Factors associated with sepsis development in 606 Spanish adult patients with cellulitis.

BACKGROUND: Cellulitis, a frequent cause of admission of adult patients to medical wards, occasionally evolves to sepsis. In this study we analyze the factors related to sepsis development. METHODS: Prospective and observational study of 606 adult patients with cellulitis admitted to several Spanish hospitals. Comorbidities, microbiological, clinical, lab, diagnostic, and treatment data were analyzed. Sepsis was diagnosed according to the criteria of the 2016 International Sepsis Definitions Conference. Multiple logistic regression modelling was performed to determine the variables independently associated with sepsis development. RESULTS: Mean age was 63.4 years and 51.8% were men. Overall 65 (10.7%) patients developed sepsis, 7 (10.8%) of whom died, but only 4 (6.2%) due to cellulitis. Drawing of blood (P < 0.0001) or any (P < 0.0001) culture, and identification of the agent (P = 0.005) were more likely among patients with sepsis. These patients had also a longer duration of symptoms (P = 0.04), higher temperature (P = 0.03), more extensive cellulitis (P = 0.02), higher leukocyte (P < 0.0001) and neutrophil (P < 0.0001) counts, serum creatinine (P = 0.001), and CRP (P = 0.008) than patients without sepsis. Regarding therapy, patients with sepsis were more likely to undergo changes in the initial antimicrobial regimen (P < 0.0001), received more antimicrobials (P < 0.0001), received longer intravenous treatment (P = 0.03), and underwent surgery more commonly (P = 0.01) than patients without sepsis. Leukocyte counts (P = 0.002), serum creatinine (P = 0.003), drawing of blood cultures (P = 0.004), change of the initial antimicrobial regimen (P = 0.007) and length of cellulitis (P = 0.009) were independently associated with sepsis development in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Increased blood leukocytes and serum creatinine, blood culture drawn, modification of the initial antimicrobial regimen, and maximum length of cellulitis were associated with sepsis in these patients.

Valor pronóstico del cociente lactato/albúmina para la mortalidad en pacientes mayores de 65 años con infección urinaria complicada / Lactate/albumin ratio prognostic value for mortality in patients older than 65 years with complicated urinary tract infection

Antecedentes El cociente lactato/albúmina (LAR) es un biomarcador emergente de sepsis que se ha evaluado para determinar la mortalidad en pacientes con sepsis de distinto foco. Nuestro objetivo es evaluar el valor pronóstico de LAR en pacientes ingresados en el hospital por infecciones urinarias complicadas. Métodos Estudio observacional prospectivo de pacientes mayores de 65 años diagnosticados de ITU. Se calcularon y compararon el área bajo la curva ROC, la sensibilidad y la especificidad para predecir la mortalidad a 30 días para LAR, qSOFA y SOFA. Resultados Se analizaron 341 casos de ITU. La mortalidad a 30 días (20,2 frente a 6,7%, p<0,001) y la mayor estancia hospitalaria (5 [4-8] frente a 4 [3-7], p=0,018) se asociaron con LAR≥0,708. LAR no presenta diferencias estadísticamente significativas en comparación con qSOFA y SOFA para predecir la mortalidad a 30 días (AUROC 0,737 frente a 0,832 y 0,777, respectivamente, p=0,119 y 0,496). La sensibilidad de LAR fue similar a la de qSOFA y SOFA (60,8 frente a 84,4 y 82,2%, respectivamente, p=0,746 y 0,837). Sin embargo, su especificidad fue inferior a la del qSOFA (60,8 frente a 75%, p=0,003), pero similar a la del SOFA (60,8 frente a 57,8%, p=0,787). Conclusiones LAR no presenta diferencias significativas con otras puntuaciones bien establecidas en sepsis, como qSOFA y SOFA, para predecir la mortalidad a 30 días en pacientes con ITU complicada (AU)

Background Lactate to albumin ratio (LAR) is an emerging sepsis biomarker that has been tested for mortality in patients with sepsis of different focus. Our goal is to evaluate the prognostic value of LAR in patients admitted to the hospital due to complicated urinary tract infections. Methods Prospective observational study of patients older than 65 years diagnosed with UTI. Area under the ROC curve, sensibility, and specificity to predict 30-day mortality were calculated for LAR, qSOFA and SOFA. Results Three hundred and forty-one UTI cases were analyzed. Thirty-day mortality (20.2 vs. 6.7%, p<0.001) and longer hospital stay (5 [4–8] vs. 4 [3–7], p=0.018) were associated with LAR≥0.708. LAR has no statistically significant differences compared to qSOFA and SOFA for predicting 30-day mortality (AUROC 0.737 vs. 0.832 and 0.777, respectively, p=0.119 and 0.496). The sensitivity of LAR was similar to the sensitivity of qSOFA and SOFA (60.8 vs. 84.4 and 82.2%, respectively, p=0.746 and 0.837). However, its specificity was lower than the specificity of qSOFA (60.8 vs. 75%, p=0.003), but similar to the specificity of SOFA (60.8 vs. 57.8%, p=0.787). Conclusions LAR has no significant differences with other well-stablished scores in sepsis, such as qSOFA and SOFA, to predict 30-day mortality in patients with complicated UTI (AU)