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1.
BMC Vet Res ; 20(1): 228, 2024 May 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38796429

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a severe human neuroinfection caused by TBE virus (TBEV). TBEV is transmitted by tick bites and by the consumption of unpasteurized dairy products from infected asymptomatic ruminants. In France, several food-borne transmission events have been reported since 2020, raising the question of the level of exposure of domestic ungulates to TBEV. In this study, our objectives were (i) to estimate TBEV seroprevalence and quantify antibodies titres in cattle in the historical endemic area of TBEV in France using the micro virus neutralisation test (MNT) and (ii) to compare the performance of two veterinary cELISA kits with MNT for detecting anti-TBEV antibodies in cattle in various epidemiological contexts. A total of 344 cattle sera from four grid cells of 100 km² in Alsace-Lorraine (endemic region) and 84 from western France, assumed to be TBEV-free, were investigated. RESULTS: In Alsace-Lorraine, cattle were exposed to the virus with an overall estimated seroprevalence of 57.6% (95% CI: 52.1-62.8%, n = 344), varying locally from 29.9% (95% CI: 21.0-40.0%) to 92.1% (95% CI: 84.5-96.8%). Seroprevalence did not increase with age, with one- to three-year-old cattle being as highly exposed as older ones, suggesting a short-life duration of antibodies. The proportion of sera with MNT titres lower than 1:40 per grid cell decreased with increased seroprevalence. Both cELISA kits showed high specificity (> 90%) and low sensitivity (less than 78.1%) compared with MNT. Sensitivity was lower for sera with neutralising antibodies titres below 1:40, suggesting that sensitivity of these tests varied with local virus circulation intensity. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight that cattle were highly exposed to TBEV. Screening strategy and serological tests should be carefully chosen according to the purpose of the serological study and with regard to the limitations of each method.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Antivirales , Enfermedades de los Bovinos , Virus de la Encefalitis Transmitidos por Garrapatas , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas , Animales , Bovinos , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas/epidemiología , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas/veterinaria , Encefalitis Transmitida por Garrapatas/virología , Virus de la Encefalitis Transmitidos por Garrapatas/inmunología , Virus de la Encefalitis Transmitidos por Garrapatas/aislamiento & purificación , Francia/epidemiología , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/epidemiología , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/virología , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Femenino , Masculino , Pruebas de Neutralización/veterinaria , Enfermedades Endémicas/veterinaria
2.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 18(7): e1010314, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35867712

RESUMEN

Quantifying the variation of pathogens' life history traits in multiple host systems is crucial to understand their transmission dynamics. It is particularly important for arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses), which are prone to infecting several species of vertebrate hosts. Here, we focus on how host-pathogen interactions determine the ability of host species to transmit a virus to susceptible vectors upon a potentially infectious contact. Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a viral, vector-borne, zoonotic disease, chosen as a case study. The relative contributions of livestock species to RVFV transmission has not been previously quantified. To estimate their potential to transmit the virus over the course of their infection, we 1) fitted a within-host model to viral RNA and infectious virus measures, obtained daily from infected lambs, calves, and young goats, 2) estimated the relationship between vertebrate host infectious titers and probability to infect mosquitoes, and 3) estimated the net infectiousness of each host species over the duration of their infectious periods, taking into account different survival outcomes for lambs. Our results indicate that the efficiency of viral replication, along with the lifespan of infectious particles, could be sources of heterogeneity between hosts. Given available data on RVFV competent vectors, we found that, for similar infectious titers, infection rates in the Aedes genus were on average higher than in the Culex genus. Consequently, for Aedes-mediated infections, we estimated the net infectiousness of lambs to be 2.93 (median) and 3.65 times higher than that of calves and goats, respectively. In lambs, we estimated the overall infectiousness to be 1.93 times higher in individuals which eventually died from the infection than in those recovering. Beyond infectiousness, the relative contributions of host species to transmission depend on local ecological factors, including relative abundances and vector host-feeding preferences. Quantifying these contributions will ultimately help design efficient, targeted, surveillance and vaccination strategies.


