Predictors of Hyporesponsiveness to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents in Patients with Non-Dialysis-Dependent Chronic Kidney Disease (RADIANCE-CKD Study).

INTRODUCTION: Hyporesponsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) has been associated with increased mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease. We hypothesized that the prediction of ESA resistance during ESA administration would be very useful in deciding on a treatment plan. METHODS: Patients enrolled in a randomized controlled trial to evaluate renal prognosis in anemic patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease with hyporesponsiveness to ESA were included; the patients had different target hemoglobin levels. A landmark analysis was performed at 3 months into the study. To construct a predictive model for the severe ESA hypo-responder group, in which there was no increase in hemoglobin even with active treatment, background factors and serum test items that affect anemia at study entry were included in a logistic regression model, the area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated, and sensitivity and specificity were calculated. This study was a post hoc sub-analysis of a randomized controlled trial. RESULTS: The AUC for the 19 existing risk factors as predictors was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.711-0.855). Among the 19 risk factors, the combination of six factors (hemoglobin level, systolic blood pressure, weight, gender, smoking status, and hypertensive retinopathy) with the largest χ2 statistics were selected by multiple logistics regression. The AUC for these 6 predictors was 0.716 (95% CI: 0.634-0.799). To the six existing risk factors, five serum test items that affect anemia (vitamin B12, vitamin B6, folic acid, parathyroid hormone, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D) were added, for a total of 11 risk factors, with a similar AUC of 0.736 (95% CI: 0.655-0.817), sufficient to predict ESA resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that existing risk factors and serum test items can be used to predict ESA resistance in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease on ESA.

Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 study of bardoxolone methyl in patients with diabetic kidney disease: design and baseline characteristics of the AYAME study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the leading cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), but currently available treatments do not improve kidney function or prevent the initiation of dialysis/kidney replacement therapy. A previous study demonstrated that bardoxolone methyl improves the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), but the study was prematurely terminated because of an imbalance in heart failure between treatment groups. The subsequent phase 2 TSUBAKI study demonstrated no incidence of heart failure and an improved eGFR and GFR as determined by inulin clearance in DKD patients. METHODS: This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled multicentre phase 3 study was designed to assess the efficacy and safety of bardoxolone methyl in DKD patients with an eGFR ≥15.0-<60.0 ml/min/1.73 m2 and a urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) ≤3500 mg/g but without risk factors for heart failure. The primary endpoint is the time to onset of a ≥30% decrease in the eGFR or ESKD. Randomized patients (1:1) have been under treatment with once-daily oral bardoxolone methyl (5, 10 or 15 mg by intrapatient dose adjustment) or placebo for at least 3 years. RESULTS: The mean age of the 1013 patients is 65.9 years, 21.5% are female, the mean eGFR is 37.84 ml/min/1.73 m2 and the median UACR is 351.80 mg/g. CONCLUSIONS: Appropriate patients are enrolled in this study. This study will investigate the long-term efficacy and safety of bardoxolone methyl in DKD patients covering a wider range of eGFR (≥15.0-<60.0 ml/min/1.73 m2) and albuminuria (≤3500 mg/g) compared with previous studies.

Renal prognoses by different target hemoglobin levels achieved by epoetin beta pegol dosing to chronic kidney disease patients with hyporesponsive anemia to erythropoiesis-stimulating agent: a multicenter open-label randomized controlled study.

BACKGROUND: There is no evidence regarding appropriate target hemoglobin levels in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients with an erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA)-hyporesponsiveness. Therefore, we conducted a randomized controlled study in non-dialysis dependent CKD (NDD-CKD) patients with ESA-hyporesponsiveness, comparing results of intensive versus conservative treatment to maintain hemoglobin levels. METHODS: This was a multicenter, open-label, randomized, parallel-group study conducted at 89 institutions. Among NDD-CKD patients, those with ESA-hyporesponsive renal anemia were randomly assigned to an intensive treatment group, to which epoetin beta pegol was administered with target hemoglobin level of 11 g/dL or higher, or conservative treatment group, in which the hemoglobin levels at enrollment (within ± 1 g/dL) were maintained. The primary endpoint was the time to the first kidney composite event defined as (1) transition to renal replacement therapy (dialysis or renal transplantation); (2) reduction of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to less than 6.0 mL/min/1.73 m2; or (3) reduction of eGFR by 30% or more. Secondary endpoints were kidney function (change rate in eGFR), cardiovascular (CV) events, and safety. RESULTS: Between August 2012 and December 2015, 385 patients were registered, and 362 patients who met the eligibility criteria were enrolled. There was no significant difference in kidney survival or in CV events between the two groups. However, the incidences of the 3 types of kidney composite events tended to differ. CONCLUSIONS: In NDD-CKD patients with ESA-hyporesponsive renal anemia, the aggressive administration of ESA did not clearly extend kidney survival or result in a significant difference in the incidence of CV events.

