Induction of labor vs expectant management among low-risk patients with 1 prior cesarean delivery.

BACKGROUND: Studies that have compared induction of labor in individuals with 1 prior cesarean delivery to expectant management have shown conflicting results. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between clinical outcomes and induction of labor at 39 weeks in a national sample of otherwise low-risk patients with 1 prior cesarean delivery. STUDY DESIGN: This cross-sectional study analyzed 2016 to 2021 US Vital Statistics birth certificate data. Individuals with vertex, singleton pregnancies, and 1 prior cesarean delivery were included. Patients with prior vaginal deliveries, delivery before 39 weeks 0 days or after 42 weeks 6 days of gestation, and medical comorbidities were excluded. The primary exposure of interest was induction of labor at 39 weeks 0 days to 39 weeks 6 days compared to expectant management with delivery from 40 weeks 0 days to 42 weeks 6 days. The primary outcome was vaginal delivery. The main secondary outcomes were separate maternal and neonatal morbidity composites. The maternal morbidity composite included uterine rupture, operative vaginal delivery, peripartum hysterectomy, intensive care unit admission, and transfusion. The neonatal morbidity composite included neonatal intensive care unit admission, Apgar score less than 5 at 5 minutes, immediate ventilation, prolonged ventilation, and seizure or serious neurological dysfunction. Unadjusted and adjusted log binomial regression models accounting for demographic variables and the exposure of interest (induction vs expectant management) were performed. Results are presented as unadjusted and adjusted risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: From 2016 to 2021, a total of 198,797 individuals with vertex, singleton pregnancies, and 1 prior cesarean were included in the primary analysis. Of these individuals, 25,915 (13.0%) underwent induction of labor from 39 weeks 0 days to 39 weeks 6 days and 172,882 (87.0%) were expectantly managed with deliveries between 40 weeks 0 days and 42 weeks 6 days. In adjusted analyses, patients induced at 39 weeks were more likely to have a vaginal delivery when compared to those expectantly managed (38.0% vs 31.8%; adjusted risk ratio 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.28, 1.36). Among those who had vaginal deliveries, induction of labor was associated with increased likelihood of operative vaginal delivery (11.1% vs 10.0; adjusted risk ratio 1.15, 95% confidence interval 1.07, 1.24). The maternal morbidity composite occurred in 0.9% of individuals in both the induction and expectant management groups (adjusted risk ratio 0.92, 95% confidence interval 0.79, 1.06). The rates of uterine rupture (0.3%), peripartum hysterectomy (0.04% vs 0.05%), and intensive care unit admission (0.1% vs 0.2%) were all relatively low and did not differ significantly between groups. There was also no significant difference in the neonatal morbidity composite between the induction and expectant management groups (7.3% vs 6.7%; adjusted risk ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 0.98, 1.09). CONCLUSION: When compared to expectant management, elective induction of labor at 39 weeks in low-risk patients with 1 prior cesarean delivery was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of vaginal delivery with no difference in composite maternal and neonatal morbidity outcomes. Prospective studies are needed to better elucidate the risks and benefits of induction of labor in this patient population.

Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine Consult Series #71: Management of previable and periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes.

Previable and periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes are challenging obstetrical complications to manage given the substantial risk of maternal morbidity and mortality, with no guarantee of fetal benefit. The following are the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine recommendations for the management of previable and periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes before the period when a trial of neonatal resuscitation and intensive care would be considered appropriate by the healthcare team and desired by the patient: (1) we recommend that pregnant patients with previable and periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes receive individualized counseling about the maternal and fetal risks and benefits of both abortion care and expectant management to guide an informed decision; all patients with previable and periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes should be offered abortion care, and expectant management can also be offered in the absence of contraindications (GRADE 1C); (2) we recommend antibiotics for pregnant individuals who choose expectant management after preterm prelabor rupture of membranes at ≥24 0/7 weeks of gestation (GRADE 1B); (3) antibiotics can be considered after preterm prelabor rupture of membranes at 20 0/7 to 23 6/7 weeks of gestation (GRADE 2C); (4) administration of antenatal corticosteroids and magnesium sulfate is not recommended until the time when a trial of neonatal resuscitation and intensive care would be considered appropriate by the healthcare team and desired by the patient (GRADE 1B); (5) serial amnioinfusions and amniopatch are considered investigational and should be used only in a clinical trial setting; they are not recommended for routine care of previable and periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (GRADE 1B); (6) cerclage management after previable or periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes is similar to cerclage management after preterm prelabor rupture of membranes at later gestational ages; it is reasonable to either remove the cerclage or leave it in situ after discussing the risks and benefits and incorporating shared decision-making (GRADE 2C); and (7) in subsequent pregnancies after a history of previable or periviable preterm prelabor rupture of membranes, we recommend following guidelines for management of pregnant persons with a previous spontaneous preterm birth (GRADE 1C).