Asunto(s)
Aedes , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Animales , Ganado , Mosquitos Vectores , Ovinos , Vertebrados , Carga Viral
3.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 117(39): 24567-24574, 2020 09 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32929025

RESUMEN

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is an emerging, zoonotic, arboviral hemorrhagic fever threatening livestock and humans mainly in Africa. RVF is of global concern, having expanded its geographical range over the last decades. The impact of control measures on epidemic dynamics using empirical data has not been assessed. Here, we fitted a mathematical model to seroprevalence livestock and human RVF case data from the 2018-2019 epidemic in Mayotte to estimate viral transmission among livestock, and spillover from livestock to humans through both direct contact and vector-mediated routes. Model simulations were used to assess the impact of vaccination on reducing the epidemic size. The rate of spillover by direct contact was about twice as high as vector transmission. Assuming 30% of the population were farmers, each transmission route contributed to 45% and 55% of the number of human infections, respectively. Reactive vaccination immunizing 20% of the livestock population reduced the number of human cases by 30%. Vaccinating 1 mo later required using 50% more vaccine doses for a similar reduction. Vaccinating only farmers required 10 times as more vaccine doses for a similar reduction in human cases. Finally, with 52.0% (95% credible interval [CrI] [42.9-59.4]) of livestock immune at the end of the epidemic wave, viral reemergence in the next rainy season (2019-2020) is unlikely. Coordinated human and animal health surveillance, and timely livestock vaccination appear to be key to controlling RVF in this setting. We furthermore demonstrate the value of a One Health quantitative approach to surveillance and control of zoonotic infectious diseases.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Animales , Comoras/epidemiología , Epidemias , Humanos , Ganado/virología , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/prevención & control , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/transmisión , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/virología , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift/genética , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift/aislamiento & purificación , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift/fisiología , Estaciones del Año , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Vacunación , Vacunas Virales/administración & dosificación , Zoonosis/transmisión , Zoonosis/virología
4.
Euro Surveill ; 28(14)2023 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37022210

RESUMEN

BackgroundLyme borreliosis (LB) is the most widespread hard tick-borne zoonosis in the northern hemisphere. Existing studies in Europe have focused mainly on acarological risk assessment, with few investigations exploring human LB occurrence.AimWe explored the determinants of spatial and seasonal LB variations in France from 2016 to 2021 by integrating environmental, animal, meteorological and anthropogenic factors, and then mapped seasonal LB risk predictions.MethodsWe fitted 2016-19 LB national surveillance data to a two-part spatio-temporal statistical model. Spatial and temporal random effects were specified using a Besag-York-Mollie model and a seasonal model, respectively. Coefficients were estimated in a Bayesian framework using integrated nested Laplace approximation. Data from 2020-21 were used for model validation.ResultsA high vegetation index (≥ 0.6) was positively associated with seasonal LB presence, while the index of deer presence (> 60%), mild soil temperature (15-22 °C), moderate air saturation deficit (1.5-5 mmHg) and higher tick bite frequency were associated with increased incidence. Prediction maps show a higher risk of LB in spring and summer (April-September), with higher incidence in parts of eastern, midwestern and south-western France.ConclusionWe present a national level spatial assessment of seasonal LB occurrence in Europe, disentangling factors associated with the presence and increased incidence of LB. Our findings yield quantitative evidence for national public health agencies to plan targeted prevention campaigns to reduce LB burden, enhance surveillance and identify further data needs. This approach can be tested in other LB endemic areas.


Asunto(s)
Ciervos , Enfermedad de Lyme , Humanos , Animales , Teorema de Bayes , Incidencia , Estaciones del Año , Enfermedad de Lyme/epidemiología , Francia/epidemiología
5.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 26(5): 1041-1044, 2020 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32310061

RESUMEN

We conducted a serologic survey for Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus antibodies in livestock (cattle, sheep, and goats; N = 3,890) on Corsica (island of France) during 2014-2016. Overall, 9.1% of animals were seropositive, suggesting this virus circulates on Corsica. However, virus identification is needed to confirm these results.


