Mortality risk relationship using standard categorized BMI or knee-height based BMI - does the overweight/lower mortality paradox hold true?

BACKGROUND: The body mass index (BMI) is prone to misclassification of obesity due to age-related height loss and resulting measurement errors. Knee-height based BMI (KH-BMI) has not been previously studied in relation to mortality risk in older adults. AIM: To evaluate the age- and sex-specific mortality risk relationship using classic BMI and knee height predicted BMI (KH-BMI) overweight and obesity in a 15-year follow-up study including older Swedish adults aged 60-93 years. METHODS: A 15-year follow-up study among 2,786 individuals aged ≥ 60 years. Height, weight and KH were measured. KH-predicted height was estimated using formulated gender-specific equations. Classic BMI and KH-BMI (kg/m2) were calculated. Mortality data was obtained from the Swedish death registry. Questionnaires were used to collect data on obesity-related lifestyle factors and comorbidities. RESULTS: Cox regression revealed that using the classic BMI, when comparing with the normal/underweight reference group, there was a mortality risk among overweight men (HR = 0.67, 0.52-0.87), overweight women (HR = 0.79, 0.65-0.97), and obese men (HR = 0.60, 0.41-0.89) aged ≥ 80 years old. Using the KH-BMI, only overweight men and overweight women aged ≥ 80 years had a lower mortality risk, men (HR = 0.71, 0.55-0.92); women (HR = 0.77, 0.62-0.95) after adjusting for obesity-related lifestyle factors and comorbidities. DISCUSSION: There is evidence that obesity is overestimated by the BMI, in comparison with the KH-BMI classification. In terms of mortality risk and after adjusting for height, there remains a paradoxical protective association between overweight and mortality. CONCLUSION: Regardless of classic BMI or KH-BMI estimation, overweight men and women aged ≥ 80 years had a lower mortality risk compared to normal/underweight men and women ≥ 80 years.

Diverging Trends in the Incidence of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Sweden 2010-2019: An Observational Study from the Swedish Stroke Register (Riksstroke).

INTRODUCTION: Although ischemic stroke incidence has decreased in Sweden over the past decade, trends in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) incidence are less well delineated. In this time period, there has been a dramatic increase in use of oral anticoagulants (OAC). The aim of our study was to investigate incidence trends in spontaneous first-ever ICH in Sweden between 2010 and 2019, with a focus on non-OAC-associated and OAC-associated ICH. METHODS: We included patients (≥18 years) with first-ever ICH registered in the hospital-based Swedish Stroke Register (Riksstroke) 2010-2019. Data were stratified by non-OAC and OAC ICH and analyzed for 2010-2012, 2013-2016, and 2017-2019. Incidence rates are shown as crude and age-specific per 100,000 person-years. RESULTS: Between 2010 and 2019, 22,289 patients with first-ever ICH were registered; 18,325 (82.2%) patients with non-OAC ICH and 3,964 (17.8%) patients with OAC ICH. Annual crude incidence (per 100,000) of all first-ever ICH decreased by 10% from 29.5 (95% CI 28.8-30.3) to 26.7 (95% CI 26.0-27.3) between 2010-2012 and 2017-2019. The crude incidence rate of non-OAC ICH decreased by 20% from 25.7 (95% CI 25.0-26.3) to 20.7 (95% CI 20.1-21.2), whereas OAC ICH increased by 56% from 3.86 (95% CI 3.61-4.12) to 6.01 (95% CI 5.70-6.32). The proportion of OAC ICH of all first-ever ICH increased between 2010-2012 and 2017-2019 from 13.1% to 22.5% (p < 0.001). Proportional changes were largest in the age group ≥85 years with a decrease in non-OAC ICH by 32% from 155 (95% CI 146-164) to 106 (95% CI 98.6-113) and an increase in OAC ICH by 155% from 25.7 (95% CI 22.1-29.4) to 65.5 (95% CI 59.9-71.2). CONCLUSION: Incidence of first-ever ICH in Sweden decreased by 10% between 2010 and 2019. We found diverging trends with a 20% decrease in non-OAC-associated ICH and a 56% increase in OAC-associated ICH. Further research on ICH epidemiology, analyzing non-OAC and OAC-associated ICH separately, is needed to follow up these diverging trends including underlying risk factors.