Ultrasound study of natural progression of ovarian endometrioma.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the natural progression of ovarian endometrioma in women who are managed expectantly. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 83 women with evidence of ovarian endometrioma who were managed expectantly between April 2007 and May 2022. The study was conducted in the Department of Women's Health, University College London Hospitals and The Gynecology Ultrasound Centre, London, UK. We searched our ultrasound clinic databases to identify women aged 18 years or older with evidence of ovarian endometrioma who were managed expectantly for ≥ 6 months. All women attended for a minimum of two ultrasound scans performed by a single expert ultrasound operator. In addition to patient demographics, we recorded the number, mean diameter and location of each cyst. The cyst growth rate was expressed as annual change in the mean diameter. RESULTS: A total of 1922 women who attended our gynecology clinic during the study period were found to have evidence of moderate or severe endometriosis on pelvic ultrasound examination. Of those, 83 women had evidence of ovarian endometrioma and were managed expectantly. The median age of women was 39 (range, 26-51) years at the initial visit. Each woman had at least two ultrasound scans performed by a single expert operator at a minimum interval of ≥ 6 months. Of 83 women diagnosed with endometrioma, 50 (60% (95% CI, 49-71%)) had a single cyst and the remainder had multiple cysts. The median number of endometriomas per patient was 1 (range, 1-5) and the median follow-up time was 634 (range, 187-2984) days. A total of 39/83 (47% (95% CI, 36-58%)) women experienced an overall reduction in size of cysts, in 18/83 (22% (95% CI, 13-32%)) the cysts increased in size and in 26/83 (31% (95% CI, 22-42%)) women, no meaningful change in size was observed. The median change in mean cyst diameter per woman during the study period was -2.7 (range, -57.7 to 39.3) mm, with a median annual regression rate of -1.7 (range, -24.6 to 42.0) mm/year/woman. Overall, when compared with the initial visit, cysts were significantly smaller at follow-up (median diameter, 22.3 (range, 6.7-77.0) mm vs 18.5 (range, 5.0-72.0) mm; P = 0.009). We did not identify any clinical characteristics that could reliably predict the chance of endometrioma progression. CONCLUSIONS: In the majority of women with an ultrasound diagnosis of ovarian endometrioma, the cysts do not increase in size significantly over time and they could be managed expectantly. This evidence may help clinicians when counseling asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic women about management of ovarian endometrioma. © 2024 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Timing of induction of labor in suspected macrosomia: retrospective cohort study, systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Large-for-gestational-age (LGA) is associated with several adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. Although many studies have found that early induction of labor (eIOL) in LGA reduces the incidence of shoulder dystocia (SD), no current guidelines recommend this particular strategy, due to concerns about increased rates of cesarean delivery (CD) and neonatal complications. The purpose of this study was to assess whether the timing of IOL in LGA fetuses affects maternal and neonatal outcomes in a single center; and to combine these results with the evidence reported in the literature. METHODS: This study comprised two parts. The first was a retrospective cohort study that included: consecutive patients with singleton pregnancy, an estimated fetal weight (EFW) ≥90th percentile on ultrasound (US) between 35+0 and 39+0 weeks of gestation (WG), who were eligible for normal vaginal delivery. The second part was a systematic review of literature and meta-analysis that included the results of the first part as well as all previously reported studies that have compared IOL to expectant management in patients with LGA. The perinatal outcomes were CD, operative vaginal delivery (OVD), SD, brachial plexus palsy, anal sphincter injury, postpartum hemorrhage (PPH), APGAR score, umbilical arterial pH, neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission, use of continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), phototherapy, and bone fracture. RESULTS: Retrospective cohort: of the 547 patients, 329 (60.1%) were induced and 218 (39.9%) entered spontaneous labor. Following covariate balancing, CD was significantly higher in the IOL group in comparison to the spontaneous labor group. This difference only became apparent beyond 40WG (hazard ratio: 1.9, p=0.030). The difference between both groups for shoulder dystocia was not statistically significant. Systematic review and metanalysis: 17 studies were included in addition to our own results giving a total sample size of 111,300 participants. When IOL was performed <40+0WG, the risk for SD was significantly lower in the IOL group (OR: 0.64, 95%CI: 0.42-0.98, I2 =19%). There was no significant difference in CD rate between IOL and expectant management after pooling the results of these 17 studies. However, when removing the studies in which IOL was done exclusively before 40+0WG, the risk for CD in the remaining studies (IOL not exclusively <40+0WG) was significantly higher in the IOL group (odds ratio [OR]: 1.46, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 1.02-2.09, I2 =56%). There were no statistically significant differences between IOL and expectant management for the remaining perinatal outcomes. Nulliparity, history of CD, and low Bishop score but not methods of induction were independent risk factors for intrapartum CD in patients who were induced for LGA. CONCLUSION: Timing of IOL in patients with suspected macrosomia significantly impacts perinatal adverse outcomes. IOL has no impact on rates of SD but does increase CD when considered irrespective of gestational age, but it may decrease the risk of SD without increasing the risk of other adverse maternal outcomes, in particular cesarean section when performed before 40+0 WG. (GRADE: Low/Very low). This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Consensus protocol for management of early and late twin-twin transfusion syndrome: Delphi study.

