Multilayer factors associated with excess all-cause mortality during the omicron and non-omicron waves of the COVID-19 pandemic: time series analysis in 29 countries.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in significant excess mortality globally. However, the differences in excess mortality between the Omicron and non-Omicron waves, as well as the contribution of local epidemiological characteristics, population immunity, and social factors to excess mortality, remain poorly understood. This study aims to solve the above problems. METHODS: Weekly all-cause death data and covariates from 29 countries for the period 2015-2022 were collected and used. The Bayesian Structured Time Series Model predicted expected weekly deaths, stratified by gender and age groups for the period 2020-2022. The quantile-based g-computation approach accounted for the effects of factors on the excess all-cause mortality rate. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using alternative Omicron proportion thresholds. RESULTS: From the first week of 2021 to the 30th week of 2022, the estimated cumulative number of excess deaths due to COVID-19 globally was nearly 1.39 million. The estimated weekly excess all-cause mortality rate in the 29 countries was approximately 2.17 per 100,000 (95% CI: 1.47 to 2.86). Weekly all-cause excess mortality rates were significantly higher in both male and female groups and all age groups during the non-Omicron wave, except for those younger than 15 years (P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of the results. Positive associations with all-cause excess mortality were found for the constituent ratio of non-Omicron in all variants, new cases per million, positive rate, cardiovascular death rate, people fully vaccinated per hundred, extreme poverty, hospital patients per million humans, people vaccinated per hundred, and stringency index. Conversely, other factors demonstrated negative associations with all-cause excess mortality from the first week of 2021 to the 30th week of 2022. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that the COVID-19 Omicron wave was associated with lower excess mortality compared to the non-Omicron wave. This study's analysis of the factors influencing excess deaths suggests that effective strategies to mitigate all-cause mortality include improving economic conditions, promoting widespread vaccination, and enhancing overall population health. Implementing these measures could significantly reduce the burden of COVID-19, facilitate coexistence with the virus, and potentially contribute to its elimination.

Association of weight loss strategies with all-cause and specific-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The health effects of different weight loss strategies vary greatly, and the relationship between weight loss strategies, especially the combination of multiple strategies, and death is still unclear. We aimed to examine the associations of various numbers and combinations of weight loss strategies with all-cause and specific-cause mortality and to further evaluate the associations of different total weight loss volumes with mortality. METHODS: Using data from NHANES (1999-2018) with 48,430 participants aged 20 and above, we collected fourteen self-reported weight loss strategies and identified five clusters using latent class analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between the amounts and clusters of weight loss strategies and mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.1 years of 48,430 participants, 7,539 deaths were recorded (including 1,941 CVDs and 1,714 cancer). Participants who adopted 2, 3-4, and ≥ 5 weight loss strategies had a lower risk of all-cause mortality, with HRs of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.97), 0.89 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.96) and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.61 to 0.82). Regardless of weight loss or weight gain categories, there was a significant trend toward reduced mortality as the number of weight loss strategies increased (P trend < 0.05). Participants who adopted cluster-1 (four strategies), cluster-2 (five strategies) and cluster-3 (three strategies) had a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality, with HRs of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.84), 0.70 (95% CI, 0.55 to 0.89) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70 to 0.94). Among them, cluster-1 and cluster-2 are both characterized by eating less food, exercising, drinking plenty of water, lowering calories and eating less fat. Conversely, cluster-4 (five strategies) and cluster-5 (four strategies) had marginally significant effects, and they both had actual higher total energy intakes. Similar associations were observed for CVDs and cancer mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Employing two or more weight loss strategies was associated with a lower risk of death, even among those who gained weight. Eating less food, exercising, drinking plenty of water, lowering calories and eating less fat is a better combination of strategies. On this basis, limiting the actual intake of total energy is necessary.

Integrated analysis and clinical correlation analysis of hub genes, immune infiltration, and potential therapeutic agents related to lupus nephritis.

