Author Correction: ORF8 and ORF3b antibodies are accurate serological markers of early and late SARS-CoV-2 infection.

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

ORF8 and ORF3b antibodies are accurate serological markers of early and late SARS-CoV-2 infection.

The SARS-CoV-2 virus emerged in December 2019 and has caused a worldwide pandemic due to the lack of any pre-existing immunity. Accurate serology testing is urgently needed to help diagnose infection, determine past exposure of populations and assess the response to a future vaccine. The landscape of antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 is unknown. In this study, we utilized the luciferase immunoprecipitation system to assess the antibody responses to 15 different SARS-CoV-2 antigens in patients with COVID-19. We identified new targets of the immune response to SARS-CoV-2 and show that nucleocapsid, open reading frame (ORF)8 and ORF3b elicit the strongest specific antibody responses. ORF8 and ORF3b antibodies, taken together as a cluster of points, identified 96.5% of COVID-19 samples at early and late time points of disease with 99.5% specificity. Our findings could be used to develop second-generation diagnostic tests to improve serological assays for COVID-19 and are important in understanding pathogenicity.

The episodic resurgence of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 virus.

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 activity has intensified globally since 2021, increasingly causing mass mortality in wild birds and poultry and incidental infections in mammals1-3. However, the ecological and virological properties that underscore future mitigation strategies still remain unclear. Using epidemiological, spatial and genomic approaches, we demonstrate changes in the origins of resurgent HPAI H5 and reveal significant shifts in virus ecology and evolution. Outbreak data show key resurgent events in 2016-2017 and 2020-2021, contributing to the emergence and panzootic spread of H5N1 in 2021-2022. Genomic analysis reveals that the 2016-2017 epizootics originated in Asia, where HPAI H5 reservoirs are endemic. In 2020-2021, 2.3.4.4b H5N8 viruses emerged in African poultry, featuring mutations altering HA structure and receptor binding. In 2021-2022, a new H5N1 virus evolved through reassortment in wild birds in Europe, undergoing further reassortment with low-pathogenic avian influenza in wild and domestic birds during global dissemination. These results highlight a shift in the HPAI H5 epicentre beyond Asia and indicate that increasing persistence of HPAI H5 in wild birds is facilitating geographic and host range expansion, accelerating dispersion velocity and increasing reassortment potential. As earlier outbreaks of H5N1 and H5N8 were caused by more stable genomic constellations, these recent changes reflect adaptation across the domestic-bird-wild-bird interface. Elimination strategies in domestic birds therefore remain a high priority to limit future epizootics.

SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant replication in human bronchus and lung ex vivo.

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern with progressively increased transmissibility between humans is a threat to global public health. The Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 also evades immunity from natural infection or vaccines1, but it is unclear whether its exceptional transmissibility is due to immune evasion or intrinsic virological properties. Here we compared the replication competence and cellular tropism of the wild-type virus and the D614G, Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529) variants in ex vivo explant cultures of human bronchi and lungs. We also evaluated the dependence on TMPRSS2 and cathepsins for infection. We show that Omicron replicates faster than all other SARS-CoV-2 variants studied in the bronchi but less efficiently in the lung parenchyma. All variants of concern have similar cellular tropism compared to the wild type. Omicron is more dependent on cathepsins than the other variants of concern tested, suggesting that the Omicron variant enters cells through a different route compared with the other variants. The lower replication competence of Omicron in the human lungs may explain the reduced severity of Omicron that is now being reported in epidemiological studies, although determinants of severity are multifactorial. These findings provide important biological correlates to previous epidemiological observations.

Improving the sensitivity of in vivo CRISPR off-target detection with DISCOVER-Seq.

Discovery of off-target CRISPR-Cas activity in patient-derived cells and animal models is crucial for genome editing applications, but currently exhibits low sensitivity. We demonstrate that inhibition of DNA-dependent protein kinase catalytic subunit accumulates the repair protein MRE11 at CRISPR-Cas-targeted sites, enabling high-sensitivity mapping of off-target sites to positions of MRE11 binding using chromatin immunoprecipitation followed by sequencing. This technique, termed DISCOVER-Seq+, discovered up to fivefold more CRISPR off-target sites in immortalized cell lines, primary human cells and mice compared with previous methods. We demonstrate applicability to ex vivo knock-in of a cancer-directed transgenic T cell receptor in primary human T cells and in vivo adenovirus knock-out of cardiovascular risk gene PCSK9 in mice. Thus, DISCOVER-Seq+ is, to our knowledge, the most sensitive method to-date for discovering off-target genome editing in vivo.

