An Amygdala-Hippocampus Subnetwork that Encodes Variation in Human Mood.

Human brain networks that encode variation in mood on naturalistic timescales remain largely unexplored. Here we combine multi-site, semi-chronic, intracranial electroencephalography recordings from the human limbic system with machine learning methods to discover a brain subnetwork that correlates with variation in individual subjects' self-reported mood over days. First we defined the subnetworks that influence intrinsic brain dynamics by identifying regions that showed coordinated changes in spectral coherence. The most common subnetwork, found in 13 of 21 subjects, was characterized by ß-frequency coherence (13-30 Hz) between the amygdala and hippocampus. Increased variability of this subnetwork correlated with worsening mood across these 13 subjects. Moreover, these subjects had significantly higher trait anxiety than the 8 of 21 for whom this amygdala-hippocampus subnetwork was absent. These results demonstrate an approach for extracting network-behavior relationships from complex datasets, and they reveal a conserved subnetwork associated with a psychological trait that significantly influences intrinsic brain dynamics and encodes fluctuations in mood.

Boundary-anchored neural mechanisms of location-encoding for self and others.

Everyday tasks in social settings require humans to encode neural representations of not only their own spatial location, but also the location of other individuals within an environment. At present, the vast majority of what is known about neural representations of space for self and others stems from research in rodents and other non-human animals1-3. However, it is largely unknown how the human brain represents the location of others, and how aspects of human cognition may affect these location-encoding mechanisms. To address these questions, we examined individuals with chronically implanted electrodes while they carried out real-world spatial navigation and observation tasks. We report boundary-anchored neural representations in the medial temporal lobe that are modulated by one's own as well as another individual's spatial location. These representations depend on one's momentary cognitive state, and are strengthened when encoding of location is of higher behavioural relevance. Together, these results provide evidence for a common encoding mechanism in the human brain that represents the location of oneself and others in shared environments, and shed new light on the neural mechanisms that underlie spatial navigation and awareness of others in real-world scenarios.

Seizure Cycles under Pharmacotherapy.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to determine the effects of antiseizure medications (ASMs) on multidien (multiday) cycles of interictal epileptiform activity (IEA) and seizures and evaluate their potential clinical significance. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed up to 10 years of data from 88 of the 256 total adults with pharmacoresistant focal epilepsy who participated in the clinical trials of the RNS System, an intracranial device that keeps records of IEA counts. Following adjunctive ASM trials, we evaluated changes over months in (1) rates of self-reported disabling seizures and (2) multidien IEA cycle strength (spectral power for periodicity between 4 and 40 days). We used a survival analysis and the receiver operating characteristics to assess changes in IEA as a predictor of seizure control. RESULTS: Among 56 (33.3%) of the 168 adjunctive ASM trials suitable for analysis, ASM introduction was followed by an average 50 to 70% decrease in multidien IEA cycle strength and a concomitant 50 to 70% decrease in relative seizure rate for up to 12 months. Individuals with a ≥50% decrease in IEA cycle strength in the first 3 months of an ASM trial had a higher probability of remaining seizure responders (≥50% seizure rate reduction, p < 10-7) or super-responders (≥90%, p < 10-8) over the next 12 months. INTERPRETATION: In this large cohort, a decrease in multidien IEA cycle strength following initiation of an adjunctive ASM correlated with seizure control for up to 12 months, suggesting that fluctuations in IEA mirror "disease activity" in pharmacoresistant focal epilepsy and may have clinical utility as a biomarker to predict treatment response. ANN NEUROL 2024;95:743-753.

A Bayesian switching linear dynamical system for estimating seizure chronotypes.

Epilepsy is a disorder characterized by paroxysmal transitions between multistable states. Dynamical systems have been useful for modeling the paroxysmal nature of seizures. At the same time, intracranial electroencephalography (EEG) recordings have recently discovered that an electrographic measure of epileptogenicity, interictal epileptiform activity, exhibits cycling patterns ranging from ultradian to multidien rhythmicity, with seizures phase-locked to specific phases of these latent cycles. However, many mechanistic questions about seizure cycles remain unanswered. Here, we provide a principled approach to recast the modeling of seizure chronotypes within a statistical dynamical systems framework by developing a Bayesian switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) with variable selection to estimate latent seizure cycles. We propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that employs particle Gibbs with ancestral sampling to estimate latent cycles in epilepsy and apply unsupervised learning on spectral features of latent cycles to uncover clusters in cycling tendency. We analyze the largest database of patient-reported seizures in the world to comprehensively characterize multidien cycling patterns among 1,012 people with epilepsy, spanning from infancy to older adulthood. Our work advances knowledge of cycling in epilepsy by investigating how multidien seizure cycles vary in people with epilepsy, while demonstrating an application of an SLDS to frame seizure cycling within a nonlinear dynamical systems framework. It also lays the groundwork for future studies to pursue data-driven hypothesis generation regarding the mechanistic drivers of seizure cycles.

