Methotrexate to treat hand osteoarthritis with synovitis (METHODS): an Australian, multisite, parallel-group, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Hand osteoarthritis is a disabling condition with few effective therapies. Hand osteoarthritis with synovitis is a common inflammatory phenotype associated with pain. We aimed to examine the efficacy and safety of methotrexate at 6 months in participants with hand osteoarthritis and synovitis. METHODS: In this multisite, parallel-group, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial, participants (aged 40-75 years) with hand osteoarthritis (Kellgren and Lawrence grade ≥2 in at least one joint) and MRI-detected synovitis of grade 1 or more were recruited from the community in Melbourne, Hobart, Adelaide, and Perth, Australia. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) using block randomisation, stratified by study site and self-reported sex, to receive methotrexate 20 mg or identical placebo orally once weekly for 6 months. The primary outcome was pain reduction (measured with a 100 mm visual analogue scale; VAS) in the study hand at 6 months assessed in the intention-to-treat population. Safety outcomes were assessed in all randomly assigned participants. This trial was registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12617000877381). FINDINGS: Between Nov 22, 2017, and Nov 8, 2021, of 202 participants who were assessed for eligibility, 97 (48%) were randomly assigned to receive methotrexate (n=50) or placebo (n=47). 68 (70%) of 97 participants were female and 29 (30%) were male. 42 (84%) of 50 participants in the methotrexate group and 40 (85%) of 47 in the placebo group provided primary outcome data. The mean change in VAS pain at 6 months was -15·2 mm (SD 24·0) in the methotrexate group and -7·7 mm (25·3) in the placebo group, with a mean between-group difference of -9·9 (95% CI -19·3 to -0·6; p=0·037) and an effect size (standardised mean difference) of 0·45 (0·03 to 0·87). Adverse events occurred in 31 (62%) of 50 participants in the methotrexate group and 28 (60%) of 47 participants in the placebo group. INTERPRETATION: Treatment of hand osteoarthritis and synovitis with 20 mg methotrexate for 6 months had a moderate but potentially clinically meaningful effect on reducing pain, providing proof of concept that methotrexate might have a role in the management of hand osteoarthritis with an inflammatory phenotype. FUNDING: National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia.

Association between knee magnetic resonance imaging markers and knee symptoms over 6-9 years in young adults.

OBJECTIVES: To describe associations between MRI markers with knee symptoms in young adults. METHODS: Knee symptoms were assessed using the WOMAC scale during the Childhood Determinants of Adult Health Knee Cartilage study (CDAH-knee; 2008-2010) and at the 6- to 9-year follow-up (CDAH-3; 2014-2019). Knee MRI scans obtained at baseline were assessed for morphological markers (cartilage volume, cartilage thickness, subchondral bone area) and structural abnormalities [cartilage defects and bone marrow lesions (BMLs)]. Univariable and multivariable (age, sex, BMI adjusted) zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression models were used for analysis. RESULTS: The participants' mean age in CDAH-knee and CDAH-3 were 34.95 (s.d. 2.72) and 43.27 (s.d. 3.28) years, with 49% and 48% females, respectively. Cross-sectionally, there was a weak but significant negative association between medial femorotibial compartment (MFTC) [ratio of the mean (RoM) 0.99971084 (95% CI 0.9995525, 0.99986921), P < 0.001], lateral femorotibial compartment (LFTC) [RoM 0.99982602 (95% CI 0.99969915, 0.9999529), P = 0.007] and patellar cartilage volume [RoM 0.99981722 (95% CI 0.99965326, 0.9999811), P = 0.029] with knee symptoms. Similarly, there was a negative association between patellar cartilage volume [RoM 0.99975523 (95% CI 0.99961427, 0.99989621), P = 0.014], MFTC cartilage thickness [RoM 0.72090775 (95% CI 0.59481806, 0.87372596), P = 0.001] and knee symptoms assessed after 6-9 years. The total bone area was negatively associated with knee symptoms at baseline [RoM 0.9210485 (95% CI 0.8939677, 0.9489496), P < 0.001] and 6-9 years [RoM 0.9588811 (95% CI 0.9313379, 0.9872388), P = 0.005]. The cartilage defects and BMLs were associated with greater knee symptoms at baseline and 6-9 years. CONCLUSION: BMLs and cartilage defects were positively associated with knee symptoms, whereas cartilage volume and thickness at MFTC and total bone area were weakly and negatively associated with knee symptoms. These results suggest that the quantitative and semiquantitative MRI markers can be explored as a marker of clinical progression of OA in young adults.

