Prognostic Significance of Premature Ventricular Contractions without Obvious Heart Diseases Determined by Standard 12-Lead Electrocardiography Considering their Morphology.

BACKGROUND: Although ventricular premature contraction (VPC) commonly arises in subjects with and without heart diseases, the prognosis of VPC has remained controversial and the effect of their morphology on mortality has not been fully determined in subjects without obvious heart diseases. The objective of this study was to assess the morphologic effect of VPC on mortality. METHODS: Japanese atomic bomb survivors (n = 6685) underwent baseline health examinations and standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) between January 1990 and December 1991. Of these, we extracted data from 5,685 (67.1% women) subjects who had neither heart diseases nor electrocardiographic abnormalities at baseline. Among them, we identified 131 VPC cases using standard 12-lead ECG and classified them into left bundle branch block (LBBB) type (n = 74), right bundle branch block (RBBB) type (n = 21), and undetermined type (n = 36) according to their morphology. These subjects were followed up until December 2008; we compared all-cause, cardiac and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates using multivariate Cox regression analysis between those with and without VPC. RESULTS: No VPCs were associated with all-cause and cardiac mortality, but the LBBB type was significantly associated with CHD mortality (hazard ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-6.73) after controlling for age, sex, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and underlying diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Among Japanese atomic bomb survivors without obvious heart diseases, LBBB-type VPC was associated with increased CHD mortality. Larger studies are needed to confirm the effect of morphology as it might help to predict the risk.

Incidence and prognostic value of early repolarization pattern in the 12-lead electrocardiogram.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization pattern is a common ECG finding characterized by J-point elevation and QRS notching or slurring in the inferior and/or lateral leads, yet little is known about its incidence and long-term prognosis in Asian populations. METHODS AND RESULTS: We reviewed all the ECG records of the 5976 atomic-bomb survivors who were examined at least once during our biennial health examination in Nagasaki, Japan, between July 1958 and December 2004. We defined early repolarization pattern as ≥0.1-mV elevation of the J point or ST segment, with notching or slurring in at least 2 inferior and/or lateral leads. We assessed unexpected, cardiac, and all-cause death risk by Cox analysis. We identified 1429 early repolarization pattern cases (779 incident cases) during follow-up, yielding a positive rate of 23.9% and an incidence rate of 715 per 100 000 person-years. Early repolarization pattern had an elevated risk of unexpected death (hazard ratio, 1.83; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 2.97; P=0.02) and a decreased risk of cardiac (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.93; P<0.01) and all-cause (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.78 to 0.93; P<0.01) death. In addition, both slurring and notching were related to higher risk of unexpected death (hazard ratio, 2.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.06 to 4.12; P=0.03), as was early repolarization pattern manifestation in both inferior and lateral leads (hazard ratio, 2.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.29 to 4.83; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Early repolarization pattern is associated with an elevated risk of unexpected death and a decreased risk of cardiac and all-cause death. Specific early repolarization pattern morphologies and location are associated with an adverse prognosis.

Radiation dose and cataract surgery incidence in atomic bomb survivors, 1986-2005.

PURPOSE: To examine the incidence of clinically important cataracts in relation to lens radiation doses between 0 and approximately 3 Gy to address risks at relatively low brief doses. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Informed consent was obtained, and human subjects procedures were approved by the ethical committee at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation. Cataract surgery incidence was documented for 6066 atomic bomb survivors during 1986-2005. Sixteen risk factors for cataract, such as smoking, hypertension, and corticosteroid use, were not confounders of the radiation effect on the basis of Cox regression analysis. Radiation dose-response analyses were performed for cataract surgery incidence by using Poisson regression analysis, adjusting for demographic variables and diabetes mellitus, and results were expressed as the excess relative risk (ERR) and the excess absolute risk (EAR) (ie, measures of how much radiation multiplies [ERR] or adds to [EAR] the risk in the unexposed group). RESULTS: Of 6066 atomic bomb survivors, 1028 underwent a first cataract surgery during 1986-2005. The estimated threshold dose was 0.50 Gy (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.10 Gy, 0.95 Gy) for the ERR model and 0.45 Gy (95% CI: 0.10 Gy, 1.05 Gy) for the EAR model. A linear-quadratic test for upward curvature did not show a significant quadratic effect for either the ERR or EAR model. The linear ERR model for a 70-year-old individual, exposed at age 20 years, showed a 0.32 (95% CI: 0.09, 0.53) [corrected] excess risk at 1 Gy. The ERR was highest for those who were young at exposure. CONCLUSION: These data indicate a radiation effect for vision-impairing cataracts at doses less than 1 Gy. The evidence suggests that dose standards for protection of the eye from brief radiation exposures should be 0.5 Gy or less.