Association Between History of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes and Coronary Artery Disease Assessed by Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography.

Importance: Adverse pregnancy outcomes are recognized risk enhancers for cardiovascular disease, but the prevalence of subclinical coronary atherosclerosis after these conditions is unknown. Objective: To assess associations between history of adverse pregnancy outcomes and coronary artery disease assessed by coronary computed tomography angiography screening. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional study of a population-based cohort of women in Sweden (n = 10 528) with 1 or more deliveries in 1973 or later, ascertained via the Swedish National Medical Birth Register, who subsequently participated in the Swedish Cardiopulmonary Bioimage Study at age 50 to 65 (median, 57.3) years in 2013-2018. Delivery data were prospectively collected. Exposures: Adverse pregnancy outcomes, including preeclampsia, gestational hypertension, preterm delivery, small-for-gestational-age infant, and gestational diabetes. The reference category included women with no history of these exposures. Main Outcomes and Measures: Coronary computed tomography angiography indexes, including any coronary atherosclerosis, significant stenosis, noncalcified plaque, segment involvement score of 4 or greater, and coronary artery calcium score greater than 100. Results: A median 29.6 (IQR, 25.0-34.9) years after first registered delivery, 18.9% of women had a history of adverse pregnancy outcomes, with specific pregnancy histories ranging from 1.4% (gestational diabetes) to 9.5% (preterm delivery). The prevalence of any coronary atherosclerosis in women with a history of any adverse pregnancy outcome was 32.1% (95% CI, 30.0%-34.2%), which was significantly higher (prevalence difference, 3.8% [95% CI, 1.6%-6.1%]; prevalence ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.06-1.22]) compared with reference women. History of gestational hypertension and preeclampsia were both significantly associated with higher and similar prevalence of all outcome indexes. For preeclampsia, the highest prevalence difference was observed for any coronary atherosclerosis (prevalence difference, 8.0% [95% CI, 3.7%-12.3%]; prevalence ratio, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.14-1.45]), and the highest prevalence ratio was observed for significant stenosis (prevalence difference, 3.1% [95% CI, 1.1%-5.1%]; prevalence ratio, 2.46 [95% CI, 1.65-3.67]). In adjusted models, odds ratios for preeclampsia ranged from 1.31 (95% CI, 1.07-1.61) for any coronary atherosclerosis to 2.21 (95% CI, 1.42-3.44) for significant stenosis. Similar associations were observed for history of preeclampsia or gestational hypertension among women with low predicted cardiovascular risk. Conclusions and Relevance: Among Swedish women undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography screening, there was a statistically significant association between history of adverse pregnancy outcomes and image-identified coronary artery disease, including among women estimated to be at low cardiovascular disease risk. Further research is needed to understand the clinical importance of these associations.

Seasonal variation of vasopressin and its relevance for the winter peak of cardiometabolic disease: A pooled analysis of five cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Vasopressin concentration is typically higher at night, during stress, and in males, but readily lowered by water intake. Vasopressin is also a causal candidate for cardiometabolic disease, which shows seasonal variation. OBJECTIVE: To study whether vasopressin concentration varies by season in a temperate climate. METHODS: The vasopressin surrogate marker copeptin was analyzed in fasting plasma samples from five population-based cohorts in Malmö, Sweden (n = 25,907, 50.4% women, age 18-86 years). We investigated seasonal variation of copeptin concentration and adjusted for confounders in sinusoidal models. RESULTS: The predicted median copeptin level was 5.81 pmol/L (7.18 pmol/L for men and 4.44 pmol/L for women). Copeptin exhibited a distinct seasonal pattern with a peak in winter (mid-February to mid-March) and nadir in late summer (mid-August to mid-September). The adjusted absolute seasonal variation in median copeptin was 0.62 pmol/L (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50; 0.74, 0.98 pmol/L [95% CI 0.73; 1.23] for men and 0.46 pmol/L [95% CI 0.33; 0.59] for women). The adjusted relative seasonal variation in mean log copeptin z-score was 0.20 (95% CI 0.17; 0.24, 0.18 [95% CI 0.14; 0.23] in men and 0.24 [95% CI 0.19; 0.29] in women). The observed seasonal variation of copeptin corresponded to a risk increase of 4% for incident diabetes mellitus and 2% for incident coronary artery disease. CONCLUSION: The seasonal variation of the vasopressin marker copeptin corresponds to increased disease risk and mirrors the known variation in cardiometabolic status across the year. Moderately increased water intake might mitigate the winter peak of cardiometabolic disease.

