Survival analysis of patients with brain metastases at initial breast cancer diagnosis over the last decade.

PURPOSE: There have been significant advances in the treatment of metastatic breast cancer (BC) over the past years, and long-term outcomes after a diagnosis of brain metastases are lacking. We aimed to identify predictors of brain metastases at initial breast cancer diagnosis, describe overall survival (OS) in the past decade, and identify factors associated with OS after brain metastases diagnosis. METHODS: We evaluated patients with de novo stage IV BC using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database from 2010 to 2019. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to assess predictors of brain metastases at initial breast cancer diagnosis. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log rank test was used to compare differences between groups. Cox regression was used to assess associations between several variables and OS. RESULTS: 1,939 patients with brain metastases at initial breast cancer diagnosis were included. Factors associated with this presentation were grade III/IV tumors, ductal histology, hormone receptor (HR)-negative/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive subtype, and extracranial metastases. Patients with HR-positive/HER2-positive disease had the longest OS (median 18 months) and 12.2% were alive at 8 years. Factors associated with shorter OS included older age, lower income, triple-negative subtype, higher grade, and visceral metastases. CONCLUSION: Over the last decade, the median OS of patients with brain metastases at initial breast cancer diagnosis remained poor; however, a substantial minority survive 5 or more years, with rates higher in patients with HER2-positive tumors. In addition to tumor subtype, OS varied according to age, extracranial metastases, and sociodemographic factors.

Efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in male breast cancer compared with female breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is standard for many females with breast cancer (FBC). The efficacy of NAC in male breast cancer (MaBC) is unclear. The aim of this study was to compare proportions of pathologic complete response (pCR) between MaBC and FBC by tumor subtype (TS). METHODS: MaBC and FBC treated with NAC between 2010 and 2016, with known TS, were evaluated from the National Cancer Database. Proportions of pCR (ypT0/Tis ypN0) were compared between sexes within TS by Fisher test. Multivariable logistic regression assessed the independent association of sex with pCR. Overall survival (OS) was estimated by Kaplan-Meier. RESULTS: A total of 385 MaBC and 68,065 FBC were included. Median time from initiation of NAC to surgery was 143 days in MaBC and 148 days in FBC. Proportions of pCR in MaBC and FBC by TS were: hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-): 4.9% vs 9.7%, p = .01; HR+/HER2+: 16.1% vs 33.6%, p < .001; HR-/HER2+: 44.0% vs 53.2%, p = .42; and HR-/HER2-: 21.4% vs 32.1%, p = .18, respectively. FBC had twice the odds of pCR than MaBC (adjusted odds ratio, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.5-2.8; p < .001). Five-year OS for MaBC with pCR vs not was 90% vs 64.7%; p = .02. Five-year OS for FBC with pCR vs not was 91.9% vs 75.3%; p < .01. CONCLUSIONS: Proportions and odds of pCR to NAC were numerically lower in MaBC compared with FBC for each TS and statistically significant for HR+/HER2- and HR+/HER2+. The independent association of sex with pCR was confirmed in multivariable analysis. pCR is prognostic in both MaBC and FBC.

The prognostic significance of metastatic pattern in stage IV male breast cancer at initial diagnosis: a population-based study.

