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Background and purpose:The Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention provides annual updates on cancer occurrence and trends in Shanghai.This study aimed to investigate the cancer incidence and mortality in 201 7 and their trends from 2002 to 2017 in Shanghai. Methods:Data of new cancer diagnoses and deaths from 2002 to 2017 were obtained from the Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention population-based cancer registry and Vital Statistics System.Cancer incidence and mortality stratified by year of diagnosis or death,gender and age group were analyzed.Number,proportion,crude rate,age-specific rate,age-standardized rate and others were calculated.The number,proportion and rates of common cancers in different groups were also calculated.Trends in age-standardized rate of incidence and death rates for all cancers combined and for the common cancer types by gender were estimated by joinpoint analysis and characterized by the annual percent change(APC)and average annual percent change(AAPC).Segi's 1960 world standard population was used for calculating age-standardized incidence and mortality. Results:The new cancer cases and deaths were 79 378 and 37 186 in Shanghai in 2017.The crude rate of incidence was 546.55/105,and the age-standardized rate was 246.31/105.The age-standardized rate of incidence was higher among females than among males.The crude rate of mortality was 256.04/1 05,and the age-standardized rate was 88.41/105.The age-standardized rate of mortality was higher among males than among females.The age-specific numbers and rates of incidence and mortality increased with age.The age-specific number and rate of incidence reached the peak at the age groups of 60-64 years and older than 85 years,and those of mortality among males reached the peak at the age groups of 60-64 years and older than 85 years,and those of mortality among females reached the peak at the age groups of older than 85 years,respectively.The sites of top 10 common cancer types sorted by the number of incidence cases among males were lung,colorectum,stomach,prostate,liver,thyroid,pancreas,bladder,kidney and oesophagus,and among females were lung,breast,thyroid,colorectum,stomach,pancreas,liver,brain,central nervous system(CNS),cervix uteri and gallbladder,the sites of those sorted by the number of deaths among males were lung,stomach,colorectum,liver,pancreas,prostate,oesophagus,bladder,lymphoma and gallbladder,among females were lung,colorectum,breast,stomach,pancreas,liver,gallbladder,brain,CNS,ovary and lymphoma.The top 10 common cancer types stratified by gender and the top 5 common cancer types stratified by common age groups merged of incidence and mortality had wide variations.Overall,the age-standardized rates of incidence were stable from 2002 to 2009,and increased 2.88％on average per year from 2009 to 201 7.The age-standardized rates of mortality were stable from 2002 to 2011,and decreased 2.66％on average per year from 2011 to 201 7.The trends differed by gender and cancer type. Conclusion:Lung cancer,colorectal cancer,pancreatic cancer,thyroid cancer,female breast cancer,cervical cancer and male prostate cancer are the most common cancers in Shanghai,the appropriate screening technical scheme should be formulated according to the current situation of malignant tumors in Shanghai,promote cancer opportunistic screening,promote appropriate technologies for intervention and management of cancer patients in the community,reduce the disease burden of malignant tumors.
