RESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a new infectious disease. To reveal the hepatic injury related to this disease and its clinical significance, we conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study that included 5,771 adult patients with COVID-19 pneumonia in Hubei Province. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We reported the distributional and temporal patterns of liver injury indicators in these patients and determined their associated factors and death risk. Longitudinal liver function tests were retrospectively analyzed and correlated with the risk factors and death. Liver injury dynamic patterns differed in alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and total bilirubin (TBIL). AST elevated first, followed by ALT, in severe patients. ALP modestly increased during hospitalization and largely remained in the normal range. The fluctuation in TBIL levels was mild in the non-severe and the severe groups. AST abnormality was associated with the highest mortality risk compared with the other indicators of liver injury during hospitalization. Common factors associated with elevated liver injury indicators were lymphocyte count decrease, neutrophil count increase, and male gender. CONCLUSION: The dynamic patterns of liver injury indicators and their potential risk factors may provide an important explanation for the COVID-19-associated liver injury. Because elevated liver injury indicators, particularly AST, are strongly associated with the mortality risk, our study indicates that these parameters should be monitored during hospitalization.
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Betacoronavirus , Infecciones por Coronavirus/mortalidad , Infecciones por Coronavirus/fisiopatología , Hígado/fisiopatología , Neumonía Viral/mortalidad , Neumonía Viral/fisiopatología , Adulto , Anciano , Alanina Transaminasa/sangre , Fosfatasa Alcalina/sangre , Aspartato Aminotransferasas/sangre , Bilirrubina/sangre , Biomarcadores , COVID-19 , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
In 2005, the World Health Organization (WHO) Western Pacific Region countries, including China, resolved to eliminate measles by 2012 or as soon as feasible thereafter (1). As of 2018, nine* of the 37 Western Pacific Region countries or areas had eliminated§ measles. China's Measles Elimination Action Plan 2006-2012 included strengthening routine immunization; conducting measles risk assessments, followed by supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) with measles-containing vaccine (MCV) at national and subnational levels; strengthening surveillance and laboratory capacity; and investigating and responding to measles outbreaks. Most recently, progress toward measles elimination in China was described in a 2014 report documenting measles elimination efforts in China during 2008-2012 and a resurgence in 2013 (2). This report describes progress toward measles elimination in China during January 2013-June 2019.¶ Measles incidence per million persons decreased from 20.4 in 2013 to 2.8 in 2018; reported measles-related deaths decreased from 32 in 2015 to one in 2018 and no deaths in 2019 through June. Measles elimination in China can be achieved through strengthening the immunization program's existing strategy by ensuring sufficient vaccine supply; continuing to improve laboratory-supported surveillance, outbreak investigation and response; strengthening school entry vaccination record checks; vaccinating students who do not have documentation of receipt of 2 doses of measles-rubella vaccine; and vaccinating health care professionals and other adults at risk for measles.
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Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Sarampión/prevención & control , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/mortalidad , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Industrialization and demographic transition generate nonstationary dynamics in human populations that can affect the transmission and persistence of infectious diseases. Decades of increasing vaccination and development have led to dramatic declines in the global burden of measles, but the virus remains persistent in much of the world. Here we show that a combination of demographic transition, as a result of declining birth rates, and reduced measles prevalence, due to improved vaccination, has shifted the age distribution of susceptibility to measles throughout China. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We fit a novel time-varying catalytic model to three decades of age-specific measles case reporting in six provinces in China to quantify the change in the age-specific force of infection for measles virus over time. We further quantified the impact of supplemental vaccination campaigns on the reduction of susceptible individuals. The force of infection of measles has declined dramatically (90%-97% reduction in transmission rate) in three industrialized eastern provinces during the last decade, driving a concomitant increase in both the relative proportion and absolute number of adult cases, while three central and western provinces exhibited dynamics consistent with endemic persistence (24%-73% reduction in transmission rate). The reduction in susceptible individuals due to supplemental vaccination campaigns is frequently below the nominal campaign coverage, likely because campaigns necessarily vaccinate those who may already be immune. The impact of these campaigns has significantly improved over time: campaigns prior to 2005 were estimated to have achieved less than 50% reductions in the proportion susceptible in the target age classes, but campaigns from 2005 onwards reduced the susceptible proportion by 32%-87%. A limitation of this study is that it relies on case surveillance, and thus inference may be biased by age-specific variation in measles reporting. CONCLUSIONS: The age distribution of measles cases changes in response to both demographic and vaccination processes. Combining both processes in a novel catalytic model, we illustrate that age-specific incidence patterns reveal regional differences in the progress to measles elimination and the impact of vaccination controls in China. The shift in the age distribution of measles susceptibility in response to demographic and vaccination processes emphasizes the importance of progressive control strategies and measures to evaluate program success that anticipate and react to this transition in observed incidence.
