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The observed increase in extreme weather has prompted recent methodological advances in extreme event attribution. We propose a machine learning-based approach that uses convolutional neural networks to create dynamically consistent counterfactual versions of historical extreme events under different levels of global mean temperature (GMT). We apply this technique to one recent extreme heat event (southcentral North America 2023) and several historical events that have been previously analyzed using established attribution methods. We estimate that temperatures during the southcentral North America event were 1.18° to 1.42°C warmer because of global warming and that similar events will occur 0.14 to 0.60 times per year at 2.0°C above preindustrial levels of GMT. Additionally, we find that the learned relationships between daily temperature and GMT are influenced by the seasonality of the forced temperature response and the daily meteorological conditions. Our results broadly agree with other attribution techniques, suggesting that machine learning can be used to perform rapid, low-cost attribution of extreme events.
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Stratospheric aerosol injection is a potential method of climate intervention to reduce climate risk as decarbonization efforts continue. However, possible ecosystem impacts from the strategic design of hypothetical intervention scenarios are poorly understood. Two recent Earth system model simulations depict policy-relevant stratospheric aerosol injection scenarios with similar global temperature targets, but a 10-year delay in intervention deployment. Here we show this delay leads to distinct ecological risk profiles through climate speeds, which describe the rate of movement of thermal conditions. On a planetary scale, climate speeds in the simulation where the intervention maintains temperature are not statistically distinguishable from preindustrial conditions. In contrast, rapid temperature reduction following delayed deployment produces climate speeds over land beyond either a preindustrial baseline or no-intervention climate change with present policy. The area exposed to threshold climate speeds places different scenarios in context to their relative ecological risks. Our results support discussion of tradeoffs and timescales in future scenario design and decision-making.
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BACKGROUND: The right ventricle (RV) is at risk in patients with complex congenital heart disease involving right-sided obstructive lesions. We have shown that capillary rarefaction occurs early in the pressure-loaded RV. Here we test the hypothesis that microRNA (miR)-34a, which is induced in RV hypertrophy and RV failure (RVF), blocks the hypoxia-inducible factor-1α-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) axis, leading to the attenuated angiogenic response and increased susceptibility to RV failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Mice underwent pulmonary artery banding to induce RV hypertrophy and RVF. Capillary rarefaction occurred immediately. Although hypoxia-inducible factor-1α expression increased (0.12±0.01 versus 0.22±0.03, P=0.05), VEGF expression decreased (0.61±0.03 versus 0.22±0.05, P=0.01). miR-34a expression was most upregulated in fibroblasts (4-fold), but also in cardiomyocytes and endothelial cells (2-fold). Overexpression of miR-34a in endothelial cells increased cell senescence (10±3% versus 22±2%, P<0.05) by suppressing sirtulin 1 expression, and decreased tube formation by 50% via suppression of hypoxia-inducible factor-1α, VEGF A, VEGF B, and VEGF receptor 2. miR-34a was induced by stretch, transforming growth factor-ß1, adrenergic stimulation, and hypoxia in cardiac fibroblasts and cardiomyocytes. In mice with RVF, locked nucleic acid-antimiR-34a improved RV shortening fraction and survival half-time and restored capillarity and VEGF expression. In children with congenital heart disease-related RVF, RV capillarity was decreased and miR-34a increased 5-fold. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, miR-34a from fibroblasts, cardiomyocytes, and endothelial cells mediates capillary rarefaction by suppressing the hypoxia-inducible factor-1α-VEGF axis in RV hypertrophy/RVF, raising the potential for anti-miR-34a therapeutics in patients with at-risk RVs.
