Incidence of cirrhosis in Iceland-impact of the TraP HepC nationwide HCV elimination program.

OBJECTIVE: In 2016, a nationwide elimination program for hepatitis C virus (HCV) was initiated in Iceland, entitled Treatment as Prevention for Hepatitis C (TraP HepC), providing unrestricted access to antiviral treatment. The aims were to describe the changes in etiology and epidemiology of cirrhosis in Iceland and to assess the trends in HCV-related cirrhosis following TraP HepC. METHODS: The study included all patients newly diagnosed with cirrhosis in 2016-2022. Diagnosis was based on liver elastography, histology, or 2 of 4 criteria: cirrhosis on imaging, ascites, varices, or elevated international normalized ratio (INR). RESULTS: Over the study period, 342 new cirrhosis patients were identified, 223 (65%) males, median age 62 years. The crude overall incidence was 13.8 cases per 100,000 inhabitants annually. The most common etiologies were alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) (40%), metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) (28%), and HCV with or without alcohol overconsumption (15%). The number of HCV cirrhosis cases was unusually high in 2016 (n = 23) due to intensified case-finding, but decreased significantly over the study period (p < 0.001) to n = 1 (2021) and n = 2 (2022). The overall 5-year survival was 55% (95% CI 48.9-62.3%). The most common causes of death were hepatocellular carcinoma (26%) and liver failure (25%). CONCLUSION: During the past two decades, the incidence of cirrhosis has increased extraordinarily in Iceland, associated with increased alcohol consumption, obesity, and HCV. ALD and MASLD now collectively make up two thirds of cases in Iceland. Following a nationwide elimination program, incidence of HCV cirrhosis has dropped rapidly in Iceland.

High Rate of Hepatitis C Virus Reinfection Among Recently Injecting Drug Users: Results From the TraP Hep C Program-A Prospective Nationwide, Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: The Treatment as Prevention for Hepatitis C program started in 2016 in Iceland, offering treatment with direct-acting antivirals to hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected individuals. Reinfections through injection drug use (IDU) can hamper elimination efforts. We determined reinfection rates of HCV among patients in the program. METHODS: Clinical data were gathered prospectively. The study cohort consisted of HCV-cured patients with an estimated sustained virologic response between 1 February 2016 and 20 November 2018, with follow-up until 20 November 2019. The observation period and time until reinfection was estimated using a single random point imputation method coupled with Monte Carlo simulation. The reinfection rates were expressed as reinfections per 100 person-years (PY). RESULTS: In total, 640 treatments of 614 patients (417 male; mean age, 44.3 years) resulted in cure, with 52 reinfections subsequently confirmed in 50 patients (37 male). Follow-up was 672.1 PY, with a median time to reinfection of 232 days. History of IDU was reported by 523 patients (84.8%) and recent IDU with 220 treatments (34.4%). Stimulants were the preferred injected drug in 85.5% of patients with a history of IDU. The reinfection rate was 7.7/100 PY. Using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models for interval-censored data, age (hazard ratio, 0.96 [95% confidence interval, .94-.99]) and recent IDU (2.91 [1.48-5.76]) were significantly associated with reinfection risk. CONCLUSIONS: The reinfection rate is high in a setting of widespread stimulant use, particularly in young people with recent IDU. Regular follow-up is important among high-risk populations to diagnose reinfections early and reduce transmission. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02647879.

Using the Icelandic genealogical database to define the familial risk of primary biliary cholangitis.

Hereditary factors in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) have been well defined in genome-wide association studies, but there are few direct data available that define the relative risk (RR) for family members with an affected proband. An increased risk in first-degree relatives has been demonstrated in a variety of studies, but data have been lacking on further detailed associations for subsequent generations. The objective of this study was to use the unique Icelandic genealogical database to study the familiality of PBC. All patients with positive antimitochondrial antibody measurements in Iceland during the period 1991-2015 who fulfilled diagnostic criteria for PBC were included. The Icelandic genealogical database was used to assess familial relations. For each case of PBC, 10,000 control subjects matched for age, sex, and number of known relatives were randomly chosen from this database to calculate the familial RR of PBC. The average kinship coefficient (KC) of the patients was calculated and compared with the average KC of controls. Overall, 222 PBC patients were identified (182 females, 40 males; median age, 62 years). First-, second- and third-degree relatives of the PBC patients had a high RR of the disease: 9.13 (P < 0.0001), 3.61 (P = 0.014) and 2.59 (P = 0.008), respectively. In fourth- and fifth-degree relatives, the RR was also increased to 1.66 (P = 0.08) and 1.42 (P = 0.08), respectively. The average KC of the patients was also higher than that of the control subjects, with 21.34 × 10-5 versus 9.56 × 10-5 (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Relatives of PBC patients had markedly higher risk for development of the disease compared with controls and importantly our data demonstrate that the risk was significantly increased even in second- and third-degree relatives. (Hepatology 2018;68:166-171).

