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1.
Demography ; 61(2): 283-306, 2024 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38386492

RESUMEN

We evaluate the performance of a widely used technique for imputing the legal immigration status of U.S. immigrants in survey data-the logical imputation method. We validate this technique by implementing it in a nationally representative survey of U.S. farmworkers that includes a well-regarded measure of legal status. When using this measure as a benchmark, the imputation algorithm correctly identifies the legal status of 78% of farmworkers. Of all the variables included in the algorithm, we find that Medicaid participation poses the greatest challenge for accuracy. Using the American Community Survey, we show that increased Medicaid enrollments stemming from the implementation of the Affordable Care Act in 2014 led to sizable changes in the share of immigrants imputed as legal over time and across space. We explore the implications of these changes for two previous studies and conclude that including Medicaid criteria in the imputation algorithm can significantly impact research findings. We also provide tools to gauge the sensitivity of results.


Asunto(s)
Emigrantes e Inmigrantes , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Emigración e Inmigración , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
2.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(3): 68-72, 2023 Jan 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36656790

RESUMEN

Monkeypox (mpox) is a zoonotic disease caused by Monkeypox virus (MPXV), an Orthopoxvirus; the wild mammalian reservoir species is not known. There are two genetic clades of MPXV: clade I and clade II (historically found in central and west Africa, respectively), with only Cameroon reporting both clades (1). Human cases have historically been reported from 1) mostly rural, forested areas in some central and west African countries; 2) countries reporting cases related to population migration or travel of infected persons; and 3) exposure to imported infected mammals (2). The annual number of cases in Africa has risen since 2014 and cumulatively surpassed reports from the previous 40 years for most countries. This reemergence of mpox might be due to a combination of environmental and ecological changes, animal or human movement, the cessation of routine smallpox vaccination since its eradication in 1980, improvements in disease detection and diagnosis, and genetic changes in the virus (2). This report describes the epidemiology of mpox since 1970 and during 2018-2021, using data from national surveillance programs, World Health Organization (WHO) bulletins, and case reports, and addresses current diagnostic and treatment challenges in countries with endemic disease. During 2018-2021, human cases were recognized and confirmed in six African countries, with most detected in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Nigeria. The reemergence and increase in cases resulted in its being listed in 2019 as a priority disease for immediate and routine reporting through the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response strategy in the WHO African region.* In eight instances, patients with mpox were identified in four countries outside of Africa after travel from Nigeria. Since 2018, introductory and intermediate training courses on prevention and control of mpox for public health and health care providers have been available online at OpenWHO.†,§ The global outbreak that began in May 2022¶ has further highlighted the need for improvements in laboratory-based surveillance and access to treatments and vaccines to prevent and contain the infection, including in areas of Africa with endemic mpox.


Asunto(s)
Mpox , Animales , Humanos , Mpox/epidemiología , Monkeypox virus/genética , Zoonosis , Salud Pública , Nigeria , Mamíferos
3.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 117(9): 5067-5073, 2020 03 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32054785

RESUMEN

Forecasting the spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases during an outbreak is an important component of epidemic response. However, it remains challenging both methodologically and with respect to data requirements, as disease spread is influenced by numerous factors, including the pathogen's underlying transmission parameters and epidemiological dynamics, social networks and population connectivity, and environmental conditions. Here, using data from Sierra Leone, we analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of recent cholera and Ebola outbreaks and compare and contrast the spread of these two pathogens in the same population. We develop a simulation model of the spatial spread of an epidemic in order to examine the impact of a pathogen's incubation period on the dynamics of spread and the predictability of outbreaks. We find that differences in the incubation period alone can determine the limits of predictability for diseases with different natural history, both empirically and in our simulations. Our results show that diseases with longer incubation periods, such as Ebola, where infected individuals can travel farther before becoming infectious, result in more long-distance sparking events and less predictable disease trajectories, as compared to the more predictable wave-like spread of diseases with shorter incubation periods, such as cholera.