PURPOSE: Metastatic pattern (MP) is a prognostic factor in women with breast cancer. However, the prognostic significance of MP in male breast cancer patients remains unknown. METHODS: Using the SEER database, we gathered demographic information and disease characteristics for men diagnosed with de novo metastatic breast cancer from 2010 to 2017. Metastases to bone, brain, liver, and lung were used to define MP (bone-only, visceral, bone and visceral [BV], or other). Statistical analyses were performed to identify associations between overall survival (OS) and MP, as well as other patient and tumor features. We used multivariate logistic regression to evaluate factors associated with sites of metastases. RESULTS: We included 250 patients. MP distribution was bone = 38.8%, visceral = 14.8%, BV = 33.2%, and other = 13.2%. Median OS for each was bone = 33 months, visceral = 23 months, BV = 20 months, and other = 46 months (p = 0.046). Patients with brain metastases had significantly shorter OS compared with no brain metastases (median OS = 9 months vs. 30 months; p < 0.001). Compared with other subtypes, triple negative had the shortest OS (median 9 months, p < 0.001). Logistic regression modeling revealed that compared with HR+/HER2- breast cancers, HR-/HER2+ had higher odds of liver metastases and triple negative had higher odds of brain metastases. Patients younger than 50 years had a significantly greater risk of developing brain metastases. CONCLUSIONS: MP and tumor subtype can predict OS outcomes in men with metastatic breast cancer at diagnosis. Brain metastases confer very poor prognosis.

Tumor subtypes and survival in male breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Male breast cancer is an uncommon disease, and population-based information regarding prognostic factors is limited. Most cases are hormone receptor (HR) positive; however, the association of tumor subtype with overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) is unclear. METHODS: Using SEER data, we identified men with invasive breast cancer between 2010 and 2017 with known HR and HER2 status. We examined tumor subtypes by patient characteristics and performed multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses to determine the associations of each variable with OS and BCSS. RESULTS: We included 2389 men with a median follow-up of 43 months (IQR 19-68). Median age was 66 years. Tumor subtype distribution was 84.1% HR+/HER2-, 12.7% HR+/HER2+ , 0.8% HR-/HER2+, and 2.3% triple-negative (TN). In univariate analysis, OS at 5 years was 76.5% for HR+/HER2-, 65.1% for HR+/HER2+ , 84.2% for HR-/HER2+, and 48.1% for TN (p < 0.0001). Of all subtypes, TN had the worst BCSS (p < 0.0001). Stage, tumor subtype and race were significantly associated with OS and BCSS in multivariate analysis. Adjusted Cox hazard ratios for OS by tumor subtype with HR+/HER2- as reference were 1.55 for HR+/HER2+ (p = 0.001), 1.1 for HR-/HER2+ (p = 0.888), and 3.59 for TN (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We observed significant differences in survival outcomes by tumor subtype. Poor outcomes among men with HER2+ and TN disease suggest possible under-treatment, aggressive tumor biology, and/or more advanced disease at presentation. Studies to better understand the inferior survival for men with these subtypes are warranted and will likely require international collaboration.

Twenty-year risks of breast cancer-specific mortality for stage III breast cancer in the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results registry.

PURPOSE: We aimed to report the 20-year risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM), report the risk of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years, and identify factors associated with late deaths in stage III breast cancer. METHODS: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, we included women with stage III breast cancer diagnosed from 1990 to 2005. We excluded women with unknown hormone receptor (HR) status, women who did not undergo resection of the primary tumor or axillary nodes, or unknown cause of death. We estimated risks of BCSM using cumulative incidence function and used Fine and Gray regression to identify factors associated with late deaths. RESULTS: Final sample was 36,500 patients with 14 years of median follow-up. For each stage subgroup, the risk of BCSM at 20 years was significantly higher for HR-negative vs HR-positive tumors (IIIA: 49.8% vs 43.2%, P < 0.0001; IIIB: 60.9% vs 47.6%, P < 0.0001; IIIC: 68.7% vs 63.1%, P < 0.0001). Compared with the risks of non-BCSM, the risks of BCSM at 20 years were four times higher in stage IIIC HR-positive disease and seven times higher in stage IIIC HR-negative disease. Risks of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years depended on tumor size, nodal status, race, and tumor grade for HR-positive disease and depended on tumor size, nodal status, and age for HR-negative disease. CONCLUSIONS: In stage III breast cancer, the risk of BCSM at 20 years is very high and remains important even beyond the first 5 years in both HR-positive and HR-negative disease. Late BCSM depends on traditional clinicopathologic factors.

