Trial of a Preferential Phosphodiesterase 4B Inhibitor for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4) inhibition is associated with antiinflammatory and antifibrotic effects that may be beneficial in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: In this phase 2, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we investigated the efficacy and safety of BI 1015550, an oral preferential inhibitor of the PDE4B subtype, in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Patients were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive BI 1015550 at a dose of 18 mg twice daily or placebo. The primary end point was the change from baseline in the forced vital capacity (FVC) at 12 weeks, which we analyzed with a Bayesian approach separately according to background nonuse or use of an antifibrotic agent. RESULTS: A total of 147 patients were randomly assigned to receive BI 1015550 or placebo. Among patients without background antifibrotic use, the median change in the FVC was 5.7 ml (95% credible interval, -39.1 to 50.5) in the BI 1015550 group and -81.7 ml (95% credible interval, -133.5 to -44.8) in the placebo group (median difference, 88.4 ml; 95% credible interval, 29.5 to 154.2; probability that BI 1015550 was superior to placebo, 0.998). Among patients with background antifibrotic use, the median change in the FVC was 2.7 ml (95% credible interval, -32.8 to 38.2) in the BI 1015550 group and -59.2 ml (95% credible interval, -111.8 to -17.9) in the placebo group (median difference, 62.4 ml; 95% credible interval, 6.3 to 125.5; probability that BI 1015550 was superior to placebo, 0.986). A mixed model with repeated measures analysis provided results that were consistent with those of the Bayesian analysis. The most frequent adverse event was diarrhea. A total of 13 patients discontinued BI 1015550 treatment owing to adverse events. The percentages of patients with serious adverse events or severe adverse events were similar in the two trial groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this placebo-controlled trial, treatment with BI 1015550, either alone or with background use of an antifibrotic agent, prevented a decrease in lung function in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. (Funded by Boehringer Ingelheim; 1305-0013 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04419506.).

Deep Learning-based Segmentation of CT Scans Predicts Disease Progression and Mortality in IPF.

RATIONALE: Despite evidence demonstrating a prognostic role for CT scans in IPF, image-based biomarkers are not routinely used in clinical practice or trials. OBJECTIVES: Develop automated imaging biomarkers using deep learning based segmentation of CT scans. METHODS: We developed segmentation processes for four anatomical biomarkers which were applied to a unique cohort of treatment-naive IPF patients enrolled in the PROFILE study and tested against a further UK cohort. The relationship between CT biomarkers, lung function, disease progression and mortality were assessed. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Data was analysed from 446 PROFILE patients. Median follow-up was 39.1 months (IQR 18.1-66.4) with cumulative incidence of death of 277 over 5 years (62.1%). Segmentation was successful on 97.8% of all scans, across multiple imaging vendors at slice thicknesses 0.5-5mm. Of 4 segmentations, lung volume showed strongest correlation with FVC (r=0.82, p<0.001). Lung, vascular and fibrosis volumes were consistently associated across cohorts with differential five-year survival, which persisted after adjustment for baseline GAP score. Lower lung volume (HR 0.98, CI 0.96-0.99, p=0.001), increased vascular volume (HR 1.30, CI 1.12-1.51, p=0.001) and increased fibrosis volume (HR 1.17, CI 1.12-1.22, p=<0.001) were associated with reduced two-year progression-free survival in the pooled PROFILE cohort. Longitudinally, decreasing lung volume (HR 3.41; 95% CI 1.36-8.54; p=0.009) and increasing fibrosis volume (HR 2.23; 95% CI 1.22-4.08; p=0.009) were associated with differential survival. CONCLUSIONS: Automated models can rapidly segment IPF CT scans, providing prognostic near and long-term information, which could be used in routine clinical practice or as key trial endpoints. This article is open access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Machine Learning of Plasma Proteomics Classifies Diagnosis of Interstitial Lung Disease.

