Effectiveness of the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine in health-care workers in South Africa (the Sisonke study): results from a single-arm, open-label, phase 3B, implementation study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to assess the effectiveness of a single dose of the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine (Johnson & Johnson) in health-care workers in South Africa during two waves of the South African COVID-19 epidemic. METHODS: In the single-arm, open-label, phase 3B implementation Sisonke study, health-care workers aged 18 years and older were invited for vaccination at one of 122 vaccination sites nationally. Participants received a single dose of 5 × 1010 viral particles of the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine. Vaccinated participants were linked with their person-level data from one of two national medical insurance schemes (scheme A and scheme B) and matched for COVID-19 risk with an unvaccinated member of the general population. The primary outcome was vaccine effectiveness against severe COVID-19, defined as COVID-19-related admission to hospital, hospitalisation requiring critical or intensive care, or death, in health-care workers compared with the general population, ascertained 28 days or more after vaccination or matching, up to data cutoff. This study is registered with the South African National Clinical Trial Registry, DOH-27-022021-6844, ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04838795, and the Pan African Clinical Trials Registry, PACTR202102855526180, and is closed to accrual. FINDINGS: Between Feb 17 and May 17, 2021, 477 102 health-care workers were enrolled and vaccinated, of whom 357 401 (74·9%) were female and 119 701 (25·1%) were male, with a median age of 42·0 years (33·0-51·0). 215 813 vaccinated individuals were matched with 215 813 unvaccinated individuals. As of data cutoff (July 17, 2021), vaccine effectiveness derived from the total matched cohort was 83% (95% CI 75-89) to prevent COVID-19-related deaths, 75% (69-82) to prevent COVID-19-related hospital admissions requiring critical or intensive care, and 67% (62-71) to prevent COVID-19-related hospitalisations. The vaccine effectiveness for all three outcomes were consistent across scheme A and scheme B. The vaccine effectiveness was maintained in older health-care workers and those with comorbidities including HIV infection. During the course of the study, the beta (B.1.351) and then the delta (B.1.617.2) SARS-CoV-2 variants of concerns were dominant, and vaccine effectiveness remained consistent (for scheme A plus B vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19-related hospital admission during beta wave was 62% [95% CI 42-76] and during delta wave was 67% [62-71], and vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19-related death during beta wave was 86% [57-100] and during delta wave was 82% [74-89]). INTERPRETATION: The single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine shows effectiveness against severe COVID-19 disease and COVID-19-related death after vaccination, and against both beta and delta variants, providing real-world evidence for its use globally. FUNDING: National Treasury of South Africa, the National Department of Health, Solidarity Response Fund NPC, The Michael & Susan Dell Foundation, The Elma Vaccines and Immunization Foundation, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Safety and Pharmacokinetics of Monoclonal Antibodies VRC07-523LS and PGT121 Administered Subcutaneously for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Prevention.

BACKGROUND: Effective, long-acting prevention approaches are needed to reduce human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) incidence. We evaluated the safety and pharmacokinetics of VRC07-523LS and PGT121 administered subcutaneously alone and in combination as passive immunization for young women in South Africa. METHODS: CAPRISA 012A was a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, dose-escalation phase 1 trial. We enrolled 45 HIV-negative women into 9 groups and assessed safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, neutralization activity, and antidrug antibody levels. Pharmacokinetic modeling was conducted to predict steady-state concentrations for 12- and 24-weekly dosing intervals. RESULTS: VRC07-523LS and PGT121, administered subcutaneously, were safe and well tolerated. Most common reactogenicity events were injection site tenderness and headaches. Nine product-related adverse events were mild and transient. Median VRC07-523LS concentrations after 20 mg/kg doses were 9.65 µg/mL and 3.86 µg/mL at 16 and 24 weeks. The median week 8 concentration after the 10 mg/kg PGT121 dose was 8.26 µg/mL. Modeling of PGT121 at 20 mg/kg showed median concentrations of 1.37 µg/mL and 0.22 µg/mL at 16 and 24 weeks. Half-lives of VRC07-523LS and PGT121 were 29 and 20 days. Both antibodies retained neutralizing activity postadministration and no antidrug antibodies were detected. CONCLUSIONS: Subcutaneous administration of VRC07-523LS in combination with optimized versions of PGT121 or other antibodies should be further assessed for HIV prevention.