OBJECTIVE: Fetoscopic laser photocoagulation (FLP) is a well-established treatment for twin-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS) between 16 and 26 weeks' gestation. High-quality evidence and guidelines regarding the optimal clinical management of very early (prior to 16 weeks), early (between 16 and 18 weeks) and late (after 26 weeks) TTTS are lacking. The aim of this study was to construct a structured expert-based clinical consensus for the management of early and late TTTS. METHODS: A Delphi procedure was conducted among an international panel of experts. Participants were chosen based on their clinical expertise, affiliation and relevant publications. A four-round Delphi survey was conducted using an online platform and responses were collected anonymously. In the first round, a core group of experts was asked to answer open-ended questions regarding the indications, timing and modes of treatment for early and late TTTS. In the second and third rounds, participants were asked to grade each statement on a Likert scale (1, completely disagree; 5, completely agree) and to add any suggestions or modifications. At the end of each round, the median score for each statement was calculated. Statements with a median grade of 5 without suggestions for change were accepted as the consensus. Statements with a median grade of 3 or less were excluded from the Delphi process. Statements with a median grade of 4 were modified according to suggestions and reconsidered in the next round. In the last round, participants were asked to agree or disagree with the statements, and those with more than 70% agreement without suggestions for change were considered the consensus. RESULTS: A total of 122 experts met the inclusion criteria and were invited to participate, of whom 53 (43.4%) agreed to take part in the study. Of those, 75.5% completed all four rounds. A consensus on the optimal management of early and late TTTS was obtained. FLP can be offered as early as 15 weeks' gestation for selected cases, and can be considered up to 28 weeks. Between 16 and 18 weeks, management should be tailored according to Doppler findings. CONCLUSIONS: A consensus-based treatment protocol for early and late TTTS was agreed upon by a panel of experts. This protocol should be modified at the discretion of the operator, according to their experience and the specific demands of each case. This should advance the quality of future studies, guide clinical practice and improve patient care. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Predictors of successful expectant and medical management of miscarriage: A systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: 15.3% of pregnancies result in miscarriage, management options include expectant, medical, or surgical. However, each patient has a range of variables, which makes navigating the available literature challenging when supporting individual patient decision-making. This systematic review aims to investigate whether there are any specific predictors for miscarriage management outcome. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The following databases were searched, from the start of each database up to April 2023: PubMed, Medline, and Google Scholar. Inclusion criteria were studies interrogating defined predictors for expectant or medical management of miscarriage success. Exclusion criteria were poor quality, review articles, trial protocols, and congress abstracts. Data collection was carried as per PRISMA guidelines. Quality assessment for each study was assessed using the QUIPS proforma. RESULTS: Relevant predictors include demographics, ultrasound features, presenting symptoms, and biochemical markers. Across the 24 studies there is heterogeneity in miscarriage definition, predictors reported, and management outcomes used. Associations with certain variables and miscarriage management outcomes are described. Ten studies assessed the impact of miscarriage type on expectant and/or medical management. The majority found that a diagnosis of incomplete miscarriage had a higher success rate following expectant or medical management compared to missed miscarriage or anembryonic pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that there is evidence supporting the possibility to offer personalized miscarriage management advice with case specific predictors. Further larger studies with consistent definitions of predictors, management, and outcomes are needed in order to better support women through the decision-making of miscarriage management.

Labor induction at 41+0 gestational weeks or expectant management for the nulliparous woman: The Finnish randomized controlled multicenter trial.

INTRODUCTION: Neonatal and maternal risks increase in term pregnancy as gestational age advances and become increasingly evident post-term. Management practices of late- and post-term pregnancies vary, and the optimal time point for intervention by labor induction is yet to be determined. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This randomized controlled trial of 381 nulliparous women with unripe cervices compared labor induction at 41+0 gestational weeks (early induction) with expectant management and labor induction at 41+5 to 42+1 gestational weeks (expectant management). This multicenter study included all five university hospitals and the largest central hospital in Finland. The study period was 2018-2022. Participants were randomized to either early induction (48.8%, n = 186) or expectant management (51.2%, n = 195) with equal randomization ratios of 1:1. This was a superiority trial, and the primary outcomes were rates of cesarean section (CS) and composite of adverse neonatal outcomes. The trial was registered at the ISRCTN registry (ISRCTN83219789, https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN83219789). RESULTS: The rates of CS (16.7% [n = 31] vs. 24.1% [n = 47], RR 0.7 [95% CI: 0.5-1.0], p = 0.07) and a composite of adverse neonatal outcomes (9.7% [n = 18] vs. 14.4% [n = 28], RR 0.7 [95% CI: 0.4-1.2] p = 0.16) did not significantly differ between the groups, but the operative delivery rate was lower in the early induction group than in the expectant management group (30.6% [n = 57] vs. 45.6% [n = 89], p = 0.003). The rates of hemorrhage ≥1000 mL and neonatal weight ≥4000 g were also lower in the early induction group, as was the vacuum extraction rate in women with vaginal delivery. Of the women with expectant management, 45.6% (n = 89) had spontaneous onset of labor. No perinatal deaths occurred, but one case of eclampsia appeared in the expectant management group. CONCLUSIONS: Offering labor induction to nulliparous women at 41+0 gestational weeks may decrease the probability of operative delivery, postpartum hemorrhage, and neonatal weight ≥4000 g. However, this study was underpowered to affirm the trends of rising rates of CS and adverse neonatal outcomes in the expectant management group. Thus, expectant management could remain an option for some, as one in two women with expectant management had a spontaneous onset of labor.

