Atmospheric solids analysis probe mass spectrometry: An easy bolt-on for the synthetic undergraduate teaching laboratory.

RATIONALE: High costs and student numbers can often hinder implementation of mass spectrometry (MS) in the undergraduate teaching laboratory, often with technicians running samples on students' behalf, and the implementation of MS only in discrete or isolated experiments. This study explores the use of atmospheric solids analysis probe MS (ASAP-MS) as a relatively low-cost, benchtop instrument, and its potential for application as a 'bolt-on' to existing undergraduate organic chemistry experiments. METHODS: Thirteen products synthesised in undergraduate laboratory experiments were analysed by ASAP-MS, along with their starting materials. Analysis was carried out with a Waters RADIAN ASAP mass spectrometer, at four different cone voltages simultaneously to provide fragmentation information. RESULTS: Out of the 13 undergraduate experiments, ASAP-MS was shown to be complementary in 11 of these, either through simple analysis of the precursor ion or by a more complex analysis of the fragments. CONCLUSIONS: ASAP-MS provided spectra that both complement and enhance intended learning outcomes in existing organic chemistry experiments, showing its versatility as a bolt-on technique. Moving forward, ASAP-MS will be integrated into the University of Surrey's undergraduate teaching laboratory.

Dose selection for aztreonam-avibactam, including adjustments for renal impairment, for Phase IIa and Phase III evaluation.

PURPOSE: A series of iterative population pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling and probability of target attainment (PTA) analyses based on emerging data supported dose selection for aztreonam-avibactam, an investigational combination antibiotic for serious Gram-negative bacterial infections. METHODS: Two iterations of PK models built from avibactam data in infected patients and aztreonam data in healthy subjects with "patient-like" assumptions were used in joint PTA analyses (primary target: aztreonam 60% fT > 8 mg/L, avibactam 50% fT > 2.5 mg/L) exploring patient variability, infusion durations, and adjustments for moderate (estimated creatinine clearance [CrCL] > 30 to ≤ 50 mL/min) and severe renal impairment (> 15 to ≤ 30 mL/min). Achievement of > 90% joint PTA and the impact of differential renal clearance were considerations in dose selection. RESULTS: Iteration 1 simulations for Phase I/IIa dose selection/modification demonstrated that 3-h and continuous infusions provide comparable PTA; avibactam dose drives joint PTA within clinically relevant exposure targets; and loading doses support more rapid joint target attainment. An aztreonam/avibactam 500/137 mg 30-min loading dose and 1500/410 mg 3-h maintenance infusions q6h were selected for further evaluation. Iteration 2 simulations using expanded PK models supported an alteration to the regimen (500/167 mg loading; 1500/500 mg q6h maintenance 3-h infusions for CrCL > 50 mL/min) and selection of doses for renal impairment for Phase IIa/III clinical studies. CONCLUSION: A loading dose plus 3-h maintenance infusions of aztreonam-avibactam in a 3:1 fixed ratio q6h optimizes joint PTA. These analyses supported dose selection for the aztreonam-avibactam Phase III clinical program. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01689207; NCT02655419; NCT03329092; NCT03580044.

Dick van Velzen and the Burnside warehouse organ scandal in Nova Scotia, Canada.

Dick van Velzen practiced as a pediatric pathologist at Alder Hey Children's Hospital in Liverpool, England from September 1988 until December 1995; he then relocated to the IWK-Grace Health Centre, a children's and maternity hospital in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, where he practiced until he was fired for cause in January 1998. About a year and a half later, his practice in Liverpool came under increasing scrutiny, with the initial focus on the massive collection of post-mortem pediatric organs he had accumulated for planned future research on sudden infant death syndrome. Soon, a Parliamentary Inquiry began investigating the full scope of his Liverpool practice. During the Inquiry, another organ-hoarding scandal erupted; van Velzen, when leaving Halifax after his dismissal, had put his family's personal belongings into a storage facility at Burnside Industrial Park and then did not pay bills. As his belongings were being prepared for auction, formalin-fixed organs were found, and a Canada-wide arrest warrant for disrespect for human remains was issued by the Halifax Police. While the Alder Hey scandal resulted in a 535-page-long Parliamentary Report and the Human Tissue Act, van Velzen was never charged criminally in the UK. The largely unknown story of his second organ scandal in Halifax, is related here. Although he had obtained the body parts with the consent of the parents of the child to which they had belonged, his failure to properly identify and store them traumatized parents already impacted by his organ-hoarding in the UK, traumatized additional parents in Halifax, and resulted in significant waste of public resources in investigating the case. He pled guilty to "indignity to a human body" in Canada and was fined and placed on 12 months' probation.