Development of a core outcome set for quality of life for adults with drug-resistant epilepsy: A multistakeholder Delphi consensus study.

OBJECTIVE: In 2017, the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) convened the AAN Quality Measurement Set working group to define the improvement and maintenance of quality of life (QOL) as a key outcome measure in epilepsy clinical practice. A core outcome set (COS), defined as an accepted, standardized set of outcomes that should be minimally measured and reported in an area of health care research and practice, has not previously been defined for QOL in adult epilepsy. METHODS: A cross-sectional Delphi consensus study was employed to attain consensus from patients and caregivers on the QOL outcomes that should be minimally measured and reported in epilepsy clinical practice. Candidate items were compiled from QOL scales recommended by the AAN 2017 Quality Measurement Set. Inclusion criteria to participate in the Delphi study were adults with drug-resistant epilepsy diagnosed by a physician, no prior diagnosis of psychogenic nonepileptic seizures or a cognitive and/or developmental disability, or caregivers of patients meeting these criteria. RESULTS: A total of 109 people satisfied inclusion/exclusion criteria and took part in Delphi Round 1 (patients, n = 95, 87.2%; caregivers, n = 14, 12.8%), and 55 people from Round 1 completed Round 2 (patients, n = 43, 78.2%; caregivers, n = 12, 21.8%). One hundred three people took part in the final consensus round. Consensus was attained by patients/caregivers on a set of 36 outcomes that should minimally be included in the QOL COS. Of these, 32 of the 36 outcomes (88.8%) pertained to areas outside of seizure frequency and severity. SIGNIFICANCE: Using patient-centered Delphi methodology, this study defines the first COS for QOL measurement in clinical practice for adults with drug-resistant epilepsy. This set highlights the diversity of factors beyond seizure frequency and severity that impact QOL in epilepsy.

Written seizure action plans for adult patients with epilepsy: Distilling insights from emergency action plans for other chronic conditions.

Seizure emergencies and potential emergencies, ranging from seizure clusters to prolonged seizure and status epilepticus, may affect adults with epilepsy despite stable antiseizure therapy. Seizure action plans (SAPs) are designed for patients and their caregivers/care partners to provide guidance on the individualized treatment plan, including response to potential seizure emergencies and appropriate use of rescue therapy. The use of pediatric SAPs is common (typically required by schools), however, most adults with epilepsy do not have a plan. Patient-centered action plans are integral to care for other chronic conditions and may offer insights applicable to the care of adults with epilepsy. This review analyzes the potential benefits of action plans for medical conditions by exploring their utility in conditions such as asthma, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart disease, and opioid overdose. Evidence across these conditions substantiates the value of action plans for patients, and the benefits of adult SAPs in epilepsy are emerging. Because wide implementation of SAPs has faced barriers, other conditions may provide insights that are relevant to implementing SAPs in epilepsy. Based on these analyses, we propose concrete steps to improve the use of SAPs among adults. A recent consensus statement promoting the use of formal SAPs in epilepsy and advances in rescue therapy delivery methods provides support to engage patients around the value of SAPs. The precedent for use of SAPs for pediatric epilepsy patients serves as the foundation to support increased usage in adults. Seizure action plans in the context of improved clinical outcomes are expected to reduce healthcare utilization, improve patient quality of life, and optimize epilepsy management.

Bilateral temporal lobe epilepsy: How many seizures are required in chronic ambulatory electrocorticography to estimate the laterality ratio?