Recurrent Subclinical Tuberculosis Among Antiretroviral Therapy-Accessing Participants: Incidence, Clinical Course, and Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Undiagnosed asymptomatic subclinical tuberculosis (TB) remains a significant threat to global TB control, accounting for a substantial proportion of cases among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/AIDS (PLWHA). We determined incidence, progression, and outcomes of subclinical TB in antiretroviral therapy (ART)-accessing PLWHA with known previous TB in South Africa. METHODS: A total of 402 adult PLWHA previously treated for TB were enrolled in the prospective Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa TRuTH (TB Recurrence Upon TB and HIV treatment) Study. Participants were screened for TB with quarterly clinical and bacteriologic evaluation and biannual chest radiographs over 36 months. Those with suspected or confirmed TB were referred to the National TB Programme. Participants received HIV services, including ART. Incidence rate of TB was estimated using Poisson regression and descriptive statistical analyses summarized data. RESULTS: A total of 48 of 402 (11.9%) bacteriologically confirmed incident recurrent TB cases were identified, comprising 17 of 48 (35.4%) subclinical TB cases and 31 of 48 (64.5%) clinical TB cases. Age, sex, and body mass index were similar among subclinical, clinical, and no TB groups. Incidence rates (95% Confidence Interval [CI]) of recurrent TB overall, in clinical and subclinical TB groups were 2.3 (1.7-3.0), 1.5 (1.1-2.2), and 0.9 (0.5-1.4) per 100 person-years, respectively. In the subclinical TB group, 14 of 17 (82.4%) were diagnosed by TB culture only, 11 of 17 (64.7%) received TB treatment, and 6 of 17 (35.3%) resolved TB spontaneously. CONCLUSIONS: High incidence rates of recurrent subclinical TB in PLWHA highlight inadequacies of symptom-based TB screening in high TB-HIV burden settings.

Safety evaluation of the single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine among healthcare workers in the Sisonke study in South Africa: A phase 3b implementation trial.

BACKGROUND: Real-world evaluation of the safety profile of vaccines after licensure is crucial to accurately characterise safety beyond clinical trials, support continued use, and thereby improve public confidence. The Sisonke study aimed to assess the safety and effectiveness of the Janssen Ad26.COV2.S vaccine among healthcare workers (HCWs) in South Africa. Here, we present the safety data. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In this open-label phase 3b implementation study among all eligible HCWs in South Africa registered in the national Electronic Vaccination Data System (EVDS), we monitored adverse events (AEs) at vaccination sites through self-reporting triggered by text messages after vaccination, healthcare provider reports, and active case finding. The frequency and incidence rate of non-serious and serious AEs were evaluated from the day of first vaccination (17 February 2021) until 28 days after the final vaccination in the study (15 June 2021). COVID-19 breakthrough infections, hospitalisations, and deaths were ascertained via linkage of the electronic vaccination register with existing national databases. Among 477,234 participants, 10,279 AEs were reported, of which 138 (1.3%) were serious AEs (SAEs) or AEs of special interest. Women reported more AEs than men (2.3% versus 1.6%). AE reports decreased with increasing age (3.2% for age 18-30 years, 2.1% for age 31-45 years, 1.8% for age 46-55 years, and 1.5% for age > 55 years). Participants with previous COVID-19 infection reported slightly more AEs (2.6% versus 2.1%). The most common reactogenicity events were headache (n = 4,923) and body aches (n = 4,483), followed by injection site pain (n = 2,767) and fever (n = 2,731), and most occurred within 48 hours of vaccination. Two cases of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome and 4 cases of Guillain-Barré Syndrome were reported post-vaccination. Most SAEs and AEs of special interest (n = 138) occurred at lower than the expected population rates. Vascular (n = 37; 39.1/100,000 person-years) and nervous system disorders (n = 31; 31.7/100,000 person-years), immune system disorders (n = 24; 24.3/100,000 person-years), and infections and infestations (n = 19; 20.1/100,000 person-years) were the most common reported SAE categories. A limitation of the study was the single-arm design, with limited routinely collected morbidity comparator data in the study setting. CONCLUSIONS: We observed similar patterns of AEs as in phase 3 trials. AEs were mostly expected reactogenicity signs and symptoms. Furthermore, most SAEs occurred below expected rates. The single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine demonstrated an acceptable safety profile, supporting the continued use of this vaccine in this setting. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04838795; Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR202102855526180.

Using joint models to study the association between CD4 count and the risk of death in TB/HIV data.

