Value-Based Payment for Clinicians Treating Cardiovascular Disease: A Policy Statement From the American Heart Association.

Clinician payment is transitioning from fee-for-service to value-based payment, with reimbursement tied to health care quality and cost. However, the overarching goals of value-based payment-to improve health care quality, lower costs, or both-have been largely unmet. This policy statement reviews the current state of value-based payment and provides recommended best practices for future design and implementation. The policy statement is divided into sections that detail different aspects of value-based payment: (1) key program design features (patient population, quality measurement, cost measurement, and risk adjustment), (2) the role of equity during design and evaluation, (3) adjustment of payment, and (4) program implementation and evaluation. Each section introduces the topic, describes important considerations, and lists examples from existing programs. Each section includes recommended best practices for future program design. The policy statement highlights 4 key themes for successful value-based payment. First, programs should carefully weigh the incentives between lowering cost and improving quality of care and ensure that there is adequate focus on quality of care. Second, the expansion of value-based payment should be a tool for improving equity, which is central to quality of care and should be a focal point of program design and evaluation. Third, value-based payment should continue to move away from fee for service toward more flexible funding that allows clinicians to focus resources on the interventions that best help patients. Last, successful programs should find ways to channel clinicians' intrinsic motivation to improve their performance and the care for their patients. These principles should guide the future development of clinician value-based payment models.

Trends and site-level variation of novel cardiovascular medication utilization among patients admitted for heart failure or coronary artery disease in the US Veterans Affairs System: 2017-2021.

BACKGROUND: We assessed trends in novel cardiovascular medication utilization in US Veterans Affairs (VA) for angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNI), sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 Inhibitors (SGLT2i), and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA). METHODS: We retrospectively identified cohorts from 114 VA hospitals with admission for prevalent 1) systolic heart failure (HF, N = 82,375) or 2) coronary artery disease and diabetes (CAD+T2D, N = 74,209). Site-level data for prevalent filled prescriptions were assessed at hospital admission, discharge, or within 6 months of discharge. Variability among sites was estimated with median odds ratios (mOR), and within-site Pearson correlations of utilization of each medication class were calculated. Site- and patient-level characteristics were compared by high-, mixed-, and low-utilizing sites. RESULTS: ARNI and SGTL2i use for HF increased from <5% to 20% and 21%, respectively, while SGTL2i or GLP-1 RA use for CAD+T2D increased from <5% to 30% from 2017 to 2021. Adjusted mOR and 95% confidence intervals for ARNI, SGTL2i for HF, and SGTL2i or GLP-1 RA for CAD+T2D were 1.73 (1.64-1.91), 1.72 (1.59-1.81), and 1.53 (1.45-1.62), respectively. Utilization of each medication class correlated poorly with use of other novel classes (Pearson <0.38 for all). Higher patient volume, number of beds, and hospital complexity correlated with high-utilizing sites. CONCLUSIONS: Utilization of novel medications has increased over time but remains suboptimal for US Veterans with HF and CAD+T2D, with substantial site-level heterogeneity despite a universal medication formulary and low out-of-pocket costs for patients. Future work should include further characterization of hospital- and clinician-level practice patterns to serve as targets to increase implementation.

Analgesia and Sedation Use During Noninvasive Ventilation for Acute Respiratory Failure.