Asunto(s)
Cólera/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Brotes de Enfermedades , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Epidemias , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Predicción , Humanos , Sierra Leona/epidemiología
4.
Am J Emerg Med ; 50: 813.e1-813.e4, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34099310

RESUMEN

Aortic dissection (AD) is a "can't miss" diagnosis for emergency physicians. An algorithm combining the Aortic Dissection Detection Risk Score (ADD-RS) with D-dimer has been proposed as a high-sensitivity clinical decision tool for AD that can determine the need for advanced imaging. Here we present a case of a 48-year-old male who presented to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain and dyspnea. He had an ADD-RS score of 0 and negative D-dimer, which placed him in the low-risk category not requiring further advanced imaging. Despite this, he was found to have a pericardial effusion and dilated aortic root on point-of-care transthoracic echocardiogram (POC-TTE). These findings increased suspicion for AD and prompted the emergency physician to order a computed tomography angiography (CTA), revealing a thoracic AD. The patient successfully underwent surgical repair. This case demonstrates that the ADD-RS + D-dimer algorithm would have erroneously ruled out AD, without the inclusion of indirect findings of AD from the POC-TTE. This highlights the value of using POC-TTE as an adjunct to the ADD-RS + D-dimer algorithm in the diagnostic evaluation of AD and how giving more weight to indirect signs of AD on POC-TTE could potentially increase the sensitivity of the combined ADD-RS + D-dimer + POC-TTE algorithm.


Asunto(s)
Disección Aórtica/diagnóstico , Reglas de Decisión Clínica , Toma de Decisiones Clínicas/métodos , Ecocardiografía , Productos de Degradación de Fibrina-Fibrinógeno/metabolismo , Algoritmos , Disección Aórtica/sangre , Biomarcadores/sangre , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diagnóstico Erróneo , Medición de Riesgo
5.
Transfusion ; 60(9): 2010-2020, 2020 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32618010

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although the need for whole blood is declining, so too are the number of first-time and repeat blood donors. To develop new recruitment and retention strategies, therefore, we need to draw on as wide a variation in blood donor motivations as possible. The primary aim of this study is to draw on a large survey of donors to develop a broad, theoretically instantiated typology of donor motivations to identify new and less common, yet practically important, motivations that have not been previously reported. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Using data from the UK Blood Donor Survey run by NHS Blood and Transplant/Public Health England Epidemiology Unit (N = 61 123 donors), we analyze fixed (N = 52 225) and free (N = 8867) responses to develop a more comprehensive typology of blood donor motivations based on theories from the biology, psychology, philosophy, economics, and sociology of altruism. RESULTS: We identified 54 motivations, including a number of newly identified motivations, for blood donations which we organized into 12 superordinate categories (eg, "inspiration via moral elevation," "perceived social closeness," and "fungibility of donations"). These are linked to intervention suggestions such as donating blood in memoriam or donating blood as an alternative to other charitable acts. CONCLUSION: We present the most comprehensive account of blood donor motivations to-date. This work also offers a structure for coding free-text responses, developing motivational measures, and identifying tangible interventions. Thus, we feel that this is a valuable resource for blood donor researchers, marketers, and policy makers.


Asunto(s)
Altruismo , Donantes de Sangre/psicología , Emociones , Motivación , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Reino Unido
6.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 114(17): 4436-4441, 2017 04 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28396423

RESUMEN

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other climate patterns can have profound impacts on the occurrence of infectious diseases ranging from dengue to cholera. In Africa, El Niño conditions are associated with increased rainfall in East Africa and decreased rainfall in southern Africa, West Africa, and parts of the Sahel. Because of the key role of water supplies in cholera transmission, a relationship between El Niño events and cholera incidence is highly plausible, and previous research has shown a link between ENSO patterns and cholera in Bangladesh. However, there is little systematic evidence for this link in Africa. Using high-resolution mapping techniques, we find that the annual geographic distribution of cholera in Africa from 2000 to 2014 changes dramatically, with the burden shifting to continental East Africa-and away from Madagascar and portions of southern, Central, and West Africa-where almost 50,000 additional cases occur during El Niño years. Cholera incidence during El Niño years was higher in regions of East Africa with increased rainfall, but incidence was also higher in some areas with decreased rainfall, suggesting a complex relationship between rainfall and cholera incidence. Here, we show clear evidence for a shift in the distribution of cholera incidence throughout Africa in El Niño years, likely mediated by El Niño's impact on local climatic factors. Knowledge of this relationship between cholera and climate patterns coupled with ENSO forecasting could be used to notify countries in Africa when they are likely to see a major shift in their cholera risk.