A meta-analysis of previous falls and subsequent fracture risk in cohort studies.

The relationship between self-reported falls and fracture risk was estimated in an international meta-analysis of individual-level data from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were associated with an increased fracture risk in women and men and should be considered as an additional risk factor in the FRAX® algorithm. INTRODUCTION: Previous falls are a well-documented risk factor for subsequent fracture but have not yet been incorporated into the FRAX algorithm. The aim of this study was to evaluate, in an international meta-analysis, the association between previous falls and subsequent fracture risk and its relation to sex, age, duration of follow-up, and bone mineral density (BMD). METHODS: The resource comprised 906,359 women and men (66.9% female) from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were uniformly defined as any fall occurring during the previous year in 43 cohorts; the remaining three cohorts had a different question construct. The association between previous falls and fracture risk (any clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture) was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and each sex, followed by random-effects meta-analyses of the weighted beta coefficients. RESULTS: Falls in the past year were reported in 21.4% of individuals. During a follow-up of 9,102,207 person-years, 87,352 fractures occurred of which 19,509 were hip fractures. A previous fall was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture both in women (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-1.51) and men (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.41-1.67). The HRs were of similar magnitude for osteoporotic, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture. Sex significantly modified the association between previous fall and fracture risk, with predictive values being higher in men than in women (e.g., for major osteoporotic fracture, HR 1.53 (95% CI 1.27-1.84) in men vs. HR 1.32 (95% CI 1.20-1.45) in women, P for interaction = 0.013). The HRs associated with previous falls decreased with age in women and with duration of follow-up in men and women for most fracture outcomes. There was no evidence of an interaction between falls and BMD for fracture risk. Subsequent risk for a major osteoporotic fracture increased with each additional previous fall in women and men. CONCLUSIONS: A previous self-reported fall confers an increased risk of fracture that is largely independent of BMD. Previous falls should be considered as an additional risk factor in future iterations of FRAX to improve fracture risk prediction.

Association between medial meniscal extrusion and knee structural progression in adults with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis - a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between medial meniscal extrusion and structural progression in adults with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: This prospective cohort study examined 176 participants with symptomatic knee OA recruited into a randomised controlled trial. The participants underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the study knee at baseline and approximately 2 years later. Meniscal extrusion, tibial cartilage volume, and tibiofemoral bone marrow lesions (BMLs) were measured from MRI using validated methods. RESULTS: Participants with medial meniscal extrusion ≥ 3 mm had a higher prevalence of lateral tibiofemoral BMLs at baseline (OR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.06-4.61, p = 0.035), and those with medial meniscal extrusion 2-3 mm had a higher likelihood of lateral BML worsening over 2 years (OR = 3.76, 95% CI 1.35-10.52, p = 0.011), compared with those with medial meniscal extrusion < 2 mm. Participants with stable medial meniscal extrusion had a lower likelihood of lateral BML worsening compared with those with regression of medial meniscal extrusion over 2 years (OR = 0.20, 95% CI 0.07-0.56, p = 0.002). There were no associations between medial meniscal extrusion and tibial cartilage volume or medial tibiofemoral BMLs. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed associations between medial meniscal extrusion and baseline prevalence and worsening over 2 years of lateral tibiofemoral BMLs in people with symptomatic knee OA. Although the reasons for the lack of associations in the medial compartment are not clear, our results suggest a role of medial meniscal extrusion in predicting structural progression in lateral knee OA and that meniscal extrusion might be a potential target in the management of knee OA.