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Sarampión/epidemiología , Modelos Teóricos , Dinámica Poblacional , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Niño , China/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Sarampión/prevención & control , Sarampión/transmisión , Vacuna Antisarampión/uso terapéutico , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The first identified cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus infection in humans occurred in China during February and March 2013. We analyzed data obtained from field investigations to describe the epidemiologic characteristics of H7N9 cases in China identified as of December 1, 2013. METHODS: Field investigations were conducted for each confirmed case of H7N9 virus infection. A patient was considered to have a confirmed case if the presence of the H7N9 virus was verified by means of real-time reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction assay (RT-PCR), viral isolation, or serologic testing. Information on demographic characteristics, exposure history, and illness timelines was obtained from patients with confirmed cases. Close contacts were monitored for 7 days for symptoms of illness. Throat swabs were obtained from contacts in whom symptoms developed and were tested for the presence of the H7N9 virus by means of real-time RT-PCR. RESULTS: Among 139 persons with confirmed H7N9 virus infection, the median age was 61 years (range, 2 to 91), 71% were male, and 73% were urban residents. Confirmed cases occurred in 12 areas of China. Nine persons were poultry workers, and of 131 persons with available data, 82% had a history of exposure to live animals, including chickens (82%). A total of 137 persons (99%) were hospitalized, 125 (90%) had pneumonia or respiratory failure, and 65 of 103 with available data (63%) were admitted to an intensive care unit. A total of 47 persons (34%) died in the hospital after a median duration of illness of 21 days, 88 were discharged from the hospital, and 2 remain hospitalized in critical condition; 2 patients were not admitted to a hospital. In four family clusters, human-to-human transmission of H7N9 virus could not be ruled out. Excluding secondary cases in clusters, 2675 close contacts of case patients completed the monitoring period; respiratory symptoms developed in 28 of them (1%); all tested negative for H7N9 virus. CONCLUSIONS: Most persons with confirmed H7N9 virus infection had severe lower respiratory tract illness, were epidemiologically unrelated, and had a history of recent exposure to poultry. However, limited, nonsustained human-to-human H7N9 virus transmission could not be ruled out in four families.
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Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Animales , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Familia , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Gripe Humana/virología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neumonía Viral/virología , Aves de CorralRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The goal of polio eradication is to complete elimination and containment of all wild, vaccine-related and Sabin polioviruses. Vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV) surveillance in China from 2001-2013 is summarized in this report, which has important implications for the global polio eradication initiative. METHODS: Acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) cases and their contacts with VDPVs isolated from fecal specimens were identified in our AFP surveillance system or by field investigation. Epidemiological and laboratory information for these children were analyzed and the reasons for the VDPV outbreak was explored. RESULTS: VDPVs were isolated from a total of 49 children in more than two-thirds of Chinese provinces from 2001-2013, including 15 VDPV cases, 15 non-polio AFP cases and 19 contacts of AFP cases or healthy subjects. A total of 3 circulating VDPVs (cVDPVs) outbreaks were reported in China, resulting in 6 cVDPVs cases who had not been vaccinated with oral attenuated poliomyelitis vaccine. Among the 4 immunodeficiency-associated VDPVs (iVDPVs) cases, the longest duration of virus excretion was about 20 months. In addition, one imported VDPV case from Myanmar was detected in Yunnan Province. CONCLUSIONS: Until all wild, vaccine-related and Sabin polioviruses are eradicated in the world, high quality routine immunization and sensitive AFP surveillance should be maintained, focusing efforts on underserved populations in high risk areas.