Asunto(s)
Cólera/epidemiología , África/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , El Niño Oscilación del Sur , Humanos
7.
J Med Internet Res ; 22(6): e19659, 2020 06 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32558655

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: An infodemic is an overabundance of information-some accurate and some not-that occurs during an epidemic. In a similar manner to an epidemic, it spreads between humans via digital and physical information systems. It makes it hard for people to find trustworthy sources and reliable guidance when they need it. OBJECTIVE: A World Health Organization (WHO) technical consultation on responding to the infodemic related to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic was held, entirely online, to crowdsource suggested actions for a framework for infodemic management. METHODS: A group of policy makers, public health professionals, researchers, students, and other concerned stakeholders was joined by representatives of the media, social media platforms, various private sector organizations, and civil society to suggest and discuss actions for all parts of society, and multiple related professional and scientific disciplines, methods, and technologies. A total of 594 ideas for actions were crowdsourced online during the discussions and consolidated into suggestions for an infodemic management framework. RESULTS: The analysis team distilled the suggestions into a set of 50 proposed actions for a framework for managing infodemics in health emergencies. The consultation revealed six policy implications to consider. First, interventions and messages must be based on science and evidence, and must reach citizens and enable them to make informed decisions on how to protect themselves and their communities in a health emergency. Second, knowledge should be translated into actionable behavior-change messages, presented in ways that are understood by and accessible to all individuals in all parts of all societies. Third, governments should reach out to key communities to ensure their concerns and information needs are understood, tailoring advice and messages to address the audiences they represent. Fourth, to strengthen the analysis and amplification of information impact, strategic partnerships should be formed across all sectors, including but not limited to the social media and technology sectors, academia, and civil society. Fifth, health authorities should ensure that these actions are informed by reliable information that helps them understand the circulating narratives and changes in the flow of information, questions, and misinformation in communities. Sixth, following experiences to date in responding to the COVID-19 infodemic and the lessons from other disease outbreaks, infodemic management approaches should be further developed to support preparedness and response, and to inform risk mitigation, and be enhanced through data science and sociobehavioral and other research. CONCLUSIONS: The first version of this framework proposes five action areas in which WHO Member States and actors within society can apply, according to their mandate, an infodemic management approach adapted to national contexts and practices. Responses to the COVID-19 pandemic and the related infodemic require swift, regular, systematic, and coordinated action from multiple sectors of society and government. It remains crucial that we promote trusted information and fight misinformation, thereby helping save lives.


Asunto(s)
Betacoronavirus , Infecciones por Coronavirus , Colaboración de las Masas , Educación en Salud/métodos , Educación en Salud/normas , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral , Medios de Comunicación Sociales/organización & administración , Medios de Comunicación Sociales/normas , Organización Mundial de la Salud , Betacoronavirus/patogenicidad , COVID-19 , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/prevención & control , Infecciones por Coronavirus/transmisión , Infecciones por Coronavirus/virología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Educación en Salud/organización & administración , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & control , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Neumonía Viral/prevención & control , Neumonía Viral/transmisión , Neumonía Viral/virología , Salud Pública/métodos , Salud Pública/normas , SARS-CoV-2 , Medios de Comunicación Sociales/provisión & distribución
8.
Trauma Surg Acute Care Open ; 9(Suppl 1): e001150, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38196927

RESUMEN

Mass casualty incidents (MCIs) are on the rise in the USA, and hemorrhage is the leading cause of preventable death in trauma. The need for rapid access to life-saving blood and blood products is essential for preventing death due to hemorrhage. It is well established that most major cities in the USA are underprepared to meet blood transfusion requirements in the event of an MCI. The South Texas Whole Blood Consortium sought to rectify this and vowed to be prepared to provide low-titer type O-positive whole blood (LTOWB) and blood components to the people who need it, where and when they need it. This system was able to transport 25 units of LTOWB and packed red blood cells almost 100 miles away to Uvalde Memorial Hospital within just 67 minutes after notification of an active shooter. The regional consortium has created a pool of dedicated LTOWB donors affectionately called Heroes in Arms who can be called on to instantly augment locoregional blood supply. Previously pregnant women have historically been excluded from donating plasma and LTOWB due to the increased rates of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) antibody (Ab) positivity, which is associated with transfusion-related acute lung injury. However, the South Texas Blood and Tissue Center in San Antonio had a large number of qualified, previously pregnant females desire to join the Heroes in Arms program prompting them to assess the feasibility of providing HLA Ab testing for this demographic and the results were promising. This is the first report of previously pregnant women being included in the pool for donation of LTOWB.