Krill Oil for Knee Osteoarthritis: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Knee osteoarthritis is disabling, with few effective treatments. Preliminary evidence suggested that krill oil supplementation improved knee pain, but effects on knee osteoarthritis remain unclear. Objective: To evaluate efficacy of krill oil supplementation, compared with placebo, on knee pain in people with knee osteoarthritis who have significant knee pain and effusion-synovitis. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial in 5 Australian cities. Participants with clinical knee osteoarthritis, significant knee pain, and effusion-synovitis on magnetic resonance imaging were enrolled from December 2016 to June 2019; final follow-up occurred on February 7, 2020. Interventions: Participants were randomized to 2 g/d of krill oil (n = 130) or matching placebo (n = 132) for 24 weeks. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was change in knee pain as assessed by visual analog scale (range, 0-100; 0 indicating least pain; minimum clinically important improvement = 15) over 24 weeks. Results: Of 262 participants randomized (mean age, 61.6 [SD, 9.6] years; 53% women), 222 (85%) completed the trial. Krill oil did not improve knee pain compared with placebo (mean change in VAS score, -19.9 [krill oil] vs -20.2 [placebo]; between-group mean difference, -0.3; 95% CI, -6.9 to 6.4) over 24 weeks. One or more adverse events was reported by 51% in the krill oil group (67/130) and by 54% in the placebo group (71/132). The most common adverse events were musculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders, which occurred 32 times in the krill oil group and 42 times in the placebo group, including knee pain (n = 10 with krill oil; n = 9 with placebo), lower extremity pain (n = 1 with krill oil; n = 5 with placebo), and hip pain (n = 3 with krill oil; n = 2 with placebo). Conclusions and Relevance: Among people with knee osteoarthritis who have significant knee pain and effusion-synovitis on magnetic resonance imaging, 2 g/d of daily krill oil supplementation did not improve knee pain over 24 weeks compared with placebo. These findings do not support krill oil for treating knee pain in this population. Trial Registration: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry Identifier: ACTRN12616000726459; Universal Trial Number: U1111-1181-7087.

Association between chronic pain and risk of incident dementia: findings from a prospective cohort.

BACKGROUND: Chronic musculoskeletal pain has been linked to dementia; however, chronic pain typically occurs in multiple sites; therefore, this study was to investigate whether greater number of chronic pain sites is associated with a higher risk of dementia and its subtypes. METHODS: Participants (N = 356,383) in the UK Biobank who were dementia-free at baseline were included. Pain in the hip, knee, back, and neck/shoulder or 'all over the body' and its duration were assessed. Participants were categorised into six groups: no chronic pain; chronic pain in 1, 2, 3, and 4 sites, and 'all over the body'. All-cause dementia and its subtypes were ascertained using hospital inpatient and death registry records. Cox regression was used to investigate the associations between the number of chronic pain sites and the incidence of all-cause dementia and its subtypes. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13 years, 4959 participants developed dementia. After adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle, comorbidities, pain medications, psychological problems, and sleep factors, greater number of chronic pain sites was associated with an increased risk of incident all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.08 per 1 site increase, 95% CI 1.05-1.11) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) (HR = 1.09 per 1-site increase, 95% CI 1.04-1.13) in a dose-response manner but not vascular and frontotemporal dementia. No significant association was found between the number of chronic pain sites and the risk of incident all-cause dementia among a subsample that underwent a fluid intelligence test. CONCLUSIONS: Greater number of chronic pain sites was associated with an increased risk of incident all-cause dementia and AD, suggesting that chronic pain in multiple sites may contribute to individuals' dementia risk and is an underestimated risk factor for dementia.

Association between popliteal artery wall thickness and structural progression in patients with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: There is increasing evidence for the involvement of vascular disease in the pathogenesis of knee OA. Popliteal artery wall thickness can be used as a surrogate marker of atherosclerosis. We examined the association between popliteal artery wall thickness and knee cartilage volume in individuals with symptomatic knee OA. METHODS: This prospective cohort study analysed 176 participants from a randomized placebo-controlled trial examining the effect of atorvastatin on structural progression in knee OA. The participants underwent MRI of the study knee at baseline and 2-year follow-up. Popliteal artery wall thickness and tibial cartilage volume were measured from MRI using validated methods. The top quartile of the rate of tibial cartilage volume loss was defined as rapid progression. RESULTS: At baseline, every 10% increase in popliteal artery wall thickness was associated with 120.8 mm3 (95% CI 5.4, 236.2, P = 0.04) lower of medial tibial cartilage volume and 151.9 mm3 (95% CI 12.1, 291.7, P = 0.03) lower of lateral tibial cartilage volume. Longitudinally, for every 10% increase in popliteal artery wall thickness, the annual rate of medial tibial cartilage volume loss was increased by 1.14% (95% CI 0.09%, 2.20%, P = 0.03), and there was a 2.28-fold (95% CI 1.07, 4.83, P = 0.03) risk of rapid progression of medial tibial cartilage loss, adjusted for age, sex, BMI, tibial bone area, smoking, vigorous physical activity, and intervention group allocation. CONCLUSION: The findings support a role for vascular pathology in the progression of knee OA. Targeting atherosclerosis has the potential to improve outcomes in knee OA.