Pathogenesis and transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in golden hamsters.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), a novel coronavirus with high nucleotide identity to SARS-CoV and to SARS-related coronaviruses that have been detected in horseshoe bats, has spread across the world and had a global effect on healthcare systems and economies1,2. A suitable small animal model is needed to support the development of vaccines and therapies. Here we report the pathogenesis and transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 in golden (Syrian) hamsters (Mesocricetus auratus). Immunohistochemistry assay demonstrated the presence of viral antigens in nasal mucosa, bronchial epithelial cells and areas of lung consolidation on days 2 and 5 after inoculation with SARS-CoV-2, followed by rapid viral clearance and pneumocyte hyperplasia at 7 days after inoculation. We also found viral antigens in epithelial cells of the duodenum, and detected viral RNA in faeces. Notably, SARS-CoV-2 was transmitted efficiently from inoculated hamsters to naive hamsters by direct contact and via aerosols. Transmission via fomites in soiled cages was not as efficient. Although viral RNA was continuously detected in the nasal washes of inoculated hamsters for 14 days, the communicable period was short and correlated with the detection of infectious virus but not viral RNA. Inoculated and naturally infected hamsters showed apparent weight loss on days 6-7 post-inoculation or post-contact; all hamsters returned to their original weight within 14 days and developed neutralizing antibodies. Our results suggest that features associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection in golden hamsters resemble those found in humans with mild SARS-CoV-2 infections.

Infection of dogs with SARS-CoV-2.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was first detected in Wuhan in December 2019 and caused coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)1,2. In 2003, the closely related SARS-CoV had been detected in domestic cats and a dog3. However, little is known about the susceptibility of domestic pet mammals to SARS-CoV-2. Here, using PCR with reverse transcription, serology, sequencing the viral genome and virus isolation, we show that 2 out of 15 dogs from households with confirmed human cases of COVID-19 in Hong Kong were found to be infected with SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in five nasal swabs collected over a 13-day period from a 17-year-old neutered male Pomeranian. A 2.5-year-old male German shepherd was positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA on two occasions and virus was isolated from nasal and oral swabs. Antibody responses were detected in both dogs using plaque-reduction-neutralization assays. Viral genetic sequences of viruses from the two dogs were identical to the virus detected in the respective human cases. The dogs remained asymptomatic during quarantine. The evidence suggests that these are instances of human-to-animal transmission of SARS-CoV-2. It is unclear whether infected dogs can transmit the virus to other animals or back to humans.

Elucidating dynamic anaerobe metabolism with HRMAS 13C NMR and genome-scale modeling.

Anaerobic microbial metabolism drives critical functions within global ecosystems, host-microbiota interactions, and industrial applications, yet remains ill-defined. Here we advance a versatile approach to elaborate cellular metabolism in obligate anaerobes using the pathogen Clostridioides difficile, an amino acid and carbohydrate-fermenting Clostridia. High-resolution magic angle spinning nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy of C. difficile, grown with fermentable 13C substrates, informed dynamic flux balance analysis (dFBA) of the pathogen's genome-scale metabolism. Analyses identified dynamic recruitment of oxidative and supporting reductive pathways, with integration of high-flux amino acid and glycolytic metabolism at alanine's biosynthesis to support efficient energy generation, nitrogen handling and biomass generation. Model predictions informed an approach leveraging the sensitivity of 13C NMR spectroscopy to simultaneously track cellular carbon and nitrogen flow from [U-13C]glucose and [15N]leucine, confirming the formation of [13C,15N]alanine. Findings identify metabolic strategies used by C. difficile to support its rapid colonization and expansion in gut ecosystems.

Avian Influenza A(H5N1) Neuraminidase Inhibition Antibodies in Healthy Adults after Exposure to Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09.