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Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Parálisis/epidemiología , Parálisis/virología , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/inmunología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Voluntarios Sanos , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Mianmar , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Poliovirus/inmunología , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/uso terapéutico , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/uso terapéutico , Factores de Tiempo , Cobertura de VacunaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The last case of infection with wild-type poliovirus indigenous to China was reported in 1994, and China was certified as a poliomyelitis-free region in 2000. In 2011, an outbreak of infection with imported wild-type poliovirus occurred in the province of Xinjiang. METHODS: We conducted an investigation to guide the response to the outbreak, performed sequence analysis of the poliovirus type 1 capsid protein VP1 to determine the source, and carried out serologic and coverage surveys to assess the risk of viral propagation. Surveillance for acute flaccid paralysis was intensified to enhance case ascertainment. RESULTS: Between July 3 and October 9, 2011, investigators identified 21 cases of infection with wild-type poliovirus and 23 clinically compatible cases in southern Xinjiang. Wild-type poliovirus type 1 was isolated from 14 of 673 contacts of patients with acute flaccid paralysis (2.1%) and from 13 of 491 healthy persons who were not in contact with affected persons (2.6%). Sequence analysis implicated an imported wild-type poliovirus that originated in Pakistan as the cause of the outbreak. A public health emergency was declared in Xinjiang after the outbreak was confirmed. Surveillance for acute flaccid paralysis was enhanced, with daily reporting from all public and private hospitals. Five rounds of vaccination with live, attenuated oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) were conducted among children and adults, and 43 million doses of OPV were administered. Trivalent OPV was used in three rounds, and monovalent OPV type 1 was used in two rounds. The outbreak was stopped 1.5 months after laboratory confirmation of the index case. CONCLUSIONS: The 2011 outbreak in China showed that poliomyelitis-free countries remain at risk for outbreaks while the poliovirus circulates anywhere in the world. Global eradication of poliomyelitis will benefit all countries, even those that are currently free of poliomyelitis.
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Brotes de Enfermedades , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Poliovirus/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Proteínas de la Cápside/genética , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Filogenia , Poliomielitis/diagnóstico , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Poliomielitis/transmisión , Poliovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/administración & dosificación , Vigilancia de la Población , Práctica de Salud Pública , Distribución por SexoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Transmission of the novel avian influenza A H7N9 virus seems to be predominantly between poultry and people. In the major Chinese cities of Shanghai, Hangzhou, Huzhou, and Nanjing--where most human cases of infection have occurred--live poultry markets (LPMs) were closed in April, 2013, soon after the initial outbreak, as a precautionary public health measure. Our objective was to quantify the effect of LPM closure in these cities on poultry-to-person transmission of avian influenza A H7N9 virus. METHODS: We obtained information about every laboratory-confirmed human case of avian influenza A H7N9 virus infection reported in the four cities by June 7, 2013, from a database built by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. We used data for age, sex, location, residence type (rural or urban area), and dates of illness onset. We obtained information about LPMs from official sources. We constructed a statistical model to explain the patterns in incidence of cases reported in each city on the basis of the assumption of a constant force of infection before LPM closure, and a different constant force of infection after closure. We fitted the model with Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. FINDINGS: 85 human cases of avian influenza A H7N9 virus infection were reported in Shanghai, Hangzhou, Huzhou, and Nanjing by June 7, 2013, of which 60 were included in our main analysis. Closure of LPMs reduced the mean daily number of infections by 99% (95% credibility interval 93-100%) in Shanghai, by 99% (92-100%) in Hangzhou, by 97% (68-100%) in Huzhou, and by 97% (81-100%) in Nanjing. Because LPMs were the predominant source of exposure to avian influenza A H7N9 virus for confirmed cases in these cities, we estimated that the mean incubation period was 3·3 days (1·4-5·7). INTERPRETATION: LPM closures were effective in the control of human risk of avian influenza A H7N9 virus infection in the spring of 2013. In the short term, LPM closure should be rapidly implemented in areas where the virus is identified in live poultry or people. In the long term, evidence-based discussions and deliberations about the role of market rest days and central slaughtering of all live poultry should be renewed. FUNDING: Ministry of Science and Technology, China; Research Fund for the Control of Infectious Disease; Hong Kong University Grants Committee; China-US Collaborative Program on Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases; Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics; and the US National Institutes of Health.
