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1.
Nucleic Acids Res ; 52(W1): W481-W488, 2024 Jul 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38783119

RESUMEN

In recent decades, the development of new drugs has become increasingly expensive and inefficient, and the molecular mechanisms of most pharmaceuticals remain poorly understood. In response, computational systems and network medicine tools have emerged to identify potential drug repurposing candidates. However, these tools often require complex installation and lack intuitive visual network mining capabilities. To tackle these challenges, we introduce Drugst.One, a platform that assists specialized computational medicine tools in becoming user-friendly, web-based utilities for drug repurposing. With just three lines of code, Drugst.One turns any systems biology software into an interactive web tool for modeling and analyzing complex protein-drug-disease networks. Demonstrating its broad adaptability, Drugst.One has been successfully integrated with 21 computational systems medicine tools. Available at https://drugst.one, Drugst.One has significant potential for streamlining the drug discovery process, allowing researchers to focus on essential aspects of pharmaceutical treatment research.


Asunto(s)
Reposicionamiento de Medicamentos , Programas Informáticos , Reposicionamiento de Medicamentos/métodos , Humanos , Internet , Descubrimiento de Drogas/métodos , Biología de Sistemas/métodos , Biología Computacional/métodos
2.
Bioinformatics ; 39(3)2023 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36882166

RESUMEN

MOTIVATION: The investigation of sets of genes using biological pathways is a common task for researchers and is supported by a wide variety of software tools. This type of analysis generates hypotheses about the biological processes that are active or modulated in a specific experimental context. RESULTS: The Network Data Exchange Integrated Query (NDEx IQuery) is a new tool for network and pathway-based gene set interpretation that complements or extends existing resources. It combines novel sources of pathways, integration with Cytoscape, and the ability to store and share analysis results. The NDEx IQuery web application performs multiple gene set analyses based on diverse pathways and networks stored in NDEx. These include curated pathways from WikiPathways and SIGNOR, published pathway figures from the last 27 years, machine-assembled networks using the INDRA system, and the new NCI-PID v2.0, an updated version of the popular NCI Pathway Interaction Database. NDEx IQuery's integration with MSigDB and cBioPortal now provides pathway analysis in the context of these two resources. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: NDEx IQuery is available at https://www.ndexbio.org/iquery and is implemented in Javascript and Java.


Asunto(s)
Biología Computacional , Programas Informáticos , Biología Computacional/métodos , Mapas de Interacción de Proteínas , Publicaciones , Bases de Datos Factuales , Internet
3.
Euro Surveill ; 28(25)2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37347416

RESUMEN

BackgroundSurveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater offers a near real-time tool to track circulation of SARS-CoV-2 at a local scale. However, individual measurements of SARS-CoV-2 in sewage are noisy, inherently variable and can be left-censored.AimWe aimed to infer latent virus loads in a comprehensive sewage surveillance programme that includes all sewage treatment plants (STPs) in the Netherlands and covers 99.6% of the Dutch population.MethodsWe applied a multilevel Bayesian penalised spline model to estimate time- and STP-specific virus loads based on water flow-adjusted SARS-CoV-2 qRT-PCR data for one to four sewage samples per week for each of the more than 300 STPs.ResultsThe model captured the epidemic upsurges and downturns in the Netherlands, despite substantial day-to-day variation in the measurements. Estimated STP virus loads varied by more than two orders of magnitude, from ca 1012 virus particles per 100,000 persons per day in the epidemic trough in August 2020 to almost 1015 per 100,000 in many STPs in January 2022. The timing of epidemics at the local level was slightly shifted between STPs and municipalities, which resulted in less pronounced peaks and troughs at the national level.ConclusionAlthough substantial day-to-day variation is observed in virus load measurements, wastewater-based surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 that is performed at high sampling frequency can track long-term progression of an epidemic at a local scale in near real time.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Aguas del Alcantarillado , Humanos , Países Bajos/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Monitoreo Epidemiológico Basado en Aguas Residuales , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19/epidemiología , ARN Viral
4.
Am J Emerg Med ; 38(8): 1616-1620, 2020 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31699426

