CA125 Levels in BRCA mutation carriers - a retrospective single center cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Ovarian cancer screening in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers utilizes assessment of carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) and transvaginal ultrasound (TVU), despite low sensitivity and specificity. We evaluated the association between CA125 levels, BRCA1/2 mutation status and menopausal status to provide more information on clinical conditions that may influence CA125 levels. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed repeated measurements of CA125 levels and clinical data of 466 women at high risk for ovarian cancer. CA125 levels were compared between women with and without deleterious mutations in BRCA1/2. Pearson's correlation was used to determine the association between age and CA125 serum level. Differences in CA125 levels were assessed with the Mann-Whitney U test. The effect of BRCA1/2 mutation status and menopausal status on the change in CA125 levels was determined by Two-factor analysis of variance (ANOVA). RESULTS: The CA125 serum levels of premenopausal women (median, 13.8 kU/mL; range, 9.4 - 19.5 kU/mL) were significantly higher than in postmenopausal women (median, 10.4 kU/mL; range, 7.7 - 14.0 kU/mL; p < .001). There was no significant difference in the CA125 levels of BRCA mutation carriers and non-mutation carriers across all age groups (p = .612). When investigating the combined effect of BRCA1/2 mutation and menopausal status, variance analysis revealed a significant interaction between BRCA1/2 mutation status and menopausal status on CA125 levels (p < .001). There was a significant difference between the CA125 levels of premenopausal and postmenopausal women, with a large effect in BRCA mutation carriers (p < .001, d = 1.05), whereas in non-mutation carriers there was only a small effect (p < .001, d = 0.32). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that hereditary mutations in BRCA1/2 affect the decline of CA125 levels with increasing age. To prove a definite effect of this mutation on the CA125 level, prospective trials need to be conducted to define new cut-off levels of CA 125 in mutation carriers and optimize ovarian cancer screening.

Overall survival in the OlympiA phase III trial of adjuvant olaparib in patients with germline pathogenic variants in BRCA1/2 and high-risk, early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The randomized, double-blind OlympiA trial compared 1 year of the oral poly(adenosine diphosphate-ribose) polymerase inhibitor, olaparib, to matching placebo as adjuvant therapy for patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants in germline BRCA1 or BRCA2 (gBRCA1/2pv) and high-risk, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative, early breast cancer (EBC). The first pre-specified interim analysis (IA) previously demonstrated statistically significant improvement in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and distant disease-free survival (DDFS). The olaparib group had fewer deaths than the placebo group, but the difference did not reach statistical significance for overall survival (OS). We now report the pre-specified second IA of OS with updates of IDFS, DDFS, and safety. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One thousand eight hundred and thirty-six patients were randomly assigned to olaparib or placebo following (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy, surgery, and radiation therapy if indicated. Endocrine therapy was given concurrently with study medication for hormone receptor-positive cancers. Statistical significance for OS at this IA required P < 0.015. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 3.5 years, the second IA of OS demonstrated significant improvement in the olaparib group relative to the placebo group [hazard ratio 0.68; 98.5% confidence interval (CI) 0.47-0.97; P = 0.009]. Four-year OS was 89.8% in the olaparib group and 86.4% in the placebo group (Δ 3.4%, 95% CI -0.1% to 6.8%). Four-year IDFS for the olaparib group versus placebo group was 82.7% versus 75.4% (Δ 7.3%, 95% CI 3.0% to 11.5%) and 4-year DDFS was 86.5% versus 79.1% (Δ 7.4%, 95% CI 3.6% to 11.3%), respectively. Subset analyses for OS, IDFS, and DDFS demonstrated benefit across major subgroups. No new safety signals were identified including no new cases of acute myeloid leukemia or myelodysplastic syndrome. CONCLUSION: With 3.5 years of median follow-up, OlympiA demonstrates statistically significant improvement in OS with adjuvant olaparib compared with placebo for gBRCA1/2pv-associated EBC and maintained improvements in the previously reported, statistically significant endpoints of IDFS and DDFS with no new safety signals.

The risk of breast cancer in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers without a first-degree relative with breast cancer.