Initial responsiveness to darbepoetin alfa and its contributing factors in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Hyporesponsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) is associated with cardiovascular events and poor renal outcome in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study aimed to investigate the initial responsiveness to darbepoetin alfa (DA) and its contributing factors using the data from the BRIGHTEN. METHODS: Of 1980 patients enrolled at 168 facilities, 1695 were included in this analysis [285 patients were excluded mainly due to lack of hemoglobin (Hb) values]. The initial ESA response index (iEResI) was defined as a ratio of Hb changes over 12 weeks after DA administration per weight-adjusted total DA dose and contributing factors to iEResI were analyzed. RESULTS: The mean age was 70 ± 12 years (male 58.8%; diabetic nephropathy 27.6%). The median creatinine and mean Hb levels at DA initiation were 2.62 mg/dL and 9.8 g/dL, respectively. The most frequent number of DA administration during 12 weeks was 3 times (41.1%), followed by 4 (15.6%) times with a wide distribution of the total DA dose (15-900 µg). Remarkably, 225 patients (13.3%) did not respond to DA. Multivariate analysis showed that male gender, hypoglycemic agent use, iron supplementation, high eGFR, low Hb, low CRP, low NT-proBNP, and low urinary protein-creatinine ratio were independently associated with better initial response to DA (P = < 0.0001, 0.0108, < 0.0001, 0.0476, < 0.0001, 0.0004, 0.0435, and 0.0009, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Non-responder to DA accounted for 13.3% of patients with non-dialysis CKD. Iron supplementation, low CRP, low NT-proBNP, and less proteinuria were predictive and modifiable factors associated with better initial response to DA.

Risk stratification based on J-ACCESS risk models with myocardial perfusion imaging: Risk versus outcomes of patients with chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to validate the accuracy of major-event risk models created in the multicenter J-ACCESS prognostic study in a new cohort of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Three multivariable J-ACCESS risk models were created to predict major cardiac events (cardiac death, non-fatal acute coronary syndrome, and severe heart failure requiring hospitalization): Model 1, four variables of age, summed stress score, left ventricular ejection fraction and diabetes; Model 2 with five variables including estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, continuous); and Model 3 with categorical eGFR. The validation data used three-year (3y) cohort of patients with CKD (n = 526, major events 11.2%). Survival analysis of low (< 3%/3y), intermediate (3% to 9%/3y), and high (> 9%/3y)-risk groups showed good stratification by all three models (actual event rates: 3.1%, 9.9%, and 15.9% in the three groups with eGFR ≥ 15 mL/min/1.73 m2, P = .0087 (Model 2). However, actual event rates were equally high across all risk groups of patients with eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSION: The J-ACCESS risk models can stratify patients with CKD and eGFR ≥ 15 mL/min/1.73 m2, but patients with eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 are potentially at high risk regardless of estimated risk values.

Prognostic study of cardiac events in Japanese patients with chronic kidney disease using ECG-gated myocardial Perfusion imaging: Final 3-year report of the J-ACCESS 3 study.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is considered useful for risk stratification among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), without renal deterioration by contrast media. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Japanese Assessment of Cardiac Events and Survival Study by Quantitative Gated SPECT (J-ACCESS 3) is a multicenter, prospective cohort study investigating the ability of MPI to predict cardiac events in 529 CKD patients without a definitive coronary artery disease. All patients were assessed by stress and rest MPI with 99mTc-tetrofosmin and data were analyzed using a defect scoring method and QGS software. Major cardiac events were analyzed for 3 years after registration. The mean eGFR was 29.0 ± 12.8 (mL/minute/1.73 m2). The mean summed stress/rest/difference (SSS, SRS, SDS) scores were 1.9 ± 3.8, 1.1 ± 3.0, and 0.8 ± 1.8, respectively. A total of 60 cardiac events (three cardiac deaths, six sudden deaths, five nonfatal myocardial infarctions, 46 hospitalization cases for heart failure) occurred. The event-free survival rate was lower among patients with kidney dysfunction, higher SSS, and higher CRP values. Multivariate Cox regression analysis independently associated SSS ≥8, eGFR <15 (mL/minute/1.73 m2), and CRP ≥0.3 (mg/dL) with cardiac events. CONCLUSIONS: Together with eGFR and CRP, MPI can predict cardiac events in patients with CKD.