BACKGROUND: Lupus nephritis (LN) is the most common complication of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). This study aimed to explore biomarkers, mechanisms, and potential novel agents regarding LN through bioinformatic analysis. METHOD: Four expression profiles were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were acquired. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGGs) pathway enrichment analyses of DEGs were performed using the R software. The protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was developed using the STRING database. Additionally, five algorithms were used to screen out the hub genes. Expression of the hub genes were validated using Nephroseq v5. CIBERSORT was used to evaluate the infiltration of immune cells. Finally, The Drug-Gene Interaction Database was used to predict potential targeted drugs. RESULT: FOS and IGF1 were identified as hub genes, with excellent specificity and sensitivity diagnosis of LN. FOS was also related to renal injury. LN patients had lower activated and resting dendritic cells (DCs) and higher M1 macrophages and activated NK cells than healthy control (HC). FOS had a positive correlation with activated mast cells and a negative correlation with resting mast cells. IGF1 had a positive correlation with activated DCs and a negative correlation with monocytes. The targeted drugs were dusigitumab and xentuzumab target for IGF1. CONCLUSION: We analyzed the transcriptomic signature of LN along with the landscape of the immune cell. FOS and IGF1 are promising biomarkers for diagnosing and evaluating the progression of LN. The drug-gene interaction analyses provide a list of candidate drugs for the precise treatment of LN.

Mortality burden based on the associations of ambient PM2.5 with cause-specific mortality in China: Evidence from a death-spectrum wide association study (DWAS).

Although studies have estimated the associations of PM2.5 with total mortality or cardiopulmonary mortality, few have comprehensively examined cause-specific mortality risk and burden caused by ambient PM2.5. Thus, this study investigated the association of short-term exposure to PM2.5 with cause-specific mortality using a death-spectrum wide association study (DWAS). Individual information of 5,450,764 deaths during 2013-2018 were collected from six provinces in China. Daily PM2.5 concentration in the case and control days were estimated by a random forest model. A time-stratified case-crossover study design was applied to estimate the associations (access risk, ER) of PM2.5 with cause-specific mortality, which was then used to calculate the population-attributable fraction (PAF) of mortality and the corresponding mortality burden caused by PM2.5. Each 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 concentration (lag03) was associated with a 0.80 % [95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.73 %, 0.86 %] rise in total mortality. We found greater mortality effect at PM2.5 concentrations < 50 µg/m3. Stratified analyses showed greater ERs in females (1.01 %, 95 %CI: 0.91 %, 1.11 %), children ≤ 5 years (2.17 %, 95 %CI: 0.85 %, 3.51 %), and old people ≥ 70 years. We identified 33 specific causes (level 2) of death which had significant associations with PM2.5, including 16 circulatory diseases, 9 respiratory diseases, and 8 other causes. The PAF estimated based on the overall association between PM2.5 and total mortality was 3.16 % (95 %CI: 2.89 %, 3.40 %). However, the PAF was reduced to 2.88 % (95 %CI: 1.88 %, 3.81 %) using the associations of PM2.5 with 33 level 2 causes of death, based on which 250.15 (95 %CI: 163.29, 330.93) thousand deaths were attributable to short-term PM2.5 exposure across China in 2019. Overall, this study provided a comprehensive picture on the death-spectrum wide association between PM2.5 and morality in China. We observed robust positive cause-specific associations of PM2.5 with mortality risk, which may provide more precise basis in assessing the mortality burden of air pollution.

Microbial mechanism of biochar addition to reduce N2O emissions from soilless substrate systems.

The soilless peat-based substrate partially solves the global soil problem in greenhouse vegetable production. However, it still produces serious N2O emissions due to the application of nutrient solutions. The pyrolysis biochar is regarded as an effective measure to reduce soil N2O emissions. However, the effect and mechanism of biochar on N2O emissions from the soilless substrate remain unknown. Therefore, this study set up six treatments by adjusting the ratio of biochar addition of peat-based substrate: 0% (0BC), 2% (2BC), 4% (4BC), 6% (6BC), 8% (8BC) and 10% (10BC) (v/v). The results showed that compared to the control treatment, N2O emissions reduced by 81%, 71%, 51%, 61%, and 75% in the 2BC, 4BC, 6BC, 8BC and 10BC treatments, respectively. In addition, lettuce yield increased by 10% and 7% in the 2BC and 4BC treatments and decreased by 0.5%, 4% and 6% in the 6BC, 8BC and 10BC treatments, respectively. Combining stable isotope technology, qPCR analysis and high-throughput sequencing, five microbial pathways of N2O production, including bacterial and archaea nitrification (BN and AN), denitrification performed by fungi, denitrifier bacteria and nitrifier bacteria (FD, DD and ND), were roughly distinguished. In addition, the extent of N2O reduction was obtained by δ18O vs.δ15NSP map. For all treatments, overall, the DD process (over 50%) was the main process of N2O production and reduction, while ND and AN processes were almost negligible (less 5%). In detail, the decrease of N2O emissions was caused by decreasing the contribution of FD in the 6BC, 8BC and 10BC treatments and reducing the contribution of BN in the 0BC and 2BC treatments. In addition, biochar addition increased the extent of N2O reduction to N2. In summary, the 2% biochar addition presented the greatest extent of N2O reduction to N2 (83%) and the lowest N2O emissions as well as the highest lettuce yields and nitrogen utilization efficiency. Therefore, 2% biochar is deemed the most optimal addition to the peat-based substrate.