BACKGROUND: The association structure linking the longitudinal and survival sub-models is of fundamental importance in the joint modeling framework and the choice of this structure should be made based on the clinical background of the study. However, this information may not always be accessible and rationale for selecting this association structure has received relatively little attention in the literature. To this end, we aim to explore four alternative functional forms of the association structure between the CD4 count and the risk of death and provide rationale for selecting the optimal association structure for our data. We also aim to compare the results obtained from the joint model to those obtained from the time-varying Cox model. METHODS: We used data from the Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA) AIDS Treatment programme, the Starting Antiretroviral Therapy at Three Points in Tuberculosis (SAPiT) study, an open-label, three armed randomised, controlled trial between June 2005 and July 2010 (N=642). In our analysis, we combined the early and late integrated arms and compared results to the sequential arm. We utilized the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) to select the final model with the best structure, with smaller values indicating better model adjustments to the data. RESULTS: Patient characteristics were similar across the study arms. Combined integrated therapy arms had a reduction of 55% in mortality (HR:0.45, 95% CI:0.28-0.72) compared to the sequential therapy arm. The joint model with a cumulative effects functional form was chosen as the best association structure. In particular, our joint model found that the area under the longitudinal profile of CD4 count was strongly associated with a 21% reduction in mortality (HR:0.79, 95% CI:0.72-0.86). Where as results from the time-varying Cox model showed a 19% reduction in mortality (HR:0.81, 95% CI:0.77-0.84). CONCLUSIONS: In this paper we have shown that the "current value" association structure is not always the best structure that expresses the correct relationship between the outcomes in all settings, which is why it is crucial to explore alternative clinically meaningful association structures that links the longitudinal and survival processes.

Age-Restriction of a Validated Risk Scoring Tool Better Predicts HIV Acquisition in South African Women: CAPRISA 004.

We examined the predictive ability of the VOICE risk screening tool among adolescent girls and young women at heightened HIV risk in urban and peri-urban Kwa-Zulu-Natal, South Africa. Using participant data from CAPRISA 004's control arm (N = 444), we applied the initial VOICE risk screening score (IRS), a modified risk score (MRS) based on predictive and non-predictive variables in our data, and age-restricted (AIRS and AMRS, respectively). We estimated incidence rates, 95% confidence bounds, sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values and area under the curve (AUC). The sample's HIV incidence rate was 9.1/100 Person-Years [95% CI 6.9-11.7], resulting from 60 seroconversions (60/660.7 Person-Years). The IRS' ≥ 8 cutpoint produced moderate discrimination [AUC = 0.66 (0.54-0.74), sensitivity = 63%, specificity = 57%]. Restricting to age < 25 years improved the score's predictive ability (AIRS: AUC = 0.69, AMRS: AUC = 0.70), owing mainly to male partner having other partners and HSV-2. The risk tool predicted HIV acquisition at a higher cutpoint in this sample than in the initial VOICE analysis. After age-stratification, fewer variables were needed for maintaining score's predictiveness. In this high incidence setting, risk screening may still improve the efficiency or effectiveness of prevention counseling services. However, PrEP should be offered to all prevention-seeking individuals, regardless of risk ascertainment.

Pregnancy rates and outcomes in a longitudinal HIV cohort in the context of evolving antiretroviral treatment provision in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: In South Africa, women continue to face a high burden of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) infection and the possible complications thereof during pregnancy. We assessed pregnancy incidence rates and outcomes in a longitudinal HIV cohort study over a 15-year period. METHODS: We evaluated pregnancies among women ≥ 18 years between 2004 and 2019 in the CAPRISA 002 study. We analysed pregnancy rates following HIV acquisition, CD4 counts and HIV viral load dynamics and pregnancy outcomes. We used linear regression to assess if the mean CD4 and log10 viral load close to delivery increases or decreases linearly across three different timepoints. RESULTS: In total 245 women enrolled into the HIV negative study phase, 225 into the HIV infection phase and 232 in the antiretroviral therapy (ART) phase. Median follow-up time was 2.0 years [Interquartile Range (IQR) 0.8-2.0] during the HIV negative phase, 2.6 years; (IQR) 1.2-4.8] during HIV infection and 3.7 years (IQR 1.8-5.0) on ART, with maximum follow-up time of 2, 10 and 6 years respectively. Overall, 169 pregnancies occurred in 140 women, of which 16 pregnancies were observed during acute or early HIV infection [Incidence Rate (IR) 8.0 per 100 women-years; 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.6-12.9], 48 during established infection [IR 9.3; (CI 6.8-12.3)] and 68 on ART [IR 8.9; (CI: 7.0 - 11.4)]. Birth outcomes from 155/169 (91.7%) pregnancies were 118 (76.1%) full term live births, 17 (10.9%) premature live births, 9 (5.8%) therapeutic/elective miscarriages, 8 (5.1%) spontaneous miscarriages and 3 (1.9%) spontaneous foetal deaths or stillbirths. Six mother-to-child transmission events occurred, with four documented prior to 2008. Over time, mean CD4 count in pregnant women increased from 395 cells/µL (2004-2009) to 543 cells/µL (2010-2014) and to 696 cells/µL (2015-2019), p < 0.001. Conversely, the viral load declined from 4.2 log10 copies/ml to 2.5 log10 copies/ml and to 1.2 log10 copies/ml (p < 0.001) for the corresponding periods. CONCLUSIONS: Pregnancy rates following HIV acquisition were high, emphasising a need for timeous ART provision and contraception counselling in women recently diagnosed with HIV. CD4 count and HIV viral load trajectories reflect improvements in treatment guidance for pregnant women over time.