OBJECTIVES: To describe U.S. practice regarding administration of sedation and analgesia to patients on noninvasive ventilation (NIV) for acute respiratory failure (ARF) and to determine the association of this practice with odds of intubation or death. DESIGN: A retrospective multicenter cohort study. SETTING: A total of 1017 hospitals contributed data between January 2010 and September 2020 to the Premier Healthcare Database, a nationally representative healthcare database in the United States. PATIENTS: Adult (≥ 18 yr) patients admitted to U.S. hospitals requiring NIV for ARF. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified 433,357 patients on NIV of whom (26.7% [95% CI] 26.3%-27.0%) received sedation or analgesia. A total of 50,589 patients (11.7%) received opioids only, 40,646 (9.4%) received benzodiazepines only, 20,146 (4.6%) received opioids and benzodiazepines, 1.573 (0.4%) received dexmedetomidine only, and 2,639 (0.6%) received dexmedetomidine in addition to opioid and/or benzodiazepine. Of 433,357 patients receiving NIV, 50,413 (11.6%; 95% CI, 11.5-11.7%) patients underwent invasive mechanical ventilation on hospital days 2-5 or died on hospital days 2-30. Intubation was used in 32,301 patients (7.4%; 95% CI, 7.3-7.6%). Further, death occurred in 24,140 (5.6%; 95% CI, 5.5-5.7%). In multivariable analysis adjusting for relevant covariates, receipt of any medication studied was associated with increased odds of intubation or death. In inverse probability weighting, receipt of any study medication was also associated with increased odds of intubation or death (average treatment effect odds ratio 1.38; 95% CI, 1.35-1.40). CONCLUSIONS: The use of sedation and analgesia during NIV is common. Medication exposure was associated with increased odds of intubation or death. Further investigation is needed to confirm this finding and determine whether any subpopulations are especially harmed by this practice.

Utilization and Outcomes of Clinically Indicated Invasive Cardiac Care in Veterans with Acute Coronary Syndrome and Chronic Kidney Disease.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Of studies reporting an association of CKD with lower use of invasive cardiac care to treat acute coronary syndrome (ACS), just one accounted for the appropriateness of such care. However, its findings in patients hospitalized nearly 30 years ago may not apply to current practice. In a more recent cohort of 64,695 veterans hospitalized with ACS, CKD was associated with a 32% lower likelihood of receiving invasive care determined to be clinically indicated. Among patients with CKD, not receiving such care was associated with a 1.39-fold higher risk of 6-month mortality. Efforts to elucidate the reasons for this disparity in invasive care in patients with ACS and CKD and implement tailored interventions to enhance its use in this population may offer the potential to improve clinical outcomes. BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that patients with CKD are less likely than those without CKD to receive invasive care to treat acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, few studies have accounted for whether such care was clinically indicated or assessed whether nonuse of such care was associated with adverse health outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of US veterans who were hospitalized at Veterans Affairs Medical Centers from January 2013 through December 2017 and received a discharge diagnosis of ACS. We used multivariable logistic regression to investigate the association of CKD with use of invasive care (coronary angiography, with or without revascularization; coronary artery bypass graft surgery; or both) deemed clinically indicated based on Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events 2.0 risk scores that denoted a 6-month predicted all-cause mortality ≥5%. Using propensity scoring and inverse probability weighting, we examined the association of nonuse of clinically indicated invasive care with 6-month all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 34,430 patients with a clinical indication for invasive care, the 18,780 patients with CKD were less likely than the 15,650 without CKD to receive such care (adjusted odds ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.65 to 0.72). Among patients with CKD, nonuse of invasive care was associated with higher risk of 6-month all-cause mortality (absolute risk, 21.5% versus 15.5%; absolute risk difference 6.0%; adjusted risk ratio, 1.39; 95% confidence interval, 1.29 to 1.49). Findings were consistent across multiple sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In contemporary practice, veterans with CKD who experience ACS are less likely than those without CKD to receive clinically indicated invasive cardiac care. Nonuse of such care is associated with increased mortality.

Best Practice Alerts Informed by Inpatient Opioid Intake to Reduce Opioid Prescribing after Surgery (PRIOR): A Cluster Randomized Multiple Crossover Trial.

