Accounting for age of onset and family history improves power in genome-wide association studies.

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have revolutionized human genetics, allowing researchers to identify thousands of disease-related genes and possible drug targets. However, case-control status does not account for the fact that not all controls may have lived through their period of risk for the disorder of interest. This can be quantified by examining the age-of-onset distribution and the age of the controls or the age of onset for cases. The age-of-onset distribution may also depend on information such as sex and birth year. In addition, family history is not routinely included in the assessment of control status. Here, we present LT-FH++, an extension of the liability threshold model conditioned on family history (LT-FH), which jointly accounts for age of onset and sex as well as family history. Using simulations, we show that, when family history and the age-of-onset distribution are available, the proposed approach yields statistically significant power gains over LT-FH and large power gains over genome-wide association study by proxy (GWAX). We applied our method to four psychiatric disorders available in the iPSYCH data and to mortality in the UK Biobank and found 20 genome-wide significant associations with LT-FH++, compared to ten for LT-FH and eight for a standard case-control GWAS. As more genetic data with linked electronic health records become available to researchers, we expect methods that account for additional health information, such as LT-FH++, to become even more beneficial.

A comprehensive analysis of age of onset and cumulative incidence of mental disorders: A Danish register study.

BACKGROUND: The age of onset (AOO), incidence and cumulative incidence of mental disorders are critical epidemiological measures, providing essential insights into the development and course of these disorders across the lifespan. This study aims to provide up-to-date estimates of the AOO, age-specific incidence, and cumulative incidence for a comprehensive range of mental disorders using data from Danish registers. METHODS: We conducted a follow-up study encompassing all Danish residents from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2021, totaling 91,613,465 person-years. Data were sourced from the Danish Psychiatric Central Research Register, identifying individuals treated for various mental disorders in psychiatric hospitals, outpatient departments, and accident/emergency departments, that is, treated in secondary care settings. We investigated specific categories of mental disorders, including substance abuse disorders, schizophrenia, mood disorders, anxiety, eating disorders, borderline personality disorders, intellectual disabilities, pervasive developmental disorders, and behavioral and emotional disorders. Age-sex-specific incidence rates were estimated using Poisson generalized linear models, and cumulative incidence was calculated using Aalen-Johansen's competing risks model. The study provides estimates of AOO, incidence, and cumulative incidence for various mental disorders, including their age and sex distributions. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence by age 80 years for any mental disorder was 30.72% (95% confidence interval: 30.62%-30.83%) for males and 34.46% (34.35%-34.57%) for females. The most common types of mental disorders were anxiety-related disorders 16.27% (16.19%-16.36%) for males and 23.39% (23.29%-23.50%) for females, and followed by mood disorder 10.34% (10.27%-10.41%) for males and 16.67% (16.58%-16.77%) for females. For those who develop mental disorder, half will have developed their disorder by approximately age 22 years (median and interquartile range: males 21.37 (11.85-36.00); females 22.55 (16.31-36.08)). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one in three individuals will seek treatment for at least one mental disorder in a secondary care setting by age 80. Given that half of these individuals develop mental disorders before age 22, it is crucial to tailor service planning to meet the specific needs of young individuals. Web-based interactive data-visualization tools are provided for clinical utility.

Association between Mental Disorders and Subsequent Medical Conditions.

