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1.
Can J Cardiol ; 2024 Sep 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39277075

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: We aimed to derive a clinical decision rule to identify transient ischemic attack (TIA)/minor stroke patients most likely to benefit from echocardiography. METHODS: This multicentre prospective cohort study enrolled adults diagnosed with TIA/minor stroke in the emergency department who underwent a echocardiogram within 90 days, from 13 Canadian academic emergency departments from October 2006 to May 2017. Our outcome was clinically significant echocardiogram findings. RESULTS: In 7,149 eligible patients, a clinically significant finding was found in 556 (7.8%). There were a further 2,421 (33.9%) with a potentially significant finding. History of heart failure (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3.9) or coronary artery disease (OR 2.7) were the factors most strongly associated with clinically significant echocardiogram findings, while young age, male sex, valvular heart disease and infarct (any age) on neuroimaging were modestly associated (OR between 1.3 and 1.9). The model combining these predictors into a score (range 0 to 15), had a C-statistic of 0.67 (95%CI 0.65-0.70). A cut point of 6 points or more classified 6.6% of cases as high likelihood, defined as >15% for clinically significant echocardiogram findings. CONCLUSION: Echocardiography is a very useful test in the investigations of TIA/minor stroke patients. We identified high risk clinical features, combined to create a clinical decision rule, to identify which TIA/minor stroke patients are likely to have clinically significant echocardiogram findings requiring an immediate change in management. These patients should have echocardiography prioritized while others may continue to have echocardiography conducted in a less urgent fashion.

2.
CJEM ; 26(10): 732-740, 2024 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39186238

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To examine if an ED interprofessional team ("ED1Team") could safely decrease hospital admissions among older persons. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective, propensity score matched study was performed at a single ED during a control (December 2/2018-March 31/2019) and intervention (December 2/2019-March 31/2020) period. The intervention was assessed by the ED1Team, which could include an occupational therapist, physiotherapist, and social worker. We compared admission rates between period in persons age ≥ 70 years. Next, we compared visits attended by the ED1Team to (a) control period visits, and (b) intervention period visits without ED1Team attendance. SECONDARY OUTCOMES: ED length-of-stay, 7-day subsequent hospital admission and mortality in discharged patients. RESULTS: There were 5496 and 4876 eligible ED visits during the control and intervention periods, respectively. In the latter group, 556 (11.4%) received ED1Team assessment. After matching, there was an absolute 2.3% (p = 0.07) reduction in the admission rate between control and intervention periods. After matching the 556 ED1Team attended visits to control period visits, and to intervention period visits without the intervention, admission rates decreased by 10.0% (p = 0.006) and 13.5% (p < 0.001), respectively. For discharged patients, median ED length-of-stay decreased by 1.0 h (p < 0.001) between control and intervention periods and increased by 2.3 h (p < 0.001) compared to intervention period without the intervention. For patients discharged by the ED1Team, subsequent readmissions after 7 days were slightly higher, but mortality was not significantly different. CONCLUSION: ED1Team consultation was associated with a decreased hospital admission rate in older ED patients. It was associated with a slightly longer ED length-of-stay and subsequent early hospitalizations. Given that even a small increase in freed hospital beds would release some of the pressure on an overextended healthcare system, these results suggest that upscaling of the intervention might procure systems-wide benefits.


RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Examiner si une équipe interprofessionnelle de DE (« ED1Team ¼) pourrait réduire en toute sécurité les admissions à l'hôpital chez les personnes âgées. MéTHODES: Cette étude rétrospective, à un seul centre et correspondant au score de propension a été réalisée à un seul DE pendant une période de contrôle (2/2018-31 mars/2019) et d'intervention (2/2019-31 mars/2020). L'intervention était une évaluation par l'équipe de l'ED1, qui pouvait comprendre un ergothérapeute, un physiothérapeute et un travailleur social. Nous avons comparé les taux d'admission entre périodes chez des personnes âgées de 70 ans. Ensuite, nous avons comparé les visites auxquelles a assisté l'équipe de DE1 à des visites pendant la période de contrôle et b) des visites pendant la période d'intervention sans présence de l'équipe. Résultats secondaires Durée du séjour en salle d'opération, hospitalisation subséquente de 7 jours et mortalité chez les patients libérés. RéSULTATS: Il y a eu 5496 et 4876 visites admissibles à la DE pendant les périodes de contrôle et d'intervention, respectivement. Dans ce dernier groupe, 556 (11,4 %) ont reçu une évaluation de l'équipe ED1. Après appariement, il y a eu une réduction absolue de 2,3 % (p=0,07) du taux d'admission entre les périodes de contrôle et d'intervention. Après avoir comparé les 556 visites de l'équipe ED1P aux visites des périodes de contrôle et aux visites des périodes d'intervention sans intervention, les taux d'admission ont diminué de 10,0 % (p=0,006) et 13,5 % (p<0,001), respectivement. Chez les patients ayant reçu leur congé, la durée médiane de séjour en DE a diminué de 1,0 heure (p<0,001) entre les périodes de contrôle et d'intervention et a augmenté de 2,3 heures (p<0,001) par rapport à la période d'intervention sans l'intervention. Pour les patients libérés par l'équipe ED1, les réadmissions subséquentes après 7 jours étaient légèrement plus élevées, mais la mortalité n'était pas significativement différente. CONCLUSION: La consultation d'Ed1Team a été associée à une diminution du taux d'admission hospitalière chez les patients âgés atteints de DE. Elle était associée à une durée de séjour légèrement plus longue en salle d'opération et à des hospitalisations précoces subséquentes. Étant donné que même une petite augmentation du nombre de lits d'hôpitaux libérés allégerait en partie la pression exercée sur un système de soins de santé surdimensionné, ces résultats suggèrent qu'une mise à l'échelle de l'intervention pourrait procurer des avantages à l'échelle du système.


Asunto(s)
Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Grupo de Atención al Paciente , Puntaje de Propensión , Humanos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Femenino , Masculino , Grupo de Atención al Paciente/organización & administración , Anciano , Admisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos
3.
CJEM ; 26(10): 741-750, 2024 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39190092

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Emergent vascular imaging identifies a subset of patients requiring immediate specialized care (i.e. carotid stenosis > 50%, dissection or free-floating thrombus). However, most TIA patients do not have these findings, so it is inefficient to image all TIA patients in crowded emergency departments (ED). Our objectives were to derive and internally validate a clinical prediction score for clinically significant carotid artery disease in TIA patients. METHODS: This was a planned secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study from 14 Canadian EDs. Among 11555 consecutive adult ED patients with TIA/minor stroke symptoms over 12 years, 9882 had vascular imaging and were included in the analysis. Our main outcome was clinically significant carotid artery disease, defined as extracranial internal carotid stenosis ≥ 50%, dissection, or thrombus in the internal carotid artery, with contralateral symptoms. RESULTS: Of 9882 patients, 888 (9.0%) had clinically significant carotid artery disease. Logistic regression was used to derive a 13-variable reduced model. We simplified the model into a score (Symcard [Symptomatic carotid artery disease] Score), with suggested cut-points for high, medium, and low-risk stratification. A substantial portion (38%) of patients were classified as low-risk, 33.8% as medium risk, and 28.2% as high risk. At the low-risk cut-point, sensitivity was 92.9%, specificity 41.1%, and diagnostic yield 1.7%. CONCLUSIONS: This simple score can predict carotid artery disease in TIA patients using readily available information. It identifies low-risk patients who can defer vascular imaging to an outpatient or specialty clinic setting. Medium-risk patients may undergo imaging immediately or with slight delay, depending on local resources. High-risk patients should undergo urgent vascular imaging.


RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: L'imagerie vasculaire émergente permet d'identifier un sous-ensemble de patients nécessitant des soins spécialisés immédiats (c.-à-d. sténose carotidienne >50 %, dissection ou thrombus flottant). Cependant, la plupart des patients atteints de RTI ne présentent pas ces résultats, il est donc inefficace d'effectuer une imagerie de tous les patients atteints de RTI dans les services d'urgence (ER) surpeuplés. Nos objectifs étaient de calculer et de valider en interne un score de prédiction clinique pour la maladie carotide cliniquement significative chez les patients atteints d'une AIT MéTHODES: Il s'agissait d'une analyse secondaire planifiée d'une étude de cohorte prospective menée auprès de 14 DE canadiens. Parmi les 11555 patients adultes consécutifs atteints d'un EI présentant des symptômes d'AIT/AVC mineur au cours des 12 dernières années, 9882 ont reçu une imagerie vasculaire et ont été inclus dans l'analyse. Notre principal critère de jugement était la maladie carotide cliniquement significative, définie comme une sténose extracrânienne de la carotide interne à 50 %, une dissection ou un thrombus dans l'artère carotide interne, avec des symptômes contralatéraux. RéSULTATS: Sur 9882 patients, 888 (9,0 %) présentaient une maladie de l'artère carotide cliniquement significative. La régression logistique a été utilisée pour obtenir un modèle réduit à 13 variables. Nous avons simplifié le modèle en un score (Symcard [Symptomatic carotid artery disease] Score), avec des points de coupure suggérés pour la stratification à risque élevé, moyen et faible. Une proportion importante (38,0 %) des patients ont été classés à faible risque, 33,8 % à risque moyen et 28,2 % à risque élevé. Au seuil de faible risque, la sensibilité était de 92,9 %, la spécificité de 41,1 % et le rendement diagnostique de 1,7 %. CONCLUSIONS: Ce score simple permet de prédire la maladie de l'artère carotide chez les patients atteints d'AIT en utilisant des informations facilement disponibles. Il identifie les patients à faible risque qui peuvent reporter l'imagerie vasculaire à un établissement de consultation externe ou de spécialité. Les patients à risque moyen peuvent subir une imagerie immédiatement ou avec un léger délai, selon les ressources locales. Les patients à haut risque doivent subir une imagerie vasculaire urgente.


Asunto(s)
Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Canadá/epidemiología , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/diagnóstico , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagen , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estenosis Carotídea/diagnóstico por imagen , Estenosis Carotídea/diagnóstico
7.
Psychiatry Res ; 336: 115892, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38642422

RESUMEN

The COVID-19 pandemic raised concerns regarding increased suicide-related behaviours. We compared characteristics and counts of Emergency Department (ED) presentations for self-harm, an important suicide-related outcome, during versus prior to the pandemic's first year. We included patients presenting with self-harm to the ED of two trauma centres in Toronto, Canada. Time series models compared intra-pandemic (March 2020-February 2021) presentation counts to predictions from pre-pandemic data. The self-harm proportion of ED presentations was compared between the intra-pandemic period and preceding three years. A retrospective chart review of eligible patients seen from March 2019-February 2021 compared pre- vs. intra-pandemic patient and injury characteristics. While monthly intra-pandemic self-harm counts were largely within expected ranges, the self-harm proportion of total presentations increased. Being widowed (OR=9.46; 95 %CI=1.10-81.08), employment/financial stressors (OR=1.65, 95 %CI=1.06-2.58), job loss (OR=3.83; 95 %CI=1.36-10.76), and chest-stabbing self-harm (OR=2.50; 95 %CI=1.16-5.39) were associated with intra-pandemic presentations. Intra-pandemic self-harm was also associated with Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission (OR=2.18, 95 %CI=1.41-3.38). In summary, while the number of self-harm presentations to these trauma centres did not increase during the early pandemic, their proportion was increased. The association of intra-pandemic self-harm with variables indicating medically severe injury, economic stressors, and being widowed may inform future suicide and self-harm prevention strategies.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Conducta Autodestructiva , Centros Traumatológicos , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/psicología , Conducta Autodestructiva/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Centros Traumatológicos/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ontario/epidemiología , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Adolescente , Canadá/epidemiología
8.
Eur Heart J ; 45(2): 104-113, 2024 Jan 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37647629

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Female sex is associated with higher rates of stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) after adjustment for other CHA2DS2-VASc factors. This study aimed to describe sex differences in age and cardiovascular care to examine their relationship with stroke hazard in AF. METHODS: Population-based cohort study using administrative datasets of people aged ≥66 years diagnosed with AF in Ontario between 2007 and 2019. Cause-specific hazard regression was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for stroke associated with female sex over a 2-year follow-up. Model 1 included CHA2DS2-VASc factors, with age modelled as 66-74 vs. ≥ 75 years. Model 2 treated age as a continuous variable and included an age-sex interaction term. Model 3 further accounted for multimorbidity and markers of cardiovascular care. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 354 254 individuals with AF (median age 78 years, 49.2% female). Females were more likely to be diagnosed in emergency departments and less likely to receive cardiologist assessments, statins, or LDL-C testing, with higher LDL-C levels among females than males. In Model 1, the adjusted HR for stroke associated with female sex was 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.21-1.32). Model 2 revealed a significant age-sex interaction, such that female sex was only associated with increased stroke hazard at age >70 years. Adjusting for markers of cardiovascular care and multimorbidity further decreased the HR, so that female sex was not associated with increased stroke hazard at age ≤80 years. CONCLUSION: Older age and inequities in cardiovascular care may partly explain higher stroke rates in females with AF.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/epidemiología , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Estudios de Cohortes , LDL-Colesterol , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo
9.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes ; 16(12): e010063, 2023 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38050754