The objective of this study was to estimate the lifetime risk of breast cancer in women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation with and without at least 1 first-degree relative with breast cancer. A total of 2835 women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation were followed. Age- and gene-specific breast cancer rates were calculated. The relative risks of breast cancer for subjects with a family history of breast cancer, compared to no family history were calculated. The mean age at baseline was 41.1 years, and they were followed for a mean of 6.0 years. The estimated penetrance of breast cancer to age 80 years was 60.8% for BRCA1 and 63.1% for BRCA2. For all BRCA carriers, the penetrance of breast cancer to age 80 for those with no first-degree relative with breast cancer was 60.4% and 63.3% for those with at least 1 first-degree relative with breast cancer. The risk of breast cancer for BRCA carriers with no first-degree relative with breast cancer is substantial, and as a result, clinical management for these women should be the same as those for women with an affected relative.

Prostate cancer in a man with a BRCA2 mutation and a personal history of bilateral breast cancer.

Men with a BRCA2 mutation face substantial lifetime risks for the development of both breast and prostate cancer. A male who was initially diagnosed with breast cancer at the age of 32 was subsequently diagnosed at age 77 with both contralateral breast cancer and prostate cancer. He was found to be BRCA2 mutation carrier. The patient was treated with contralateral mastectomy, breast irradiation, prostate irradiation and adjuvant endocrine therapy. At age 83 he died of metastatic prostate cancer. Our case underscores the observation that BRCA2 mutation carriers are at risk for multiple cancers, including contralateral breast cancer, and illustrates the need for current practice recommendations for the early detection of breast and prostate cancer in men with BRCA2 mutations.

Assessing the non-motor symptoms of Parkinson's disease: MDS-UPDRS and NMS Scale.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Although Parkinson's disease (PD) is characterized by typical motor manifestations, non-motor symptoms (NMS) are an outstanding part of the disease. At present, several specific instruments for assessment of NMS are available. The objective of our study was to determine the performance of the Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS): Part I - Non-Motor Aspects of Experiences of Daily Living (nM-EDL) compared with the Non-Motor Symptoms Scale (NMSS). METHODS: To this purpose, 434 consecutive patients with PD were included in an international, observational, cross-sectional study. The association between scores of both scales was determined by the Spearman rank correlation coefficient. Equations for transformation of total score of a scale to the other were constructed from weighted regression models and both, transformed and observed score, contrasted by means of the Lin's Concordance Correlation Coefficient (LCCC) and Bland-Altman plot. RESULTS: As a whole, the prevalence of the NMS according to each scale was quite similar, and most of the correlations between their corresponding components were high (r(S) > 0.60). The total score correlation of the MDS-UPDRS Part I with the NMSS was high (r(S) = 0.81). Concerning the transformed scores, estimated scores only partially approach the observed ones (sharing about 60-64% of the variance) because residual variance increased with increasing magnitudes of the scores, i.e. the most severe patients (Bland-Altman plot; LCCC < 0.60 for severe patients). CONCLUSIONS: (i) MDS-UPDRS Part I (nM-EDL) and NMSS showed a strong convergent validity; (ii) however, transformed scores using the equations from weighted regression models showed that for patients with the most severe NMS they are not concordant.

The multigene signature MammaPrint impacts on multidisciplinary team decisions in ER+, HER2- early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Validated multigene signatures (MGS) provide additional prognostic information when evaluating clinical features of ER(+), HER2(-) early breast cancer. We have studied the quantitative and qualitative impact of MGS on multidisciplinary team (MDT) recommendations. METHODS: We prospectively recruited 75 ER(+), HER2(-) breast cancer patients. Inclusion was based on biopsy assessment of grade, hormone receptor status, HER2, clinical tumour and nodal status. A fresh tissue sample was sent for MammaPrint (MP), TargetPrint analysis at surgery. Clinical risk was decided by the MDT in the absence of MP results and repeated following the collection of MP results. Decision changes were recorded and a health technology assessment was undertaken to compare cost effectiveness. RESULTS: The majority of patients were assigned low to intermediate clinical risk by the MDT. According to MP, 76% were low risk. A very high correlation between local IHC and the TargetPrint assessment was shown. In over a third of patients, discordance between clinical and molecular risk was observed. Decision changes were recorded in half of these cases (18.6%) and resulted in two out of three patients not requiring chemotherapy. The use of MP was also found to be more cost effective. CONCLUSIONS: The multigene signature MP revealed clinical and molecular risk discordance in a third of patients. The impact of this on MDT recommendations was most profound in cases where few clinical risk factors were observed and enabled some women to forgo chemotherapy. The use of MGS is unlikely to have an impact in either clinically low-risk women or in patients with more than one relative indication for chemotherapy.