Factors associated with late risks of breast cancer-specific mortality in the SEER registry.

PURPOSE: Most reports describing the risk of late relapse in breast cancer (BC) have been based on selected patients enrolled into clinical trials. We examined population-based long-term risks of BC-specific mortality (BCSM), the risks of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years, and factors associated with late BCSM. METHODS: Using SEER, we identified women diagnosed with BC (T1-T2, N0-N2, M0) between 1990 and 2005 with known hormone receptor (HR) status. Kaplan-Meier analyses determined cumulative risks of BCSM. We performed Fine and Gray regression stratified by HR status. RESULTS: We included 202,080 patients (median follow-up of 14.17 years). Of all BC deaths, the proportion that occurred after 5 years was 65% for HR-positive vs 28% for HR-negative (p < 0.001) BC. In HR-positive BC, the cumulative risks of BCSM during years 5-20 were 9.9%, 21.9%, and 38% for N0, N1, and N2 disease. For HR-negative BC, the risks were 7.9%, 12.2%, and 19.9%, respectively. For T1a/b, N0, HR-positive BC, the risk of BCSM was 6 times lower than the risk of non-BCSM. In N2, HR-positive BC, the risk of BCSM was 43% higher than the risk of non-BCSM. In adjusted Fine and Gray models stratified by HR status, the risks of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years for both HR-positive and HR-negative depended on T-N status, age, and year of diagnosis. In HR-positive, the risks also depended on race and grade. CONCLUSION: The risks of BCSM beyond 5 years, although different, remain important for both HR-positive and HR-negative BC. Strategies to prevent early and late recurrences are warranted.

Prognostic impact of metastatic pattern in stage IV breast cancer at initial diagnosis.

PURPOSE: To analyze the prognostic influence of metastatic pattern (MP) compared with other biologic and clinical factors in stage IV breast cancer at initial diagnosis (BCID) and evaluate factors associated with specific sites of metastases (SSM). METHODS: We evaluated women with stage IV BCID with known metastatic sites, reported to the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results program from 2010 to 2013. MP was categorized as bone-only, visceral, bone and visceral (BV), and other. Univariate and multivariate analyses determined the effects of each variable on overall survival (OS). Logistic regression examined factors associated with SSM. RESULTS: We included 9143 patients. Bone represented 37.5% of patients, visceral 21.9%, BV 28.8%, and other 11.9%. Median OS by MP was as follows: bone 38 months, visceral 21 months, BV 19 months, and other 33 months (P < 0.0001). Univariate analysis showed that higher number of metastatic sites had worse prognosis. In multivariate analysis, older age (hazard ratio 1.9), black race (hazard ratio 1.17), grade 3/4 tumors (hazard ratio 1.6), triple-negative (hazard ratio 2.24), BV MP (hazard ratio 2.07), and unmarried patients (hazard ratio 1.25) had significantly shorter OS. As compared with HR+/HER2- tumors, triple-negative and HR-/HER2+ had higher odds of brain, liver, lung, and other metastases. HR+/HER2+ had higher odds of liver metastases. All three subtypes had lower odds of bone metastases. CONCLUSIONS: There were substantial differences in OS according to MP. Tumor subtypes have a clear influence among other factors on SSM. We identified several prognostic factors that could guide therapy selection in treatment naïve patients.

Prognostic factors in male breast cancer: a population-based study.