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Canadian data suggest that patients of lower socioeconomic status with acute myocardial infarction receive less beneficial therapy and have worse clinical outcomes, raising questions regarding care disparities even in universal health care systems. We assessed the contemporary association of marginalization with clinical outcomes and health services use. METHODS: Using clinical and administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we conducted a population-based study of patients aged ≥65 years hospitalized for their first acute myocardial infarction between April 1, 2010 and March 1, 2019. Patients receiving cardiac catheterization and surviving 7 days postdischarge were included. Our primary exposure was neighborhood-level marginalization, a multidimensional socioeconomic status metric. Neighborhoods were categorized by quintile from Q1 (least marginalized) to Q5 (most marginalized). Our primary outcome was all-cause mortality. A proportional hazards regression model with a robust variance estimator was used to quantify the association of marginalization with outcomes, adjusting for risk factors, comorbidities, disease severity, and regional cardiologist supply. RESULTS: Among 53 841 patients (median age, 75 years; 39.1% female) from 20 640 neighborhoods, crude 1- and 3-year mortality rates were 7.7% and 17.2%, respectively. Patients in Q5 had no significant difference in 1-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08 [95% CI, 0.95-1.22]), but greater mortality over 3 years (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.03-1.22]) compared with Q1. Over 1 year, we observed differences between Q1 and Q5 in visits to primary care physicians (Q1, 96.7%; Q5, 93.7%) and cardiologists (Q1, 82.6%; Q5, 72.6%), as well as diagnostic testing. There were no differences in secondary prevention medications dispensed or medication adherence at 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: In older patients with acute myocardial infarction who survived to hospital discharge, those residing in the most marginalized neighborhoods had a greater long-term risk of mortality, less specialist care, and fewer diagnostic tests. Yet, there were no differences across socioeconomic status in prescription medication use and adherence.


Asunto(s)
Infarto del Miocardio , Alta del Paciente , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Masculino , Cuidados Posteriores , Infarto del Miocardio/terapia , Infarto del Miocardio/tratamiento farmacológico , Ontario/epidemiología , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Hospitales , Cateterismo Cardíaco/efectos adversos
10.
Eur J Heart Fail ; 25(12): 2274-2286, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37953731

RESUMEN

AIM: We studied the association between neighbourhood material deprivation, a metric estimating inability to attain basic material needs, with outcomes and processes of care among incident heart failure patients in a universal healthcare system. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a population-based retrospective study (2007-2019), we examined the association of material deprivation with 1-year all-cause mortality, cause-specific hospitalization, and 90-day processes of care. Using cause-specific hazards regression, we quantified the relative rate of events after multiple covariate adjustment, stratifying by age ≤65 or ≥66 years. Among 395 763 patients (median age 76 [interquartile range 66-84] years, 47% women), there was significant interaction between age and deprivation quintile for mortality/hospitalization outcomes (p ≤ 0.001). Younger residents (age ≤65 years) of the most versus least deprived neighbourhoods had higher hazards of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.29]) and cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.29 [95% CI 1.19-1.39]). Older individuals (≥66 years) in the most deprived neighbourhoods had significantly higher hazard of death (HR 1.11 [95% CI 1.08-1.14]) and cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.13 [95% CI 1.09-1.18]) compared to the least deprived. The magnitude of the association between deprivation and outcomes was amplified in the younger compared to the older age group. More deprived individuals in both age groups had a lower hazard of cardiology visits and advanced cardiac imaging (all p < 0.001), while the most deprived of younger ages were less likely to undergo implantable cardioverter-defibrillator/cardiac resynchronization therapy-pacemaker implantation (p = 0.023), compared to the least deprived. CONCLUSION: Patients with newly-diagnosed heart failure residing in the most deprived neighbourhoods had worse outcomes and reduced access to care than those less deprived.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino , Factores Socioeconómicos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Atención a la Salud
11.
CMAJ Open ; 11(5): E969-E981, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37875312