Incidence of colorectal cancer in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers: results from a follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: The BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes confer increased susceptibility to breast and ovarian cancer and to a spectrum of other cancers. There is controversy regarding the risk of colorectal cancer conferred by germline mutations in these two genes. METHODS: We followed 7015 women with a BRCA mutation for new cases of colorectal cancer. Incidence rates in carriers were compared with population-specific incidence rates, and standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) were estimated. The expected numbers of cancers were computed by multiplying person-years at risk by the appropriate age-, sex- and country-specific incidence rates from the five countries. RESULTS: Twenty-one incident colorectal cancer cases were observed among all mutation carriers, compared with 23.6 cases expected. The SIR for BRCA1 carriers was 0.92 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.54-1.40, P=0.7) and for BRCA2 carriers was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.30-1.81, P=0.7). The SIR for colon cancer was 3.81 (95% CI 1.77-7.23) for women below the age of 50 years (both genes combined) and was 0.60 (95% CI 0.33-1.00) for women aged 50 years and above. CONCLUSION: The risk of colorectal cancer is increased in female carriers of BRCA1 mutations below the age of 50 years but not in women with BRCA2 mutations or in older women.

Epirubicin and docetaxel with or without capecitabine as neoadjuvant treatment for early breast cancer: final results of a randomized phase III study (ABCSG-24).

BACKGROUND: This randomized phase III trial compared pathologic complete response (pCR) rates of early breast cancer (EBC) following neoadjuvant epirubicin-docetaxel (ED)±capecitabine (C), and evaluated the addition of trastuzumab in HER2-positive tumors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with invasive breast cancer (except T4d) were randomly assigned to receive six 3-weekly cycles of ED (both 75 mg/m2)±C (1000 mg/m2, twice daily, days 1-14). Patients with HER2-positive disease were further randomized to receive trastuzumab (8 mg/kg, then 6 mg/kg every 3 weeks) or not. Primary end point: pCR rate at the time of surgery. RESULTS: Five hundred thirty-six patients were randomized to ED (n=266) or EDC (n=270); 93 patients were further randomized to trastuzumab (n=44) or not (n=49). pCR rate was significantly increased with EDC (23.0% versus 15.4% ED, P=0.027), and nonsignificantly further increased with trastuzumab (38.6% EDC versus 26.5% ED, P=0.212). Rates of axillary node involvement at surgery and breast conservation were improved with EDC versus ED, but not significantly; the addition of trastuzumab had no further impact. Hormone receptor status, tumor size, grade, and C (all P≤0.035) were independent prognostic factors for pCR. Trastuzumab added to ED±C significantly increased the number of serious adverse events (35 versus 18; P=0.020), mainly due to infusion-related reactions. CONCLUSION: These findings show that the integration of C into a neoadjuvant taxane-/anthracycline-based regimen is a feasible, safe, and effective treatment option, with incorporation of trastuzumab in HER2-positive disease. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: NCT00309556, www.clinicaltrials.gov.

Predicting distant recurrence in receptor-positive breast cancer patients with limited clinicopathological risk: using the PAM50 Risk of Recurrence score in 1478 postmenopausal patients of the ABCSG-8 trial treated with adjuvant endocrine therapy alone.

BACKGROUND: PAM50 is a 50-gene test that is designed to identify intrinsic breast cancer subtypes and generate a Risk of Recurrence (ROR) score. It has been developed to be carried out in qualified routine hospital pathology laboratories. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One thousand four hundred seventy-eight postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER)+ early breast cancer (EBC) treated with tamoxifen or tamoxifen followed by anastrozole from the prospective randomized ABCSG-8 trial were entered into this study. Patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. RNA was extracted from paraffin blocks and analyzed using the PAM50 test. Both intrinsic subtype (luminal A/B, HER2-enriched, basal-like) and ROR score were calculated. The primary analysis was designed to test whether the continuous ROR score adds prognostic value in predicting distant recurrence (DR) over and above standard clinical variables. RESULTS: In all tested subgroups, ROR score significantly adds prognostic information to the clinical predictor (P<0.0001). PAM50 assigns an intrinsic subtype to all cases, and the luminal A cohort had a significantly lower ROR at 10 years compared with Luminal B (P<0.0001). Significant and clinically relevant discrimination between low- and high-risk groups occurred also within all tested subgroups. CONCLUSION(S): The results of the primary analysis, in combination with recently published results from the ATAC trial, constitute Level 1 evidence for clinical validity of the PAM50 test for predicting the risk of DR in postmenopausal women with ER+ EBC. A 10-year metastasis risk of <3.5% in the ROR low category makes it unlikely that additional chemotherapy would improve this outcome-this finding could help to avoid unwarranted overtreatment. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: ABCSG 8: NCT00291759.