Association of smoking with cartilage loss of knee osteoarthritis: data from two longitudinal cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have been inconsistent concerning the association between smoking and risk of osteoarthritis (OA). This study aimed to explore the associations of smoking status and change in cartilage volume of OA in two longitudinal cohorts. METHODS: Subjects from the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort (OAI, n = 593) and the Tasmanian Older Adult Cohort (TASOAC, n = 394) were included in this study. For both cohorts, participants were classified into three groups based on their smoking status, namely 'never', 'former', and 'current' smokers. The outcome measures were the annual rate of change of tibiofemoral cartilage volume over 2 years in OAI and of tibial cartilage volume over 2.6 years in TASOAC. Potential confounders were balanced using the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method. RESULTS: Overall, 42.3% and 37.4% of participants were former smokers, and 5.7% and 9.3% were current smokers in the OAI and TASOAC cohorts, respectively. Compared to never smokers, neither former nor current smoking was associated with risk of the annual rate of change of tibiofemoral cartilage volume in OAI (former smoker: ß=-0.068%/year, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.824 to 0.688, p = 0.860; current smoker: ß=-0.222%/year, 95% CI -0.565 to 0.120, p = 0.204) and tibial cartilage volume in TASOAC (former smoker: ß = 0.001%/year, 95% CI -0.986 to 0.989, p = 0.998; current smoker: ß=-0.839%/year, 95% CI -2.520 to 0.844, p = 0.329). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings from two independent cohorts consistently showed that smoking was not associated with knee cartilage loss in older adults.

Single nucleotide polymorphism genes and mitochondrial DNA haplogroups as biomarkers for early prediction of knee osteoarthritis structural progressors: use of supervised machine learning classifiers.

BACKGROUND: Knee osteoarthritis is the most prevalent chronic musculoskeletal debilitating disease. Current treatments are only symptomatic, and to improve this, we need a robust prediction model to stratify patients at an early stage according to the risk of joint structure disease progression. Some genetic factors, including single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genes and mitochondrial (mt)DNA haplogroups/clusters, have been linked to this disease. For the first time, we aim to determine, by using machine learning, whether some SNP genes and mtDNA haplogroups/clusters alone or combined could predict early knee osteoarthritis structural progressors. METHODS: Participants (901) were first classified for the probability of being structural progressors. Genotyping included SNP genes TP63, FTO, GNL3, DUS4L, GDF5, SUPT3H, MCF2L, and TGFA; mtDNA haplogroups H, J, T, Uk, and others; and clusters HV, TJ, KU, and C-others. They were considered for prediction with major risk factors of osteoarthritis, namely, age and body mass index (BMI). Seven supervised machine learning methodologies were evaluated. The support vector machine was used to generate gender-based models. The best input combination was assessed using sensitivity and synergy analyses. Validation was performed using tenfold cross-validation and an external cohort (TASOAC). RESULTS: From 277 models, two were defined. Both used age and BMI in addition for the first one of the SNP genes TP63, DUS4L, GDF5, and FTO with an accuracy of 85.0%; the second profits from the association of mtDNA haplogroups and SNP genes FTO and SUPT3H with 82.5% accuracy. The highest impact was associated with the haplogroup H, the presence of CT alleles for rs8044769 at FTO, and the absence of AA for rs10948172 at SUPT3H. Validation accuracy with the cross-validation (about 95%) and the external cohort (90.5%, 85.7%, respectively) was excellent for both models. CONCLUSIONS: This study introduces a novel source of decision support in precision medicine in which, for the first time, two models were developed consisting of (i) age, BMI, TP63, DUS4L, GDF5, and FTO and (ii) the optimum one as it has one less variable: age, BMI, mtDNA haplogroup, FTO, and SUPT3H. Such a framework is translational and would benefit patients at risk of structural progressive knee osteoarthritis.