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to measure the duration of chronic electrocorticography (ECoG) needed to attain stable estimates of the seizure laterality ratio in patients with drug-resistant bilateral temporal lobe epilepsy (BTLE). METHODS: We studied 13 patients with drug-resistant BTLE who were implanted for at least 1 year with a responsive neurostimulation device (RNS System) that provides chronic ambulatory ECoG. Bootstrap analysis and nonlinear regression were applied to model the relationship between chronic ECoG duration and the probability of capturing at least one seizure. Laterality of electrographic seizures in chronic ECoG was compared with the seizure laterality ratio from Phase 1 scalp video-electroencephalographic (vEEG) monitoring. The Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to evaluate time to seizure laterality ratio convergence. RESULTS: Seizure laterality ratios from Phase 1 scalp vEEG monitoring correlated poorly with those from RNS chronic ECoG (r = .31, p = .30). Across the 13 patients, average electrographic seizure frequencies ranged from 1.4 seizures/month to 5.1 seizures/day. A 50% probability of recording at least one electrographic seizure required 9.1 days of chronic ECoG, and 90% probability required 44.3 days of chronic ECoG. A median recording duration of 150.9 days (5 months), corresponding to a median of 16 seizures, was needed before confidence intervals for the seizure laterality ratio reliably contained the long-term value. The median recording duration before the point estimate of the seizure laterality ratio converged to a stationary value was 236.8 days (7.9 months). SIGNIFICANCE: RNS chronic ECoG overcomes temporal sampling limitations intrinsic to inpatient Phase 1 vEEG evaluations. In patients with drug-resistant BTLE, approximately 8 months of chronic RNS ECoG are needed to precisely estimate the seizure laterality ratio, with 75% of people with BTLE achieving convergence after 1 year of RNS recording. For individuals who are candidates for unilateral resection based on seizure laterality, optimized recording duration may help avert morbidity associated with delay to definitive treatment.

Seizure count forecasting to aid diagnostic testing in epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: Epilepsy monitoring unit (EMU) admissions are critical for presurgical evaluation of drug-resistant epilepsy but may be nondiagnostic if an insufficient number of seizures are recorded. Seizure forecasting algorithms have shown promise for estimating the likelihood of seizures as a binary event in individual patients, but methods to predict how many seizures will occur remain elusive. Such methods could increase the diagnostic yield of EMU admissions and help patients mitigate seizure-related morbidity. Here, we evaluated the performance of a state-space method that uses prior seizure count data to predict future counts. METHODS: A Bayesian negative-binomial dynamic linear model (DLM) was developed to forecast daily electrographic seizure counts in 19 patients implanted with a responsive neurostimulation (RNS) device. Holdout validation was used to evaluate performance in predicting the number of electrographic seizures for forecast horizons ranging 1-7 days ahead. RESULTS: One-day-ahead prediction of the number of electrographic seizures using a negative-binomial DLM resulted in improvement over chance in 73.1% of time segments compared to a random chance forecaster and remained >50% for forecast horizons of up to 7 days. Superior performance (mean error = .99) was obtained in predicting the number of electrographic seizures in the next day compared to three traditional methods for count forecasting (integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model or INGARCH, 1.10; Croston, 1.06; generalized linear autoregressive moving average model or GLARMA, 2.00). Number of electrographic seizures in the preceding day and laterality of electrographic pattern detections had highest predictive value, with greater number of electrographic seizures and RNS magnet swipes in the preceding day associated with a higher number of electrographic seizures the next day. SIGNIFICANCE: This study demonstrates that DLMs can predict the number of electrographic seizures a patient will experience days in advance with above chance accuracy. This study represents an important step toward the translation of seizure forecasting methods into the optimization of EMU admissions.

Significant improvements in SEIzure interVAL (time between seizure clusters) across time in patients treated with diazepam nasal spray as intermittent rescue therapy for seizure clusters.