Viral suppression among pregnant adolescents and women living with HIV in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: a cross sectional study to assess progress towards UNAIDS indicators and Implications for HIV Epidemic Control.

BACKGROUND: South Africa has made significant progress in scaling up antiretroviral therapy (ART) to achieve the aspirational goal of HIV epidemic control. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of HIV, assess progress towards each of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) indicators and determine factors associated with achieving viral suppression among pregnant adolescents and women living with HIV in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. METHODS: Pregnant adolescents and women, 12 years and older seeking antenatal care at six primary health care clinics were enrolled in a cross-sectional study. Following written informed consent, structured questionnaires were administered, and finger-prick blood samples were collected for HIV antibody testing and viral load measurement. Viral suppression was defined as HIV viral load of < 400 copies per mL. RESULTS: Between Dec 2016 and March 2017, among the 546 enrolled participants, data for 545 were analysed. The overall HIV prevalence was 40.2% [95% Confidence Interval (CI) 36.1-44.3]. Age-stratified prevalence increased from 22.1% (95% CI, 15.9-30.0) in the 14-19 year age group to 63.9% (95% CI, 55.1-71.9) among women ≥ 30 years (Χ2 trend P < 0.0001). Of the HIV positive participants, 84.5% (95% CI, 79.0-88.8) knew their HIV positive status, 98.3% (95% CI 95.1-99.4) who knew their status were on ART, and of those on ART, 95.9% (95% CI 91.8-98.0) were virally suppressed. Among all HIV-positives 90.8% (95% CI, 86.3-94.0) had achieved viral suppression, whilst those in the 14-19 year age group were least likely to be virally suppressed at 82.8% (95% CI 65.5-92.4) compared to those in the older age groups. Married women compared to those unmarried were more likely to have achieved viral suppression (PRR) of 1.11 (95% CI 1.05-1.18), P < 0.001. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of HIV positive pregnant women achieving viral suppression was encouraging though far short of the target towards achieving epidemic control. Importantly, adolescent pregnant women were less likely to know their HIV status and to achieve viral suppression, underscoring the public health implications of sustained risk of HIV transmission. Thus, greater effort and strong social support are essential to improve HIV knowledge of status and care continuum towards the goal to achieving HIV epidemic control. To "fast-track" the response to achieve HIV epidemic control and end the AIDS epidemic, the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) set ambitious HIV testing and treatment targets for people living with HIV. Meeting these targets through scaling up testing for HIV, initiating and sustaining antiretroviral therapy (ART) to maintain viral suppression provides both therapeutic and preventive benefits with the potential to reduce HIV transmission. Viral suppression among pregnant adolescents and women living with HIV is crucial for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV including onward transmission to sexual partners. As a public health approach, in South Africa all pregnant women are offered routine HIV testing and immediate initiation of lifelong ART irrespective of CD4 cell count. It is, therefore, important to ascertain progress towards reaching the targets. The proportion of HIV positive pregnant adolescents and women achieving viral suppression was encouraging though far short of the target towards achieving epidemic control. Importantly, pregnant adolescents were less likely to know their HIV status and to achieve viral suppression, underscoring the public health implications of sustained risk of HIV transmission. Thus, greater effort and strong social support are essential to improve HIV knowledge of status and care continuum towards the goal to achieving HIV epidemic control.

Prevalence and Risk Factors for HIV Infection Among Heterosexual Men Recruited from Socializing Venues in Rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Young heterosexual men have low uptake of HIV prevention and treatment services and represent an important key population that may require novel strategies. We recruited 1271 heterosexual men, 12 years and older from socializing venues such as "shebeens", transport hubs, "spaza" shops, and community centers in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Participants completed a questionnaire and were tested for HIV serostatus. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) with exchangeable covariance structure estimated factors independently associated with prevalent HIV infection. Median age was 25 years [Interquartile range (IQR) 21-29]. HIV prevalence was 15.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 11.0-21.9] and increased significantly by age. Factors associated with higher odds of HIV infection were being 25 years and older [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 4.82, 95% CI 3.47-6.69; p < 0.001), not completing high school (aOR 1.60, 95% CI 1.39-1.85; p < 0.001), not using condoms at first sex (aOR 1.43, 95% CI 1.20-1.70; p < 0.001), consuming alcohol (aOR 1.63, 95% CI 1.15-2.31; p = 0.006) or substances (aOR 1.37, 95% CI 1.31-1.44; p < 0.001), and absence of medical circumcision (aOR 2.05, 95% CI 1.71-2.44; p < 0.001). Risk was lower among those testing for HIV in last 12 months (aOR 0.54, 95% CI 0.36-0.80; p = 0.002). Greater effort is needed to implement innovative programs within settings that are easily accessible and where heterosexual men are likely to be.