Clinical implications of genetic testing for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations in Austria.

The objective of this study was to describe the experience of genetic testing in Austrian women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation in terms of preventive measures taken and incident cancers diagnosed. We collected clinical information on 246 Austrian women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation tested between 1995 and 2012 and followed 182 of them for an average of 6.5 years. Of the 90 women who were cancer-free at baseline, 21.4% underwent preventive bilateral mastectomy, 46.1% had preventive bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy, and 1 took tamoxifen; 58.8% of the at-risk women underwent at least one screening breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Of the 85 women with breast cancer, 69.4% had a unilateral mastectomy or lumpectomy and 30.6% had a contralateral mastectomy. In the follow-up period, 14 new invasive breast cancers (6 first primary and 8 contralateral), 1 ductal carcinoma in situ case, 2 incident ovarian cancer cases, and 1 peritoneal cancer were diagnosed. In Austria, the majority of healthy women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation opt for preventive oophorectomy and MRI screening to manage their breast cancer risk; few have preventive mastectomy or take tamoxifen.

A first-in-human study of PDC31 (prostaglandin F2α receptor inhibitor) in primary dysmenorrhea.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the safe and pharmacodynamically active dose range for PDC31 (prostaglandin F2α receptor inhibitor) in patients with primary dysmenorrhea (PD)? SUMMARY ANSWER: The 1 mg/kg/h dose of PDC31 appears to be safe and potentially effective in reducing intrauterine pressure (IUP) and pain associated with excessive uterine contractility when given as a 3-h infusion in patients with PD. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: PDC31 has previously been shown to reduce the duration and strength of PGF2α-induced contractions in human uterine myometrial strip models and to delay delivery in animal models of preterm labor. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This was a prospective, multi-center, dose-escalating first-in-human Phase I study conducted from March 2011 to June 2012. A total of 24 women with PD were enrolled and treated with one of five doses (0.01, 0.05, 0.15, 0.3, 0.5 and 1 mg/kg/h) of PDC31 given as a 3-h infusion. Patients were observed for a further 24 h. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: This study was conducted at four hospitals in Europe in non-pregnant, menstruating women with PD. Women with PD (n = 24) received PDC31 infused over 3 h within 8-10 h of the onset of menstruation. IUP and pain monitoring through the visual analog scale (VAS) was assessed prior to, during and following the infusion. Patients were observed for dose-limiting toxicities and other adverse events. Pharmacokinetic samples were also taken to profile the drug. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: A 3-h infusion of PDC31 was safe up to and including doses of 1 mg/kg/h. Most adverse events were mild (n = 15; 83.3%) and not considered associated with PDC31 (n = 14; 77.8%). PDC31 infusion decreased uterine activity based on IUP and pain (VAS) scores. IUP was decreased by 23% over all dose levels, reaching a minimum at 135-150 min. There appeared to be a dose-dependent effect on IUP, with the high dose group (1 mg/kg/h) showing the largest decrease in IUP. There was a statistically significant linear dose-effect and concentration-effect relationship for several IUP parameters over the evaluation period of 60-180 min. A dose differentiating effect on pain was seen with the two highest doses. PDC31 demonstrated uncomplicated, linear pharmacokinetics with a terminal half-life of ∼2 h. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: This was a first-in-human study and exposure to PDC31 was limited for safety reasons. As such, pharmacodynamic parameters were assessed at a two-sided Type I error of 20%, an appropriate level for the exploratory nature of this study without a placebo control arm. This limited the chance of false positive findings to one in five. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Like PD, preterm labor is associated with prostaglandin-mediated uterine contractions; therefore, the findings of this study support further development of PDC31 as a treatment for both PD and preterm labor. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: This work was funded by PDC Biotech GmbH, Vienna, Austria. B.B., R.M.L., L.W., R.J.S., K.J.B. and C.F.S. received reimbursement for the conduct of this study from PDC Biotech GmbH. W.H., M.S. and R.P.S. are paid consultants for PDC Biotech GmbH. P.G. is a paid consultant and shareholder of PDC Biotech GmbH. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01250587 at www.clinicaltrials.gov.