OBJECTIVE: Intermittent rescue therapy may be used for seizure clusters, which are clinical emergencies that may persist ≥24 h and increase risk of status epilepticus, emergency room visits, and reduced quality of life for patients with epilepsy. Beyond effectiveness for aborting seizure clusters, no data exist on how intermittent rescue therapy may impact the long-term natural course of seizure clusters. This novel analysis explores SEIzure interVAL (SEIVAL; time between seizure clusters) in patients from a long-term safety study of diazepam nasal spray (Valtoco) to assess SEIVAL changes with intermittent rescue therapy across time. METHODS: Patients were aged 6-65 years. Age- and weight-based doses of diazepam nasal spray were administered during a 12-month treatment period with an optional follow-up period. SEIVAL was evaluated in patients receiving two or more doses of diazepam nasal spray using 90-day periods. RESULTS: Of 163 treated patients, 151 had one or more SEIVALs. One hundred twenty had SEIVALs in Period 1 and one or more other periods. An increase in SEIVAL was noted from Period 1 compared with all subsequent periods (p ≤ .001). A consistent cohort (n = 76) had one or more SEIVALs in each of Periods 1-4 (360 days); mean SEIVALs increased significantly (p < .01) from 12.2 days (Period 1) to 25.7 days (Period 4). Similar SEIVAL patterns occurred when repeat doses within a seizure cluster were eliminated and irrespective of age group, treatment duration, and change to concomitant medications. In adults, Quality of Life in Epilepsy scores were maintained with increased SEIVALs. SIGNIFICANCE: Across 12 months, increases in SEIVAL were demonstrated in patients using diazepam nasal spray for seizure cluster treatment in a phase 3 safety study. Increased time between seizure clusters may reflect a previously unrecognized beneficial effect of intermittent rescue therapy. These results generate a range of biological and behavioral hypotheses and warrant exploration of the impact of intermittent rescue therapy.

Future opportunities for research in rescue treatments.

Clinical studies of rescue medications for seizure clusters are limited and are designed to satisfy regulatory requirements, which may not fully consider the needs of the diverse patient population that experiences seizure clusters or utilize rescue medication. The purpose of this narrative review is to examine the factors that contribute to, or may influence the quality of, seizure cluster research with a goal of improving clinical practice. We address five areas of unmet needs and provide advice for how they could enhance future trials of seizure cluster treatments. The topics addressed in this article are: (1) unaddressed end points to pursue in future studies, (2) roles for devices to enhance rescue medication clinical development programs, (3) tools to study seizure cluster prediction and prevention, (4) the value of other designs for seizure cluster studies, and (5) unique challenges of future trial paradigms for seizure clusters. By focusing on novel end points and technologies with value to patients, caregivers, and clinicians, data obtained from future studies can benefit the diverse patient population that experiences seizure clusters, providing more effective, appropriate care as well as alleviating demands on health care resources.

Learning to generalize seizure forecasts.

OBJECTIVE: Epilepsy is characterized by spontaneous seizures that recur at unexpected times. Nonetheless, using years-long electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings, we previously found that patient-reported seizures consistently occur when interictal epileptiform activity (IEA) cyclically builds up over days. This multidien (multiday) interictal-ictal relationship, which is shared across patients, may bear phasic information for forecasting seizures, even if individual patterns of seizure timing are unknown. To test this rigorously in a large retrospective dataset, we pretrained algorithms on data recorded from a group of patients, and forecasted seizures in other, previously unseen patients. METHODS: We used retrospective long-term data from participants (N = 159) in the RNS System clinical trials, including intracranial EEG recordings (icEEG), and from two participants in the UNEEG Medical clinical trial of a subscalp EEG system (sqEEG). Based on IEA detections, we extracted instantaneous multidien phases and trained generalized linear models (GLMs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to forecast the probability of seizure occurrence at a 24-h horizon. RESULTS: With GLMs and RNNs, seizures could be forecasted above chance in 79% and 81% of previously unseen subjects with a median discrimination of area under the curve (AUC) = .70 and .69 and median Brier skill score (BSS) = .07 and .08. In direct comparison, individualized models had similar median performance (AUC = .67, BSS = .08), but for fewer subjects (60%). Moreover, calibration of pretrained models could be maintained to accommodate different seizure rates across subjects. SIGNIFICANCE: Our findings suggest that seizure forecasting based on multidien cycles of IEA can generalize across patients, and may drastically reduce the amount of data needed to issue forecasts for individuals who recently started collecting chronic EEG data. In addition, we show that this generalization is independent of the method used to record seizures (patient-reported vs. electrographic) or IEA (icEEG vs. sqEEG).

Intracranial electroencephalographic biomarker predicts effective responsive neurostimulation for epilepsy prior to treatment.