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Pre-hospital risk classification by the HEART score is performed with point of care troponin assessment. However, point of care troponin is less sensitive than high sensitive troponin measurement which is used in the hospital setting. In this study we compared pre-hospital HEART-score risk classification using point of care troponin versus high sensitive troponin. METHODS: In 689 consecutive patients with suspected NSTE-ACS, point of care troponin and laboratory high-sensitive troponin were measured in pre-hospital derived blood. For every patient the HEART score with both point of care troponin (HEART-POC) and high sensitive troponin (HEART-hsTnT) was determined. Endpoint was MACE within 45 days. RESULTS: Mean age was 64 (SD ±â€¯14), 163 (24%) patients were considered low-risk by HEART-hsTnT and 170 (25%) by HEART-POC. MACE was observed in 17%. Although high sensitive versus POC troponin scoring was different in 130 (19%) of patients, in 678 (98%) patients risk classification in low versus intermediate-high risk was similar. The predictive values of HEART-POC versus HEART-HsTnT was similar (AUC 0.75 versus 0.76, p = 0.241). CONCLUSION: Although high sensitive versus POC troponin scoring was dissimilar in one fifth of patients, this resulted in different patient risk classification in only 2 percent of patients. Therefore POC troponin measurement suffices for pre-hospital risk stratification of suspected NSTE-ACS.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo/sangre , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/clasificación , Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Troponina T/sangre , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Biomarcadores/sangre , Electrocardiografía , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Países Bajos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Triaje
5.
BMC Public Health ; 20(1): 1887, 2020 Dec 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33297992

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study estimated the lifetime cost-effectiveness and equity impacts associated with two lifestyle interventions in the Dutch primary school setting (targeting 4-12 year olds). METHODS: The Healthy Primary School of the Future (HPSF; a healthy school lunch and structured physical activity) and the Physical Activity School (PAS; structured physical activity) were compared to the regular Dutch curriculum (N = 1676). An adolescence model, calculating weight development, and the RIVM Chronic Disease Model, calculating overweight-related chronic diseases, were linked to estimate the lifetime impact on chronic diseases, quality adjusted life years (QALYs), healthcare, and productivity costs. Cost-effectiveness was expressed as the additional costs/QALY gained and we used €20,000 as threshold. Scenario analyses accounted for alternative effect maintenance scenarios and equity analyses examined cost-effectiveness in different socioeconomic status (SES) groups. RESULTS: HPSF resulted in a lifetime costs of €773 (societal perspective) and a lifetime QALY gain of 0.039 per child versus control schools. HPSF led to lower costs and more QALYs as compared to PAS. From a societal perspective, HPSF had a cost/QALY gained of €19,734 versus control schools, 50% probability of being cost-effective, and beneficial equity impact (0.02 QALYs gained/child for low versus high SES). The cost-effectiveness threshold was surpassed when intervention effects decayed over time. CONCLUSIONS: HPSF may be a cost-effective and equitable strategy for combatting the lifetime burden of unhealthy lifestyles. The win-win situation will, however, only be realised if the intervention effect is sustained into adulthood for all SES groups. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov ( NCT02800616 ). Registered 15 June 2016 - Retrospectively registered.


Asunto(s)
Estilo de Vida , Calidad de Vida , Instituciones Académicas , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Ejercicio Físico , Femenino , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Adulto Joven
6.
Nicotine Tob Res ; 16(6): 725-32, 2014 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24388862

