A Novel Air Trapping Segment Score Identifies Opposing Effects of Obesity and Eosinophilia on Air Trapping in Asthma.

Rationale: Density thresholds in computed tomography (CT) lung scans quantify air trapping (AT) at the whole-lung level but are not informative for AT in specific bronchopulmonary segments. Objectives: To apply a segment-based measure of AT in asthma to investigate the clinical determinants of AT in asthma. Methods: In each of 19 bronchopulmonary segments in CT lung scans from 199 patients with asthma, AT was categorized as present if lung attenuation was less than -856 Hounsfield units at expiration in ⩾15% of the lung area. The resulting AT segment score (0-19) was related to patient outcomes. Measurements and Main Results: AT varied at the lung segment level and tended to persist at the patient and lung segment levels over 3 years. Patients with widespread AT (⩾10 segments) had more severe asthma (P < 0.05). The mean (±SD) AT segment score in patients with a body mass index ⩾30 kg/m2 was lower than in patients with a body mass index <30 kg/m2 (3.5 ± 4.6 vs. 5.5 ± 6.3; P = 0.008), and the frequency of AT in lower lobe segments in obese patients was less than in upper and middle lobe segments (35% vs. 46%; P = 0.001). The AT segment score in patients with sputum eosinophils ⩾2% was higher than in patients without sputum eosinophilia (7.0 ± 6.1 vs. 3.3 ± 4.9; P < 0.0001). Lung segments with AT more frequently had airway mucus plugging than lung segments without AT (48% vs. 18%; P ⩽ 0.0001). Conclusions: In patients with asthma, air trapping is more severe in those with airway eosinophilia and mucus plugging, whereas those who are obese have less severe trapping because their lower lobe segments are spared.

Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors or Angiotensin-Receptor Blockers for Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease : A Systematic Review and Retrospective Individual Participant-Level Meta-analysis of Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND: In patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), the effects of initiating treatment with an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi) or angiotensin-receptor blocker (ARB) on the risk for kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) and death remain unclear. PURPOSE: To examine the association of ACEi or ARB treatment initiation, relative to a non-ACEi or ARB comparator, with rates of KFRT and death. DATA SOURCES: Ovid Medline and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration Clinical Trials Consortium from 1946 through 31 December 2023. STUDY SELECTION: Completed randomized controlled trials testing either an ACEi or an ARB versus a comparator (placebo or antihypertensive drugs other than ACEi or ARB) that included patients with a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 30 mL/min/1.73 m2. DATA EXTRACTION: The primary outcome was KFRT, and the secondary outcome was death before KFRT. Analyses were done using Cox proportional hazards models according to the intention-to-treat principle. Prespecified subgroup analyses were done according to baseline age (<65 vs. ≥65 years), eGFR (<20 vs. ≥20 mL/min/1.73 m2), albuminuria (urine albumin-creatinine ratio <300 vs. ≥300 mg/g), and history of diabetes. DATA SYNTHESIS: A total of 1739 participants from 18 trials were included, with a mean age of 54.9 years and mean eGFR of 22.2 mL/min/1.73 m2, of whom 624 (35.9%) developed KFRT and 133 (7.6%) died during a median follow-up of 34 months (IQR, 19 to 40 months). Overall, ACEi or ARB treatment initiation led to lower risk for KFRT (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.55 to 0.79]) but not death (hazard ratio, 0.86 [CI, 0.58 to 1.28]). There was no statistically significant interaction between ACEi or ARB treatment and age, eGFR, albuminuria, or diabetes (P for interaction > 0.05 for all). LIMITATION: Individual participant-level data for hyperkalemia or acute kidney injury were not available. CONCLUSION: Initiation of ACEi or ARB therapy protects against KFRT, but not death, in people with advanced CKD. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health. (PROSPERO: CRD42022307589).