BACKGROUND: Persons with mental disorders are at a higher risk than the general population for the subsequent development of certain medical conditions. METHODS: We used a population-based cohort from Danish national registries that included data on more than 5.9 million persons born in Denmark from 1900 through 2015 and followed them from 2000 through 2016, for a total of 83.9 million person-years. We assessed 10 broad types of mental disorders and 9 broad categories of medical conditions (which encompassed 31 specific conditions). We used Cox regression models to calculate overall hazard ratios and time-dependent hazard ratios for pairs of mental disorders and medical conditions, after adjustment for age, sex, calendar time, and previous mental disorders. Absolute risks were estimated with the use of competing-risks survival analyses. RESULTS: A total of 698,874 of 5,940,299 persons (11.8%) were identified as having a mental disorder. The median age of the total population was 32.1 years at entry into the cohort and 48.7 years at the time of the last follow-up. Persons with a mental disorder had a higher risk than those without such disorders with respect to 76 of 90 pairs of mental disorders and medical conditions. The median hazard ratio for an association between a mental disorder and a medical condition was 1.37. The lowest hazard ratio was 0.82 for organic mental disorders and the broad category of cancer (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 0.84), and the highest was 3.62 for eating disorders and urogenital conditions (95% CI, 3.11 to 4.22). Several specific pairs showed a reduced risk (e.g., schizophrenia and musculoskeletal conditions). Risks varied according to the time since the diagnosis of a mental disorder. The absolute risk of a medical condition within 15 years after a mental disorder was diagnosed varied from 0.6% for a urogenital condition among persons with a developmental disorder to 54.1% for a circulatory disorder among those with an organic mental disorder. CONCLUSIONS: Most mental disorders were associated with an increased risk of a subsequent medical condition; hazard ratios ranged from 0.82 to 3.62 and varied according to the time since the diagnosis of the mental disorder. (Funded by the Danish National Research Foundation and others; COMO-GMC ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03847753.).

Polygenic liability, stressful life events and risk for secondary-treated depression in early life: a nationwide register-based case-cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In this study, we examined the relationship between polygenic liability for depression and number of stressful life events (SLEs) as risk factors for early-onset depression treated in inpatient, outpatient or emergency room settings at psychiatric hospitals in Denmark. METHODS: Data were drawn from the iPSYCH2012 case-cohort sample, a population-based sample of individuals born in Denmark between 1981 and 2005. The sample included 18 532 individuals who were diagnosed with depression by a psychiatrist by age 31 years, and a comparison group of 20 184 individuals. Information on SLEs was obtained from nationwide registers and operationalized as a time-varying count variable. Hazard ratios and cumulative incidence rates were estimated using Cox regressions. RESULTS: Risk for depression increased by 35% with each standard deviation increase in polygenic liability (p < 0.0001), and 36% (p < 0.0001) with each additional SLE. There was a small interaction between polygenic liability and SLEs (ß = -0.04, p = 0.0009). The probability of being diagnosed with depression in a hospital-based setting between ages 15 and 31 years ranged from 1.5% among males in the lowest quartile of polygenic liability with 0 events by age 15, to 18.8% among females in the highest quartile of polygenic liability with 4+ events by age 15. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that although there is minimal interaction between polygenic liability and SLEs as risk factors for hospital-treated depression, combining information on these two important risk factors could potentially be useful for identifying high-risk individuals.

Agreement between survey- and register-based measures of depression in Denmark.

BACKGROUND: Register-based studies of major depressive disorder (MDD) do not capture all prevalent cases, as untreated cases and diagnoses made by general practitioners are not recorded in the registers. We examined the prevalence and agreement of survey- and register-based measures of depression, and explored sociodemographic and health-related factors that may have influenced this agreement. METHODS: All 32,407 participants in the 2017 Central Denmark Region How are you? survey were linked to hospital and prescription records. A checklist for depressive symptoms within the last 14 days (Major Depression Inventory; MDI) from the survey was compared with register-based assessment of hospital-diagnosed MDD and/or prescriptions for antidepressants. We estimated agreement between survey-based and register-based measures for depression and used logistic regression models to explore selected associated factors. RESULTS: In total, 5.9% of How are you? survey participants screened positive for current depression on the MDI. Of these, 51.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): 49.0-53.6) filled a prescription for an antidepressant medication during the 10 years prior or 2 years following the administration of the survey, and 14.5% (95% CI: 12.9-16.2) were treated for MDD in a psychiatric hospital-based setting. When using a higher threshold of the MDI indicating more severe current depression, 22.8% (95% CI: 19.6-26.1) of those who screened positive also received an MDD diagnosis and 63.4% (95% CI: 59.7-67.2) were prescribed antidepressants during this 12-year period. Among those with current depression, female sex, older age, chronic diseases, hospital-treated self-harm, and being permanently outside the workforce were associated with having a register-based MDD diagnosis or antidepressant prescription. Among those with a register-based depression record, female sex, younger age, hospital-treated self-harm, stress, and severe loneliness were associated with current depression. CONCLUSION: We found that as few as 15% of individuals with current depression in the general Danish population were captured by the psychiatric hospital register, while 51% of these individuals were identifiable in the prescription register. These findings demonstrate that register-based measures significantly underestimate the true prevalence of depression by identifying only the cases that are most severe.