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Cardiopatías Congénitas , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , MicroARNs , Rarefacción Microvascular , Niño , Humanos , Ratones , Animales , Factor A de Crecimiento Endotelial Vascular/metabolismo , Células Endoteliales/metabolismo , Angiogénesis , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/genética , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/metabolismo , Rarefacción Microvascular/metabolismo , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/metabolismo , Hipertrofia Ventricular Derecha , Miocitos Cardíacos/metabolismo , MicroARNs/genética , MicroARNs/metabolismo , Cardiopatías Congénitas/metabolismoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Systematic reviews provide the highest level of evidence about a topic. Ten-week workshops in conducting systematic reviews were held with hospital doctors in 2019 and 2020. AIM: This study analysed participants' feedback about the systematic review workshops to improve how we teach clinicians about conducting systematic reviews. METHODS: Attendees completed a post-workshop survey (with multiple-choice and free-text items) to assess knowledge and skills gained. We compared the responses of senior and junior doctors. We used descriptive statistics for the quantitative data and compared groups using Χ2 testing. Qualitative data were analysed using conceptual content analysis. RESULTS: Of 81 attendees, 52% completed the survey. Of those, 69% had no prior experience with systematic reviews, 93% reported increased knowledge and ability to conduct research and 69% reported increased ability to conduct systematic reviews. More senior than junior clinicians reported gaining knowledge about writing and publishing (37% vs 11%, P = 0.047) and making greater use of skills gained to conduct research (56% vs 23%, P = 0.029). Five themes were identified: learning through course structure; learning through course organisation; teaching style; flexible learning; and suggestions for progression and improvement. Respondents suggested running the workshops during protected teaching time, more time for some sessions, conducting the workshop series more often and making clinicians aware of the workshop series at hospital orientation. CONCLUSION: The skills learnt from the systematic review workshop series impacted not only participants' research knowledge and skills, and plans to conduct future research, but also facilitated looking up medical literature in daily clinical work, supporting evidence-based clinical practice.
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Aprendizaje , Médicos , Humanos , Cuerpo Médico de Hospitales , Encuestas y CuestionariosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is a lack of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the role of hand hygiene in preventing and containing acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in mass gatherings. In this pilot RCT, we assessed the feasibility of establishing a large-scale trial to explore the relationship between practising hand hygiene and rates of ARI in Umrah pilgrimage amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: A parallel RCT was conducted in hotels in Makkah, Saudi Arabia, between April and July 2021. Domestic adult pilgrims who consented to participate were randomised 1:1 to the intervention group who received alcohol-based hand rub (ABHR) and instructions, or to the control group who did not receive ABHR or instructions but were free to use their own supplies. Pilgrims in both groups were then followed up for seven days for ARI symptoms. The primary outcome was the difference in the proportions of syndromic ARIs among pilgrims between the randomised groups. RESULTS: A total of 507 (control: intervention = 267: 240) participants aged between 18 and 75 (median 34) years were randomised; 61 participants were lost to follow-up or withdrew leaving 446 participants (control: intervention = 237:209) for the primary outcome analysis; of whom 10 (2.2 %) had developed at least one respiratory symptom, three (0.7 %) had 'possible ILI' and two (0.4 %) had 'possible COVID-19'. The analysis of the primary outcome found no evidence of difference in the proportions of ARIs between the randomised groups (odds ratio 1.1 [0.3-4.0] for intervention relative to control). CONCLUSION: This pilot trial suggests that conducting a future definitive RCT to assess the role of hand hygiene in the prevention of ARIs is feasible in Umrah setting amidst such a pandemic; however, outcomes from this trial are inconclusive, and such a study would need to be very large given the low rates of outcomes observed here. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial was registered in the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) (ACTRN12622001287729), the full protocol can be accessed there.
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COVID-19 , Higiene de las Manos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Adulto , Humanos , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Proyectos Piloto , Australia , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , COVID-19/prevención & control , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como AsuntoRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Most cervical cancers are caused by human papilloma virus (HPV), and HPV circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may identify patients at highest risk of relapse. Our pilot study using digital polymerase chain reaction (dPCR) showed that detectable HPV ctDNA at the end of chemoradiation (CRT) is associated with inferior progression-free survival (PFS) and that a next-generation sequencing approach (HPV-seq) may outperform dPCR. We aimed to prospectively validate HPV ctDNA as a tool for early detection of residual disease. METHODS: This prospective, multicenter validation study accrued patients with stage IB-IVA cervical cancer treated with CRT between 2017 and 2022. Participants underwent phlebotomy at baseline, end of CRT, 4-6 weeks post-CRT, and 3 months post-CRT for HPV ctDNA levels. Plasma HPV genotype-specific DNA levels were quantified using both dPCR and HPV-seq. The primary end point was 2-year PFS. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 2.2 (range, 0.5-5.5) years, there were 24 PFS events among the 70 patients with HPV+ cervical cancer. Patients with detectable HPV ctDNA on dPCR at the end of CRT, 4-6 weeks post-CRT, and 3 months post-CRT had significantly worse 2-year PFS compared with those with undetectable HPV ctDNA (77% v 51%, P = .03; 82% v 15%, P < .001; and 82% v 24%, P < .001, respectively); the median lead time to recurrence was 5.9 months. HPV-seq showed similar results as dPCR. On multivariable analyses, detectable HPV ctDNA on dPCR and HPV-seq remained independently associated with inferior PFS. CONCLUSION: Persistent HPV ctDNA after CRT is independently associated with inferior PFS. HPV ctDNA testing can identify, as early as at the end of CRT, patients at high risk of recurrence for future treatment intensification trials.