Asunto(s)
Virus de la Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea-Congo , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea , Animales , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Bovinos , Francia/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea/veterinaria , Ganado , Ovinos
6.
One Health ; 18: 100747, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38746540

RESUMEN

Tick-borne flaviviruses and Borrelia spp. are globally spread pathogens of zoonotic potential that are maintained by a transmission cycle at the interface between ticks and vertebrate hosts, mainly wild animals. Aside data on pathogen burden in ticks, information on the status of various hosts relative to infection is important to acquire. We reviewed how those infections have been studied in wildlife host species in the field to discuss how collected data provided relevant epidemiological information and to identify needs for further studies. The literature was screened for observational studies on pathogen or antibody detection for tick-borne Borrelia spp. and flaviviruses in wildlife host animals. Overall, Borrelia spp. were more studied (73% of case studies, representing 297 host species) than flaviviruses (27% of case studies, representing 114 host species). Studies on both Borrelia spp. and flaviviruses focused mainly on the same species, namely bank vole and yellow-necked mouse. Most studies were order-specific and cross-sectional, reporting prevalence at various locations, but with little insight into the underlying epidemiological dynamics. Host species with potential to act as reservoir hosts of these pathogens were neglected, notably birds. We highlight the necessity of collecting both demographics and infection data in wildlife studies, and to consider communities of species, to better estimate zoonotic risk potential in the One Health context.

7.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 19(6): 916-24, 2013 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23735606

RESUMEN

A Rift Valley fever (RVF) epidemic affecting animals on domestic livestock farms was reported in South Africa during January-August 2010. The first cases occurred after heavy rainfall, and the virus subsequently spread countrywide. To determine the possible effect of environmental conditions and vaccination on RVF virus transmissibility, we estimated the effective reproduction number (Re) for the virus over the course of the epidemic by extending the Wallinga and Teunis algorithm with spatial information. Re reached its highest value in mid-February and fell below unity around mid-March, when vaccination coverage was 7.5%-45.7% and vector-suitable environmental conditions were maintained. The epidemic fade-out likely resulted first from the immunization of animals following natural infection or vaccination. The decline in vector-suitable environmental conditions from April onwards and further vaccination helped maintain Re below unity. Increased availability of vaccine use data would enable evaluation of the effect of RVF vaccination campaigns.


Asunto(s)
Epidemias , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Animales , Clima , Geografía Médica , Historia del Siglo XXI , Incidencia , Ganado/virología , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/historia , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/prevención & control , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Vacunación
8.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 16(11): e0010339, 2022 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36399500

RESUMEN

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a zoonotic arbovirosis which has been reported across Africa including the northernmost edge, South West Indian Ocean islands, and the Arabian Peninsula. The virus is responsible for high abortion rates and mortality in young ruminants, with economic impacts in affected countries. To date, RVF epidemiological mechanisms are not fully understood, due to the multiplicity of implicated vertebrate hosts, vectors, and ecosystems. In this context, mathematical models are useful tools to develop our understanding of complex systems, and mechanistic models are particularly suited to data-scarce settings. Here, we performed a systematic review of mechanistic models studying RVF, to explore their diversity and their contribution to the understanding of this disease epidemiology. Researching Pubmed and Scopus databases (October 2021), we eventually selected 48 papers, presenting overall 49 different models with numerical application to RVF. We categorized models as theoretical, applied, or grey, depending on whether they represented a specific geographical context or not, and whether they relied on an extensive use of data. We discussed their contributions to the understanding of RVF epidemiology, and highlighted that theoretical and applied models are used differently yet meet common objectives. Through the examination of model features, we identified research questions left unexplored across scales, such as the role of animal mobility, as well as the relative contributions of host and vector species to transmission. Importantly, we noted a substantial lack of justification when choosing a functional form for the force of infection. Overall, we showed a great diversity in RVF models, leading to important progress in our comprehension of epidemiological mechanisms. To go further, data gaps must be filled, and modelers need to improve their code accessibility.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Femenino , Embarazo , Animales , Ecosistema , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , África , Arabia
9.
Vaccine ; 40(40): 5806-5813, 2022 09 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36058795

