Prediction model for anabolic androgenic steroid positivity in forensic autopsy cases - a new tool to the autopsy room.

Non-prescription use of anabolic androgenic steroids (AAS) is associated with an increased risk of premature death. However, these substances are seldom screened in connection with forensic cause-of-death investigation, unless the forensic pathologist specifically suspects use, often based on a positive AAS use history. Since AAS use is often concealed from others, this practice may lead to mistargeting of these analyses and significant underestimation of the true number of AAS positive cases undergoing forensic autopsy. Thus, more accurate diagnostic tools are needed to identify these cases. The main objective of this study was to determine, whether a multivariable model could predict AAS urine assay positivity in forensic autopsies. We analyzed retrospectively the autopsy reports of all cases that had been screened for AAS during forensic cause-of-death investigation between 2016-2019 at the Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare forensic units (n = 46). Binary logistic regression with penalized maximum likelihood estimation was used to generate a nine-variable model combining circumferential and macroscopic autopsy-derived variables. The multivariable model predicted AAS assay positivity significantly better than a "conventional" model with anamnestic information about AAS use only (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.968 vs. 0.802, p = 0.005). Temporal validation was conducted in an independent sample of AAS screened cases between 2020-2022 (n = 31), where the superiority of the multivariable model was replicated (AUC = 0.856 vs. 0.644, p = 0.004). Based on the model, a calculator predicting AAS assay positivity is released as a decision-aiding tool for forensic pathologists working in the autopsy room.

Productivity costs of lifelong smoking-the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 study.

BACKGROUND: Smoking is one of the leading causes of impaired health and mortality. Loss of paid and unpaid work and replacements due to morbidity and mortality result in productivity costs. Our aim was to investigate the productivity costs of lifelong smoking trajectories and cumulative exposure using advanced human capital method (HCM) and friction cost method (FCM). METHODS: Within the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 (NFBC1966), 10 650 persons were followed from antenatal period to age 55 years. The life course of smoking behaviour was assessed with trajectory modelling and cumulative exposure with pack-years. Productivity costs were estimated with advanced HCM and FCM models by using detailed, national register-based data on care, disability, mortality, education, taxation, occupation and labour market. A two-part regression model was used to predict productivity costs associated with lifelong smoking and cumulative exposure. RESULTS: Of the six distinct smoking trajectories, lifetime smokers had the highest productivity costs followed by late starters, late adult quitters, young adult quitters and youth smokers. Never-smokers had the lowest productivity costs. The higher the number of pack-years, the higher the productivity costs. Uniform patterns were found in both men and women and when estimated with HCM and FCM. The findings were independent of other health behaviours. CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative exposure to smoking is more crucial to productivity costs than starting or ending age of smoking. This suggests that the harmful effects of smoking depend on dose and duration of smoking and are irrespective of age when smoking occurred.

Prevalence of secondary brain injuries and association with trauma circumstances in neuropathologically examined medico-legal autopsy cases with primary head trauma.

Primary head injury is often followed by secondary brain damage. However, the association between injury circumstances and the prevalence of secondary injuries remains unclear. We report the prevalence and association of secondary brain injuries with the circumstances in which a head injury was sustained. The sample comprised 76 neuropathologically examined medico-legal autopsy cases with an acute primary head injury. Neuropathology reports were analysed to determine the prevalence of various secondary injuries, i.e., hypoxic-ischaemic neuronal injury, brain oedema, and vascular axonal injury (VAI). The prevalences were compared between cases from three distinct injury circumstances, i.e., fall, assault, and strangulation. The sample had a median age of 49 years (interquartile range 27-73) and 71.1% were identified as male. As for distinct injury circumstances, the sample comprised 14 fall cases, 21 assault victims, and 6 strangulation victims. The prevalence of hypoxic-ischaemic neuronal injury was highest in strangulations (100.0%), followed by assaults (81.0%) and falls (64.3%); of specific brain regions, statistically significant differences between the three case groups were found in frontal and parietal cortex (p ≤ 0.018) and the hippocampus (p = 0.005). Brain oedema was present in approximately half of assault (47.6%) and strangulation cases (50.0%), contrastingly to the lower prevalence in falls (7.1%; p = 0.024). The prevalence of VAI appeared higher among assault (23.8%) and strangulation cases (16.7%) compared to falls (7.1%), but the differences were not statistically significant. We conclude that hypoxic-ischaemic neuronal injury and brain oedema were more prevalent among assault and strangulation cases compared to falls.

Background characteristics and neuropathology findings of medico-legal autopsy cases with and without ß-amyloid precursor protein positive diffuse traumatic axonal injury.