Intravenous bisphosphonates do not improve knee pain or bone marrow lesions in people with knee osteoarthritis: a meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize effects of intravenous bisphosphonates (IVBP) in patients with symptomatic knee OA and bone marrow lesions (BMLs), using a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). METHODS: Literature databases were searched for placebo-controlled RCTs of IVBPs for knee OA from inception, and included validated pain and function scales, BML size and incidence of adverse events. Efficacy was compared using standardized mean differences (SMD) and risk ratios (RR) with fixed-effect or random-effects models. Methodological quality was assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool, heterogeneity was assessed by I2 statistics. RESULTS: We included 428 patients in four RCTs of 2-24 months duration; most patients (84%) received zoledronic acid (ZA). Risk of bias was low-moderate. IVBP had large effect sizes on pain within 3 months [SMD = -2.33 (95% CI: -3.02, -1.65)] mainly driven by neridronate (resulting in substantial heterogeneity, I2 = 92%) with no effect for ZA alone. Differences in knee function were statistically significant at 3 months [SMD = -0.22 (-0.43, -0.01), I2 = 0.2%]. Effect sizes for pain did not reach statistical significance at any other time point. IVBPs improved a semi-quantitative measure of BML size within 6 months [SMD = -0.52 (-0.89, -0.14), I2 = 0%] but not at 12 months or two years. Adverse events [RR = 1.19 (1.00, 1.41) I2 = 52%], occurred more frequently with IVBP. CONCLUSION: ZA has no effect on knee pain, possibly a short-term effect on BML size and higher rates of adverse events. Neridronate may improve pain in the short term, but this is based on a single trial.

Association between diet quality in adolescence and adulthood and knee symptoms in adulthood: a 25-year cohort study.

We aimed to describe associations between diet quality in adolescence and adulthood and knee symptoms in adulthood. Two hundred seventy-five participants had adolescent diet measurements, 399 had adult diet measurements and 240 had diet measurements in both time points. Diet quality was assessed by Dietary Guidelines Index (DGI), reflecting adherence to Australian Dietary Guidelines. Knee symptoms were collected using Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC). Data were analysed using zero-inflated negative binomial regressions. The overall adolescent DGI was not associated with adult knee symptoms, although lower intake of discretionary foods (e.g. cream, alcohol, bacon and cake) in adolescence was associated with lower pain (mean ratio (MR) 0·96) and dysfunction (MR 0·94). The overall adult DGI was not associated with knee symptoms; however, limiting saturated fat was associated with lower WOMAC (Pain: MR 0·93; stiffness: MR 0·93; dysfunction: MR 0·91), drinking water was associated with lower stiffness (MR 0·90) and fruit intake was associated with lower dysfunction (MR 0·90). Higher DGI for dairy products in adulthood was associated with higher WOMAC (Pain: MR 1·07; stiffness: MR 1·13; dysfunction: MR 1·11). Additionally, the score increases from adolescence to adulthood were not associated with adult knee symptoms, except for associations between score increase in limiting saturated fat and lower stiffness (MR 0·89) and between score increase in fruit intake and lower dysfunction (MR 0·92). In conclusion, the overall diet quality in adolescence and adulthood was not associated with knee symptoms in adulthood. However, some diet components may affect later knee symptoms.

Association between socioeconomic status and joint replacement of the hip and knee: a population-based cohort study of older adults in Tasmania.

BACKGROUND: A socioeconomic gradient exists in the utilisation of total hip replacements (THR) and total knee replacements (TKR) for osteoarthritis. However, the relations between socioeconomic status (SES) and time to THR or TKR is unknown. AIM: To describe the association between SES and time to THR and TKR. METHODS: One thousand and seventy-two older adults residing in Tasmania, Australia, were studied. Incident primary THR and TKR were determined by data linkage to the Australian Orthopaedic Association National Joint Replacement Registry. At baseline, each participant's area-level SES was determined using the Index of Relative Socioeconomic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD) from the Australian Bureau of Statistics' 2001 census data. The IRSAD was analysed in two ways: (i) categorised into quartiles, whereby quartile 1 represented the most socioeconomically disadvantaged group; and (ii) the cohort dichotomised at the quartile 1 cut-point. RESULTS: The mean age was 63.0 (±7.5) years and 51% were women. Over the median follow up of 12.9 (interquartile range: 12.2-13.9) years, 56 (5%) participants had a THR and 79 (7%) had a TKR. Compared with the most disadvantaged quartile, less disadvantaged participants were less likely to have a THR (i.e. less disadvantaged participants had a longer time to THR; hazard ratio (HR): 0.56; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.32, 1.00) but not TKR (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.53, 1.54). However, the former became non-significant after adjustment for pain and radiographic osteoarthritis, suggesting that the associations may be mediated by these factors. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that time to joint replacement was determined according to the symptoms/need of the participants rather than their SES.