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a priority emerging pathogen for which a licensed vaccine is not yet available. We aim to assess the feasibility of conducting phase III vaccine efficacy trials and the role of varying transmission dynamics. METHODS: We calibrate models of CCHF virus (CCHFV) transmission among livestock and spillover to humans in endemic areas in Afghanistan, Turkey and South Africa. We propose an individual randomised controlled trial targeted to high-risk population, and use the calibrated models to simulate trial cohorts to estimate the minimum necessary number of cases (trial endpoints) to analyse a vaccine with a minimum efficacy of 60%, under different conditions of sample size and follow-up time in the three selected settings. RESULTS: A mean follow-up of 160,000 person-month (75,000-550,000) would be necessary to accrue the required 150 trial endpoints for a target vaccine efficacy of 60 % and clinically defined endpoint, in a setting like Herat, Afghanistan. For Turkey, the same would be achieved with a mean follow-up of 175,000 person-month (50,000-350,000). The results suggest that for South Africa the low endemic transmission levels will not permit achieving the necessary conditions for conducting this trial within a realistic follow-up time. In the scenario of CCHFV vaccine trial designed to capture infection as opposed to clinical case as a trial endpoint, the required person-months is reduced by 70 % to 80 % in Afghanistan and Turkey, and in South Africa, a trial becomes feasible for a large number of person-months of follow-up (>600,000). Increased expected vaccine efficacy > 60 % will reduce the required number of trial endpoints and thus the sample size and follow-time in phase III trials. CONCLUSIONS: Underlying endemic transmission levels will play a central role in defining the feasibility of phase III vaccine efficacy trials. Endemic settings in Afghanistan and Turkey offer conditions under which such studies could feasibly be conducted.


Asunto(s)
Virus de la Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea-Congo , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea , Vacunas , Animales , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica de Crimea/prevención & control , Humanos , Ganado , Eficacia de las Vacunas
10.
Commun Med (Lond) ; 2(1): 163, 2022 Dec 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36543938

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is a zoonosis that affects large parts of Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. RVF virus (RVFV) is transmitted to humans through contacts with infected animals, animal products, mosquito bites or aerosols. Its pathogenesis in humans ranges from asymptomatic forms to potentially deadly haemorrhagic fevers, and the true burden of human infections during outbreaks is generally unknown. METHODS: We build a model fitted to both passive surveillance data and serological data collected throughout a RVF epidemic that occurred in Mayotte Island in 2018-2019. RESULTS: We estimate that RVFV infected 10,797 (95% CrI 4,728-16,127) people aged ≥15 years old in Mayotte during the entire outbreak, among which only 1.2% (0.67%-2.2%) were reported to the syndromic surveillance system. RVFV IgG seroprevalence in people ≥15 years old was estimated to increase from 5.5% (3.6%-7.7%) before the outbreak to 12.9% (10.4%-16.3%) thereafter. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that a large part of RVFV infected people present subclinical forms of the disease and/or do not reach medical care that could lead to their detection by the surveillance system. This may threaten the implementation of exhaustive RVF surveillance and adequate control programs in affected countries.


Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is a disease caused by a virus transmitted from livestock animals to humans by mosquito bites, aerosols or direct contact with infected animals or animal products. In some parts of Africa and the Arabian Peninsula, the virus can lead to large outbreaks in both humans and animals. Despite some infected people developing severe forms of the disease, some experience no or mild symptoms. Therefore, infection is often not detected by surveillance systems based on the reporting of symptoms by patients. Here, we use data collected during a RVF outbreak that occurred in 2018­2019 in Mayotte Island, in the Indian Ocean, to model the course of the outbreak in humans. We estimate that, throughout the epidemic, only 1.2% of infected people were detected by the surveillance system. Our results highlight that most human cases may go unreported during RVF outbreaks, making it difficult to monitor the burden of infections.