The postmortem diagnosis of diffuse traumatic axonal injury (dTAI) relies on ß-amyloid precursor protein (ß-APP) immunohistochemistry. Most reports of factors associating with dTAI are decades old. We compared background characteristics and neuropathology findings of today's Finnish medico-legal autopsy cases with and without ß-APP-positive dTAI (dTAI+ and dTAI-, respectively). The cases had suffered a head injury prior to death and underwent a full neuropathological examination including ß-APP stain. Background and circumstantial data as well as neuropathology findings were collected from police documents, medical records, and autopsy and neuropathology reports. Prevalence ratios were calculated for each factor to facilitate comparisons between the dTAI+ and dTAI- groups. The dataset comprised 57 cases (66.7% males), with 17 classified as dTAI+ and 40 as dTAI-. Based on prevalence ratios, the factors that had at least two-fold prevalence among dTAI+ cases compared to dTAI- cases were: an unknown injury mechanism; concurrent epidural or subdural haemorrhage; and an accidental manner of death. In contrast, the factors that had at least two-fold prevalence among dTAI- cases compared to dTAI+ cases were: a short postinjury survival (<30 min); concurrent intracerebral/ventricular haemorrhage or contusion; vermal atrophy; and a natural or homicidal manner of death. This study revealed differences in circumstantial features and neuropathology findings between dTAI+ and dTAI- cases in today's medico-legal autopsy material. Data on typical case profiles may help estimate the prior probability of dTAI not only in medico-legal autopsies but also among living patients with head injuries.

Association of anabolic androgenic steroid use with perimortem polypharmacy, antemortem prescription drug use, and utilization of health care services - A Finnish triple register study of forensic autopsy cases.

Anabolic androgenic steroid (AAS) use has previously been associated with complex polysubstance use that may increase morbidity and mortality among these individuals. In this study we aimed to further describe the features of perimortem polysubstance use, antemortem central nervous system (CNS) drug use and health care service utilization of AAS using males that suffer premature death. The main sample included all cases that were screened for AAS in connection with forensic autopsy between 2016-2019 and tested positive (n = 16). The control samples included autopsy cases that were screened for AAS but tested negative (n = 30) and randomly selected, age and sex matched autopsy cases not suspected of having used AAS but were otherwise fully toxicologically investigated (n = 43). Postmortem toxicological results were used for perimortem polysubstance use prevalence and severity estimation. Antemortem CNS drug use was calculated from a national register of reimbursed prescription medicines, and health care utilization from public health care registers, covering the last five years of life. Perimortem polysubstance use was prevalent in all groups, but the AAS positive had a tendency for greater CNS drug polypharmacy and the highest number of antemortem CNS drug purchases during the last five years of life, with a median of 14.5 purchases/person, vs. 1/person in the AAS negative and 0/person in the random group (Kruskal-Wallis H test, p < .001). Yearly medical contacts increased in all groups as death approached. Our findings suggest that prescription CNS drug use may play a significant role in polysubstance use disorders of AAS using males that suffer premature death.

Associations of socioeconomic and lifestyle characteristics, psychological symptoms, multimorbidity, and multisite pain with sciatica - a 15-year longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Sciatica is defined as pain radiating from the low back to the leg, usually below the knee. It is a disabling condition that causes a major burden to health care and society. Previous evidence of the multifactorial etiology of sciatica comes mostly from cross-sectional studies. Larger, longitudinal studies with a multidimensional set of variables are needed. PURPOSE: To examine how socioeconomic and lifestyle characteristics, psychological symptoms, multimorbidity, and multisite pain are associated with sciatica. STUDY DESIGN: A longitudinal study of the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966. PATIENT SAMPLE: In total 6,683 working-aged members of the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966. OUTCOME MEASURES: Self-reported sciatic pain status over a 15-year study period. METHODS: We conducted a 15-year longitudinal study from the age of 31 to 46. We used multivariable generalized estimation equations analysis to examine how socioeconomic characteristics (low education, unemployment, and living alone), lifestyle characteristics (overweight, obesity, current smoking, and physical inactivity), psychological symptoms (depression, anxiety), multimorbidity, and multisite pain were associated with sciatica. RESULTS: At the age of 31, 21.1% of the study population reported sciatic pain and at the age of 46, 36.7%. Multisite pain was clearly the strongest factor associated with sciatica (odds ratio [OR] 2.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.34‒2.92). In descending order of effect size, older age, low education, psychological symptoms, multimorbidity, overweight, obesity, physical inactivity and current smoking were positively associated with sciatica. Their ORs varied between 1.17 and 2.18. Living alone was negatively associated with sciatica (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.72‒0.90). CONCLUSIONS: Multisite pain had the strongest association with sciatica. The effect sizes of the other factors were clearly smaller. To our knowledge this is the first study to evaluate the association of multisite pain with sciatica. This finding may have considerable implications for clinical work treating patients with sciatica.

Pressure Pain Sensitivity and Chronotype: A Population-based Study of Middle-aged Finns.