Changing Epidemiology of Hepatitis A in China: Evidence From Three National Serological Surveys and the National Notifiable Disease Reporting System.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: China has conducted surveillance for hepatitis A since 1990, and hepatitis A was highly-to-intermediately endemic in 1992 when a Chinese hepatitis A vaccine (HepA) was licensed and introduced as a family-pay vaccine. In 2008, HepA was introduced into the Expanded Program on Immunization as a free childhood vaccine. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Three nationally representative surveys conducted in 1992, 2006, and 2014 assessed hepatitis B serology. The 1992 survey included hepatitis A virus (HAV) serology, and we tested sera from the 2006 and 2014 surveys for HAV antibodies. We used surveillance, seroprevalence, and vaccination status data to describe the changing epidemiology of hepatitis A in China from 1990 through 2014. Before HepA licensure, anti-HAV seroprevalence was 60% at 4 years of age, 70% at 10 years, and 90% at 59 years; incidence was 52/100,000 and peaked at 4 years. In 2006, after >10 years of private sector vaccination, HepA coverage was <30% among children <5 years, and incidence was 5.4/100,000 with a peak at 10 years. In 2014, coverage was >90% among children under 5 years; incidence was 1.9/100,000. Individuals born before the national introduction of HepA (1988-2004) had lower anti-HAV seroprevalence than earlier and later birth cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of hepatitis A declined markedly following HepA introduction and improvement of sanitation and hygiene. The emerging epidemiology is consistent with disease-induced immunity having been replaced by vaccine-induced immunity, resulting in a low incidence of hepatitis A. Catch-up HepA campaigns to close the immunity gap among the 1998-2004 birth cohorts should be considered.

Exploration of the molecular mechanisms, shared gene signatures, and MicroRNAs between systemic lupus erythematosus and diffuse large B cell lymphoma by bioinformatics analysis.

BACKGROUND: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complex heterogeneous systemic autoimmune disease. Previous studies have shown that SLE may be related to diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL), but the mechanism of their relationship is still unclear. The present study aimed to explore the common genetic molecular mechanisms, core shared genes, and miRNAs between SLE and DLBCL as well as to investigate the diagnostic markers of DLBCL. METHODS: The SLE and DLBCL microarray data were downloaded from the comprehensive Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) was used to identify co-expression modules. Four core shared genes were screened out by various algorithms and validated in other cohorts. Finally, we constructed a common core gene-miRNA network using the human microRNA disease database (HMDD) and TarBase. RESULTS: Using WGCNA, four modules were identified as important modules for SLE and DLBCL. Enrichment analysis of the shared genes showed that the highly activated NF-κB pathway was a common feature of the pathophysiology. Four core shared genes, namely, PSMB10, PSMB4, TAF10, and NFΚBIA, were screened out. These core shared genes were significantly upregulated in both diseases, and they may be potential diagnostic markers of DLBCL. The core gene-miRNA network showed that miR-155-5p, regulating the shared NF-κB pathway, may play an important role in the susceptibility of SLE patients to DLBCL. CONCLUSION: The present study revealed that NF-κB pathway in SLE may be a crucial susceptible factor for DLBCL. In addition, we identified PSMB10, PSMB4, TAF10, NFΚBIA and miR-155 involved in the common pathogenesis as potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets for DLBCL.

Mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in China and its provinces, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