Peritoneal Dialysis Catheter Complications after Insertion by Surgeons, Radiologists, or Nephrologists.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The Advancing American Kidney Health Initiative aims to increase rates of utilization of peritoneal dialysis (PD) in the United States. One of the first steps to PD is successful catheter placement, which can be performed by surgeons, interventional radiologists, or nephrologists. We examined the association between operator subspecialty and risk of needing a follow-up procedure in the first 90 days after initial PD catheter implantation. Overall, we found that 15.5% of catheters required revision, removal, or a second catheter placement within 90 days. The odds of requiring a follow-up procedure was 36% higher for interventional radiologists and 86% higher for interventional nephrologists compared with general surgeons. Further research is needed to understand how to optimize the function of catheters across different operator types. BACKGROUND: The US government has implemented incentives to increase the use of PD. Successful placement of PD catheters is an important step to increasing PD utilization rates. Our objective was to compare initial outcomes after PD catheter placement by different types of operators. METHODS: We included PD-naïve patients insured by Medicare who had a PD catheter inserted between 2010 and 2019. We examined the association between specialty of the operator (general surgeon, vascular surgeon, interventional radiologist, or interventional nephrologist) and odds of needing a follow-up procedure, which we defined as catheter removal, replacement, or revision within 90 days of the initial procedure. Mixed logistic regression models clustered by operator were used to examine the association between operator type and outcomes. RESULTS: We included 46,973 patients treated by 5205 operators (71.1% general surgeons, 17.2% vascular surgeons, 9.7% interventional radiologists, 2.0% interventional nephrologists). 15.5% of patients required a follow-up procedure within 90 days of the initial insertion, of whom 2.9% had a second PD catheter implanted, 6.6% underwent PD catheter removal, and 5.9% had a PD catheter revision within 90 days of the initial insertion. In models adjusted for patient and operator characteristics, the odds of requiring a follow-up procedure within 90 days were highest for interventional nephrologists (HR, 1.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56 to 2.22) and interventional radiologists (odds ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.58) followed by vascular surgeons (odds ratio, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.14) compared with general surgeons. CONCLUSIONS: The probability of needing a follow-up procedure after initial PD catheter placement varied by operator specialty and was higher for interventionalists and lowest for general surgeons.

Association between Acute Declines in Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate during Renin-Angiotensin System Inhibition and Risk of Adverse Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Declines in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) occur commonly when renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors are started. Our objective was to determine the relation between declines in estimated GFR during trials of RAS inhibition and kidney outcomes. METHODS: We included participants with CKD (estimated GFR<60 mL/min/1.73m2) from 16 trials of RAS inhibition. The exposure was subacute declines in estimated GFR expressed as % change between randomization and month 3, and in the subset of trials with data available, we also examined % change in eGFR between randomization and month 1. The primary outcome was kidney failure with replacement therapy. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between subacute declines in eGFR and risk of kidney failure. We used spline models to identify the threshold of change in eGFR below which RAS inhibition was favorable (conservatively comparing a given decline in eGFR with RAS inhibition to no decline in the comparator). RESULTS: 11,800 individuals with mean eGFR 43 (SD 11) mL/min/1.73m2 and median urine albumin/creatinine ratio of 362 mg/g (IQR 50, 1367) were included, and 1,162 (10%) developed kidney failure. The threshold of decline in eGFR that favored use of RAS inhibitors for kidney failure was estimated to be up to 13% (95%CI 8%, 17%) over a 3-month interval and up to 21% (95%CI 15%, 27%) over a 1-month interval after starting RAS inhibitors. CONCLUSIONS: In people treated with RAS inhibitors, ≤ 13% decline in eGFR over a 3-month period or ≤21% decline over a 1-month period was associated with lower risk of kidney failure compared with no decline with the use of placebo or other agents.

Outpatient mean arterial pressure: A potentially modifiable risk for acute kidney injury and death among patients with cirrhosis.

Mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), which decreases as portal hypertension progresses, may be a modifiable risk factor among patients with cirrhosis. We included adults enrolled in the Functional Assessment in Liver Transplantation study. We completed latent class trajectory analyses to define MAP trajectories. We completed time-dependent Cox-regression analyses to test the association between outpatient MAP and 3 cirrhosis-related outcomes: (1) stage 2 acute kidney injury (AKI), defined as a ≥200% increase in serum creatinine from baseline; (2) a 5-point increase in the MELD-Na score, defined as the incidence of increase from initial MELD-Na; (3) waitlist mortality, defined as death on the waitlist. For each outcome, we defined MAP cut points by determining the maximally selected Log-rank statistic after univariable Cox-regression analyses. Among the 1786 patients included in this analysis, our latent class trajectory analyses identified 3 specific outpatient MAP trajectories: "stable-low," "stable-high," and "increasing-to-decreasing." However, >80% of patients were in a "stable-low" trajectory. We found in adjusted analyses that outpatient MAP was associated with each of our outcomes: Stage 2 AKI (adjusted hazard ratio 0.88 per 10 mm Hg increase in MAP [95% CI: 0.79-0.99]); 5-point increase in MELD-Na (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.91 [95% CI: 0.86-0.96]; waitlist mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.89 [95% CI: 0.81-0.96]). For each outcome, we found that an outpatient MAP of 82 mm Hg was most associated with outcomes ( p <0.05 for all). Our study informs the association between outpatient MAP and cirrhosis-related outcomes. These findings, coupled with the identification of specific thresholds, lay the foundation for the trial of targeted outpatient MAP modulation in patients with cirrhosis.