Bipolar disorder and depression in early adulthood and long-term employment, income, and educational attainment: A nationwide cohort study of 2,390,127 individuals.

BACKGROUND: Mood disorders are known to be associated with poor socioeconomic outcomes, but no study has examined these associations across the entire worklife course. Our goal was to estimate the associations between bipolar disorder and depression in early adulthood and subsequent employment, income, and educational attainment. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide prospective cohort study including all individuals (n = 2,390,127; 49% female) born in Denmark between 1955 and 1990. Hospital-based diagnoses of depression and bipolar disorder before age 25 were obtained from the Danish psychiatric register. Yearly employment, earnings, and education status from ages 25 to 61 were obtained from the Danish labor market and education registers. We estimated both absolute and relative proportions. RESULTS: Population rates of hospital-diagnosed depression and bipolar between ages 15-25 were 1% and 0.12%, respectively. Compared to individuals without mood disorders, those with depression and particularly bipolar disorder had consistently poor socioeconomic outcomes across the entire work-life span. For example, at age 30, 62% of bipolar and 53% of depression cases were outside the workforce compared to 19% of the general population, and 52% of bipolar and 42% of depression cases had no higher education compared to 27% of the general population. Overall, individuals with bipolar disorder or depression earned around 36% and 51%, respectively, of the income earned by individuals without mood disorders. All associations were smaller for individuals not rehospitalized after age 25. CONCLUSIONS: Severe mood disorders with onset before age 25, particularly bipolar disorder, are associated with persistent poor socioeconomic outcomes across the entire work-life course.

Vascular Pathology and Trajectories of Late-Life Major Depressive Disorder in Secondary Psychiatric Care.

OBJECTIVE: To examine 5-year trajectories of psychiatrist-treated late-life major depressive disorder (MDD), and evaluate whether previous vascular pathology is associated with more severe trajectories of late-life MDD. METHODS: Data were obtained from nationally representative civil, psychiatric, hospital, and prescription registers in Denmark. The sample included 11,092 older adults (≥60 years) who received their first diagnosis of MDD in a psychiatric facility in Denmark between 2000 and 2007. Trajectories of inpatient or outpatient contact at psychiatric hospitals for MDD over the 5-year period following index MDD diagnosis were modeled using latent class growth analysis. Measures of vascular disease (stroke, heart disease, vascular dementia) and vascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes) were defined based on medication prescriptions and hospital-based diagnoses. Other predictors included demographic characteristics and characteristics of the index MDD diagnosis. RESULTS: The final model included 4 trajectories with consistently low (66% of the sample), high decreasing (19%), consistently high (9%), and moderate fluctuating (6%) probabilities of contact at a psychiatric hospital for MDD during the 5-year period following the index MDD diagnosis. We found no significant associations between any form of vascular pathology and trajectory class membership. Relative to the consistently low class, older age, greater severity and >12 months of prior antidepressant medication use predicted membership in the other three classes. CONCLUSIONS: A notable proportion (34%) of individuals diagnosed with MDD in late-life require secondary psychiatric treatment for extended time periods. We did not find evidence that vascular pathology predicts hospital contact trajectories in secondary-treated late-life MDD.

Progression from unipolar depression to schizophrenia.