9.
Trauma Surg Acute Care Open ; 9(1): e001274, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38347894

RESUMEN

Introduction: Engaging trauma survivors/caregivers results in research findings that are more relevant to patients' needs and priorities. Although their perspectives increase research significance, there is a lack of understanding about how best to incorporate their insights. We aimed to capture stakeholder perspectives to ensure research is meaningful, respectful, and relevant to the injured patient and their caregivers. Methods: A multiphase, inductive exploratory qualitative study was performed, the first phase of which is described here. Virtual focus groups to elicit stakeholder perspectives and preferences were conducted across 19 trauma centers in the USA during 2022. Discussion topics were chosen to identify patients' motivation to join research studies, preferences regarding consent, suggestions for increasing diversity and access, and feelings regarding outcomes, efficacy, and exception from informed consent. The focus groups were audio recorded, transcribed, coded, and analyzed to identify the range of perspectives expressed and any common themes that emerged. Results: Ten 90-minute focus groups included patients/caregiver (n=21/1) and researchers (n=14). Data analysis identified common themes emerging across groups. The importance of trust and preexisting relationships with the clinical care team were the most common themes across all groups. Conclusion: Our findings reveal common themes in preferences, motivations, and best practices to increase patient/caregiver participation in trauma research. The project's next phases are distribution of a vignette-based survey to establish broad stakeholder consensus; education and dissemination activities to share strategies that increase research engagement and relevance for patients; and the formation of a panel of patients to support future research endeavors. Level of evidence: Level IV.

10.
Clin Orthop Relat Res ; 471(8): 2548-55, 2013 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23653098

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Weber derotation osteotomy is an uncommon procedure that typically is reserved for patients with engaging Hill-Sachs defects who have had other surgical treatments for shoulder instability fail. It is unknown whether the desired humeral derotation actually is achieved with the Weber osteotomy. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: The purposes of this study were to answer the following questions: (1) What are the complication (including redislocation) and reoperation rates of the Weber osteotomy? (2) What are the American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) and functional (ROM in internal rotation, self care) results? (3) What fraction of the patients had humeral derotation within 10° of the desired rotation? METHODS: A chart review of 19 Weber osteotomies and clinical assessment of 10 Weber osteotomies were performed by independent clinicians. The chart review, at a mean followup of 51 months (range, 13-148 months), focused on the complication rate and the frequency of redislocation. The clinical and CT assessments, at a mean followup of 54 months (range, 26-151 months), focused on ASES scores, ability of patients to perform self care with the affected arm, and CT scans to measure change in humeral retroversion. RESULTS: There were 25 complications and nine reoperations in 17 patients (19 shoulders), including pain (six patients, of whom one had complex regional pain syndrome), hematoma, infection, nonunion, delayed union, reoperations related to hardware and other noninstability-related causes (five patients), and internal rotation deficit. Redislocation occurred in one patient, who underwent repeat surgery, and subjective instability developed in two others. The mean ASES score was 78 points (of 100 points); six of the 10 patients (11 procedures) evaluated in person found it difficult or were unable to wash their backs with the affected arm. Humeral derotation varied from 7° to 77°; only three of the nine patients for whom CT scans were available had derotation within 10° of the desired rotation. CONCLUSIONS: Complication rates with the Weber osteotomy were much higher than previously reported. Because seven of 17 patients were lost to followup, the redislocation rate may be higher than we observed here. Given the unpredictable variability in humeral derotation achieved with a Weber osteotomy, an improved surgical technique is critical to avoid osteoarthritis and loss of internal rotation associated with overrotation.