Flagging unusual clusters based on linear mixed models using weighted and self-calibrated predictors.

Statistical models incorporating cluster-specific intercepts are commonly used in hierarchical settings, for example, observations clustered within patients or patients clustered within hospitals. Predicted values of these intercepts are often used to identify or "flag" extreme or outlying clusters, such as poorly performing hospitals or patients with rapid declines in their health. We consider a variety of flagging rules, assessing different predictors, and using different accuracy measures. Using theoretical calculations and comprehensive numerical evaluation, we show that previously proposed rules based on the 2 most commonly used predictors, the usual best linear unbiased predictor and fixed effects predictor, perform extremely poorly: the incorrect flagging rates are either unacceptably high (approaching 0.5 in the limit) or overly conservative (eg, much <0.05 for reasonable parameter values, leading to very low correct flagging rates). We develop novel methods for flagging extreme clusters that can control the incorrect flagging rates, including very simple-to-use versions that we call "self-calibrated." The new methods have substantially higher correct flagging rates than previously proposed methods for flagging extreme values, while controlling the incorrect flagging rates. We illustrate their application using data on length of stay in pediatric hospitals for children admitted for asthma diagnoses.

Use of activity trackers to improve blood pressure in young people at risk for cardiovascular disease: a pilot randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Promoting physical activity among young individuals with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease can lower systolic blood pressure (BP). We sought to determine whether a 6-month intervention using a physical activity tracker was feasible and effective, compared with usual care. METHODS: Participants were recruited at a single academic medical center. Those aged 8-30 years were randomized in a 2:1 ratio to either the intervention (use of a Fitbit physical activity tracker coupled with feedback regarding the participant's step count) or usual care. The primary feasibility outcomes were screening-to-enrollment ratio and 6-month retention rates; the primary clinical outcome was a change in systolic BP from 0-6 months. RESULTS: Sixty-three participants were enrolled (57% male; mean age: 18 ± 4 years). The screening-to-enrollment ratio was 1.8:1. Six-month retention was 62% in the intervention group and 86% in the control group (p = 0.08). Mean change in systolic BP in the intervention group was not significantly different from the control group at 6 months (- 2.3 mmHg; 95% CI - 6.5, 1.8 vs. 3.0 mmHg; 95% CI - 2.5, 8.4, respectively, p = 0.12). CONCLUSIONS: Among children and young adults at elevated CVD risk, the use of a physical activity tracker coupled with tailored feedback regarding their step count progress was feasible but not sustained over time. Physical activity tracker use did not have a statistically significant effect on BP after 6 months. Augmented strategies to mitigate risk in young patients at high risk for early-onset CVD should be explored. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03325426).

Rurality of patient residence and access to transplantation among children with kidney failure in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Residence in rural areas is often a barrier to health care access. To date, differences in access to kidney transplantation among children who reside in rural and micropolitan areas of the US have not been explored. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of children < 18 years who developed kidney failure between 2000 and 2019 according to the United States Renal Data System (USRDS). We examined the association between rurality of patient residence and time to living and/or deceased donor kidney transplantation (primary outcomes) and waitlist registration (secondary outcome) using Fine-Gray models. RESULTS: We included 18,530 children, of whom 14,175 (76.5%) received a kidney transplant (39.8% from a living and 60.2% from a deceased donor). Residence in micropolitan (subhazard ratio (SHR) 1.16; 95% CI 1.06-1.27) and rural (SHR 1.18; 95% CI 1.06-1.3) areas was associated with better access to living donor transplantation compared with residence in metropolitan areas. There was no statistically significant association between residence in micropolitan (SHR, 0.95; 95%CI 0.88-1.03) and rural (SHR, 0.94; 95%CI 0.86-1.03) areas compared with metropolitan areas in the access of children to deceased donor transplantation. There was also no difference in the time to waitlist registration comparing micropolitan (SHR 1.04; 95%CI 0.98-1.10) and rural (SHR 1.05; 95% CI 0.98-1.13) versus metropolitan areas. CONCLUSIONS: In children with kidney failure, residence in rural and micropolitan areas was associated with better access to living donor transplantation and similar access to deceased donor transplantation compared with residence in metropolitan areas.