Metabolic cardiovascular disease risk factors and their clustering in subclinical hypothyroidism.

OBJECTIVE: A possible association between subclinical hypothyroidism and cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been reported. Monitoring of atomic-bomb survivors for late effects of radiation exposure at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation has provided the opportunity to examine associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and metabolic CVD risk factors. The objective of the study was to evaluate associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and metabolic CVD risk factors, and a cluster of these factors. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a cross-sectional study of 3549 subjects (mean age 70 years; 1221 men and 2328 women) between 2000 and 2003 comprising 306 subjects with subclinical hypothyroidism and 3243 control euthyroid subjects in Japan. MEASUREMENTS: We investigated associations between subclinical hypothyroidism and metabolic CVD risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia and hyperuricaemia, and a cluster of these factors. RESULTS: Subclinical hypothyroidism was not significantly associated with either hypertension, diabetes mellitus or hyperuricaemia defined by taking into account the use of medications in both men and women, but in men it was associated with dyslipidaemia (P = 0.02). We observed a significantly increased odds ratio (OR) for the presence of three or more metabolic CVD risk factors in men with subclinical hypothyroidism after adjusting for age, body mass index (BMI), and smoking status [OR: 1.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-2.94, P = 0.01]. The significant associations remained after an additional adjustment for atomic-bomb radiation dose. CONCLUSIONS: There appears to be a significant increase in a cluster of metabolic CVD risk factors among people with subclinical hypothyroidism.

Thyroid diseases in atomic bomb survivors exposed in utero.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to evaluate the association of thyroid disease with radiation dose in atomic bomb survivors exposed in utero. DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional study. SETTING: The study was conducted in atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan. PARTICIPANTS: Participants included 328 atomic bomb survivors exposed in utero (mean age 55.2 yr, 162 males) who participated in the thyroid study at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation. Examinations were conducted between March 2000 and February 2003. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The relationships of various thyroid conditions to atomic bomb radiation dose were measured. RESULTS: Among the 319 participants excluding nine participants whose exposure radiation dose was not estimated, the mean maternal uterine radiation dose was 0.256 Gy. We observed no significant dose-response relationship for the prevalence of solid thyroid nodules (odds ratio at 1 Gy, 2.78; 95% confidence interval 0.50-11.80, P = 0.22), but the risk estimate was similar to the estimate for childhood exposures. The prevalence of cysts and autoimmune thyroid diseases was not associated with radiation dose (P > 0.30). We could not evaluate the dose response for malignant tumors or benign nodules due to the small number of cases. CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe a statistically significant linear dose response to radiation for thyroid nodules or autoimmune thyroid diseases 55-58 yr after participants' in utero exposure. However, the risk estimate for solid thyroid nodules was similar for those exposed in utero and those exposed in childhood. Because the study had limited statistical power to detect moderately sized effects, further studies are needed for a definitive conclusion.

Cardiovascular disease risk among atomic bomb survivors exposed in utero, 1978-2003.

Given the well-documented association of in utero radiation exposure with childhood cancer and developmental impairments, the possibility of effects on adult onset diseases is an important issue. The objectives of the present study were to examine the effects of atomic bomb radiation dose on the incidence of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia and cardiovascular disease (myocardial infarction and stroke) among survivors exposed in utero and to compare their risk estimates with those of survivors exposed in childhood (<10 years old) at the time of the bombing. A total of 506 participants exposed in utero and 1,053 participants exposed in childhood were followed during 1978-2003 with biennial clinical examinations. There were no significant radiation dose effects for any diseases in the entire in utero-exposed cohort or in trimester-of-exposure subgroups, though there was a suggestion of an increased risk when fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular disease cases were combined. Positive radiation dose effects were found for hypertension and cardiovascular disease in the childhood-exposure cohort, but there were no statistically significant differences in the relative risks when we compared the two cohorts. Since the in utero cohort was under age 60 at the latest examination, continued follow-up is needed to document cardiovascular disease risk more fully.