Asunto(s)
Retroversión Ósea/cirugía , Húmero/cirugía , Inestabilidad de la Articulación/cirugía , Osteotomía/métodos , Luxación del Hombro/cirugía , Articulación del Hombro/cirugía , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Adulto , Fenómenos Biomecánicos , Retroversión Ósea/diagnóstico por imagen , Retroversión Ósea/fisiopatología , Femenino , Humanos , Húmero/diagnóstico por imagen , Húmero/fisiopatología , Inestabilidad de la Articulación/diagnóstico por imagen , Inestabilidad de la Articulación/fisiopatología , Masculino , Osteotomía/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/fisiopatología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Rango del Movimiento Articular , Recuperación de la Función , Recurrencia , Reoperación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Autocuidado , Luxación del Hombro/diagnóstico por imagen , Luxación del Hombro/fisiopatología , Articulación del Hombro/diagnóstico por imagen , Articulación del Hombro/fisiopatología , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
11.
STAR Protoc ; 4(1): 101943, 2023 03 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36525346

RESUMEN

Here, we present a protocol to identify immunogenic self-peptide/allogeneic major histocompatibility complex (MHC) epitopes. We describe the generation of enriched alloreactive CD8+ T cells by priming mice with a skin graft expressing the allogeneic MHC class I molecule of interest, followed by boosting with a liver-specific AAV vector encoding the heavy chain of that donor MHC allomorph. We then use a peptide-exchange approach to assemble a range of peptide-MHC (pMHC) multimers for measuring recognition of the various epitopes by these alloreactive T cells. For complete details on the use and execution of this protocol, please refer to Son et al. (2021).1.


Asunto(s)
Linfocitos T CD8-positivos , Péptidos , Ratones , Animales , Antígenos de Histocompatibilidad Clase I/genética , Epítopos , Coloración y Etiquetado
12.
Soc Sci Med ; 320: 115672, 2023 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36764089

RESUMEN

RATIONALE: Mitigating the spread of COVID-19 requires that people understand the need for and engage in protective behaviors. Given the complexity and rapid progression of media information about the pandemic, health literacy could be essential to acquiring the accurate beliefs, concern for societal risks, and appreciation of restrictive policies needed to motivate these behaviors. Yet with the increasingly politicized nature of COVID-related issues in the United States, health literacy could be an asset for those with more liberal views but less so for those with more conservative views. OBJECTIVE: This study tested a hypothesized model proposing that political views moderate the associations of health literacy with COVID-19 protective behaviors as well as the mediational roles of accurate and inaccurate COVID-19 beliefs, concern for society, and governmental control attitudes. METHODS: We surveyed residents in three diverse regions of California in June 2020 (N = 669) and February 2021 (N = 611). Participants completed measures of health literacy, political views, and COVID-19 beliefs and behaviors. RESULTS: Moderated mediational analyses largely supported the proposed model with both samples. Health literacy was associated with more accurate COVID-19 beliefs, less inaccurate COVID-19 beliefs, greater concern for societal risks, more positive attitudes regarding restrictive government control, more protective behavior, less risky behavior, and stronger vaccine intentions; beliefs, concern for society, and governmental control attitudes mediated the health literacy-behavior relationships. As predicted, however, these associations of health literacy with adaptive beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors varied according to political views. The direct and mediated relationships were held for participants with more liberal views and, to a lesser extent, for those with moderate views, but they were weaker or absent for participants with more conservative views. CONCLUSIONS: These findings contribute new evidence of processes linking health literacy with adaptive beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors and how social and political contexts can shape those processes.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Alfabetización en Salud , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Intención
13.
Biomacromolecules ; 13(6): 1707-18, 2012 Jun 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22462502

RESUMEN

Polymeric micelles are ideal carriers for solubilization and targeting applications using hydrophobic drugs. Stability of colloidal aggregates upon injection into the bloodstream is mandatory to maintain the drugs' targeting potential and to influence pharmacokinetics. In this review we analyzed and discussed the most relevant stress mechanisms that polymeric micelles and related colloidal carriers encounter upon injection, including (1) dilution, (2) interactions with blood components, and (3) immunological responses of the body. In detail we analyzed the opsonin-dysopsonin hypothesis that points at a connection between a particles' protein-corona and its tissue accumulation by the enhanced permeability and retention (EPR) effect. In the established theory, size is seen as a necessary condition to reach nanoparticle accumulation in disease modified tissue. There is, however, mounting evidence of other sufficient conditions (e.g., particle charge, receptor recognition of proteins adsorbed onto particle surfaces) triggering nanoparticle extravasation by active mechanisms. In conclusion, the analyzed stress mechanisms are directly responsible for in vivo success or failure of the site-specific delivery with colloidal carrier systems.