BACKGROUND: Public health is a priority for the Chinese Government. Evidence-based decision making for health at the province level in China, which is home to a fifth of the global population, is of paramount importance. This analysis uses data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 to help inform decision making and monitor progress on health at the province level. METHODS: We used the methods in GBD 2017 to analyse health patterns in the 34 province-level administrative units in China from 1990 to 2017. We estimated all-cause and cause-specific mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), summary exposure values (SEVs), and attributable risk. We compared the observed results with expected values estimated based on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI). FINDINGS: Stroke and ischaemic heart disease were the leading causes of death and DALYs at the national level in China in 2017. Age-standardised DALYs per 100 000 population decreased by 33·1% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 29·8 to 37·4) for stroke and increased by 4·6% (-3·3 to 10·7) for ischaemic heart disease from 1990 to 2017. Age-standardised stroke, ischaemic heart disease, lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and liver cancer were the five leading causes of YLLs in 2017. Musculoskeletal disorders, mental health disorders, and sense organ diseases were the three leading causes of YLDs in 2017, and high systolic blood pressure, smoking, high-sodium diet, and ambient particulate matter pollution were among the leading four risk factors contributing to deaths and DALYs. All provinces had higher than expected DALYs per 100 000 population for liver cancer, with the observed to expected ratio ranging from 2·04 to 6·88. The all-cause age-standardised DALYs per 100 000 population were lower than expected in all provinces in 2017, and among the top 20 level 3 causes were lower than expected for ischaemic heart disease, Alzheimer's disease, headache disorder, and low back pain. The largest percentage change at the national level in age-standardised SEVs among the top ten leading risk factors was in high body-mass index (185%, 95% UI 113·1 to 247·7]), followed by ambient particulate matter pollution (88·5%, 66·4 to 116·4). INTERPRETATION: China has made substantial progress in reducing the burden of many diseases and disabilities. Strategies targeting chronic diseases, particularly in the elderly, should be prioritised in the expanding Chinese health-care system. FUNDING: China National Key Research and Development Program and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Complete genome analysis of hepatitis B virus in Qinghai-Tibet plateau: the geographical distribution, genetic diversity, and co-existence of HBsAg and anti-HBs antibodies.

BACKGROUND: The genetic variation and origin of Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau were poorly studied. The coexistence of HBsAg and anti-HBs has been described as a puzzle and has never been reported in the indigenous population or in recombinant HBV sequences. This study aimed to report geographical distribution, genetic variability and seroepidemiology of HBV in southwest China. METHODS: During 2014-2017, 1263 HBsAg positive serum were identified and 183 complete genome sequences were obtained. Serum samples were collected from community-based populations by a multistage random sampling method. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was used to amplify the HBV complete genome sequences. Then recombination, genetic variability, and serological analysis were performed. RESULTS: (1) Of the 1263 HBsAg positive serum samples, there were significant differences between the distribution of seromarkers in Tibet and Qinghai. (2) Of 183 complete genome sequences, there were 130 HBV/CD1 (71.0%), 49 HBV/CD2 (26.8%) and four HBV/C2 isolates (2.2%). Serotype ayw2 (96.1%) was the main serological subtype. (3) Several nucleotide mutations were dramatically different in CD1 and CD2 sequences. Clinical prognosis-related genetic variations such as nucleotide mutation T1762/A1764 (27.93%), A2189C (12.85%), G1613A (8.94%), T1753C (8.38%), T53C (4.47%) T3098C (1.68%) and PreS deletion (2.23%) were detected in CD recombinants. (4) From the inner land of China to the northeast boundary of India, different geographical distributions between CD1 and CD2 were identified. (5) Twenty-seven (2.14%) HBsAg/HBsAb coexistence serum samples were identified. S protein amino acid mutation and PreS deletion were with significant differences between HBsAg/HBsAb coexistence group and control group. CONCLUSIONS: HBV/CD may have a mixed China and South Asia origin. Based on genetic variations, the clinical prognosis of CD recombinant seems more temperate than genotype C strains in China. The HBsAg/HBsAb coexistence is a result of both PreS deletion and aa variation in S protein. Several unique mutations were frequently detected in HBV/CD isolates, which could potentially influence the clinical prognosis.

Self-motivated medical care-seeking behaviors and disease progression in a community-based cohort of chronic hepatitis B virus-infected patients in China.