11.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 6(2): e1000683, 2010 Feb 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20174604

RESUMEN

Outbreaks of H5N1 in poultry in Vietnam continue to threaten the livelihoods of those reliant on poultry production whilst simultaneously posing a severe public health risk given the high mortality associated with human infection. Authorities have invested significant resources in order to control these outbreaks. Of particular interest is the decision, following a second wave of outbreaks, to move from a "stamping out" approach to the implementation of a nationwide mass vaccination campaign. Outbreaks which occurred around this shift in policy provide a unique opportunity to evaluate the relative effectiveness of these approaches and to help other countries make informed judgements when developing control strategies. Here we use Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) data augmentation techniques to derive the first quantitative estimates of the impact of the vaccination campaign on the spread of outbreaks of H5N1 in northern Vietnam. We find a substantial decrease in the transmissibility of infection between communes following vaccination. This was coupled with a significant increase in the time from infection to detection of the outbreak. Using a cladistic approach we estimated that, according to the posterior mean effect of pruning the reconstructed epidemic tree, two thirds of the outbreaks in 2007 could be attributed to this decrease in the rate of reporting. The net impact of these two effects was a less intense but longer-lasting wave and, whilst not sufficient to prevent the sustained spread of outbreaks, an overall reduction in the likelihood of the transmission of infection between communes. These findings highlight the need for more effectively targeted surveillance in order to help ensure that the effective coverage achieved by mass vaccination is converted into a reduction in the likelihood of outbreaks occurring which is sufficient to control the spread of H5N1 in Vietnam.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades/veterinaria , Subtipo H5N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Aviar/prevención & control , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/prevención & control , Animales , Teorema de Bayes , Simulación por Computador , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Geografía , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Gripe Aviar/epidemiología , Gripe Aviar/inmunología , Gripe Aviar/transmisión , Vacunación Masiva/veterinaria , Aves de Corral/virología , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/epidemiología , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/inmunología , Enfermedades de las Aves de Corral/transmisión , Vietnam/epidemiología
12.
Pathogens ; 10(4)2021 Apr 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33917723

RESUMEN

In recent decades, the incidence of Lyme borreliosis (LB) in Europe seems to have increased, underpinning a growing public health concern. LB surveillance systems across the continent are heterogeneous, and the spatial and temporal patterns of LB reports have been little documented. In this study, we explored the spatio-temporal patterns of LB cases reported in France from 2016 to 2019, to describe high-risk clusters and generate hypotheses on their occurrence. The space-time K-function and the Kulldorf's scan statistic were implemented separately for each year to evaluate space-time interaction between reported cases and searching clusters. The results show that the main spatial clusters, of radius size up to 97 km, were reported in central and northeastern France each year. In 2017-2019, spatial clusters were also identified in more southern areas (near the Alps and the Mediterranean coast). Spatio-temporal clustering occurred between May and August, over one-month to three-month windows in 2016-2017 and in 2018-2019. A strong spatio-temporal interaction was identified in 2018 within 16 km and seven days, suggesting a potential local and intense pathogen transmission process. Ongoing improved surveillance and accounting for animal hosts, vectors, meteorological factors and human behaviors are keys to further elucidate LB spatio-temporal patterns.

13.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 15(3): e0009202, 2021 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33684126

RESUMEN

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a vector-borne viral disease of major animal and public health importance. In 2018-19, it caused an epidemic in both livestock and human populations of the island of Mayotte. Using Bayesian modelling approaches, we assessed the spatio-temporal pattern of RVF virus (RVFV) infection in livestock and human populations across the island, and factors shaping it. First, we assessed if (i) livestock movements, (ii) spatial proximity from communes with infected animals, and (iii) livestock density were associated with the temporal sequence of RVFV introduction into Mayotte communes' livestock populations. Second, we assessed whether the rate of human infection was associated with (a) spatial proximity from and (b) livestock density of communes with infected animals. Our analyses showed that the temporal sequence of RVFV introduction into communes' livestock populations was associated with livestock movements and spatial proximity from communes with infected animals, with livestock movements being associated with the best model fit. Moreover, the pattern of human cases was associated with their spatial proximity from communes with infected animals, with the risk of human infection sharply increasing if livestock in the same or close communes were infected. This study highlights the importance of understanding livestock movement networks in informing the design of risk-based RVF surveillance programs.