Markov Blankets and Mirror Symmetries-Free Energy Minimization and Mesocortical Anatomy.

A theoretical account of development in mesocortical anatomy is derived from the free energy principle, operating in a neural field with both Hebbian and anti-Hebbian neural plasticity. An elementary structural unit is proposed, in which synaptic connections at mesoscale are arranged in paired patterns with mirror symmetry. Exchanges of synaptic flux in each pattern form coupled spatial eigenmodes, and the line of mirror reflection between the paired patterns operates as a Markov blanket, so that prediction errors in exchanges between the pairs are minimized. The theoretical analysis is then compared to the outcomes from a biological model of neocortical development, in which neuron precursors are selected by apoptosis for cell body and synaptic connections maximizing synchrony and also minimizing axonal length. It is shown that this model results in patterns of connection with the anticipated mirror symmetries, at micro-, meso- and inter-arial scales, among lateral connections, and in cortical depth. This explains the spatial organization and functional significance of neuron response preferences, and is compatible with the structural form of both columnar and noncolumnar cortex. Multi-way interactions of mirrored representations can provide a preliminary anatomically realistic model of cortical information processing.

Surgeon Experience Is the Most Important Predictor of Case Failure Rate for Anterior Odontoid Screw Fixation: A Large Database Study.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective database analysis. OBJECTIVE: Determine risk factors and failure rate of anterior odontoid screw fixation surgery. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Anterior odontoid screw fixation (AOSF) stabilizes type II dens fractures while preserving cervical motion. Despite having potential advantages, AOSF's failure rate and factors contributing to failure remain unknown. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified AOSF patients in the national claims database Pearldiver using CPT code 22318. Failure was defined as the requirement of supplementary posterior fusion surgery in the C1-C2 or occiput-C2 region after the AOSF. We considered potential predictors of failure including age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), surgeon experience, history of osteoporosis, obesity, and tobacco use. Univariate comparison analysis and logistic regression were conducted to identify factors associated with the need for additional posterior surgery. RESULTS: For 2008 identified cases of AOSF, 249 cases (12.4%) required additional posterior fusion. Seventy-one of the 249 cases (28.5%) underwent revision surgery on the same day as the AOSF. Over 86% of revisions (215 cases) occurred within 200 days of the initial procedure. Posterior fusion rates are inversely correlated with surgeon experience, with the most experienced surgeons having a rate of 10.0%, followed by 11.5% for moderately experienced surgeons, and 15.0% for the least experienced surgeons. When comparing moderate and inexperienced surgeons to experienced surgeons, the odds ratios for posterior fusion were 1.18 ( P >0.05) and 1.61 ( P <0.006), respectively. Logistic regression revealed that both lesser experience (odds ratio=1.50) and osteoporosis (odds ratio=1.44) were the only factors significantly associated with failure ( P <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate a correlation between AOSF success and surgeon experience. While currently published results suggest higher success rates, most of this data originates from experienced surgeons and specialized centers, therefore, they may not accurately reflect the failure rate encountered in a more general practice setting. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Benefits of Neurosurgical Teleconsults in the Management of Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Transfers and Transportation Cost Reduction.

BACKGROUND: Our study explores the efficacy and economic benefits of neurosurgical teleconsultations in managing intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), focusing on reducing unnecessary patient transfers and associated costs. METHODS: We conducted a cost-savings analysis at our institution of a previously published pilot study involving a cohort of patients with ICH who were potential candidates for airlift to our tertiary care center but instead received neurosurgical consultation via teleconsultation to avoid the transfer. Data on patient demographics, distances, and costs were collected and analyzed to assess the economic impact of teleconsultations. RESULTS: The cohort comprised 14 patients; we noted significant cost savings from avoiding interhospital transfers, ranging from $84,346.52 to $120,495.03 per patient. Teleconsultations facilitated immediate, collaborative decision-making between healthcare providers at community hospitals and a tertiary care center, reducing the need for expensive air transportation and unnecessary hospital transfers. CONCLUSIONS: Neurosurgical teleconsultations offer a cost-effective alternative to traditional patient transfer methods for ICH management, providing substantial economic benefits while maintaining high physician and patient-family satisfaction levels. This study underscores the potential of our teleneurosurgery program to significantly reduce costs by reducing unnecessary financial burdens on patients' families and healthcare systems.