Clinical and imaging findings associated with preservation of knee joint health over 8 years in individuals aged 65 and over: data from the OAI.

OBJECTIVE: While risk factors for osteoarthritis (OA) are well known, it is not well understood why certain individuals maintain high mobility and joint health throughout their life while others demonstrate OA at older ages. The purpose of this study was to assess which demographic, clinical and MRI quantitative and semi-quantitative factors are associated with preserving healthy knees in older individuals. METHODS: This study analyzed data from the OA Initiative (OAI) cohort of individuals at the age of 65 years or above. Participants without OA at baseline (BL) (Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) ≤ 1) were followed and classified as incident cases (KL ≥ 2 during follow-up; n = 115) and as non-incident (KL ≤ 1 over 96-month; n = 391). Associations between the predictor-variables sex, age, BMI, race, clinical scoring systems, T2 relaxation times and Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Score (WORMS) readings at BL and the preservation of healthy knees (KL ≤ 1) during a 96-month follow-up period were assessed using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Obesity and presence of pain showed a significant inverse association with maintaining radiographically normal joints in patients aged 65 and above. T2 relaxation times of the lateral femur and tibia as well as the medial femur were also significantly associated with maintaining radiographically normal knee joints. Additionally, absence of lesions of the lateral meniscus and absence of cartilage lesions in the medial and patellofemoral compartments were significantly associated with maintaining healthy knee joints. CONCLUSION: Overall, this study provides protective clinical parameters as well as quantitative and semi-quantitative MR-imaging parameters associated with maintaining radiographically normal knee joints in an older population over 8 years.

Effect of weight loss on knee joint synovitis over 48 months and mediation by subcutaneous fat around the knee: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

BACKGROUND: Obesity influences the development of osteoarthritis via low-grade inflammation. Progression of local inflammation (= synovitis) increased with weight gain in overweight and obese women compared to stable weight. Synovitis could be associated with subcutaneous fat (SCF) around the knee. Purpose of the study was to investigate the effect of weight loss on synovitis progression and to assess whether SCF around the knee mediates the relationship between weight loss and synovitis progression. METHODS: We included 234 overweight and obese participants (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 25 kg/m2) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) with > 10% weight loss (n = 117) or stable overweight (< ± 3% change, n = 117) over 48 months matched for age and sex. In magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at baseline and 48 months, effusion-synovitis and Hoffa-synovitis using the MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS) and average joint-adjacent SCF (ajSCF) were assessed. Odds-ratios (ORs) for synovitis progression over 48 months (≥ 1 score increase) were calculated in logistic regression models adjusting for age, sex, baseline BMI, Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly (PASE), and baseline SCF measurements. Mediation of the effect of weight loss on synovitis progression by local SCF change was assessed. RESULTS: Odds for effusion-synovitis progression decreased with weight loss and ajSCF decrease (odds ratio [OR] = 0.61 and 0.56 per standard deviation [SD] change, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44, 0.83 and 0.40, 0.79, p = 0.002 and 0.001, respectively), whereas odds for Hoffa-synovitis progression increased with weight loss and ajSCF decrease (OR = 1.47 and 1.48, CI 1.05, 2.04 and 1.02, 2.13, p = 0.024 and 0.038, respectively). AjSCF decrease mediated 39% of the effect of weight loss on effusion-synovitis progression. CONCLUSIONS: Effusion-synovitis progression was slowed by weight loss and decrease in local subcutaneous fat. Hoffa-synovitis characterized by fluid in the infrapatellar fat pad increased at the same time, suggesting a decreasing fat pad rather than active synovitis. Decrease in local subcutaneous fat partially mediated the systemic effect of weight loss on synovitis.