OBJECTIVE: To examine progression from unipolar depression (UD) to schizophrenia and to identify groups of UD patients at elevated risk for progression. METHOD: Historical prospective cohort study using data from Danish national registers. The sample included 71 932 individuals who received a diagnosis of UD in Denmark between January 1, 1995, and May 31, 2013. Analyses were conducted using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox regressions. RESULTS: The 18.5-year cumulative incidence of schizophrenia was 5.5% in women and 8.4% in men. The strongest predictors of progression included younger age (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) for individuals 18-24 vs. 40+ = 7.42, 95% confidence interval = [6.29, 8.74]), psychotic symptoms at index UD diagnosis (AHR = 3.70 [3.18, 4.31]), previous disorder with psychotic features (AHR = 3.71 [3.31, 4.16]), and previous illicit substance use disorder (AHR = 1.66 [1.40, 1.97]). Groups of UD patients with different combinations of risk factors had elevated risk for progression, with 10-year cumulative incidences ranging from 9% to 62%. To conclude, at the time of UD diagnosis, the strongest risk factors for progression to schizophrenia include male sex, younger age, past/current psychotic symptoms, and illicit substance use disorders. These clinical predictors may aid in targeting monitoring for schizophrenia among patients with UD.

Real-World Evidence on Clinical Outcomes of Commonly Used Antidepressants in Older Adults Initiating Antidepressants for Depression: A Nationwide Cohort Study in Denmark.

OBJECTIVE: The authors investigated the clinical outcomes of commonly used antidepressants among older adults who initiated first-time antidepressants for depression by analyzing the 1-year risk of selected clinically relevant outcomes. METHODS: This cohort study used nationwide Danish registry data and included all older adults who redeemed a first-time (since 1995) antidepressant prescription with an indication of depression between 2006 and 2017. Only the 10 most frequently redeemed antidepressants were included in the analyses. Outcomes included discontinuation, switching, augmentation, psychiatric hospital contacts, suicide attempt or self-harm, fall-related injuries, cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using Poisson regression models, controlling for potential confounders. RESULTS: The study sample included 93,883 older adults (mean age, 78.0 years, SD=7.5 years; 56% female). The most frequently prescribed antidepressants were selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (citalopram, 47.04%; escitalopram, 11.81%; fluoxetine, 0.55%; paroxetine, 0.52%; sertraline, 11.17%), serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (duloxetine, 0.71%; venlafaxine, 1.54%), a tricyclic antidepressant (amitriptyline, 1.86%), and two atypical antidepressants (mianserin, 1.93%; mirtazapine, 22.87%). Compared with users of sertraline (the reference drug in this analysis, as Danish guidelines recommend it as the first-choice treatment for depression), users of most of the other nine antidepressants had a significantly higher risk of discontinuation (e.g., mirtazapine: IRR=1.55, 95% CI=1.50-1.61; venlafaxine: IRR=1.22, 95% CI=1.12-1.32), switching (amitriptyline: IRR=1.45, 95% CI=1.15-1.81; venlafaxine: IRR=1.47, 95% CI=1.20-1.80), augmentation, cardiovascular events, and mortality. Overall, mirtazapine and venlafaxine users had the most adverse outcomes compared with sertraline users. These results remained consistent in analyses stratified by sex and age (≤75 years vs. >75 years). CONCLUSIONS: This real-world evidence suggests that clinical outcomes may vary among initiators of commonly used antidepressants in older adults, which may inform benefit-risk evaluation at treatment initiation, and highlights the importance of careful selection of antidepressant treatment.

Polygenic Risk and Episode Polarity Among Individuals With Bipolar Disorder.