Relationship between the MDS-UPDRS domains and the health-related quality of life of Parkinson's disease patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The Movement Disorder Society sponsored version of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) is a comprehensive instrument for assessing Parkinson's disease (PD). The present study was aimed at determining the relationships between MDS-UPDRS components and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) evaluations in PD patients. METHODS: An international, multicenter, cross-sectional study was carried out of 435 PD patients assessed with the MDS-UPDRS, Hoehn and Yahr (HY), Clinical Impression Severity for PD, EQ-5D and PD Questionnaire - eight items (PDQ-8). Spearman's rank correlation coefficients, exploratory factor analysis and multiple linear regression models (dependent variables EQ-5D and PDQ-8) were performed. RESULTS: The participants' age was 66.71 ± 10.32 years (51.5% men). PD duration was 8.52 ± 6.14, and median HY was 2 (range 1-5). The correlation between the EQ-5D index and the MDS-UPDRS ranged from -0.46 (Part IV) to -0.72 (Part II) and for the PDQ-8 index from 0.47 (Part III) to 0.74 (Part II). In multiple regression models with the MDS-UPDRS domains as independent variables, the main determinant for both the EQ-5D index and the PDQ-8 was Part II followed by Part I. After factorial grouping of the cardinal PD manifestations embedded in the MDS-UPDRS Parts III and IV for inclusion into multiple regression models, a factor formed by M-EDL, nM-EDL and fluctuations was the main determinant for both the EQ-5D and PDQ-8 indexes. CONCLUSIONS: The MDS-UPDRS component most tightly related with the HRQoL measures was a combination of motor and non-motor experiences of daily living.

Impact of body mass index on estradiol depletion by aromatase inhibitors in postmenopausal women with early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Body mass index (BMI) has an impact on survival outcome in patients treated with aromatase inhibitors (AIs). Obesity is associated with an increased body aromatisation and may be a cause of insufficient estradiol depletion. METHODS: Sixty-eight postmenopausal oestrogen receptor-positive patients with early breast cancer were prospectively included in this study. Follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), luteinizing hormone (LH) and estradiol were analysed immediately in the clinical routine lab and in a dedicated central lab before (T1) and 3 months after start with aromatase inhibitors (T2). RESULTS: A total of 40 patients were normal or overweight (non-obese: BMI 18.5-29.9 kg m(-2)) and 28 were obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg m(-2)). Aromatase inhibitors significantly suppressed estradiol serum levels (T1: 19.5 pg ml(-1), T2: 10.5 pg ml(-1), P<0.01) and increased FSH serum levels (T1: 70.2 mIU ml(-1), T2: 75.7 mIU ml(-1), P<0.05). However, after 3 months of AI treatment, estradiol levels of obese patients were nonsignificantly higher compared with non-obese patients (12.5 pg ml(-1) vs 9.0 pg ml(-1), P=0.1). This difference was reflected by significantly lower FSH serum levels in obese compared with non-obese patients (65.5 mIU ml(-1) vs 84.6 mIU ml(-1), P<0.01). The significant effects of BMI on FSH serum levels could be detected both in the routine as well as in the dedicated central lab. CONCLUSION: Aromatase inhibitors are less efficient at suppressing estradiol serum levels in obese when compared with non-obese women.

Efficacy of tamoxifen ± aminoglutethimide in normal weight and overweight postmenopausal patients with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer: an analysis of 1509 patients of the ABCSG-06 trial.