Thigh muscle and fat volumes are associated with knee cartilage abnormalities and bone marrow edema-like lesions: data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations of thigh muscle and fat volumes with structural abnormalities on MRI related to knee osteoarthritis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: MRI studies of the thighs and knees from 100 individuals were randomly selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative Cohort. Whole Organ MR Scoring (WORMS) and effusion-synovitis scoring were performed in all knee MRI. Thigh muscles, intermuscular fat, and subcutaneous fat were manually segmented in 15 consecutive MR thigh images. Radiographic Kellgren-Lawrence grades (KLG) were also obtained in all knee radiographs. Independent t-tests were used to investigate the associations between thigh muscle and fat volumes, and sex. Mixed-effects analyses were obtained to investigate the associations between thigh muscle and fat volumes, KLG, WOMAC pain score, cartilage and bone marrow WORMS, as well as effusion-synovitis scores. RESULTS: Women had higher subcutaneous fat volume than men (616.82 vs. 229.13 cm3, p < 0.01) and men had higher muscle volumes than women (p < 0.01). Quadriceps (coef = -2.15, p = 0.01) and vastus medialis (coef = -1.84, p = 0.03) volumes were negatively associated with the WORMS cartilage scores. Intermuscular fat volume (coef = 0.48, p = 0.01) was positively associated with WORMS bone marrow edema-like lesion (BMEL) scores. The quadriceps (coef = -0.99, p < 0.01) and hamstring (coef = -0.59, p = 0.01) volumes were negatively associated with WORMS BMEL scores. No evidence of an association was found between thigh muscle and fat volumes with KLG and effusion-synovitis grading (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Increased quadriceps and hamstring volumes were negatively associated with cartilage lesion and BMEL scores while no evidence of an association was found between thigh muscle and fat volumes, and radiographic knee osteoarthritis or effusion-synovitis grading.

Intensive BP Control in Patients with CKD and Risk for Adverse Outcomes.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Although most guidelines recommend tightly controlling BP in patients with CKD, individuals with advanced kidney disease or severe albuminuria were not well-represented in trials examining the effect of this intervention on kidney outcomes. To examine the effect of intensive BP control on the risk of kidney outcomes in patients with CKD, the authors pooled individual-level data from seven trials. They found that overall, intensive BP control was associated with a 13% lower, but not significant, risk of a kidney outcome. However, the intervention's effect on the kidney outcome differed depending on baseline eGFR. Data from this pooled analysis suggested a benefit of intensive BP control in delaying KRT onset in patients with stages 4-5 CKD, but not necessarily in those with stage 3 CKD. BACKGROUND: The effect of intensive BP lowering (to systolic BP of <120 mm Hg) on the risk of kidney failure requiring KRT remains unclear in patients with advanced CKD. Such patients were not well represented in trials evaluating intensive BP control. METHODS: To examine the effect of intensive BP lowering on KRT risk-or when not possible, trial-defined kidney outcomes-we pooled individual-level data from seven trials that included patients with eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . We performed prespecified subgroup analyses to evaluate the effect of intensive BP control by baseline albuminuria and eGFR (CKD stages 4-5 versus stage 3). RESULTS: Of 5823 trial participants, 526 developed the kidney outcome and 382 died. Overall, intensive (versus usual) BP control was associated with a lower risk of kidney outcome and death in unadjusted analyses but these findings did not achieve statistical significance. However, the intervention's effect on the kidney outcome differed depending on baseline eGFR ( P interaction=0.05). By intention-to-treat analysis, intensive (versus usual) BP control was associated with a 20% lower risk of the primary kidney outcome in those with CKD GFR stages 4-5, but not in CKD GFR stage 3. There was no interaction between intensive BP control and the severity of albuminuria for kidney outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Data from this pooled analysis of seven trials suggest a benefit of intensive BP control in delaying KRT onset in patients with stages 4-5 CKD but not necessarily with stage 3 CKD. These findings suggest no evidence of harm from intensive BP control, but also point to the need for future trials of BP targets focused on populations with advanced kidney disease. PODCAST: This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/JASN/2023_02_27_JASN0000000000000060.mp3.

Predicting post-liver transplant outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure using Expert-Augmented Machine Learning.

Liver transplantation (LT) is a treatment for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), but high post-LT mortality has been reported. Existing post-LT models in ACLF have been limited. We developed an Expert-Augmented Machine Learning (EAML) model to predict post-LT outcomes. We identified ACLF patients who underwent LT in the University of California Health Data Warehouse. We applied the RuleFit machine learning (ML) algorithm to extract rules from decision trees and create intermediate models. We asked human experts to rate the rules generated by RuleFit and incorporated these ratings to generate final EAML models. We identified 1384 ACLF patients. For death at 1 year, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve were 0.707 (confidence interval [CI] 0.625-0.793) for EAML and 0.719 (CI 0.640-0.800) for RuleFit. For death at 90 days, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve were 0.678 (CI 0.581-0.776) for EAML and 0.707 (CI 0.615-0.800) for RuleFit. In pairwise comparisons, both EAML and RuleFit models outperformed cross-sectional models. Significant discrepancies between experts and ML occurred in rankings of biomarkers used in clinical practice. EAML may serve as a method for ML-guided hypothesis generation in further ACLF research.