Likelihood of primary cesarean section following induction of labor in singleton cephalic pregnancies at term, compared with expectant management: An Australian population-based, historical cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: There has been increased use of both induction of labor (IOL) and cesarean section for women with term pregnancies in many high-income countries, and a trend toward birth at earlier gestational ages. Existing evidence regarding the association between IOL and cesarean section for term pregnancies is mixed and conflicting, and little evidence is available on the differential effect at each week of gestation, stratified by parity. MATERIAL AND METHODS: To explore the association between IOL and primary cesarean section for singleton cephalic pregnancies at term, compared with two definitions of expectant management (first: at or beyond the week of gestation at birth following IOL; and secondary: only beyond the week of gestation at birth following IOL), we performed analyses of population-based historical cohort data on women who gave birth in one Australian state (Queensland), between July 1, 2012 and June 30, 2018. Women who gave birth before 37+0 or after 41+6 weeks of gestation, had stillbirths, no-labor, multiple births (twins or triplets), non-cephalic presentation at birth, a previous cesarean section, or missing data on included variables were excluded. Four sub-datasets were created for each week at birth (37-40). Unadjusted relative risk, adjusted relative risk using modified Poisson regression, and their 95% confidence intervals were calculated in each sub-dataset. Analyses were stratified by parity (nulliparas vs. parous women with a previous vaginal birth). Sensitivity analyses were conducted by limiting to women with low-risk pregnancies. RESULTS: A total of 239 094 women were included in the analysis, 36.7% of whom gave birth following IOL. The likelihood of primary cesarean section following IOL in a Queensland population-based cohort was significantly higher at 38 and 39 weeks, compared with expectant management up to 41+6 weeks, for both nulliparas and paras with singleton cephalic pregnancies, regardless of risk status of pregnancy and definition of expectant management. No significant difference was found for nulliparas at 37 and 40 weeks; and for paras at 40 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: Future studies are suggested to investigate further the association between IOL and other maternal and neonatal outcomes at each week of gestation in different maternal populations, before making any recommendation.

Expectant management versus systemic methotrexate in the management of persistent pregnancy of unknown location, a seven-year retrospective analysis.

PURPOSE: To compare Expectant management to systemic methotrexate in the management of persistent pregnancy of unknown location with beta-hCG levels below the discrimination zone. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 71 women with persistent pregnancy of unknown location. They were divided into two groups according to the applied management; Group 1, (n = 40) who were managed expectantly and Group 2 (n = 31) who were given a single dose of methotrexate. Data variables were collected and analyzed to evaluate whether expectant management was as effective as methotrexate. RESULTS: There was no significant difference between the two groups regarding age, parity, gestational age, body mass index and day seven beta-hCG. Success rates were (32 patients (80%) and 28 patients (90.3%) in expectant management and methotrexate groups, respectively (P > 0.05). The mean values for day zero and day four beta-hCG were significantly higher and the mean duration for complete recovery was statistically shorter in the methotrexate group (P < 0.05). There were no significant differences between the two groups regarding prior ectopic, percentage of beta-hCG level drop on day four and day seven, success rate, occurrence of sequelae and patient satisfaction that area under the curve (AUC) for group 1 (expectant management) is 0.566 at 95% Confidence Interval of (0.388: 0.745). CONCLUSION: Expectant management is an effective and safe alternative to single-dose methotrexate for persistent PUL with beta-hCG levels below the discrimination zone.

Cost-effectiveness of induction of labor at 39 weeks vs expectant management by cervical examination.

BACKGROUND: Previous analyses have demonstrated the cost effectiveness of elective induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation for healthy nulliparous people. However, elective induction of labor is resource intensive, and optimal resource allocation requires a thorough understanding of which subgroups of patients will benefit most. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine whether induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation is more cost-effective in patients with favorable or unfavorable cervical examinations. STUDY DESIGN: We constructed 2 decision analysis models using TreeAge software: one modeling induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation vs expectant management for a group of nulliparous patients with unfavorable cervical examinations and the other modeling induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation vs expectant management for a group with favorable cervical examinations. Estimates of cost, probability, and health state utility were derived from the literature. Based on previous literature, we assumed that people with favorable cervical examinations would have a lower baseline rate of cesarean delivery and higher rates of spontaneous labor. RESULTS: In our base case analysis, induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation was cost-effective for patients with unfavorable cervical examinations, but not for patients with favorable cervical examinations. The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year was 50-fold lower for people with unfavorable cervical examinations ($2150 vs $115,100). Induction of labor resulted in 3885 fewer cesarean deliveries and 58 fewer stillbirths per 100,000 patients for those with unfavorable examinations, whereas induction of labor resulted in 2293 fewer cesarean deliveries and 48 fewer stillbirths with labor induction for those with favorable cervical examinations. The results were sensitive to multiple inputs, including the likelihood of cesarean delivery, the cost of induction, the cost of vaginal or cesarean delivery, and the probability of spontaneous labor. In Monte Carlo analysis, the base case findings held true for 64.1% of modeled scenarios for patients with unfavorable cervixes and 55.4% of modeled scenarios for patients with favorable cervixes. CONCLUSION: With a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life year, induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation may be cost-effective for patients with unfavorable cervical examinations, but not for patients with favorable cervical examinations. This result was driven by the likelihood of labor in patients with favorable cervical examinations, and the resultant avoidance of prolonged pregnancy and its complications, including hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and stillbirths. Health systems may wish to prioritize patients with unfavorable cervical examinations for elective induction of labor at 39 weeks of gestation, which may be opposite to common practice.