We detected high titers of cross-reactive neuraminidase inhibition antibodies to influenza A(H5N1) virus clade 2.3.4.4b in 96.8% (61/63) of serum samples from healthy adults in Hong Kong in 2020. In contrast, antibodies at low titers were detected in 42% (21/50) of serum samples collected in 2009. Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H5N1) titers were correlated.

Efficacy and Safety of Radiation Segmentectomy with 90Y Resin Microspheres for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Background Limited data are available on radiation segmentectomy (RS) for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using yttrium 90 (90Y) resin microsphere doses determined by using a single-compartment medical internal radiation dosimetry (MIRD) model. Purpose To evaluate the efficacy and safety of RS treatment of HCC with 90Y resin microspheres using a single-compartment MIRD model and correlate posttreatment dose with outcomes. Materials and Methods This retrospective single-center study included adult patients with HCC who underwent RS with 90Y resin microspheres between July 2014 and December 2022. Posttreatment PET/CT and dosimetry were performed. Adverse events were assessed using the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 5.0. Per-lesion and overall response rates (ie, complete response [CR], objective response, disease control, and duration of response) were assessed at imaging using the Modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, and overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results Among 67 patients (median age, 69 years [IQR, 63-78 years]; 54 male patients) with HCC, median tumor absorbed dose was 232 Gy (IQR, 163-405 Gy). At 3 months, per-lesion and overall (per-patient) CR was achieved in 47 (70%) and 41 (61%) of 67 patients, respectively. At 6 months (n = 46), per-lesion rates of objective response and disease control were both 94%, and per-patient rates were both 78%. A total of 88% (95% CI: 79 99) and 72% (95% CI: 58, 90) of patients had a per-lesion and overall duration of response of 1 year or greater. At 1 month, a grade 3 clinical adverse event (abdominal pain) occurred in one of 67 (1.5%) patients. Median posttreatment OS was 26 months (95% CI: 20, not reached). Disease progression at 2 years was lower in the group that received 300 Gy or more than in the group that received less than 300 Gy (17% vs 61%; P = .047), with no local progression in the former group through the end of follow-up. Conclusion Among patients with HCC who underwent RS with 90Y resin microspheres, 88% and 72% achieved a per-lesion and overall duration of response of 1 year or greater, respectively, with one grade 3 adverse event. In patients whose tumors received 300 Gy or more according to posttreatment dosimetry, a disease progression benefit was noted. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.

Amino acid substitution L232F in non-structural protein 6 identified as a possible human-adaptive mutation in clade B MERS coronaviruses.

IMPORTANCE: Viral host adaptation plays an important role in inter-species transmission of coronaviruses and influenza viruses. Multiple human-adaptive mutations have been identified in influenza viruses but not so far in MERS-CoV that circulates widely in dromedary camels in the Arabian Peninsula leading to zoonotic transmission. Here, we analyzed clade B MERS-CoV sequences and identified an amino acid substitution L232F in nsp6 that repeatedly occurs in human MERS-CoV. Using a loss-of-function reverse genetics approach, we found the nsp6 L232F conferred increased viral replication competence in vitro, in cultures of the upper human respiratory tract ex vivo, and in lungs of mice infected in vivo. Our results showed that nsp6 L232F may be an adaptive mutation associated with zoonotic transmission of MERS-CoV. This study highlighted the capacity of MERS-CoV to adapt to transmission to humans and also the need for continued surveillance of MERS-CoV in camels.

Perspective: use and reuse of NMR-based metabolomics data: what works and what remains challenging.

BACKGROUND: The National Cancer Institute issued a Request for Information (RFI; NOT-CA-23-007) in October 2022, soliciting input on using and reusing metabolomics data. This RFI aimed to gather input on best practices for metabolomics data storage, management, and use/reuse. AIM OF REVIEW: The nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) Interest Group within the Metabolomics Association of North America (MANA) prepared a set of recommendations regarding the deposition, archiving, use, and reuse of NMR-based and, to a lesser extent, mass spectrometry (MS)-based metabolomics datasets. These recommendations were built on the collective experiences of metabolomics researchers within MANA who are generating, handling, and analyzing diverse metabolomics datasets spanning experimental (sample handling and preparation, NMR/MS metabolomics data acquisition, processing, and spectral analyses) to computational (automation of spectral processing, univariate and multivariate statistical analysis, metabolite prediction and identification, multi-omics data integration, etc.) studies. KEY SCIENTIFIC CONCEPTS OF REVIEW: We provide a synopsis of our collective view regarding the use and reuse of metabolomics data and articulate several recommendations regarding best practices, which are aimed at encouraging researchers to strengthen efforts toward maximizing the utility of metabolomics data, multi-omics data integration, and enhancing the overall scientific impact of metabolomics studies.