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Objective:To investigate the survival of cancer cases diagnosed during 2002-2013 in Shanghai. Methods:Data on new cancer cases with dead and follow-up information were obtained from the population-based cancer registry and vital statistics system of Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention.Survival indicators stratified by year of diagnosis,gender,site and age were analyzed.Number of cases and proportion were calculated.The observed survival rates were calculated based on the life table.The probabilities of surviving from 0 to 99 years old were estimated according to the Elandt-Johnson model,and then the cumulative expected survival rates were calculated according to the Ederer Ⅱ method.Finally,the relative survival rates and average annual percent changes of their trends were calculated.The age-standardized relative survival rates adjusted by International Cancer Survival Standard weights were calculated. Results:Total 644 520 new cancer cases were diagnosed during 2002-2013 in Shanghai,accounting for 643 545(99.85％)cases included in the observed cohort for survival analysis.The 5-year observed survival rate increased from 37.61％to 46.47％.The 5-year relative survival rate increased from 42.1 8％to 51.11％.The 5-year age-standardized relative survival rate increased from 40.57％to 49.80％.Among the 5-year relative survival rates of cases diagnosed during 2011 to 2013,99.43％of thyroid cancer was the highest,followed by female breast cancer(88.35％)and corpus uteri cancer(85.56％);5.87％of pancreas cancer was the lowest,followed by gallbladder cancer(13.64％)and oesophagus cancer(17.72％).the rate of lung cancer with the largest number of cases was 23.59％,followed by colorectal cancer(59.82％)and stomach cancer(38.65％).The 5-year relative survival rate of total cases of all sites increased from 40.55％in 2002 to 52.77％in 2013,with an average annual percent change of 2.40％.13 cancer types showed increasing trends,such as liver cancer and lung cancer,while the trends of other cancer types were not statistically significant,such as pancreatic cancer and gallbladder cancer. Conclusion:The diagnostic levels and survival rates of cancer cases have been improved continuously in Shanghai.The trends of different cancer types were varied.
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Objective:To investigate the lung cancer incidence and mortality in 2016 and their trends from 2002 to 2016 in shanghai. Methods:The data of incidence and death on lung cancer in shanghai from 2002 to 2016 were obtained from the Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention population-based cancer registry and Vital Statistics System.Lung Cancer incidence and mortality stratified by age of diagnosis or death,gender and age-group were analyzed.The number of cases and deaths,proportion,crude rates,age-specific rates,age-standardized rates,corresponding truncated age-standardized rates(35-64 years)and cumulative rates were calculated.Segi's 1960 world standard population was used for calculating age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality as well as truncated age-standardized rates.Trends in age-standardized rates of incidence and death for lung cancer in Shanghai from 2002-2016 were estimated by Joinpoint analysis and characterized by the annual percent change(APC). Results:The new lung cancer cases and deaths were 14 395 and 9 170 in Shanghai in 2016.The crude rate of incidence was 99.41/105,and the age-standardized rate of incidence was 39.76/105.New cases of lung cancer accounted for 19.34％of all malignant tumors in shanghai,ranking the first in the incidence spectrum of malignant tumors.The crude rate of mortality was 63.33/105,and the age-standardized rate was 21.57/105.Deaths of lung cancer accounted for 24.78％of all malignant tumor deaths in shanghai,ranking the first in the mortality spectrum of malignant tumors.The age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality for males were higher than those for females.The age-specific numbers and rates of incidence and mortality increased with age.The age-specific number and rate of incidence reached the peak at the age group of 60-64 years and 80-84 years respectively,and those of mortality peaked at the age group of 80-84 years and older than 85 years respectively.The incidence of lung cancer increased from 33.70/105 in 2002 to 39.76/1 05 in 2016 in Shanghai.Joinpoint analyses showed that the age-standardized rate of lung cancer incidence remained stable from 2002 to 2010(APC=-0.79,t=-1.46,P=0.175)but showed a significant upward trend with an average annual increase rate of 5.12％from 2010 to 2016(APC=5.12,t=6.97,P＜0.001).The standardized mortality showed a downward trend with an average annual decrease rate of 0.87％from 2002 to 2016(APC=-0.87,t=-2.87,P=0.013). Conclusion:The incidence of lung cancer in Shanghai during 2002-2016 presented an upward trend while the mortality of lung cancer showed a gradual downward trend.There are differences in the incidence and mortality of lung cancer among different gender and age groups.