BACKGROUND: To determine the treatment behaviors among a community-based cohort of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected persons and to examine the disease progression among non-antiviral-treated HBV-infected cases after 5 years of follow-up. METHODS: We conducted a community-based prospective study on people with chronic HBV infection in mainland China from 2009 to 2014. In 2009, we recruited participants who were identified as HBV infected in 2006 in a national sero-survey. A face-to-face follow-up investigation was completed in 2014, and the personal information, the clinical diagnosis provided at the last hospital visit, the HBV antiviral treatment history, and the insurance type was collected for each patient for analysis. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors that are associated with active medical care- seeking and antiviral treatments. RESULTS: Among the 2422 chronic HBV-infected patients recruited in 2009, 1784 (73.7%) were followed-up to 2014, and 638 (35.8%) had sought medical care in hospitals; among them, 140 (21.9%) received antiviral treatments. The lowest medical care-seeking rate (26%) was in participants over 50-year old. We determined that the frequency of medical care-seeking was higher among those participants living in urban areas (aRR = 1.3, 95% CI:1.0-1.6), those in 0-19-year old (aRR = 1.5, 95% CI:1.1-2.1), 20-39-year old (aRR = 2.2, 95% CI:1.7-3.0) and 40-49-year old (aRR = 1.5, 95% CI:1.1-2.0), and persons with insurance of the type Urban residents' basic medical insurance (URBMI) or Commercial health insurance (CHI) (aRR = 2.5, 95% CI:1.7-3.6) and New Rural Cooperative Medical System (NRCMS) (aRR = 1.9, 95% CI:1.4-2.6). Patients were more likely to receive antiviral treatment if they were 20-39-year old (aRR = 0.4, 95% CI:0.3-0.7), had insurance of the type URBMI or CHI (aRR = 2.6, 95% CI:1.1-6.3) or NRCMS (aRR = 3.0, 95% CI:1.3-6.9) and were treated at prefecture and above-level hospitals (aRR = 2.0, 95% CI:1.4-3.0). Among non-antiviral-treated HBV-infected cases, we found the annual rates for HBsAg sero-clearance, progress to cirrhosis and HCC were 1.0, 0.6 and 0.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The rates of medical care-seeking and antiviral treatment were low among community-based chronic HBV-infected persons, thus we recommend improving the insurance policies for HBV-infected persons to increase the antiviral treatment rate, and conducting extensive education to promote HBV-infected patients actively seeking medical care from hospitals.

Personal ultraviolet Radiation exposure in a cohort of Chinese mother and child pairs: the Chinese families and children study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies in China have examined personal ultraviolet radiation (UVR) exposure using polysulfone dosimetry. METHODS: In this study, 93 mother and adolescent child pairs (N = 186) from two locations in China, one rural (higher latitude) and one urban (lower latitude), completed 3 days of personal UVR dosimetry and a sun/clothing diary, as part of a larger pilot study. RESULTS: The average daily ambient UVR in each location as measured by dosimetry was 20.24 Minimal Erythemal Doses (MED) in the rural location and 20.53 MED in the urban location. Rural mothers had more average daily time outdoors than urban mothers (5.5 h, compared with 1.5 h, in urban mothers) and a much higher daily average personal UVR exposure (4.50 MED, compared with 0.78 MED in urban mothers). Amongst adolescents, rural males had the highest average daily personal UVR exposure, followed by rural females, urban females and urban males (average 2.16, 1.05, 0.81, and 0.48 MED, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Although based on small numbers, our findings show the importance of geographic location, age, work/school responsibilities, and sex of the adolescents in determining personal UVR exposure in China. These results suggest that latitude of residence may not be a good proxy for personal UVR exposure in all circumstances.

Investigation of Multi-Plane Scheme for Compensation of Fringe Effect of Electrical Resistance Tomography Sensor.

Conventional electrical resistance tomography (ERT) sensors suffer from the fringe effect, i.e., severe distortion of the electric field on both ends of the measurement electrodes, leading to a 3D sensing region for a 2D sensor. As a result, the objects outside an ERT sensor plane affect the sensing and hence image, i.e., deteriorating the image quality. To address this issue, a multiple-plane ERT sensor scheme is proposed in this paper. With this scheme, auxiliary sensor planes are used to provide references for the fringe effect of the measurement plane, for compensation by subtracting the weighed influence of the fringe effect. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme, either three-plane or two-plane sensor, can compensate for the fringe effect induced by objects outside the measurement plane with a variety of axial object distributions, i.e., several non-conductive bars or conductive bars placed at different cross-sectional and axial positions inside the sensor. Experiments were carried out. Images obtained with single-plane and multiple-plane ERT sensors are compared, and the proposed compensation scheme has been hence verified.

[Knowledge, attitude and practice of salt reduction among residents in four counties of Shandong and Jiangsu Provinces in 2013].