Transmission of Alzheimer's disease-associated microbiota dysbiosis and its impact on cognitive function: evidence from mice and patients.

Spouses of Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients are at a higher risk of developing incidental dementia. However, the causes and underlying mechanism of this clinical observation remain largely unknown. One possible explanation is linked to microbiota dysbiosis, a condition that has been associated with AD. However, it remains unclear whether gut microbiota dysbiosis can be transmitted from AD individuals to non-AD individuals and contribute to the development of AD pathogenesis and cognitive impairment. We, therefore, set out to perform both animal studies and clinical investigation by co-housing wild-type mice and AD transgenic mice, analyzing microbiota via 16S rRNA gene sequencing, measuring short-chain fatty acid amounts, and employing behavioral test, mass spectrometry, site-mutations and other methods. The present study revealed that co-housing between wild-type mice and AD transgenic mice or administrating feces of AD transgenic mice to wild-type mice resulted in AD-associated gut microbiota dysbiosis, Tau phosphorylation, and cognitive impairment in the wild-type mice. Gavage with Lactobacillus and Bifidobacterium restored these changes in the wild-type mice. The oral and gut microbiota of AD patient partners resembled that of AD patients but differed from healthy controls, indicating the transmission of microbiota. The underlying mechanism of these findings includes that the butyric acid-mediated acetylation of GSK3ß at lysine 15 regulated its phosphorylation at serine 9, consequently impacting Tau phosphorylation. Pending confirmative studies, these results provide insight into a potential link between the transmission of AD-associated microbiota dysbiosis and development of cognitive impairment, which underscore the need for further research in this area.

Genetic diversity of astroviruses detected in wild aquatic birds in Hong Kong.

Wild waterfowl serve as a reservoir of some astroviruses. Fecal samples from wild waterfowl collected at Hong Kong's Marshes were tested using pan-astrovirus reverse transcription-PCR. Positive samples underwent subsequent host identification using DNA barcoding. Based on deduced partial sequences, noteworthy samples from three astrovirus groups (mammalian, avian and unclassified astroviruses) were further analyzed by next-generation sequencing. One sample of Avastrovirus 4 clade, MP22-196, had a nearly complete genome identified. The results of ORF2 phylogenetic analysis and genetic distance analysis indicate that Avastrovirus 4 is classified as a distinct subclade within Avastrovirus. MP22-196 has typical astrovirus genome characteristics. The unique characteristics and potential differences of this genome, compared to other avian astrovirus sequences, involve the identification of a modified sgRNA sequence situated near the ORF2 start codon, which precedes the ORF1b stop codon. Additionally, the 3' UTR of MP22-196 is shorter than other avian astroviruses. This study expands our understanding of the Avastrovirus 4 clade.

Cross-neutralizing antibody against emerging Omicron subvariants of SARS-CoV-2 in infection-naïve individuals with homologous BNT162b2 or BNT162b2(WT + BA.4/5) bivalent booster vaccination.

Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, different variants and subvariants successively emerged to dominate global virus circulation as a result of immune evasion, replication fitness or both. COVID-19 vaccines continue to be updated in response to the emergence of antigenically divergent viruses, the first being the bivalent RNA vaccines that encodes for both the Wuhan-like and Omicron BA.5 subvariant spike proteins. Repeated infections and vaccine breakthrough infections have led to complex immune landscapes in populations making it increasingly difficult to assess the intrinsic neutralizing antibody responses elicited by the vaccines. Hong Kong's intensive COVID-19 containment policy through 2020-2021 permitted us to identify sera from a small number of infection-naïve individuals who received 3 doses of the RNA BNT162b2 vaccine encoding the Wuhan-like spike (WT) and were boosted with a fourth dose of the WT vaccine or the bivalent WT and BA.4/5 spike (WT + BA.4/5). While neutralizing antibody to wild-type virus was comparable in both vaccine groups, BNT162b2 (WT + BA.4/BA.5) bivalent vaccine elicited significantly higher plaque neutralizing antibodies to Omicron subvariants BA.5, XBB.1.5, XBB.1.16, XBB.1.9.1, XBB.2.3.2, EG.5.1, HK.3, BA.2.86 and JN.1, compared to BNT162b2 monovalent vaccine. The single amino acid substitution that differentiates the spike of JN.1 from BA.2.86 resulted in a profound antigenic change.

Percutaneous CT-Guided Cryoablation for Locally Recurrent Prostate Cancer: Technical Feasibility, Safety, and Effectiveness.

PURPOSE: To assess the feasibility and safety of using computed tomography (CT) guidance for ablation of prostate cancer in the salvage setting. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This institutional review board-approved retrospective study of consecutive patients who presented with prostate cancer recurrence and underwent percutaneous CT-guided cryoablation was conducted between July 2020 and September 2022. A total of 18 patients met the inclusion criteria, and a total of 19 procedures were performed. Demographic details; preablation and postablation urinary, rectal, and erectile function assessment; procedure details; and preoperative and postoperative imaging findings and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values were recorded. RESULTS: The mean treated tumor size was 15.7 mm ± 6.2. Technical success was achieved in 18 of the 19 procedures (94.7%), with 1 procedure aborted due to inability to obtain a safe plane. The mean follow-up time was 10.0 months (range, 2.3-26.7 months) at the time of manuscript preparation. The mean PSA before ablation was 8.1 ng/mL ± 9.3, and postablation PSA nadir was 2.6 ng/mL ± 4.0 (P = .002). Of the 18 patients who had postoperative imaging, 16 (88.9%) had a complete response (ie, no evidence of residual disease), and 2 (11.1%) patients had residual disease. Overall, 16 (88.9%) of the 18 treated patients demonstrated a PSA and/or imaging response to ablation. Mild adverse events occurred in 4 (22%) of the 18 cases. CONCLUSIONS: CT-guided cryoablation appears to be a technically feasible, safe option for treating locally recurrent prostate cancer.

Diagnostic performance of chest CT average intensity projection (AIP) reconstruction for the assessment of pleuro-parenchymal abnormalities.

AIM: The comparison between chest x-ray (CXR) and computed tomography (CT) images is commonly required in clinical practice to assess the evolution of chest pathological manifestations. Intrinsic differences between the two techniques, however, limit reader confidence in such a comparison. CT average intensity projection (AIP) reconstruction allows obtaining "synthetic" CXR (s-CXR) images, which are thought to have the potential to increase the accuracy of comparison between CXR and CT imaging. We aim at assessing the diagnostic performance of s-CXR imaging in detecting common pleuro-parenchymal abnormalities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 142 patients who underwent chest CT examination and CXR within 24 hours were enrolled. CT was the standard of reference. Both conventional CXR (c-CXR) and s-CXR images were retrospectively reviewed for the presence of consolidation, nodule/mass, linear opacities, reticular opacities, and pleural effusion by 3 readers in two separate sessions. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and their 95% confidence interval were calculated for each reader and setting and tested by McNemar test. Inter-observer agreement was tested by Cohen's K test and its 95%CI. RESULTS: Overall, s-CXR sensitivity ranged 45-67% for consolidation, 12-28% for nodule/mass, 17-33% for linear opacities, 2-61% for reticular opacities, and 33-58% for pleural effusion; specificity 65-83%, 83-94%, 94-98%, 93-100% and 79-86%; accuracy 66-68%, 74-79%, 89-91%, 61-65% and 68-72%, respectively. K values ranged 0.38-0.50, 0.05-0.25, -0.05-0.11, -0.01-0.15, and 0.40-0.66 for consolidation, nodule/mass, linear opacities, reticular opacities, and pleural effusion, respectively. CONCLUSION: S-CXR images, reconstructed with AIP technique, can be compared with conventional images in clinical practice and for educational purposes.