The Shwachman-Bodian-Diamond syndrome gene mutations cause a neonatal form of spondylometaphysial dysplasia (SMD) resembling SMD Sedaghatian type.

The Shwachman-Bodian-Diamond syndrome (SBDS) gene is a causative gene for Shwachman-Diamond syndrome, an autosomal recessive disorder with exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, bone marrow dysfunction and skeletal dysplasia. We report here on two patients with skeletal manifestations at the severest end of the phenotypic spectrum of SBDS mutations. An 11-year-old Japanese girl presented with neonatal respiratory failure necessitating lifelong ventilation support, severe short stature and severe developmental delay. She developed neutropenia in infancy, and decreased serum amylase was noted in childhood. A British boy was a stillbirth with pulmonary hypoplasia and hepatic fibrosis found on autopsy. Both cases had neonatal skeletal manifestations that included platyspondyly, lacy iliac crests and severe metaphysial dysplasia, and thus did not fall in the range of the known Shwachman-Diamond syndrome skeletal phenotype but resembled spondylometaphysial dysplasia (SMD) Sedaghatian type. The girl harboured a recurrent mutation (183TA-->CT) and a novel missense mutation (79T-->C), whereas the boy carried two recurrent mutations (183TA-->CT and 258+2T-->C). We also examined SBDS in one typical case with SMD Sedaghantian type and eight additional cases with neonatal SMD, but failed to discover SBDS mutations. Our experience expands the phenotypic spectrum of SBDS mutations, which, at its severest end, results in severe neonatal SMD.

Longitudinal analysis of blood pressure trends and prognosis in isolated systolic hypertension in elderly individuals.

BACKGROUND: With age, a larger proportion of elderly individuals have isolated systolic hypertension (ISH). However, because of a lack of longitudinal studies, much less is known about the incidence and prognosis of ISH in elderly individuals. The aims of this study were to document blood pressure (BP) trends in development of ISH in elderly individuals, and to investigate the incidence and prognosis for those with ISH. METHODS: Retrograde longitudinal analysis was conducted on 3284 subjects during 1958 to 1984. The presence of ISH in elderly individuals was defined as systolic BP of >or=160 and diastolic BP of or=60 years. Prognosis was subsequently investigated until 2002 and compared with that for age- and sex-matched non-ISH control subjects. RESULTS: Selected as ISH in elderly individuals were 185 subjects. Three subtypes were documented by BP trends: 71 subjects with "de novo" ISH, 68 with "burned out" ISH, and 46 subjects with "unclassifiable" ISH. Incidence of ISH increased with age. Mean onset age of ISH was 71.0 years. Subsequent follow-up revealed that the subjects with ISH lived long lives: 83.2% of ISH subjects and 76.2% of control subjects lived to be >80 years old. However, 58.9% of ISH subjects were found to have cardiovascular disease during the follow-up, showing a higher prevalence than among control subjects (42.2%, P = .0013). In more than 40% of subjects with ISH, cardiovascular disease occurred at >or=80 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the incidence of ISH increased with age. Persons with ISH have good prognoses in terms of longevity, but many have late-onset cardiovascular complications, suggesting the importance of BP control even in very elderly individuals.

Systolic blood pressure and systolic hypertension in adolescence of atomic bomb survivors exposed in utero.

Annual medical examinations were conducted during adolescence for the in utero clinical study sample subjects exposed prenatally to the atomic bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Systolic blood pressure and several anthropometric measurements were recorded during these examinations. For 1014 persons exposed in utero, two types of longitudinal analyses were performed, for a total of 7029 observations (6.93 observations per subject) of systolic blood pressure (continuous data) and systolic hypertension (binary data) for persons aged 9 to 19 years. Body mass index (BMI) and/or body weight were considered in the analyses as potential confounders. For the measurements of systolic blood pressure, the common dose effect was 2.09 mmHg per Gy and was significant (P = 0.017). The dose by trimester interaction was suggestive (P = 0.060). A significant radiation dose effect was found in the second trimester (P = 0.001), with an estimated 4.17 mmHg per Gy, but in the first and third trimesters, radiation dose effects were not significant (P > 0.50). For prevalence of systolic hypertension, the radiation dose effect was significant (P = 0.009); the odds ratio at 1 Gy was 2.23 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.23, 4.04], and the dose by trimester interaction was not significant (P = 0.778). The dose response of systolic hypertension had no dose threshold, with a threshold point estimate of 0 Gy (95% CI: <0.0, 1.1 Gy). The dose response for systolic blood pressure was most pronounced in the second trimester, the most active organogenesis period for the organs relevant to blood pressure.