Epidemiology of First and Recurrent Ischemic Stroke in Sweden 2010-2019: A Riksstroke Study.

INTRODUCTION: Ischemic stroke incidence appears to have decreased during the last decades, but most studies focus on the first-ever events and epidemiological data on recurrent stroke are scarce. The aim of our study was to investigate trends in incidence, risk factors, and medication in patients with first-ever and recurrent ischemic stroke between 2010 and 2019 in Sweden. METHODS: We included patients (≥18 years old) with ischemic stroke registered in the hospital-based Swedish Stroke Register (Riksstroke) 2010-2019. The coverage of Riksstroke was consistently high (about 90%) during this period. Data were stratified by first-ever and recurrent ischemic stroke in three different time periods (2010-2012, 2013-2016, and 2017-2019) and shown as crude and age-specific incidence rates per 100,000 person-years. Statistics Sweden provided census data on the Swedish population in different age groups. RESULTS: During the study period, 201,316 cases of ischemic stroke were registered in Riksstroke, including 153,865 (76.4%) cases of first-ever ischemic stroke and 46,248 (23.0%) cases of recurrent ischemic stroke (0.6% of cases unclassified). The crude incidence of first-ever ischemic stroke decreased by 17% from 216 (95% CI 214-218) to 179 (95% CI 177-181) between 2010-2012 and 2017-2019, whereas recurrent ischemic stroke decreased by 33% from 72 (95% CI 71-73) to 48 (95% CI 47-49). Between these time periods, diminishing ischemic stroke incidence was seen in all age groups with highest decline noted in those aged 75-84 years (928 [95% CI 914-943] to 698 [95% CI 686-709]; -25% in first-ever ischemic stroke and 361 [95% CI 351-370] to 219 [95% CI 213-226]; -39% in recurrent ischemic stroke) and ≥85 years (1,674 [95% CI 1,645-1,703] to 1,295 [95% CI 1,270-1,320]; -23% in first-ever ischemic stroke and 683 [95% CI 664-702] to 423 [95% CI 409-437]; -38% in recurrent ischemic stroke). Treatment with anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation and lipid-lowering drugs increased considerably in patients with first-ever and recurrent ischemic stroke both at admission and discharge during the study period. CONCLUSION: Whereas both first-ever and recurrent ischemic stroke rates declined in Sweden between 2010 and 2019, the proportional decline was almost double for recurrent ischemic stroke than for first-ever ischemic stroke and most pronounced in the elderly. Increased use of secondary preventive drugs, in particular anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation, appears to have contributed, but further studies on precise causes for the decline in recurrent ischemic stroke are needed.

Prognosis of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Related to Antithrombotic Use: An Observational Study From the Swedish Stroke Register (Riksstroke).