Risks of stillbirth, neonatal mortality, and severe neonatal morbidity by birthweight centiles associated with expectant management at term.

BACKGROUND: Determining the optimal time of birth at term is challenging given the ongoing risks of stillbirth with increasing gestation vs the risks of significant neonatal morbidity at early-term gestations. These risks are more pronounced in small infants. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the risks of stillbirth, neonatal mortality, and severe neonatal morbidity by comparing expectant management with delivery from 37+0 weeks of gestation. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study evaluating women with singleton, nonanomalous pregnancies at 37+0 to 40+6 weeks' gestation in Queensland, Australia, delivered from 2000 to 2018. Rates of stillbirth, neonatal death, and severe neonatal morbidity were calculated for <3rd, 3rd to <10th, 10th to <25th, 25th to <90th, and ≥90th birthweight centiles. The composite risk of mortality with expectant management for an additional week in utero was compared with rates of neonatal mortality and severe neonatal morbidity. RESULTS: Of 948,895 singleton, term nonanomalous births, 813,077 occurred at 37+0 to 40+6 weeks' gestation. Rates of stillbirth increased with gestational age, with the highest rate observed in infants with birthweight below the third centile: 10.0 per 10,000 (95% confidence interval, 6.2-15.3) at 37+0 to 37+6 weeks, rising to 106.4 per 10,000 (95% confidence interval, 74.6-146.9) at 40+0 to 40+6 weeks' gestation. The rate of neonatal mortality was highest at 37+0 to 37+6 weeks for all birthweight centiles. The composite risk of expectant management rose sharply after 39+0 to 39+6 weeks, and was highest in infants with birthweight below the third centile (125.2/10,000; 95% confidence interval, 118.4-132.3) at 40+0 to 40+6 weeks' gestation. Balancing the risk of expectant management and delivery (neonatal mortality), the optimal timing of delivery for each birthweight centile was evaluated on the basis of relative risk differences. The rate of severe neonatal morbidity sharply decreased in the period between 37+0 to 37+6 and 38+0 to 38+6 weeks, particularly for infants with birthweight below the third centile. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that the optimal time of birth is 37+0 to 37+6 weeks for infants with birthweight <3rd centile and 38+0 to 38+6 weeks' gestation for those with birthweight between the 3rd and 10th centile and >90th centile. For all other birthweight centiles, birth from 39+0 weeks is associated with the best outcomes. However, large numbers of planned births are required to prevent a single excess death. The healthcare costs and acceptability to women of potential universal policies of planned birth need to be carefully considered.

Natural progression of deep pelvic endometriosis in women who opt for expectant management.

INTRODUCTION: The natural history of endometriosis is poorly understood, and despite numerous studies, the rate of the disease progression and optimal treatment planning in women who are asymptomatic or experience mild symptoms not requiring treatment are unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the behavior of deep endometriosis in women who are managed expectantly without any medical or surgical intervention. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of women diagnosed with deep endometriosis on transvaginal ultrasound scan at the Department of Gynecology, University College London Hospitals and The Gynecology Ultrasound Centre, London, UK, from April 2007 to April 2022. All women attended for at least two ultrasound scans which were carried out by a single expert ultrasound examiner and at least 6 months apart. The number and position of endometriotic nodules were recorded, and the mean diameter of each nodule was calculated from measurements taken in three orthogonal planes. RESULTS: During the study period, 1922 women were found to have moderate or severe deep endometriosis on pelvic ultrasound examination. A total of 135 premenopausal women who were managed expectantly fitted the inclusion criteria. The median number of endometriotic nodules per woman at the initial visit was 2 (range: 0-7), and the median follow-up time was 666 days (181-2984). In the follow-up period, 50/135 women (37%, 95% CI: 29-46) developed additional nodules or experienced an increase in nodule size, and 17/135 women (13%, 95% CI: 8-19) had a regression in the number or size of the nodules. In the remaining 68/135 women (50%, 95% CI: 42-59) the disease remained static during the follow-up. The median change in mean diameter of nodules during the study period per woman was +0.13 mm (-11.67 - +5.83), with an annual growth rate of +0.09 mm/year (-6.65 - +6.45). CONCLUSIONS: In our study we found evidence of deep endometriosis progression in just over a third of women. In view of this, asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic women diagnosed with deep endometriosis could be reassured that their disease is unlikely to worsen with time.

