Predicting Pain-Related 30-Day Emergency Department Return Visits in Middle-Aged and Older Adults.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine predictive factors for pain-related emergency department returns in middle-aged and older adults. Design, Setting, and Subjects. This was a subanalysis of patients > 55 years of age enrolled in a prospective observational study of adult patients presenting within 30 days of an index visit to a large, urban, academic center. METHODS: Demographic and clinical data were collected and compared to determine significant differences between patients who returned for pain and those who did not. Multiple logistic regressions were used to determine significant predictive variables for return visits. RESULTS: The majority of the 130 enrolled patients > 55 years of age returned for pain (57%), were African American (78%), were younger (55-64 years old, 67%), had a high emergency department acuity level (level 1 or 2) at their index visit (56%), had low health literacy (Rapid Estimate of Adult Literacy in Medicine [REALM] score, 62%), lived in an area of extreme deprivation (69%), and were admitted (61%) during their index visit. Age (odds ratio [OR] = 0.9, 95% CI = 0.8-0.9, P = 0.047), health literacy (REALM scores; OR = 3.1, 95% CI = 1.3-7.5, P = 0.011), and index visit pain scores (OR = 1.1, 95% CI = 1.0-1.2, P = 0.004) were predictive of emergency department returns for pain in middle-aged and older adults. CONCLUSIONS: The likelihood of emergency department return visits for pain in middle-aged and older adults decreased with older age, increased with higher health literacy (REALM scores), and increased with increase in pain scores.