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To date, large studies comparing mortality and functional outcome of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) during oral anticoagulant (OAC), antiplatelet, and nonantithrombotic use are few and show discrepant results. METHODS: We used data on 13 291 patients with ICH registered in Riksstroke between 2012 and 2016 to compare 90-day mortality and functional outcome following OAC-related ICH (n=2300), antiplatelet-related ICH (n=3637), and nonantithrombotic ICH (n=7354). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses, with adjustment for relevant confounders, were used to compare 90-day mortality. Early (≤24 hours and 1-7 days) and late (8-90 days) mortality was also studied in subgroup analyses. Univariable and multivariable 90-day functional outcome, based on self-reported modified Rankin Scale, was determined using logistic regression. RESULTS: Patients with antithrombotic treatment were more often prestroke dependent, older, and had a larger comorbidity burden compared with patients without antithrombotic treatment. At 90 days, antiplatelet and OAC were associated with an increased death rate in multivariable analysis (antiplatelet ICH: hazard ratio, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.14-1.33]; OAC ICH: hazard ratio, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.26-1.57]) compared with nonantithrombotic ICH (reference). OAC ICH and antiplatelet ICH were associated with higher risk of early mortality (≤24 hours: OAC ICH: hazard ratio, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.57-2.38]; antiplatelet ICH: hazard ratio, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.13-1.54]). In multivariable analysis, the odds ratios for the association of antiplatelet and OAC treatment on functional dependency (modified Rankin Scale score, 3-5) at 90 days were nonsignificant (antiplatelet: odds ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.92-1.24]; OAC: odds ratio, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.76-1.22]). CONCLUSIONS: In this large observational study, we found that 90-day mortality outcome was worse not only in OAC ICH but also in antiplatelet ICH, compared with patients with nonantithrombotic ICH. Antiplatelet ICH is common and is a serious condition with poor clinical outcome. Further studies are, therefore, warranted in determining the appropriate clinical management of these patients.

Ischemic stroke patients with prestroke dependency: Characteristics and long-term prognosis.

OBJECTIVE: This paper aims at examining the clinical characteristics of ischemic stroke patients with different levels of prestroke functional dependency, their long-term outcome, and determinants of five-year mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We describe demographics, comorbidity, treatment, as well as long-term mortality, and functional status of 5899 prestroke-dependent ischemic stroke patients stratified by dependency level and compared to a concurrent cohort of 14 148 prestroke-independent patients. The study was based on 2016 survey data from Riksstroke, the Swedish national stroke register, and patients were followed up at three months, 12 months, and either at three or five years. We used Cox regression for mortality predictor analysis and multiple imputation was performed to minimize bias from loss to follow-up. RESULTS: With increasing level of prestroke dependency, comorbidity burden was higher, drug prescription lower, and prognosis less favorable. At three years, the proportion that had died or deteriorated were 82.6%, 87.5%, and 86.3% in moderate, moderately severe, and severe dependency, respectively. In moderate dependency, prognosis was relatively favorable: Three-month mortality was half of that seen in severe dependency (25.3% versus 49.6%). Differences in overall outcome between groups of varying prestroke functional dependency level were statistically significant (P < .05) at all follow-up time points. CONCLUSIONS: There was great heterogeneity between groups of different level of prestroke dependency; those of moderate dependency had a relatively favorable prognosis. Patients of different prestroke level of dependency need to be addressed separately, and further research is needed characterizing this group and exploring management strategies.

Longitudinal study of cognitive function in glioma patients treated with modern radiotherapy techniques and standard chemotherapy.

Introduction: Cognitive function is an important outcome measure in patients with brain tumor, providing information about the patient's clinical situation, treatment effects and possible progressive disease. The aim of this longitudinal study was to evaluate effects of the currently used radiation and chemotherapy treatment on cognitive function and to investigate associations between cognitive function at baseline and progression as well as overall survival.Methods: 32 patients newly diagnosed with malignant glioma were evaluated at baseline with CNS Vital Signs (CNS-VS), a computerized standardized neuropsychological test battery, prior to arc-based radiotherapy and concomitant chemotherapy with Temozolomide. CNS-VS measures the cognitive functions known to be affected in patients with brain tumor, covering nine cognitive domains. Follow-up cognitive evaluations were performed in 26 patients after 3.5 months and in 13 patients 1 year after treatment start.Results: Overall cognitive scores were lower in the studied patient cohort at baseline compared to standardized domain scores. At 3.5 months follow-up cognitive functioning was slightly decreased, but only in 1/9 cognitive domains - visual memory - where significant changes were found compared to baseline test results. Similarly, at 12 months follow-up no significant changes in cognitive test results were seen compared to baseline examination, except for a decrease in the visual memory domain. In relation to early progression, the most significant cognitive deficits were dysfunctional visual memory and low executive functioning at baseline. Low executive function at baseline correlated most significantly with shorter overall survival.Conclusion: The present study suggests that the currently used arc-based radiotherapy and chemotherapy might affect cognitive function less negatively than previously described during treatment and in the first year after treatment in malignant glioma patients. In general, a high cognitive test score at baseline was associated with longer time to progression and with longer survival.