Acquired HIV drug resistance and virologic monitoring in a HIV hyper-endemic setting in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Introduction of tenofovir (TDF) plus lamivudine (3TC) and dolutegravir (DTG) in first- and second-line HIV treatment regimens in South Africa warrants characterization of acquired HIV-1 drug resistance (ADR) mutations that could impact DTG-based antiretroviral therapy (ART). In this study, we sought to determine prevalence of ADR mutations and their potential impact on susceptibility to drugs used in combination with DTG among HIV-positive adults (≥ 18 years) accessing routine care at a selected ART facility in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. METHODS: We enrolled adult participants in a cross-sectional study between May and September 2019. Eligible participants had a most recent documented viral load (VL) ≥ 1000 copies/mL after at least 6 months on ART. We genotyped HIV-1 reverse transcriptase and protease genes by Sanger sequencing and assessed ADR. We characterized the effect of ADR mutations on the predicted susceptibility to drugs used in combination with DTG. RESULTS: From 143 participants enrolled, we obtained sequence data for 115 (80%), and 92.2% (95% CI 85.7-96.4) had ADR. The proportion with ADR was similar for participants on first-line ART (65/70, 92.9%, 95% CI 84.1-97.6) and those on second-line ART (40/44, 90.9%, 95% CI 78.3-97.5), and was present for the single participant on third-line ART. Approximately 89% (62/70) of those on first-line ART had dual class NRTI and NNRTI resistance and only six (13.6%) of those on second-line ART had major PI mutations. Most participants (82%) with first-line viraemia maintained susceptibility to Zidovudine (AZT), and the majority of them had lost susceptibility to TDF (71%) and 3TC (84%). Approximately two in every five TDF-treated individuals had thymidine analogue mutations (TAMs). CONCLUSIONS: Susceptibility to AZT among most participants with first-line viraemia suggests that a new second-line regimen of AZT + 3TC + DTG could be effective. However, atypical occurrence of TAMs in TDF-treated individuals suggests a less effective AZT + 3TC + DTG regimen in a subpopulation of patients. As most patients with first-line viraemia had at least low-level resistance to TDF and 3TC, identifying viraemia before switch to TDF + 3TC + DTG is important to avoid DTG functional monotherapy. These findings highlight a need for close monitoring of outcomes on new standardized treatment regimens.

A Moxifloxacin-based Regimen for the Treatment of Recurrent, Drug-sensitive Pulmonary Tuberculosis: An Open-label, Randomized, Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: The substitution of moxifloxacin for ethambutol produced promising results for improved tuberculosis treatment outcomes. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, randomized trial to test whether a moxifloxacin-containing treatment regimen was superior to the standard regimen for the treatment of recurrent tuberculosis. The primary and secondary outcomes were the sputum culture conversion rate at the end of 8 weeks and the proportion of participants with a favorable outcome, respectively. RESULTS: We enrolled 196 participants; 69.9% were male and 70.4% were co-infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). There was no significant difference between the study groups in the proportion of patients achieving culture conversion at the end of 8 weeks (83.0% [moxifloxacin] vs 78.5% [control]; P = .463); however, the median time to culture conversion was significantly shorter (6.0 weeks, interquartile range [IQR] 4.0-8.3) in the moxifloxacin group than the control group (7.9 weeks, IQR 4.0- 11.4; P = .018). A favorable end-of-treatment outcome was reported in 86 participants (87.8%) in the moxifloxacin group and 93 participants (94.9%) in the control group, for an adjusted absolute risk difference of -5.5 (95% confidence interval -13.8 to 2.8; P = .193) percentage points. There were significantly higher proportions of participants with Grade 3 or 4 adverse events (43.9% [43/98] vs 25.5% [25/98]; P = .01) and serious adverse events (27.6% [27/98] vs 12.2% [12/98]; P = .012) in the moxifloxacin group. CONCLUSIONS: The replacement of ethambutol with moxifloxacin did not significantly improve either culture conversion rates at the end of 8 weeks or treatment success, and was associated with a higher incidence of adverse events. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02114684.

High Rates of Drug-induced Liver Injury in People Living With HIV Coinfected With Tuberculosis (TB) Irrespective of Antiretroviral Therapy Timing During Antituberculosis Treatment: Results From the Starting Antiretroviral Therapy at Three Points in TB Trial.