Biological variation of procalcitonin levels in hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: There is no obvious evidence regarding biological variation of procalcitonin (PCT) levels in hemodialysis (HD) patients without infections. The aim of this study was to determine the within- and between-person biological variation of PCT levels in HD patients without infections. METHODS: A multicenter, prospective, cohort study enrolled 123 HD patients without any signs of infectious disease. Baseline PCT levels were determined pre- and post-HD, and then repeated pre-HD PCT measurements were performed at 2, 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, and 24 weeks after baseline blood-sampling, regardless of the presence or absence of infectious disease. Analytical variation (CVa), the within-person biological variation (CVi), between-person biological variation (CVb), individual index (II), and the reference change value (RCV) were calculated. RESULTS: The mean age was 62.4 years, 76.4% were male, and 32.5% had diabetes. The mean duration of HD was 87 months. The median value for baseline pre-HD PCT was 0.23 ng/mL, which is much higher than the reference level for healthy individuals. PCT levels decreased of 46.6% after a single HD session. CVi was 24.9%, CVb was 54.2%, II was 0.46, and RCV was calculated as 96.4% with 99% probability. CONCLUSIONS: The PCT level was significantly higher in stable HD patients without manifest bacterial infection. CVb was more variable than CVi in HD patients, which indicates that relative change is more important than absolute PCT levels for diagnosing bacterial infection, and doubling or more of the baseline PCT level may imply the presence of a bacterial infection in HD patients.

Resistance to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents in Pre-Dialysis and Post-Dialysis Mortality in Japanese Incident Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: There is lack of definitive evidence about the association between erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) responsiveness in the pre-dialysis phase and mortality. Therefore, we conducted a hospital-based, retrospective, cohort study to assess the predictive value of ESA response for prognosis in incident hemodialysis patients. METHODS: A total of 108 patients without preexisting cardiovascular disease who had been started on maintenance hemodialysis were studied. ESA responsiveness just before starting dialysis was estimated using an erythropoietin resistance index (ERI). The endpoint was defined as all-cause death. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 3.1 ± 1.6 years, 18 (17%) patients died. Overall, the multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the log-transformed ERI remained an independent predictor of all-cause death after adjustment using a propensity score (hazard ratio 2.25, 95% CI 1.25-4.06). CONCLUSIONS: Among incident hemodialysis patients, hyporesponsiveness to ESA may be associated with mortality.

Association of Circulatory Iron Deficiency With an Enlarged Heart in Patients With End-Stage Kidney Disease.

OBJECTIVES: High prevalence of iron deficiency (ID) and cardiomyopathy have been observed in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Our objective was to clarify associations between ID and cardiac remodeling in patients with ESKD. DESIGN AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted using 1974 Japanese patients with ESKD at the initiation of maintenance dialysis. Levels of hemoglobin (Hb), iron status, and cardiac enlargement as assessed by the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) were determined immediately before the first hemodialysis session. Circulatory ID was defined as transferrin saturation (TSAT) < 20%, and stored ID was defined as ferritin level <100 ng/dL. RESULTS: The mean age was 67 years. Median CTR was 54.0%. The prevalence of circulatory and stored ID was found to be 38% and 34%, respectively. CTR was higher in patients with circulatory ID than in those without. Even in ESKD patients without overhydration, significant negative association was observed between TSAT and CTR. Higher odds ratios in parallel with higher CTR categories compared with the reference category of CTR <45% were found in patients with TSAT <20% on multinomial analysis, but ferritin did not show any significant associations. The odds ratio for CTR >54% showed an upward trend in patients with TSAT <20% (odds ratio: 1.3) and <10% (odds ratio: 1.6) compared with the reference, even after adjusting for confounding variables such as Hb and ferritin. However, that phenomenon was eliminated by adding usage of an iron agent. CONCLUSIONS: Circulatory ID is closely associated with an enlarged heart independent of ferritin and Hb. Iron supplementation in the predialysis phase of chronic kidney disease may prevent cardiac remodeling independent of Hb level in patients chronic kidney disease.