Relative and absolute lung function change in a general population aged 60-102†years.

Data on longitudinal lung function change in the elderly are scarce. Uncertainty remains about whether to use absolute or relative change and how it relates to subject demographics.We studied absolute and relative forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) change in a population-based geriatric sample using a repeated measurements model adjusted for age, sex, smoking habits, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease, educational level, occupation, alcohol consumption, C-reactive protein (CRP) and body mass index. 3736 participants aged 60-102 years completed between one and five spirometries during 13.5 years of follow-up. Lung volumes, FEV1 quotient (Q) and Global Lung Initiative (GLI)-2012 and National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III z-scores were presented from 6932 spirometries.Adjusted absolute change per year (95% CI) was -51.7 (-63.7--39.9) mL for FEV1 and -56.2 (-73.6--38.8) mL for FVC. Adjusted relative change per year was -2.97 (-3.53--2.40)% for FEV1 and -2.46 (-3.07--1.85)% for FVC. Risk factors for increased relative FVC and FEV1 decline were female sex, higher age, current smoking habits, elevated CRP (nonsignificant for FEV1, p=0.057) and low educational level. For increased absolute decline the risk factors were male sex and being a current smoker for FEV1 and low education for FVC.Relative but not absolute change correlated significantly with clinically relevant markers of functional status and may be superior to absolute change in risk factor analysis. Cross-sectional reduction in terms of FEV1Q was ∼1 unit per 10 years for both sexes. Proportions of subjects with results below lower limit of normal using NHANES III were close to anticipated, but were two to four times higher than expected using GLI-2012.

Prevalence and Incidence of Mild Cognitive Impairment across Subtypes, Age, and Sex.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to report on the prevalence and incidence of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) across age, sex, and subtypes according to various criteria in a population-based sample. METHODS: The sample was drawn from the Swedish Good Aging in Skåne (GÅS) population study, and data from 3,752 participants aged 60 years and more were used to calculate the MCI prevalence. The incidence was calculated using 2,093 participants with 6-year follow-up data. MCI was defined according to the expanded Mayo Clinic criteria: cognitive complaint, objective cognitive impairment (two different criteria depending on the severity of impairment), preserved functional abilities, and no dementia. RESULTS: The prevalence estimates ranged from 5.13 to 29.9% depending on age and severity of impairment. The incidence rates of overall MCI were 22.6 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 19.6-25.9) and 8.67 (95% CI: 7.0-10.7) per 1,000 person-years for less severe and severe cognitive impairment, respectively. The highest prevalence and incidence estimates were found for "non-amnestic MCI single domain." The older age groups had a higher prevalence, and no sex or age differences in MCI incidence were detected. CONCLUSION: Our findings concur with previous research advocating that MCI is a heterogeneous concept, since the prevalence and incidence estimates differed substantially according to age, MCI subtype, and severity of cognitive impairment.

Diagnostic Stability of Mild Cognitive Impairment, and Predictors of Reversion to Normal Cognitive Functioning.

OBJECTIVE: Studies that investigate predictive factors for spontaneous recovery (reversion) from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) are only beginning to emerge, and the long-term course of MCI is not properly understood. We aimed to investigate stability of the MCI diagnosis, predictors for reversion, as well as the trajectory of MCI over the course of 12 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were drawn from the Swedish population study: Good Aging in Skåne with MCI defined according to the expanded Mayo Clinic criteria. A total of 331 participants, aged 60-95 years with MCI, were used to investigate 6-year MCI stability and reversion, and 410 participants were used to inspect 12-year MCI trajectory. Predictors for reversion included demographical factors, psychological status, and factors tied to the cognitive testing session and the operationalization of the MCI criteria. RESULTS: Over half (58%, 95% CI 52.7-63.3) of the participants reverted back to normal cognitive functioning at 6-year follow-up. Of those with stable MCI, 56.5% (95% CI 48.2-64.8) changed subtype. A total of 23.9% (95% CI 13.7-34.1) of the 6-year follow-up reverters re-transitioned back to MCI at 12-year follow-up. ORs for reversion were significantly higher in participants with lower age (60-year-olds: OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.08-4.43, 70-year-olds: OR 3.11, 95% CI 1.27-7.62), better global cognitive functioning (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03-1.29), good concentration (OR 2.53, 95% CI 1.06-6.05), and single-domain subtype (OR 2.68, 95% CI 1.51-4.75). CONCLUSION: Our findings provide further support that MCI reversion to normal cognitive functioning as well as re-transitioning to MCI is fairly common, suggesting that the MCI trajectory does not necessarily lead straight to dementia. Additionally, assessment of factors associated with reversion can aid clinicians to make accurate MCI progression prognosis.