RATIONALE: Distinguishing connective tissue disease associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) from idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) can be clinically challenging. OBJECTIVES: Identify proteins that separate and classify CTD-ILD from IPF patients. METHODS: Four registries with 1247 IPF and 352 CTD-ILD patients were included in analyses. Plasma samples were subjected to high-throughput proteomics assays. Protein features were prioritized using Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) to construct a proteomic classifier. Multiple machine learning models, including Support Vector Machine, LASSO regression, Random Forest (RF), and imbalanced-RF, were trained and tested in independent cohorts. The validated models were used to classify each case iteratively in external datasets. MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS: A classifier with 37 proteins (PC37) was enriched in biological process of bronchiole development and smooth muscle proliferation, and immune responses. Four machine learning models used PC37 with sex and age score to generate continuous classification values. Receiver-operating-characteristic curve analyses of these scores demonstrated consistent Area-Under-Curve 0.85-0.90 in test cohort, and 0.94-0.96 in the single-sample dataset. Binary classification demonstrated 78.6%-80.4% sensitivity and 76%-84.4% specificity in test cohort, 93.5%-96.1% sensitivity and 69.5%-77.6% specificity in single-sample classification dataset. Composite analysis of all machine learning models confirmed 78.2% (194/248) accuracy in test cohort and 82.9% (208/251) in single-sample classification dataset. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple machine learning models trained with large cohort proteomic datasets consistently distinguished CTD-ILD from IPF. Identified proteins involved in immune pathways. We further developed a novel approach for single sample classification, which could facilitate honing the differential diagnosis of ILD in challenging cases and improve clinical decision-making.

Genetics and Genomics of Pulmonary Fibrosis: Charting the Molecular Landscape and Shaping Precision Medicine.

Recent genetic and genomic advancements have elucidated the complex etiology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and other progressive fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), emphasizing the contribution of heritable factors. This state-of-the-art review synthesizes evidence on significant genetic contributors to pulmonary fibrosis (PF), including rare genetic variants and common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The MUC5B promoter variant is unusual, a common SNP that markedly elevates the risk of early and established PF. We address the utility of genetic variation in enhancing understanding of disease pathogenesis, clinical phenotypes, improving disease definitions, and informing prognosis and treatment response. Critical research gaps are highlighted, particularly the underrepresentation of non-European ancestries in PF genetic studies and the exploration of PF phenotypes beyond usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP)/IPF. We discuss the role of telomere length, often critically short in PF, and its link to progression and mortality, underscoring the genetic complexity involving telomere biology genes (TERT, TERC) and others like SFTPC and MUC5B. Additionally, we address the potential of gene-by-environment interactions to modulate disease manifestation, advocating for precision medicine in PF. Insights from gene expression profiling studies and multi-omic analyses highlight the promise for understanding disease pathogenesis and offer new approaches to clinical care, therapeutic drug development, and biomarker discovery. Finally, we discuss the ethical, legal, and social implications of genomic research and therapies in PF, stressing the need for sound practices and informed clinical genetic discussions. Looking forward, we advocate for comprehensive genetic testing panels and polygenic risk scores to improve the management of PF and related ILDs across diverse populations.

Phase 2, Double-Blind, Placebo-controlled Trial of a c-Jun N-Terminal Kinase Inhibitor in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a fatal and progressive disease with limited treatment options. Objectives: To assess the efficacy and safety of CC-90001, an oral inhibitor of c-Jun N-terminal kinase 1, in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Methods: NCT03142191 was a phase 2, randomized (1:1:1), double-blind, placebo-controlled study in which patients received CC-90001 (200 or 400 mg) or placebo once daily for 24 weeks. Background antifibrotic treatment (pirfenidone) was allowed. The primary endpoint was change in percentage of predicted forced vital capacity (ppFVC) from baseline to Week 24; secondary endpoints included safety. Measurements and Main Results: In total, 112 patients received ≥1 dose of study drug. The study was terminated early due to a strategic decision made by the sponsor. Ninety-one patients (81%) completed the study. The least-squares mean changes from baseline in ppFVC at Week 24 were -3.1% (placebo), -2.1% (200 mg), and -1.0% (400 mg); the differences compared with placebo were 1.1% (200 mg; 95% CI: -2.1, 4.3; P=.50) and 2.2% (400 mg; 95% CI: -1.1, 5.4; P=.19). Adverse event frequency was similar in patients in the combined CC-90001 arms versus placebo. The most common adverse events were nausea, diarrhea, and vomiting, which were more frequent in patients in CC-90001 arms versus placebo. Fewer patients in the CC-90001 than in the placebo arm experienced cough and dyspnea. Conclusions: Treatment with CC-90001 over 24 weeks led to numerical improvements in ppFVC in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis compared to placebo. CC-90001 was generally well tolerated, consistent with previous studies. Clinical trial registration available at www.clinicaltrials.gov, ID: NCT03142191.