Innovative strategies for the elimination of viral hepatitis at a national level: A country case series.

Viral hepatitis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, but has long been neglected by national and international policymakers. Recent modelling studies suggest that investing in the global elimination of viral hepatitis is feasible and cost-effective. In 2016, all 194 member states of the World Health Organization endorsed the goal to eliminate viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030, but complex systemic and social realities hamper implementation efforts. This paper presents eight case studies from a diverse range of countries that have invested in responses to viral hepatitis and adopted innovative approaches to tackle their respective epidemics. Based on an investment framework developed to build a global investment case for the elimination of viral hepatitis by 2030, national activities and key enablers are highlighted that showcase the feasibility and impact of concerted hepatitis responses across a range of settings, with different levels of available resources and infrastructural development. These case studies demonstrate the utility of taking a multipronged, public health approach to: (a) evidence-gathering and planning; (b) implementation; and (c) integration of viral hepatitis services into the Agenda for Sustainable Development. They provide models for planning, investment and implementation strategies for other countries facing similar challenges and resource constraints.

Biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid among PBC patients: a nationwide population-based study.

Objective: To assess the proportion of PBC patients with a biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in a population-based cohort and the association of biochemical response with outcomes. Methods: All patients diagnosed with PBC in Iceland from 1991-2015 were identified. Patients taking UDCA for an adequate period of time were analyzed for treatment response according to the Barcelona, Paris I, Paris II and Toronto criteria and outcomes. Results: Overall 182 females and 40 males were diagnosed with PBC and 135 patients were treated with UDCA. Overall 99 (73%) patients had adequate data on UDCA treatment and results of liver tests to assess biochemical response according to the Barcelona criteria, 95 (70%) according to the Toronto criterion and 85 (63%) according to the Paris I and II criteria. In all 74% (n = 63), 67% (n = 64), 54% (n = 53) and 46% (n = 39) responded to treatment according to the Paris I, Toronto, Barcelona and Paris II criteria. Among nonresponders according to the Paris I, Toronto, Paris II and Barcelona criteria, 50%, 39%, 33% and 30% developed cirrhosis versus 10%, 6%, 5% and 11% of responders, HR 5.36 (p = .002), 6.61 (p = .002), 10.94 (p = .003) and 2.21(p = .11), respectively. Age-adjusted mortality was significantly lower among responders according to the Paris I and Paris II criteria, HR 0.33 (p = .02) and 0.31 (p = .02), respectively. Conclusion: Development of cirrhosis and higher mortality was significantly associated with a lack of biochemical response to UDCA. Frequent development of cirrhosis and increased mortality in nonresponders underlines the need for a more effective therapy than UDCA for this sizeable subgroup of patients.

[Primary sclerosing cholangitis in Iceland 1992-2012].