Asunto(s)
Polímeros/análisis , Coloides , Portadores de Fármacos , Interacciones Hidrofóbicas e Hidrofílicas , Sustancias Macromoleculares/análisis , Micelas
14.
Clin Pract Cases Emerg Med ; 5(4): 403-406, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34813429

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is accepted as an important tool for evaluating patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with dyspnea1 and undifferentiated shock.2 Identifying the etiology and type of shock is time-critical since treatments vary based on this information. Clinicians typically rely on the history, exam, and diagnostics tests to identify the etiology of shock. In resource-limited settings where there is reduced access to timely laboratory and diagnostic studies. The use of POCUS enables rapid classification and directed treatment of shock. Additionally, POCUS can aid in the diagnosis of rarer tropical diseases that can be important causes of shock in resource-limited settings. CASE REPORT: We discuss a case of a pediatric patient who presented to an ED in Cusco, Peru, with acute dyspnea and shock. Point-of-care ultrasound was used to expedite the diagnosis of a ruptured pulmonary hydatid cyst, guide proper management of septic and anaphylactic shock, and expedite definitive surgical intervention. CONCLUSION: In resource-limited settings where there is reduced access to timely laboratory and diagnostic studies, the use of POCUS enables rapid classification and directed treatment of shock.

15.
J Int AIDS Soc ; 24 Suppl 5: e25788, 2021 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34546657

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: HIV planning requires granular estimates for the number of people living with HIV (PLHIV), antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage and unmet need, and new HIV infections by district, or equivalent subnational administrative level. We developed a Bayesian small-area estimation model, called Naomi, to estimate these quantities stratified by subnational administrative units, sex, and five-year age groups. METHODS: Small-area regressions for HIV prevalence, ART coverage and HIV incidence were jointly calibrated using subnational household survey data on all three indicators, routine antenatal service delivery data on HIV prevalence and ART coverage among pregnant women, and service delivery data on the number of PLHIV receiving ART. Incidence was modelled by district-level HIV prevalence and ART coverage. Model outputs of counts and rates for each indicator were aggregated to multiple geographic and demographic stratifications of interest. The model was estimated in an empirical Bayes framework, furnishing probabilistic uncertainty ranges for all output indicators. Example results were presented using data from Malawi during 2016-2018. RESULTS: Adult HIV prevalence in September 2018 ranged from 3.2% to 17.1% across Malawi's districts and was higher in southern districts and in metropolitan areas. ART coverage was more homogenous, ranging from 75% to 82%. The largest number of PLHIV was among ages 35 to 39 for both women and men, while the most untreated PLHIV were among ages 25 to 29 for women and 30 to 34 for men. Relative uncertainty was larger for the untreated PLHIV than the number on ART or total PLHIV. Among clients receiving ART at facilities in Lilongwe city, an estimated 71% (95% CI, 61% to 79%) resided in Lilongwe city, 20% (14% to 27%) in Lilongwe district outside the metropolis, and 9% (6% to 12%) in neighbouring Dowa district. Thirty-eight percent (26% to 50%) of Lilongwe rural residents and 39% (27% to 50%) of Dowa residents received treatment at facilities in Lilongwe city. CONCLUSIONS: The Naomi model synthesizes multiple subnational data sources to furnish estimates of key indicators for HIV programme planning, resource allocation, and target setting. Further model development to meet evolving HIV policy priorities and programme need should be accompanied by continued strengthening and understanding of routine health system data.


Asunto(s)
Epidemias , Infecciones por VIH , Adulto , Antirretrovirales/uso terapéutico , Teorema de Bayes , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Humanos , Malaui/epidemiología , Masculino , Embarazo , Prevalencia
16.
medRxiv ; 2020 Apr 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32511435

RESUMEN

The consequences of COVID-19 infection varies substantially based on individual social risk factors and predisposing health conditions. Understanding this variability may be critical for targeting COVID-19 control measures, resources and policies, including efforts to return people back to the workplace. We compiled individual level data from the National Health Information Survey and Quarterly Census of Earnings and Wages to estimate the number of at-risk workers for each US county and industry, accounting for both social and health risks. Nearly 80% of all workers have at least one health risk and 11% are over 60 with an additional health risk. We document important variation in the at-risk population across states, counties, and industries that could provide a strategic underpinning to a staged return to work.