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Avoidance of care during the pandemic may have contributed to delays in care, and as a result, worse patient outcomes. We evaluated markers of illness acuity on presentation to the emergency department among patients with non-COVID-19-related emergent diagnoses and associated outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using linked administrative data from Ontario. We selected 4 emergent diagnoses, namely appendicitis, ectopic pregnancy, renal failure and diabetic ketoacidosis. We used the nonemergent diagnosis of cellulitis as a control. Our primary outcome of interest was hospital admission. Secondary outcomes were ambulance arrival, surgical intervention, subsequent hospital admission within 30 days of discharge from the emergency department or hospital and 30-day mortality. We compared outcomes during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic (Mar. 15-Dec. 31, 2020) with a control period (Mar. 15-Dec. 31, 2018, and Mar. 15-Dec. 31, 2019). RESULTS: Emergency department visits for all conditions initially decreased during the pandemic. During this period, patients across all study diagnoses were more likely to arrive to the emergency department via ambulance. Patients with an ectopic pregnancy had higher odds of surgery in the pandemic period (odds ratio [OR] 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.55) but this was not observed among patients with appendicitis. Patients with renal failure had increased odds of hospital admission (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04-1.24) and 30-day mortality (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.04-1.31) during the pandemic period. INTERPRETATION: The pandemic period was associated with increased arrival to the emergency department via ambulance across all study diagnoses. Although patients with renal failure had increased hospital admission and death, and patients with ectopic pregnancy had an increased risk of surgery, there were no differences in outcomes for other populations, suggesting the health care system was able to care for these patients effectively.

12.
PLoS One ; 18(9): e0291580, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37751455

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Not all patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection develop symptomatic coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), making it challenging to assess the burden of COVID-19-related hospitalizations and mortality. We aimed to determine the proportion, resource utilization, and outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 positive patients admitted for COVID-19, and assess the impact of using the Center for Disease Control's (CDC) discharge diagnosis-based algorithm and the Massachusetts state department's drug administration-based classification system on identifying admissions for COVID-19. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we enrolled consecutive SARS-CoV-2 positive patients admitted to one of five hospitals in British Columbia between December 19, 2021 and May 31,2022. We completed medical record reviews, and classified hospitalizations as being primarily for COVID-19 or with incidental SARS-CoV-2 infection. We applied the CDC algorithm and the Massachusetts classification to estimate the difference in hospital days, intensive care unit (ICU) days and in-hospital mortality and calculated sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Of 42,505 Emergency Department patients, 1,651 were admitted and tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with 858 (52.0%, 95% CI 49.6-54.4) admitted for COVID-19. Patients hospitalized for COVID-19 required ICU admission (14.0% versus 8.2%, p<0.001) and died (12.6% versus 6.4%, p<0.001) more frequently compared with patients with incidental SARS-CoV-2. Compared to case classification by clinicians, the CDC algorithm had a sensitivity of 82.9% (711/858, 95% CI 80.3%, 85.4%) and specificity of 98.1% (778/793, 95% CI 97.2%, 99.1%) for COVID-19-related admissions and underestimated COVID-19 attributable hospital days. The Massachusetts classification had a sensitivity of 60.5% (519/858, 95% CI 57.2%, 63.8%) and specificity of 78.6% (623/793, 95% CI 75.7%, 81.4%) for COVID-19-related admissions, underestimating total number of hospital and ICU bed days while overestimating COVID-19-related intubations, ICU admissions, and deaths. CONCLUSION: Half of SARS-CoV-2 hospitalizations were for COVID-19 during the Omicron wave. The CDC algorithm was more specific and sensitive than the Massachusetts classification, but underestimated the burden of COVID-19 admissions. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04702945.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/terapia , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hospitalización
13.
Acad Emerg Med ; 30(11): 1150-1160, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37266925

RESUMEN

Clinical prediction models are created to help clinicians with medical decision making, aid in risk stratification, and improve diagnosis and/or prognosis. With growing availability of both prehospital and in-hospital observational registries and electronic health records, there is an opportunity to develop, validate, and incorporate prediction models into clinical practice. However, many prediction models have high risk of bias due to poor methodology. Given that there are no methodological standards aimed at developing prediction models specifically in the prehospital setting, the objective of this paper is to describe the appropriate methodology for the derivation and validation of clinical prediction models in this setting. What follows can also be applied to the emergency medicine (EM) setting. There are eight steps that should be followed when developing and internally validating a prediction model: (1) problem definition, (2) coding of predictors, (3) addressing missing data, (4) ensuring adequate sample size, (5) variable selection, (6) evaluating model performance, (7) internal validation, and (8) model presentation. Subsequent steps include external validation, assessment of impact, and cost-effectiveness. By following these steps, researchers can develop a prediction model with the methodological rigor and quality required for prehospital and EM research.