Acute Declines in Estimated GFR in Blood Pressure Target Trials and Risk of Adverse Outcomes.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Acute decreases in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) occur commonly during intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering. Our objective was to determine the relationship between acute decreases in estimated GFR and patient outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Participants from 4 randomized controlled trials of intensive BP lowering in chronic kidney disease (Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study, African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension, Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial, and Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes trial). EXPOSURE: A 4-category exposure defined by the level of acute decrease in estimated GFR (defined as>15% vs≤15% between baseline and month 4) and the randomization to intensive versus usual BP control. OUTCOMES: Risk of kidney replacement therapy (primary outcome), defined as the need for dialysis or transplant except in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes trial, which defined its kidney outcome as a composite occurrence of serum creatinine concentration>3.3mg/dL, kidney failure, or kidney replacement therapy. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: We included 4,473 individuals randomly assigned to intensive versus usual BP control who had a total of 351 kidney outcomes and 304 deaths during median follow-up durations of 22 and 24 months, respectively. Approximately 14% of participants exhibited an acute decrease in eGFR, 11.0% in the usual BP treatment arm and 17.8% in the intensive BP treatment arm. In adjusted models, compared with a≤15% eGFR decrease in the usual BP arm, a≤15% eGFR decrease in the intensive BP control arm was associated with lower risk of the kidney outcome (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.57-0.98). In contrast, a>15% decrease in eGFR was associated with a higher risk of the kidney outcome in the usual (HR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.80-3.38) and intensive BP treatment arms (HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.45-2.73) compared with a≤15% decrease in the usual BP arm. LIMITATIONS: Observational study, residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Decreases in eGFR of>15% in the usual and intensive BP treatment arms were associated with a higher risk of kidney outcomes compared with a≤15% decrease in the usual BP arm and may be a harbinger of adverse outcomes.

Utility of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation and Estimated GFR for Estimating Time to Kidney Failure in Advanced CKD.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) predicts the 2-year risk of kidney failure for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Translating KFRE-predicted risk or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) into time to kidney failure could inform decision making for patients approaching kidney failure. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: CKD Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (CKDOPPS) cohort of patients with an eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 from 34 US nephrology practices (2013-2021). EXPOSURE: 2-year KFRE risk or eGFR. OUTCOME: Kidney failure defined as initiation of dialysis or kidney transplantation. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Accelerated failure time (Weibull) models used to estimate the median, 25th, and 75th percentile times to kidney failure starting from KFRE values of 20%, 40%, and 50%, and from eGFR values of 20, 15, and 10mL/min/1.73m2. We examined variability in time to kidney failure by age, sex, race, diabetes status, albuminuria, and blood pressure. RESULTS: Overall, 1,641 participants were included (mean age 69±13 years; median eGFR of 28mL/min/1.73m2 [IQR 20-37mL/min/1.73 m2]). Over a median follow-up period of 19 months (IQR, 12-30 months), 268 participants developed kidney failure, and 180 died before reaching kidney failure. The median estimated time to kidney failure was widely variable across patient characteristics from an eGFR of 20mL/min/1.73m2 and was shorter for younger age, male sex, Black (versus non-Black), diabetes (vs no diabetes), higher albuminuria, and higher blood pressure. Estimated times to kidney failure were comparably less variable across these characteristics for KFRE thresholds and eGFR of 15 or 10mL/min/1.73m2. LIMITATIONS: Inability to account for competing risks when estimating time to kidney failure. CONCLUSIONS: Among those with eGFR<15mL/min/1.73m2 or KFRE risk>40%), both KFRE risk and eGFR showed similar relationships with time to kidney failure. Our results demonstrate that estimating time to kidney failure in advanced CKD can inform clinical decisions and patient counseling on prognosis, regardless of whether estimates are based on eGFR or the KFRE. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Clinicians often talk to patients with advanced chronic kidney disease about the level of kidney function expressed as the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and about the risk of developing kidney failure, which can be estimated using the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE). In a cohort of patients with advanced chronic kidney disease, we examined how eGFR and KFRE risk predictions corresponded to the time patients had until reaching kidney failure. Among those with eGFR<15mL/min/1.73m2 or KFRE risk > 40%), both KFRE risk and eGFR showed similar relationships with time to kidney failure. Estimating time to kidney failure in advanced CKD using either eGFR or KFRE can inform clinical decisions and patient counseling on prognosis.