Asunto(s)
Ganado , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , Animales , Comoras/epidemiología , Epidemias/veterinaria , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Factores de Riesgo , Zoonosis
14.
Nat Commun ; 12(1): 5593, 2021 09 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34552082

RESUMEN

The persistence mechanisms of Rift Valley fever (RVF), a zoonotic arboviral haemorrhagic fever, at both local and broader geographical scales have yet to be fully understood and rigorously quantified. We developed a mathematical metapopulation model describing RVF virus transmission in livestock across the four islands of the Comoros archipelago, accounting for island-specific environments and inter-island animal movements. By fitting our model in a Bayesian framework to 2004-2015 surveillance data, we estimated the importance of environmental drivers and animal movements on disease persistence, and tested the impact of different control scenarios on reducing disease burden throughout the archipelago. Here we report that (i) the archipelago network was able to sustain viral transmission in the absence of explicit disease introduction events after early 2007, (ii) repeated outbreaks during 2004-2020 may have gone under-detected by local surveillance, and (iii) co-ordinated within-island control measures are more effective than between-island animal movement restrictions.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Teóricos , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/prevención & control , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/transmisión , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift/fisiología , Animales , Comoras/epidemiología , Ganado/virología , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Zoonosis/prevención & control , Zoonosis/transmisión
15.
Epidemics ; 33: 100409, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33137548

RESUMEN

Estimating the epidemic potential of vector-borne diseases, along with the relative contribution of underlying mechanisms, is crucial for animal and human health worldwide. In West African Sahel, several outbreaks of Rift Valley fever (RVF) have occurred over the last decades, but uncertainty remains about the conditions necessary to trigger these outbreaks. We use the basic reproduction number (R0) as a measure of RVF epidemic potential in northern Senegal, and map its value in two distinct ecosystems, namely the Ferlo and the Senegal River delta and valley. We consider three consecutive rainy seasons (July-November 2014, 2015 and 2016) and account for several vector and animal species. We parametrize our model with estimates of Aedes vexans arabiensis, Culex poicilipes, Culex tritaeniorhynchus, cattle, sheep and goat abundances. The impact of RVF virus introduction is assessed every week over northern Senegal. We highlight September as the period of highest epidemic potential in northern Senegal, resulting from distinct dynamics in the two study areas. Spatially, in the seasonal environment of the Ferlo, we observe that high-risk locations vary between years. We show that decreased vector densities do not greatly reduce R0 and that cattle immunity has a greater impact on reducing transmission than small ruminant immunity. The host preferences of vectors and the temperature-dependent time interval between their blood meals are crucial parameters needing further biological investigations.


Asunto(s)
Fiebre del Valle del Rift/epidemiología , Aedes/virología , Animales , Bovinos , Culex/virología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Vectores de Enfermedades , Ecosistema , Epidemias , Humanos , Mosquitos Vectores , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/transmisión , Fiebre del Valle del Rift/virología , Virus de la Fiebre del Valle del Rift , Estaciones del Año , Senegal/epidemiología , Ovinos , Temperatura
16.
Vet Med Sci ; 6(1): 114-121, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31845545