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ADN Tumoral Circulante , Infecciones por Papillomavirus , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Femenino , Humanos , ADN Tumoral Circulante/genética , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/terapia , Virus del Papiloma Humano , Estudios Prospectivos , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Proyectos Piloto , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Biomarcadores de Tumor/genéticaRESUMEN
AIM: To investigate clinicoradiological features associated with epilepsy, its resolution, and drug resistance in children with cerebral palsy (CP). METHOD: Data were gathered from the New South Wales/Australian Capital Territory CP Register, encompassing children with CP born between 2003 and 2015 (n = 1916). Clinical features and the severity of impairments were compared among three groups: children with current epilepsy (n = 604), those with resolved epilepsy by age 5 years (n = 109), and those without epilepsy (n = 1203). Additionally, a subset of the registry cohort attending Children's Hospital Westmead (n = 256) was analysed to compare epilepsy and treatment characteristics between drug-responsive (n = 83) and drug-resistant groups (n = 147) using logistic regression and hierarchical cluster analysis. RESULTS: Manual Ability Classification System levels IV and V, intellectual impairment, and vision impairment were found to be associated with epilepsy in children with CP on multivariable analysis (p < 0.01). Moderate to severe intellectual impairment and bilateral spastic CP were independent positive and negative predictors of epilepsy persistence at the age of 5 years respectively (p < 0.05). Microcephaly and multiple seizure types were predictors of drug-resistant epilepsy (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83; 95% confidence interval 0.77-0.9). Children with a known genetic cause (14%) and CP epilepsy surgery group (4.3%) formed specific clinical subgroups in CP epilepsy. INTERPRETATION: Our study highlights important clinical associations of epilepsy, its resolution, and treatment response in children with CP, providing valuable knowledge to aid in counselling families and identifying distinct prognostic groups for effective medical surveillance and optimal treatment.
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The transcriptional and phenotypic characteristics that define alveolar monocyte and macrophage subsets in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) are poorly understood. Here, we apply CITE-seq (single-cell RNA-sequencing and cell-surface protein quantification) to bronchoalveolar lavage and blood specimens longitudinally collected from participants with AHRF to identify alveolar myeloid subsets, and then validate their identity in an external cohort using flow cytometry. We identify alveolar myeloid subsets with transcriptional profiles that differ from other lung diseases as well as several subsets with similar transcriptional profiles as reported in healthy participants (Metallothionein) or patients with COVID-19 (CD163/LGMN). We use information from CITE-seq to determine cell-surface proteins that distinguish transcriptional subsets (CD14, CD163, CD123, CD71, CD48, CD86 and CD44). In the external cohort, we find a higher proportion of CD163/LGMN alveolar macrophages are associated with mortality in AHRF. We report a parsimonious set of cell-surface proteins that distinguish alveolar myeloid subsets using scalable approaches that can be applied to clinical cohorts.