OBJECTIVE: To explore current status of knowledge, attitude and practice of salt reduction among adults in four counties of Shandong and Jiangsu Provinces, and analyze the relevant influencing factors. METHODS: In 2013, multi-stage cluster sampling was used to select the adults(aged 18-69) in Gaomi City of Weifang City and Fushan Distract of Yantai City, Shandong Province, and Xinyi City of Xuzhou City and Ganyu County of Lianyungang City, Jiangsu Province. A total of 9573 subjects were included. Knowledge, attitude and practice of anti-hypertension by low salt was collected using questionnaire and physical examination was conducted. Then the level of knowledge, attitude and practice of salt reduction was calculated, and multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors. RESULTS: A total of 3214 people had hypertension(33.57%), and the proportion of overweight and obesity was 36.20% and 19.48%, respectively. The awareness rate of salt reduction knowledge was between 22.50% and 51.35%; the attitude of salt reduction was between 82.24% and 93.01%, and the rate of salt reduction was between 10.86% and 46.16%. According to Logistic analysis, the degree of education had the greatest impact on knowledge(junior high school vs. elementary school and below: OR=2.30, 95%CI 2.06-2.57, high school and above vs. elementary school and below: OR=5.00, 95%CI 4.35-5.76). The knowledge level had the greatest impact on attitude(OR=3.10, 95%CI 2.80-3.43) and practice(OR=4.66, 95%CI 4.29-5.07). Those aged 45-69 years old had lower knowledge level(OR=0.64, 95%CI 0.58-0.71) but higher practice(OR=1.18, 95%CI 1.09-1.29). The knowledge(OR=3.66, 95%CI 3.34-4.01) and attitude(OR=1.84, 95%CI 1.69-2.02) of salt reduction among residents in Shandong were higher than those in Jiangsu. CONCLUSION: The awareness rate of knowledge is lower, the attitude support rate is higher, and the practice rate is lower among residents in Shandong and Jiangsu Provinces. More attention should be paid to the practical application of salt reduction.

The 20 Most Important and Most Preventable Health Problems of China: A Delphi Consultation of Chinese Experts.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the 20 most important and most preventable health problems that should be addressed in the next 20 years in China. METHODS: In 2015, we applied a modified electronic Delphi technique to reach consensus from a panel of top Chinese health experts (n = 70), who were requested to identify 20 health problems that, in their judgment, were most important and preventable. We also compared the results with evidences from epidemiological studies on disease-specific mortalities and disability-adjusted life years. RESULTS: Consensus was reached after the second-round survey. The final agreed-upon 20 most important and most preventable health problems included 9 noncommunicable diseases, 4 communicable diseases, 2 unhealthy behaviors, and 2 forms of environmental pollution, plus depression, road injury, and contamination of food with pesticides, antibiotics, and hormone residues. The results are supported by relevant epidemiological studies in China. CONCLUSIONS: The 20 most important and most preventable health problems in China for the next 20 years, agreed upon by a panel of top Chinese health experts, should be taken into consideration in national policymaking.

[Meta-analysis on association between genetic polymorphisms of cytochrome P450 2E1 and susceptibility to Chinese gastric cancer].

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a comprehensive quantitative analysis about the association between genetic polymorphisms of CYP 2E1 and susceptibility to Chinese gastric cancer in order to offer evidence-based evidence for the etiology of gastric cancer. METHODS: Using the keywords and entry terms of cytochrom P450 2E1, cytochrome P450, CYP 2E1, stomach neoplasms, individual susceptibility, gene polymorphism, risk factors in English and Chinese, we searched medical literature databases, such as Pub Med, Embase, CBM, VIP, CNKI, China Info, published from January 1 th, 1997 to December 31 th, 2016, the Chines population was selected as the research object. Metaanalysis was performed using Stata 14. 0 in literature that selected quality studies of original literatures of more than 6 stars. RESULTS: There were 10 high-quality original articles covering high, middle and low incidence areas of gastric cancer in our country, with 832 cases and 1018 controls were included, which fit the HWE test. The population with CYP 2E1 C1C2 genotype have a lower risk of developing gastric cancer than the population with CYP 2E1 C1C1 genotype( OR = 0. 650, P < 0. 001, 95% CI 0. 515-0. 821); Subgroup-analysis result reveals that, in smaller sample size population with CYP 2E1 C1C1 genotype have a gastric cancer risk of 2. 02 times the risk of having gastric cancer with CYP 2E1 C1C2 and C2C2 genotypes( P < 0. 001, 95% CI 1. 55-2. 64), in bigger sample size population with CYP 2E1 C1C1 genotype have a gastric cancer risk of0. 93 times the risk of having gastric cancer with CYP 2E1 C1C2 and C2C2 genotypes( P = 0. 586, 95% CI 0. 71-1. 22), in overall sample size population with CYP 2E1 C1C1 genotype have a gastric cancer risk of 1. 50 times the risk of having gastric cancer with CYP 2E1 C1C2 and C2C2 genotypes( P = 0. 006, 95% CI 1. 12-2. 00). CONCLUSION: The size of the sample is an important factor affecting the result. The small sample size of the study tends to get positive result. Whether CYP 2E1 C1C1 genotype of the population is a risk factor for gastric cancer remains to be further studied.