Remembering visual and linguistic common ground in shared history.

Successful communication requires speakers and listeners to refer to information in their common ground. Shared history is one of the bases for common ground, as information from a communicative episode in the past can be referred to in future communication. However, to draw upon shared history, communicative partners need to have an accurate memory record that they can refer to. The memory mechanism for shared history is poorly understood. The current study investigated the ways in which memory for shared history is prioritised. Two experiments presented a referential communication task followed by a surprise recognition memory task, with the former task serving as an episode of shared history. Experiment 1 revealed superior memory for information that was both seen in the communicators' common ground and referred to, followed by information that was seen but not referred to, and finally by information privileged to the participants. Experiment 2 provided a replication of Experiment 1 and further demonstrated that these co-presence effects are not dependent on the presence of a speaker with a different perspective to the participant.

Methodological review of NMA bias concepts provides groundwork for the development of a list of concepts for potential inclusion in a new risk of bias tool for network meta-analysis (RoB NMA Tool).

INTRODUCTION: Network meta-analyses (NMAs) have gained popularity and grown in number due to their ability to provide estimates of the comparative effectiveness of multiple treatments for the same condition. The aim of this study is to conduct a methodological review to compile a preliminary list of concepts related to bias in NMAs. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We included papers that present items related to bias, reporting or methodological quality, papers assessing the quality of NMAs, or method papers. We searched MEDLINE, the Cochrane Library and unpublished literature (up to July 2020). We extracted items related to bias in NMAs. An item was excluded if it related to general systematic review quality or bias and was included in currently available tools such as ROBIS or AMSTAR 2. We reworded items, typically structured as questions, into concepts (i.e. general notions). RESULTS: One hundred eighty-one articles were assessed in full text and 58 were included. Of these articles, 12 were tools, checklists or journal standards; 13 were guidance documents for NMAs; 27 were studies related to bias or NMA methods; and 6 were papers assessing the quality of NMAs. These studies yielded 99 items of which the majority related to general systematic review quality and biases and were therefore excluded. The 22 items we included were reworded into concepts specific to bias in NMAs. CONCLUSIONS: A list of 22 concepts was included. This list is not intended to be used to assess biases in NMAs, but to inform the development of items to be included in our tool.

HIGHLIGHTS: • Our research aimed to develop a preliminary list of concepts related to bias with the goal of developing the first tool for assessing the risk of bias in the results and conclusions of a network meta-analysis (NMA).• We followed the methodology proposed by Whiting (2017) and Sanderson (2007) for creating systematically developed lists of quality items, as a first step in the development of a risk of bias tool for network meta-analysis (RoB NMA Tool).• We included items related to biases in NMAs and excluded items that are equally applicable to all systematic reviews as they are covered by other tools (e.g. ROBIS, AMSTAR 2).• Fifty-seven studies were included generating 99 items, which when screened, yielded 22 included items. These items were then reworded into concepts in preparation for a Delphi process for further vetting by external experts.• A limitation of our study is the challenge in retrieving methods studies as methods collections are not regularly updated.

Contrasting reactivity of B-Cl and B-H bonds at [Ni(IMes)2] to form unsupported Ni-boryls.

[Ni(IMes)2] reacts with chloroboranes via oxidative addition to form rare unsupported Ni-boryls. In contrast, the oxidative addition of hydridoboranes is not observed and products from competing reaction pathways are identified. Computational studies relate these differences to the mechanism of oxidative addition: B-Cl activation proceeds via nucleophilic displacement of Cl-, while B-H activation would entail high energy concerted bond cleavage.

Cost-effectiveness of a novel urethral catheter safety device in preventing catheterization injuries in the UK.

