A novel application of data-consistent inversion to overcome spurious inference in genome-wide association studies.

The genome-wide association studies (GWAS) typically use linear or logistic regression models to identify associations between phenotypes (traits) and genotypes (genetic variants) of interest. However, the use of regression with the additive assumption has potential limitations. First, the normality assumption of residuals is the one that is rarely seen in practice, and deviation from normality increases the Type-I error rate. Second, building a model based on such an assumption ignores genetic structures, like, dominant, recessive, and protective-risk cases. Ignoring genetic variants may result in spurious conclusions about the associations between a variant and a trait. We propose an assumption-free model built upon data-consistent inversion (DCI), which is a recently developed measure-theoretic framework utilized for uncertainty quantification. This proposed DCI-derived model builds a nonparametric distribution on model inputs that propagates to the distribution of observed data without the required normality assumption of residuals in the regression model. This characteristic enables the proposed DCI-derived model to cover all genetic variants without emphasizing on additivity of the classic-GWAS model. Simulations and a replication GWAS with data from the COPDGene demonstrate the ability of this model to control the Type-I error rate at least as well as the classic-GWAS (additive linear model) approach while having similar or greater power to discover variants in different genetic modes of transmission.

Follow-Up of Secundum ASD, Muscular VSD, or PDA Diagnosed During Neonatal Hospitalization.

The ideal follow-up of neonates who have a secundum atrial septal defect (ASD), muscular ventricular septal defect (VSD), or patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) remains uncertain. Newborns with findings limited to a secundum ASD, muscular VSD, and/or PDA on their neonatal hospitalization discharge echocardiogram and at least one outpatient follow-up echocardiogram performed between 9-1-17 and 9-1-21 were evaluated and patient follow-up assessed through 9-1-23. 95 infants met inclusion criteria. 43 infants had a secundum ASD, 41 had a muscular VSD, and 54 had a PDA at newborn hospital discharge. 39/95 had more than one intracardiac shunt. 56 were discharged from care, 26 were still in follow-up and 13 were lost to recommended follow-up. No patients received intervention during the follow-up period of 2 to 6 years. Of the 43 infants with a secundum ASD, 16 (37.2%) had demonstrated closure of the ASD, and 13 (30.2%) were discharged from care with an ASD < 3.5 mm in diameter. 3/43 infants with secundum ASD had a defect with a diameter of more than 5 mm at their last echocardiogram. No infant discharged from their neonatal hospitalization with a secundum ASD, muscular VSD, or PDA needed any intervention from 2 to 6 years of follow-up. Ongoing follow-up with echocardiography of those infants with a secundum ASD is of greater value than of those with muscular VSD or PDA.

Follow-up of Secundum ASD, Muscular VSD, or PDA Diagnosed During Newborn Hospitalization.

Background: The ideal follow-up of neonates who have a secundum atrial septal defect (ASD), muscular ventricular septal defect (VSD) or patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) remains uncertain. Methods: Newborns with findings limited to a secundum ASD, muscular VSD and/or PDA on their last birth hospital echocardiogram and at least one outpatient follow-up echocardiogram performed between 9-1-17 and 9-1-21 were evaluated and patient follow-up assessed through 9-1-23. Results: 95 babies met inclusion criteria. 43 babies had a secundum ASD, 41 had a muscular VSD and 54 had a PDA at newborn hospital discharge. 39/95 had more than one intracardiac shunt. 56 were discharged from care, 26 were still in follow-up and 13 were lost to recommended follow-up.No patients required intervention during the follow-up period of 2 to 6 years. Of those 43 with a secundum ASD 16 (37.2%) had demonstrated closure of the ASD and 13 (30.2%) were discharged from care with and ASD < 3.5 mm in diameter. 3/43 infants with secundum ASD had a defect large enough to easily warrant further follow-up. Conclusion: Even in this group who had early clinical follow-up recommended by a pediatric cardiologist, no baby discharged from their birth hospitalization with a secundum ASD, muscular VSD or PDA needed any intervention from 2 to 6 years of follow-up. Ongoing follow-up with echocardiography of those infants with a secundum ASD is of greater value than of those with muscular VSD or PDA.

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations Increase the Risk of Subsequent Cardiovascular Events: A Longitudinal Analysis of the COPDGene Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the most important comorbidity in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). COPD exacerbations not only contribute to COPD progression but may also elevate the risk of CVD. This study aimed to determine whether COPD exacerbations increase the risk of subsequent CVD events using up to 15 years of prospective longitudinal follow-up data from the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) study. METHODS AND RESULTS: The COPDGene study is a large, multicenter, longitudinal investigation of COPD, including subjects at enrollment aged 45 to 80 years with a minimum of 10 pack-years of smoking history. Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to assess the risk of a composite end point of CVD based on the COPD exacerbation rate. Frequent exacerbators exhibited a higher cumulative incidence of composite CVD end points than infrequent exacerbators, irrespective of the presence of CVD at baseline. After adjusting for covariates, frequent exacerbators still maintained higher hazard ratios (HRs) than the infrequent exacerbator group (without CVD: HR, 1.81 [95% CI, 1.47-2.22]; with CVD: HR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.51-2.44]). This observation remained consistently significant in moderate to severe COPD subjects and the preserved ratio impaired spirometry population. In the mild COPD population, frequent exacerbators showed a trend toward more CVD events. CONCLUSIONS: COPD exacerbations are associated with an increased risk of subsequent cardiovascular events in subjects with and without preexisting CVD. Patients with COPD experiencing frequent exacerbations may necessitate careful monitoring and additional management for subsequent potential CVD. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00608764.