Robust Antibody and Cytokine Response to Hepatitis B Vaccine Among Not-in-Treatment Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C: An Open-Label Control Study in China.

Background: Hepatitis B vaccine is an effective measure to prevent hepatitis B virus infection. Whether chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection decreases humoral and cell-mediated immunity responses to hepatitis B vaccination is still controversial. Methods: Patients with chronic HCV infection who were not in treatment and healthy controls, matched at a 1:2 ratio for community, sex, and age (within 5 years), were identified from a community-based screening. All participants received 3 doses of hepatitis B vaccine. Antibody to hepatitis B surface antigen was tested 1 month after the third vaccine dose and was compared between 2 groups. Spot-forming cells (SFCs) of interferon γ and interleukin 2, 4, 5, and 6 were counted by means of enzyme-linked immunospot, and SFC counts were compared between the 2 groups. Results: The rates of nonresponse and low, normal, and high response were 3.80%, 10.13%, 45.57%, and 40.50% respectively, in the HCV group, and the corresponding rates in the healthy control group were 1.26%, 10.13%, 39.24%, and 49.37% (all P > .05). There were no significant differences in SFC counts between the 2 groups for interferon γ or interleukin 2, 4, or 5 (all P > .05). Conclusions: This study provided preliminary evidence of the good immunogenicity and safety of hepatitis B vaccination among patients in China with chronic hepatitis C who are not in treatment. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT 02898922.

Prevention of Chronic Hepatitis B after 3 Decades of Escalating Vaccination Policy, China.

China's hepatitis B virus (HBV) prevention policy has been evaluated through nationally representative serologic surveys conducted in 1992 and 2006. We report results of a 2014 serologic survey and reanalysis of the 1992 and 2006 surveys in the context of program policy. The 2014 survey used a 2-stage sample strategy in which townships were selected from 160 longstanding, nationally representative, county-level disease surveillance points, and persons 1-29 years of age were invited to participate. The 2014 sample size was 31,713; the response rate was 83.3%. Compared with the 1992 pre-recombinant vaccine survey, HBV surface antigen prevalence declined 46% by 2006 and by 52% by 2014. Among children <5 years of age, the decline was 97%. China's HBV prevention program, targeted toward interrupting perinatal transmission, has been highly successful and increasingly effective. However, this progress must be sustained for decades to come, and elimination of HBV transmission will require augmented strategies.

Cause-specific mortality for 240 causes in China during 1990-2013: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

BACKGROUND: China has experienced a remarkable epidemiological and demographic transition during the past three decades. Far less is known about this transition at the subnational level. Timely and accurate assessment of the provincial burden of disease is needed for evidence-based priority setting at the local level in China. METHODS: Following the methods of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013), we have systematically analysed all available demographic and epidemiological data sources for China at the provincial level. We developed methods to aggregate county-level surveillance data to inform provincial-level analysis, and we used local data to develop specific garbage code redistribution procedures for China. We assessed levels of and trends in all-cause mortality, causes of death, and years of life lost (YLL) in all 33 province-level administrative units in mainland China, all of which we refer to as provinces, for the years between 1990 and 2013. FINDINGS: All provinces in mainland China have made substantial strides to improve life expectancy at birth between 1990 and 2013. Increases ranged from 4.0 years in Hebei province to 14.2 years in Tibet. Improvements in female life expectancy exceeded those in male life expectancy in all provinces except Shanghai, Macao, and Hong Kong. We saw significant heterogeneity among provinces in life expectancy at birth and probability of death at ages 0-14, 15-49, and 50-74 years. Such heterogeneity is also present in cause of death structures between sexes and provinces. From 1990 to 2013, leading causes of YLLs changed substantially. In 1990, 16 of 33 provinces had lower respiratory infections or preterm birth complications as the leading causes of YLLs. 15 provinces had cerebrovascular disease and two (Hong Kong and Macao) had ischaemic heart disease. By 2013, 27 provinces had cerebrovascular disease as the leading cause, five had ischaemic heart disease, and one had lung cancer (Hong Kong). Road injuries have become a top ten cause of death in all provinces in mainland China. The most common non-communicable diseases, including ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cancers (liver, stomach, and lung), contributed much more to YLLs in 2013 compared with 1990. INTERPRETATION: Rapid transitions are occurring across China, but the leading health problems and the challenges imposed on the health system by epidemiological and demographic change differ between groups of Chinese provinces. Localised health policies need to be implemented to tackle the diverse challenges faced by local health-care systems. FUNDING: China National Science & Technology Pillar Program 2013 (2013BAI04B02) and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