AIMS: Intraurethral catheter balloon inflation is a substantial contributor to significant catheter-related urethral injury. A novel safety valve has been designed to prevent these balloon-inflation injuries. The purpose of this evaluation was to assess the cost-effectiveness of urethral catheterisation with the safety valve added to a Foley catheter versus the current standard of care (Foley catheter alone). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The analysis was conducted from the UK public payer perspective on a hypothetical cohort of adults requiring transurethral catheterization. A decision tree was used to capture outcomes in the first 30 days following transurethral catheterization, followed by a Markov model to estimate outcomes over a person's remaining lifetime. Clinical outcomes included catheter balloon injuries [CBIs], associated short-term complications, urethral stricture disease, life years and QALYs. Health-economic outcomes included total costs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, net monetary benefit (NMB) and net health benefit. RESULTS: Over a person's lifetime, the safety valve was predicted to reduce CBIs by 0.04 per person and CBI-related short-term complications by 0.03 per person, and nearly halve total costs. The safety valve was dominant, resulting in 0.02 QALYs gained and relative cost savings of £93.19 per person. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that the safety valve would be cost-saving in 97% of simulations run versus standard of care. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of a novel safety valve aiming to prevent CBIs during transurethral catheterization to current standard of care was estimated to bring both clinical benefits and cost savings.

Protocol for Surgery or Cast of the EpicoNdyle in Children's Elbows (SCIENCE).

Aims: The management of fractures of the medial epicondyle is one of the greatest controversies in paediatric fracture care, with uncertainty concerning the need for surgery. The British Society of Children's Orthopaedic Surgery prioritized this as their most important research question in paediatric trauma. This is the protocol for a randomized controlled, multicentre, prospective superiority trial of operative fixation versus nonoperative treatment for displaced medial epicondyle fractures: the Surgery or Cast of the EpicoNdyle in Children's Elbows (SCIENCE) trial. Methods: Children aged seven to 15 years old inclusive, who have sustained a displaced fracture of the medial epicondyle, are eligible to take part. Baseline function using the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) upper limb score, pain measured using the Wong Baker FACES pain scale, and quality of life (QoL) assessed with the EuroQol five-dimension questionnaire for younger patients (EQ-5D-Y) will be collected. Each patient will be randomly allocated (1:1, stratified using a minimization algorithm by centre and initial elbow dislocation status (i.e. dislocated or not-dislocated at presentation to the emergency department)) to either a regimen of the operative fixation or non-surgical treatment. Outcomes: At six weeks, and three, six, and 12 months, data on function, pain, sports/music participation, QoL, immobilization, and analgesia will be collected. These will also be repeated annually until the child reaches the age of 16 years. Four weeks after injury, the main outcomes plus data on complications, resource use, and school absence will be collected. The primary outcome is the PROMIS upper limb score at 12 months post-randomization. All data will be obtained through electronic questionnaires completed by the participants and/or parents/guardians. The NHS number of participants will be stored to enable future data linkage to sources of routinely collected data (i.e. Hospital Episode Statistics).

Fibula Free Flap Reconstruction of Cervical Spine Defects: A Multi-Institutional Study.

INTRODUCTION: Cervical spine defects result in spinal instability, putting the spinal cord and vertebral arteries at risk of damage and possibly devastating neurological injuries. The fibula free flap can span the spinal defects for stability. There is a paucity of literature on this technique. METHOD: Multi-institutional retrospective case series reviewing patients who underwent cervical spine reconstruction with a fibula free flap. Patient demographic information, comorbidities, characteristics of cervical spine defects, and free flap complications were collected. RESULTS: A total of 1187 fibula free flaps across 10 different institutions were reviewed. Thirteen patients (1.09%) underwent cervical spine reconstruction with a fibula free flap. Average age was 52.3 years old with an age range of 12-79 years. There were six males (46.1%) and seven females (53.8%). The most common defect etiology was infection (n = 6, 46.1%). Most commonly involved cervical spine level of the defect was C5 (n = 10) followed by C6 (n = 9) and C4 (n = 8). The majority of reconstructed defects spanned three or more cervical levels, (n = 9, 69.2%). Facial artery was the most common arterial anastomosis (n = 8). Eight patients (61.5%) required a tracheostomy during their postoperative course. None of the patients had symptomatic or radiographic nonunion. CONCLUSION: This case series demonstrates that a vascularized fibula flap is a potential reconstructive option for cervical spine defects, especially in defects greater than three cervical levels, in the setting of infection, and previously radiated patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 4 Laryngoscope, 2024.

Population immunity to varicella in Canada: A Canadian Immunization Research Network (CIRN) study.