BACKGROUND: Overprescription of opioids after surgery remains common. Residual and unnecessarily prescribed opioids can provide a reservoir for nonmedical use. This study therefore tested the hypothesis that a decision-support tool embedded in electronic health records guides clinicians to prescribe fewer opioids at discharge after inpatient surgery. METHODS: This study included 21,689 surgical inpatient discharges in a cluster randomized multiple crossover trial from July 2020 to June 2021 in four Colorado hospitals. Hospital-level clusters were randomized to alternating 8-week periods during which an electronic decision-support tool recommended tailored discharge opioid prescriptions based on previous inpatient opioid intake. During active alert periods, the alert was displayed to clinicians when the proposed opioid prescription exceeded recommended amounts. No alerts were displayed during inactive periods. Carryover effects were mitigated by including 4-week washout periods. The primary outcome was oral morphine milligram equivalents prescribed at discharge. Secondary outcomes included combination opioid and nonopioid prescriptions and additional opioid prescriptions until day 28 after discharge. A vigorous state-wide opioid education and awareness campaign was in place during the trial. RESULTS: The total postdischarge opioid prescription was a median [quartile 1, quartile 3] of 75 [0, 225] oral morphine milligram equivalents among 11,003 patients discharged when the alerts were active and 100 [0, 225] morphine milligram equivalents in 10,686 patients when the alerts were inactive, with an estimated ratio of geometric means of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.80 to 1.13; P = 0.586). The alert was displayed in 28% (3,074 of 11,003) of the discharges during the active alert period. There was no relationship between the alert and prescribed opioid and nonopioid combination medications or additional opioid prescriptions written after discharge. CONCLUSIONS: A decision-support tool incorporated into electronic medical records did not reduce discharge opioid prescribing for postoperative patients in the context of vigorous opioid education and awareness efforts. Opioid prescribing alerts might yet be valuable in other contexts.(Anesthesiology 2023; 139:186-96).

Systematic Review of Sex Differences in Ischemic Strokes Among Young Adults: Are Young Women Disproportionately at Risk?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Recent evidence suggests that young women (18-45 years) may be at higher risk of ischemic strokes than men of the same age. The goal of this systematic review is to reconcile and synthesize existing evidence of sex differences among young adults with ischemic strokes. METHODS: We searched PubMed from January 2008 to July 2021 for relevant articles and reviews and consulted their references. We included original studies that (1) were population based and (2) reported stroke incidence by sex or sex-specific incidence rate ratios of young adults ≤45 years. We excluded studies that (1) omitted measurements of error for incidence rates or incidence rate ratios, (2) omitted age adjustment, and (3) were not in English. Statistical synthesis was performed to estimate sex difference by age group (≤35, 35-45, and ≤45) and stroke type. RESULTS: We found 19 studies that reported on sex-specific stroke incidence among young adults, including 3 that reported on overlapping data. Nine studies did not find a statistically significant sex difference among young adults ≤45 years. Three studies found higher rates of ischemic stroke among men among young adults ≥30 to 35 years. Four studies found more women with ischemic strokes among young adults ≤35 years. Overall, in young adults ≤35 years, the estimated effect size favored more ischemic strokes in women (incidence rate ratio, 1.44 [1.18-1.76], I2=82%) and a nonsignificant sex difference in young adults 35 to 45 years (incidence rate ratio, 1.08 [0.85-1.38], I2=95%). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, there were 44% more women ≤35 years with ischemic strokes than men. This gap narrows in young adults, 35 to 45 years, and there is conflicting evidence whether more men or women have ischemic strokes in the 35 to 45 age group.

Association Between Vasopressin Rebranding and Utilization in Patients With Septic Shock.

OBJECTIVES: Vasopressin is suggested as an adjunct to norepinephrine in patients with septic shock. However, after vasopressin was rebranded in November 2014, its cost exponentially increased. Utilization patterns of vasopressin after its rebranding are unclear. The objective of this study was to determine if there is an association between the rebranding of vasopressin in November 2014 and its utilization in vasopressor-dependent patients with severe sepsis or septic shock. DESIGN: Retrospective, multicenter, database study between January 2010 and March 2017. SETTING: Premier Healthcare Database hospitals. PATIENTS: Adult patients admitted to an ICU with severe sepsis or septic shock, who received at least one vasoactive agent for two or more calendar days were included. INTERVENTIONS: The proportion of patients who received vasopressin and vasopressin cost was assessed before and after rebranding, and evaluated with segmented regression. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Among 294,733 patients (mean age, 66 ± 15 yr), 27.8% received vasopressin, and ICU mortality was 26.5%. The proportion of patients receiving vasopressin was higher after rebranding (31.2% postrebranding vs 25.8% prerebranding). Before vasopressin rebranding, the quarterly proportion of patients who received vasopressin had an increasing slope (prerebranding slope 0.41% [95% CI, 0.35-0.46%]), with no difference in slope detected after vasopressin rebranding (postrebranding slope, 0.47% [95% CI, 0.29-0.64%]). After vasopressin rebranding, mean vasopressin cost per patient was higher ($527 ± 1,130 vs $77 ± 160), and the quarterly slope of vasopressin cost was higher (change in slope $77.18 [95% CI, $75.73-78.61]). Total vasopressin billed cost postrebranding continually increased by ~$294,276 per quarter from less than $500,000 in Q4 2014 to over $3,000,000 in Q1 2017. CONCLUSIONS: After vasopressin rebranding, utilization continued to increase quarterly despite a significant increase in vasopressin cost. Vasopressin appeared to have price inelastic demand in septic shock.