BACKGROUND: There exists evidence that body mass index (BMI) impacts on the efficacy of aromatase inhibitors in patients with breast cancer. The relationship between BMI and the efficacy of tamoxifen is conflicting. We investigated the impact of BMI on the efficacy of single tamoxifen and tamoxifen plus an aromatase inhibitor in the well-defined prospective study population of the ABCSG-06 trial. METHODS: ABCSG-06 investigated the efficacy of tamoxifen vs tamoxifen plus aminoglutethimide in postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. Taking BMI at baseline, patients were classified as normal weight (BMI=18.5-24.9 kg m(-)(2)), overweight (BMI=25-29.9 kg m(-)(2)), and obese (30 kg m(-)(2)) according to WHO criteria. RESULTS: Overweight+obese patients had an increased risk for distant recurrences (hazard ratio (HR): 1.51; Cox P=0·018) and a worse overall survival (OS; HR: 1·49; Cox P=0·052) compared with normal weight patients. Analysing patients treated with single tamoxifen only, no difference between overweight+obese patients and normal weight patients regarding distant recurrence-free survival (HR: 1.35; Cox P=0·24) and OS (HR: 0.99; Cox P=0·97) could be observed. In contrast, in the group of patients treated with the combination of tamoxifen plus aminoglutethimide, overweight+obese patients had an increased risk for distant recurrences (1.67; Cox P=0·03) and a worse OS (1.47; Cox P=0·11) compared with normal weight patients. CONCLUSION: BMI impacts on the efficacy of aromatase inhibitor-based treatment but not single tamoxifen.

The EndoPredict score provides prognostic information on late distant metastases in ER+/HER2- breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: ER+/HER2- breast cancers have a proclivity for late recurrence. A personalised estimate of relapse risk after 5 years of endocrine treatment can improve patient selection for extended hormonal therapy. METHODS: A total of 1702 postmenopausal ER+/HER2- breast cancer patients from two adjuvant phase III trials (ABCSG6, ABCSG8) treated with 5 years of endocrine therapy participated in this study. The multigene test EndoPredict (EP) and the EPclin score (which combines EP with tumour size and nodal status) were predefined in independent training cohorts. All patients were retrospectively assigned to risk categories based on gene expression and on clinical parameters. The primary end point was distant metastasis (DM). Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used in an early (0-5 years) and late time interval (>5 years post diagnosis). RESULTS: EP is a significant, independent, prognostic parameter in the early and late time interval. The expression levels of proliferative and ER signalling genes contribute differentially to the underlying biology of early and late DM. The EPclin stratified 64% of patients at risk after 5 years into a low-risk subgroup with an absolute 1.8% of late DM at 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSION: The EP test provides additional prognostic information for the identification of early and late DM beyond what can be achieved by combining the commonly used clinical parameters. The EPclin reliably identified a subgroup of patients who have an excellent long-term prognosis after 5 years of endocrine therapy. The side effects of extended therapy should be weighed against this projected outcome.

EndoPredict improves the prognostic classification derived from common clinical guidelines in ER-positive, HER2-negative early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: In early estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer, the decision to administer chemotherapy is largely based on prognostic criteria. The combined molecular/clinical EndoPredict test (EPclin) has been validated to accurately assess prognosis in this population. In this study, the clinical relevance of EPclin in relation to well-established clinical guidelines is assessed. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We assigned risk groups to 1702 ER-positive/HER2-negative postmenopausal women from two large phase III trials treated only with endocrine therapy. Prognosis was assigned according to National Comprehensive Cancer Center Network-, German S3-, St Gallen guidelines and the EPclin. Prognostic groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: After 10 years, absolute risk reductions (ARR) between the high- and low-risk groups ranged from 6.9% to 11.2% if assigned according to guidelines. It was at 18.7% for EPclin. EPclin reassigned 58%-61% of women classified as high-/intermediate-risk (according to clinical guidelines) to low risk. Women reclassified to low risk showed a 5% rate of distant metastasis at 10 years. CONCLUSION: The EPclin score is able to predict favorable prognosis in a majority of patients that clinical guidelines would assign to intermediate or high risk. EPclin may reduce the indications for chemotherapy in ER-positive postmenopausal women with a limited number of clinical risk factors.