Cross-sectional and temporal differences in health-related quality of life of people with and without osteoarthritis: a 10-year prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the impact of OA on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in the forms of health state utilities (HSUs) and health-dimension scores, and to compare the longitudinal changes in HRQoL for people with and without OA, using an Australian population-based longitudinal cohort. METHODS: Participants of the Tasmanian Older Adult Cohort with data on OA diagnosis and HRQoL were included [interviewed at baseline (n = 1093), 2.5 years (n = 871), 5 years (n = 760) and 10 years (n = 562)]. HRQoL was assessed using the Assessment of Quality of Life four-dimensions and analysed using multivariable linear mixed regressions. RESULTS: Compared with participants without OA, HSUs for those with OA were 0.07 (95% confidence interval: 0.09, 0.05) units lower on average over 10 years. HSUs for participants with knee and/or hip OA were similar to those with other types of OA at the 2.5 year follow-up and then diverged, with HSUs of the former being up to 0.09 units lower than the latter. Those with OA had lower scores for psychological wellness, independent living and social relationships compared with those without OA. Independent living and social relationships were mainly impacted by knee and/or hip OA, with the effect on the former increasing over time. CONCLUSION: Interventions to improve HRQoL should be tailored to specific OA types, health dimensions, and times. Support for maintaining psychological wellness should be provided, irrespective of OA type and duration. However, support for maintaining independent living could be more relevant to knee and/or hip OA patients living with the disease for longer.

The impact of comorbidities on health-related quality of life of people with osteoarthritis over 10 years.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of total number and patterns of comorbidities on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and identify the most prevalent and influential comorbidity patterns in people with OA over 10 years. METHODS: Participants from the Tasmanian Older Adult Cohort aged 50-80 years, with self-reported OA and data on comorbidities and HRQoL were included. Participants were interviewed at baseline (n = 398), 2.5 (n = 304), 5 (n = 269) and 10 years (n = 191). Data on the self-reported presence of 10 chronic comorbidities were collected at baseline. HRQoL was assessed using the Assessment of Quality of Life-4-Dimensions. The long-term impacts of the number and of the nine most prevalent combinations of cardiovascular (CVD), non-OA musculoskeletal (Ms), metabolic and respiratory comorbidities on HRQoL over 10 years were analysed using linear mixed regressions. RESULTS: Compared with comorbidity-free OA participants, the health state utility (HSU) of those with 2 or ≥3 comorbidities was respectively -0.07 and -0.13 units lower over 10 years, largely driven by reduced scores for independent living, social relationships and psychological wellness. Comorbidity patterns including 'CVD+Ms' were most influential, and associated with up to 0.13 units lower HSU, mostly through negative impacts on independent living (up to -0.12), psychological wellness (up to -0.08) and social relationship (up to -0.06). CONCLUSION: Having more comorbidities negatively impacted OA patients' long-term HRQoL. OA patients with CVD and non-OA musculoskeletal conditions had the largest HSU impairment, and therefore optimal management and prevention of these conditions may yield improvements in OA patients' HRQoL.

The association between change in bone marrow lesion size and change in tibiofemoral cartilage volume and knee symptoms.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the association between change in subchondral bone marrow lesions (BMLs) and change in tibiofemoral cartilage volume and knee symptoms in patients with symptomatic knee OA. METHODS: In total, 251 participants (mean 61.7 years, 51% female) were included. Tibiofemoral cartilage volume was measured at baseline and 24 months, and BML size at baseline, 6 and 24 months. Knee pain and function scores were evaluated at baseline, 6 and 24 months. Change in total and compartment-specific BML size was categorized according to the Least Significance Criterion. Linear mixed-effects models were used to evaluate the associations of change in BMLs over 6 and 24 months with change in cartilage volume over 24 months and knee symptoms over 6 and 24 months. RESULTS: Total BML size enlarged in 26% of participants, regressed in 31% and remained stable in 43% over 24 months. Compared with stable BMLs in the same compartment, enlarging BMLs over 24 months were associated with greater cartilage loss (difference: -53.0mm3, 95% CI: -100.0, -6.0), and regressing BMLs were not significantly associated with reduced cartilage loss (difference: 32.4mm3, 95% CI: -8.6, 73.3) over 24 months. Neither enlargement nor regression of total BML size over 6 and 24 months was associated with change in knee pain and function over the same time intervals. CONCLUSIONS: In subjects with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis and BMLs, enlarging BMLs may lead to greater cartilage loss but regressing lesions are not associated with reduced cartilage loss while neither is associated with change in knee symptoms.