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Enfermedades Pulmonares , Insuficiencia Respiratoria , Humanos , Macrófagos Alveolares/metabolismo , Macrófagos/metabolismo , Monocitos/metabolismo , Enfermedades Pulmonares/metabolismo , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/genéticaRESUMEN
Background: There is an immunologic rationale to evaluate immunotherapy in the older glioblastoma population, who have been underrepresented in prior trials. The NUTMEG study evaluated the combination of nivolumab and temozolomide in patients with glioblastoma aged 65 years and older. Methods: NUTMEG was a multicenter 2:1 randomized phase II trial for patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma aged 65 years and older. The experimental arm consisted of hypofractionated chemoradiation with temozolomide, then adjuvant nivolumab and temozolomide. The standard arm consisted of hypofractionated chemoradiation with temozolomide, then adjuvant temozolomide. The primary objective was to improve overall survival (OS) in the experimental arm. Results: A total of 103 participants were randomized, with 69 in the experimental arm and 34 in the standard arm. The median (range) age was 73 (65-88) years. After 37 months of follow-up, the median OS was 11.6 months (95% CI, 9.7-13.4) in the experimental arm and 11.8 months (95% CI, 8.3-14.8) in the standard arm. For the experimental arm relative to the standard arm, the OS hazard ratio was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.54-1.33). In the experimental arm, there were three grade 3 immune-related adverse events which resolved, with no unexpected serious adverse events. Conclusions: Due to insufficient evidence of benefit with nivolumab, the decision was made not to transition to a phase III trial. No new safety signals were identified with nivolumab. This complements the existing series of immunotherapy trials. Research is needed to identify biomarkers and new strategies including combinations.
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Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a disease characterized by increased vasoconstriction and vascular remodeling. Pulmonary artery smooth muscle cells (PASMCs) highly express the transcription factor hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α), yet the role of PASMC HIF-1α in the development of PAH remains controversial. To study the role of SMC HIF-1α in the pulmonary vascular response to acute and chronic hypoxia, we used a gain-of-function strategy to stabilize HIF-1α in PASMC by generating mice lacking prolyl hydroxylase domain (PHD) 1 and 2 in SM22α-expressing cells. This strategy increased HIF-1α expression and transcriptional activity under conditions of normoxia and hypoxia. Acute hypoxia increased right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) in control, but not in SM22α-PHD1/2-/- mice. Chronic hypoxia increased RVSP and vascular remodeling more in control SM22α-PHD1/2+/+ than in SM22α-PHD1/2-/- mice. In vitro studies demonstrated increased contractility and myosin light chain phosphorylation in isolated PHD1/2+/+ compared with PHD1/2-/- PASMC under both normoxic and hypoxic conditions. After chronic hypoxia, there was more p27 and less vascular remodeling in SM22α-PHD1/2-/- compared with SM22α-PHD1/2+/+ mice. Hypoxia increased p27 in PASMC isolated from control patients, but not in cells from patients with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH). These findings highlight an SM22α-expressing cell-specific role for HIF-1α in the inhibition of pulmonary vasoconstriction and vascular remodeling. Modulating HIF-1α expression in PASMC may represent a promising preventative and therapeutic strategy for patients with PAH.NEW & NOTEWORTHY In a mouse model wherein hypoxia-inducible factor 1 alpha (HIF-1α) is stabilized in vascular smooth muscle cells, we found that HIF-1α regulates vasoconstriction by limiting phosphorylation of myosin light chain and regulates vascular remodeling through p27 induction. These findings highlight a cell-specific role for HIF-1α in the inhibition of pulmonary vasoconstriction and vascular remodeling.