Postoperative cataract cases among atomic bomb survivors: radiation dose response and threshold.

Recent evidence argues against a high threshold dose for vision-impairing radiation-induced cataractogenesis. We conducted logistic regression analysis to estimate the dose response and used a likelihood profile procedure to determine the best-fitting threshold model among 3761 A-bomb survivors who underwent medical examinations during 2000-2002 for whom radiation dose estimates were available, including 479 postoperative cataract cases. The analyses indicated a statistically significant dose-response increase in the prevalence of postoperative cataracts [odds ratio (OR), 1.39; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.24-1.55] at 1 Gy, with no indication of upward curvature in the dose response. The dose response was suggestive when the restricted dose range of 0 to 1 Gy was examined. A nonsignificant dose threshold of 0.1 Gy (95% CI, <0-0.8) was found. The prevalence of postoperative cataracts in A-bomb survivors increased significantly with A-bomb radiation dose. The estimate (0.1 Gy) and upper bound (0.8 Gy) of the dose threshold for operative cataract prevalence was much lower than the threshold of 2-5 Gy usually assumed by the radiation protection community and was statistically compatible with no threshold at all.

Fatty liver and uric acid levels predict incident coronary heart disease but not stroke among atomic bomb survivors in Nagasaki.

Relationships between fatty liver and coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke risk remain ill defined. We investigated whether fatty liver is a predictor of CHD and stroke risk. Until December 2000 we followed 2,024 atomic bomb survivors (775 men: 62.0 +/- 9.9 years old; 1,249 women: 63.2 +/- 8.4 years old) who had basic examinations between November 1990 and October 1992 for clinical and laboratory CHD risk factors and fatty liver and who were initially free of CHD and stroke. Forty-nine cases of CHD and 84 cases of stroke were observed. At the time of the baseline examinations, significant clinical associations were found between fatty liver and obesity (p<0.001), hypertension (p<0.001), dyslipidemia (p<0.001), and glucose intolerance (p<0.001). A slight but nonsignificant association was found between fatty liver and hyperuricemia (p=0.07) as well. By using multiple Cox regression analyses, age (relative risk [RR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.08), smoking (RR 2.20, 95% CI 1.02-4.74), hyperuricemia (RR 2.30, 95% CI 1.08-4.89), and fatty liver (RR 2.53, 95% CI 1.06-6.06) were shown to be significant predictors of CHD, whereas age (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.06-1.10), smoking (RR 2.06, 95% CI 1.14-3.72), and hypertension (RR 2.14, 95% CI 1.38-3.30) predicted stroke risk. Fatty liver, which clusters clinical and laboratory CHD risk factors, is an independent predictor of CHD, but not of stroke. Fatty liver should be followed as a feature of metabolic syndrome, with the aim of preventing CHD.

Thyroid Dysfunction and Autoimmune Thyroid Diseases Among Atomic Bomb Survivors Exposed in Childhood.

Context: The risk of thyroid cancer increases and persists for decades among individuals exposed to ionizing radiation in childhood, although the long-term effects of childhood exposure to medium to low doses of radiation on thyroid dysfunction and autoimmune thyroid diseases have remained unclear. Objective: To evaluate radiation dose responses for the prevalence of thyroid dysfunction and autoimmune thyroid disease among atomic bomb survivors exposed in childhood. Design, Setting, and Participants: Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bomb survivors who were younger than 10 years old at exposure underwent thyroid examinations at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation between 2007 and 2011, which was 62 to 66 years after the bombing. Data from 2668 participants (mean age, 68.2 years; 1455 women) with known atomic bomb thyroid radiation doses (mean dose, 0.182 Gy; dose range, 0 to 4.040 Gy) were analyzed. Main Outcome and Measures: Dose-response relationships between atomic bomb radiation dose and the prevalence of hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism (Graves' disease), and positive for antithyroid antibodies. Results: Prevalences were determined for hypothyroidism (129 cases, 7.8%), hyperthyroidism (32 cases of Graves' disease, 1.2%), and positive for antithyroid antibodies (573 cases, 21.5%). None of these was associated with thyroid radiation dose. Neither thyroid antibody-positive nor -negative hypothyroidism was associated with thyroid radiation dose. Additional analyses using alternative definitions of hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism found that radiation dose responses were not significant. Conclusions: Radiation effects on thyroid dysfunction and autoimmune thyroid diseases were not observed among atomic bomb survivors exposed in childhood, at 62 to 66 years earlier. The cross-sectional design and survival bias were limitations of this study.