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Objective:To investigate the liver cancer incidence and mortality in 2016 and their trends during 2002 through 2016 in Shanghai. Methods:Data on new liver cancer diagnoses and deaths during 2002 through 2016 were obtained from the Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention population-based cancer registry and Vital Statistics System,the numbers,crude rates and age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality of liver cancer were calculated.Segi's 1960 world standard population was used to calculate age-standardized rates.Joinpoint analysis was used to analyze the trend changes and to estimate the annual percent change of incidence and mortality rates. Results:There were 3 842 new liver cancer cases in Shanghai in 201 6,69.44％of which were males,and 3 275 deaths of liver cancer,69.44％of which were males.Mortality to incidence ratio was 0.85.The crude rate of incidence was 26.53/105,and the age-standardized rate was 10.60/105.The crude rate of mortality was 22.62/105,and the age-standardized rate was 8.65/105.The Sex ratios for age-standardized incidence and mortality were 2.91∶1 and 2.97∶1,respectively.The age-specific numbers and rates of incidence and mortality increased with age.Overall,the age-standardized rate of incidence of liver cancer was decreased 3.69％on average per year during 2002 through 2016,and the age-standardized rate of mortality of liver cancer was decreased 3.82％on average per year. Conclusion:The incidence and mortality of liver cancer in Shanghai have been remarkably decreased to a low level countrywide,while liver cancer is still one of the leading malignancies and it brings serious threat to public health,comprehensive prevention and control efforts should be strengthened according to its epidemic characteristics and risk factors.
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Objective:More than half of esophageal cancer incidences and deaths occurred in China.Based on the Shanghai Tumor Registration data,this study analyzed the incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in Shanghai in 2016 and the changing trend from 2002 to 2016,in order to provide an epidemic basis for the prevention and treatment of esophageal cancer. Methods:Data on esophageal cancer in Shanghai from 2002 to 2016 were obtained through Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention Population-based Cancer Registry and Vital Statistics System.The number of cases and deaths,crude rates,composition ratios,age-specific rates and cumulative rates were counted according to the year of diagnosis or death,gender and age groups.Segi's 1960 world standard population was used to calculate age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality,and corresponding truncated age-standardized rate(35-64 years old)on esophageal cancer.Z-test and Cochran test were used to compare the differences of age-specific rates and age-standardized rates among different subgroups,respectively.Temporal trend analyses were conducted by Joinpiont 4.9.1.0 software. Results:In 2016,the proportion of morphological verification of new cases of esophageal cancer in Shanghai was 73.1 8％,the proportion of death certificate only was 0.72％,and the ratio of death to incidence was 0.84.The number of new cases and deaths of esophageal cancer in Shanghai in 2016 were 1 398 and 1 171,accounting for 1.88％and 3.1 6％of all malignant tumors,respectively.The crude incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer were 9.65/100 000 and 8.09/100000,with age-standardized incidence and mortality of 3.36/100 000 and 2.67/100,000,respectively.The age-standardized incidence and mortality were significantly higher in males than in females.The age-specific incidence and mortality increased with age,and peaked at 50.54/100 000 and 53.35/1 00 000,respectively,among people aged 85 years and older.From 2002 to 2016,both the number of new cases and deaths of esophageal cancer in Shanghai showed a downward trend,and the age-standardized incidence and mortality also showed a downward trend,with an average annual deceleration of 4.45％[annual percent change(APC)=-4.45,P＜0.001]and 4.1 7％(APC=-4.17,P＜0.001),respectively. Conclusion:The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in Shanghai were at a low epidemic level across China,and showed a downward trend from 2002 to 2016.Esophageal cancer screening should focus on males and subjects aged 55 to 64 years.