Efficacy and Safety of Turmeric Extracts for the Treatment of Knee Osteoarthritis: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: Finding appropriate pharmacological options to treat osteoarthritis (OA) remain challenging. We aimed to determine the efficacy and safety of all types of turmeric extracts for the management of knee OA. RECENT FINDINGS: Sixteen RCTs of up to 16 weeks duration including 1810 adults with knee OA were included. Eleven RCTs compared the efficacy of turmeric extracts with placebo and five with active comparators (NSAIDs). The overall risk bias of included RCTs was moderate. Turmeric extracts significantly reduced knee pain (SMD - 0.82, 95% CI - 1.17 to - 0.47, I2 = 86.23%) and improved physical function (SMD - 0.75, 95% CI - 1.18 to - 0.33, I2 = 90.05%) compared to placebo but had similar effects compared to NSAIDs. BMI was the major contributor to heterogeneity in the placebo-controlled studies (explained 37.68% and 67.24%, respectively, in the models) and modified the effects of the turmeric on pain and physical function with less improvement with higher BMI (SMD 0.26 95% CI 0.04 to 0.48; SMD 0.48 95% CI 0.21 to 0.74). No significant between-group differences were reported for either biochemical markers or imaging outcomes. Turmeric extracts had 12% fewer adverse events than NSAIDs and similar rates to placebo. Turmeric extract is a safe and effective option for the symptomatic management of knee OA, compared to placebo or NSAIDs. However, current evidence from short-term studies is heterogeneous and has moderate risk of bias leading to some uncertainty about the true effect.

Association between knee symptoms, change in knee symptoms over 6-9 years, and SF-6D health state utility among middle-aged Australians.

OBJECTIVES: Health state utilities (HSUs) are an input metric for estimating quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) in cost-utility analyses. Currently, there is a paucity of data on association of knee symptoms with HSUs for middle-aged populations. We aimed to describe the association of knee symptoms and change in knee symptoms with SF-6D HSUs and described the distribution of HSUs against knee symptoms' severity. METHODS: Participants (36-49-years) were selected from the third follow-up (completed 2019) of Australian Childhood Determinants of Adult Health study. SF-6D HSUs were generated from the participant-reported SF-12. Association between participant-reported WOMAC knee symptoms' severity, change in knee symptoms over 6-9 years, and HSUs were evaluated using linear regression models. RESULTS: For the cross-sectional analysis, 1,567 participants were included; mean age 43.5 years, female 54%, BMI ± SD 27.18 ± 5.31 kg/m2. Mean ± SD HSUs for normal, moderate, and severe WOMAC scores were 0.820 ± 0.120, 0.800 ± 0.120, and 0.740 ± 0.130, respectively. A significant association was observed between worsening knee symptoms and HSUs in univariable and multivariable analyses after adjustment (age and sex). HSU decrement for normal-to-severe total-WOMAC and WOMAC-pain was - 0.080 (95% CI - 0.100 to - 0.060, p < 0.01) and - 0.067 (- 0.085 to - 0.048, p < 0.01), exceeding the mean minimal clinically important difference (0.04). Increase in knee pain over 6-9 years was associated with a significant reduction in HSU. CONCLUSION: In a middle-aged population-based sample, there was an independent negative association between worse knee symptoms and SF-6D HSUs. Our findings may be used by decision-makers to define more realistic and conservative baseline and ongoing HSU values when assessing QALY changes associated with osteoarthritis interventions.

Bone Microarchitecture, Volumetric or Areal Bone Mineral Density for Discrimination of Vertebral Deformity in Adults: A Cross-sectional Study.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND: Both areal bone mineral density (aBMD) and bone microarchitecture have been associated with vertebral deformity (VD), but there are limited data on the utility of bone microarchitecture measures in combination with aBMD in discriminating VD. This study aimed to describe whether radial bone microarchitecture measures alone or in combinations with radial volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) or spine aBMD can improve discrimination of VD in adults. METHODS: Data on 196 subjects (mean age (standard deviation, SD) = 72 (7) years, female 46%) were utilized. VD of T4-L4 and spine aBMD were measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. VD was defined if anterior to posterior height ratio was more than 3-SD, 4-SD below, or >25% decrease compared with the sex-matched normal means. Bone microarchitecture parameters at distal radius were collected using high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography and analyzed using StrAx. RESULTS: The strongest associations were seen for the cortical thickness (odds ratios (ORs): 2.63/SD decrease for 25% and 2.38/SD decrease for 3-SD criterion) and compact cortical area (OR: 3.33/SD decrease for 4-SD criterion). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for spine aBMD for VD was 0.594, 0.597, and 0.634 for 25%, 3-SD and 4-SD criteria, respectively (all p < 0.05). Compact cortical area, cortical thickness and compact cortical thickness alone had the largest AUCs for VD (0.680-0.685 for 25% criterion, 0.659-0.674 for 3-SD criterion, and 0.699-0.707 for 4-SD criterion). Adding spine aBMD or radial vBMD to each cortical measure did not improve VD discrimination (∆ AUC 0.8%-2.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Cortical measures had the best utility for discriminating VD when used alone. Adding either spine aBMD or radial vBMD did not improve the utility of cortical measures.