Impaired kidney function is associated with lower cognitive function in the elder general population. Results from the Good Aging in Skåne (GÅS) cohort study.

BACKGROUND: A possible connection on vascular basis between impaired kidney function and cognitive dysfunction has been suggested in previous studies. Contradictory results regarding specific cognitive domains have been reported. The aim for this study was to investigate the association between kidney function and specific cognitive domains. METHODS: In this cross-sectional design, data from the general population based cohort study "Good aging in Skåne" (GÅS) was used. The sample included 2931 subjects ages 60 to 93 randomly selected from the southern part of Sweden. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for both creatinine and cystatine C was calculated using the chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. The subjects underwent a test battery of neuropsychological tests assessing global cognitive function, learning and memory, language, complex attention, executive function, perceptual motor and meta-memory. Adjustments were made for age, sex, education and country of origin. RESULTS: After adjustment for demographic variables, impaired kidney function was associated with 0.41 points worse result in MMSE, 0.56 points worse result in recognition, 0.66 points worse result in word fluency, 0.45 points worse result in digit cancellation, 0.99 points worse result in pattern comparison, and 3.71 s longer time to finish TMT B-A. Associations to cognitive function was also noted for mildly impaired kidney function defined as eGFR 45- < 60 ml/min/1,73m2. No association was found between kidney function and meta-memory. CONCLUSIONS: Impaired kidney function as well as the severity of impaired kidney function is associated with impairment in learning and memory, language, complex attention, executive function and global cognitive function, but not meta-memory.

Cystatin C and creatinine-based eGFR levels and their correlation to long-term morbidity and mortality in older adults.

BACKGROUND: The prevailing diagnostic criteria for CKD are age-independent, but have been challenged in light of the eGFR decline associated with normal aging. The stages of CKD communicate magnitude of risk of ESRD, cardiovascular morbidity, and mortality. AIMS: This study aims to provide more insight into the morbidity and mortality associated with eGFR levels corresponding to the current CKD stages in older adults. METHODS: The 2931 older adults in the Good Aging in Skåne study were randomized from the general population. The exposure variable used was eGFR level (CKD-EPI based on creatinine and cystatin C) with eGFR 60-89 mL/min/1.73 m2 as a reference; the outcomes were mortality, acute cardiovascular disease, congestive heart failure, and rapid kidney function decline (RKFD; defined as a decline in eGFR by 3 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year or more). RESULTS: The mean age at baseline was 73 (SD 11) and mean follow-up time 11 (SD 5) years. Mortality was higher at lower eGFR levels with adjusted HR (95% CI) being 1.58 (1.34-1.88), 1.22 (1.05-1.41), 1 (reference), and 0.90 (0.67-1.21) for eGFR < 45, 45-59, 60-89 and ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively. For acute CVD the adjusted HR (95% CI) were 1.23 (0.81-1.87), 1.21 (0.87-1.69), 1 (reference), and 0.53 (0.28-1.00) for the same eGFR levels. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that mortality in older adults increases with decreasing eGFR at eGFR levels below today's threshold for CKD. The correlation was less certain for lower eGFR and incident cardiovascular disease.