BACKGROUND: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic cholestatic disease affecting the intra- and/or extrahepatic biliary tree with inflammation and progressive stricture formation that can lead to cirrhosis, end stage liver failure and liver transplantation. Known risk factors include inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), mainly ulcerative colitis (UC). Highest reported incidence in an adult population is 1.2-1.3/100.000 in Norway and Sweden, where 60-76% have IBD. The aim of this study was to investigate epidemiology of PSC in Iceland in the years 1992 to 2012 and the patients outcomes. METHODS: A search for the diagnosis "cholangitis" (ICD-10, K83.0) was performed in the database for hospital records in Landspítali (The National University Hospital of Iceland, LSH) and Akureyri Hospital from 1992 to 2012. We also looked through all ERCP and MRCP imaging done in LSH in the same period along with a text search in both the hospital records and the pathology database for liver biopsies. Data on these patients was collected until the end of 2016. RESULTS: A total of 42 patient got the diagnosis PSC within the period. Median age at diagnosis was 34 years, 67% were male and 90% adults (≥18 years old). Mean incidence per year was 0.69/100.000. Overall 88% of patients had IBD, thereof 89% UC. Seven patients have been diagnosed with cancer, four with cancer in the bile ducts and one in the gallbladder. Within the study period a total of five patients died (12%), 51 months (median) from diagnosis and three from cholangiocarcinoma, 51 months (median) from diagnosis. Three patients (7%) underwent liver transplantation, one required a transplant two times. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PSC in Iceland turned out to be lower than in our neighbouring countries in Scandinavia. It is unclear if this is due to underdiagnosis or, more likely, that PSC is simply more uncommon in Iceland. Overall 7% underwent liver transplantation and 12% died within the study period, main cause of mortality being cholangiocarcinoma.

Modelling the elimination of hepatitis C as a public health threat in Iceland: A goal attainable by 2020.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In Iceland a nationwide program has been launched offering direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment for everyone living with hepatitis C virus (HCV). We estimate (i) the time and treatment scale-up required to achieve the World Health Organization's HCV elimination target of an 80% reduction in incidence; and (ii) the ongoing frequency of HCV testing and harm reduction coverage among people who inject drugs (PWID) required to minimize the likelihood of future HCV outbreaks occurring. METHODS: We used a dynamic compartmental model of HCV transmission, liver disease progression and the HCV cascade of care, calibrated to reproduce the epidemic of HCV in Iceland. The model was stratified according to injecting drug use status, age and stage of engagement. Four scenarios were considered for the projections. RESULTS: The model estimated that an 80% reduction in domestic HCV incidence was achievable by 2030, 2025 or 2020 if a minimum of 55/1,000, 75/1,000 and 188/1,000 PWID were treated per year, respectively (a total of 22, 30 and 75 of the estimated 400 PWID in Iceland per year, respectively). Regardless of time frame, this required an increased number of PWID to be diagnosed to generate enough treatment demand, or a 20% scale-up of harm reduction services to complement treatment-as-prevention incidence reductions. When DAA scale-up was combined with annual antibody testing of PWID, the incidence reduction target was reached by 2024. Treatment scale-up with no other changes to current testing and harm reduction services reduced the basic reproduction number of HCV from 1.08 to 0.59, indicating that future outbreaks would be unlikely. CONCLUSION: HCV elimination in Iceland is achievable by 2020 with some additional screening of PWID. Maintaining current monitoring and harm reduction services while providing ongoing access to DAA therapy for people diagnosed with HCV would ensure that outbreaks are unlikely to occur once elimination targets have been reached. LAY SUMMARY: In Iceland, a nationwide program has been launched offering treatment for the entire population living with hepatitis C virus (HCV). A mathematical model was used to estimate the additional health system requirements to achieve the HCV elimination targets of the World Health Organization (WHO), as well as the year that this could occur. With some additional screening of people who inject drugs, Iceland could reach the WHO targets by 2020, becoming one of the first countries to achieve HCV elimination. The model estimated that once elimination targets were reached, maintaining current monitoring and harm reduction services while providing ongoing access to DAA therapy for people diagnosed with HCV would ensure that future HCV outbreaks are unlikely to occur.

Low prevalence of hepatitis E in Iceland: a seroepidemiological study.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection has been reported to be more prevalent in the developed countries than previously thought. HEV infection is an important differential diagnosis in patients with drug-induced liver injury (DILI). The prevalence of hepatitis E was investigated in the general population of Iceland, among pig farmers and patients with DILI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Serum samples were tested for hepatitis E IgG, with two commercial ELISA tests: Diagnostic Bioprobes Srl. (Dia Pro) and the Wantai HEV IgG and subjects repeatedly reactive were tested with an immunoblot assay (RecomLINE). Three groups were tested: (1) healthy volunteers (HV), (2) pig farm workers (PFWs) and (3) patients participating in a nationwide prospective study on DILI. RESULTS: Overall 291 individuals were tested, HV (n = 195), PFW (n = 21) and DILI (n = 75). Only 6/291 (2.1%) tested positive for IgG antibodies to HEV in all three tests. Three HV were HEV IgG antibody positive and three in the DILI group. One PFW tested positive in the Dia Pro and Wantai tests but not in the immunoblot assay. All but one of the positive individuals in all three tests was either of foreign national origin or had spent extended period of time outside of Iceland. CONCLUSIONS: The seroprevalence of hepatitis E appears to be lower in Iceland than majority of recent studies in other western countries have demonstrated. This may be due to relative isolation and severe restriction on import of livestock from other countries.