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the cost-effectiveness of tobacco control policy for different socioeconomic status (SES) groups. We aimed to evaluate SES-specific cost-effectiveness ratios of policies with known favorable effect in low-SES groups: a tobacco tax increase and reimbursement of cessation support. METHODS: A computer model of the adult population specified by smoking behavior (never/current/former smoker), age, gender, and SES simulated policy scenarios reflecting the implementation of a €0.22 tobacco tax increase or full reimbursement of cessation support, which were compared. Relating differences in costs to quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained generated cost-effectiveness ratios for each SES group. RESULTS: In a cohort of 11 million people, the tobacco tax increase resulted in 27,000 additional quitters after 5 years, who were proportionally divided among the SES groups. Reimbursement led to 59,000 additional quitters, with relatively more quitters in higher-SES groups. The number of QALYs gained were 3,400-6,200 among the various SES groups for the tax increase and 6,300-14,000 for the reimbursement scenario. For both interventions, favorability of the cost-effectiveness ratios increased with SES: costs per QALY decreased from €6,100 to €4,500 for the tax increase and from €21,000 to €11,000 for reimbursement. CONCLUSIONS: The reimbursement policy produced the greatest overall health gain. Surprisingly, neither tax increase nor reimbursement reduced health disparities. Differences in use were too small to compensate for improved health gains per quitter among higher-SES groups. Both policies qualified as cost-effective overall, with more favorable cost-effectiveness ratios for high-SES than for low-SES groups.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Política de Salud , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/economía , Fumar/economía , Control Social Formal/métodos , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Promoción de la Salud/economía , Promoción de la Salud/métodos , Humanos , Reembolso de Seguro de Salud , Persona de Mediana Edad , Países Bajos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Prevención del Hábito de Fumar , Clase Social , Impuestos/economía
7.
bioRxiv ; 2024 Apr 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38746239

RESUMEN

Advancements in genomic and proteomic technologies have powered the use of gene and protein networks ("interactomes") for understanding genotype-phenotype translation. However, the proliferation of interactomes complicates the selection of networks for specific applications. Here, we present a comprehensive evaluation of 46 current human interactomes, encompassing protein-protein interactions as well as gene regulatory, signaling, colocalization, and genetic interaction networks. Our analysis shows that large composite networks such as HumanNet, STRING, and FunCoup are most effective for identifying disease genes, while smaller networks such as DIP and SIGNOR demonstrate strong interaction prediction performance. These findings provide a benchmark for interactomes across diverse network biology applications and clarify factors that influence network performance. Furthermore, our evaluation pipeline paves the way for continued assessment of emerging and updated interaction networks in the future.

8.
ArXiv ; 2024 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37731657

RESUMEN

Gene set analysis is a mainstay of functional genomics, but it relies on curated databases of gene functions that are incomplete. Here we evaluate five Large Language Models (LLMs) for their ability to discover the common biological functions represented by a gene set, substantiated by supporting rationale, citations and a confidence assessment. Benchmarking against canonical gene sets from the Gene Ontology, GPT-4 confidently recovered the curated name or a more general concept (73% of cases), while benchmarking against random gene sets correctly yielded zero confidence. Gemini-Pro and Mixtral-Instruct showed ability in naming but were falsely confident for random sets, whereas Llama2-70b had poor performance overall. In gene sets derived from 'omics data, GPT-4 identified novel functions not reported by classical functional enrichment (32% of cases), which independent review indicated were largely verifiable and not hallucinations. The ability to rapidly synthesize common gene functions positions LLMs as valuable 'omics assistants.

9.
Front Bioinform ; 3: 1125949, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37035036

RESUMEN

Cytoscape is an open-source bioinformatics environment for the analysis, integration, visualization, and query of biological networks. In this perspective piece, we describe our project to bring the Cytoscape desktop application to the web while explaining our strategy in ways relevant to others in the bioinformatics community. We examine opportunities and challenges in developing bioinformatics software that spans both the desktop and web, and we describe our ongoing efforts to build a Cytoscape web application, highlighting the principles that guide our development.

10.
Res Sq ; 2023 Sep 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37790547

RESUMEN

Gene set analysis is a mainstay of functional genomics, but it relies on manually curated databases of gene functions that are incomplete and unaware of biological context. Here we evaluate the ability of OpenAI's GPT-4, a Large Language Model (LLM), to develop hypotheses about common gene functions from its embedded biomedical knowledge. We created a GPT-4 pipeline to label gene sets with names that summarize their consensus functions, substantiated by analysis text and citations. Benchmarking against named gene sets in the Gene Ontology, GPT-4 generated very similar names in 50% of cases, while in most remaining cases it recovered the name of a more general concept. In gene sets discovered in 'omics data, GPT-4 names were more informative than gene set enrichment, with supporting statements and citations that largely verified in human review. The ability to rapidly synthesize common gene functions positions LLMs as valuable functional genomics assistants.