Asunto(s)
Subtipo H7N9 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Animales , China , Comercio , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/prevención & control , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/transmisión , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Abastecimiento de Alimentos , Humanos , Gripe Aviar/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Aves de Corral , ZoonosisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: China is approaching measles elimination, but indigenous measles still circulates. County L in China has reported measles-containing vaccine (MCV) coverage rates >95% since 2000. Despite high reported coverage, a large measles outbreak occurred among young children in L County. We measured MCV coverage using 5 different methods during an investigation on this outbreak and compared our estimates with reported rates. METHODS: Reported coverage rates are determined by aggregating clinic-based data across the county: doses administered in each clinic divided by the number of children registered in each clinic. Our methods estimated coverage for the 2010-2012 birth cohort, and were (1) administrative method: doses administered in clinics divided by the birth cohort recorded in the Statistical Year Book, (2) house-to-house convenience-sample survey of children living near cases, (3) vaccination clinic records review, (4) determination of a convenience sample of measles outbreak cases' vaccination statuses and using the field vaccine efficacy outbreak equation to estimate population coverage, and (5) a seroprevalence survey using a convenience sample of residual blood samples from hospitals. RESULTS: The measles outbreak totaled 215 cases, representing an incidence of 195.8 per million population. Our estimated MCV coverage rates were: (1) administrative method: 84.1%-87.0% for MCV1 and 80.3%-90.0% for MCV2, (2) in-house survey: 83.3% of 9-17 month children received MCV1, and 74.5% of 24-47 month children received MCV2, (3) clinic record review: 85.5% of 9-17 month children received MCV1, and 73.2% of 24-59 month children received MCV2, (4) field VE method: 83.6% of 9-47 month children received one or more MCV doses, and (5) serology: seropositive rates were <80% in the 12-17 and 18-23 month age cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with reported coverage >95%, our 5 coverage assessments all showed substantially lower coverage. China should evaluate guidelines for reporting vaccination coverage and identify feasible improvements to the assessment methods.
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Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Vacuna Antisarampión/administración & dosificación , Sarampión/epidemiología , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Niño , Servicios de Salud del Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Promoción de la Salud , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Sarampión/prevención & control , Estudios SeroepidemiológicosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This report describes emergency response following an imported vaccine derived poliovirus (VDPV) case from Myanmar to Yunnan Province, China and the cross-border collaboration between China and Myanmar. Immediately after confirmation of the VDPV case, China disseminated related information to Myanmar with the assistance of the World Health Organization. METHODS: A series of epidemiological investigations were conducted, both in China and Myanmar, including retrospective searches of acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) cases, oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) coverage assessment, and investigation of contacts and healthy children. RESULTS: All children <2 years of age had not been vaccinated in the village where the VDPV case had lived in the past 2 years. Moreover, most areas were not covered for routine immunization in this township due to vaccine shortages and lack of operational funds for the past 2 years. CONCLUSIONS: Cross-border collaboration may have prevented a potential outbreak of VDPV in Myanmar. It is necessary to reinforce cross-border collaboration with neighboring countries in order to maximize the leverage of limited resources.
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Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio Oral/provisión & distribución , Poliovirus/inmunología , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Conducta Cooperativa , Emigración e Inmigración , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Mianmar/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Vacunación , Organización Mundial de la SaludRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: After more than 10 years without a case of wild poliovirus (WPV) in China, an outbreak occurred in 2011 in Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. METHODS: Acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) case surveillance was strengthened with epidemiological investigations and specimen collection and serological surveys were conducted among hospitalized patients. RESULTS: There were 21 WPV cases and 23 clinical compatible polio cases reported. WPV was isolated from 14 contacts of AFP cases and 13 in the healthy population. Incidence of WPV and clinical compatible polio cases were both highest among children <1 years, however, 24/44 (54.5%) polio cases were reported among adults aged 15-39 years. CONCLUSIONS: High coverage of routine immunization should be maintained among children until WPV transmission is globally eradicated. Expansion of AFP case surveillance and use of serologic surveys to estimate population immunity should be conducted rapidly to guide preparedness and response planning for future WPV outbreaks.