Knee osteoarthritis and time-to all-cause mortality in six community-based cohorts: an international meta-analysis of individual participant-level data.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic joint disease, with increasing global burden of disability and healthcare utilisation. Recent meta-analyses have shown a range of effects of OA on mortality, reflecting different OA definitions and study methods. We seek to overcome limitations introduced when using aggregate results by gathering individual participant-level data (IPD) from international observational studies and standardising methods to determine the association of knee OA with mortality in the general population. METHODS: Seven community-based cohorts were identified containing knee OA-related pain, radiographs, and time-to-mortality, six of which were available for analysis. A two-stage IPD meta-analysis framework was applied: (1) Cox proportional hazard models assessed time-to-mortality of participants with radiographic OA (ROA), OA-related pain (POA), and a combination of pain and ROA (PROA) against pain and ROA-free participants; (2) hazard ratios (HR) were then pooled using the Hartung-Knapp modification for random-effects meta-analysis. FINDINGS: 10,723 participants in six cohorts from four countries were included in the analyses. Multivariable models (adjusting for age, sex, race, BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes) showed a pooled HR, compared to pain and ROA-free participants, of 1.03 (0.83, 1.28) for ROA, 1.35 (1.12, 1.63) for POA, and 1.37 (1.22, 1.54) for PROA. DISCUSSION: Participants with POA or PROA had a 35-37% increased association with reduced time-to-mortality, independent of confounders. ROA showed no association with mortality, suggesting that OA-related knee pain may be driving the association with time-to-mortality. FUNDING: Versus Arthritis Centre for Sport, Exercise and Osteoarthritis and Osteoarthritis Research Society International.

METHODS - A randomised controlled trial of METhotrexate to treat Hand Osteoarthritis with Synovitis: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Hand osteoarthritis is a common and disabling problem without effective therapies. Accumulating evidence suggests the role of local inflammation in causing pain and structural progression in hand osteoarthritis, and hand osteoarthritis with synovitis is a commonly encountered clinical phenotype. Methotrexate is a well-established, low-cost, and effective treatment for inflammatory arthritis with a well-described safety profile. The aim of this multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial is to determine whether methotrexate reduces pain over 6 months in patients with hand osteoarthritis and synovitis. METHODS: Ninety-six participants with hand osteoarthritis and synovitis will be recruited through the Osteoarthritis Clinical Trial Network (Melbourne, Hobart, Adelaide, and Perth), and randomly allocated in a 1:1 ratio to receive either methotrexate 20 mg or identical placebo once weekly for 6 months. The primary outcome is pain reduction (assessed by 100 mm visual analogue scale) at 6 months. The secondary outcomes include changes in physical function and quality of life assessed using Functional Index for Hand Osteoarthritis, Australian Canadian Osteoarthritis Hand Index, Health Assessment Questionnaire, Michigan Hand Outcomes Questionnaire, Short-Form-36, tender and swollen joint count, and grip strength, and structural progression assessed using progression of synovitis and bone marrow lesions from magnetic resonance imaging and radiographic progression at 6 months. Adverse events will be recorded. The primary analysis will be by intention to treat, including all participants in their randomised groups. DISCUSSION: This study will provide high-quality evidence to address whether methotrexate has an effect on reducing pain over 6 months in patients with hand osteoarthritis and synovitis, with major clinical and public health importance. While a positive trial will inform international clinical practice guidelines for the management of hand osteoarthritis, a negative trial would be highly topical and change current trends in clinical practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR), ACTRN12617000877381. Registered 15 June 2017, https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=373124.