Engaging Stakeholders in Identifying Access Research Priorities for the Department of Veterans Affairs.

BACKGROUND: The Veterans Access Research Consortium (VARC), a Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Consortium of Research focused on access to healthcare, has been funded by VA's Health Services Research and Development Service (HSR&D) to develop a research roadmap for healthcare access. The goal of the roadmap is to identify operationally aligned research questions that are most likely to lead to meaningful improvements in Veterans' healthcare access. OBJECTIVES: To describe the process of soliciting diverse stakeholder perspectives about key priorities on which VA's HSR&D access agenda should focus and identify the results of that process. METHODS: We used a modified Delphi approach to engage researchers and VA operational partners in a process to develop recommendations regarding the access-related research questions VA should prioritize. We then collaborated with three Veteran Engagement Groups (VEGs) across the country to solicit Veterans' reactions to the Delphi results and their perspectives about access-related issues affecting access to VA health care. RESULTS: The Delphi panel consisted of 22 research and operational experts, both internal and external to VA. The Delphi process resulted in five research questions identified by the panelists as highest priority for VA to pursue, each representing one of the following domains: (1) measurement of access, (2) barriers to access, (3) equity and subpopulations, (4) effective interventions to improve access, and (5) consequences of poor/better access. Veterans' perspectives focused primarily on the barriers to access domain. Veterans indicated several barriers that might be addressed through research or operational initiatives, including poor communication about services, weak connections to and partnerships with local community care facilities, and poor provision of telehealth resources and education. CONCLUSIONS: Engaging multiple methods to solicit stakeholder perspectives enables more nuanced understanding of access-related priorities for VA. Future research should consider utilizing such an approach to identify additional research and/or operational priorities.

A Practical Guide to Use of Publicly Available Data Sets for Observational Research in Interventional Radiology.

Observational data research studying access, utilization, cost, and outcomes of image-guided interventions using publicly available "big data" sets is growing in the interventional radiology (IR) literature. Publicly available data sets offer insight into real-world care and represent an important pillar of IR research moving forward. They offer insights into how IR procedures are being used nationally and whether they are working as intended. On the other hand, large data sources are aggregated using complex sampling frames, and their strengths and weaknesses only become apparent after extensive use. Unintentional misuse of large data sets can result in misleading or sometimes erroneous conclusions. This review introduces the most commonly used databases relevant to IR research, highlights their strengths and limitations, and provides recommendations for use. In addition, it summarizes methodologic best practices pertinent to all data sets for planning and executing scientifically rigorous and clinically relevant observational research.

Impact of Longitudinal Virtual Primary Care on Diabetes Quality of Care.