11.
Toxins (Basel) ; 15(9)2023 09 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37755995

RESUMEN

Toxicokinetic modelling provides a powerful tool in relating internal human exposure (i.e., assessed through urinary biomarker levels) to external exposure. Chemical specific toxicokinetic models are available; however, this specificity prevents their application to similar contaminants or to other routes of exposure. For this reason, we investigated whether a generic physiological-based kinetic (PBK) model might be a suitable alternative for a biokinetic model of deoxynivalenol (DON). IndusChemFate (ICF) was selected as a generic PBK model, which could be fit for purpose. Being suited for simulating multiple routes of exposure, ICF has particularly been used to relate the inhalation and dermal exposure of industrial chemicals to their urinary excretion. For the first time, the ICF model was adapted as a generic model for the human biomonitoring of mycotoxins, thereby extending its applicability domain. For this purpose, chemical-specific data for DON and its metabolites were collected directly from the literature (distribution and metabolism) or indirectly (absorption and excretion) by fitting the ICF model to previously described urinary excretion data. The obtained results indicate that this generic model can be used to model the urinary excretion of DON and its glucuronidated metabolites following dietary exposure to DON. Additionally, the present study establishes the basis for further development of the model to include an inhalation exposure route alongside the oral exposure route.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo Biológico , Líquidos Corporales , Humanos , Exposición Dietética , Cinética
12.
Future Cardiol ; 19(13): 639-647, 2023 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37916603

RESUMEN

The management of patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome, especially in prehospital settings, is challenging. This Special Report focuses on studies in emergency medical services concerning chest pain patients' triage and risk stratification. In addition, it emphasizes advancements in point-of-care cardiac troponin testing. These developments are compared with in-hospital guidelines, proposing an initial framework for a new acute care pathway. This pathway integrates a risk stratification tool with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin testing, aiming to deliver optimal care and collaboration within the acute care chain. It has the potential to contribute to a significant reduction in hospital referrals, reduce observation time and overcrowding at emergency departments and hospital admissions.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Humanos , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/diagnóstico , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/terapia , Triaje , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Troponina , Electrocardiografía
13.
Future Cardiol ; 19(10): 497-504, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37702223

RESUMEN

Aim: This study aims to enhance prehospital risk assessment for suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients using the HEART-score. By incorporating novel point-of-care high-sensitivity cardiac troponin devices, a modified HEART-score was developed and compared with the conventional approach. Patients & methods: Troponin points within the modified HEART-score are based on values below the limit of quantitation (LoQ), between the LoQ and 99th percentile and above the 99th percentile of the used device. A total HEART-score of three or lower is considered low-risk for major adverse cardiac events. Results & conclusion: The number of low-risk patients decreased based on the modified HEART-score. The sensitivity and negative predictive value increased which suggests increasing safety in ruling out patients with suspected NSTE-ACS.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Humanos , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/diagnóstico , Troponina , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Biomarcadores
14.
J Invest Dermatol ; 143(9): 1689-1699, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36967086

RESUMEN

Unbiased informatics approaches have the potential to generate insights into uncharacterized signaling pathways in human disease. In this study, we generated longitudinal transcriptomic profiles of plaque psoriasis lesions from patients enrolled in a clinical trial of the anti-IL17A antibody ixekizumab (IXE). This dataset was then computed against a curated matrix of over 700 million data points derived from published psoriasis and signaling node perturbation transcriptomic and chromatin immunoprecipitation-sequencing datasets. We observed substantive enrichment within both psoriasis-induced and IXE-repressed gene sets of transcriptional targets of members of the MuvB complex, a master regulator of the mitotic cell cycle. These gene sets were similarly enriched for pathways involved in the regulation of the G2/M transition of the cell cycle. Moreover, transcriptional targets for MuvB nodes were strongly enriched within IXE-repressed genes whose expression levels correlated strongly with the extent and severity of the psoriatic disease. In models of human keratinocyte proliferation, genes encoding MuvB nodes were transcriptionally repressed by IXE, and depletion of MuvB nodes reduced cell proliferation. Finally, we made the expression and regulatory networks that supported this study available as a freely accessible, cloud-based hypothesis generation platform. Our study positions inhibition of MuvB signaling as an important determinant of the therapeutic impact of IXE in psoriasis.