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Brotes de Enfermedades , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Trazado de Contacto , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Poliomielitis/diagnóstico , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Poliomyelitis has historically been endemic in China and has been considered an important cause of disability and death. METHODS: We reviewed strategies and measures of poliomyelitis control and eradication from 1953 to 2012. Data from notifiable disease and routine immunization reporting systems and acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance were analyzed. RESULTS: About 20 000 poliomyelitis cases were reported annually in the prevaccine era. During 1965-1977, live, attenuated oral poliomyelitis vaccine (OPV) was administered to children through annual mass campaigns in the winter, and the number of poliomyelitis cases started to decline. A cold chain system was established during 1982, and OPV coverage increased during the early stage of the Expanded Programme on Immunization, from 1978 to 1988. Between 1989 and 1999, routine immunization was strengthened, supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) were conducted, and the AFP surveillance system was established. China reported a last indigenous poliomyelitis case in 1994 and was certified as free of polio in 2000. To maintain its polio-free status, China kept >90% coverage of 3 doses of OPV, conducted SIAs in high-risk areas, and maintained high-quality of AFP surveillance. China succeeded in stopping the outbreak in Xinjiang in 2011. CONCLUSIONS: China's polio-free status was achieved and maintained through strengthening routine immunization and implementing SIAs and AFP surveillance.
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Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/administración & dosificación , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Vacunas contra Poliovirus/inmunologíaRESUMEN
During September 2006-December 2009, we conducted active population and sentinel laboratory-based surveillance for bacterial meningitis pathogens, including Streptococcus pneumoniae, Neisseria meningitidis, and Haemophilus influenzae type b, in 4 China prefectures. We identified 7,876 acute meningitis and encephalitis syndrome cases, including 6,388 among prefecture residents. A total of 833 resident cases from sentinel hospitals met the World Health Organization case definition for probable bacterial meningitis; 339 of these cases were among children <5 years of age. Laboratory testing confirmed bacterial meningitis in 74 of 3,391 tested cases. The estimated annual incidence (per 100,000 population) of probable bacterial meningitis ranged from 1.84 to 2.93 for the entire population and from 6.95 to 22.30 for children <5 years old. Active surveillance with laboratory confirmation has provided a population-based estimate of the number of probable bacterial meningitis cases in China, but more complete laboratory testing is needed to better define the epidemiology of the disease in this country.
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Meningitis Bacterianas/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Geografía Médica , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Meningitis Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Meningitis Bacterianas/microbiología , Estaciones del Año , Vigilancia de GuardiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The novel influenza A H7N9 virus emerged recently in mainland China, whereas the influenza A H5N1 virus has infected people in China since 2003. Both infections are thought to be mainly zoonotic. We aimed to compare the epidemiological characteristics of the complete series of laboratory-confirmed cases of both viruses in mainland China so far. METHODS: An integrated database was constructed with information about demographic, epidemiological, and clinical variables of laboratory-confirmed cases of H7N9 (130 patients) and H5N1 (43 patients) that were reported to the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention until May 24, 2013. We described disease occurrence by age, sex, and geography, and estimated key epidemiological variables. We used survival analysis techniques to estimate the following distributions: infection to onset, onset to admission, onset to laboratory confirmation, admission to death, and admission to discharge. FINDINGS: The median age of the 130 individuals with confirmed infection with H7N9 was 62 years and of the 43 with H5N1 was 26 years. In urban areas, 74% of cases of both viruses were in men, whereas in rural areas the proportions of the viruses in men were 62% for H7N9 and 33% for H5N1. 75% of patients infected with H7N9 and 71% of those with H5N1 reported recent exposure to poultry. The mean incubation period of H7N9 was 3·1 days and of H5N1 was 3·3 days. On average, 21 contacts were traced for each case of H7N9 in urban areas and 18 in rural areas, compared with 90 and 63 for H5N1. The fatality risk on admission to hospital was 36% (95% CI 26-45) for H7N9 and 70% (56-83%) for H5N1. INTERPRETATION: The sex ratios in urban compared with rural cases are consistent with exposure to poultry driving the risk of infection--a higher risk in men was only recorded in urban areas but not in rural areas, and the increased risk for men was of a similar magnitude for H7N9 and H5N1. However, the difference in susceptibility to serious illness with the two different viruses remains unexplained, since most cases of H7N9 were in older adults whereas most cases of H5N1 were in younger people. A limitation of our study is that we compared laboratory-confirmed cases of H7N9 and H5N1 infection, and some infections might not have been ascertained. FUNDING: Ministry of Science and Technology, China; Research Fund for the Control of Infectious Disease and University Grants Committee, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; and the US National Institutes of Health.
Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Adulto , Animales , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Subtipo H5N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Aviar/epidemiología , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aves de Corral , Factores de Riesgo , Salud Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Distribución por Sexo , Salud Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Zoonosis/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Characterisation of the severity profile of human infections with influenza viruses of animal origin is a part of pandemic risk assessment, and an important part of the assessment of disease epidemiology. Our objective was to assess the clinical severity of human infections with avian influenza A H7N9 virus, which emerged in China in early 2013. METHODS: We obtained information about laboratory-confirmed cases of avian influenza A H7N9 virus infection reported as of May 28, 2013, from an integrated database built by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. We estimated the risk of fatality, mechanical ventilation, and admission to the intensive care unit for patients who required hospital admission for medical reasons. We also used information about laboratory-confirmed cases detected through sentinel influenza-like illness surveillance to estimate the symptomatic case fatality risk. FINDINGS: Of 123 patients with laboratory-confirmed avian influenza A H7N9 virus infection who were admitted to hospital, 37 (30%) had died and 69 (56%) had recovered by May 28, 2013. After we accounted for incomplete data for 17 patients who were still in hospital, we estimated the fatality risk for all ages to be 36% (95% CI 26-45) on admission to hospital. Risks of mechanical ventilation or fatality (69%, 95% CI 60-77) and of admission to an intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation, or fatality (83%, 76-90) were high. With assumptions about coverage of the sentinel surveillance network and health-care-seeking behaviour for patients with influenza-like illness associated with influenza A H7N9 virus infection, and pro-rata extrapolation, we estimated that the symptomatic case fatality risk could be between 160 (63-460) and 2800 (1000-9400) per 100,000 symptomatic cases. INTERPRETATION: Human infections with avian influenza A H7N9 virus seem to be less serious than has been previously reported. Many mild cases might already have occurred. Continued vigilance and sustained intensive control efforts are needed to minimise the risk of human infection. FUNDING: Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology; Research Fund for the Control of Infectious Disease; Hong Kong University Grants Committee; China-US Collaborative Program on Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases; Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics; US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease; and the US National Institutes of Health.
Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Animales , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Gripe Aviar/mortalidad , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aves de Corral , Respiración Artificial/estadística & datos numéricos , Salud Rural , Salud Urbana , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: On September 21, 2009, China began administering vaccines, obtained from 10 different manufacturers, against 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection in priority populations. We aimed to assess the safety of this vaccination program. METHODS: We designed a plan for passive surveillance for adverse events after immunization with the influenza A (H1N1) vaccine. Physicians or vaccination providers were required to report the numbers of vaccinees and all adverse events to their local Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which then reported the data to the Chinese CDC through the online National Immunization Information System's National Adverse Event Following Immunization Surveillance System. Data were collected through March 21, 2010, and were verified and analyzed by the Chinese CDC. RESULTS: A total of 89.6 million doses of vaccine were administered from September 21, 2009, through March 21, 2010, and 8067 vaccinees reported having an adverse event, for a rate of 90.0 per 1 million doses. The age-specific rates of adverse events ranged from 31.4 per 1 million doses among persons 60 years of age or older to 130.6 per 1 million doses among persons 9 years of age or younger, and the manufacturer-specific rates ranged from 4.6 to 185.4 per 1 million doses. A total of 6552 of the 8067 adverse events (81.2%; rate, 73.1 per 1 million doses) were verified as vaccine reactions; 1083 of the 8067 (13.4%; rate, 12.1 per 1 million doses) were rare and more serious (vs. common, minor events), most of which (1050) were allergic reactions. Eleven cases of the Guillain-Barré syndrome were reported, for a rate of 0.1 per 1 million doses, which is lower than the background rate in China. CONCLUSIONS: No pattern of adverse events that would be of concern was observed after the administration of influenza A (H1N1) vaccine, nor was there evidence of an increased risk of the Guillain-Barré syndrome.