BACKGROUND: Lack of healthcare access to due to physician shortages is a significant driver of telemedicine expansion in rural areas. Telemedicine is effective for management of chronic conditions such as diabetes but its effectiveness in primary care settings is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate differences in diabetes care before and after implementation of a longitudinal virtual primary care program. DESIGN: Propensity score-matched cohort study utilizing difference-in-differences analysis. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with diabetes who received care at VA primary care clinics between January 2018 and December 2019 where the Virtual Integrated Multisite Patient Aligned Care Teams (V-IMPACT) program was implemented. EXPOSURE: Patient participation in at least one V-IMPACT visit while usual care patients did not participate in V-IMPACT. MAIN MEASURES: The primary outcome was change in hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C) and secondary outcomes included change in the proportion of patients meeting diabetes quality indicators: blood pressure control, statin use, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ACEi/ARB) use, and annual microalbuminuria testing. KEY RESULTS: Our propensity-matched cohort included 9010 patients split evenly between those who participated in V-IMPACT and those who remained in usual in-person care. Among individuals with diabetes who participated in V-IMPACT, the change in mean HbA1C was - 0.055% (95% CI - 0.088 to - 0.022%) while those in usual care had a - 0.047% (95% CI - 0.080 to - 0.014%) change before and after program implementation. We observed a 5.1% (95% CI 2.4 to 7.7%) absolute increase in the proportion prescribed statins in the V-IMPACT group, a 5.3% (95% CI 2.5 to 8.2%) increase prescribed ACE/ARBs, and a 4.6% (95% 1.7 to 7.5%) increase in completed yearly microalbuminuria testing. V-IMPACT was not associated with a significant difference in the proportion with controlled blood pressure at < 140/90 or < 130/90 mmHg thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Quality of diabetes care delivered by a longitudinal virtual primary care model was similar if not better than traditional in-person care.

Potential unrealized mortality benefit of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose co-transport-2 inhibitors: A report from the Veterans Health Administration Clinical Assessment, Reporting and Tracking program.

AIM: To assess the unrealized potential of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) or sodium-glucose co-transport-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) use to reduce mortality in veterans with type 2 diabetes (T2D), coronary artery disease (CAD), and other characteristics congruent with clinical trial cohorts that established the efficacy of these agents. METHODS: Veterans with T2D and CAD on angiography in 2014 who were untreated with either a GLP-1RA or a SGLT2i were assessed for key eligibility criteria of the LEADER (GLP-1RA) and EMPA-REG OUTCOME (SGLT2i) trials. Trial hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for all-cause death were applied to deaths observed in veterans through 2018 to estimate the potential benefit of GLP-1RA or SGLT2i use. RESULTS: Median observation was 4.3 years. Of 15 987 veterans with T2D and CAD, 1186 (7.4%) were excluded for GLP-1RA or SGLT2i treatment, and 1386 lacked glycated haemoglobin measurement. Of the remaining 13 415 patients, 4103 (30.1%) and 5313 (39.6%) fulfilled the key criteria for the LEADER and EMPA-REG OUTCOME trials, respectively. Death occurred in 1009 (24.6%) of LEADER-eligible patients and 1335 (25.1%) of EMPA-REG OUTCOME-eligible patients. Under treatment with liraglutide in LEADER-eligible veterans, a 3.5% (0.7%-6.2%) potential absolute mortality reduction, corresponding to 144 (28-253) fewer deaths (0.88 [0.17-1.56] per 100 person-years), might have been expected. Similarly, under treatment with empagliflozin in EMPA-REG OUTCOME-eligible veterans, a 7.9% (4.5%-10.8%) potential absolute mortality reduction, corresponding to 418 (230-573) fewer deaths (1.98 [1.14-2.72] per 100 person-years), might have been expected. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis indicates unrealized opportunities to reduce mortality in selected veterans with T2D and CAD via increased GLP-1RA and SGLT2i use.

Ethnoracial Disparity in Hospital Survival following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation for Acute Variceal Bleeding in the United States.

PURPOSE: To investigate the magnitude of racial/ethnic differences in hospital mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation for acute variceal bleeding and whether hospital care processes contribute to them. METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 years undergoing TIPS creation for acute variceal bleeding in the United States (n = 10,331) were identified from 10 years (2007-2016) available in the National Inpatient Sample. Hierarchical logistic regression was used to examine the relationship between patient race and inpatient mortality, controlling for disease severity, treatment utilization, and hospital characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 6,350 (62%) patients were White, 1,780 (17%) were Hispanic, and 482 (5%) were Black. A greater proportion of Black patients were admitted to urban teaching hospitals (Black, n = 409 (85%); Hispanic, n = 1,310 (74%); and White, n = 4,802 (76%); P < .001) and liver transplant centers (Black, n = 215 (45%); Hispanic, n = 401 (23%); and White, n = 2,267 (36%); P < .001). Being Black was strongly associated with mortality (Black, 32% vs non-Black, 15%; odds ratio, 3.0 [95% confidence interval, 1.6-5.8]; P = .001), as assessed using the risk-adjusted regression model. This racial disparity disappeared in a sensitivity analysis including only patients with a maximum Child-Pugh score of 13 (odds ratio 1.2 [95% confidence interval, 0.4-3.6]; P = .68), performed to compensate for the absence of Model for End-stage Liver Disease scores. Ethnoracial differences in access to teaching hospitals, liver transplant centers, first-line endoscopy, and transfusion did not significantly contribute (P > .05) to risk-adjusted mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Black patients have a 2-fold higher inpatient mortality than non-Black patients following TIPS creation for acute variceal bleeding, possibly related to greater disease severity before the procedure.