Lifetime drinking history in patients with alcoholic liver disease and patients with alcohol use disorder without liver disease.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the differences in lifetime alcohol intake (LAI) and drinking patterns between patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) without notable liver injury and between males and females with ALD. METHODS: Alcohol drinking patterns were assessed using the Lifetime Drinking History (LDH) a validated questionnaire, during an outpatient visit. Patients with AUD, currently in addiction treatment, were matched for gender and age (±5 years) with the ALD group. RESULTS: A total of 39 patients with ALD (26 males and 13 females; median age 58) and equal number of AUD patients were included (median age 56 years). The onset age for alcohol drinking and duration of alcohol consumption was similar in ALD and AUD. The number of drinking days was higher in women with ALD than in women with AUD: 4075 [(3224-6504) versus 2092 (1296-3661), p = .0253]. The LAI and drinks per drinking day (DDD) were not significantly different between patients with ALD and AUD. Females with ALD had lower LAI than males with ALD: 32,934 (3224-6504) versus 50,923 (30,360-82,195), p = .0385, fewer DDD (p = .0112), and lower proportion of binge drinking as compared to males with ALD (p = .0274). CONCLUSIONS: The total LAI was similar in patients with ALD and AUD. The number of drinking days over the lifetime was associated with the development of ALD in females. Females with ALD had significantly lower alcohol consumption than men with ALD despite similar duration in years of alcohol intake which supports the concept of female propensity of ALD.

A prospective study on the causes of notably raised alanine aminotransferase (ALT).

OBJECTIVE: High levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) can be a marker of severe liver disease with variable aetiologies and prognosis. Very few prospective studies have been undertaken on the aetiology and prognosis of patients with high ALT levels. No population-based prospective study has systematically evaluated drug-induced liver injury (DILI) among these patients. The objective was to determine the aetiology and prognosis of patients with high ALT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a catchment area of 160,000 inhabitants, a population-based prospective study identified all adult patients with serum level of ALT >500 U/L during a 12-month period. All underwent thorough diagnostic work-up and follow-up. In suspected DILI, causality was assessed with Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method. RESULTS: A total of 155 patients were identified with ALT >500 U/L, 12 children and one with ALT of non-liver-related origin, leaving 142 patients for the analysis: 73 (51%) males, median age 52 (IQR 36-68, range 19-89 years). The most common causes were choledocholithiasis 48/142 (34%), ischaemic hepatitis 26 (18%), viral hepatitis 16 (11%) and DILI 15 (11%), hepatobiliary malignancy (n = 6), surgery/interventions (n = 8) and other aetiologies (n = 23). No specific aetiology was found in 6% of cases. In the total study cohort 99 (70%) required hospitalisation, 78 (55%) had jaundice and 22 (16%) died, liver-related death in 10%, 35% in IH and 7% in DILI. CONCLUSIONS: The most common cause of notably high ALT was choledocholithiasis. Ischaemic hepatitis was a common aetiology with approximately 35% liver-related mortality. Viral hepatitis and DILI were important aetiologies among these patients.