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Hipertensión Pulmonar , Hipertensión Arterial Pulmonar , Animales , Humanos , Ratones , Hipertensión Pulmonar Primaria Familiar/metabolismo , Hipertensión Pulmonar/metabolismo , Hipoxia/metabolismo , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/metabolismo , Miocitos del Músculo Liso/metabolismo , Cadenas Ligeras de Miosina/metabolismo , Prolil Hidroxilasas/metabolismo , Hipertensión Arterial Pulmonar/metabolismo , Arteria Pulmonar/metabolismo , Remodelación VascularRESUMEN
PURPOSE: To describe the natural history of autosomal dominant (AD) GUCY2D-associated cone-rod dystrophies (CRDs), and evaluate associated structural and functional biomarkers. METHODS: Retrospective analysis was conducted on 16 patients with AD GUCY2D-CRDs across two sites. Assessments included central macular thickness (CMT) and length of disruption to the ellipsoid zone (EZ) via optical coherence tomography (OCT), electroretinography (ERG) parameters, best corrected visual acuity (BCVA), and fundus autofluorescence (FAF). RESULTS: At first visit, with a mean age of 30 years (range 5-70 years), 12 patients had a BCVA below Australian driving standard (LogMAR ≥ 0.3 bilaterally), and 1 patient was legally blind (LogMAR ≥ 1). Longitudinal analysis demonstrated a deterioration of LogMAR by - 0.019 per year (p < 0.001). This accompanied a reduction in CMT of - 1.4 µm per year (p < 0.0001), lengthened EZ disruption by 42 µm per year (p = < 0.0001) and increased area of FAF by 0.05 mm2 per year (p = 0.027). Similarly, cone function decreased with increasing age, as demonstrated by decreasing b-wave amplitude of the light-adapted 30 Hz flicker and fused flicker (p = 0.005 and p = 0.018, respectively). Reduction in CMT and increased EZ disruption on OCT were associated with functional changes including poorer BCVA and decreased cone function on ERG. CONCLUSION: We have described the natural long-term decline in vision and cone function associated with mutations in GUCY2D and identified a set of functional and structural biomarkers that may be useful as outcome parameters for future therapeutic clinical trials.
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Distrofias de Conos y Bastones , Retinitis Pigmentosa , Humanos , Preescolar , Niño , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Distrofias de Conos y Bastones/diagnóstico , Distrofias de Conos y Bastones/genética , Estudios Retrospectivos , Electrorretinografía , Agudeza Visual , Australia , Biomarcadores , Tomografía de Coherencia Óptica/métodosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Glioblastoma is the most common aggressive primary central nervous system cancer in adults characterised by uniformly poor survival. Despite maximal safe resection and postoperative radiotherapy with concurrent and adjuvant temozolomide-based chemotherapy, tumours inevitably recur. Imaging with O-(2-[18F]-fluoroethyl)-L-tyrosine (FET) positron emission tomography (PET) has the potential to impact adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) planning, distinguish between treatment-induced pseudoprogression versus tumour progression as well as prognostication. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The FET-PET in Glioblastoma (FIG) study is a prospective, multicentre, non-randomised, phase II study across 10 Australian sites and will enrol up to 210 adults aged ≥18 years with newly diagnosed glioblastoma. FET-PET will be performed at up to three time points: (1) following initial surgery and prior to commencement of chemoradiation (FET-PET1); (2) 4 weeks following concurrent chemoradiation (FET-PET2); and (3) within 14 days of suspected clinical and/or radiological progression on MRI (performed at the time of clinical suspicion of tumour recurrence) (FET-PET3). The co-primary outcomes are: (1) to investigate how FET-PET versus standard MRI impacts RT volume delineation and (2) to determine the accuracy and management impact of FET-PET in distinguishing pseudoprogression from true tumour progression. The secondary outcomes are: (1) to investigate the relationships between FET-PET parameters (including dynamic uptake, tumour to background ratio, metabolic tumour volume) and progression-free survival and overall survival; (2) to assess the change in blood and tissue biomarkers determined by serum assay when comparing FET-PET data acquired prior to chemoradiation with other prognostic markers, looking at the relationships of FET-PET versus MRI-determined site/s of progressive disease post chemotherapy treatment with MRI and FET-PET imaging; and (3) to estimate the health economic impact of incorporating FET-PET into glioblastoma management and in the assessment of post-treatment pseudoprogression or recurrence/true progression. Exploratory outcomes include the correlation of multimodal imaging, blood and tumour biomarker analyses with patterns of failure and survival. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study protocol V.2.0 dated 20 November 2020 has been approved by a lead Human Research Ethics Committee (Austin Health, Victoria). Other clinical sites will provide oversight through local governance processes, including obtaining informed consent from suitable participants. The study will be conducted in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and Good Clinical Practice. Results of the FIG study (TROG 18.06) will be disseminated via relevant scientific and consumer forums and peer-reviewed publications. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ANZCTR ACTRN12619001735145.
