmol/8 × 10(8) RBCs best predicted remission, with an odds ratio of 7.7 (P = 0.003). There was no association between TGN, MeMPN, or TPMT activity and the development of leucopenia. Two patients developed AZA-induced cholestasis and the avMeMPN concentration was higher in those patients, compared to those who did not (14,277 versus 1,416 pmol/8 × 10(8) RBCs). CONCLUSION: TGN concentrations of >220 pmol/8 × 10(8) RBCs are associated with remission. TGN measurement may help identify inadequate immunosupression. AZA-induced cholestasis was associated with increased MeMPN concentrations.

Long-term Outcome of Autoimmune Hepatitis: Consecutive Patient Cohort and Data on the Second Twenty Years.

BACKGROUND: Mortality rates for autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) vary. Data are lacking beyond 20 years follow-up. AIMS: Analysis of a consecutively recruited large AIH cohort from a single non-transplant tertiary centre in England and an overlapping cohort, already followed for ≥ 20 years. METHODS: We assessed 330 patients presenting 1987-2016 and 65 patients presenting 1971-96 already followed for 20 years. RESULTS: Death/liver transplant rate was 51±4% (all-cause) and 21±4% (liver-related) over 20 years and was independently associated with: decompensation and lower serum ALT at diagnosis; and failure of serum ALT normalisation and higher relapse rate. There was excess mortality over the first year. Patients (n = 65) already followed for twenty years had similar subsequent rates of relapse, disease progression and mortality, to those followed from diagnosis. Azathioprine-intolerant patients (n = 23) switching to Mycophenolate did not have higher mortality over 4(1-17) years, than patients continuing Azathioprine. Following immunosuppression withdrawal (n = 26), six (23% patients) relapsed with no liver-related deaths over 2.3(0-23.1) years. CONCLUSIONS: In this consecutive autoimmune hepatitis cohort, mortality was similar to that in national registry studies, disease progression continued after 20 years, and immunosuppression withdrawal did not compromise survival.

Long-term outcomes of patients with autoimmune hepatitis managed at a nontransplant center.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The long-term outcomes of patients treated for autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) are considered to be good. However, follow-up data beyond 10 years are limited and confined to tertiary referral centers. We assessed long-term outcomes and determinants of outcome in patients with AIH from a nontransplant center. METHODS: We studied 245 patients (204 women; median age, 56 years; range, 2.5-87 years) with AIH (167 definite by International AIH Group criteria) managed at a single nontransplant center from 1971 to 2007. RESULTS: 229 patients (93%) achieved normal serum levels of alanine aminotransferase within 12 months after treatment. After a median follow-up period of 9.4 years (range, 0.01-36 years), 11 patients received liver transplants (2 subsequently died). Seventy other patients died (30 from liver disease), 15 were censored (moved away, defaulted, or developed primary biliary cirrhosis), and 149 were still being followed up on December 31, 2007. Survival rates from all-cause death or transplantation were 82%±3% and 48%±5% after 10 and 20 years, respectively, and from liver-related death or transplantation were 91%±2% and 70%±5%, respectively. The standardized mortality ratio was 1.63 for all-cause death (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-2.02), 1.86 also considering liver transplant as "death" (95% CI, 1.49-2.26), and 0.91 for non-liver-related death (95% CI, 0.62-1.19). By Cox regression analysis, liver decompensation, cirrhosis at any time, failure to normalize levels of alanine aminotransferase within 12 months, and >4 relapses per decade were significantly associated with liver-related death or transplant. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a good initial response to immunosuppression, long-term mortality of patients with AIH is greater than that of the general population.

British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG) guidelines for management of autoimmune hepatitis.

Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a chronic inflammatory liver disease which, if untreated, often leads to cirrhosis, liver failure and death. Major advances were made in its management based on controlled trials performed in England and the USA in the 1970s and 1980s. Unfortunately, in recent decades there has been a dearth of controlled clinical trials and, thus, many questions regarding the optimal management of this disease remain unanswered. Many promising newer immunosuppressive therapies await formal comparison with standard therapies and also many important details in relation to the application of standard therapies remain unclear. These guidelines describe the optimal management strategies in adults based on available published evidence, including the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases practice guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of AIH published in 2002 and recently updated.