Methotrexate vs expectant management for treatment of tubal ectopic pregnancy: An individual participant data meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Ectopic pregnancy is an important health condition which affects up to 1 in 100 women. Women who present with mild symptoms and low serum human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) are often treated with methotrexate (MTX), but expectant management with close monitoring is a feasible alternative. Studies comparing the two treatments have not shown a statistically significant difference in uneventful resolution of ectopic pregnancy, but these studies were too small to define whether certain subgroups could benefit more from either treatment. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) of randomized controlled trials comparing systemic MTX and expectant management in women with tubal ectopic pregnancy and low hCG (<2000 IU/L). A one-stage IPD-MA was performed to assess overall treatment effects of MTX and expectant management to generate a pooled intervention effect. Subgroup analyses and exploratory multivariable analyses were undertaken according to baseline serum hCG and progesterone levels. Primary outcome was treatment success, defined as resolution of clinical symptoms and decline in level of serum hCG to <20 IU/L, or a negative urine pregnancy test by the initial intervention strategy, without any additional treatment. Secondary outcomes were need for blood transfusion, surgical intervention, additional MTX side-effects and hCG resolution times. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO: CRD42021214093. RESULTS: 1547 studies reviewed and 821 remained after duplicates removed. Five studies screened for eligibility and three IPD requested. Two randomized controlled trials supplied IPD, leading to 153 participants for analysis. Treatment success rate was 65/82 (79.3%) after MTX and 48/70 (68.6%) after expectant management (IPD risk ratio [RR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-1.40). Surgical intervention rates were not significantly different: 8/82 (9.8%) vs 13/70 (18.6%) (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.23-1.14). Mean time to success was 19.7 days (95% CI 17.4-22.3) after MTX and 21.2 days (95% CI 17.8-25.2) after expectant management (P = 0.25). MTX specific side-effects were reported in 33 MTX compared to four in the expectant group. CONCLUSIONS: Our IPD-MA showed no statistically significant difference in treatment efficacy between MTX and expectant management in women with tubal ectopic pregnancy with low hCG. Initial expectant management could be the preferred strategy due to fewer side-effects.

Systematic review on the management of term prelabour rupture of membranes.

INTRODUCTION: Prelabour rupture of membranes at term affects approximately 10% of women during pregnancy, and it is often associated with a higher risk of infection than when the membranes are intact. In an attempt to control the risk of infection, two main approaches have been used most widely in clinical practice: induction of labour (IOL) soon after the rupture of membranes, also called active management (AM), and watchful waiting for the spontaneous onset of labour, also called expectant management (EM). In addition, previous studies have demonstrated that vaginal examinations increase the risk of chorioamnionitis. However, the effect of vaginal examinations in the context of prelabour rupture of membranes have not been researched to the same extent. METHODS: This systematic review analyses and critiques the latest research on the management of term prelabour rupture of membranes, including the effect of vaginal examinations during labour, with a focus on the outcomes of both normal birth, and chorioamnionitis. Due to its complexity, three research questions were identified using the PICO diagram, and subsequently, the results from these searches were combined. The systematic review aimed to identify randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies that compared active vs expectant management, included number of vaginal examinations and had chorioamnionitis and/or normal birth as outcomes. The following databases were used: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Maternity and Infant care, LILACS, CINAHL and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled trials. Quality was assessed using a tool developed especifically for this study that included questions from CASP and the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Due to the high degree of heterogeneity meta-analysis was not deemed appropriate. Therefore, simple narrative analysis was carried out. RESULTS: Thirty-two studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 27 were RCTs and 5 observational studies. The overall quality of the studies wasn't high, 15 out of the 32 studies were deemed to be low quality and only 17 out of 32 studies were deemed to be of intermediate quality. The systematic review revealed that the management of term prelabour rupture of membranes continues to be controversial. Previous research has compared active management (Induction of labour shortly after the rupture of membrane) against expectant management (watchful waiting for the spontaneous onset of labour). Although previous studies have demonstrated that vaginal examinations increase the risk of chorioamnionitis, no prospective studies have included an intervention to reduce the number of vaginal examinations. CONCLUSION: A RCT assessing the consequences of active management and expectant management as well as the effect of vaginal examinations during labour for term prelabour rupture of membranes is necessary.

Retroperitoneal ectopic pregnancy: successful expectant management in condition of early pregnancy failure.