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Neoplasias Encefálicas , Ficus , Glioblastoma , Adulto , Humanos , Adolescente , Glioblastoma/diagnóstico por imagen , Glioblastoma/terapia , Glioblastoma/patología , Tomografía Computarizada por Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Tirosina , Estudios Prospectivos , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Encefálicas/terapia , Neoplasias Encefálicas/patología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/diagnóstico por imagen , Australia , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto , Estudios Multicéntricos como AsuntoRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Approximately half of all radiotherapy (RT) is delivered with palliative intent. Clinical research in palliative RT aims to manage symptoms, improve quality of life (QoL), evaluate supportive care, and determine optimal dose-fractionation schedules. Our aim was to describe the prevalence of palliative research at the Canadian Association of Radiation Oncology (CARO) Annual Scientific Meeting (ASM) over time and compare this analysis to previously published work which evaluated the years 1992-2002. METHODS: Published abstracts (2003-2021) were independently reviewed by two authors who categorized each as curative-intent; palliative-intent; pertaining to both populations; or neither. Abstracts were considered palliative if they described incurable malignancy and interventions primarily for symptom control or QoL. Type of study, primary, site treated, and symptoms palliated were recorded. Descriptive and summary statistics were calculated including one-way ANOVA test for trend. RESULTS: Three hundred thirty-nine out of 4566 abstracts (7.4%, range 2.4-13.9% per year) were classified as palliative. 7.7% (26/339) described phase I-III trials. The main primary site was the lung (39/339) and the most common metastatic site was the bone (34.2%). QoL, symptom and toxicity outcomes were reported in 31.6% (107/339), 37.8% (128/339) and 17.7% (60/339), respectively. The most common symptom investigated was pain (38/339). The proportion of abstracts classified as curative, palliative or reporting toxicity endpoints demonstrated significant change over time (all p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: While proportion of palliative themed abstracts has increased with time, there remains a significant gap before equivalence with the prevalence of palliative RT in clinical practice is achieved.
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Oncología por Radiación , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Prevalencia , Canadá , Cuidados PaliativosAsunto(s)
Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Femenino , Humanos , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/patología , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Cisplatino/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Kidney and lung injury are closely inter-related during acute respiratory illness, but the molecular risk factors that these organ injuries share are not well defined. OBJECTIVES: We identified plasma biomarkers associated with severe acute kidney injury (AKI) during acute respiratory illness, and compared them to biomarkers associated with severe acute respiratory failure (ARF). DESIGN SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective observational cohort study enrolling March 2020 through May 2021, at three hospitals in a large academic health system. We analyzed 301 patients admitted to an ICU with acute respiratory illness. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Outcomes were ascertained between ICU admission and day 14, and included: 1) severe AKI, defined as doubling of serum creatinine or new dialysis and 2) severe ARF, which included new or persistent need for high-flow oxygen or mechanical ventilation. We measured biomarkers of immune response and endothelial function, pathways related to adverse kidney and lung outcomes, in plasma collected within 24 hours of ICU admission. Severe AKI occurred in 48 (16%), severe ARF occurred in 147 (49%), and 40 (13%) patients experienced both. Two-fold higher concentrations of soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (sTNFR-1) (adjusted relative risk [aRR], 1.56; 95% CI, 1.24-1.96) and soluble triggering receptor on myeloid cells-1 (sTREM-1) (aRR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.42-2.41), biomarkers of innate immune activation, were associated with higher risk for severe AKI after adjustment for age, sex, COVID-19, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-III. These biomarkers were not significantly associated with severe ARF. Soluble programmed cell death receptor-1 (sPDL-1), a checkpoint pathway molecule, as well as soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1) and soluble vascular adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1), molecules involved with endothelial-vascular leukocyte adhesion, were associated with both severe AKI and ARF. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: sTNFR-1 and sTREM-1 were linked strongly to severe AKI during respiratory illness, while sPDL-1, sICAM-1 and sVCAM-1 were associated with both severe AKI and ARF. These biomarker signatures may shed light on pathophysiology of lung-kidney interactions, and inform precision medicine strategies for identifying patients at high risk for these organ injuries.