INTRODUCTION: The incidence of varicella in Canada has decreased by almost 99% since vaccination was introduced. However, variation in the timing and eligibility of vaccination programs across the country has resulted in some cohorts being under-vaccinated and therefore potentially susceptible to infection. METHODS: We used nationally representative specimens from the Biobank of Statistics Canada's Canadian Health Measures Survey (CHMS) as well as residual specimens from Ontario collected between 2009-2014 to estimate population immunity across age-groups and geography, and identify any groups at increased risk of varicella infection. RESULTS: The weighted proportion of specimens with antibody levels above the threshold of protection was 93.6% (95% CI: 92.4, 95.0). Protection was lowest among those aged 3-5 years (54.3%; 95% CI: 47.3, 61.4), but increased with age. Individuals born outside Canada had more than twice the odds of varicella susceptibility than those born in Canada (aOR: 2.7; 95% CI: 1.4, 5.0; p = 0.004). There were no differences by sex or geography within Canada, and there were no statistically significant differences when Ontario CHMS sera were compared to Ontario residual sera, apart from in participants aged 12-19 year age-group, for whom the CHMS estimate (91.2%; 95% CI: 86.7, 95.7) was significantly higher (p = 0.03) than that from residual specimens (85.9%, 95% CI: 81.1, 90.8). DISCUSSION: Varicella immunity in Canada is changing. Children appear to have low population immunity, placing them at greater risk of infection and at increased risk of severe disease as they age. Our results underscore the importance of performing periodic serosurveys to monitor further population immunity changes as the proportion of vaccine-eligible birth-cohorts increases, and to continually assess the risk of outbreaks.

J.J.R. Macleod: Misunderstood, Misinterpreted, and Maligned.

After the discovery of insulin at the University of Toronto in 1921-22, Frederick Banting and Charles Best downplayed the contributions of physiology professor John James Rickard Macleod, the director of the laboratory where the discovery was made. Banting and Best, their allies, and to a lesser extent the university promoted a "fairy tale" version in which the two young investigators made the discovery on their own, creating the so-called "Banting and Best myth." Over the next 60 years, the myth prevailed and Macleod's reputation became increasingly tarnished, with both Banting and Best actively maligning their former mentor. While the publication of Michael Bliss' The Discovery of Insulin in 1982 placed Macleod's reputation on the road to recovery, there are still many lingering issues that have been raised, and Macleod remains misunderstood, misinterpreted, and maligned. This paper, using primary and secondary historical sources, addresses topics that have been repetitively raised by Macleod's detractors over the past century.

Résumé. Après la découverte de l'insuline à l'Université de Toronto en 1921­1922, Frederick Banting et Charles Best ont minimisé les contributions du professeur de physiologie John James Rickard Macleod, directeur du laboratoire où la découverte a été faite. En compagnie de leurs alliés et dans une certaine mesure de l'Université, Banting et Best ont propagé un conte de fée dans lequel les deux jeunes chercheurs auraient fait cette découverte par eux-mêmes, donnant ainsi naissance au « mythe Banting et Best ¼. Au cours des 60 années suivantes, ce mythe a prévalu et la réputation de Macleod a été ternie, Banting et Best s'employant à calomnier leur ancien mentor. Si la publication de The Discovery of Insulin (1982) par Michael Bliss a quelque peu rétabli la réputation de Macleod, celui-ci est encore largement incompris, mal interprété et dénigré. En s'appuyant sur des sources historiques premières et secondaires, cet article aborde les enjeux qui ont été soulevés de manière répétée par les détracteurs de Macleod au cours du XXe siècle.

The Rare Presence of an Asymptomatic Os Sustentaculum in a Young Athlete.

The presence of an os sustentaculum bone is extremely rare. Given the scarcity of clinical literature reporting such a finding, the condition may be misdiagnosed as a fracture of the sustentaculum tali. We describe such an incident in a 16-year-old male athlete presenting for a recent ankle sprain with no other history of trauma or pain on the medial aspect of the ankle. The original computed tomographic scan reported a possible nonunion of a sustentaculum fracture, or peripherally corticated ossification in association with a possible talocalcaneal fibrocartilaginous coalition. Given no history of high-level trauma to the area, the clinical presentation, and the radiographic findings, the more likely diagnosis was confirmed to be an os sustentaculum. The goal of the authors of this article is to report such findings to raise awareness of a rare clinical presentation to avoid misdiagnosis.