Prevalence and determinants of differences in cystatin C and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate in community-dwelling older adults: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Differences in cystatin C and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) can lead to clinical uncertainty. Existing eGFR equations perform poorly in a subset of individuals. This study aims to describe the prevalence of differences between cystatin C-based (eGFRcys) and creatinine-based (eGFRcreat) eGFR in older adults and to explore which subsets of individuals may be most affected by differing estimations. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, participants from a cohort of community-dwelling older adults were examined at a baseline visit in 2001-2004 as part of the larger "Good Aging in Skåne" study. Exposure variables were obtained from questionnaires, interviews, examinations, and medical records. Blood samples were taken during the baseline visit, cryopreserved, and analyzed at a later time for biomarkers. The CKD-EPI equations were used to estimate GFR. Initial descriptive analyses were performed on 2931 individuals. A total of 2532 participants were included in the final multiple linear regression. RESULTS: Nearly two-thirds of participants had eGFR differences exceeding 10%, with nearly 20 % of participants having eGFR differences exceeding 30%. Smoking, age, body mass index (BMI), C-reactive protein (CRP), glucocorticoid use, and mean eGFR were correlated with differences between eGFRcreat and eGFRcys. CONCLUSIONS: Differences between eGFRcreat and eGFRcys are common and often of large magnitude in this community-dwelling population of older adults. The finding of multiple non-GFR determinants correlated to differences in GFR estimations can help direct future research to improve eGFR equations for subgroups prone to conflicting GFR estimations or to guide choice of biomarker for GFR estimation in these subgroups.

Incidence of airflow limitation in subjects 65-100†years of age.

The true incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is largely unknown, because the few longitudinal studies performed have used diagnostic criteria no longer recommended by either the European Respiratory Society or the American Thoracic Society (ATS).We studied the incidence and significance of airflow limitation in a population-based geriatric sample using both an age-dependent predicted lower limit of normal (LLN) value and a fixed-ratio spirometric criterion.Out of 2025 subjects with acceptable spirometry at baseline, 984 subjects aged 65-100 years completed a 6-year follow-up visit. Smoking habits were registered at baseline. Exclusion criteria were non-acceptable spirometry performance according to ATS criteria and inability to communicate. Airflow limitation was defined both according to forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity ratio <0.7 and

A long-recommended but seldom-used method of analysis for fall injuries found a unique pattern of risk factors in the youngest-old.

BACKGROUND: Few studies on fall risk factors use long-recommended methods for analysis of recurrent events. Previous falls are the biggest risk factor for future falls, but few fall studies focus on the youngest-old. AIMS: This study's objective was to apply Cox regression for recurrent events to identify factors associated with injurious falls in the youngest-old. METHODS: Participants were community-dwelling residents of southern Sweden (n = 1,133), aged 59-67 at baseline (median 61.2), from the youngest cohorts of the larger Good Aging in Skåne (GÅS) study. Exposure variable data were collected from baseline study visits and medical records. Injurious falls, defined as emergency, inpatient, or specialist visits associated with ICD-10 fall codes during the follow-up period (2001-2011), were gathered from national and regional registries. Analysis was conducted using time to event Cox Regression for recurrent events. RESULTS: A majority (77.1 %) of injurious falls caused serious injuries such as fractures and open wounds. Exposure to nervous system medications [hazard ratio (HR) 1.40, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.89], central nervous system disease (HR 1.79, CI 1.18-2.70), and previous injurious fall(s) (HR 2.00, CI 1.50-2.68) were associated with increased hazard of injurious fall. CONCLUSIONS: Regression for recurrent events is feasible with typical falls' study data. The association of certain exposures with increased hazard of injurious falls begins earlier than previously studied. Different patterns of risk factors by age can provide insight into the progression of frailty. Tailored fall prevention screening and intervention may be of value in populations younger than those traditionally screened.

Male sex and vascular risk factors affect cystatin C-derived renal function in older people without diabetes or overt vascular disease.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: to explore the effect of ageing on renal function with cystatin C as the marker of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in the general population without vascular disease or diabetes. DESIGN: a cross-sectional analysis of a healthy subset from the Good Aging in Skåne-cohort study representative of the Swedish general population. SUBJECTS: 1252 participants without vascular disease and diabetes (43.9% men) of whom 203 were over 80 years old were included from the original cohort of 2931. METHODS: plasma cystatin C and plasma creatinine were used as markers for GFR. Estimated GFR (eGFR) was calculated with three chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) formulas involving cystatin C, creatinine or both. RESULTS: the median for plasma cystatin C was 0.93 mg/l (60-69 years old), 1.04 (70-79 years old) and 1.24 (80+ years old). The difference in mg/l between the 5th and 95th percentile was 0.46, 0.62 and 0.90 for these age groups. Male sex increased the age effect on plasma cystatin C levels with 0.004 mg/l/year (P = 0.03), adjusted for vascular risk factors. Smoking, lower HDL and higher diastolic blood pressure were associated with higher cystatin C levels. 54.7% (CKD-EPI creatinine) to 73.9% (CKD-EPI cystatin C) of the 80+ had an eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSION: non-diabetics without overt vascular disease exhibit an age related but heterogeneous decline in renal function. The ageing effect is more pronounced in men. At least half of healthy 80+ years old could be expected to have at least CKD Stage 3 with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2.