BACKGROUND: Retroperitoneal ectopic pregnancy (REP) refers to abnormal implantation of the fertilized egg in the retroperitoneal cavity. REP can be divided into pelvic and abdominal positions. Extremely rare, the incidence of REP is less than 1% of ectopic pregnancy (EP). Herein, we report the first case of paraaortic-located REP in association with successful expectant management, thus raising awareness among healthcare providers, particularly in low-resource settings. CASE PRESENTATION: A reproductive-age woman presented at our tertiary referral hospital because of amenorrhea and a positive pregnancy test. Based on serial serum ß-hCG levels and imaging modalities including transabdominal ultrasound, transvaginal sonography, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), a REP of 7-9 weeks of gestational age adherent to abdominal paraaortic region was detected. Since the pregnancy was spontaneously arrested without clinical symptoms, expectant management was first indicated following careful evaluation. After a 1-month follow-up, the ectopic mass naturally degenerated without complications and her ß-hCG concentration returned to a negative value. Therefore, the patient recovered completely and avoided unnecessary surgery as well as toxicity of medical treatment when using systemic methotrexate. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to transvaginal and transabdominal ultrasound, MRI is necessary for the diagnosis of nonviable REP. Alongside the great vessels in the abdominal cavity should be taken into consideration in all suspected cases relating to this rare entity. Expectant management may be carefully indicated in conditions of nonviable REP and unruptured REP, where applicable.

Comparison of adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes between induction and expectant management among women with gestational diabetes mellitus at term pregnancy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Induction at 38-40 weeks of gestation has been broadly suggested for women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), yet its benefits and risks remain unclear. This study aimed to systematically review and meta-analyze existing evidence on the effect of induction at term gestation among women with GDM. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Libraries, and Web of Science from inception to June 2021. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies comparing induction with expectant management among GDM term pregnancies. Primary outcomes included caesarean section (CS) and macrosomia. All screening and extraction were conducted independently and in duplicates. Meta-analyses with random-effects models were conducted to generate the pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the Mantel-Haenszel method. Methodological quality was assessed independently by two reviewers using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool for RCTs and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for observational studies. RESULTS: Of the 4,791 citations, 11 studies were included (3 RCTs and 8 observational studies). Compared to expectant management, GDM women with induction had a significantly lower odds for macrosomia (RCTs 0.49 [0.30-0.81]); observational studies 0.64 [0.54-0.77]), but not for CS (RCTs 0.95 [0.64-1.43]); observational studies 1.03 [0.79-1.34]). Induction was associated with a lower odds of severe perineal lacerations in observational studies (0.59 [0.39-0.88]). No significant difference was observed for other maternal or neonatal morbidities, or perinatal mortality between groups. CONCLUSIONS: For GDM women, induction may reduce the risk of macrosomia and severe perineal lacerations compared to expectant management. Further rigorous studies with large sample sizes are warranted to better inform clinical implications.

Expectant management of viable cesarean scar pregnancies: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Cesarean scar pregnancy (CSP) is a potentially life-threatening disease that has been steadily increasing in prevalence. Pregnancy termination is usually recommended given the risk of life-threatening complications. In some cases, patients refuse to terminate viable CSPs, even after counseling. Recent studies report that, even with a high burden of possible complications and maternal morbidity, many CSPs progress to live, close to term births. The aim of this study is to further demonstrate the natural history of viable cesarean scar pregnancies. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of original studies reporting cases of expectant management of CSPs with positive fetal heartbeats. RESULTS: After selection, 28 studies were included in the review, with a total of 398 cases of CSP, 136 managed expectantly and 117 with positive fetal heartbeat managed expectantly. This study confirmed that the majority of patients experience live births, as 78% of patients selected for expectant management experienced live births at or close to term, with 79% developing morbidly adherent placenta, 55% requiring hysterectomy, and 40% having severe bleeding. DISCUSSION: The optimal management protocol for CSP is still to be defined and more studies are needed to further elucidate this rare but rising disease. Our study provides information on the natural history of untreated CSPs and suggests that termination may not be the only option offered to the patient.

Reproductive outcomes after expectant and surgical management for tubal pregnancy: a retrospective study.

Background: The management of ectopic pregnancy is widely debated. Salpingectomy, salpingostomy, and expectant management are widely performed, but the best approach in terms of keeping good future spontaneous fertility chances is yet to be determined. Material and methods: We performed a retrospective analysis (Clinical Trial ID: NCT05479786) of the medical records of patients with an ultrasonographic or surgical diagnosis of tubal ectopic pregnancy that were admitted to the University of Debrecen Clinical Centre between 2012 and 2020. Results: A total of 312 patients were included in the analysis. Patients managed expectantly and patients treated with salpingostomy had significantly higher rates of clinical pregnancy than patients treated with salpingectomy. Pregnancy outcomes and recurrence rates were comparable between the study groups. Salpingectomy was found to decrease the likelihood of conceiving spontaneously by 65%. A stratified analysis based on serum ß-HCG levels demonstrated that all treatment modalities carry the same reproductive opportunities for patients presenting with ß-HCG levels ≤ 1745 IU/L. Conclusion: Salpingectomy was found to decrease the patient's chance of achieving a natural conception. Conservative approaches should be considered with caution only when the patient's clinical condition permits, and the patient is appropriately counseled.

Spontaneous miscarriage/abortion in the first trimester and expectant management - a meta-analysis approach.