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BACKGROUND: Severe COVID-19 is associated with innate immunopathology, and CD14, a proximal activator of innate immunity, has been suggested as a potential therapeutic target. METHODS: We conducted the COVID-19 anti-CD14 Treatment Trial (CaTT), a Phase II randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial at 5 US-sites between April 12, 2021 and November 30, 2021 (NCT04391309). Hospitalized adults with COVID-19 requiring supplemental oxygen (<30 LPM) were randomized 1:1 to receive 4 daily doses of intravenous IC14, an anti-CD14 monoclonal antibody, or placebo. All participants received remdesivir. The primary outcome was time-to-resolution of illness, defined as improvement on the 8-point NIH-Ordinal COVID-19 Scale to category ≤3. Secondary endpoints were safety and exploratory endpoints were pro-inflammatory and antiviral mediators in serum on days 0-5 & 7. The trial was stopped after 40 patients were randomized and treated due to slow enrollment. FINDINGS: 40 participants were randomized and treated with IC14 (n = 20) or placebo (n = 20). The median time-to-recovery was 6 days (95% CI, 5-11) in the IC14 group vs. 5 days (95% CI, 4-10) in the Placebo group (recovery rate ratio: 0.77 (95% CI, 0.40, 1.48) (log-rank p = 0.435). The number of adverse events was similar in each group, and no IC14-attributable secondary infections occurred. In repeated-measures mixed-effects analyses, IC14 treatment increased serum sCD14 concentrations, an expected pharmacodynamic effect. Pre-planned, exploratory analyses suggested that IC14 treatment decreased the trajectories of circulating MIP-1ß and TNF-α. INTERPRETATION: IC14 treatment did not improve time-to-resolution of illness in hypoxemic patients with COVID-19 in this small trial. Results of exploratory analyses suggested IC14 had biologic effects that warrant future clinical investigation. FUNDING: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
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COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Administración Intravenosa , Método Doble Ciego , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Worldwide, the incidence of both preterm births and chronic lung disease of infancy, or bronchopulmonary dysplasia, remains high. Infants with bronchopulmonary dysplasia have larger and fewer alveoli, a lung pathology that can persist into adulthood. Although recent data point to a role for hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α) in mediating pulmonary angiogenesis and alveolarization, the cell-specific role of HIF-1α remains incompletely understood. Thus, we hypothesized that HIF-1α, in a distinct subset of mesenchymal cells, mediates postnatal alveolarization. To test the hypothesis, we generated mice with a cell-specific deletion of HIF-1α by crossing SM22α promoter-driven Cre mice with HIF-1αflox/flox mice (SM22α-HIF-1α-/-), determined SM-22α-expressing cell identity using single-cell RNA sequencing, and interrogated samples from preterm infants. Deletion of HIF-1α in SM22α-expressing cells had no effect on lung structure at day 3 of life. However, at 8 days, there were fewer and larger alveoli, a difference that persisted into adulthood. Microvascular density, elastin organization, and peripheral branching of the lung vasculature were decreased in SM22α-HIF-1α-/- mice, compared with control mice. Single-cell RNA sequencing demonstrated that three mesenchymal cell subtypes express SM22α: myofibroblasts, airway smooth muscle cells, and vascular smooth muscle cells. Pulmonary vascular smooth muscle cells from SM22α-HIF-1α-/- mice had decreased angiopoietin-2 expression and, in coculture experiments, a diminished capacity to promote angiogenesis that was rescued by angiopoietin-2. Angiopoietin-2 expression in tracheal aspirates of preterm infants was inversely correlated with overall mechanical ventilation time, a marker of disease severity. We conclude that SM22α-specific HIF-1α expression drives peripheral angiogenesis and alveolarization in the lung, perhaps by promoting angiopoietin-2 expression.