17.
Arthroscopy ; 24(4): 483-5, 2008 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18375283

RESUMEN

We describe a unique extra-articular approach for arthroscopic lateral release for lateral epicondylitis. An arthroscopic extra-articular approach allows better direct visualization of diseased structures with a 30 degrees arthroscope and only requires a small hole in the joint capsule. The camera is placed into the joint through the middle anterolateral portal. The camera is then pulled back through a small rent in the capsule over the lateral radiocapitellar joint to provide an extra-articular view of the diseased structures. The shaver is then placed 1.5 cm proximal to the camera in a proximal anterolateral portal. Debridement of the common extensor fiber tendinosis and decortication of the lateral epicondyle are performed under direct visualization. This is different from the intra-articular technique, where visualization with the 30 degrees arthroscope is more difficult despite a large capsulotomy to aid visualization. The advantage of this extra-articular technique is 2-fold. First, the extra-articular viewing portal allows direct visualization of diseased structures, improving accuracy for debridement compared with an intra-articular viewing portal. The intra-articular technique uses the 30 degrees arthroscope to work around a corner after a large capsulectomy. The second advantage of the extra-articular viewing portal is that it only requires a small capsulotomy. The small capsulotomy decreases the risk of transient radial nerve palsy associated with a capsulectomy. The small capsulotomy also results in less fluid extravasation into the soft tissues. Less fluid extravasation decreases swelling and the risk of compartment syndrome.


Asunto(s)
Artroscopía/métodos , Cápsula Articular/cirugía , Rango del Movimiento Articular/fisiología , Tendones/cirugía , Codo de Tenista/cirugía , Humanos , Cápsula Articular/fisiopatología , Dimensión del Dolor , Recuperación de la Función , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Sinovectomía , Membrana Sinovial/fisiopatología , Evaluación de la Tecnología Biomédica , Tendones/fisiopatología
19.
Trauma Emerg Care ; 3(1)2018 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29756068

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Urban adolescents with pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) often seek care in emergency departments (ED). This study examines the effect of the ED patient experience - wait time (WT) and length of stay (LOS) - on satisfaction and medication adherence among urban adolescents with PID. METHODS: Adolescents with PID were enrolled in an urban teaching hospital ED. Chart data were matched with 2-week interview queries about satisfaction and medication adherence. Chi-square and logistic regression analyses evaluated the relationships between WT, LOS, provider type, satisfaction, and medication adherence. RESULTS: Of 83 participants, 96% report satisfaction with care, but only 45% report medication adherence. Mean WT was 55 minutes and mean LOS 200 minutes. Patients with higher LOS were less adherent with medication; this relationship became non-significant after adjustments. Patients seen by trainees had much longer LOS, but no differences in satisfaction or medication adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Urban adolescents with PID report satisfaction with ED care despite prolonged LOS and medication adherence is poor. Optimization of ED workflows may improve outcomes in young women with PID.

20.
J Womens Health Phys Therap ; 41(2): 73-82, 2017 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29375282

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A non-invasive treatment for urinary incontinence (UI) is surface electromyography (sEMG) biofeedback with pelvic floor muscle (PFM) training. A lack of consensus and evidence exists on the Quality of Life (QoL) outcomes following sEMG biofeedback using surface electrodes at the perineum compared to the more invasive intravaginal probe. This case report examines QoL using sEMG biofeedback at the perineum with PFM training for UI. STUDY DESIGN: Single subject case report. CASE DESCRIPTION: The patient was a 61-year-old woman diagnosed with UI. Her chief complaints were nocturia, urine leakage with urgency, and urine leakage with sneezing and coughing. Physical therapy (PT) treatment focused on behavioral modification, PFM strengthening with and without sEMG biofeedback, and therapeutic exercises with PFM contractions. OUTCOMES: At four weeks from baseline, the patient's PFM strength increased from 2/5 to 4/5 based on the Modified Laycock Scale. Her PFM endurance contraction improved from two seconds to ten seconds. The International Continence Impact Questionnaire - Urinary Incontinence Short Form (ICIQ-UI SF) score decreased from 6 to 0, the Incontinence Impact Questionnaire - Short Form (IIQ-7) score decreased from 14.3 to 0, and the 3 Incontinence Questions (3IQ) responses did not change. DISCUSSION: The outcomes from this case report demonstrate a brief course of PT treatment consisting of perineal sEMG biofeedback in conjunction with PFM training demonstrated clinically meaningful improvements in incontinence-related QoL, in addition to improvements in motor function in a woman with mixed UI and nocturia.

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