Risk of drug-induced liver injury from tumor necrosis factor antagonists.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antagonists of tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF agents) can cause drug-induced liver injury (DILI), yet little is known about the level of risk. METHODS: We identified cases of DILI caused by anti-TNF agents in Iceland, from 2009 through 2013, at the National University Hospital of Iceland (n = 11). We collected data on the total use of the drugs by patients with DILI, and outcomes, compared with patients who received anti-TNF agents but who did not develop DILI (controls, n = 22). RESULTS: Of the 11 cases of DILI identified (8 women; mean age, 46 y), 9 cases were caused by infliximab. DILI developed in 1 of 120 patients who received infliximab, 1 in 270 patients who received adalimumab, and 1 in 430 patients who received etanercept. Most patients with infliximab-associated DILI developed this disorder after 4 infusions (n = 6). Four patients had jaundice at diagnosis of DILI, and 8 patients had hepatocellular liver injury. The mean peak level of alanine aminotransferase was 704 U/L, of aspartate aminotransferase was 503 U/L, of alkaline phosphatase was 261 U/L, and of bilirubin was 47 µmol/L. Seven patients with DILI were tested for antinuclear antibodies before therapy with an anti-TNF agent and 3 had positive test results, compared with 5 of the 14 controls tested. At DILI diagnosis, 8 of 11 patients tested positive for antinuclear antibodies. Of liver biopsy specimens collected from 5 patients with DILI, 3 showed signs of severe acute hepatitis. Only 9% of the patients who developed DILI received methotrexate during anti-TNF therapy, compared with 59% of controls (P = .009). DILI was treated with steroids in 5 patients, and in 4 cases steroid therapy was discontinued without relapse. Eight patients with DILI went on to receive treatment with different TNF antagonists without developing DILI. CONCLUSIONS: Of anti-TNF agents, infliximab is associated most frequently with DILI, developing in 1 of 120 patients who received this drug. Fifty percent of patients with anti-TNF-associated DILI required steroid therapy, but most did not need long-term treatment. The addition of methotrexate to anti-TNF therapy might reduce the risk of DILI.

Alcohol consumption and liver cirrhosis mortality after lifting ban on beer sales in country with state alcohol monopoly.

BACKGROUND: The objectives were to study alcohol consumption per capita and liver cirrhosis mortality in the population of Iceland. METHODS: The Statistic Iceland website supplied alcohol sales figures and death rates. RESULTS: The alcohol consumption increased 30% during the study period 1982-2009, because of increase in beer and wine, and decrease in spirits consumption. Chronic liver cirrhosis mortality increased significantly for men when comparing the 1982-88 rates (before beer ban was lifted) with the rates for 2003-09. CONCLUSION: The findings do not support the suggestion that spirits consumption rather than the total alcohol consumption affect the cirrhosis mortality.

Incidence, presentation, and outcomes in patients with drug-induced liver injury in the general population of Iceland.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the incidence of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) in the general population. We investigated the incidence and the quantitative risk of DILI in a population-based cohort. METHODS: We performed a prospective study and collected data from 96 individuals diagnosed with DILI in Iceland from 2010 through 2011 (54 women; median age, 55 y). Liver injury was defined based on levels of alanine aminotransferase that were more than 3-fold the upper limit of normal and/or alkaline phosphatase levels more than 2-fold the upper limit of normal. Patients with acetaminophen toxicity were excluded. Drug history and clinical outcome were analyzed. Causality was assessed using the Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method. The patients were registered in prescription databases for outpatients and inpatients. RESULTS: The crude annual incidence rate of DILI was 19.1 (95% confidence interval [CI], 15.4-23.3) cases per 100,000 inhabitants. DILI was caused by a single prescription medication in 75% of cases, by dietary supplements in 16% of cases, and by multiple agents in 9% of cases. The most commonly implicated drugs were amoxicillin-clavulanate (21 of 96; 22%), diclofenac (6%), azathioprine (4%), infliximab (4%), and nitrofurantoin (4%). The median duration of therapy was 20 days (range, 8-77 days); 26 patients had jaundice (27%) and 22 patients were hospitalized (23%) for a median of 5 days (range, 2-8 days). Overall 35,252 patients received amoxicillin-clavulanate as outpatients, and DILI occurred in 1 of 2350 (43 of 100,000; 95% CI, 24-70). DILI also occurred in 1 of 9480 patients taking diclofenac (11 of 100,000; 95% CI, 4-24), 1 of 133 patients taking azathioprine (752 of 100,000; 95% CI, 205-1914), 1 of 148 patients taking infliximab (675 of 100,000; 95% CI, 184-718), and 1 of 1369 patients taking nitrofurantoin (73 of 100,000; 95% CI, 20-187). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based study in Iceland, the incidence of DILI was the highest reported to date. Amoxicillin-clavulanate was the most commonly implicated agent. The highest risk of hepatotoxicity was associated with azathioprine and infliximab, but the actual number of cases attributed to these agents was small.

Hepatitis E masquerading as drug-induced liver injury.