Introduction: To determine effectiveness and side effects of expectant care in first-trimester miscarriage. An increase in the spontaneous miscarriage rate and its associated complications exerts a burden on the overall health and quality of life of women. Expectant care in a first-trimester miscarriage has shown success ranging 75-80%. This study was designed to search the literature for information on the clinical safety and effectiveness of expectant management on spontaneous miscarriage during the first trimester. Material and methods: The review included studies that included women in expectant care for spontaneous miscarriage in the first trimester. Trial studies were recognized through a methodical and organized database search from PubMed, COCHRANE, MEDLINE, Embase, and bibliography from January 2000 until December 2022. The methodological assessment and risk of bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute criteria. Results: Eleven studies in systematic review and 7 studies in the meta-analysis were included. The included studies showed a low to moderate risk of bias. The odds of success in expectant intervention were low when compared with surgical intervention (odds ratio - OR: OR: 0.37 [0.28, 0.48]) and medical management (OR: 0.47 [0.36, 0.61]), and the need for surgical evacuation was high (OR: 2.59 [1.88, 3.59]). Conclusions: Future trials should consider women's opinions and the effect on quality of life along with clinical consequences, to provide improved suggestions on the efficiency and adverse effects.

Expectant management versus IUI in unexplained subfertility and a poor pregnancy prognosis (EXIUI study): a randomized controlled trial.

STUDY QUESTION: For couples with unexplained subfertility and a poor prognosis for natural conception, is 6 months expectant management (EM) inferior to IUI with ovarian stimulation (IUI-OS), in terms of live births? SUMMARY ANSWER: In couples with unexplained subfertility and a poor prognosis for natural conception, 6 months of EM is inferior compared to IUI-OS in terms of live births. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Couples with unexplained subfertility and a poor prognosis are often treated with IUI-OS. In couples with unexplained subfertility and a relatively good prognosis for natural conception (>30% in 12 months), IUI-OS does not increase the live birth rate as compared to 6 months of EM. However, in couples with a poor prognosis for natural conception (<30% in 12 months), the effectiveness of IUI-OS is uncertain. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We performed a non-inferiority multicentre randomized controlled trial within the infrastructure of the Dutch Consortium for Healthcare Evaluation and Research in Obstetrics and Gynaecology. We intended to include 1091 couples within 3 years. The couples were allocated in a 1:1 ratio to 6 months EM or 6 months IUI-OS with either clomiphene citrate or gonadotrophins. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We studied heterosexual couples with unexplained subfertility and a poor prognosis for natural conception (<30% in 12 months). The primary outcome was ongoing pregnancy leading to a live birth. Non-inferiority would be shown if the lower limit of the one-sided 90% risk difference (RD) CI was less than minus 7% compared to an expected live birth rate of 30% following IUI-OS. We calculated RD, relative risks (RRs) with 90% CI and a corresponding hazard rate for live birth over time based on intention-to-treat and per-protocol (PP) analysis. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Between October 2016 and September 2020, we allocated 92 couples to EM and 86 to IUI-OS. The trial was halted pre-maturely owing to slow inclusion. Mean female age was 34 years, median duration of subfertility was 21 months. Couples allocated to EM had a lower live birth rate than couples allocated to IUI-OS (12/92 (13%) in the EM group versus 28/86 (33%) in the IUI-OS group; RR 0.40 90% CI 0.24 to 0.67). This corresponds to an absolute RD of minus 20%; 90% CI: -30% to -9%. The hazard ratio for live birth over time was 0.36 (95% CI 0.18 to 0.70). In the PP analysis, live births rates were 8 of 70 women (11%) in the EM group versus 26 of 73 women (36%) in the IUI-OS group (RR 0.32, 90% CI 0.18 to 0.59; RD -24%, 90% CI -36% to -13%) in line with inferiority of EM. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our trial did not reach the planned sample size, therefore the results are limited by the number of participants. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study confirms the results of a previous trial that in couples with unexplained subfertility and a poor prognosis for natural conception, EM is inferior to IUI-OS. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The trial was supported by a grant of the SEENEZ healthcare initiative. The subsidizing parties were The Dutch Organisation for Health Research and Development (ZonMW 837004023, www.zonmw.nl) and the umbrella organization of 10 health insurers in The Netherlands. E.R.G. receives personal fees from Titus Health care outside the submitted work. M.G. declares unrestricted research and educational grants from Guerbet, Merck and Ferring not related to the presented work, paid to their institution VU medical centre. A.B.H. reports receiving travel and speakers fees from Nordic Pharma and Merck and he is member of the Nordic Pharma ANGEL group and of the Safety Monitoring Board of Womed. C.B.L. reports speakers fee from Inmed and Yingming, and his department receives research grants from Ferring, Merck and Guerbet paid to VU medical centre. B.W.J.M. is supported by a NHMRC Investigator grant (GNT1176437) and reports consultancy for ObsEva and Merck. M.v.W. received a grant from the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development ZonMW (80-8520098-91072). F.M. received two grants from the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development ZonMW (NTR 5599 and NTR 6590). The other authors report no competing interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Dutch Trial register NL5455 (NTR5599). TRIAL REGISTRATION DATE: 18 December 2015. DATE OF FIRST PATIENT'S ENROLMENT: 26 January 2017.