BACKGROUND: Remarkable financial and political efforts have been focused on the reduction of child mortality during the past few decades. Timely measurements of levels and trends in under-5 mortality are important to assess progress towards the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4) target of reduction of child mortality by two thirds from 1990 to 2015, and to identify models of success. METHODS: We generated updated estimates of child mortality in early neonatal (age 0-6 days), late neonatal (7-28 days), postneonatal (29-364 days), childhood (1-4 years), and under-5 (0-4 years) age groups for 188 countries from 1970 to 2013, with more than 29,000 survey, census, vital registration, and sample registration datapoints. We used Gaussian process regression with adjustments for bias and non-sampling error to synthesise the data for under-5 mortality for each country, and a separate model to estimate mortality for more detailed age groups. We used explanatory mixed effects regression models to assess the association between under-5 mortality and income per person, maternal education, HIV child death rates, secular shifts, and other factors. To quantify the contribution of these different factors and birth numbers to the change in numbers of deaths in under-5 age groups from 1990 to 2013, we used Shapley decomposition. We used estimated rates of change between 2000 and 2013 to construct under-5 mortality rate scenarios out to 2030. FINDINGS: We estimated that 6·3 million (95% UI 6·0-6·6) children under-5 died in 2013, a 64% reduction from 17·6 million (17·1-18·1) in 1970. In 2013, child mortality rates ranged from 152·5 per 1000 livebirths (130·6-177·4) in Guinea-Bissau to 2·3 (1·8-2·9) per 1000 in Singapore. The annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2013 ranged from -6·8% to 0·1%. 99 of 188 countries, including 43 of 48 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, had faster decreases in child mortality during 2000-13 than during 1990-2000. In 2013, neonatal deaths accounted for 41·6% of under-5 deaths compared with 37·4% in 1990. Compared with 1990, in 2013, rising numbers of births, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, led to 1·4 million more child deaths, and rising income per person and maternal education led to 0·9 million and 2·2 million fewer deaths, respectively. Changes in secular trends led to 4·2 million fewer deaths. Unexplained factors accounted for only -1% of the change in child deaths. In 30 developing countries, decreases since 2000 have been faster than predicted attributable to income, education, and secular shift alone. INTERPRETATION: Only 27 developing countries are expected to achieve MDG 4. Decreases since 2000 in under-5 mortality rates are accelerating in many developing countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. The Millennium Declaration and increased development assistance for health might have been a factor in faster decreases in some developing countries. Without further accelerated progress, many countries in west and central Africa will still have high levels of under-5 mortality in 2030. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, US Agency for International Development.

The independent impact of newborn hepatitis B vaccination on reducing HBV prevalence in China, 1992-2006: A mathematical model analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the independent impact of newborn hepatitis B vaccination on reducing HBV prevalence in China, from its introduction in 1992 to 2006. METHODS: An age- and time-dependent discrete dynamic model was developed to simulate HBV transmission in China under the assumptions of no any change in interventions and only with newborn vaccination introduction, respectively. The initial conditions of the model were determined according to the national serosurvey in 1992. The simulated results were compared with the observed results of the national serosurvey in 2006, and the contribution rate of newborn vaccination on reducing HBV prevalence was calculated overall and by birth cohort. RESULTS: The total HBV prevalence would remain stable through the 14-year period if no any change in interventions, but decrease year by year if only with newborn vaccination introduction. Newborn vaccination could account for more than 50% of the reduction of the total HBV prevalence, although the full 3-dose and timely birth dose vaccination coverage rates were low in the early years. The results by birth cohort showed that the higher the two coverage rates, the higher contribution rate on reducing HBV prevalence. For the 2005 birth cohort which had high levels in the two coverage rates, the contribution rate could reach more than 95%. CONCLUSION: Newborn hepatitis B vaccination from 1992 to 2006 in China had played the most important role in reducing HBV prevalence. Newborn vaccination with high full 3-dose and timely birth dose coverage rates is the decisive factor in controlling hepatitis B in China.