Utilization of Vertebroplasty/Kyphoplasty in the Management of Compression Fractures: National Trends and Predictors of Vertebroplasty/Kyphoplasty.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to examine the utilization of kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty procedures in the management of compression fractures. With the growing elderly population and the associated increase in rates of osteoporosis, vertebral compression fractures have become a daily encounter for spine surgeons. However, there remains a lack of consensus on the optimal management of this patient population. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 91 million longitudinally followed patients from 2016 to 2019 was performed using the PearlDiver Patient Claims Database. Patients with compression fractures were identified using International Classification of Disease, 10th Revision codes, and a subset of patients who received kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty were identified using Common Procedural Terminology codes. Baseline demographic and clinical data between groups were acquired. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to determine predictors of receiving kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty. RESULTS: A total of 348,457 patients with compression fractures were identified with 9.2% of patients receiving kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty as their initial treatment. Of these patients, 43.5% underwent additional kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty 30 days after initial intervention. Patients receiving kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty were significantly older (72.2 vs. 67.9, p < 0.05), female, obese, had active smoking status and had higher Elixhauser Comorbidity Index scores. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that female sex, smoking status, and obesity were the 3 strongest predictors of receiving kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty (odds ratio, 1.27, 1.24, and 1.14, respectively). The annual rate of kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty did not change significantly (range, 8%-11%). CONCLUSION: The majority of vertebral compression fractures are managed nonoperatively. However, certain patient factors such as smoking status, obesity, female sex, older age, osteoporosis, and greater comorbidities are predictors of undergoing kyphoplasty/vertebroplasty.

Pharmacotherapy for mild hypertension

BACKGROUND: People with no previous cardiovascular events or cardiovascular disease represent a primary prevention population. The benefits and harms of treating mild hypertension in primary prevention patients are not known at present. This review examines the existing randomized controlled trial (RCT) evidence. OBJECTIVE: Primary objective: To quantify the effects of antihypertensive drug therapy on mortality and morbidity in adults with mild hypertension (systolic blood pressure (BP) 140-159 mmHg and/or diastolic BP 90-99 mmHg) and without cardiovascular disease. METHODS: Search: We searched CENTRAL (2011, Issue 1), MEDLINE (1948 to May 2011), EMBASE (1980 to May 2011) and reference lists of articles. The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and the Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effectiveness (DARE) were searched for previous reviews and meta-analyses of anti-hypertensive drug treatment compared to placebo or no treatment trials up until the end of 2011. Selection criteria: RCTs of at least 1 year duration. Data collection and analysis: The outcomes assessed were mortality, stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), total cardiovascular events (CVS), and withdrawals due to adverse effects. MAIN RESULTS: Of 11 RCTs identified 4 were included in this review, with 8,912 participants. Treatment for 4 to 5 years with antihypertensive drugs as compared to placebo did not reduce total mortality (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.63, 1.15). In 7,080 participants treatment with antihypertensive drugs as compared to placebo did not reduce coronary heart disease (RR 1.12, 95% CI 0.80, 1.57), stroke (RR 0.51, 95% CI 0.24, 1.08), or total cardiovascular events (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.72, 1.32). Withdrawals due to adverse effects were increased by drug therapy (RR 4.80, 95% CI 4.14, 5.57), ARR 9%. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Antihypertensive drugs used in the treatment of adults (primary prevention) with mild hypertension (systolic BP 140-159 mmHg and/or diastolic BP 90-99 mmHg) have not been shown to reduce mortality or morbidity in RCTs. Treatment caused 9% of patients to discontinue treatment due to adverse effects. More RCTs are needed in this prevalent population to know whether the benefits of treatment exceed the harms.

O país no futuro: aspectos metodológicos e cenários / Country of the future: methodological aspects and scenarios

Este trabalho apresenta os objetivos, a metodologia e os resultados iniciais de um esforço de pensar cenários para o Brasil em 2022, e demonstra a importância e a viabilidade do uso de cenários para planejar os rumos do país. São apresentados os cenários globais e institucionais elaborados por uma equipe do IEA no Projeto "Brasil 3 Tempos", coordenado pelo Núcleo de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República. Os resultados demonstram que é possível integrar de maneira produtiva as opiniões de um grupo de mais de duzentos especialistas, criando de maneira estruturada um conjunto de cenários consistentes e plausíveis sobre o futuro. Visões estruturadas do futuro são fundamentais para definirmos as ações estratégicas de longo prazo indispensáveis para alcançarmos um cenário futuro desejado, diante das múltiplas oportunidades e desafios de um mundo em transformação.