Meaningful Endpoints for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Clinical Trials: Emphasis on 'Feels, Functions, Survives'. Report of a Collaborative Discussion in a Symposium with Direct Engagement from Representatives of Patients, Investigators, the National Institutes of Health, a Patient Advocacy Organization, and a Regulatory Agency.

Background: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) carries significant mortality and unpredictable progression, with limited therapeutic options. Designing trials with patient-meaningful endpoints, enhancing the reliability and interpretability of results, and streamlining the regulatory approval process are of critical importance to advancing clinical care in IPF. Methods: A landmark in-person symposium in June 2023 assembled 43 participants from the US and internationally, including patients with IPF, investigators, and regulatory representatives, to discuss the immediate future of IPF clinical trial endpoints. Patient advocates were central to discussions, which evaluated endpoints according to regulatory standards and the FDA's 'feels, functions, survives' criteria. Results: Three themes emerged: 1) consensus on endpoints mirroring the lived experiences of patients with IPF; 2) consideration of replacing forced vital capacity (FVC) as the primary endpoint, potentially by composite endpoints that include 'feels, functions, survives' measures or FVC as components; 3) support for simplified, user-friendly patient-reported outcomes (PROs) as either components of primary composite endpoints or key secondary endpoints, supplemented by functional tests as secondary endpoints and novel biomarkers as supportive measures (FDA Guidance for Industry (Multiple Endpoints in Clinical Trials) available at: https://www.fda.gov/media/162416/download). Conclusions: This report, detailing the proceedings of this pivotal symposium, suggests a potential turning point in designing future IPF clinical trials more attuned to outcomes meaningful to patients, and documents the collective agreement across multidisciplinary stakeholders on the importance of anchoring IPF trial endpoints on real patient experiences-namely, how they feel, function, and survive. There is considerable optimism that clinical care in IPF will progress through trials focused on patient-centric insights, ultimately guiding transformative treatment strategies to enhance patients' quality of life and survival.

Pulmonary Fibrosis Stakeholder Summit: A Joint NHLBI, Three Lakes Foundation, and Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Workshop Report.

Despite progress in elucidation of disease mechanisms, identification of risk factors, biomarker discovery, and the approval of two medications to slow lung function decline in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and one medication to slow lung function decline in progressive pulmonary fibrosis, pulmonary fibrosis remains a disease with a high morbidity and mortality. In recognition of the need to catalyze ongoing advances and collaboration in the field of pulmonary fibrosis, the NHLBI, the Three Lakes Foundation, and the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation hosted the Pulmonary Fibrosis Stakeholder Summit on November 8-9, 2022. This workshop was held virtually and was organized into three topic areas: 1) novel models and research tools to better study pulmonary fibrosis and uncover new therapies, 2) early disease risk factors and methods to improve diagnosis, and 3) innovative approaches toward clinical trial design for pulmonary fibrosis. In this workshop report, we summarize the content of the presentations and discussions, enumerating research opportunities for advancing our understanding of the pathogenesis, treatment, and outcomes of pulmonary fibrosis.