BACKGROUND: New onset or worsening drug-induced liver injury challenges coinfected patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation during antituberculosis (TB) treatment. METHODS: Post hoc analysis within a randomized trial, the Starting Antiretroviral Therapy at Three Points in Tuberculosis trial, was conducted. Patients were randomized to initiate ART either early or late during TB treatment or after TB treatment completion. Liver enzymes were measured at baseline, 6-month intervals, and when clinically indicated. RESULTS: Among 642 patients enrolled, the median age was 34 years (standard deviation, 28-40), and 17.6% had baseline CD4+ cell counts <50 cells/mm3. Overall, 146/472 patients (52, 47, and 47: early, late, and sequential arms) developed new-onset liver injury following TB treatment initiation. The incidence of liver injury post-ART initiation in patients with CD4+ cell counts <200 cells/mm3 and ≥200 cells/ mm3 was 27.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 18.0-39.8), 19.0 (95% CI, 10.9-30.9), and 18.4 (95% CI, 8.8-33.8) per 100 person-years, and 32.1 (95% CI, 20.1-48.5), 11.8 (95% CI, 4.3-25.7), and 28.2 (95% CI, 13.5-51.9) per 100 person-years in the early, late integrated, and sequential treatment arms, respectively. Severe and life-threatening liver injury occurred in 2, 7, and 3 early, late, and sequential treatment arm patients, respectively. Older age and hepatitis B positivity predicted liver injury. CONCLUSIONS: High incidence rates of liver injury among cotreated human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-TB coinfected patients were observed. Clinical guidelines and policies must provide guidance on frequency of liver function monitoring for HIV-TB coinfected patients.

Impact of pretreatment low-abundance HIV-1 drug-resistant variants on virological failure among HIV-1/TB-co-infected individuals.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of pretreatment low-abundance HIV-1 drug-resistant variants (LA-DRVs) on virological failure (VF) among HIV-1/TB-co-infected individuals treated with NNRTI first-line ART. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of 170 adults with HIV-1/TB co-infection. Cases had at least one viral load (VL) ≥1000 RNA copies/mL after ≥6 months on NNRTI-based ART, and controls had sustained VLs <1000 copies/mL. We sequenced plasma viruses by Sanger and MiSeq next-generation sequencing (NGS). We assessed drug resistance mutations (DRMs) using the Stanford drug resistance database, and analysed NGS data for DRMs at ≥20%, 10%, 5% and 2% thresholds. We assessed the effect of pretreatment drug resistance (PDR) on VF. RESULTS: We analysed sequences from 45 cases and 125 controls. Overall prevalence of PDR detected at a ≥20% threshold was 4.7% (8/170) and was higher in cases than in controls (8.9% versus 3.2%), P = 0.210. Participants with PDR at ≥20% had almost 4-fold higher odds of VF (adjusted OR 3.7, 95% CI 0.8-18.3) compared with those without, P = 0.104. PDR prevalence increased to 18.2% (31/170) when LA-DRVs at ≥2% were included. Participants with pretreatment LA-DRVs only had 1.6-fold higher odds of VF (adjusted OR 1.6, 95% CI 0.6-4.3) compared with those without, P = 0.398. CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment DRMs and LA-DRVs increased the odds of developing VF on NNRTI-based ART, although without statistical significance. NGS increased detection of DRMs but provided no additional benefit in identifying participants at risk of VF at lower thresholds. More studies assessing mutation thresholds predictive of VF are required to inform use of NGS in treatment decisions.

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data: an illustration using CD4 count and mortality in a cohort of patients initiated on antiretroviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: Modelling of longitudinal biomarkers and time-to-event data are important to monitor disease progression. However, these two variables are traditionally analyzed separately or time-varying Cox models are used. The former strategy fails to recognize the shared random-effects from the two processes while the latter assumes that longitudinal biomarkers are exogenous covariates, resulting in inefficient or biased estimates for the time-to-event model. Therefore, we used joint modelling for longitudinal and time-to-event data to assess the effect of longitudinal CD4 count on mortality. METHODS: We studied 4014 patients from the Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA) who initiated ART between June 2004 and August 2013. We used proportional hazards regression model to assess the effect of baseline characteristics (excluding CD4 count) on mortality, and linear mixed effect models to evaluate the effect of baseline characteristics on the CD4 count evolution over time. Thereafter, the two analytical approaches were amalgamated to form an advanced joint model for studying the effect of longitudinal CD4 count on mortality. To illustrate the virtues of the joint model, the results from the joint model were compared to those from the time-varying Cox model. RESULTS: Using joint modelling, we found that lower CD4 count over time was associated with a 1.3-fold increase in the risk of death, (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.27-1.42). Whereas, results from the time-varying Cox model showed lower CD4 count over time was associated with a 1.2-fold increase in the risk of death, (HR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.12-1.23). CONCLUSIONS: Joint modelling enabled the assessment of the effect of longitudinal CD4 count on mortality while correcting for shared random effects between longitudinal and time-to-event models. In the era of universal test and treat, the evaluation of CD4 count is still crucial for guiding the initiation and discontinuation of opportunistic infections prophylaxis and assessment of late presenting patients. CD4 count can also be used when immunological failure is suspected as we have shown that it is associated with mortality.