Influence of HER2 expression on prognosis in metastatic triple-negative breast cancer-results from an international, multicenter analysis coordinated by the AGMT Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is associated with poor prognosis, and new treatment options are urgently needed. About 34%-39% of primary TNBCs show a low expression of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2-low), which is a target for new anti-HER2 drugs. However, little is known about the frequency and the prognostic value of HER2-low in metastatic TNBC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included patients with TNBC from five European countries for this international, multicenter analysis. Triple-negativity had to be shown in a metastatic site or in the primary breast tumor diagnosed simultaneously or within 3 years before metastatic disease. HER2-low was defined as immunohistochemically (IHC) 1+ or 2+ without ERBB2 gene amplification. Survival probabilities were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by Cox regression models. RESULTS: In total, 691 patients, diagnosed between January 2006 and February 2021, were assessable. The incidence of HER2-low was 32.0% [95% confidence interval (CI) 28.5% to 35.5%], with similar proportions in metastases (n = 265; 29.8%) and primary tumors (n = 425; 33.4%; P = 0.324). The median overall survival (OS) in HER2-low and HER2-0 TNBC was 18.6 and 16.1 months, respectively (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.83-1.19; P = 0.969). Similarly, in multivariable analysis, HER2-low had no significant impact on OS (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.79-1.13; P = 0.545). No difference in prognosis was observed between HER2 IHC 0/1+ and IHC 2+ tumors (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.69-1.17; P = 0.414). CONCLUSIONS: In this large international dataset of metastatic TNBC, the frequency of HER2-low was 32.0%. Neither in univariable nor in multivariable analysis HER2-low showed any influence on OS.

The incidence of pancreatic cancer in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers.

BACKGROUND: Germline mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 predispose to pancreatic cancer. We estimated the incidence of pancreatic cancer in a cohort of female carriers of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation. We also estimated survival rates in pancreatic cancer cases from families with a BRCA mutation. METHODS: We followed 5149 women with a mutation for new cases of pancreatic cancer. The standardised incidence ratios (SIR) for pancreatic cancer were calculated based on age group and country of residence. We also reviewed the pedigrees of 8140 pedigrees with a BRCA1 or a BRCA2 mutation for those with a case of pancreatic cancer. We recorded the year of diagnosis and the year of death for 351 identified cases. RESULTS: Eight incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified among all mutation carriers. The SIR for BRCA1 carriers was 2.55 (95% CI=1.03-5.31, P=0.04) and for BRCA2 carriers was 2.13 (95% CI=0.36-7.03, P=0.3). The 5-year survival rate was 5% for cases from a BRCA1 family and 4% for cases from a BRCA2 family. CONCLUSION: The risk of pancreatic cancer is approximately doubled in female BRCA carriers. The poor survival in familial pancreatic cancer underscores the need for novel anti-tumoural strategies.

Independent validation of stromal uPA in ABCSG-08: Level 1b evidence for the prognostic value of uPA immunohistochemistry.

PURPOSE: To validate the prognostic role of urokinase-type plasminogen-activator (uPA) and plasminogen activator inhibitor type-1 (PAI-1) protein expression in FFPE archived tumor samples when assessed by immunohistochemistry. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Fresh-frozen, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) samples from 303 postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive, early breast cancer were investigated. The patients had received 5 years of endocrine therapy in the prospectively randomized ABCSG-8 trial. Immunohistochemistry for stromal uPA and PAI-1 protein expression was correlated with distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: We detected stromal uPA in 132 of 297 tumors (44.4%) and stromal PAI-1 expression in 74 out of 299 samples (24.7%). Co-expression of uPA and PAI-1 was present in 48 of 294 (16.3%) cases. Neither uPA nor PAI-1 expression was associated with tumor size, age, nodal status, grading, or quantitative receptor status. Patients whose tumor stroma expressed uPA protein had a significantly shorter DRFS (adjusted HR for relapse: 2.78; 95% CI 1.31-5.93; p = 0.008 Cox regression analysis) than women without uPA expression. No such association was seen for PAI-1 and the uPA/PAI1 ratio. After a median follow-up of 5.6 years, women with uPA-positive tumors demonstrated significantly shorter DRFS (93.3% vs. 84.8%; p < 0.013 log-rank test), and tended to have a worse OS (83.0% vs. 77.3%; p = 0.106) compared to women with uPA negative tumors. CONCLUSION: This independent validation in archived tumor samples from a large prospective randomized trial confirms the clinical utility of stromal uPA evaluation by immunohistochemistry. This provides level 1b evidence for the prognostic role of stromal uPA in women with endocrine-responsive early breast cancer.