Effects of nintedanib on symptoms in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Dyspnoea and cough can have a profound impact on the lives of patients with pulmonary fibrosis. We investigated the effects of nintedanib on the symptoms and impact of pulmonary fibrosis in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) in the INBUILD trial using the Living with Pulmonary Fibrosis (L-PF) questionnaire. METHODS: Patients had a fibrosing interstitial lung disease (ILD) (other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis) of >10% extent on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) and met criteria for ILD progression within the prior 24 months. Patients were randomised 1:1 to receive nintedanib or placebo. Changes in L-PF questionnaire scores from baseline to week 52 were assessed using mixed models for repeated measures. RESULTS: In total, 663 patients were treated. Compared with placebo, there were significantly smaller increases (worsenings) in adjusted mean L-PF questionnaire total (0.5 versus 5.1), symptoms (1.3 versus 5.3), dyspnoea (4.3 versus 7.8) and fatigue (0.7 versus 4.0) scores in the nintedanib group at week 52. L-PF questionnaire cough score decreased in the nintedanib group and increased in the placebo group (-1.8 versus 4.3). L-PF questionnaire impacts score decreased slightly in the nintedanib group and increased in the placebo group (-0.2 versus 4.6). Similar findings were observed in patients with a usual interstitial pneumonia-like fibrotic pattern on HRCT and in patients with other fibrotic patterns on HRCT. CONCLUSION: Based on changes in L-PF questionnaire scores, nintedanib reduced worsening of dyspnoea, fatigue and cough and the impacts of ILD over 52 weeks in patients with PPF.

The future of clinical trials in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive lung disease with a poor prognosis and limited therapeutic options. A multitude of promising compounds are currently being investigated; however, the design and conductance of late-phase clinical trials in IPF has proven particularly challenging. RECENT FINDINGS: Despite promising phase 2 data, ziritaxestat, an autotaxin inhibitor, pentraxin-2, an endogenous protein that regulates wound healing and fibrosis, and pamrevlumab, a human monoclonal antibody against connective tissue growth factor, failed to show efficacy in phase 3 trials. Endpoint selection is critical for the design, execution, and success of clinical trials; recently, attention has been paid to the assessment of how patients feel, function, and survive with the aim of aligning scientific objectives and patient needs in IPF. External control arms are control patients that derive from historical randomized controlled trials, registries, or electronic health records. They are increasingly used to assess treatment efficacy in clinical trials owing to their potential to reduce study duration and cost and increase generalizability of findings. SUMMARY: Advances in study design, end point selection and statistical analysis, and innovative strategies for more efficient enrolment of study participants have the potential to increase the likelihood of success of late-phase clinical trials in IPF.

Combination of BAL and Computed Tomography Differentiates Progressive and Non-progressive Fibrotic Lung Diseases.

Rationale: Identifying patients with pulmonary fibrosis (PF) at risk of progression can guide management. Objectives: To explore the utility of combining baseline BAL and computed tomography (CT) in differentiating progressive and nonprogressive PF. Methods: The derivation cohort consisted of incident cases of PF for which BAL was performed as part of a diagnostic workup. A validation cohort was prospectively recruited with identical inclusion criteria. Baseline thoracic CT scans were scored for the extent of fibrosis and usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern. The BAL lymphocyte proportion was recorded. Annualized FVC decrease of >10% or death within 1 year was used to define disease progression. Multivariable logistic regression identified the determinants of the outcome. The optimum binary thresholds (maximal Wilcoxon rank statistic) at which the extent of fibrosis on CT and the BAL lymphocyte proportion could distinguish disease progression were identified. Measurements and Main Results: BAL lymphocyte proportion, UIP pattern, and fibrosis extent were significantly and independently associated with disease progression in the derivation cohort (n = 240). Binary thresholds for increased BAL lymphocyte proportion and extensive fibrosis were identified as 25% and 20%, respectively. An increased BAL lymphocyte proportion was rare in patients with a UIP pattern (8 of 135; 5.9%) or with extensive fibrosis (7 of 144; 4.9%). In the validation cohort (n = 290), an increased BAL lymphocyte proportion was associated with a significantly lower probability of disease progression in patients with nonextensive fibrosis or a non-UIP pattern. Conclusions: BAL lymphocytosis is rare in patients with extensive fibrosis or a UIP pattern on CT. In patients without a UIP pattern or with limited fibrosis, a BAL lymphocyte proportion of ⩾25% was associated with a lower likelihood of progression.