OBJECTIVE: Despite the overall success of responsive neurostimulation (RNS) therapy for drug-resistant focal epilepsy, clinical outcomes in individuals vary significantly and are hard to predict. Biomarkers that indicate the clinical efficacy of RNS-ideally before device implantation-are critically needed, but challenges include the intrinsic heterogeneity of the RNS patient population and variability in clinical management across epilepsy centers. The aim of this study is to use a multicenter dataset to evaluate a candidate biomarker from intracranial electroencephalographic (iEEG) recordings that predicts clinical outcome with subsequent RNS therapy. METHODS: We assembled a federated dataset of iEEG recordings, collected prior to RNS implantation, from a retrospective cohort of 30 patients across three major epilepsy centers. Using ictal iEEG recordings, each center independently calculated network synchronizability, a candidate biomarker indicating the susceptibility of epileptic brain networks to RNS therapy. RESULTS: Ictal measures of synchronizability in the high-γ band (95-105 Hz) significantly distinguish between good and poor RNS responders after at least 3 years of therapy under the current RNS therapy guidelines (area under the curve = .83). Additionally, ictal high-γ synchronizability is inversely associated with the degree of therapeutic response. SIGNIFICANCE: This study provides a proof-of-concept roadmap for collaborative biomarker evaluation in federated data, where practical considerations impede full data sharing across centers. Our results suggest that network synchronizability can help predict therapeutic response to RNS therapy. With further validation, this biomarker could facilitate patient selection and help avert a costly, invasive intervention in patients who are unlikely to benefit.

Concurrent brain-responsive and vagus nerve stimulation for treatment of drug-resistant focal epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: Clinical trials of a brain-responsive neurostimulator, RNS® System (RNS), excluded patients with a vagus nerve stimulator, VNS® System (VNS). The goal of this study was to evaluate seizure outcomes and safety of concurrent RNS and VNS stimulation in adults with drug-resistant focal-onset seizures. METHODS: A retrospective multicenter chart review was performed on all patients with an active VNS and RNS who were treated for a minimum of 6 months with both systems concurrently. Frequency of disabling seizures at baseline before RNS, at 1 year after RNS placement, and at last follow-up were used to calculate the change in seizure frequency after treatment. Data on adverse events and complications related to each device were collected. RESULTS: Sixty-four patients from 10 epilepsy centers met inclusion criteria. All but one patient received RNS after VNS. The median follow-up time after RNS implantation was 28 months. Analysis of the entire population of patients with active VNS and RNS systems revealed a median reduction in seizure frequency at 1 year post-RNS placement of 43% with a responder rate of 49%, and at last follow-up a 64% median reduction with a 67% responder rate. No negative interactions were reported from the concurrent use of VNS and RNS. Stimulation-related side-effects were reported more frequently in association with VNS (30%) than with RNS (2%). SIGNIFICANCE: Our findings suggest that concurrent treatment with VNS and RNS is safe and that the addition of RNS to VNS can further reduce seizure frequency.

Cues for seizure timing.

The cyclical organization of seizures in epilepsy has been described since antiquity. However, historical explanations for seizure cycles-based on celestial, hormonal, and environmental factors-have only recently become testable with the advent of chronic electroencephalography (cEEG) and modern statistical techniques. Here, factors purported over millennia to influence seizure timing are viewed through a contemporary lens. We discuss the emerging concept that seizures are organized over multiple timescales, each involving differential influences of external and endogenous rhythm generators. Leveraging large cEEG datasets and circular statistics appropriate for cyclical phenomena, we present new evidence for circadian (day-night), multidien (multi-day), and circannual (about-yearly) variation in seizure activity. Modulation of seizure timing by multiscale temporal variables has implications for diagnosis and therapy in clinical epilepsy. Uncovering the mechanistic basis for seizure cycles, particularly the factors that govern multidien periodicity, will be a major focus of future work.

Accuracy of omni-planar and surface casting of epileptiform activity for intracranial seizure localization.