Dry weight targeting: The art and science of conventional hemodialysis.

Fluid volume overload is common and is associated with adverse outcomes in hemodialysis patients. Practicing physicians individually manage fluid volume balance in their dialysis patients according to blood pressure, interdialytic weight gain, cardiac function, nutritional status, and other comorbidities. However, accurate assessment of fluid volume status remains a concern. Indicators of dry weight target have been explored further with newer concepts and technologies. In general, total body water comprises approximately 50%-60% of adult body weight (range, 45%-75%), and water comprises 73.3% of lean body mass. The standard hydration status between intracellular water and extracellular water is maintained at a ratio of 62:38 in healthy adults, which, however, is influenced universally by body cell volume driven by age and muscle mass. Fluid volume imbalance in dialysis patients also is characterized primarily by decreased body cell mass associated with aging and muscle attenuation, as well as excess extracellular water content associated with sodium retention, which may be associated with the reserve capacity for volume overload. Indeed, dialysis patients with a leaner body mass have a higher prevalence of hypertension, poorer hypertension control, and greater left ventricular hypertrophy. Understanding of these body composition changes by aging and sarcopenia can aid clinical decision making in the dry weight assessments in dialysis patients. Advising patients with consistently high interdialytic weight gain to practice salt restriction and providing appropriate nutritional support for malnourished patients with downward trajectory in their dry weight would be of great help to achieve optimal fluid volume status.

Thallium-201 washout rate of stress myocardial perfusion imaging as a predictor of mortality in diabetic kidney disease patients initiating hemodialysis: an observational, follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Thallium-201 washout rate of stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) has been reported to correlate with coronary flow reserve which is a parameter of myocardial microcirculation. However, the evidence for its use in diabetic kidney disease (DKD) has been lacking, and the association between thallium-201 washout rate and adverse outcomes including death is unknown. Therefore, the present study was conducted to evaluate the predictive ability of thallium-201 washout rate for mortality in DKD patients initiating hemodialysis. METHODS: A total of 96 patients with type 2 diabetes who had been started on maintenance hemodialysis undergoing stress MPI with thallium-201 within 1 year, 72 men and 24 women, with a median age of 67 years, were studied. The endpoint was defined as all-cause death. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: During the mean follow-up period of 3.4 ± 2.1 years, 18 (18.8%) deaths occurred. Cumulative survival rates during the follow-up period, with thallium-201 washout rate levels in the lowest tertile (3.1-36.2%), the middle tertile (36.5-46.3%), and the highest tertile (46.4-66.2%), were 51.0, 86.5, and 85.3%, respectively. Overall, the multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that thallium-201 washout rate remained an independent predictor of death after adjusting by confounding variables (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.97). CONCLUSIONS: Among DKD patients initiating hemodialysis, thallium-201 washout rate seems to be useful for predicting death.

Rationale and design of oBservational clinical Research In chronic kidney disease patients with renal anemia: renal proGnosis in patients with Hyporesponsive anemia To Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, darbepoetiN alfa (BRIGHTEN Trial).

BACKGROUND: Renal anemia is an important complication in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients as well as in dialysis patients. Although recombinant human erythropoietin has dramatically improved prognosis and quality of life in these patients, there have been issues among non-dialysis CKD patients who exhibit hyporesponsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA). The causes and definition of ESA hyporesponsiveness, as well as the incidence of renal and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in such patients, are yet to be clarified. METHODS: This ongoing trial is a multicenter, prospective, observational study of non-dialysis CKD patients with renal anemia. The primary objective is to survey the current realities of the therapy with ESA in Japan and evaluate the correlation between hyporesponsiveness to darbepoetin alfa and CKD progression. The secondary objective is to investigate relationship between ESA hyporesponsiveness and CVD events based on the clinical situation in Japan, and to explore an ESA response index. RESULTS: The subjects consist of CKD patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 who present renal anemia. The target number of registered cases is 2000 patients, based on estimates of incidences of renal and CVD events from past studies. Renal function and CVD events will be observed for 96 weeks after the initiation of darbepoetin alfa administration. Definitions of ESA hyporesponsiveness will also be investigated. CONCLUSION: By clarifying markers and factors involved in ESA hyporesponsiveness and their relationships with renal and CVD events, this ongoing study aims to improve evidence-based therapies for renal anemia in non-dialysis CKD patients.

