Prediction of Survival in Asian Patients Hospitalized With Heart Failure: Validation of the OPTIMIZE-HF Risk Score.

BACKGROUND: Risk scores predicting in-patient mortality in heart failure patients have not been designed specifically for Asian patients. We aimed to validate and recalibrate the OPTIMIZE-HF risk model for in-hospital mortality in a multiethnic Asian population hospitalized for heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from the Singapore Cardiac Databank Heart Failure on patients admitted for heart failure from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2013, were included. The primary outcome studied was in-hospital mortality. Two models were compared: the original OPTIMIZE-HF risk model and a modified OPTIMIZE-HF risk model (similar variables but with coefficients derived from our cohort). A total of 15,219 patients were included. The overall in-hospital mortality was 1.88% (n = 286). The original model had a C-statistic of 0.739 (95% CI 0.708-0.770) with a good match between predicted and observed mortality rates (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic 13.8; P = .086). The modified model had a C-statistic of 0.741 (95% CI 0.709-0.773) but a significant difference between predicted and observed mortality rates (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic 17.2; P = .029). The modified model tended to underestimate risk at the extremes (lowest and highest ends) of risk. CONCLUSIONS: We provide the first independent validation of the OPTIMIZE-HF risk score in an Asian population. This risk model has been shown to perform reliably in our Asian cohort and will potentially provide clinicians with a useful tool to identify high-risk heart failure patients for more intensive management.

Socioeconomic Status and Outcomes in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction From Asia.

BACKGROUND: Little is known regarding the impact of socioeconomic factors on the use of evidence-based therapies and outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction across Asia. METHODS: We investigated the association of both patient-level (household income, education levels) and country-level (regional income level by World Bank classification, income disparity by Gini index) socioeconomic indicators on use of guideline-directed therapy and clinical outcomes (composite of 1-year mortality or HF hospitalization, quality of life) in the prospective multinational ASIAN-HF study (Asian Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure). RESULTS: Among 4540 patients (mean age: 60±13 years, 23% women) with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, 39% lived in low-income regions; 34% in regions with high-income disparity (Gini ≥42.8%); 64.4% had low monthly household income (

Comparison of Characteristics and Outcomes of Heart Failure Patients With Preserved Versus Reduced Ejection Fraction in a Multiethnic Southeast Asian Cohort.

There are few data comparing the patient characteristics and outcomes of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced EF (HFrEF) in Asian cohorts. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and 1-year outcomes of a well-defined Southeast Asian HFpEF cohort in comparison to an HFrEF cohort. We conducted a retrospective observational study of 1,978 patients discharged from Changi General Hospital, Singapore with a primary diagnosis of HF from 2009 to 2013. About 29% of discharges had HFpEF. Patients with HFpEF were more likely to be women, older age, and have a higher prevalence of hypertension. There were no significant differences in the absolute rates of 30-day outcomes between the 2 groups. The absolute rate of death at 1 year was similar in HFrEF and HFpEF at 17% and 15%, respectively (p = 0.3). After multivariate adjustment, there was no difference in the outcomes of the 2 groups. Atrial fibrillation at baseline was a predictor of death or HF hospitalization in HFpEF but not HFrEF (interaction p = 0.003). In conclusion, in this study of a Southeast Asian population with well-defined HF, we found that the clinical profile of patients with HF was similar to that in the West and 30-day and 1-year mortality and morbidity were not significantly different between cohorts.