PCSK6 and Survival in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a devastating disease characterized by limited treatment options and high mortality. A better understanding of the molecular drivers of IPF progression is needed. Objectives: To identify and validate molecular determinants of IPF survival. Methods: A staged genome-wide association study was performed using paired genomic and survival data. Stage I cases were drawn from centers across the United States and Europe and stage II cases from Vanderbilt University. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify gene variants associated with differential transplantation-free survival (TFS). Stage I variants with nominal significance (P < 5 × 10-5) were advanced for stage II testing and meta-analyzed to identify those reaching genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). Downstream analyses were performed for genes and proteins associated with variants reaching genome-wide significance. Measurements and Main Results: After quality controls, 1,481 stage I cases and 397 stage II cases were included in the analysis. After filtering, 9,075,629 variants were tested in stage I, with 158 meeting advancement criteria. Four variants associated with TFS with consistent effect direction were identified in stage II, including one in an intron of PCSK6 (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 6) reaching genome-wide significance (hazard ratio, 4.11 [95% confidence interval, 2.54-6.67]; P = 9.45 × 10-9). PCSK6 protein was highly expressed in IPF lung parenchyma. PCSK6 lung staining intensity, peripheral blood gene expression, and plasma concentration were associated with reduced TFS. Conclusions: We identified four novel variants associated with IPF survival, including one in PCSK6 that reached genome-wide significance. Downstream analyses suggested that PCSK6 protein plays a potentially important role in IPF progression.

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Is Associated with Common Genetic Variants and Limited Rare Variants.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a rare, irreversible, and progressive disease of the lungs. Common genetic variants, in addition to nongenetic factors, have been consistently associated with IPF. Rare variants identified by candidate gene, family-based, and exome studies have also been reported to associate with IPF. However, the extent to which rare variants, genome-wide, may contribute to the risk of IPF remains unknown. Objectives: We used whole-genome sequencing to investigate the role of rare variants, genome-wide, on IPF risk. Methods: As part of the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine Program, we sequenced 2,180 cases of IPF. Association testing focused on the aggregated effect of rare variants (minor allele frequency ⩽0.01) within genes or regions. We also identified individual rare variants that are influential within genes and estimated the heritability of IPF on the basis of rare and common variants. Measurements and Main Results: Rare variants in both TERT and RTEL1 were significantly associated with IPF. A single rare variant in each of the TERT and RTEL1 genes was found to consistently influence the aggregated test statistics. There was no significant evidence of association with other previously reported rare variants. The SNP heritability of IPF was estimated to be 32% (SE = 3%). Conclusions: Rare variants within the TERT and RTEL1 genes and well-established common variants have the largest contribution to IPF risk overall. Efforts in risk profiling or the development of therapies for IPF that focus on TERT, RTEL1, common variants, and environmental risk factors are likely to have the largest impact on this complex disease.

Interstitial Lung Disease: A Review.

Importance: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) consists of a group of pulmonary disorders characterized by inflammation and/or fibrosis of the lung parenchyma associated with progressive dyspnea that frequently results in end-stage respiratory failure. In the US, ILD affects approximately 650 000 people and causes approximately 25 000 to 30 000 deaths per year. Observations: The most common forms of ILD are idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), which accounts for approximately one-third of all cases of ILD, hypersensitivity pneumonitis, accounting for 15% of ILD cases, and connective tissue disease (CTD), accounting for 25% of ILD cases. ILD typically presents with dyspnea on exertion. Approximately 30% of patients with ILD report cough. Thoracic computed tomography is approximately 91% sensitive and 71% specific for diagnosing subtypes of ILDs such as IPF. Physiologic assessment provides important prognostic information. A 5% decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) over 12 months is associated with an approximately 2-fold increase in mortality compared with no change in FVC. Antifibrotic therapy with nintedanib or pirfenidone slows annual FVC decline by approximately 44% to 57% in individuals with IPF, scleroderma associated ILD, and in those with progressive pulmonary fibrosis of any cause. For connective tissue disease-associated ILD, immunomodulatory therapy, such as tocilizumab, rituximab, and mycophenolate mofetil, may slow decline or even improve FVC at 12-month follow-up. Structured exercise therapy reduces symptoms and improves 6-minute walk test distance in individuals with dyspnea. Oxygen reduces symptoms and improves quality of life in individuals with ILD who desaturate below 88% on a 6-minute walk test. Lung transplant may improve symptoms and resolve respiratory failure in patients with end-stage ILD. After lung transplant, patients with ILD have a median survival of 5.2 to 6.7 years compared with a median survival of less than 2 years in patients with advanced ILD who do not undergo lung transplant. Up to 85% of individuals with end-stage fibrotic ILD develop pulmonary hypertension. In these patients, treatment with inhaled treprostinil improves walking distance and respiratory symptoms. Conclusions and Relevance: Interstitial lung disease typically presents with dyspnea on exertion and can progress to respiratory failure. First-line therapy includes nintedanib or pirfenidone for IPF and mycophenolate mofetil for ILD due to connective tissue disease. Lung transplant should be considered for patients with advanced ILD. In patients with ILD, exercise training improves 6-minute walk test distance and quality of life.