Asunto(s)
Fármacos Dermatológicos , Psoriasis , Humanos , Fármacos Dermatológicos/farmacología , Fármacos Dermatológicos/uso terapéutico , Método Doble Ciego , Psoriasis/tratamiento farmacológico , Psoriasis/genética , Psoriasis/patología , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/farmacología , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/uso terapéutico , Resultado del Tratamiento
15.
Cell Syst ; 14(6): 447-463.e8, 2023 06 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37220749

RESUMEN

The DNA damage response (DDR) ensures error-free DNA replication and transcription and is disrupted in numerous diseases. An ongoing challenge is to determine the proteins orchestrating DDR and their organization into complexes, including constitutive interactions and those responding to genomic insult. Here, we use multi-conditional network analysis to systematically map DDR assemblies at multiple scales. Affinity purifications of 21 DDR proteins, with/without genotoxin exposure, are combined with multi-omics data to reveal a hierarchical organization of 605 proteins into 109 assemblies. The map captures canonical repair mechanisms and proposes new DDR-associated proteins extending to stress, transport, and chromatin functions. We find that protein assemblies closely align with genetic dependencies in processing specific genotoxins and that proteins in multiple assemblies typically act in multiple genotoxin responses. Follow-up by DDR functional readouts newly implicates 12 assembly members in double-strand-break repair. The DNA damage response assemblies map is available for interactive visualization and query (ccmi.org/ddram/).


Asunto(s)
Cromatina , Reparación del ADN , Reparación del ADN/genética , Cromatina/genética , Daño del ADN/genética
16.
ArXiv ; 2023 Jul 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37332567

RESUMEN

In recent decades, the development of new drugs has become increasingly expensive and inefficient, and the molecular mechanisms of most pharmaceuticals remain poorly understood. In response, computational systems and network medicine tools have emerged to identify potential drug repurposing candidates. However, these tools often require complex installation and lack intuitive visual network mining capabilities. To tackle these challenges, we introduce Drugst.One, a platform that assists specialized computational medicine tools in becoming user-friendly, web-based utilities for drug repurposing. With just three lines of code, Drugst.One turns any systems biology software into an interactive web tool for modeling and analyzing complex protein-drug-disease networks. Demonstrating its broad adaptability, Drugst.One has been successfully integrated with 21 computational systems medicine tools. Available at https://drugst.one, Drugst.One has significant potential for streamlining the drug discovery process, allowing researchers to focus on essential aspects of pharmaceutical treatment research.

17.
Cost Eff Resour Alloc ; 10(1): 13, 2012 Sep 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23006466

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Counseling in combination with pedometer use has proven to be effective in increasing physical activity and improving health outcomes. We investigated the cost-effectiveness of this intervention targeted at one million insufficiently active adults who visit their general practitioner in the Netherlands. METHODS: We used the RIVM chronic disease model to estimate the long-term effects of increased physical activity on the future health care costs and quality adjusted life years (QALY) gained, from a health care perspective. RESULTS: The intervention resulted in almost 6000 people shifting to more favorable physical-activity levels, and in 5100 life years and 6100 QALYs gained, at an additional total cost of EUR 67.6 million. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was EUR 13,200 per life year gained and EUR 11,100 per QALY gained. The intervention has a probability of 0.66 to be cost-effective if a QALY gained is valued at the Dutch informal threshold for cost-effectiveness of preventive intervention of EUR 20,000. A sensitivity analysis showed substantial uncertainty of ICER values. CONCLUSION: Counseling in combination with pedometer use aiming to increase physical activity may be a cost-effective intervention. However, the intervention only yields relatively small health benefits in the Netherlands.