Prognostic significance of incident complete left bundle branch block observed over a 40-year period.

This case-control study was designed to assess the incidence and mortality of complete left bundle branch block (LBBB). We investigated 17,361 subjects (6,663 men and 10,698 women) who underwent biennial health examinations, including electrocardiography and cardiothoracic ratio measurements from 1958 to 2002. A total of 110 incident LBBB cases (41 men and 69 women) were observed, and their basic characteristics were compared with those of 456 age- and gender-matched controls (156 men and 300 women). Also, the possible association between LBBB and all-cause and cause-specific mortality was examined using a Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for age, gender, and underlying disease. The average age at LBBB diagnosis was 69.6 +/- 10.0 years in men and 68.3 +/- 10.9 years in women, and the incidence of LBBB increased progressively with age. Also, underlying disease, hypertension, and ischemic heart disease were significantly associated with LBBB. The cardiothoracic ratio was significantly different at the diagnosis of LBBB between those with LBBB and controls. Electrocardiographic manifestations before LBBB diagnosis included a higher rate of left ventricular hypertrophy and ST-T abnormalities in patients with LBBB. On Cox analysis, LBBB did not predict for all-cause mortality, but it did predict for mortality from congestive heart failure. In conclusion, the mean patient age at LBBB diagnosis was relatively elderly, and the LBBB incidence increased progressively with advancing age. Hypertension, ischemic heart disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, ST-T abnormalities, and an increased cardiothoracic ratio were associated with LBBB. LBBB predicted for mortality from heart failure but not for all-cause mortality, independent of age, gender, and underlying disease.

Basic characteristics of chronic hypotension cases: a longitudinal follow-up study from 1958 through 1999.

Few epidemiological studies have been conducted on the prevalence, blood pressure trends by age, and basic characteristics of chronic hypotension. Among 13,370 subjects (5,094 men and 8,276 women) examined from 1958 to 1999 in Japan, 92 were identified as chronic hypotensives (11 men and 81 women) whose systolic blood pressure (SBP, mmHg) was lower than 100 mmHg for 8 or more years. Trends of SBP and body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) were determined over a 16-year period in this group of chronic hypotensives and 276 age- and sex-matched controls (33 men and 243 women); during this 16-year period, the chronic hypotensives and controls ranged in age from 19 to 75 years. BMI, heart rate (HR, bpm), body temperature (degrees C), Hb (g/dl), and creatinine (Cre, mg/dl) were compared between the chronic hypotensives and the controls at the last examination. The chronic hypotensives had a female preponderance (0.2% in men and 1.0% in women, p=0.001), and their SBP and BMI increased little with increasing age. BMI (20.2+/-3.4), BMI-adjusted SBP (101+/-19), HR (63+/-10), body temperature (36.7+/-0.3), Hb (12.5+/-1.1), and Cre (0.81+/-0.13) were lower in the chronic hypotensives than those (22.9+/-3.4, 126+/-20, 68+/-10, 36.8+/-0.3, 12.9+/-1.1, and 0.86+/-0.12, respectively) in controls (p<0.05). The present results clearly show that chronic hypotensives have a female preponderance and low BMI, HR, body temperature, Hb, and Cre in addition to low SBP that does not increase with age.

Clinical and genetic analyses of presumed Shwachman-Diamond syndrome in Japan.

Shwachman-Diamond syndrome (SDS) is a rare autosomal recessive disorder characterized by exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, bone marrow dysfunction, and skeletal abnormalities. SBDS was identified as a causative gene for SDS in 2003, and genetic analyses of SDS have been performed. We performed genetic analysis of 13 Japanese patients with presumed SDS and found that 10 of them had SBDS mutations. Most patients had recurrent mutations (181-184TA-->CT and 258+2T-->C); however, 2 patients had unique mutations (259-1G-->A and 428C-->G). Although genetic analysis is useful for definitive diagnosis and for genetic counseling of SDS patients and families, SDS appears to be a genetically heterogeneous disorder. In addition, presumed SDS patients without SBDS mutations may be included in other disorders.