OBJECTIVE: The authors investigated associations between polygenic liabilities for bipolar disorder, major depression, and schizophrenia and episode polarity among individuals with bipolar disorder. METHODS: The sample consisted of 2,705 individuals diagnosed with bipolar disorder at Danish psychiatric hospitals between January 1995 and March 2017. DNA was obtained from dried blood spots collected at birth as part of routine screening. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for bipolar disorder, major depression, and schizophrenia were generated using a meta-PRS method combining internally and externally trained components. Associations between PRS and polarity at first episode, polarity at any episode, and number of episodes with a given polarity were evaluated for each disorder-specific PRS using logistic and negative binominal regressions adjusted for the other two PRSs, age, sex, genotype platform, and five ancestral principal components. RESULTS: PRS for bipolar disorder was positively associated with any manic episodes (odds ratio=1.23, 95% CI=1.09-1.38). PRS for depression was positively associated with any depressive (odds ratio=1.11, 95% CI=1.01-1.23) and mixed (odds ratio=1.15, 95% CI=1.03-1.28) episodes and negatively associated with any manic episodes (odds ratio=0.76, 95% CI=0.69-0.84). PRS for schizophrenia was positively associated with any manic episodes (odds ratio=1.13, 95% CI=1.01-1.27), but only when psychotic symptoms were present (odds ratio for psychotic mania: 1.27, 95% CI=1.05-1.54; odds ratio for nonpsychotic mania: 1.06, 95% CI=0.93-1.20). These patterns were similar for first-episode polarity and for the number of episodes within each pole. CONCLUSIONS: PRSs for bipolar disorder, major depression, and schizophrenia are associated with episode polarity and psychotic symptoms in a congruent manner among individuals with bipolar disorder.

ADuLT: An efficient and robust time-to-event GWAS.

Proportional hazards models have been proposed to analyse time-to-event phenotypes in genome-wide association studies (GWAS). However, little is known about the ability of proportional hazards models to identify genetic associations under different generative models and when ascertainment is present. Here we propose the age-dependent liability threshold (ADuLT) model as an alternative to a Cox regression based GWAS, here represented by SPACox. We compare ADuLT, SPACox, and standard case-control GWAS in simulations under two generative models and with varying degrees of ascertainment as well as in the iPSYCH cohort. We find Cox regression GWAS to be underpowered when cases are strongly ascertained (cases are oversampled by a factor 5), regardless of the generative model used. ADuLT is robust to ascertainment in all simulated scenarios. Then, we analyse four psychiatric disorders in iPSYCH, ADHD, Autism, Depression, and Schizophrenia, with a strong case-ascertainment. Across these psychiatric disorders, ADuLT identifies 20 independent genome-wide significant associations, case-control GWAS finds 17, and SPACox finds 8, which is consistent with simulation results. As more genetic data are being linked to electronic health records, robust GWAS methods that can make use of age-of-onset information will help increase power in analyses for common health outcomes.

Genetic correlates of vitamin D-binding protein and 25-hydroxyvitamin D in neonatal dried blood spots.

The vitamin D binding protein (DBP), encoded by the group-specific component (GC) gene, is a component of the vitamin D system. In a genome-wide association study of DBP concentration in 65,589 neonates we identify 26 independent loci, 17 of which are in or close to the GC gene, with fine-mapping identifying 2 missense variants on chromosomes 12 and 17 (within SH2B3 and GSDMA, respectively). When adjusted for GC haplotypes, we find 15 independent loci distributed over 10 chromosomes. Mendelian randomization analyses identify a unidirectional effect of higher DBP concentration and (a) higher 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, and (b) a reduced risk of multiple sclerosis and rheumatoid arthritis. A phenome-wide association study confirms that higher DBP concentration is associated with a reduced risk of vitamin D deficiency. Our findings provide valuable insights into the influence of DBP on vitamin D status and a range of health outcomes.

The correlates of neonatal complement component 3 and 4 protein concentrations with a focus on psychiatric and autoimmune disorders.

Complement components have been linked to schizophrenia and autoimmune disorders. We examined the association between neonatal circulating C3 and C4 protein concentrations in 68,768 neonates and the risk of six mental disorders. We completed genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for C3 and C4 and applied the summary statistics in Mendelian randomization and phenome-wide association studies related to mental and autoimmune disorders. The GWASs for C3 and C4 protein concentrations identified 15 and 36 independent loci, respectively. We found no associations between neonatal C3 and C4 concentrations and mental disorders in the total sample (both sexes combined); however, post-hoc analyses found that a higher C3 concentration was associated with a reduced risk of schizophrenia in females. Mendelian randomization based on C4 summary statistics found an altered risk of five types of autoimmune disorders. Our study adds to our understanding of the associations between C3 and C4 concentrations and subsequent mental and autoimmune disorders.