Incident Cardiovascular Disease in Women With Type 1 or Type 2 Diabetes Following a Hypertensive Disorder of Pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: The extent to which a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy is associated with incident cardiovascular disease also among women with diabetes is unknown. METHODS: In this nationwide register-based cohort study, parous women aged 18 to 69 years with a first delivery in the Swedish Medical Birth Register, regardless of diabetic status at that time, and a subsequent clinical visit in the Swedish National Diabetes Register were included. Time to first cardiovascular disease event (myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure) before age 70 years by hypertensive disorders of pregnancy history was separately analyzed by diabetes type using Cox regression models that included conventional risk factors. RESULTS: In total, 1748 (18.9%) of 9230 women with type 1 and 5904 (10.6%) of 55 773 women with type 2 diabetes had their first delivery complicated by a hypertensive disorder of pregnancy. Median time (25-75th percentile) between first delivery and start of follow-up was 3.3 (1.4-13.0) years for women with type 1 and 29.8 (22.4-35.6) years for women with type 2 diabetes. In modeling, the risk for any cardiovascular disease event among women with a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy was generally 10% to 20% higher, with main models estimating hazard ratios to 1.20 (95% CI, 0.99-1.47) for women with type 1 and 1.15 (95% CI, 1.02-1.29) for women with type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In women with diabetes, a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease and should be considered as a risk enhancer.

Diets with high or low protein content and glycemic index for weight-loss maintenance.

BACKGROUND: Studies of weight-control diets that are high in protein or low in glycemic index have reached varied conclusions, probably owing to the fact that the studies had insufficient power. METHODS: We enrolled overweight adults from eight European countries who had lost at least 8% of their initial body weight with a 3.3-MJ (800-kcal) low-calorie diet. Participants were randomly assigned, in a two-by-two factorial design, to one of five ad libitum diets to prevent weight regain over a 26-week period: a low-protein and low-glycemic-index diet, a low-protein and high-glycemic-index diet, a high-protein and low-glycemic-index diet, a high-protein and high-glycemic-index diet, or a control diet. RESULTS: A total of 1209 adults were screened (mean age, 41 years; body-mass index [the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters], 34), of whom 938 entered the low-calorie-diet phase of the study. A total of 773 participants who completed that phase were randomly assigned to one of the five maintenance diets; 548 completed the intervention (71%). Fewer participants in the high-protein and the low-glycemic-index groups than in the low-protein-high-glycemic-index group dropped out of the study (26.4% and 25.6%, respectively, vs. 37.4%; P=0.02 and P=0.01 for the respective comparisons). The mean initial weight loss with the low-calorie diet was 11.0 kg. In the analysis of participants who completed the study, only the low-protein-high-glycemic-index diet was associated with subsequent significant weight regain (1.67 kg; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48 to 2.87). In an intention-to-treat analysis, the weight regain was 0.93 kg less (95% CI, 0.31 to 1.55) in the groups assigned to a high-protein diet than in those assigned to a low-protein diet (P=0.003) and 0.95 kg less (95% CI, 0.33 to 1.57) in the groups assigned to a low-glycemic-index diet than in those assigned to a high-glycemic-index diet (P=0.003). The analysis involving participants who completed the intervention produced similar results. The groups did not differ significantly with respect to diet-related adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: In this large European study, a modest increase in protein content and a modest reduction in the glycemic index led to an improvement in study completion and maintenance of weight loss. (Funded by the European Commission; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00390637.).