Noninvasive Ventilation Use in Critically Ill Patients with Acute Asthma Exacerbations.

Rationale: Noninvasive ventilation decreases the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and mortality among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease but has not been well studied in asthma.Objectives: To assess the association between noninvasive ventilation and subsequent need for invasive mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality among patients admitted with asthma exacerbation to the ICU.Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using administrative data collected during 2010-2017 from 682 hospitals in the United States. Outcomes included receipt of invasive mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality. Generalized estimating equations, propensity-matched models, and marginal structural models were used to assess the association between noninvasive ventilation and outcomes.Measurements and Main Results: The study population included 53,654 participants with asthma exacerbation. During the study period, 13,540 patients received noninvasive ventilation (25.2%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 24.9-25.6%), 14,498 underwent invasive mechanical ventilation (27.0%; 95% CI, 26.7-27.4%), and 1,291 died (2.4%; 95% CI, 2.3-2.5%). Among those receiving noninvasive ventilation, 3,013 patients (22.3%; 95% CI, 21.6-23.0%) required invasive mechanical ventilation after first receiving noninvasive ventilation, 136 of whom died (4.5%; 95% CI, 3.8-5.3%). Across all models, the use of noninvasive ventilation was associated with a lower odds of receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (adjusted generalized estimating equation odds ratio, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.32-0.40) and in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 0.48; 95% CI 0.40-0.58). Those who received noninvasive ventilation before invasive mechanical ventilation were more likely to have comorbid pneumonia and severe sepsis.Conclusions: Noninvasive ventilation use during asthma exacerbation was associated with improved outcomes but should be used cautiously with acute comorbid conditions.

Young Women Had More Strokes Than Young Men in a Large, United States Claims Sample.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cardiovascular risk factors, which are overall more prevalent in men, are considered the major risk factors for strokes among young adults. However, recent European data found the incidence of strokes to be higher in young women. Using a large US claims sample, we examined sex differences in the index stroke rate of young adults. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of enrollees in a 10% random sample of PharMetrics, a nationally representative claims database of insured Americans from 2001 to 2014. Outcomes were index ischemic stroke events, based on inpatient admissions using International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision codes. The index stroke rate was estimated from Poisson rate models with time varying covariates for 2-year periods, stratified by sex and age groups. RESULTS: We identified 20 554 index strokes (50.4% women; mean age 63) including 5198 in young adults ages 15 to 54. There was no difference by sex in the index stroke rate in the extremes of age groups 15 to 24 and ≥75 years old. However, in the 25 to 34 and 35 to 44 year age groups, more women had strokes than men (incidence rate ratio: men:women, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.57-0.86]; 0.87 [95% CI, 0.78-0.98], respectively). In contrast, in the 45 to 54, 55 to 64, and 65 to 74 year age groups, more men had strokes (incidence rate ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.16-1.33]; 1.41 [95% CI, 1.18-1.34]; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-125], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: More young women than men have strokes, suggesting possible importance of sex-mediated etiologies of stroke. Understanding these drivers is critical to stroke treatment and prevention efforts in young adults.