Radiation dose-response relationships for thyroid nodules and autoimmune thyroid diseases in Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bomb survivors 55-58 years after radiation exposure.

CONTEXT: Effects of irradiation on thyroid diseases such as thyroid nodules and autoimmune thyroid diseases have not been evaluated among people exposed to radiation more than 50 years in the past. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of thyroid diseases and their radiation-dose responses in atomic bomb survivors. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Survey study comprising 4091 cohort members (mean age, 70 [SD, 9] years; 1352 men and 2739 women) who participated in the thyroid study at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation. Thyroid examinations were conducted between March 2000 and February 2003. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of thyroid diseases, including thyroid nodules (malignant and benign) and autoimmune thyroid diseases, and the dose-response relationship of atomic bomb radiation in each thyroid disease. RESULTS: Thyroid diseases were identified in 1833 (44.8%) of the total participants (436 men [32.2% of men] and 1397 women [51.0% of women]) (P<.001). In 3185 participants, excluding persons exposed in utero, not in the city at the time of the atomic bombings, or with unknown radiation dose, the prevalence of all solid nodules, malignant tumors, benign nodules, and cysts was 14.6%, 2.2%, 4.9%, and 7.7%, respectively. The prevalence of positive thyroid antibodies, antithyroid antibody-positive hypothyroidism, and Graves disease was 28.2%, 3.2%, and 1.2%, respectively. A significant linear dose-response relationship was observed for the prevalence of all solid nodules, malignant tumors, benign nodules, and cysts (P<.001). We estimate that about 28% of all solid nodules, 37% of malignant tumors, 31% of benign nodules, and 25% of cysts are associated with radiation exposure at a mean and median thyroid radiation dose of 0.449 Sv and 0.087 Sv, respectively. No significant dose-response relationship was observed for positive antithyroid antibodies (P = .20), antithyroid antibody-positive hypothyroidism (P = .92), or Graves disease (P = .10). CONCLUSIONS: A significant linear radiation dose response for thyroid nodules, including malignant tumors and benign nodules, exists in atomic bomb survivors. However, there is no significant dose response for autoimmune thyroid diseases.

A reanalysis of atomic-bomb cataract data, 2000-2002: a threshold analysis.

To obtain the best statistical model for a previous study of cataract prevalence in atomic-bomb survivors, we tested the fitness of the threshold model in an updated dataset of the study, utilizing re-diagnosis by a single ophthalmologist, use of the DS02 dosimetry system, and separation of the in utero group. The results suggest that, in 730 atomic-bomb survivors, we cannot conclude thresholds are greater than 0 Sv in cortical cataract and posterior sub-capsular opacity since the lower 90% confidence limits of the thresholds were 0 Sv. Threshold dose point estimates were 0.6 Sv (90% CI, <0.0-1.2 Sv) and 0.7 Sv (90% CI, <0.0-2.8 Sv) for cortical cataract and posterior sub-capsular opacity, respectively. Detailed regression analyses with no threshold model showed that nuclear color and nuclear opacity have no dose responses (p > 0.40). Cortical cataract showed a significant dose effect (p = 0.002), with an odds ratio (OR)/Sv of 1.30 (95% CI, 1.10-1.53) and no dose-effect modifiers. Posterior sub-capsular opacity showed a significant dose effect (p < 0.001), with an OR/Sv of 1.44 at age of exposure of 10 y (95% CI, 1.19-1.73). The dose effect decreased significantly with increasing age at exposure (p = 0.022). No dose response was observed for in utero survivors (p > 0.20).

Metabolic Profile as a Potential Modifier of Long-Term Radiation Effects on Peripheral Lymphocyte Subsets in Atomic Bomb Survivors.