Prognostic factors in male breast cancer (MaBC) are controversial. The objective of this study was to analyze patient characteristics and prognostic factors in MaBC over the last decade. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, we extracted MaBC patients diagnosed between 2003 and 2012. Patient characteristics were compared between tumor grades. We conducted univariate and multivariate analyses to determine the effects of each prognostic variable on overall survival (OS). The study included 2992 patients. The majority had ductal (85 %), ER-positive (95.1 %), and PR-positive (86 %) breast cancer; however, only 12.4 % had grade I tumors. Stage I and II disease represented 73 % of cases. There was a significant association between grade III/IV tumors with ductal histology, ER and PR negativity, advanced stage, receipt of mastectomy and radiotherapy, and breast cancer death (all P < 0.05). ER-positive patients had better OS (hazard ratio 0.69, P = 0.03); however, after 7.5 years, OS rates by ER status were similar. In multivariate analysis, older age, grade III/IV tumors, stage IV disease, no surgery, no radiotherapy, ER-negative tumors, and unmarried patients had significantly shorter OS (all P < 0.05). Over the past decade, MaBC has been diagnosed most frequently with early stages of disease and high rates of ER positivity; however, grade I is uncommon. ER positivity is associated with better prognosis, mainly during the first 5 years after diagnosis. Age at diagnosis, tumor grade, stage, surgery, radiotherapy, ER, and marital status have clear impact on OS in MaBC.

Prognostic significance of tumor subtypes in male breast cancer: a population-based study.

Substantial controversy exists about the prognostic role of tumor subtypes in male breast cancer (MaBC). The aim of this study was to analyze the characteristics of each tumor subtype in MaBC and its association with prognosis compared with other factors. We evaluated MaBC patients between 2010 and 2012 with known estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor [together hormone receptor (HR)] status, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status reported to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Patients were classified as: HR-positive/HER2-negative, HR-positive/HER2-positive, HR-negative/HER2-positive, and triple-negative (TN). Univariate and multivariate analyses determined the effect of each variable on overall survival (OS). We included 960 patients. Patient distribution was 84.9 % HR-positive/HER2-negative, 11.6 % HR-positive/HER2-positive, 0.6 % HR-negative/HER2-positive, and 2.9 % TN. TN patients were younger, had higher grade, presented with more advanced stage, were more likely to have mastectomy, and to die of breast cancer (all P < 0.05). Univariate analysis showed that HER2 positivity was associated with shorter OS (hazard ratio 1.90, P = 0.031) and TN patients had worse prognosis (hazard ratio 5.10, P = 0.0004). In multivariate analysis, older patients (hazard ratio 3.10, P = 0.032), those with stage IV (hazard ratio 16.27, P < 0.001) and those with TN tumors (hazard ratio 4.61, P = 0.002) had significantly worse OS. We observed significant differences in patient characteristics according to tumor subtype. HER2-positive and TN represented a small proportion of cases. In addition to age and stage, tumor subtype has clear influence on OS in MaBC.

Sixteen years follow-up results of a randomized phase II trial of neoadjuvant fluorouracil, doxorubicin, and cyclophosphamide (FAC) compared with cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and 5-fluorouracil (CMF) in stage III breast cancer: GOCS experience.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) allows direct evaluation of the tumor's sensitivity to therapy, eradication of micrometastatic disease and the possibility of performing breast conserving surgery. The aim of this study was to describe long-term results of NAC in stage III breast cancer patients. We evaluated 126 patients that participated in a phase II randomized trial of neoadjuvant FAC compared with CMF. Chemotherapy was administered for three cycles prior to definitive surgery and radiotherapy, and then for six cycles as adjuvant. Median follow-up was 4.5 years (range 0.2-16.4). Objective response rate (OR) was similar in both groups (61 % for FAC, 66 % for CMF, P = NS). There were no differences in median disease free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS) (5.1 vs 3.3 years and 6.7 vs 6.3 years for FAC and CMF, respectively). After 16 years of follow-up, 53 patients are still alive. Multivariate analysis showed that the number of pathologically involved lymph nodes (pLN) was the only factor associated with both, DFS and OS (P = 0.0003 and P = 0.0005, respectively). Both regimens were well tolerated, CMF had higher incidence of grade 3-4 leukopenia, thrombocytopenia, and stomatitis, whereas alopecia was more common in FAC. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to report long-term outcomes of FAC and CMF in the neoadjuvant setting. Within the sensitivity of our study, both regimens showed similar OR, long-term toxicity, DFS, and OS rate at 16 years. After 5 years, the hazard of death seems to decline. The prolonged follow-up of this study provides a unique opportunity to evaluate factors that predict long-term outcomes. After 16 years of follow-up, the number of pLN remains the most powerful predictor of survival.