Interstitial lung diseases.

Over 200 interstitial lung diseases, from ultra rare to relatively common, are recognised. Most interstitial lung diseases are characterised by inflammation or fibrosis within the interstitial space, the primary consequence of which is impaired gas exchange, resulting in breathlessness, diminished exercise tolerance, and decreased quality of life. Outcomes vary considerably for each of the different interstitial lung diseases. In some conditions, spontaneous reversibility or stabilisation can occur, but unfortunately in many people with interstitial lung disease, especially in those manifesting progressive pulmonary fibrosis, respiratory failure and death are a sad reality. Over the past 3 years, the field of interstitial lung disease has had important advances, with the approval of drugs to treat systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease, interstitial lung disease-associated pulmonary hypertension, and different forms of progressive pulmonary fibrosis. This Seminar provides an update on epidemiology, pathogenesis, presentation, diagnosis, disease course, and management of the interstitial lung diseases that are most frequently encountered in clinical practice. Furthermore, we describe how developments have led to a shift in the classification and treatment of interstitial lung diseases that exhibit progressive pulmonary fibrosis and summarise the latest practice-changing guidelines. We conclude with an outline of controversies, uncertainties, and future directions.

Cluster analysis of transcriptomic datasets to identify endotypes of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Considerable clinical heterogeneity in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) suggests the existence of multiple disease endotypes. Identifying these endotypes would improve our understanding of the pathogenesis of IPF and could allow for a biomarker-driven personalised medicine approach. We aimed to identify clinically distinct groups of patients with IPF that could represent distinct disease endotypes. METHODS: We co-normalised, pooled and clustered three publicly available blood transcriptomic datasets (total 220 IPF cases). We compared clinical traits across clusters and used gene enrichment analysis to identify biological pathways and processes that were over-represented among the genes that were differentially expressed across clusters. A gene-based classifier was developed and validated using three additional independent datasets (total 194 IPF cases). FINDINGS: We identified three clusters of patients with IPF with statistically significant differences in lung function (p=0.009) and mortality (p=0.009) between groups. Gene enrichment analysis implicated mitochondrial homeostasis, apoptosis, cell cycle and innate and adaptive immunity in the pathogenesis underlying these groups. We developed and validated a 13-gene cluster classifier that predicted mortality in IPF (high-risk clusters vs low-risk cluster: HR 4.25, 95% CI 2.14 to 8.46, p=3.7×10-5). INTERPRETATION: We have identified blood gene expression signatures capable of discerning groups of patients with IPF with significant differences in survival. These clusters could be representative of distinct pathophysiological states, which would support the theory of multiple endotypes of IPF. Although more work must be done to confirm the existence of these endotypes, our classifier could be a useful tool in patient stratification and outcome prediction in IPF.