Improving the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium by incorporating kidney dysfunction types.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We investigated the impact of the inclusion of kidney dysfunction type on the discrimination and calibration of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium (MELD-Na-KT) score. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We included all adults listed for ≥90 days without exception points from January 1, 2008, through December 31, 2018. We defined kidney dysfunction types as follows: acute kidney disease (AKD; an increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL or ≥50% in serum creatinine in the last 7 days or fewer than 72 days of hemodialysis), chronic kidney disease (CKD; an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m2  for 90 days or ≥72 days of hemodialysis), AKD on CKD (met both definitions), or none (met neither definition). We then developed and validated a multivariable survival model with follow-up beginning at the first assessment after 90 days from waitlist registration and ending at the time of death, waitlist removal, or 90 days from enrollment in this study. The predictor variables were MELD-Na and the derived MELD-Na-KT model. In the derivation cohort, kidney dysfunction type was significantly associated with waitlist mortality after controlling for MELD-Na. There was a significant linear interaction between kidney dysfunction type and MELD-Na score. In the validation cohort, we saw an improvement in the discrimination of the model with an increase in the c-index from 0.76 with MELD-Na to 0.78 with MELD-Na-KT (p = 0.002) and a net reclassification index of 10.8% (95% CI, 1.9%-11.4%). The newly derived MELD-Na-KT model had lower Brier scores (MELD-Na-KT 0.042 vs. MELD-Na 0.053). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility and the potential for objectively defined kidney dysfunction types to enhance the prognostication of waitlist mortality provided by the MELD-Na score.

Associations between weight change, knee subcutaneous fat and cartilage thickness in overweight and obese individuals: 4-Year data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

OBJECTIVE: To assess (i) the impact of changes in body weight on changes in joint-adjacent subcutaneous fat (SCF) and cartilage thickness over 4 years and (ii) the relation between changes in joint-adjacent SCF and knee cartilage thickness. DESIGN: Individuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (total=399) with > 10% weight gain (n=100) and > 10% weight loss (n=100) over 4 years were compared to a matched control cohort with less than 3% change in weight (n=199). 3.0T Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) of the right knee was performed at baseline and after 4 years to quantify joint-adjacent SCF and cartilage thickness. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the associations between the (i) weight change group and 4-year changes in both knee SCF and cartilage thickness, and (ii) 4-year changes in knee SCF and in cartilage thickness. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, baseline body mass index (BMI), tibial diameter (and weight change group in analysis (ii)). RESULTS: Individuals who lost weight over 4-years had significantly less joint-adjacent SCF (beta range, medial/lateral joint sides: 2.2-4.2 mm, p < 0.001) than controls; individuals who gained weight had significantly greater joint-adjacent SCF than controls (beta range: -1.4 to -3.9 mm, p < 0.001). No statistically significant associations were found between weight change and cartilage thickness change. However, increases in joint-adjacent SCF over 4 years were significantly associated with decreases in cartilage thickness (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Weight change was associated with joint-adjacent SCF, but not with change in cartilage thickness. However, 4-year increases in joint-adjacent SCF were associated with decreases in cartilage thickness independent of baseline BMI and weight change group.

Perceived Access to Contraception via Telemedicine Among Young Adults: Inequities by Food and Housing Insecurity.

BACKGROUND: Telemedicine expanded rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic, including for contraceptive services. Data are needed to understand whether young people can access telemedicine for contraception, especially in underserved populations. OBJECTIVE: To compare young people's perceived access to telemedicine visits for contraception during the COVID-19 pandemic by food and housing insecurity. DESIGN: Supplementary study to a cluster randomized controlled trial in 25 community colleges in California and Texas. Online surveys were administered May 2020 to April 2021. Mixed-effects logistic regression models with random effects for site were used to examine differences in access to contraception through telemedicine by food and housing insecurity status, controlling for key sociodemographic characteristics, including race/ethnicity, non-English primary language, health insurance status, and state of residence, and contraceptive method used. PARTICIPANTS: 1,414 individuals assigned female at birth aged 18-28. MAIN MEASURES: Survey measures were used to capture how difficult it would be for a participant to have a telemedicine visit (phone or video) for contraception. KEY RESULTS: Twenty-nine percent of participants were food insecure, and 15% were housing insecure. Nearly a quarter (24%) stated that it would be difficult to have a phone or video visit for contraception. After accounting for sociodemographic factors and type of method used, food insecure (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.62-2.91) and housing insecure (aOR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.13-2.33) participants were significantly more likely to report that it would be difficult to use telemedicine for contraception during the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: Underserved patients are those who could benefit most from the expansion of telemedicine services, yet our findings show that young people experiencing basic needs insecurity perceive the greatest difficulty accessing these services for essential reproductive care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03519685.