Povidone-iodine in vitro antiseptic efficacy as a function of exposure duration, concentration, preparation, and length of storage.

PURPOSE: Although 5% povidone-iodine (PVP-I) is frequently used as an ocular antiseptic agent, there is a lack of consensus regarding the effects of PVP-I concentration, storage after opening, and compounded preparation on PVP-I antisepsis. We performed a series of in-vitro experiments to determine the impact of these factors on PVP-I's inhibition of common causes of post-procedural eye infection. METHODS: Inhibition of microorganism growth was measured in-vitro as a function of active PVP-I exposure time. In control experiments, PVP-I was inactivated before microorganism exposure. Tested PVP-I solutions varied in concentration (0.6%, 5%, or 10%), length of storage after opening (0, 7, or 30 days), and preparation (commercial vs.compounded from stock PI solution). Tested pathogens included S. epidermidis, S. viridans, P. aeruginosa, methicillin-resistant S. aureus, methicillin-sensitive S. aureus, and C. albicans. RESULTS: PVP-I solutions inhibited all bacterial growth by 3 min and fungal growth by 15 s. Compared to 5% PVP-I, the 0.6% PVP-I was less effective in inhibiting S. viridans growth (200 ± 0 colonies vs. 7 ± 8 at 30 s, P = 0.0004; 183 ± 21 vs. 0 ± 0 at 1 min, P = 0.018), but more effective in inhibiting P. aeruginosa (30 ± 20 vs. 200 ± 0 at 15 s, P = 0.019). Compared to commercial and newly-opened PVP-I solutions, compounded preparations and solutions stored for 7 or 30 days after bottle opening either preserved or improved antiseptic efficacy against tested microorganisms. CONCLUSIONS: Concentration of PVP-I solution affects antiseptic efficacy within 1 min of exposure, but all solutions performed equivalently at 3 min. In contrast to results of prior studies investigating dilute PVP-I, the 0.6% PVP-I did not demonstrate a uniformly equivalent or superior anti-septic effect. Compounded preparation and storage length after bottle opening did not decrease PVP-I antiseptic activity.

Ethics of college vaccine mandates, using reasonable comparisons.

In the paper 'COVID-19 vaccine boosters for young adults: a risk-benefit assessment and ethical analysis of mandate policies at universities,' Bardosh et al argued that college mandates of the COVID-19 booster vaccine are unethical. The authors came to this conclusion by performing three different sets of comparisons of benefits versus risks using referenced data and argued that the harm outweighs the risk in all three cases. In this response article, we argue that the authors frame their arguments by comparing values that are not scientifically or reasonably comparable and that the authors used values that represent grossly different risk profiles and grouped them into a set of figures to create an illusion of fair comparisons. We argue that absent the falsely skewed portrayals of a higher level of risk over benefit in their misrepresented figures, the five ethical arguments they presented completely fall apart.

Screening human lung cancer with predictive models of serum magnetic resonance spectroscopy metabolomics.

The current high mortality of human lung cancer stems largely from the lack of feasible, early disease detection tools. An effective test with serum metabolomics predictive models able to suggest patients harboring disease could expedite triage patient to specialized imaging assessment. Here, using a training-validation-testing-cohort design, we establish our high-resolution magic angle spinning (HRMAS) magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS)-based metabolomics predictive models to indicate lung cancer presence and patient survival using serum samples collected prior to their disease diagnoses. Studied serum samples were collected from 79 patients before (within 5.0 y) and at lung cancer diagnosis. Disease predictive models were established by comparing serum metabolomic patterns between our training cohorts: patients with lung cancer at time of diagnosis, and matched healthy controls. These predictive models were then applied to evaluate serum samples of our validation and testing cohorts, all collected from patients before their lung cancer diagnosis. Our study found that the predictive model yielded values for prior-to-detection serum samples to be intermediate between values for patients at time of diagnosis and for healthy controls; these intermediate values significantly differed from both groups, with an F1 score = 0.628 for cancer prediction. Furthermore, values from metabolomics predictive model measured from prior-to-diagnosis sera could significantly predict 5-y survival for patients with localized disease.