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Angiopoyetina 2 , Displasia Broncopulmonar , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia , Animales , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Ratones , Angiopoyetina 2/metabolismo , Displasia Broncopulmonar/genética , Displasia Broncopulmonar/metabolismo , Displasia Broncopulmonar/patología , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/genética , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/metabolismo , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Pulmón/patologíaRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Surface mould brachytherapy (SMBT) is ideal in treating superficial skin cancer over the curved surface of the nasal ala. We describe the process of initiating and optimizing SMBT treatment at our institution including clinical workflow, generation of three dimensional (3D) printed custom applicators, and clinical outcomes. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Planning CT scans were used to acquire images for delineating target volumes. The applicator was designed with customized catheter positioning (3-5mm from target) to cover target volume while sparing dose to organs at risk (OAR) such as adjacent skin and nasal mucosa. Applicators were 3D printed, with transparent resin to aid visualization of underlying skin. Dosimetric parameters evaluated included CTV D90, CTV D0.1cc, and D2cc to OARs. Clinical outcomes assessed were local control, acute and late toxicity (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v5.0 [CTCAEv5.0]), and cosmesis (Radiation Therapy Oncology Group [RTOG]). RESULTS: Ten patients were treated with SMBT with a median followup of 17.8 months. Dose prescription was 40 Gy in 10 daily fractions. Mean CTV D90 was 38.5 Gy (range 34.7-40.6), mean CTV D0.1cc 49.2 Gy (range 45.6-53.5), which was <140% of the prescription dose in all patients. Treatment was well tolerated, with acceptable Grade 2 acute, Grade 0-1 late skin toxicity, and good-excellent cosmesis for all patients. Two patients experienced local failure, and both underwent surgical salvage. CONCLUSIONS: SMBT was successfully planned and delivered for superficial nasal BCC using 3D printed custom applicators. Excellent target coverage was achieved while minimizing dose to OAR. Toxicity and cosmesis rates were good-excellent.
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Braquiterapia , Carcinoma Basocelular , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino , Humanos , Femenino , Braquiterapia/métodos , Dosificación Radioterapéutica , Planificación de la Radioterapia Asistida por Computador/métodos , Carcinoma Basocelular/radioterapia , Neoplasias Cutáneas/radioterapia , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/radioterapiaRESUMEN
AIM: This study sought to assess the association between early developmental assessment of toddlers with idiopathic global developmental delay (GDD) and their later intelligence test scores. METHODS: Toddlers with idiopathic GDD attending a community clinic over a 6-year period were assessed initially using the Griffiths Mental Development Scales - Extended Revised version (GMDS-ER) and later completing formal intelligence testing using the Stanford-Binet Intelligence Scale - 5th Edition (SB5) at age 4-6 years. Spearman's correlation was used to assess the association of quotient scores across the tools. The composite quotient (GQ) and the subscale quotients of GMDS-ER were correlated with the full-scale IQ (FSIQ), verbal and non-verbal IQ scores from the SB5. RESULTS: Thirty of 153 children assessed at the clinic were eligible for the study. The correlation between GMDS-ER GQ and later SB5 FSIQ was strong (r = 0.86, P < 0.001). The subscales' associations were moderate to strong (0.48-0.71). Eighty-six percent (86%) of children with delay on GMDS-ER GQ were found later to be in the impaired category based on the FSIQ of the SB5. CONCLUSION: There was a strong association between toddlers' early developmental quotients and later IQ scores for children with idiopathic GDD, though agreement between early GDD diagnoses and later intellectual disability is not absolute. Individualised care is needed around prognostic advice and recommendations to caregivers and families in the early years, so they may effectively plan for interventions, supports and later reassessment to optimise their child's development and learning.
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Inteligencia , Humanos , Preescolar , Niño , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pruebas de InteligenciaRESUMEN
Oesophageal adenocarcinoma is a poor prognosis cancer and the molecular features underpinning response to treatment remain unclear. We investigate whole genome, transcriptomic and methylation data from 115 oesophageal adenocarcinoma patients mostly from the DOCTOR phase II clinical trial (Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry-ACTRN12609000665235), with exploratory analysis pre-specified in the study protocol of the trial. We report genomic features associated with poorer overall survival, such as the APOBEC mutational and RS3-like rearrangement signatures. We also show that positron emission tomography non-responders have more sub-clonal genomic copy number alterations. Transcriptomic analysis categorises patients into four immune clusters correlated with survival. The immune suppressed cluster is associated with worse survival, enriched with myeloid-derived cells, and an epithelial-mesenchymal transition signature. The immune hot cluster is associated with better survival, enriched with lymphocytes, myeloid-derived cells, and an immune signature including CCL5, CD8A, and NKG7. The immune clusters highlight patients who may respond to immunotherapy and thus may guide future clinical trials.