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Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Vacunas contra la Influenza/efectos adversos , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Vigilancia de Productos Comercializados , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , China , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pandemias , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To analyse the epidemiology of measles in China and determine the progress made towards the national elimination of the disease. METHODS: We analysed measles surveillance data - on the age, sex, residence and vaccination status of each case and the corresponding outcome, dates of onset and report and laboratory results - collected between January 2005 and October 2013. FINDINGS: Between 2005 and October 2013, 596 391 measles cases and 368 measles-related deaths were reported in China. Annual incidence, in cases per 100 000 population, decreased from 9.95 in 2008 to 0.46 in 2012 but then rose to more than 1.96 in 2013. The number of provinces that reported an annual incidence of less than one case per million population increased from one in 2009 to 15 in 2012 but fell back to one in 2013. Median case age decreased from 83 months in 2005 to 14 months in 2012 and 11 months in January to October 2013. Between 2008 and 2012, the incidence of measles in all age groups, including those not targeted for vaccination, decreased by at least 93.6%. However, resurgence started in late 2012 and continued into 2013. Of the cases reported in January to October 2013, 40% were aged 8 months to 6 years. CONCLUSION: Although there is evidence of progress towards the elimination of measles from China, resurgence in 2013 indicated that many children were still not being vaccinated on time. Routine immunization must be strengthened and the remaining immunity gaps need to be identified and filled.
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Sarampión/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Notificación de Enfermedades , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Femenino , Genotipo , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Sarampión/mortalidad , Sarampión/prevención & control , Vacuna Antisarampión , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Vigilancia de la Población , Distribución por Sexo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: After being polio free for more than 10 years, an outbreak occurred in China in 2011 in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (Xinjiang) following the importation of wild poliovirus (WPV) originating from neighboring Pakistan. METHODS: To strengthen acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance in Xinjiang, "zero case daily reporting" and retrospective searching of AFP cases were initiated after the confirmation of the WPV outbreak. To pinpoint all the polio cases in time, AFP surveillance system was expanded to include persons of all ages in the entire population in Xinjiang. RESULTS: Totally, 578 AFP cases were reported in 2011 in Xinjiang, including 21 WPV cases, 23 clinical compatible polio cases and 534 non-polio AFP cases. Of the 44 polio cases, 27 (61.4%) cases were reported among adults aged 15-53 years. Strengthening AFP surveillance resulted in an increase in the number of non-polio AFP cases in 2011 (148 children < 15 years) compared with 76 cases < 15 years in 2010. The AFP surveillance system in Xinjiang was sensitive enough to detect polio cases, with the AFP incidence of 3.28/100,000 among children < 15 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: Incorporating adult cases into the AFP surveillance system is of potential value to understand the overall characteristics of the epidemic and to guide emergency responses, especially in countries facing WPV outbreak following long-term polio free status. The AFP surveillance system in Xinjiang was satisfactory despite limitations in biological sample collection.