High incidence and persistence of hepatitis B virus infection in individuals receiving HIV care in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV), Human Immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and Tuberculosis (TB) are common infections in South Africa. We utilized the opportunity of care provision for HIV-TB co-infected patients to better understand the relationship between these coinfections, determine the magnitude of the problem, and identify risk factors for HBV infection in HIV infected patients with and without TB in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. METHODS: This retrospective cohort analysis was undertaken in 2018. In-care HIV infected patients were included in the analysis. Results from clinical records were analysed to determine the prevalence, incidence, persistence and factors associated with HBsAg positivity in HIV-infected patients with or without TB co-infection. RESULTS: A total of 4292 HIV-infected patients with a mean age of 34.7 years (SD: 8.8) were included. Based on HBsAg positivity, the prevalence of HBV was 8.5% (363/4292) [95% confidence interval (CI): 7.7-9.3] at baseline and 9.4% (95%CI: 8.6-10.3%) at end of follow-up. The HBV incidence rate was 2.1/100 person-years (p-y). Risk of incident HBV infection was two-fold higher among male patients (HR 2.11; 95% CI: 1.14-3.92), while severe immunosuppression was associated with a greater than two-fold higher risk of persistent infection (adjusted risk ratio (RR) 2.54; 95% CI 1.06-6.14; p = 0.004. Additionally, active TB at enrolment was associated with a two-fold higher risk of incident HBV infection (aHR 2.38; 95% CI: 0.77-7.35). CONCLUSION: The provision of HIV care and treatment in high HBV burden settings provide a missed opportunity for HBV screening, immunization and care provision.

Adjusting the Effect of Integrating Antiretroviral Therapy and Tuberculosis Treatment on Mortality for Noncompliance: A Time-varying Instrumental Variables Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Using intent-to-treat comparisons, it has been shown that the integration of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and tuberculosis (TB) treatment improves survival. Because the magnitude of the effect of ART initiation during TB treatment on mortality is less well understood owing to noncompliance, we used instrumental variables (IV) analyses. METHODS: We studied 642 HIV-TB co-infected patients from the Starting Antiretroviral Therapy at Three Points in Tuberculosis trial. Patients were assigned to start ART either early or late during TB treatment or after TB treatment completion. We used 2-stage predictor substitution and 2-stage residuals inclusion methods under additive and proportional hazards regressions with a time-fixed measure of compliance defined as the fraction of time on ART during TB treatment. We moreover developed novel IV methods for additive hazards regression with a time-varying measure of compliance. RESULTS: Intent-to-treat results from additive hazards models showed that patients in the early integrated arms had a reduced hazard of -0.05 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.09, -0.01) when compared with the sequential arm. Adjustment for noncompliance changed this effect to -0.07 (95% CI: -0.12, -0.01). An additional time-varying IV analysis on the overall effect of ART exposure suggested an effect of -0.29 (95 % CI: -0.54, -0.03). CONCLUSION: IV analyses enable assessment of the effectiveness of TB and ART integration, corrected for noncompliance, and thereby enable a better public health evaluation of the potential impact of this intervention.

Case report: mechanisms of HIV elite control in two African women.

BACKGROUND: The majority of people living with HIV require antiretroviral therapy (ART) for controlling viral replication, however there are rare HIV controllers who spontaneously and durably control HIV in the absence of treatment. Understanding what mediates viral control in these individuals has provided us with insights into the immune mechanisms that may be important to induce for a vaccine or functional cure for HIV. To date, few African elite controllers from high incidence settings have been described. We identified virological controllers from the CAPRISA 002 cohort of HIV-1 subtype C infected women in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa, two (1%) of whom were elite controllers. We examined the genetic, clinical, immunological and virological characteristics of these two elite HIV controllers in detail, to determine whether they exhibit features of putative viral control similar to those described for elite controllers reported in the literature. CASE PRESENTATION: In this case report, we present clinical features, CD4+ T cell and viral load trajectories for two African women over 7 years of HIV infection. Viral load became undetectable 10 months after HIV infection in Elite Controller 1 (EC1), and after 6 weeks in Elite Controller 2 (EC2), and remained undetectable for the duration of follow-up, in the absence of ART. Both elite controllers expressed multiple HLA Class I and II haplotypes previously associated with slower disease progression (HLA-A*74:01, HLA-B*44:03, HLA-B*81:01, HLA-B*57:03, HLA-DRB1*13). Fitness assays revealed that both women were infected with replication competent viruses, and both expressed higher mRNA levels of p21, a host restriction factor associated with viral control. HIV-specific T cell responses were examined using flow cytometry. EC1 mounted high frequency HIV-specific CD8+ T cell responses, including a B*81:01-restricted Gag TL9 response. Unusually, EC2 had evidence of pre-infection HIV-specific CD4+ T cell responses. CONCLUSION: We identified some features typical of elite controllers, including high magnitude HIV-specific responses and beneficial HLA. In addition, we made the atypical finding of pre-infection HIV-specific immunity in one elite controller, that may have contributed to very early viral control. This report highlights the importance of studying HIV controllers in high incidence settings.