18.
iScience ; 25(7): 104581, 2022 Jul 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35832893

RESUMEN

Investigator-generated transcriptomic datasets interrogating circulating immune cell (CIC) gene expression in clinical type 1 diabetes (T1D) have underappreciated re-use value. Here, we repurposed these datasets to create an open science environment for the generation of hypotheses around CIC signaling pathways whose gain or loss of function contributes to T1D pathogenesis. We firstly computed sets of genes that were preferentially induced or repressed in T1D CICs and validated these against community benchmarks. We then inferred and validated signaling node networks regulating expression of these gene sets, as well as differentially expressed genes in the original underlying T1D case:control datasets. In a set of three use cases, we demonstrated how informed integration of these networks with complementary digital resources supports substantive, actionable hypotheses around signaling pathway dysfunction in T1D CICs. Finally, we developed a federated, cloud-based web resource that exposes the entire data matrix for unrestricted access and re-use by the research community.

19.
Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care ; 11(2): 160-169, 2022 Feb 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34849660

RESUMEN

AIMS: Although pre-hospital risk stratification of patients with suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) by ambulance paramedics is feasible, it has not been investigated in daily practice whether referral decisions based on this risk stratification is safe and does not increase major adverse cardiac events (MACE). In Phase III of the FamouS Triage study, it was investigated whether referral decisions by ambulance paramedics based on a pre-hospital HEART score, is non-inferior to routine management. METHODS AND RESULTS: FamouS Triage Phase III is a non-inferiority study, comparing the occurrence of MACE before (Phase II) and after (Phase III) implementation of referral decisions based on a pre-hospital HEART score. In Phase II, all patients were risk-stratified and referred to the hospital; in Phase III, low-risk patients (HEART score ≤ 3) were not referred. Primary endpoint was MACE (acute coronary syndrome, revascularization, or death) within 45 days. A total of 1236 patients were included. Mean age was 63 years, 43% were female, 700 patients were included in the second phase and 536 in the third phase in which 149 low-risk patients (28%) were not transferred to the hospital. Occurrence of 45 days MACE was 16.6% in Phase II and 15.7% in Phase III (P = 0.67). Percentage MACE in low-risk patients was 2.9% in Phase II and 1.3% in Phase III. After adjustments for differences in baseline variables, the hazard ratio of 45 days MACE in Phase III was 0.88 (95% confidence interval 0.63-1.25) as compared to Phase II. CONCLUSION: Pre-hospital risk stratification of patients with suspected NSTE-ACS, avoiding hospitalization of a substantial number of low-risk patients, seems feasible and non-inferior to transferring all patients to the hospital.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/diagnóstico , Femenino , Hospitales , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Derivación y Consulta , Medición de Riesgo , Triaje
20.
Value Health ; 14(8): 1039-47, 2011 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22152172

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To develop a stochastic population model of disease progression in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) that includes the effects of COPD exacerbations on health-related quality of life, costs, disease progression, and mortality and can be used to assess the effects of a wide range of interventions. METHODS: The model is a multistate Markov model with time varying transition rates specified by age, sex, smoking status, COPD disease severity, and/or exacerbation type. The model simulates annual changes in COPD prevalence due to COPD incidence, exacerbations, disease progression (annual decline in the forced expiratory volume in 1 second as percentage of the predicted value), and mortality. The main outcome variables are quality-adjusted life years, total exacerbations, and COPD-related health care costs. Exacerbation-related input parameters were based on quantitative meta-analysis. All important model parameters are entered into the model as probability distributions. To illustrate the potential use of the model, costs and effects were calculated for 3-year implementation of three different COPD interventions, one pharmacologic, one on smoking cessation, and one on pulmonary rehabilitation using a time horizon of 10 years for reporting outcomes. RESULTS: Compared with minimal treatment the cost/quality-adjusted life year was €8,300 for the pharmacologic intervention, €10,800 for the smoking cessation therapy, €8,700 for the combination of the pharmacologic intervention and the smoking cessation therapy, and €17,200 for the pulmonary rehabilitation program. The probability of the interventions to be cost-effective at a ceiling ratio of €20,000 varied from 58% to 100%. CONCLUSIONS: The COPD model provides policy makers with information about the long-term costs and effects of interventions over the entire chain of care, from primary prevention to care for very severe COPD and includes uncertainty around the outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Cadenas de Markov , Modelos Teóricos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/terapia , Calidad de Vida , Cese del Hábito de Fumar/métodos , Factores de Edad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Dinámica Poblacional , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/economía , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/fisiopatología , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Factores Sexuales , Fumar/efectos adversos , Procesos Estocásticos
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