Asunto(s)
Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Pronóstico , Toma de Decisiones Clínicas , Hospitales
14.
CMAJ Open ; 11(3): E494-E503, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37311594

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are cardioprotective agents in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). Since little is known about their uptake in atherosclerotic CVD, we examined SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing trends and identified potential disparities in prescribing patterns. METHODS: We conducted an observational study using linked population-based health data in Ontario, Canada, from April 2016 to March 2020 of patients aged 65 years or older with concomitant type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic CVD. To examine prevalent prescribing of SGLT2 inhibitors (canagliflozin, dapagliflozin and empagliflozin), we constructed 4 cross-sectional yearly cohorts from Apr. 1 to Mar. 31 (2016/17, 2017/18, 2018/19 and 2019/20). We estimated prevalent SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing by year and by subgroups, and identified factors associated with SGTL2 inhibitor prescribing using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 208 303 patients in our overall cohort (median age 74.0 yr [interquartile range 68.0-80.0 yr], 132 196 [63.5%] male). Although SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing increased over time, from 7.0% to 20.1%, statin prescribing was initially 10-fold higher and later threefold higher than SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing. In 2019/20, SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing was roughly 50% lower among those aged 75 years or older than among those younger than 75 years (12.9% v. 28.3%, p < 0.001) and in women than in men (15.3% v. 22.9%, p < 0.001). Age 75 years or older, female sex, history of heart failure and kidney disease, and low income were independent factors of lower SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing. Among physician specialists, visits to endocrinologists and family physicians were stronger factors of SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing than cardiologist visits. INTERPRETATION: We found that 1 in 5 patients with diabetes and atherosclerotic CVD were prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors in 2019/20, whereas statins were prescribed for 4 of every 5 patients. Although SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing increased over the study period, disparities in adoption by age, sex, socioeconomic status, comorbidities and physician specialty remained.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Inhibidores del Cotransportador de Sodio-Glucosa 2 , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Anciano , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamiento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Inhibidores del Cotransportador de Sodio-Glucosa 2/uso terapéutico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Glucosa , Sodio , Ontario/epidemiología
15.
JACC Adv ; 2(3): 100307, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37250382

RESUMEN

Background: While men have experienced higher risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to women, an analysis of sex differences by age in severe outcomes during the acute phase of infection is lacking. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to assess heterogeneity in severe outcome risks by age and sex by conducting a retrospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults in Ontario who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first 3 waves. Methods: Adjusted odds ratios were estimated using multilevel multivariable logistic regression models including an interaction term for age and sex. The primary outcome was a composite of severe outcomes (hospitalization for a cardiovascular (CV) event, intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, or death) within 30 days. Results: Among 30,736, 199,132, and 186,131 adults who tested positive during the first 3 waves, 1,908 (6.2%), 5,437 (2.7%), and 5,653 (3.0%) experienced a severe outcome within 30 days. For all outcomes, the sex-specific risk depended on age (all P for interaction <0.05). Men with SARS-CoV-2 infection experienced a higher risk of outcomes than infected women of the same age, except for the risk of all-cause hospitalization being higher for young women than men (ages 18-45 years) during waves 2 and 3. The sex disparity in CV hospitalization across all ages either persisted or increased with each subsequent wave. Conclusions: To mitigate risks in subsequent waves, it is helpful to further understand the factors that contribute to the generally higher risks faced by men across all ages, and the persistent or increasing sex disparity in the risk of CV hospitalization.