Immune system impairments reflected by the composition and function of circulating lymphocytes are still observed in atomic bomb survivors, and metabolic abnormalities including altered blood triglyceride and cholesterol levels have also been detected in such survivors. Based on closely related features of immune and metabolic profiles of individuals, we investigated the hypothesis that long-term effects of radiation exposure on lymphocyte subsets might be modified by metabolic profiles in 3,113 atomic bomb survivors who participated in health examinations at the Radiation Effect Research Foundation, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, in 2000-2002. The lymphocyte subsets analyzed involved T-, B- and NK-cell subsets, and their percentages in the lymphocyte fraction were assessed using flow cytometry. Health examinations included metabolic indicators, body mass index, serum levels of total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, C-reactive protein and hemoglobin A1c, as well as diabetes and fatty liver diagnoses. Standard regression analyses indicated that several metabolic indicators of obesity/related disease, particularly high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, were positively associated with type-1 helper T- and B-cell percentages but were inversely associated with naïve CD4 T and NK cells. A regression analysis adjusted for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol revealed a radiation dose relationship with increasing NK-cell percentage. Additionally, an interaction effect was suggested between radiation dose and C-reactive protein on B-cell percentage with a negative coefficient of the interaction term. Collectively, these findings suggest that radiation exposure and subsequent metabolic profile changes, potentially in relationship to obesity-related inflammation, lead to such long-term alterations in lymphocyte subset composition. Because this study is based on cross-sectional and exploratory analyses, the implications regarding radiation exposure, metabolic profiles and circulating lymphocytes warrant future longitudinal and molecular mechanistic studies.

The phenotypic spectrum of COL2A1 mutations.

Heterozygous mutations of COL2A1 create several clinical entities collectively termed type II collagenopathies. These disorders not only impair skeletal growth but also cause ocular and otolaryngological abnormalities. The classical phenotypes include the spondyloepiphyseal dysplasia (SED) spectrum with variable severity, Stickler dysplasia type I (STD-I), and Kniest dysplasia (KND). Most COL2A1 mutations occur in the triple helical region of alpha 1(II) chains: the SED spectrum is mostly attributed to missense mutations that substitute bulky amino acids for glycine residues, STD-I to haploinsufficiency of truncation mutations, and KND to exon skipping due to splice-site mutations. To further elucidate the genotype-phenotype relationship of type II collagenopathies, we examined COL2A1 mutations in 56 families that were suspected of having type II collagenopathies, and found 38 mutations in 41 families. Phenotypes for all 22 missense mutations and one in-frame deletion in the triple helical region fell along the SED spectrum. Glycine to serine substitutions resulted in alternating zones that produce severer and milder skeletal phenotypes. Glycine to nonserine residue substitutions exclusively created more severe phenotypes. The gradient of the SED spectrum did not necessarily correlate with the occurrence of extraskeletal manifestations. All nine truncation or splice-site mutations in the triple helical or N-propeptide region caused STD-I or KND, and extraskeletal changes were inevitable in both phenotypes. All six C-propeptide mutations produced a range of atypical skeletal phenotypes and created ocular, but not otolaryngological, changes.

Long-term prognosis of thyroid nodule cases compared with nodule-free controls in atomic bomb survivors.

CONTEXT: Radiation exposure is associated with development of thyroid nodules. The long-term risk of thyroid cancer development in irradiated people with thyroid nodules, however, has not been clarified. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the long-term risk of cancer development in irradiated individuals with thyroid nodules. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective study comprised 2637 atomic bomb survivors (mean age, 59 yr; 1071 men and 1566 women) who participated in the baseline thyroid study of the Nagasaki Radiation Effects Research Foundation from 1984 through 1987. The participants were divided into three groups at baseline by ultrasound findings: 82 cases of solid thyroid nodules other than cancer, 121 cases of thyroid cysts, and 2434 thyroid nodule-free controls. Both the solid nodule and the cyst groups included postoperative cases. In the solid nodule group, 68 cases had ultrasound-detected solid nodules, including 31 cases diagnosed as benign by cytological or histological examination. They were followed for an average of 13.3 yr. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident thyroid cancer was measured during an average 13.3-yr follow-up period. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, six thyroid cancer cases (7.3%) were found in the solid nodule group, seven cases in the controls (0.3%), and one case (0.8%) in the cyst group. In 31 cases with solid nodules diagnosed as benign, three cases (9.7%) developed thyroid cancer. The hazard ratio (HR) for cancer development was significantly high at 23.6 [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.6-72.8] in the solid nodule group (HR, 40.2; 95% CI, 9.4-173.0 in 31 people with solid nodules diagnosed as benign) but not in the cyst group (HR, 2.7; 95% CI, 0.3-22.2), after controlling for age and sex. Sex, age, TSH level, thyroglobulin level, radiation dose, nodule volume, and increase in nodule volume did not predict cancer development in the solid nodule group. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of thyroid cancer development is high in atomic bomb survivors with solid thyroid nodules, suggesting the need for careful observation of irradiated individuals with such nodules.