Plasma Cytokine Predictors of Tuberculosis Recurrence in Antiretroviral-Treated Human Immunodeficiency Virus-infected Individuals from Durban, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Immune correlates of tuberculosis (TB) risk in populations infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remain understudied, despite HIV being associated with a high burden of TB disease. Here we describe plasma cytokine correlates of TB recurrence in a well-characterized cohort of HIV-infected individuals on antiretroviral therapy (ART) with a history of prior TB cure. METHODS: Study participants were drawn from a prospective cohort study initiated at the conclusion of a randomized clinical trial in which individuals presented with untreated HIV infection and active pulmonary TB. At baseline, ART was initiated, and TB successfully cured. Participants were screened for TB recurrence quarterly for up to 4 years. TB recurrent cases (n = 63) were matched to controls (n = 123) on sex, study arm assignment in the original trial, and month of enrollment with a subset of cases sampled longitudinally at several time-points. RESULTS: Three cytokines were associated with increased rates of TB recurrence in univariate models: interleukin 6 (IL6) (odds ratio [OR] 2.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-5.28, P = .005), IP10 (OR 4.62, 95% CI 1.69-12.65, P = .003), monokine induced by IFN-γ (MIG) (OR 3.11, 95% CI 1.10-8.82, P = .034). Conversely, interferon ß (IFNß) was associated with decreased TB risk (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.13-0.87, P = .025). Following multivariate analyses adjusting for covariates IL6, interleukin 1ß (IL1ß), and interleukin 1Rα (IL1Rα) were associated with increased risk and IFNß with decreased TB risk. Longitudinal analysis showed that levels of many TB-associated markers, including IL6, IP10, sCD14, and interferon γ (IFNγ) are reduced following TB treatment. CONCLUSION: These data show that TB recurrence, in HIV-infected individuals on ART is predicted by biomarkers of systemic inflammation, many of which are implicated in more rapid HIV disease progression. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT 01539005.

Effect of rifampicin and efavirenz on moxifloxacin concentrations when co-administered in patients with drug-susceptible TB.

Objectives: We compared the pharmacokinetics of moxifloxacin during rifampicin co-treatment or when dosed alone in African patients with drug-susceptible recurrent TB. Methods: Patients in the intervention arm of the Improving Retreatment Success (IMPRESS) randomized controlled TB trial received 400 mg of moxifloxacin, with rifampicin, isoniazid and pyrazinamide in the treatment regimen. Moxifloxacin concentrations were measured in plasma during rifampicin-based TB treatment and again 4 weeks after treatment completion, when given alone as a single dose. Moxifloxacin concentration-time data were analysed using non-linear mixed-effects models. Results: We included 58 patients; 42 (72.4%) were HIV co-infected and 40 (95%) of these were on efavirenz-based ART. Moxifloxacin pharmacokinetics was best described using a two-compartment disposition model with first-order lagged absorption and elimination using a semi-mechanistic model describing hepatic extraction. Oral clearance (CL/F) of moxifloxacin during rifampicin-based TB treatment was 24.3 L/h for a typical patient (fat-free mass of 47 kg), resulting in an AUC of 16.5 mg·h/L. This exposure was 7.8% lower than the AUC following the single dose of moxifloxacin given alone after TB treatment completion. In HIV-co-infected patients taking efavirenz-based ART, CL/F of moxifloxacin was increased by 42.4%, resulting in a further 30% reduction in moxifloxacin AUC. Conclusions: Moxifloxacin clearance was high and plasma concentrations low in our patients overall. Moxifloxacin AUC was further decreased by co-administration of efavirenz-based ART and, to a lesser extent, rifampicin. The clinical relevance of the low moxifloxacin concentrations for TB treatment outcomes and the need for moxifloxacin dose adjustment in the presence of rifampicin and efavirenz co-treatment need further investigation.