Association of Glycemic Control Trajectory with Short-Term Mortality in Diabetes Patients with High Cardiovascular Risk: a Joint Latent Class Modeling Study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between risk factor or biomarker trajectories and contemporaneous short-term clinical outcomes is poorly understood. In diabetes patients, it is unknown whether hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) trajectories are associated with clinical outcomes and can inform care in scenarios in which a single HbA1c is uninformative, for example, after a diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD). OBJECTIVE: To compare associations of HbA1c trajectories and single HbA1c values with short-term mortality in diabetes patients evaluated for CAD DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study PARTICIPANTS: Diabetes patients (n = 7780) with and without angiographically defined CAD MAIN MEASURES: We used joint latent class mixed models to simultaneously fit HbA1c trajectories and estimate association with 2-year mortality after cardiac catheterization, adjusting for clinical and demographic covariates. KEY RESULTS: Three HBA1c trajectory classes were identified: individuals with stable glycemia (class A; n = 6934 [89%]; mean baseline HbA1c 6.9%), with declining HbA1c (class B; n = 364 [4.7%]; mean baseline HbA1c 11.6%), and with increasing HbA1c (class C; n = 482 [6.2%]; mean baseline HbA1c 8.5%). HbA1c trajectory class was associated with adjusted 2-year mortality (3.0% [95% CI 2.8, 3.2] for class A, 3.1% [2.1, 4.2] for class B, and 4.2% [3.4, 4.9] for class C; global P = 0.047, P = 0.03 comparing classes A and C, P > 0.05 for other pairwise comparisons). Baseline HbA1c was not associated with 2-year mortality (P = 0.85; hazard ratios 1.01 [0.96, 1.06] and 1.02 [0.95, 1.10] for HbA1c 7-9% and ≥ 9%, respectively, relative to HbA1c < 7%). The association between HbA1c trajectories and mortality did not differ between those with and without CAD (interaction P = 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: In clinical settings where single HbA1c measurements provide limited information, HbA1c trajectories may help stratify risk of complications in diabetes patients. Joint latent class modeling provides a generalizable approach to examining relationships between biomarker trajectories and clinical outcomes in the era of near-universal adoption of electronic health records.

Ethnic and Racial Disparities in Acute Myocardial Infarction.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Significant racial and ethnic healthcare disparities exist in the management and outcomes of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). This review will highlight the recent studies focusing on disparities in AMI care and how practice patterns have changed over time, and discuss solutions and future directions to overcome disparities in AMI care. RECENT FINDINGS: AMI continues to be a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the USA. Racial and ethnic disparities continue to be present in the care and outcomes associated with AMI. Non-white individuals continue to receive less guideline-concordant care and experience higher rates of adverse outcomes compared with white individuals. Health policy and quality improvement interventions have helped to narrow the gap; however, ongoing efforts are needed to continue to attempt to eliminate this disparity. Racial and ethnic disparities persist in the presentation, management, and outcomes of patients with AMI. Improvements in care have narrowed some of the inequalities. Ongoing research and efforts directed at improving access to care, eliminating bias in healthcare, and focusing on coronary heart disease prevention are needed to eliminate disparities.

Bayesian profiling for cost with zeros to decompose total cost into probability of cost and mean nonzero cost.

Cost of health care can vary substantially across hospitals, centers, or providers. Data from electronic health records provide information for studying patterns of cost variation and identifying high or low cost centers. Cost data often include zero values when patients receive no care, and joint two-part models have been developed for clustered cost data with zeros. Standard methods for center comparisons, sometimes called profiling, can use these methods to incorporate zero values into total cost. However, zero costs also provide opportunities to further examine sources of cost variation and outliers. For example, a hospital may have high (or low) cost due to frequency of nonzero cost, amount of nonzero cost, or a combination of those. We give methods for decomposing hospital differences in total cost with zeros into components for probability of use (i.e., of nonzero cost) and for cost of use (mean of nonzero cost). The components multiply to total cost and quantify components on the same easily interpreted multiplicative scales. The methods are based on Bayesian hierarchical models and counterfactual arguments, with Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation. We used simulated data to illustrate use, interpretation, and visualization of the methods in diverse situations, and applied the methods to 30,024 patients at 57 US Veterans Administration hospitals to characterize outlier hospitals in one year cost of inpatient care following a cardiac procedure. Twenty eight percent of patients had zero cost. These methods are useful in providing insight into cost variation and outliers for planning future studies or interventions.

Two-part models for cost with zeros to decompose effects of covariates on probability of cost, mean nonzero cost, and mean total cost.