Survival Analysis of Male Patients with Brain Metastases at Initial Breast Cancer Diagnosis over the Last Decade.

Breast cancer in men represents approximately 1% of all breast cancer diagnoses. Among all patients with breast cancer, approximately 30% will develop brain metastases. Over the past decade, there have been multiple advances in the treatment of metastatic breast cancer; however, long-term outcomes of this presentation in male patients are lacking. We evaluated male patients with de novo stage IV breast cancer using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2019. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences between groups were compared using log rank tests. In total, 22 male patients with brain metastases at initial breast cancer diagnosis were included. Patients with HR-positive/HER2-negative tumors had the longest OS (median 13 months). Factors associated with shorter overall survival were advanced age, unmarried marital status, lower household income, and grade III disease, among others. Brain metastases remains an unmet medical need for patients with breast cancer; the development of new drugs may provide an improvement in overall survival for male patients in the future.

Prognosis and treatment outcomes for patients with stage IA triple-negative breast cancer.

To evaluate the role of chemotherapy in stage IA triple-negative breast cancer, we conducted a retrospective population-based study including 8601 patients. The use of chemotherapy significantly increased from 2010 to 2019 in patients with T1b and T1c tumors (p = 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Receipt of chemotherapy was associated with improved breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS, adjusted hazard ratio = 0.70; p = 0.006), particularly in patients with T1c tumors (5-year BCSS 94.5% vs. 91.2%).

Mortality Risks Over 20 Years in Men With Stage I to III Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer.

Importance: In women with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer, the risk of distant recurrence and death persists for at least 20 years from diagnosis. The risk of late mortality in men with HR+ breast cancer has not been reported. Objective: To report 20-year risks of breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) and non-BCSM in men with stage I to III HR+ breast cancer and identify factors associated with late BCSM. Design, Setting, and Participants: An observational cohort study was conducted of men diagnosed with HR+ breast cancer from 1990 to 2008, using population-based data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Men diagnosed with stage I to III HR+ breast cancer were included in the analysis. Cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the outcomes of baseline clinicopathologic variables regarding cumulative risk of BCSM and non-BCSM since diagnosis. Smoothed hazard estimates over time were plotted for BCSM. Fine and Gray multivariable regression evaluated the association of preselected variables with BCSM, conditional on having survived 5 years. Main Outcome Measure: BCSM. Results: A total of 2836 men with stage I to III HR+ breast cancer were included, with a median follow-up of 15.41 (IQR, 12.08-18.67) years. Median age at diagnosis was 67 (IQR, 57-76) years. The cumulative 20-year risk of BCSM was 12.4% for stage I, 26.2% for stage II, and 46.0% for stage III. Smoothed annual hazard estimates for BCSM revealed an increase in late hazard rates with each incremental node category, reaching a bimodal distribution in N3 and stage III, with each having peaks in hazard rates at 4 and 11 years. Among patients who survived 5 years from diagnosis, the adjusted BCSM risk was higher for those younger than 50 years vs older than 64 years, those with grade II or III/IV vs grade I tumors, and stage II or III vs stage I disease. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that, in men with stage I to III HR+ breast cancer, the risk of BCSM persists for at least 20 years and depends on traditional clinicopathologic factors, such as age, tumor stage, and tumor grade. Among men with higher stages of disease, the kinetics of the BCSM risk appear different from the risk that has been reported in women.