16.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 6635, 2023 04 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37095174

RESUMEN

Many health authorities differentiate hospitalizations in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 as being "for COVID-19" (due to direct manifestations of SARS-CoV-2 infection) versus being an "incidental" finding in someone admitted for an unrelated condition. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of all SARS-CoV-2 infected patients hospitalized via 47 Canadian emergency departments, March 2020-July 2022 to determine whether hospitalizations with "incidental" SARS-CoV-2 infection are less of a burden to patients and the healthcare system. Using a priori standardized definitions applied to hospital discharge diagnoses in 14,290 patients, we characterized COVID-19 as (i) the "Direct" cause for the hospitalization (70%), (ii) a potential "Contributing" factor for the hospitalization (4%), or (iii) an "Incidental" finding that did not influence the need for admission (26%). The proportion of incidental SARS-CoV-2 infections rose from 10% in Wave 1 to 41% during the Omicron wave. Patients with COVID-19 as the direct cause of hospitalization exhibited significantly longer LOS (mean 13.8 versus 12.1 days), were more likely to require critical care (22% versus 11%), receive COVID-19-specific therapies (55% versus 19%), and die (17% versus 9%) compared to patients with Incidental SARS-CoV-2 infections. However, patients hospitalized with incidental SARS-CoV-2 infection still exhibited substantial morbidity/mortality and hospital resource use.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Canadá , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hospitalización
17.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 12(8): e026681, 2023 04 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37026540

RESUMEN

Background For patients with atrial fibrillation seen in the emergency department (ED) following a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the impact of initiating oral anticoagulation immediately rather than deferring the decision to outpatient follow-up is unknown. Methods and Results We conducted a planned secondary data analysis of a prospective cohort of 11 507 adults in 13 Canadian EDs between 2006 and 2018. Patients were eligible if they were aged 18 years or older, with a final diagnosis of TIA or minor stroke with previously documented or newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation. The primary outcome was subsequent stroke, recurrent TIA, or all-cause mortality within 90 days of the index TIA diagnosis. Secondary outcomes included stroke, recurrent TIA, or death and rates of major bleeding. Of 11 507 subjects with TIA/minor stroke, atrial fibrillation was identified in 11.2% (1286, mean age, 77.3 [SD 11.1] years, 52.4% male). Over half (699; 54.4%) were already taking anticoagulation, 89 (6.9%) were newly prescribed anticoagulation in the ED. By 90 days, 4.0% of the atrial fibrillation cohort had experienced a subsequent stroke, 6.5% subsequent TIA, and 2.6% died. Results of a multivariable logistic regression indicate no association between prescribed anticoagulation in the ED and these 90-day outcomes (composite odds ratio, 1.37 [95% CI, 0.74-2.52]). Major bleeding was found in 5 patients, none of whom were in the ED-initiated anticoagulation group. Conclusions Initiating oral anticoagulation in the ED following new TIA was not associated with lower recurrence rates of neurovascular events or all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Masculino , Anciano , Femenino , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/tratamiento farmacológico , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/epidemiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/prevención & control , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios Prospectivos , Canadá/epidemiología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/prevención & control , Hemorragia/inducido químicamente , Hemorragia/epidemiología , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Factores de Riesgo
18.
CJEM ; 25(5): 387-393, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36973635

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Caring for patients with low-acuity conditions in Emergency Departments (ED) is often thought to cost more than treating those patients in other ambulatory settings. Understanding the relative cost of care between settings has critical implications for healthcare policy and system design. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of papers comparing the cost of care for low-acuity and ambulatory care sensitive conditions in ED and other outpatient settings. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Web of Science for peer reviewed papers, plus Google for grey literature. We conducted duplicate screening and data extraction, and quality assessment of included studies using an adapted SIGN checklist for economic studies. We calculated an unweighted mean charge ratio across studies and summarized our findings in narrative and tabular format. RESULTS: We identified one study comparing costs. 18 studies assessed physician or facility charges, conducted in the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada, including cohort analyses (5), charge analyses (5), survey (1), and database searches (5) assessing populations ranging from 370 participants to 60 million. Charge ratios ranged from 0.60 to 13.45 with an unweighted mean of 4.20. Most (12) studies were of acceptable quality. CONCLUSION: No studies since 2001 assess the comparative costs of ED versus non-ED care for low-acuity ambulatory conditions. Physician and facility charges for ED care are higher than in other ambulatory settings for low-acuity conditions. Empirical evidence is lacking to support that ED care is more costly than similar care in other ambulatory settings.


RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: La prise en charge des patients souffrant d'affections de faible gravité dans les services d'urgence est souvent considérée comme plus coûteuse que la prise en charge de ces mêmes patients dans d'autres structures ambulatoires. Comprendre le coût relatif des soins entre les différents environnements a des implications cruciales pour la politique des soins de santé et la conception des systèmes. MéTHODES: Nous avons procédé à un examen systématique des documents comparant le coût des soins pour les affections à faible gravité et les affections sensibles aux soins ambulatoires dans les services d'urgence et dans d'autres établissements de soins ambulatoires. Nous avons effectué des recherches dans PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL et Web of Science pour les articles évalués par des pairs, ainsi que dans Google pour la littérature grise. Nous avons procédé à une double sélection et à une extraction des données, ainsi qu'à une évaluation de la qualité des études incluses à l'aide d'une liste de contrôle SIGN adaptée aux études économiques. Nous avons calculé un ratio moyen non pondéré pour l'ensemble des études et avons résumé nos conclusions sous forme de texte et de tableau. RéSULTATS: Nous avons identifié une étude comparant les coûts. 18 études ont évalué les frais des médecins ou des établissements, menées aux États-Unis, au Royaume-Uni et au Canada, y compris des analyses de cohortes (5), des analyses de frais (5), des enquêtes (1) et des recherches dans des bases de données (5) évaluant des populations allant de 370 participants à 60 millions de personnes. Les taux d'imputation allaient de 0,60 à 13,45, avec une moyenne non pondérée de 4,20. La plupart des études (12) étaient de qualité acceptable. CONCLUSION: Depuis 2001, aucune étude n'a évalué les coûts comparatifs des soins aux urgences par rapport aux soins hors urgences pour les affections ambulatoires de faible gravité. Les honoraires des médecins et des établissements pour les soins aux urgences sont plus élevés que dans d'autres structures ambulatoires pour les affections de faible gravité. Il n'existe pas de données empiriques permettant d'affirmer que les soins aux urgences sont plus coûteux que des soins similaires dispensés dans d'autres structures ambulatoires.


Asunto(s)
Pacientes Ambulatorios , Médicos , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Canadá
19.
Stroke ; 54(4): 1030-1036, 2023 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36779338

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) findings of acute and chronic ischemia are associated with subsequent stroke risk in patients with transient ischemic attack. We sought to validate these associations in a large prospective cohort of patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. METHODS: This prospective cohort study enrolled emergency department patients from 13 hospitals with transient ischemic attack who had CT imaging. Primary outcome was stroke within 90 days. Secondary outcomes were stroke within 2 or 7 days. CT findings were abstracted from radiology reports and classified for the presence of acute ischemia, chronic ischemia, or microangiopathy. Multivariable logistic regression was used to test associations with primary and secondary end points. RESULTS: From 8670 prospectively enrolled patients between May 2010 and May 2017, 8382 had a CT within 24 hours. From this total population, 4547 (54%) patients had evidence of acute ischemia, chronic ischemia, or microangiopathy on CT, of whom 175 had a subsequent stroke within 90 days (3.8% subsequent stroke rate; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.33 [95% CI, 1.62-3.36]). This was in comparison to those with CT imaging without ischemia. Findings associated with an increased risk of stroke at 90 days were isolated acute ischemia (6.0%; aOR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.03-5.66]), acute ischemia with microangiopathy (10.7%; aOR, 3.34 [95% CI, 1.57-7.14]), chronic ischemia with microangiopathy (5.2%; aOR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.34-2.50]), and acute ischemia with chronic ischemia and microangiopathy (10.9%; aOR, 3.49 [95% CI, 1.54-7.91]). Acute ischemia with chronic ischemia and microangiopathy were most strongly associated with subsequent stroke within 2 days (aOR, 4.36 [95% CI, 1.31-14.54]) and 7 days (aOR, 4.50 [95% CI, 1.73-11.69]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke, CT evidence of acute ischemia with chronic ischemia or microangiopathy significantly increases the risk of subsequent stroke within 90 days of index visit. The combination of all 3 findings results in the greatest early risk.


Asunto(s)
Isquemia Encefálica , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico por imagen , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/epidemiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/complicaciones , Estudios Prospectivos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico por imagen , Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiología , Isquemia Encefálica/complicaciones , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/efectos adversos , Isquemia/complicaciones
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