Effect of Oral Alfacalcidol on Clinical Outcomes in Patients Without Secondary Hyperparathyroidism Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis: The J-DAVID Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Patients with chronic kidney disease have impaired vitamin D activation and elevated cardiovascular risk. Observational studies in patients treated with hemodialysis showed that the use of active vitamin D sterols was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality, regardless of parathyroid hormone levels. Objective: To determine whether vitamin D receptor activators reduce cardiovascular events and mortality in patients without secondary hyperparathyroidism undergoing hemodialysis. Design, Setting, and Participants: Randomized, open-label, blinded end point multicenter study of 1289 patients in 207 dialysis centers in Japan. The study included 976 patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis with serum intact parathyroid hormone levels less than or equal to 180 pg/mL. The first and last participants were enrolled on August 18, 2008, and January 26, 2011, respectively. The final date of follow-up was April 4, 2015. Interventions: Treatment with 0.5 µg of oral alfacalcidol per day (intervention group; n = 495) vs treatment without vitamin D receptor activators (control group; n = 481). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite measure of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarctions, hospitalizations for congestive heart failure, stroke, aortic dissection/rupture, amputation of lower limb due to ischemia, and cardiac sudden death; coronary revascularization; and leg artery revascularization during 48 months of follow-up. The secondary outcome was all-cause death. Results: Among 976 patients who were randomized from 108 dialysis centers, 964 patients were included in the intention-to-treat analysis (median age, 65 years; 386 women [40.0%]), and 944 (97.9%) completed the trial. During follow-up (median, 4.0 years), the primary composite outcome of cardiovascular events occurred in 103 of 488 patients (21.1%) in the intervention group and 85 of 476 patients (17.9%) in the control group (absolute difference, 3.25% [95% CI, -1.75% to 8.24%]; hazard ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 0.94-1.67]; P = .13). There was no significant difference in the secondary outcome of all-cause mortality between the groups (18.2% vs 16.8%, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.83-1.52]; P = .46). Of the 488 participants in the intervention group, 199 (40.8%) experienced serious adverse events that were classified as cardiovascular, 64 (13.1%) experienced adverse events classified as infection, and 22 (4.5%) experienced malignancy-related serious adverse events. Of 476 participants in the control group, 191 (40.1%) experienced cardiovascular-related serious adverse events, 63 (13.2%) experienced infection-related serious adverse events, and 21 (4.4%) experienced malignancy-related adverse events. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients without secondary hyperparathyroidism undergoing maintenance hemodialysis, oral alfacalcidol compared with usual care did not reduce the risk of a composite measure of select cardiovascular events. These findings do not support the use of vitamin D receptor activators for patients such as these. Trial Registration: UMIN-CTR Identifier: UMIN000001194.

Point of care assessment of cardiac troponin T level in CKD patients with chest symptom.

We challenged to identify the cutoff value of cTnT in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients by point of care assessment way. A single center, prospective cross-sectional study was planned and performed. 201 consecutive patients who were visited emergency room for chest symptoms were enrolled in this study. All patients were performed routine practice for differential diagnosis of chest symptom by cardiologist. Simultaneously, semiquantitative measurement of cTnT was performed using same blood sampling on the blind condition to cardiologists for this study. Study patients were divided into four groups according to the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), CKD1-2, CKD3, CKD4-5, and CKD5D. Usefulness of semiquantitative measurement for diagnosing ACEs was investigated in each group. 77 (38%) of total patient was diagnosed as acute coronary events (ACEs). About 50% of patients were showing cTnT level less than 0.03 ng/mL. The cTnT level over 0.1 ng/mL was found in 30% of total subjects. Mean quantitative value of cTnT was 0.29 ± 0.57 ng/mL in total subjects. Estimated cutoff value in CKD3 patients was 0.088 ng/mL with a sensitivity of 59.3% and specificity of 80.0%. Interestingly, the cutoff values of CKD1-2, CKD4-5, and CKD5D were 0.047, 0.18, and 0.27 respectively, which are half, two times, and three times of CKD3 cutoff value 0.088. The specificities of four cutoff values in each CKD group were showing over 80%, which is higher than sensitivity, respectively. In CKD patients, semiquantitative, point of care assessment of cTnT could be a useful tool for screening for ACEs.