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Objective:To describe the epidemiological features and temporal trends of colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai from 1973 to 2017. Methods:Data on colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai was obtained through Shanghai Cancer Registry and Vital Statistics System.Joinpoint analysis was used to describe the temporal trends and annual percent change(APC)and age-period-cohort analysis was used to estimate the association between age,period and birth cohort and colorectal cancer. Results:A total of 105 847 cases and 60 447 deaths of colorectal cancer were diagnosed in urban Shanghai over the 45-year study period.Both the number of new cases and the number of deaths showed an increasing trend.In the same period,the age-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer in urban areas of Shanghai increased significantly from 14.1/100 000 in 1973 to 27.7/100 000 in 2017,while the age-standardized mortality rate increased from 8.2/100 000 to 10.7/100 000.The overall average annual age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were 20.4/100 000 and 11.0/100 000,respectively.With the increase of age,the age-standardized morbidity and mortality of colorectal cancer showed an obvious upward trend.Taking 1993-1997 as reference,the risk of colorectal cancer in Shanghai reached the highest in 2013-2017,and the corresponding relative risk was 1.2(95％confidence interval:1.2-1.3),while the lowest was 0.9(95％confidence interval:0.8-1.0)during 1973-1977.Mortality risk,on the contrary,decreased with the increase of time.Before 1953-1957,the risk of colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai increased with the increase of birth cohort time,and then showed a downward trend.There was a corresponding decline in the risk of colorectal cancer death among people born after 1957. Conclusion:The incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Shanghai showed an increasing trend from 1973 to 2017,but the prevalence trend of colorectal cancer is still different among different populations.
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Objective@#To explore the correlation between obesity and the risk of colorectal adenoma, so as to provide theoretic evidence for the intervention of the high-risk population for colorectal cancer.@*Methods@#Based on the Screen Project of Early Diagnosis and Treatment of Colorectal Cancer in Jiashan County, from August 2012 to March 2018, the results of colonoscopy and body measurement information of the high-risk population for colorectal cancer were collected. According to the results of colonoscopy, 3 895 patients with colorectal adenoma and 11 232 healthy controls were enrolled. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the correlation between overweight (body mass index (BMI) 24.0 to 27.9 kg/m2), obesity (BMI≥28.0 kg/m2) and the risk of colorectal adenoma.@*Results@#After adjusting for gender and age, compared with that of individuals with normal weight (BMI 18.5 to 23.9 kg/m2), the risk of colorectal adenoma of obese patients increased by 36% (odds ratio (OR)=1.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18 to 1.56). After stratifing by gender, compared with that of individuals with normal weight, the risk of colorectal adenoma of obese males increased by 30% (OR=1.30, 95%CI 1.07 to 1.59), the risk of colorectal adenoma of overweight females and obese females increased by 15% (OR=1.15, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.31) and 40% (OR=1.40, 95%CI 1.14 to 1.71), respectively. After stratifing by age, compared with that of individuals with normal weight, the risk of colorectal adenoma of obese patients aged between 40 and 59 years increased by 31% (OR=1.31, 95%CI 1.07 to 1.61), and the risk of colorectal adenoma of overweight and obese patients aged between 60 and 74 years increased by 13% (OR=1.13, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.27) and 39% (OR=1.39, 95%CI 1.15 to 1.70), respectively. The results of subgroup analysis according to pathological types indicated that the risk of non-advanced adenoma and advanced adenoma of obese patients increased by 35% (OR=1.35, 95%CI 1.16 to 1.57) and 39% (OR=1.39, 95%CI 1.06 to 1.83), respectively.@*Conclusions@#Obesity is correlated with colorectal adenoma, which is more significant in women, individuals aged between 60 and 74 years and advanced adenoma. The intervention of high-risk population for colorectal cancer should include body mass control.