Impact of Sustained Synovitis on Knee Joint Structural Degeneration: 4-Year MRI Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

BACKGROUND: Synovial inflammation is a risk factor for osteoarthritis (OA). But to date, there is limited information on how inflammation impacts progression of knee OA. PURPOSE: To investigate how sustained synovitis, assessed with semi-quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scores, impacts progression of knee degenerative changes over 4 years. STUDY TYPE: Retrospective cohort study. SUBJECTS: In 249 participants (N = 132 women [53%]), from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) two definitions for synovitis were used resulting in two groups of participants with sustained synovitis at baseline, 2-year, and 4-year follow-up (N = 80 and N = 132), and two groups without synovitis at all three time points (N = 81 and N = 47). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3 T intermediate-weighted (IW) turbo spin-echo (TSE) sequence and three-dimensional (3D) dual-echo steady-state (DESS) sequence. ASSESSMENT: Synovitis was scored semi-quantitatively using the Anterior Cruciate Ligament Osteoarthritis Score (ACLOAS), MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS), and synovial proliferation score (SPS). Two MRI-based definitions of synovitis were used: (i) score ≥2 based on cumulative score of MOAKS and ACLOAS, and (ii) score ≥3 based on the cumulative score of ACLOAS, MOAKS, and SPS. Changes in structural abnormalities from baseline to year 4 measured using the whole-organ MRI score (WORMS) were defined as outcomes. STATISTICAL TESTS: Linear regression models were used to compare the differences in longitudinal changes in WORMS scores between participants with and without sustained synovitis for each definition of sustained synovitis. A P-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Significantly higher rates of progression were found in participants with synovitis for patellar (Beta coeff. = 0.29) and medial tibial cartilage abnormalities (Beta coeff. = 0.29) for definition (i). For definition (ii), patellar (Beta coeff. = 0.36) and medial femoral cartilage (Beta coeff. = 0.30) abnormalities demonstrated significant differences. DATA CONCLUSION: Greater progression of structural degenerative disease was observed in individuals with sustained synovitis compared to those without sustained synovitis, suggesting that sustained synovitis is associated with progressive OA. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Psychometric assessment of the US person-centered prenatal and maternity care scales in a low-income predominantly Latinx population in California.

OBJECTIVES: To assess psychometric properties of two scales developed to measure the quality of person-centered care during pregnancy and childbirth in the United States-the Person-Centered Prenatal Care (PCPC-US) and Person-Centered Maternity Care (PCMC-US) scales-in a low-income predominantly Latinx population in California. METHODS: Data were collected from July 2020 to June 2023 from surveys of low-income pregnant and birthing people in Fresno, California, participating in the "Engaging Mothers and Babies; Reimagining Antenatal Care for Everyone" (EMBRACE) trial. Research staff administered the 26-item PCPC-US scale at 30-34 weeks' gestation (n = 315) and the 35-item PCMC-US scale at 10-14 weeks after birth (n = 286), using the language preferred by the participant (English or Spanish). We assessed construct, criterion, and known group validity and internal consistency of the scales. RESULTS: 78% of respondents identified as Latinx. Factor analysis identified one dominant factor for each scale that accounted for over 60% of the cumulative variance, with most items loading at > 0.3. The items also loaded adequately on sub-scales for "dignity and respect," "communication and autonomy," and "responsive and supportive care." Cronbach's alpha for the full scales were > 0.9 and between 0.70 and 0.87 for the sub-scales. Summative scores range from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating higher person-centered care. Correlations with scores on scales measuring prenatal care quality and birth experience provided evidence for criterion validity, while associations with known predictors provided evidence for known-group validity. CONCLUSIONS: The PCPC-US and PCMC-US scales, which were developed using a community-engaged process and found to have good psychometric properties in a largely high-income sample of Black women, were shown to also have good psychometric properties in a sample of low-income primarily Latinx women. Both scales provide valid and reliable tools to measure person-centered care experiences among minoritized communities to support efforts to reduce existing birth inequities.