Examining the Effect of Genes on Depression as Mediated by Smoking and Modified by Sex.

Depression is heritable, differs by sex, and has environmental risk factors such as cigarette smoking. However, the effect of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) on depression through cigarette smoking and the role of sex is unclear. In order to examine the association of SNPs with depression and smoking in the UK Biobank with replication in the COPDGene study, we used counterfactual-based mediation analysis to test the indirect or mediated effect of SNPs on broad depression through the log of pack-years of cigarette smoking, adjusting for age, sex, current smoking status, and genetic ancestry (via principal components). In secondary analyses, we adjusted for age, sex, current smoking status, genetic ancestry (via principal components), income, education, and living status (urban vs. rural). In addition, we examined sex-stratified mediation models and sex-moderated mediation models. For both analyses, we adjusted for age, current smoking status, and genetic ancestry (via principal components). In the UK Biobank, rs6424532 [LOC105378800] had a statistically significant indirect effect on broad depression through the log of pack-years of cigarette smoking (p = 4.0 × 10-4) among all participants and a marginally significant indirect effect among females (p = 0.02) and males (p = 4.0 × 10-3). Moreover, rs10501696 [GRM5] had a marginally significant indirect effect on broad depression through the log of pack-years of cigarette smoking (p = 0.01) among all participants and a significant indirect effect among females (p = 2.2 × 10-3). In the secondary analyses, the sex-moderated indirect effect was marginally significant for rs10501696 [GRM5] on broad depression through the log of pack-years of cigarette smoking (p = 0.01). In the COPDGene study, the effect of an SNP (rs10501696) in GRM5 on depressive symptoms and medication was mediated by log of pack-years (p = 0.02); however, no SNPs had a sex-moderated mediated effect on depressive symptoms. In the UK Biobank, we found SNPs in two genes [LOC105378800, GRM5] with an indirect effect on broad depression through the log of pack-years of cigarette smoking. In addition, the indirect effect for GRM5 on broad depression through smoking may be moderated by sex. These results suggest that genetic regions associated with broad depression may be mediated by cigarette smoking and this relationship may be moderated by sex.

Association of PHACTR1 with Coronary Artery Calcium Differs by Sex and Cigarette Smoking.

Background: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a marker of subclinical atherosclerosis and is a complex heritable trait with both genetic and environmental risk factors, including sex and smoking. Methods: We performed genome-wide association (GWA) analyses for CAC among all participants and stratified by sex in the COPDGene study (n = 6144 participants of European ancestry and n = 2589 participants of African ancestry) with replication in the Diabetes Heart Study (DHS). We adjusted for age, sex, current smoking status, BMI, diabetes, self-reported high blood pressure, self-reported high cholesterol, and genetic ancestry (as summarized by principal components computed within each racial group). For the significant signals from the GWA analyses, we examined the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) by sex interactions, stratified by smoking status (current vs. former), and tested for a SNP by smoking status interaction on CAC. Results: We identified genome-wide significant associations for CAC in the chromosome 9p21 region [CDKN2B-AS1] among all COPDGene participants (p = 7.1 × 10-14) and among males (p = 1.0 × 10-9), but the signal was not genome-wide significant among females (p = 6.4 × 10-6). For the sex stratified GWA analyses among females, the chromosome 6p24 region [PHACTR1] had a genome-wide significant association (p = 4.4 × 10-8) with CAC, but this signal was not genome-wide significant among all COPDGene participants (p = 1.7 × 10-7) or males (p = 0.03). There was a significant interaction for the SNP rs9349379 in PHACTR1 with sex (p = 0.02), but the interaction was not significant for the SNP rs10757272 in CDKN2B-AS1 with sex (p = 0.21). In addition, PHACTR1 had a stronger association with CAC among current smokers (p = 6.2 × 10-7) than former smokers (p = 7.5 × 10-3) and the SNP by smoking status interaction was marginally significant (p = 0.03). CDKN2B-AS1 had a strong association with CAC among both former (p = 7.7 × 10-8) and current smokers (p = 1.7 × 10-7) and the SNP by smoking status interaction was not significant (p = 0.40). Conclusions: Among current and former smokers of European ancestry in the COPDGene study, we identified a genome-wide significant association in the chromosome 6p24 region [PHACTR1] with CAC among females, but not among males. This region had a significant SNP by sex and SNP by smoking interaction on CAC.