The patient presented below gives us the opportunity to discuss challenges in the diagnosis of drug-induced liver injury in an era of increasing awareness of hepatitis E.

Crop phenotype prediction using biclustering to explain genotype-by-environment interactions.

Phenotypic variation in plants is attributed to genotype (G), environment (E), and genotype-by-environment interaction (GEI). Although the main effects of G and E are typically larger and easier to model, the GEI interaction effects are important and a critical factor when considering such issues as to why some genotypes perform consistently well across a range of environments. In plant breeding, a major challenge is limited information, including a single genotype is tested in only a small subset of all possible test environments. The two-way table of phenotype responses will therefore commonly contain missing data. In this paper, we propose a new model of GEI effects that only requires an input of a two-way table of phenotype observations, with genotypes as rows and environments as columns that do not assume the completeness of data. Our analysis can deal with this scenario as it utilizes a novel biclustering algorithm that can handle missing values, resulting in an output of homogeneous cells with no interactions between G and E. In other words, we identify subsets of genotypes and environments where phenotype can be modeled simply. Based on this, we fit no-interaction models to predict phenotypes of a given crop and draw insights into how a particular cultivar will perform in the unused test environments. Our new methodology is validated on data from different plant species and phenotypes and shows superior performance compared to well-studied statistical approaches.

Multiomics study of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) and its sequelae are growing health problems. We performed a genome-wide association study of NAFL, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, and integrated the findings with expression and proteomic data. For NAFL, we utilized 9,491 clinical cases and proton density fat fraction extracted from 36,116 liver magnetic resonance images. We identified 18 sequence variants associated with NAFL and 4 with cirrhosis, and found rare, protective, predicted loss-of-function variants in MTARC1 and GPAM, underscoring them as potential drug targets. We leveraged messenger RNA expression, splicing and predicted coding effects to identify 16 putative causal genes, of which many are implicated in lipid metabolism. We analyzed levels of 4,907 plasma proteins in 35,559 Icelanders and 1,459 proteins in 47,151 UK Biobank participants, identifying multiple proteins involved in disease pathogenesis. We show that proteomics can discriminate between NAFL and cirrhosis. The present study provides insights into the development of noninvasive evaluation of NAFL and new therapeutic options.

A nationwide population-based prospective study of cirrhosis in Iceland.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The incidence of cirrhosis in Iceland has been the lowest in the world with only 3 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Alcohol consumption has almost doubled in Iceland from 1980 to 2016. Obesity has also risen and hepatitis C virus has spread among people who inject drugs in Iceland. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of these risk factors on the incidence and aetiology of cirrhosis in Iceland. METHODS: The study included all patients diagnosed with cirrhosis for the first time during 2010-2015. Diagnosis was based on liver histology or 2 of 4 criteria: cirrhosis on imaging, ascites, varices, and/or elevated INR. RESULTS: Overall, 157 patients were diagnosed, 105 (67%) males, mean age 61 years. The overall incidence was 9.7 cases per 100,000 inhabitants annually. Alcohol was the only underlying cause in 48/157 (31%), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in 34/157(22%), and alcohol and hepatitis C together in 23/157(15%) were the most common causes. Only 6% of patients had an unknown cause of cirrhosis. Upon diagnosis, the median model for end-stage liver disease score was 11 (IQR 8-15), 53% were of Child-Pugh class A whereas 61 (39%) had ascites, 11% encephalopathy, and 8% variceal bleeding. In all, 25% of deaths were from HCC and 25% from liver failure. CONCLUSION: A major increase in incidence of cirrhosis has occurred in Iceland associated with increases in alcohol consumption, obesity, and hepatitis C. In a high proportion NAFLD was the aetiology and very few had unknown cause of cirrhosis. The highest death rate was from HCC. LAY SUMMARY: In a nationwide population-based study from Iceland, including all patients diagnosed with cirrhosis of the liver over a period of 5 years, we found the incidence of new cases had increased 3-fold compared with a previous study 20 years ago. The increase is attributable to increased alcohol consumption, an epidemic of diabetes and obesity, and infection with the hepatitis C virus. Furthermore, we found that with thorough investigations, a specific cause for cirrhosis could be found in 94% of patients. Patients with cirrhosis frequently die of liver cancer and other complications related to their liver disease.