Survival in male breast cancer over the past 3 decades.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer mortality in women has declined statistically significantly over the past several years. In men, it is unclear whether survival has changed over time. We evaluated changes in breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) in male breast cancer over the past 3 decades. METHODS: We evaluated men diagnosed with breast cancer between 1988 and 2017, reported in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry. Patients were categorized into 3 groups by year of diagnosis: 1988-1997, 1998-2007, and 2008-2017. BCSS and OS were estimated by Kaplan-Meier, and differences between groups were compared by log-rank test. Multivariable Cox regression evaluated the independent association of year of diagnosis with BCSS and OS. All tests were 2-sided. RESULTS: We included 8481 men. Overall, BCSS at 5 years was 83.69%, 83.78%, and 84.41% in groups 1988-1997, 1998-2007, and 2008-2017, respectively (P = .86). There was no statistically significant difference in BCSS between the 3 groups within each stage of disease. Among all patients, OS at 5 years was 64.61%, 67.31%, and 69.05% in groups 1988-1997, 1998-2007, and 2008-2017, respectively (P = .01). In adjusted Cox models, each additional year of diagnosis had no statistically significant association with BCSS (hazard ratio = 1.00, 95% confidence interval = 0.99 to 1.01, P = .75), but there was statistically significant improvement in OS (hazard ratio = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.98 to 0.99, P = .009). CONCLUSIONS: Over the past 3 decades, there has been no statistically significant improvement in BCSS in male breast cancer. Changes in OS over time are consistent with increasing life expectancy. Efforts to improve BCSS in male breast cancer are warranted.

Estimating mortality in women with triple-negative breast cancer: The 'ESTIMATE triple-negative' tool.

PURPOSE: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is associated with a high risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM). Estimating the risk of BCSM and non-BCSM in TNBC would aid clinical decision-making. We developed the tool 'ESTIMATE-TN', to assess BCSM, non-BCSM, and all-cause mortality in non-metastatic TNBC. METHODS: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER), we created an interactive tool that provides a nonparametric estimate of the cumulative risk of BCSM and non-BCSM between years 0 and 7 from diagnosis, accounting for baseline clinical and pathologic variables, using Gray's subdistribution method. RESULTS: We included 37,293 women with TNBC diagnosed during 2010-2017. Most patients were White (71.9%) and aged 50-69 years (51.3%). Most tumour characteristics were high-grade (78.6%), T2 (42.4%), and N0 (69.5%). ESTIMATE-TN allows to input patient and tumour characteristics, and the preferred timeframe. For example, patients aged 50-59 years with a new diagnosis of T2, N1, high-grade TNBC have a risk of BCSM at 7 years of 30.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 26.3-35.4%) and a risk of non-BCSM over the same period of 2.8% (95% CI: 1.3-4.3%). After 3 years from initial diagnosis, the residual cumulative risks of BCSM and non-BCSM at 7 years are 17.4% (95% CI: 12.6-22.2%) and 1.1% (95% CI: 0-2.5%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: ESTIMATE-TN is an interactive tool for TNBC that can be used to integrate population-based risks of BCSM and non-BCSM based on patient and tumour characteristics, facilitating our understanding of competing risks of death, which can aid clinical decision-making.

Estimating long-term mortality in women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer: The 'ESTIMATE' tool.

PURPOSE: The risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) persists for at least 20 years from diagnosis. Estimating the risk of BCSM over this extended period along with competing risks of death would aid clinical decision-making. We aimed to develop an interactive tool called 'ESTIMATE', to explore the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry to quantify residual risks of BCSM, non-BCSM and all-cause mortality in non-metastatic, hormone receptor (HR)-positive breast cancer patient subgroups at any given time after diagnosis, up to 20 years. METHODS: Using SEER data, we included 264,237 women with invasive, non-metastatic, HR-positive breast cancer diagnosed from 1990 to 2006. We developed a tool that provides a nonparametric estimate of the residual cumulative risk of BCSM and non-BCSM by year 20 after any specified time from initial diagnosis, among patients defined by baseline clinical and pathologic variables, using Gray's subdistribution method. RESULTS: ESTIMATE allows the user to input patient and tumour characteristics and the preferred timeframe. For example, patients in the age group of 40-49 diagnosed with T1cN1, grade II breast cancer who survived 7 years, have a 14% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.9%-16.1%) residual cumulative risk of BCSM in the next 13 years, and a 6.4% (95% CI: 4.7%-8.1%) residual cumulative risk of non-BCSM over the same period. CONCLUSIONS: ESTIMATE provides population-based risks of BCSM, non-BCSM and all-cause mortality through 20 years after diagnosis of HR-positive breast cancer, based on patient and tumour characteristics. ESTIMATE can inform discussions about prognosis, a balance between competing risks and aid clinical decision-making.