Evening chronotype individuals experience pain more often than morning chronotypes, but relationships with pain sensitivity have rarely been studied. We examined whether chronotype is associated with pressure pain sensitivity, with special reference to mental health disorders, insomnia, and chronic musculoskeletal (MSK) pain as potential moderating factors. The study sample consisted of members of the Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 aged 46. Pressure pain threshold and tolerance were measured via the standardized protocol, categorized as lowest quartile versus others. Chronotype (morning [M; the reference], intermediate [I], and evening [E]) was defined using the Short Morningness-Eveningness questionnaire. Sex-stratified binary logistic regression models were separately adjusted for education, body mass index, long-term diseases (fully adjusted model), and for mental health disorders, insomnia, and chronic MSK pain (a residual confounding analysis). Interaction terms (Chronotype × Mental health/insomnia/chronic MSK pain) were tested. The study had 2,132 males and 2,830 females. The E-type males had 1.5-fold odds of having a low pain threshold (fully adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.45, 95% confidence interval 1.05-2.00) and pressure pain tolerance (fully adjusted OR 1.47, 1.07-2.02), in comparison to M-types. Having a mental health disorder intensified the association with low pain threshold fourfold (4.06, 1.56-10.6). Being an E-type female was also associated with a low pain threshold, but the association was statistically nonsignificant (fully adjusted OR 1.18, .90-1.53). No statistically significant interactions were found among females. These results emphasize the role of chronotype in pain sensitivity and add an understanding of pain experience in light of innate circadian types. PERSPECTIVE: Male evening chronotypes are more sensitive to pain than morning chronotypes. Diagnosed mental health disorders in particular indicate a low pain threshold for evening chronotype males.

Deep learning in sex estimation from photographed human mandible using the Human Osteological Research Collection.

Sex estimation is a necessary part of forensic and osteological analyses of skeletal human remains in the construction of a biological profile. Several skeletal traits are sexually dimorphic and used for skeletal sex estimation. The human mandible and morphological traits therein have been long used for sex estimation, but the validity of using the mandible in this purpose has become a concern. In this study, we examined the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) and especially deep learning (DL) to provide accurate sex estimations from the mandible. We used 193 modern South African mandibles from the Human Osteological Research Collection (HORC) in the Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences university with known sex to conduct our study. All mandibles were photographed from the same angle and the photographs were analyzed with an open-source DL software. The best-performing DL algorithm estimated the sex of males with 100% accuracy and females with 76.9% accuracy. However, further studies with a higher number of specimens could provide more reliable validity for using AI when building the biological profile from skeletal remains.

Musket ball injuries to the head - Experimental CT-study.

A smoothbore musket firing a round ball was the primary weapon of the infantry from the 16th to mid 19th century. Musket ball injuries are thus relatively common when archaeological remains of battlefield victims from that period are studied. Several experimental studies have focused on terminal ballistics of a musket ball. In addition, there is a good supply of historical records directly from the battlefield and military hospitals. Studies and historical records have both concluded that head injuries are among the most lethal types of musket ball damage. In this study we utilized modern day research methods, including Synbone ballistic skull phantoms and computed tomography (CT) imaging, to examine more closely the head injuries and tissue damage caused by a musket ball. We were especially interested to observe how different musket ball velocities and shooting distances would influence bone and soft tissue defects. Our experiments clearly demonstrated that musket ball was a lethal projectile even from a longer distance. Already at low velocities, the musket ball perforated through the skull. Velocity also influenced the appearance of entrance and exit wounds. CT imaging provided us with a three-dimensional view of the wound channel, skull fragments and lead remnants inside the skull phantom. According to our findings, musket ball velocity influenced defect size and cavitation. In addition, velocity influenced the size and distribution of skull fragments and lead remnants in the wound channel. Combining all these aspects could aid us in studies of archaeological musket ball victims. In particular, they could help us to estimate the shooting distance and shed light on the potential course of events in the battlefield.

Neuropathology consultation rates in medico-legal autopsies show substantial within-country variation-a nationwide Finnish study.

Neuropathology consultations are an essential part of medico-legal cause-of-death investigations. However, there are little data on the rates of neuropathological examinations in medico-legal autopsies. The present nationwide, retrospective, register-based study aimed to report and compare neuropathology consultation rates (i.e. the percentages of medico-legal autopsies with a neuropathology consultation) in five Finnish regions from 2016 to 2021. The dataset comprised 50 457 medico-legal autopsies with 1 274 neuropathology consultations. Overall, ~1 in 40 autopsies (2.5%) involved a neuropathology consultation. Consultation rates were lowest in the Southern Finland region (1.4%) and highest in the Southwestern Finland and Åland region (6.5%). Throughout the study period, the consultation rates of Southwestern Finland and Åland were 1.5 to 9.4 times those of other regions (P < 0.001). In conclusion, this nationwide Finnish study identified substantial differences in neuropathology consultation rates between regions, which may indicate regional differences in conventions and policies. However, the "optimal" consultation rate remains unknown. Future studies are required to further understand the differences in autopsy practices within the Finnish context as well as in medico-legal institutions elsewhere. Key points: There are little data on the rates of neuropathology consultations in medico-legal autopsies.This Finnish study characterized regional differences in neuropathology consultation rates between 2016 and 2021.Overall, 1 in 40 autopsies (2.5%) involved a neuropathology consultation.The consultation rates of Southwestern Finland and Åland were 1.5 to 9.4 times those of other regions.Our findings may reflect regional differences in conventions and policies.