Depression pathophysiology, risk prediction of recurrence and comorbid psychiatric disorders using genome-wide analyses.

Depression is a common psychiatric disorder and a leading cause of disability worldwide. Here we conducted a genome-wide association study meta-analysis of six datasets, including >1.3 million individuals (371,184 with depression) and identified 243 risk loci. Overall, 64 loci were new, including genes encoding glutamate and GABA receptors, which are targets for antidepressant drugs. Intersection with functional genomics data prioritized likely causal genes and revealed new enrichment of prenatal GABAergic neurons, astrocytes and oligodendrocyte lineages. We found depression to be highly polygenic, with ~11,700 variants explaining 90% of the single-nucleotide polymorphism heritability, estimating that >95% of risk variants for other psychiatric disorders (anxiety, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder) were influencing depression risk when both concordant and discordant variants were considered, and nearly all depression risk variants influenced educational attainment. Additionally, depression genetic risk was associated with impaired complex cognition domains. We dissected the genetic and clinical heterogeneity, revealing distinct polygenic architectures across subgroups of depression and demonstrating significantly increased absolute risks for recurrence and psychiatric comorbidity among cases of depression with the highest polygenic burden, with considerable sex differences. The risks were up to 5- and 32-fold higher than cases with the lowest polygenic burden and the background population, respectively. These results deepen the understanding of the biology underlying depression, its disease progression and inform precision medicine approaches to treatment.

Developmental exposure to vitamin D deficiency and subsequent risk of schizophrenia.

Over the last half century, a body of convergent evidence has accumulated linking disruption of early brain development with an increased risk of mental disorders, including schizophrenia. The orderly cascade of brain development may be disrupted by exposure to suboptimal concentrations of a range of biological substrates and micronutrients. We hypothesized that those exposed to vitamin D deficiency during early life, have an increased risk of neurodevelopmental disorders, including schizophrenia. The hypothesis was based on the link between an increased risk of schizophrenia in (a) those born in winter and spring, when vitamin D deficiency is more prevalent, and (b) the offspring of dark-skinned migrants living in cold climates, who have a markedly increased risk of vitamin D deficiency. In this review, we summarize evidence from analytic epidemiology related to this hypothesis. Two case-control studies based on Danish neonatal dried blood spots have found that neonatal vitamin deficiency is associated with an increased risk of schizophrenia. However, recent genetic analyses have also suggested that common variants linked to schizophrenia may lead to lower vitamin D concentrations (possibly mediated via reduced outdoor activity). We summarize limitations of the current evidence and outline suggestions that can guide future research. Based on currently available data, there is insufficient evidence to support public health recommendations related to this topic. However, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the provision of vitamin D supplementation to pregnant women and/or offspring in groups vulnerable to vitamin D deficiency may subsequently reduce the incidence of schizophrenia in the offspring.

Genome-wide by Environment Interaction Study of Stressful Life Events and Hospital-Treated Depression in the iPSYCH2012 Sample.

Background: Researchers have long investigated a hypothesized interaction between genetic risk and stressful life events in the etiology of depression, but studies on the topic have yielded inconsistent results. Methods: We conducted a genome-wide by environment interaction study (GWEIS) in 18,532 patients with depression from hospital-based settings and 20,184 population controls. All individuals were drawn from the iPSYCH2012 case-cohort study, a nationally representative sample identified from Danish national registers. Information on stressful life events including family disruption, serious medical illness, death of a first-degree relative, parental disability, and child maltreatment was identified from the registers and operationalized as a time-varying count variable. Hazard ratios for main and interaction effects were estimated using Cox regressions weighted to accommodate the case-cohort design. Our replication sample included 22,880 depression cases and 50,378 controls from the UK Biobank. Results: The GWEIS in the iPSYCH2012 sample yielded three novel, genome-wide-significant (p < 5 × 10-8) loci located in the ABCC1 gene (rs56076205, p = 3.7 × 10-10), the AKAP6 gene (rs3784187, p = 1.2 × 10-8), and near the MFSD1 gene (rs340315, p = 4.5 × 10-8). No hits replicated in the UK Biobank (rs56076205: p = .87; rs3784187: p = .93; rs340315: p = .71). Conclusions: In this large, population-based GWEIS, we did not find any replicable hits for interaction. Future gene-by-stress research in depression should focus on establishing even larger collaborative GWEISs to attain sufficient power.