Health care cost data often contain many zero values, for patients who did not use any care. Two-part models with logistic models for part I, probability of use (ie, nonzero cost) and log-link models for part II, mean cost of use (ie, nonzero cost) are often used. Effects of exposures or covariates on total (marginal) cost are often of interest, and recent work has proposed useful methods. Factors that affect total cost do so through a combination of effects on probability of use and cost of use. Such a decomposition is needed to understand and act on factors that affect total cost, but little work has been done on this question. This paper presents two new methods for decomposing effects on total cost, namely, an adjusted approach based on log-binomial models for part I and a population average approach based on counterfactual arguments. Extensive simulations illustrate performance, interpretation, and robustness over a wide range of data features. The method is applied to risk-adjusted 30-day outpatient cardiac cost for patients following percutaneous coronary intervention from the Department of Veterans Affairs Clinical Assessment, Reporting, and Tracking Program. Results illustrate the simple decomposition of effects on total cost into components for probability of use and cost of use.

Temporal trends in the management and clinical outcomes of lower extremity arterial thromboembolism within a national Veteran population.

Lower extremity arterial thromboembolism is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We sought to establish temporal trends in the incidence, management and outcomes of lower extremity arterial thromboembolism within the Veterans Affairs Healthcare System (VAHS). We identified patients admitted to VAHS between 2003 and 2014 with a primary diagnosis of lower extremity arterial thromboembolism. Medical and procedural management were ascertained from pharmaceutical and administrative data. Subsequent rates of major adverse limb events (MALE), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models. From 2003 to 2014, there were 10,636 patients hospitalized for lower extremity thromboembolism across 140 facilities, of which 8474 patients had adequate comorbid information for analysis. Age-adjusted incidence decreased from 7.98 per 100,000 patients (95% CI: 7.28-8.75) in 2003 to 3.54 (95% CI: 3.14-3.99) in 2014. On average, the likelihood of receiving anti-platelet or anti-thrombotic therapy increased 2.3% (95% CI: 1.2-3.4%) per year during this time period and the likelihood of undergoing endovascular revascularization increased 4.0% (95% CI: 2.7-5.4%) per year. Clinical outcomes remained constant over time, with similar rates of MALE, MACE and mortality at 1 year after adjustment. In conclusion, the incidence of lower extremity arterial thromboembolism is decreasing, with increasing utilization of anti-thrombotic therapies and endovascular revascularization among those with this condition. Despite this evolution in management, patients with lower extremity thromboembolism continue to experience high rates of amputation and death within a year of the index event.

An Observational Study of the Efficacy of Cisatracurium Compared with Vecuronium in Patients with or at Risk for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.

RATIONALE: The neuromuscular blocking agent cisatracurium may improve mortality for patients with moderate-to-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Other neuromuscular blocking agents, such as vecuronium, are commonly used and have different mechanisms of action, side effects, cost, and availability in the setting of drug shortages. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether cisatracurium is associated with improved outcomes when compared with vecuronium in patients at risk for and with ARDS. METHODS: Using a nationally representative database, patients who were admitted to the ICU with a diagnosis of ARDS or an ARDS risk factor, received mechanical ventilation, and were treated with a continuous infusion of neuromuscular blocking agent for at least 2 days within 2 days of hospital admission were included. Patients were stratified into two groups: those who received cisatracurium or vecuronium. Propensity matching was used to balance both patient- and hospital-specific factors. Outcomes included hospital mortality, duration of mechanical ventilation, ICU and hospital duration, and discharge location. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Propensity matching successfully balanced all covariates for 3,802 patients (1,901 per group). There was no significant difference in mortality (odds ratio, 0.932; P = 0.40) or hospital days (-0.66 d; P = 0.411) between groups. However, patients treated with cisatracurium had fewer ventilator days (-1.01 d; P = 0.005) and ICU days (-0.98 d; P = 0.028) but were equally likely to be discharged home (odds ratio, 1.19; P = 0.056). CONCLUSIONS: When compared with vecuronium, cisatracurium was not associated with a difference in mortality but was associated with improvements in other clinically important outcomes. These data suggest that cisatracurium may be the preferred neuromuscular blocking agent for patients at risk for and with ARDS.