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Brotes de Enfermedades , Parálisis/virología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliovirus , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , China/epidemiología , Monitoreo Epidemiológico , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pakistán , Parálisis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/virología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Studies have documented that older children and adolescents act as a reservoir of Bordetella pertussis infection for young infants who have not yet completed their primary immunization schedule. Asymptomatic pertussis infection has been reported during outbreaks. This cross-sectional study aimed to investigate whether B. pertussis and Bordetella parapertussis can colonize the nasopharynx of healthy school children, using culture and pooled real-time PCR with targets for insertion sequences IS481 and IS1001. METHODS: Nasopharyngeal (NP) swabs were taken from 629 asymptomatic school children aged 7 to 15 y in 4 counties of China during the period July-September 2011. The number of subjects included in each county ranged from 153 to 165. The 4 counties selected are located in the north, south, east, and southwest regions of China. NP swabs were inoculated onto Regan-Lowe agar for isolation of suspected Bordetella organisms. Pooled real-time PCRs were used to detect B. pertussis and B. parapertussis based on the IS481 and IS1001 targets separately. RESULTS: Of the 629 subjects, 2 (0.3%) and 30 (4.8%) were confirmed to be culture-positive and PCR-positive, respectively, for B. pertussis, and 1 (0.2%) and 13 (2.1%) were confirmed to be culture-positive and PCR-positive, respectively, for B. parapertussis. All culture-positive samples were also PCR-positive. Furthermore, positive B. pertussis and B. parapertussis samples were found in all counties. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that asymptomatic B. pertussis infections are common in school children in China, and asymptomatic B. parapertussis infections are more prevalent than previously documented.
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Infecciones por Bordetella/epidemiología , Infecciones por Bordetella/microbiología , Bordetella parapertussis/aislamiento & purificación , Bordetella pertussis/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Enfermedades Asintomáticas/epidemiología , Bordetella parapertussis/genética , Bordetella pertussis/genética , Niño , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Prevalencia , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa/métodosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To establish a method for screening neonatal tetanus (NT) in high risk areas in China using multi-sources data. METHODS: We adopted six NT-related indicators from National Notifiable Disease Report System (NNDRS) and National Maternal and Child Health Annual Report System, to calculate weighted high-risk score at prefecture level in 2010 and 2011. And we selected the top 30 high risk cities, and compared the scores with the actual NT incidence ranking and WHO scoring. RESULTS: The highest areas distributed in the Southwest of China with poor and minority population, and the Southeast part with high density of migrants. In the leading 30 prefectures with high score between the methods of weighted high-risk scoring and reported NT incidence ranking, there were 8 different. In comparison of the results of the methods of weighed high-risk scoring and WHO scoring, 276 prefectures in 340 distributed were divided into the same ranking groups, with Kappa coefficient 0.56 (P < 0.01). The Chi-Square association coefficient was 0.74 (P < 0.01), which showed a high correlation. But there were 10 different prefectures in the leading 36 prefectures between the two methods. CONCLUSION: The weighted scoring method included several possible factors influencing NT incidence and took their weights into consideration. Thereby, compared with WHO scoring method, this method could be more appropriate for the reality in China.
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Tamizaje Neonatal , Tétanos/epidemiología , Tétanos/prevención & control , China/epidemiología , Humanos , Recién NacidoRESUMEN
Biomass ethanol is regarded as a renewable resource but it is not economically viable to transform it to high-value industrial chemicals at present. Herein, a simple, green, and low-cost CuCl2-ethanol complex is reported for ethanol dehydration to produce ethylene and acetal simultaneously with high selectivity under sunlight irradiation. Under N2 atmosphere, the generation rates of ethylene and acetal were 165 and 3672 µmol g-1 h-1, accounting for 100% in gas products and 97% in liquid products, respectively. An outstanding apparent quantum yield of 13.2% (365 nm) and the maximum conversion rate of 32% were achieved. The dehydration reactions start from the photoexcited CuCl2-ethanol complex, and then go through the energy transfer (EnT) and ligand to metal charge transfer (LMCT) mechanisms to produce ethylene and acetal, respectively. The formation energies of the CuCl2-ethanol complex and the key intermediate radicals (e.g., ·OH, CH3CH2·, and CH3CH2O·) were validated to clarify the mechanisms. Different from previous CuCl2-based oxidation and addition reactions, this work is anticipated to supply new insights into the dehydration reaction of ethanol to produce useful chemical feedstocks.