Overall Survival of Men and Women With Breast Cancer According to Tumor Subtype: A Population-based Study.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze differences in overall survival (OS) between male breast cancer (MBC) and female breast cancer (FBC) according to tumor subtype compared with other factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated men and women with breast cancer between 2010 and 2013 with known hormone receptor (HR) status and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status reported to the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Patient characteristics were compared between groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the effect of each variable on OS. Breast cancer-specific survival was a secondary endpoint. RESULTS: We included 1187 MBC and 166,054 FBC. Median follow-up was 21 months (range, 1 to 48) for both groups. OS at 3 years for MBC and FBC was 85.6% and 90.4%, respectively (P=0.0002). MBC were more ductal, had higher grade, presented with more advanced stage and were often HR+/HER2- (each P<0.0001). MBC had worse OS than FBC in HR+/HER2- (Hazard ratio [HaR], 1.5; P=0.0005), HR+/HER2+ (HaR, 2.8; P<0.0001) and triple negative (HaR, 4.3; P<0.0001) (Pinteraction<0.02). MBC had significantly worse OS than FBC in stages I and II, but similar OS in stages III and IV (Pinteraction<0.01). In multivariate analysis, HR+/HER2+ was the only subtype with significant differences in OS between MBC and FBC (HaR, 2.0; P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: OS was significantly different in both groups. Men had worse OS in early stages while similar OS in stages III and IV. There were significant differences in OS according to tumor subtype; compared with women, men with HR+/HER2+ tumors had twice the risk of death.

Prognostic Significance of Tumor Subtypes in Women With Breast Cancer According to Stage: A Population-based Study.

OBJECTIVES: The contribution of tumor subtypes (TS) in each stage of breast cancer with the use of contemporary therapies is unclear. The aim of this study was to analyze differences in overall survival (OS) by TS according to stage compared with other factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated women with breast cancer diagnosed between 2010 and 2013 with known estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor (together hormone receptor [HR]) status and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status reported to the SEER program. Patient characteristics were compared between TS. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the effect of each variable on OS. Breast cancer-specific survival was a secondary endpoint. RESULTS: We included 166,054 patients. TS distribution was: 72.5% HR-positive/HER2-negative, 10.8% HR-positive/HER2-positive, 4.8% HR-negative/HER2-positive, and 12% triple-negative (TN). Patients with HR-positive/HER2-negative tumors were older, had a lower grade and presented with the earlier stage (all P<0.0001). OS was significantly different according to TS in each stage (Pinteraction<0.0001). HR-positive/HER2-negative had the best OS in stage I (3-year OS, 97.2%). In contrast, HR-positive/HER2-positive had the best 3-year OS in stage II (94.5%), stage III (87.8%), and stage IV (54.8%). There was a 40.1% difference in OS at 3 years in stage IV between TN and HR-positive/HER2-positive. Multivariate analysis adjusted for age, race, grade, histology, and marital status confirmed these results. CONCLUSIONS: Although HR-positive/HER2-negative tumors had better clinicopathologic features, the HR-positive/HER2-positive group had the best OS in most stages. OS was significantly different by TS in each of the 4 stages and these results remained significant in the multivariate model.