RESUMEN

This study aimed at determining the seroprevalence of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in domestic ruminants and at characterizing the virus strains circulating in four areas of Chad (East Batha, West Batha, Wadi Fira and West Ennedi). The study was carried out between October and November 2016. A total of 1,520 sera samples (928 cattle, 216 goats, 254 sheep and 122 dromedaries) were collected randomly for FMD serological analyses. Nine epithelial tissue samples were also collected from cattle showing clinical signs, for FMDV isolation and characterization. Serological results showed an overall NSP seroprevalence of 40% (375/928) in cattle in our sample (95% CrI [19-63]). However, seroprevalences of 84% (27/32), 78% (35/45) and 84% (21/25) were estimated in cattle over 5 years of age in East Batha, West Batha and Wadi Fira, respectively. In cattle under 1 year of age, 67% (18/27) seroprevalence was estimated in Wadi Fira, 64% (14/22) in East Batha and 59% (13/22) in West Batha. It was found that the high seroprevalences have been obtained in areas where pastures are shared by several different herds but also in farms where two to three species (bovine, caprine and ovine) are raised together. ELISA PrioCHECK® FMDV types O and A and in-house solid phase competition ELISA serotyping results showed that the four O, A, SAT1 and SAT2 serotypes have circulated in Chad in 2016. However, the type SAT2 dominated with an overall seroprevalence of 43% (29/67) and was present in the four areas investigated. The phylogenetic analyses of the VP1 coding sequence allowed determining the serotype SAT2 topotype VII, close to viral strains found in Cameroon in 2015 with a similarity of 98.60%.


Asunto(s)
Camelus , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/epidemiología , Virus de la Fiebre Aftosa/fisiología , Fiebre Aftosa/epidemiología , Enfermedades de las Cabras/epidemiología , Enfermedades de las Ovejas/epidemiología , Animales , Bovinos , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/virología , Chad/epidemiología , Fiebre Aftosa/virología , Virus de la Fiebre Aftosa/clasificación , Enfermedades de las Cabras/virología , Cabras , Filogenia , Prevalencia , Análisis de Secuencia de ARN/veterinaria , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Ovinos , Enfermedades de las Ovejas/virología , Oveja Doméstica
17.
Front Vet Sci ; 6: 242, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31396525

RESUMEN

Peste des Petits Ruminants (PPR) is a viral disease affecting domestic and small wild ruminants. Endemic in large parts of the world, PPR causes severe damages to animal production and household economies. In 2015, FAO and OIE launched a global eradication program (GCSE) based on vaccination campaigns. The success of GCSE shall depend on the implementation of vaccination campaigns, accounting for husbandry practices, mobility and the periodicity of small ruminants' population renewal. In Mauritania, PPR outbreaks occur annually despite ongoing annual vaccination campaigns since 2008. Here, we developed a mathematical model to assess the impact of four vaccination strategies (including the GSCE one), the importance of their timing of implementation and the usefulness of individual animal identification on the reduction of PPR burden. The model was calibrated on data collected through ad-hoc surveys about demographic dynamics, disease impact, and national seroprevalence using Monte Carlo Markov Chain procedure. Numerical simulations were used to estimate the number of averted deaths over the next 12 years. The model results showed that the GSCE strategy prevented the largest number of deaths (9.2 million vs. 6.2 for random strategy) and provided one of the highest economic returns among all strategies (Benefit-Cost Ratio around 16 vs. 7 for random strategy). According to its current cost, identification would be a viable investment that could reduce the number of vaccine doses to distribute by 20-60%. Whilst the implementation of the identification system is crucial for PPR control, its success depends also on a coordinated approach at the regional level.

18.
Sci Rep ; 9(1): 537, 2019 01 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30679459

RESUMEN

Bats are natural reservoirs of the largest proportion of viral zoonoses among mammals, thus understanding the conditions for pathogen persistence in bats is essential to reduce human risk. Focusing on the European Bat Lyssavirus subtype 1 (EBLV-1), causing rabies disease, we develop a data-driven spatially explicit metapopulation model to investigate EBLV-1 persistence in Myotis myotis and Miniopterus schreibersii bat species in Catalonia. We find that persistence relies on host spatial structure through the migratory nature of M. schreibersii, on cross-species mixing with M. myotis, and on survival of infected animals followed by temporary immunity. The virus would not persist in the single colony of M. myotis. Our study provides for the first time epidemiological estimates for EBLV-1 progression in M. schreibersii. Our approach can be readily adapted to other zoonoses of public health concern where long-range migration and habitat sharing may play an important role.