GLPG1205 for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a phase 2 randomised placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: GLPG1205 is a selective functional antagonist of G-protein-coupled receptor 84, which plays an important role in fibrotic processes. This study assessed the efficacy, safety and tolerability of GLPG1205 for treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). METHODS: PINTA (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03725852) was a phase 2, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, proof-of-concept trial. Patients with IPF were randomised 2:1 to once-daily oral GLPG1205 100 mg or placebo for 26 weeks and stratified to receive GLPG1205 alone or with local standard of care (nintedanib or pirfenidone). The primary end-point was change from baseline in forced vital capacity (FVC); other end-points were safety and tolerability, and lung volumes measured by imaging (high-resolution computed tomography). The study was not powered for statistical significance. RESULTS: In total, 68 patients received study medication. Least squares mean change from baseline in FVC at week 26 was -33.68 (95% CI -112.0-44.68) mL with GLPG1205 and -76.00 (95% CI -170.7-18.71) mL with placebo (least squares mean difference 42.33 (95% CI -81.84-166.5) mL; p=0.50). Lung volumes by imaging declined -58.30 versus -262.72 mL (whole lung) and -33.68 versus -135.48 mL (lower lobes) with GLPG1205 versus placebo, respectively. Treatment with GLPG1205 versus placebo resulted in higher proportions of serious and severe treatment-emergent adverse events and treatment-emergent discontinuations, most apparent with nintedanib. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with GLPG1205 did not result in a significant difference in FVC decline versus placebo. GLPG1205 demonstrated a poorer safety and tolerability profile than placebo.

The causal relationship between gastro-oesophageal reflux disease and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomisation study.

BACKGROUND: Gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GORD) is associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in observational studies. It is not known if this association arises because GORD causes IPF or because IPF causes GORD, or because of confounding by factors, such as smoking, associated with both GORD and IPF. We used bidirectional Mendelian randomisation (MR), where genetic variants are used as instrumental variables to address issues of confounding and reverse causation, to examine how, if at all, GORD and IPF are causally related. METHODS: A bidirectional two-sample MR was performed to estimate the causal effect of GORD on IPF risk and of IPF on GORD risk, using genetic data from the largest GORD (78 707 cases and 288 734 controls) and IPF (4125 cases and 20 464 controls) genome-wide association meta-analyses currently available. RESULTS: GORD increased the risk of IPF, with an OR of 1.6 (95% CI 1.04-2.49; p=0.032). There was no evidence of a causal effect of IPF on the risk of GORD, with an OR of 0.999 (95% CI 0.997-1.000; p=0.245). CONCLUSIONS: We found that GORD increases the risk of IPF, but found no evidence that IPF increases the risk of GORD. GORD should be considered in future studies of IPF risk and interest in it as a potential therapeutic target should be renewed. The mechanisms underlying the effect of GORD on IPF should also be investigated.

Impact of lung function and baseline clinical characteristics on patient-reported outcome measures in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVE: The SENSCIS® trial demonstrated a significant reduction of lung function decline in patients with SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) treated with nintedanib, but no significant effect on health-related quality of life (HRQoL). To assess whether SSc/SSc-ILD severity and large changes in lung function correlate with HRQoL, a post-hoc analysis of SENSCIS®, aggregating treatment arms, was undertaken. METHODS: Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures [St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy (FACIT)-Dyspnoea, and HAQ-Disability Index (HAQ-DI), incorporating the Scleroderma HAQ visual analogue scale (SHAQ VAS)] at baseline and week 52 were assessed for associations to SSc-ILD severity. RESULTS: At baseline and at week 52, forced vital capacity (FVC) <70% predicted was associated with worse PRO measure scores compared with FVC ≥70% predicted [week 52: SGRQ 45.1 vs 34.0 (P < 0.0001); FACIT-Dyspnoea 48.9 vs 44.5 (P < 0.0001); HAQ-DI 0.7 vs 0.6 (P < 0.0228); SHAQ VAS breathing problems 3.6 vs 2.6 (P < 0.0001)]. Patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc and other characteristics associated with SSc-ILD severity had worse PRO measure scores. Patients requiring oxygen or with >30% fibrosis on high-resolution computed tomography at baseline demonstrated worse PRO measure scores at week 52. After 1 year, patients with a major (>10%) improvement/worsening in FVC demonstrated corresponding improvement/worsening in SGRQ and other PRO measures, significant for the SGRQ symptom domain (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Severe SSc-ILD and major deteriorations in lung function have important impacts on HRQoL. Treatments that slow lung function decline and prevent severe SSc-ILD are important to preserve HRQoL. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov, www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02597933.