A prospective observational study of early intervention with erythropoietin therapy and renal survival in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients with anemia: JET-STREAM Study.

BACKGROUND: There is limited data showing that early treatment for anemia could prolong renal survival in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. We therefore investigated the relationship between hemoglobin (Hb) levels at initiation of epoetin beta therapy and renal outcome in non-dialysis CKD patients with anemia. METHODS: In this prospective, multi-center, observational study, non-dialysis CKD patients with anemia who were naïve to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) were divided into three groups based on their Hb levels at initiation of epoetin beta therapy (Group I: 10 ≤ Hb < 11 g/dL, Group II: 9 ≤ Hb < 10 g/dL, and Group III: Hb < 9 g/dL). The primary endpoint was time to first occurrence of any renal event. For the primary analysis, an inverse probability weighted Cox regression model was used to adjust time-dependent selection bias in the artificially censored data. RESULTS: A total of 1113 patients were eligible for primary endpoint analysis. Risk of renal events was significantly higher in Group III compared with Group I (HR, 2.52; 95 % CI, 1.98-3.21; P < 0.0001); although not significant, the risk was also higher in Group II compared with Group I (HR, 1.48; 95 % CI, 0.91-2.40; P = 0.11). CONCLUSION: Initiation of ESA therapy when Hb levels decreased below 11 g/dL but not below 10 g/dL could be more effective at reducing the risk of renal events in non-dialysis CKD patients with anemia compared with initiation of ESA therapy at below 9 g/dL or even 10 g/dL.

The FRAX ® as a predictor of mortality in Japanese incident hemodialysis patients: an observational, follow-up study.

The World Health Organization Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX(®)) was recently developed to estimate the 10-year absolute risk of osteoporotic fracture among the general population. However, the evidence for its use in chronic kidney disease patients has been lacking, and the association between the FRAX(®) and mortality is unknown. Therefore, a hospital-based, prospective, cohort study was conducted to evaluate the predictive ability of the FRAX(®) for mortality in hemodialysis patients. A total of 252 patients who had been started on maintenance hemodialysis, 171 men and 81 women, with a mean age of 67 ± 14 years, was studied. The endpoint was defined as all-cause death. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios and 95 % confidence intervals. During the mean follow-up period of 3.4 ± 2.7 years, 61 deaths occurred. The median (interquartile range) of the FRAX(®) for major osteoporotic fracture was 6.9 (4.6-12.0) % in men and 19.0 (7.6-33.0) % in women. Cumulative survival rates at 5 years after starting dialysis, with the FRAX(®) levels above and below the median, were 51.9 and 87.9 %, respectively, in men and 67.4 and 83.7 %, respectively, in women. Overall, in men, the multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the log-transformed FRAX(®) remained an independent predictor of death after adjusting by confounding variables. However, in women, the significant association between the FRAX(®) value and the outcome was eliminated if age was put into these models. Among Japanese hemodialysis patients, the FRAX(®) seems to be useful for predicting death, especially in men.

Ischemic Heart Disease in Patients with End-Stage Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: It was recently reported that the severity of coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) has improved over the last two decades. However, the frequency of coronary artery events observed at the initiation of dialysis remains high. SUMMARY: Recently, 5 different clinical types of acute myocardial infarction (MI) were introduced in the third universal definition of MI. Type 2 MI, known as secondary MI, is a more heterogeneous entity, where a condition other than coronary artery narrowing contributes to an acute imbalance in oxygen supply and demand. In patients with chronic kidney disease, it has been demonstrated that type 2 MI is more common than type 1 MI, which is associated with coronary occlusive disease. It is suspected that patients with ESKD also often have type 2 MI. Factors associated with incremental increases in oxygen demand may cause myocardial ischemia in ESKD. KEY MESSAGES: Significant epicardial coronary narrowing might not be a necessary precursor of myocardial ischemia in ESKD. To prevent ischemic heart disease and improve prognosis in patients with ESKD, we need to pay attention not only to coronary stenotic lesions, but also to the factors associated with the induction of an imbalance in myocardial oxygen supply and demand.