Cause-specific life years lost in individuals with treatment-resistant depression: A Danish nationwide register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Depression is associated with excess mortality, but it is not known how treatment-resistance influences life expectancy. We estimated cause-specific excess mortality and Life Years Lost (LYL) in patients with treatment-resistant depression (TRD). METHODS: The population included all individuals born and living in Denmark who redeemed their first prescription for an antidepressant at age 18-69 years between 2005 and 2012, identified in the Danish National Prescription Registry. TRD was defined as at least two additional and different antidepressant trials within two years. Mortality rate ratios (MRRs) were estimated with Cox regression adjusted for age at first prescription, calendar year and comorbidity. Differences in life expectancy were estimated by the Life Years Lost (LYL) method. RESULTS: The cohort included 154,513 first-time pharmacologically treated patients with depression, of whom 8,294 (5.4%) were identified as having TRD. Patients were followed for 1,032,245 person-years during which 9,795 deaths occurred. Men and women with TRD had significantly higher mortality than non-TRD (aMRR: 1.34, 95% CI 1.18-1.52 and aMRR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.19-1.63, respectively). Life expectancy for men and women with TRD was 1.21 (95% CI 0.36-2.44) and 1.24 (95% CI 0.35-2.34) years shorter than in all patients with depression. Suicide accounted for the majority of excess LYL, with 1.10 (95% CI 0.46-1.61) years in men and 0.82 (95% CI 0.44-1.27) years in women with TRD. LIMITATIONS: Using redeemed prescriptions to define TRD may increase the risk of misclassification. CONCLUSIONS: Patients not responding adequately to several treatment trials are at increased risk for premature death, particularly suicide.

Anorexia nervosa and inflammatory bowel diseases-Diagnostic and genetic associations.

Background: Anorexia nervosa (AN), a serious eating disorder, and inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) share a number of key symptoms, for example, discomfort during eating and early satiety. Despite the symptom overlap, studies on comorbidity are limited and mostly conducted in relatively small samples. This study investigates the comorbidity of diagnosed AN with IBD, and the subtypes Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, in a population-based sample and explores whether genetic factors could play a role in the overlap. Methods: The study included 1,238,813 individuals born in Denmark 1981-2005 selected from the population register (5067 diagnosed with AN and 6947 diagnosed with any IBD), including a subsample of 23,236 individuals with genetic information (4271 with AN and 176 with any IBD). By combining hospital-based diagnoses recorded in health registers until 2013 with polygenic scores (PGS) of AN and IBD, we investigated possible associations between diagnoses of each disorder, both within individuals and families, and between PGS of one disorder and diagnosis of the other disorder. Analyses were conducted using Cox regression and logistic regression. Results: We found that a prior diagnosis of AN was associated with hazard ratios of 1.44 (1.05, 1.97) for any IBD, 1.60 (1.04, 2.46) for Crohn's disease, and 1.66 (1.15, 2.39) for ulcerative colitis, whereas IBD diagnoses were not significantly associated with later AN diagnosis. No significant within-families associations were observed. We found no associations between AN and IBD using PGS. Conclusions: AN was associated with later risk of IBD, Crohn's disease, and ulcerative colitis; however, the reverse was not observed. It is important for clinicians to be aware of this association to evaluate IBD as a differential diagnosis or an emergent condition in patients with AN.