Extent of fibrosis and lung function decline in patients with systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung disease: data from the SENSCIS trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between the extent of fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) and forced vital capacity (FVC) at baseline and change in FVC over 52 weeks in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated ILD (SSc-ILD) in the SENSCIS trial. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We used generalized additive models, which involve few assumptions and allow for interaction between non-linear effects, to assess associations between the extent of fibrotic ILD on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), and the interplay of extent of fibrotic ILD on HRCT and FVC % predicted, at baseline and FVC decline over 52 weeks. RESULTS: In the placebo group (n = 288), there was weak evidence of a modest association between a greater extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline and a greater decline in FVC % predicted at week 52 [r: -0.09 (95% CI -0.2, 0.03)]. Higher values of both the extent of fibrotic ILD and FVC % predicted at baseline tended to be associated with greater decline in FVC % predicted at week 52. In the nintedanib group (n = 288), there was no evidence of an association between the extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline and decline in FVC % predicted at week 52 [r: 0.01 (95% CI: -0.11, 0.12)] or between the interplay of extent of fibrotic ILD and FVC % predicted at baseline and decline in FVC % predicted at week 52. CONCLUSIONS: Data from the SENSCIS trial suggest that patients with SSc-ILD are at risk of ILD progression and benefit from nintedanib largely irrespective of their extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline. STUDY REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02597933.

Weight loss and outcomes in subjects with progressive pulmonary fibrosis: data from the INBUILD trial.

BACKGROUND: Lower body mass index (BMI) and weight loss have been associated with worse outcomes in some studies in patients with pulmonary fibrosis. We analyzed outcomes in subgroups by BMI at baseline and associations between weight change and outcomes in subjects with progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) in the INBUILD trial. METHODS: Subjects with PPF other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis were randomized to receive nintedanib or placebo. In subgroups by BMI at baseline (< 25, ≥ 25 to < 30, ≥ 30 kg/m2), we analyzed the rate of decline in FVC (mL/year) over 52 weeks and time-to-event endpoints indicating disease progression over the whole trial. We used a joint modelling approach to assess associations between change in weight and the time-to-event endpoints. RESULTS: Among 662 subjects, 28.4%, 36.6% and 35.0% had BMI < 25, ≥ 25 to < 30 and ≥ 30 kg/m2, respectively. The rate of decline in FVC over 52 weeks was numerically greater in subjects with baseline BMI < 25 than ≥ 25 to < 30 or ≥ 30 kg/m2 (nintedanib: - 123.4, - 83.3, - 46.9 mL/year, respectively; placebo: - 229.5; - 176.9; - 171.2 mL/year, respectively). No heterogeneity was detected in the effect of nintedanib on reducing the rate of FVC decline among these subgroups (interaction p = 0.83). In the placebo group, in subjects with baseline BMI < 25, ≥ 25 to < 30 and ≥ 30 kg/m2, respectively, 24.5%, 21.4% and 14.0% of subjects had an acute exacerbation or died, and 60.2%, 54.5% and 50.4% of subjects had ILD progression (absolute decline in FVC % predicted ≥ 10%) or died over the whole trial. The proportions of subjects with these events were similar or lower in subjects who received nintedanib versus placebo across the subgroups. Based on a joint modelling approach, over the whole trial, a 4 kg weight decrease corresponded to a 1.38-fold (95% CI 1.13, 1.68) increase in the risk of acute exacerbation or death. No association was detected between weight loss and the risk of ILD progression or the risk of ILD progression or death. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with PPF, lower BMI at baseline and weight loss may be associated with worse outcomes and measures to prevent weight loss may be required. TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02999178 .

Patients with worsening fibrosis (scarring) of the lungs may lose weight. This study suggests that the course of disease may be worse in patients who lose weight. Measures to prevent weight loss may be needed in these patients.