OBJECTIVE: Intracranial electroencephalography (ICEEG) recordings are performed for seizure localization in medically refractory epilepsy. Signal quantifications such as frequency power can be projected as heatmaps on personalized three-dimensional (3D) reconstructed cortical surfaces to distill these complex recordings into intuitive cinematic visualizations. However, simultaneously reconciling deep recording locations and reliably tracking evolving ictal patterns remain significant challenges. METHODS: We fused oblique magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) slices along depth probe trajectories with cortical surface reconstructions and projected dynamic heatmaps using a simple mathematical metric of epileptiform activity (line-length). This omni-planar and surface casting of epileptiform activity approach (OPSCEA) thus illustrated seizure onset and spread among both deep and superficial locations simultaneously with minimal need for signal processing supervision. We utilized the approach on 41 patients at our center implanted with grid, strip, and/or depth electrodes for localizing medically refractory seizures. Peri-ictal data were converted into OPSCEA videos with multiple 3D brain views illustrating all electrode locations. Five people of varying expertise in epilepsy (medical student through epilepsy attending level) attempted to localize the seizure-onset zones. RESULTS: We retrospectively compared this approach with the original ICEEG study reports for validation. Accuracy ranged from 73.2% to 97.6% for complete or overlapping onset lobe(s), respectively, and ~56.1% to 95.1% for the specific focus (or foci). Higher answer certainty for a given case predicted better accuracy, and scorers had similar accuracy across different training levels. SIGNIFICANCE: In an era of increasing stereo-EEG use, cinematic visualizations fusing omni-planar and surface functional projections appear to provide a useful adjunct for interpreting complex intracranial recordings and subsequent surgery planning.

Impact of intellectual and developmental disability on quality-of-life priorities in adults with epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: Adults living with intellectual and developmental disability (IDD) and epilepsy (IDD-E) face challenges in addition to those faced by the general population of adults with epilepsy, which may be associated with distinct priorities for improving health-related quality of life (HR-QOL). This study sought to (1) conduct a survey of HR-QOL priorities identified by adults with IDD-E and caregivers, and (2) perform an exploratory cross-sectional comparison to adults with epilepsy who do not have IDD. METHODS: This cross-sectional study recruited 65 adults with IDD-E and 134 adults with epilepsy without IDD and caregivers. Using a three-step development process, 256 items from existing quality-of-life scales recommended by the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) were rated by patients/caregivers for their importance as HR-QOL priorities. HR-QOL items identified as critical to the majority of the sample of adults with IDD-E were reported. Health-related quality of life priorities were compared between adults with IDD-E and adults with epilepsy without IDD. RESULTS: Health-related quality of life was significantly lower in adults with IDD-E. Health-related quality of life domains identified as critical priorities by adults with IDD-E included seizure burden, anti-seizure medication side effects, seizure unpredictability, and family impact. Priorities for improving HR-QOL differed between adults with and without IDD-E, with concerns about family impact, difficulty finding appropriate living conditions, inadequate assistance, and difficulty transitioning from pediatric-to-adult care valued significantly more among those with IDD-E. SIGNIFICANCE: Intellectual and developmental disability is an important determinant of HR-QOL among adults with epilepsy. We report HR-QOL priorities identified by adults with IDD-E and their caregivers. These results may help epilepsy clinicians and researchers develop tailored strategies to address priorities of the patient with IDD-E/caregiver community.

Measuring synchrony in bio-medical timeseries.

Paroxysms are sudden, unpredictable, short-lived events that abound in physiological processes and pathological disorders, from cellular functions (e.g., hormone secretion and neuronal firing) to life-threatening attacks (e.g., cardiac arrhythmia, epileptic seizures, and diabetic ketoacidosis). With the increasing use of personal chronic monitoring (e.g., electrocardiography, electroencephalography, and glucose monitors), the discovery of cycles in health and disease, and the emerging possibility of forecasting paroxysms, the need for suitable methods to evaluate synchrony-or phase-clustering-between events and related underlying physiological fluctuations is pressing. Here, based on examples in epilepsy, where seizures occur preferentially in certain brain states, we characterize different methods that evaluate synchrony in a controlled timeseries simulation framework. First, we compare two methods for extracting the phase of event occurrence and deriving the phase-locking value, a measure of synchrony: (M1) fitting cycles of fixed period-length vs (M2) deriving continuous cycles from a biomarker. In our simulations, M2 provides stronger evidence for cycles. Second, by systematically testing the sensitivity of both methods to non-stationarity in the underlying cycle, we show that M2 is more robust. Third, we characterize errors in circular statistics applied to timeseries with different degrees of temporal clustering and tested with different strategies: Rayleigh test, Poisson simulations, and surrogate timeseries. Using epilepsy data from 21 human subjects, we show the superiority of testing against surrogate time-series to minimize false positives and false negatives, especially when used in combination with M1. In conclusion, we show that only time frequency analysis of continuous recordings of a related bio-marker reveals the full extent of cyclical behavior in events. Identifying and forecasting cycles in biomedical timeseries will benefit from recordings using emerging wearable and implantable devices, so long as conclusions are based on conservative statistical testing.