Risk of Early-Onset Depression Associated With Polygenic Liability, Parental Psychiatric History, and Socioeconomic Status.

Importance: Combining information on polygenic risk scores (PRSs) with other known risk factors could potentially improve the identification of risk of depression in the general population. However, to our knowledge, no study has estimated the association of PRS with the absolute risk of depression, and few have examined combinations of the PRS and other important risk factors, including parental history of psychiatric disorders and socioeconomic status (SES), in the identification of depression risk. Objective: To assess the individual and joint associations of PRS, parental history, and SES with relative and absolute risk of early-onset depression. Design, Setting, and Participants: This case-cohort study included participants from the iPSYCH2012 sample, a case-cohort sample of all singletons born in Denmark between May 1, 1981, and December 31, 2005. Hazard ratios (HRs) and absolute risks were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression for case-cohort designs. Exposures: The PRS for depression; SES measured using maternal educational level, maternal marital status, and paternal employment; and parental history of psychiatric disorders (major depression, bipolar disorder, other mood or psychotic disorders, and other psychiatric diagnoses). Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospital-based diagnosis of depression from inpatient, outpatient, or emergency settings. Results: Participants included 17 098 patients with depression (11 748 [68.7%] female) and 18 582 (9429 [50.7%] male) individuals randomly selected from the base population. The PRS, parental history, and lower SES were all significantly associated with increased risk of depression, with HRs ranging from 1.32 (95% CI, 1.29-1.35) per 1-SD increase in PRS to 2.23 (95% CI, 1.81-2.64) for maternal history of mood or psychotic disorders. Fully adjusted models had similar effect sizes, suggesting that these risk factors do not confound one another. Absolute risk of depression by the age of 30 years differed substantially, depending on an individual's combination of risk factors, ranging from 1.0% (95% CI, 0.1%-2.0%) among men with high SES in the bottom 2% of the PRS distribution to 23.7% (95% CI, 16.6%-30.2%) among women in the top 2% of PRS distribution with a parental history of psychiatric disorders. Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that current PRSs for depression are not more likely to be associated with major depressive disorder than are other known risk factors; however, they may be useful for the identification of risk in conjunction with other risk factors.

Polygenic Risk and Progression to Bipolar or Psychotic Disorders Among Individuals Diagnosed With Unipolar Depression in Early Life.

OBJECTIVE: The authors investigated the associations between polygenic liability and progression to bipolar disorder or psychotic disorders among individuals diagnosed with unipolar depression in early life. METHODS: A cohort comprising 16,949 individuals (69% female, 10-35 years old at the first depression diagnosis) from the iPSYCH Danish case-cohort study (iPSYCH2012) who were diagnosed with depression in Danish psychiatric hospitals from 1994 to 2016 was examined. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia were generated using the most recent results from the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium. Hazard ratios for each disorder-specific PRS were estimated using Cox regressions with adjustment for the other two PRSs. Absolute risk of progression was estimated using the cumulative hazard. RESULTS: Patients were followed for up to 21 years (median=7 years, interquartile range, 5-10 years). The absolute risks of progression to bipolar disorder and psychotic disorders were 7.3% and 13.8%, respectively. After mutual adjustment for the other PRSs, only the PRS for bipolar disorder predicted progression to bipolar disorder (adjusted hazard ratio for a one-standard-deviation increase in PRS=1.11, 95% CI=1.03, 1.21), and only the PRS for schizophrenia predicted progression to psychotic disorders (adjusted hazard ratio=1.10, 95% CI=1.04, 1.16). After adjusting for PRSs, parental history still strongly predicted progression to bipolar disorder (adjusted hazard ratio=5.02, 95% CI=3.53, 7.14) and psychotic disorders (adjusted hazard ratio=1.63, 95% CI=1.30, 2.06). CONCLUSIONS: PRSs for bipolar disorder and schizophrenia are associated with risk for progression to bipolar disorder or psychotic disorders, respectively, among individuals diagnosed with depression; however, the effects are small compared with parental history, particularly for bipolar disorder.