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Objective To explore the correlation between obesity and the risk of colorectal adenoma,so as to provide theoretic evidence for the intervention of the high-risk population for colorectal cancer.Methods Based on the Screen Project of Early Diagnosis and Treatment of Colorectal Cancer in Jiashan County,from August 2012 to March 2018,the results of colonoscopy and body measurement information of the high-risk population for colorectal cancer were collected.According to the results of colonoscopy,3 895 patients with colorectal adenoma and 11 232 healthy controls were enrolled.Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the correlation between overweight (body mass index (BMI) 24.0 to 27.9 kg/m2),obesity (BMI≥ 28.0 kg/m2) and the risk of colorectal adenoma.Results After adjusting for gender and age,compared with that of individuals with normal weight (BMI 18.5 to 23.9 kg/m2),the risk of colorectal adenoma of obese patients increased by 36％ (odds ratio (OR) =1.36,95％ confidence interval (CI) 1.18 to 1.56).After stratifing by gender,compared with that of individuals with normal weight,the risk of colorectal adenoma of obese males increased by 30％ (OR =1.30,95％ CI 1.07 to 1.59),the risk of colorectal adenoma of overweight females and obese females increased by 15％ (OR =1.15,95％ CI 1.01 to 1.31) and 40％ (OR =1.40,95％ CI 1.14 to l.71),respectively.After stratifing by age,compared with that of individuals with normal weight,the risk of colorectal adenoma of obese patients aged between 40 and 59 years increased by 31％ (OR =1.31,95％ CI 1.07 to 1.61),and the risk of colorectal adenoma of overweight and obese patients aged between 60 and 74 years increased by 13％ (OR=1.13,95％CI 1.01 to 1.27) and 39％ (OR=1.39,95％ CI 1.15 to 1.70),respectively.The results of subgroup analysis according to pathological types indicated that the risk of non-advanced adenoma and advanced adenoma of obese patients increased by 35％ (OR =1.35,95％CI 1.16 to 1.57) and 39％ (OR=1.39,95％CI 1.06 to 1.83),respectively.Conclusions Obesity is correlated with colorectal adenoma,which is more significant in women,individuals aged between 60 and 74 years and advanced adenoma.The intervention of high-risk population for colorectal cancer should include body mass control.
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Objective@#To explore the association between dietary inflammatory index (DII) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components among children aged 6-14 years in Beijing, so as to provide a reference for preventing MetS.@*Methods@#A cross sectional study was carried out in 2 086 records of 1 832 children from the 2017 and 2019 Nutrition and Health Surveillance in Primary and Secondary school students of Beijing (NHSPSB). Three day consecutive 24 hour dietary recalls combined with weighing household cooking oils and condiments were used to collect dietary intake and calculate DII. MetS was diagnosed according to "Definition and Suggestion on the Metabolic Syndrome of Chinese Children and Adolescent". The Generalized estimating equations (GEEs) models were used to analyze the association between DII and the presence of MetS and its components (abdominal obesity, high triglyceride, low high density lipoprotein cholesterol, hypertension, and hyperglycemia).@*Results@#The mean DII score was (1.64±1.07) for the included children. No significant association was found between DII scores and the likelihood of MetS (per 1 point increment: OR =1.16, 95% CI =0.92-1.48, P >0.05). In terms of the components of MetS, DII scores were positively associated with the odds of high triglyceride (per 1 point increment: OR =1.17, 95% CI =1.01-1.36, P <0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the association among different age groups ( P >0.05). No significant associations were observed between DII and other MetS components( P >0.05).@*Conclusion@#DII scores may not be correlated with the risk of MetS, but proinflammatory diet might increase the risk of high triglyceride. DII score in childhood should be emphasized to identify and prevent MetS as soon as possible.
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Objective:To investigate the moderating role of emotional expressivity in the relationship between test anxiety and working memory capacity (WMC).Methods:Totally 332 college students were selected.The Test Anxiety Inventory (TAI),Emotional Expressivity Inventory (EEI) and Arithmetic Operation-Word Memory Span Task (OSPAN) were used to measure the severity of test anxiety,working memory capacity,and degree of emotional expressivity,respectively.Results:TAI scores were negatively correlated with WMC scores (r =-0.36,P ＜0.01).Emotional expressivity had a moderating effect between scores of test anxiety and WMC (β =0.19,P ＜0.01).Test anxiety score negatively predicted WMC score in students with low emotional expressivity (β =-0.74,P ＜ 0.01),whereas it couldn't predict WMC in those with high emotional expressivity (β =-0.07,P ＞0.05).Conclusion:It suggests that higher emotional expressivity could buffer the negative effect of test anxiety on working memory capacity.