Chance and risk in epilepsy.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Epilepsy is a dynamical disorder of the brain characterized by sudden, seemingly unpredictable transitions to the ictal state. When and how these transitions occur remain unresolved questions in neurology. RECENT FINDINGS: Modelling work based on dynamical systems theory proposed that a slow control parameter is necessary to explain the transition between interictal and ictal states. Recently, converging evidence from chronic EEG datasets unravelled the existence of cycles of epileptic brain activity at multiple timescales - circadian, multidien (over multiple days) and circannual - which could reflect cyclical changes in a slow control parameter. This temporal structure of epilepsy has theoretical implications and argues against the conception of seizures as completely random events. The practical significance of cycles in epilepsy is highlighted by their predictive value in computational models for seizure forecasting. SUMMARY: The canonical randomness of seizures is being reconsidered in light of cycles of brain activity discovered through chronic EEG. This paradigm shift motivates development of next-generation devices to track more closely fluctuations in epileptic brain activity that determine time-varying seizure risk.

Responsive neurostimulation for regional neocortical epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: Surgical resection of seizure-producing brain tissue is a gold standard treatment for drug-resistant focal epilepsy. However, several patient-specific factors can preclude resective surgery, including a spatially extensive ("regional") seizure-onset zone (SOZ). For such patients, responsive neurostimulation (RNS) represents a potential treatment, but its efficacy has not been investigated in this population. METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients (N = 30) with drug-resistant focal epilepsy and a regional neocortical SOZ delineated by intracranial monitoring who were treated with the RNS System for at least 6 months. RNS System leads were placed at least 1-cm apart over the SOZ, and most patients were treated with a lead-to-lead stimulation pathway. Five patients underwent partial resection of the SOZ concurrent with RNS System implantation. We assessed change in seizure frequency relative to preimplant baseline and evaluated correlation between clinical outcome and stimulation parameters. RESULTS: Median follow-up duration was 21.5 months (range 6-52). Median reduction in clinical seizure frequency was 75.5% (interquartile range [IQR] 40%-93.9%). There was no significant difference in outcome between patients treated with and without concurrent partial resection. Most patients were treated with low charge densities (1-2.5 µC/cm2 ), but charge density, interlead distance, and duration of treatment were not significantly correlated with outcome. SIGNIFICANCE: RNS is a feasible and effective treatment in patients with drug-resistant regional neocortical seizures. Prospective studies in larger cohorts are necessary to determine optimal lead configuration and stimulation parameters, although our results suggest that lead-to-lead stimulation and low charge density may be effective in some patients.

Prospective validation study of an epilepsy seizure risk system for outpatient evaluation.

OBJECTIVE: We conducted clinical testing of an automated Bayesian machine learning algorithm (Epilepsy Seizure Assessment Tool [EpiSAT]) for outpatient seizure risk assessment using seizure counting data, and validated performance against specialized epilepsy clinician experts. METHODS: We conducted a prospective longitudinal study of EpiSAT performance against 24 specialized clinician experts at three tertiary referral epilepsy centers in the United States. Accuracy, interrater reliability, and intra-rater reliability of EpiSAT for correctly identifying changes in seizure risk (improvements, worsening, or no change) were evaluated using 120 seizures from four synthetic seizure diaries (seizure risk known) and 120 seizures from four real seizure diaries (seizure risk unknown). The proportion of observed agreement between EpiSAT and clinicians was evaluated to assess compatibility of EpiSAT with clinical decision patterns by epilepsy experts. RESULTS: EpiSAT exhibited substantial observed agreement (75.4%) with clinicians for assessing seizure risk. The mean accuracy of epilepsy providers for correctly assessing seizure risk was 74.7%. EpiSAT accurately identified seizure risk in 87.5% of seizure diary entries, corresponding to a significant improvement of 17.4% (P = .002). Clinicians exhibited low-to-moderate interrater reliability for seizure risk assessment (Krippendorff's α = 0.46) with good intrarater reliability across a 4- to 12-week evaluation period (Scott's π = 0.89). SIGNIFICANCE: These results validate the ability of EpiSAT to yield objective clinical recommendations on seizure risk which follow decision patterns similar to those from specialized epilepsy providers, but with improved accuracy and reproducibility. This algorithm may serve as a useful clinical decision support system for quantitative analysis of clinical seizure frequency in clinical epilepsy practice.