Asunto(s)
Quirópteros/fisiología , Quirópteros/virología , Lyssavirus/fisiología , Infecciones por Rhabdoviridae/epidemiología , Infecciones por Rhabdoviridae/transmisión , Inmunidad Adaptativa , Migración Animal/fisiología , Animales , Cuevas , Ecosistema , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Salud Pública , Infecciones por Rhabdoviridae/inmunología , Infecciones por Rhabdoviridae/virología , Estaciones del Año , Conducta Sexual Animal/fisiología , España/epidemiología , Zoonosis/virología
19.
Acta Trop ; 191: 24-28, 2019 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30590029

RESUMEN

A cross-sectional study was conducted to explore the epidemiological situation in Mayotte regarding two orbiviruses: Bluetongue virus (BTV) and Epizootic Haemorrhagic Disease virus (EHDV). In all, 385 individual asymptomatic cattle were blood-sampled (one EDTA and one serum tube per animal) between February and June 2016. Antibody (ELISA) and genome prevalence (PCR) was assessed. Almost all the selected cattle showed antibodies against both BTV and EHDV, at 99.5% (CI95% [98.00, 100]) and 96.9% (CI95% [94.5, 98.3]), respectively. Most of the cattle acquired antibodies in their first years of age. EHDV and BTV genomes were detected in 25.2% (CI95% [21.1, 29.8]) and 18.2% (CI95% [14.6, 22.4]) of samples, respectively. Coinfection with BTV and EHDV was observed in 9.4% of samples (CI95% [6.8, 12.7]). Cattle under three years old were more frequently reported as positive for genome detection by PCR than older cattle. Five serotypes of BTV and one serotype of EHDV were identified from eight samples: BTV-4, BTV-9, BTV-11, BTV-15, BTV-19 and EHDV-6, of which some were reported in neighbouring areas. BTV and EHDV both circulate in Mayotte and in its surrounding territories.


Asunto(s)
Virus de la Lengua Azul/aislamiento & purificación , Lengua Azul/epidemiología , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/epidemiología , Virus de la Enfermedad Hemorrágica Epizoótica/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones por Reoviridae/epidemiología , Ovinos/virología , Animales , Bovinos , Comoras/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales
20.
Transbound Emerg Dis ; 66(6): 2601-2604, 2019 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31390479

RESUMEN

Mayotte is an island located in the Mozambique Channel, between Mozambique and Madagascar, in the South Western Indian Ocean region. A severe syndrome of unknown aetiology has been observed seasonally since 2009 in cattle (locally named "cattle flu"), associated with anorexia, nasal discharge, hyperthermia and lameness. We sampled blood from a panel of those severely affected animals at the onset of disease signs and analysed these samples by next-generation sequencing. We first identified the presence of ephemeral bovine fever viruses (BEFV), an arbovirus belonging to the genus Ephemerovirus within the family Rhabdoviridae, thus representing the first published sequences of BEFV viruses of African origin. In addition, we also discovered and genetically characterized a potential new species within the genus Ephemerovirus, called Mavingoni virus (MVGV) from one diseased animal. Finally, both MVGV and BEFV have been identified in cattle from the same herd, evidencing a co-circulation of different ephemeroviruses on the island. The clinical, epidemiological and virological information strongly suggests that these viruses represent the etiological agents of the observed "cattle flu" within this region. This study highlights the importance of the strengthening and harmonizing arboviral surveillance in Mayotte and its neighbouring areas, including Africa mainland, given the importance of the diffusion of infectious diseases (such as BEFV) mediated by animal and human movements in the South Western Indian Ocean area.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades de los Bovinos/virología , Fiebre Efímera/virología , Ephemerovirus/clasificación , Ephemerovirus/genética , Animales , Bovinos , Enfermedades de los Bovinos/epidemiología , Comoras/epidemiología , Fiebre Efímera/epidemiología , Genoma Viral , Filogenia , Vigilancia de la Población , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN/veterinaria
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