Anaemia and early phase cardiovascular events on haemodialysis.

Although the mechanism of the cardio-renal anaemia syndrome (CRAS) has been elucidated in considerable detail over the past decade, cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a leading cause of death among patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) undergoing haemodialysis, and these patients' cardiovascular mortality is greater than that of the general population. Recent studies have reported that the CVD risk increases with advancing chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage. Furthermore, the incidence of cardiovascular events is highest during the first week after dialysis initiation, with increased risk in incident haemodialysis patients. This accumulated evidence demonstrates that how patients are managed during the pre-dialysis phase may have important implications on long-term outcomes in ESKD. Anaemia, a non-traditional risk factor for CVD, advances exponentially along with declining kidney function due to insufficient erythropoietin production. Anaemia causes functional abnormalities of the heart, as represented by cardiac hypertrophy, which results from increased cardiac workload induced by an increased preload. Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), a traditional risk factor for CVD, is especially associated with advanced CKD stage and could be a major risk factor for cardiovascular complications such as ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, and sudden cardiac death. In ESKD, anaemia develops more severely and requires a higher amount of erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) therapy before dialysis initiation. This suggests that improvement in anaemia management during the pre-dialysis phase may have a beneficial effect on cardiac hypertrophy and contribute to reducing the CVD risk after initiating haemodialysis.

Association between hemoglobin variability, serum ferritin levels, and adverse events/mortality in maintenance hemodialysis patients.

In recent times, therapy for renal anemia has changed dramatically in that iron administration has increased and doses of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) have decreased. Here we used a prospective, observational, multicenter design and measured the serum ferritin and hemoglobin levels every 3 months for 2 years in 1086 patients on maintenance hemodialysis therapy. The associations of adverse events with fluctuations in ferritin and hemoglobin levels and ESA and iron doses were measured using a Cox proportional hazards model for time-dependent variables. The risks of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease (CCVD), infection, and hospitalization were higher among patients who failed to maintain a target-range hemoglobin level and who exhibited high-amplitude fluctuations in hemoglobin compared with patients who maintained a target-range hemoglobin level. Patients with a higher compared with a lower ferritin level had an elevated risk of CCVD and infectious disease. Moreover, the risk of death was significantly higher among patients with high-amplitude ferritin fluctuations compared with those with a low ferritin level. The risks of CCVD, infection, and hospitalization were significantly higher among patients who were treated with high weekly doses of intravenous iron compared with no intravenous iron. Thus, there is a high risk of death and/or adverse events in patients with hemoglobin levels outside the target range, in those with high-amplitude hemoglobin fluctuations, in those with consistently high serum ferritin levels, and in those with high-amplitude ferritin fluctuations.

Myocardial perfusion imaging for predicting cardiac events in Japanese patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: 1-year interim report of the J-ACCESS 3 investigation.

PURPOSE: Whether myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) can predict cardiac events in patients with advanced conservative chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. METHODS: The present multicenter prospective cohort study aimed to clarify the ability of MPI to predict cardiac events in 529 patients with CKD and estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) < 50 ml/min per 1.73(2) without a definitive diagnosis of coronary artery disease. All patients were assessed by stress-rest MPI with (99m)Tc-tetrofosmin and analyzed using summed defect scores and QGS software. Cardiac events were analyzed 1 year after registration. RESULTS: Myocardial perfusion abnormalities defined as summed stress score (SSS) ≥4 and ≥8 were identified in 19 and 7 % of patients, respectively. At the end of the 1-year follow-up, 33 (6.2 %) cardiac events had occurred that included cardiac death, sudden death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and hospitalization due to heart failure. The event-free rates at that time were 0.95, 0.90, and 0.81 for groups with SSS 0-3, 4-7, and ≥8, respectively (p = 0.0009). Thus, patients with abnormal SSS had a higher incidence of cardiac events. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that SSS significantly impacts the prediction of cardiac events independently of eGFR and left ventricular ejection fraction. CONCLUSION: MPI would be useful to stratify patients with advanced conservative CKD who are at high risk of cardiac events without adversely affecting damaged kidneys.